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White Paper
Understanding today’s smartphone user:
Demystifying data usage trends on cellular
&Wi-Fi networks
Sponsored by
Informa Telecoms & Media chose to participate in this report because we firmly believe the data shared by Mobidia contains
valuable new insights into global smartphone usage trends. We consider the analysis that follows to take a significant step in
advancing discussion in this area of critical interest to the telecoms and media industries.
The emergence of on-device metering applications, such as Mobidia’s My Data Manager, has enabled the capture of data at
levels of granularity that have not been possible until now. This report will shed new light on total smartphone-originated
traffic demand and, critically, present a complete view of usage behavior trends across cellular networks in domestic and
roaming scenarios and through Wi-Fi-based access. This is, to the best of our knowledge, the first time that a holistic view of
user behavior across all three principal aspects of wireless access has been presented.
Extracting the core value from data of this level of granularity is inevitably an iterative process and, by working in partnership
with operators and other players such as Informa, Mobidia will continue to build upon the insights presented in this initial white
paper to help unlock even more value for the industry.
Informa strongly believes that the trends outlined within this report are of major relevance to readers and can be used to
derive meaningful and robust insights into the evolving usage behavior of today’s smartphone user. It is important to note,
however, that Informa has analyzed and interpreted the Mobidia-collated data used in this report with a sensitivity to and
understanding of the specific methodology used to collect the data.
The data is based solely upon active users of Mobidia’s My Data Manager application. As more than 600,000 users globally have
downloaded the application and more than 30% of active users have agreed to share data with Mobidia on a strictly opt-in and
anonymous basis, the sample represents a statistically significant and growing class of users that are data-usage-sensitive
and savvy enough to use a dedicated application to monitor their daily data usage. This class of users does not necessarily
represent today’s entire mass-market smartphone user base, but Informa believes this is a significant and growing proportion
of the overall smartphone population.
The sample collected refers only to smartphone users on the Android platform and does not include an analysis of users of
other smartphone platforms, the users of which could display usage behavior that varies from those outlined in this report.
Finally, the data refers to smartphone data usage during the month of January 2012 only and may therefore display some level
of seasonal bias.
Informa and Mobidia will happily provide, upon request, additional details on the methodology and underlying data used in this
report.
Thomas Wehmeier
Principal Analyst | Telco Strategy
thomas.wehmeier@informa.com
@twehmeier
1
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
Foreword
2
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
The emergence of yield
management strategies
for data
Smartphone adoption is the key enabler
to unlocking the single largest revenue
opportunity for mobile operators today.
The provision of connectivity to mobile
phone users in the form of monthly
integrated or standalone data plans and
prepaid top-ups generated more than
US$110 billion in service revenues in
2011. Rising smartphone penetration
rates and the successful attachment
of data plans to those devices will
grow the value of small-screen access
revenues to operators to more than
US$230 billion by 2016, according to
Informa Telecoms & Media forecasts.
Building small-screen access revenues
into a US$100 billion annual market is
already a considerable achievement, but
today’s mobile data market is arguably
still in the early stages of development.
Indeed, Informa argues that mobile data
pricing models prevalent in the market
today lag years behind the advanced
segmentation seen in the mobile
voice market. Fulfilling the industry’s
future growth potential by driving
smartphone and data adoption into
today’s untapped customer segments
will require operators to build an
in-depth understanding of all aspects
of customer behavior to in order to
deploy sustainable and profitable
future pricing models. This includes the
need to understand traffic demand by
application, location and time of day as
well as by the user’s preferred means
of access technology.
The transition away from unlimited data
plans towards tiered pricing marks the
first, but arguably the most important,
step in the development of more
advanced yield-management strategies
designed to squeeze maximum returns
from underlying demand for mobile
data access. But this is just the first
step in a long-term path towards more
value-centric pricing.
The operator community built mobile
voice services into a US$630 billion
market. This growth was underpinned
by yield-management techniques,
adapted from lessons learned in the
airline and hotel industries, that have
allowed operators to develop differential
pricing models for voice calls based
on differences in perceived user value,
including peak and off-peak, on-net and
off-net, friends & family and dynamic
pricing. The implementation of more
complex pricing propositions has largely
been possible because of the extensive
insights operators have been able to
derive from the complete visibility they
enjoyed of mobile voice usage patterns.
The extent of cellular-based,
smartphone-originated data demand
is well understood. Numerous data
points released by operators, vendors
and other players have accurately
measured average monthly cellular
consumption on smartphones. This has
typically placed average monthly data
usage in the range of 100-500MB per
month, depending on the country or the
operator in question.
It is now clear that these cellular-only
numbers have significantly understated
the true level of smartphone usage
by excluding Wi-Fi-based usage from
the numbers circulated within the
industry. Informa’s analysis reveals that
a cellular-only measurement of user
demand can understate smartphone-
originated traffic by a factor of several
multiples in the world’s most advanced
Wi-Fi markets. In the UK, data usage
on cellular networks accounts for just
19% of the total smartphone-originated
traffic (see fig. 3). Put another way,
Wi-Fi traffic dwarfs cellular traffic in the
UK by a factor of more than 4:1 in the
sampled smartphone base.
Operators are acutely aware that Wi-Fi
usage is well entrenched within their
customers’ day-to-day usage behavior,
but the fragmentation of Wi-Fi hot-spot
networks has rendered the accurate
measurement of such usage effectively
an impossible task. The implementation
of network-centric analytical tools
based upon deep-packet inspection
engines means that a smartphone can
be monitored as it moves around a
cellular network, but, as soon as the
smartphone connects to a Wi-Fi access
point, it effectively “goes dark” and all
subsequent usage becomes invisible to
the operator. This paper will shed light
on those dark spots and make a series
Fig. 1: Active Wi-Fi users as a percentage of total smartphone users, selected
countries, Jan-12
99
98 97 97 97 96
95 94
88 87
74
71
ActiveWi-Fiusersas%
oftotalsmartphoneusers
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
India
C
hina
Singapore
U
S
France
M
alaysia
C
anada
G
erm
any
Spain
U
K
H
ong
Kong
N
etherlands
Source: Mobidia
3
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
of conclusions based upon new insights
that can be derived from an holistic view
of today’s smartphone user.
For the first time, Informa and Mobidia
are demystifying smartphone data
usage across both cellular and Wi-Fi
networks.
Understanding the extent of
Wi-Fi usage on smartphones
The expansion of Wi-Fi into hundreds
of millions of private homes and offices
around the world, the deployment of
more than one million public Wi-Fi hot
spots by the end of 2011 and the growth
of a vast and mature ecosystem built of
thousands of devices has established
Wi-Fi as the most heavily-used wireless
technology in the world in terms of the
volume of data transmitted. The low
cost of integrating Wi-Fi chipsets has
made it a must-have feature in every
smartphone that comes to market and a
rapidly-growing number of data-centric
feature phones.
That Wi-Fi is an integral form of
smartphone connectivity is well
understood, but the extent of active
Wi-Fi adoption among smartphone
users has remained uncertain. The data
collected by Mobidia shows that Wi-Fi
usage is close to ubiquity amongst
the sampled smartphone users. In the
developed markets, more than 90% of
sampled smartphone users also use
Wi-Fi as a means of data connectivity
– in Hong Kong and the Netherlands,
it is over 98% (see fig. 1). A wider
examination of Wi-Fi adoption on a
country-by-country basis highlights that
this trend is truly global. Even in the
major emerging markets of China and
India, seven in 10 of the sampled users
also use Wi-Fi to enable smartphone
data usage (see fig. 1). While the
smartphone users of these two markets
are undoubtedly early adopters, it
is clear that Wi-Fi will play a critical
role in the lives of the smartphone
generations of tomorrow in those
markets. It is therefore no surprise that
some of the world’s largest and most
ambitious carrier deployments of public
Wi-Fi networks are taking place in
China, India, Brazil and other emerging
markets.
Just as important as understanding
how many customers are using Wi-Fi,
is knowing how much data those users
are consuming. Within the sample
user base under analysis, Wi-Fi is
the primary form of connectivity for
the overwhelming majority of users
and it is apparent that Wi-Fi has
become firmly entrenched in day-to-
day usage. On a global basis, Wi-Fi
accounted for more than two-thirds
(70%) of all smartphone-originated
data traffic within the sample base at
the beginning of 2012 (see fig. 2). This
leads to many important conclusions,
but uppermost must be the recognition
that operators do not enjoy anything
close to complete visibility on the usage
of key applications on smartphones by
their customers. More positively, this
Fig. 2: Global smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, Jan-12
Wi-Fi
69.6%
Cellular
30.4%
Source: Mobidia
Fig. 3: Smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, selected countries, Jan-12
Cellular Wi-Fi Wi-Fi – cellular ratio
Hong KongSingapore US
Germany SpainUK
51.1%
48.9%
1x 1.7x 2.1x
4.3x 4.6x 4.6x
19.0%
81.0%
17.9%
82.1%
17.8%
82.2%
63.4%
36.6%
68.2%
31.8%
Source: Mobidia
4
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
data implies that the total aggregated
demand for data consumption on
smartphones is vast and the potential
addressable market for operators
is bigger than previously estimated.
Irrespective of the access technology
used, each megabyte of data consumed
represents an opportunity that can be
turned into revenue with the right value
proposition.
As one would expect, there is wide
variation in the distribution of
smartphone-originated traffic across
cellular and Wi-Fi networks, both
across countries, but also across
individual operators within those
countries (see fig. 3). There are a variety
of factors that have an impact on the
share of traffic between Wi-Fi and
cellular, but the most important are the
level of development of Wi-Fi in terms
of private and public hot-spot density,
the maturity of carrier Wi-Fi strategies,
the quality of experience on cellular
networks and, finally, the pricing
structure of mobile data services. In
countries that benchmark high in terms
of in-home Wi-Fi penetration and where
mobile operators have highly-evolved
carrier Wi-Fi strategies, cellular usage
on smartphones is dwarfed by Wi-Fi.
Interestingly, in markets such as
Singapore and Japan, cellular usage
represents a far higher proportion
of total smartphone traffic, which is
due in part to the build-out of world-
leading, advanced mobile broadband
infrastructure, but, more importantly,
because of the prevalence of unlimited
cellular data plans or generously-sized
bundles at competitive prices.
It is important not to generalize
about country-level trends, because
it is evident that there are subtle, but
important differences in the share of
traffic splits between different operators
within a single market (see figs. 4 and
5). UK operator O2 and AT&T in the US,
as the industry poster children of the
so-called “capacity crunch era” of 2010
and 2011, have been two of the biggest
proponents of driving Wi-Fi usage
among their customers. The success of
these strategies is evidenced by the fact
that, in their respective markets, each
operator ranks highest in terms of Wi-Fi
as a percentage of overall smartphone
data usage. Conversely, Sprint in the
US and 3 UK have not promoted Wi-Fi
to their customers, preferring instead
to offer competitively-priced unlimited
data plans on their cellular networks.
The Mobidia data clearly reflects the
resulting impact of these strategic
decisions on smartphone usage
behavior among their customers.
There is no single right or wrong strategy
when it comes to Wi-Fi, but operators
must be alert to the trends across all
forms of network options and must make
informed, insight-led decisions based
upon a deep understanding of customer
trends and factors including their market
position, network and spectrum holding
and the overall composition of their
customer base.
Whatever the share of Wi-Fi, there
can be no question that users place
enormous value on Wi-Fi connectivity
and that there is huge overall demand
for data. Informa believes that, by
analyzing these trends more deeply
and making decisions using the right
customer insights, operators have a
major opportunity to monetize overall
demand more effectively, either by
capturing existing data traffic “share”
Fig. 4: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, by operator, Jan-12
0
20
40
60
80
100
O2 UKOrange UKT-Mobile UKVodafone UK3 UK
Datatraffic(%)
Ratio
0
2
4
6
8
10
Wi-Fi Wi-Fi - cellular ratioCellular
Source: Mobidia
Fig. 5: US, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, by operator, Jan-12
0
20
40
60
80
100
AT&TT-Mobile USAVerizon WirelessSprint
Datatraffic(%)
Wi-Fi - cellular ratio
Ratio
0
2
4
6
8
10
Wi-FiCellular
Source: Mobidia
5
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
from Wi-Fi and migrating this to cellular
networks, by stimulating additional
demand through new cellular pricing
models or by finding innovative ways
to monetize the demand for ubiquitous
Wi-Fi access; for example, by offering a
differentiated experience to free Wi-Fi.
Smartphone-based
application usage trends
across cellular and Wi-Fi
networks
The usage behavior of smartphone
users varies according to their choice of
access network. By analyzing variations
in application-level usage trends access
technologies, it is apparent that today’s
data-savvy customers are making
deliberate and informed decisions about
the applications they use, how much
they use and for how long, depending
on their current available forms of
connectivity.
The emergence of intuitive and easy-
to-use connection-management
clients on smartphones is enabling
customers to control connection
choices based principally upon the
application to be used, the cost of
access or their perceptions around
the quality of network experience. In
the UK, for example, high-bandwidth
applications such as YouTube, iPlayer
and other video and audio streaming
services are most popular on Wi-Fi
networks and are consumed at much
greater intensity (see fig. 6). Other less
bandwidth-intensive applications, such
as Google Maps, e-mail or browsing,
have similar levels of adoption across
both cellular and Wi-Fi networks. But it
is arguably in roaming scenarios, where
the price of data access runs the risk
of incurring extreme costs to the end
user, that behavior is most radically
different. Users are extremely cautious
when roaming and typically will limit
their usage on cellular networks to
low-bandwidth, time-sensitive, mobile
applications, such as e-mail, social
networks or browsing and maps (see
fig. 7).
If operators are able to understand
these subtle differences in usage across
different access networks, they can use
these insights to build more targeted
propositions for their customers; for
example, to build dedicated roaming
plans around popular applications, such
as an unlimited e-mail plan for roaming
or a data bundle with inclusive zero-
rated access to popular social networks.
Crucially, it is apparent that, by
analyzing data usage at this level
of granularity, operators must be
extremely cautious in controlling
connection-management decisions
centrally from the network. As has
been argued here, the users are not
only very capable of making their own
decisions on preferred networks, but
also demand the ability to retain that
level of personalized control. There are
circumstances where operator-selected
connections decisions enforced from the
network may be appropriate, but it is
clear that operators must find the right
balance between user-, device- and
operator-controlled network selections.
The “operator knows best” assumption
is flawed. Operators should focus their
efforts on proactively influencing and
shaping customers’ decisions through
their pricing, customer engagement
and network-planning strategies, rather
than arbitrarily imposing connectivity
rules that may go against deeply-
entrenched user behavior.
A key part of Mobidia’s analytics
proposition is the ability to examine
service adoption trends at a micro-
granular level. This can give the users
of the data the ability to monitor the
launch, adoption and usage of almost
any new application across cellular and
Wi-Fi networks.
WhatsApp exploded onto the scene
during the first half of 2011 when Dutch
incumbent operator, KPN, directly
Fig. 7: UK, service penetration of popular applications, by access technology of
smartphone users, Jan-12
Application users whilst roaming as % of total roaming users
Application users via Wi-Fi access as % of total Wi-Fi users
Application users via cellular access as % of total cellular users
0
20
40
60
80
100
WhatsAppSkypeTwitterYouTubeFacebookGoogle Maps
Penetration(%)
Source: Mobidia
Fig. 6: Top 5 smartphone applications by
absolute traffic volumes (MB) in UK by
access technology, Jan-12
Rank Cellular Wi-Fi Roaming
1 Browsing Browsing Browsing
2 Facebook app YouTube Facebook app
3 Tethering Video
and audio
streaming
Google Maps
4 YouTube Downloads E-mail
5 Downloads iPlayer Tethering
Source: Mobidia
6
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
attributed a material drop in its service
revenues to the widespread adoption of
the popular IP-based messaging service
amongst its smartphone users. Ever
since KPN flagged the threat of over-
the-top (OTT) services to core revenue
streams, the operator community has
put its full force behind evaluating and,
arguably, underplaying the risk to its
businesses. But an analysis of WhatsApp
penetration levels in various markets
suggests that there could indeed
be a strong risk of revenue attrition
around the corner. The Dutch and
Spanish markets have arguably felt the
strongest impact from OTT players and
this is spectacularly supported by the
sheer extent of WhatsApp penetration
amongst smartphone users in the
sample originating from those markets.
WhatsApp has surpassed the 90% level
there (see fig. 8) and, although that is
likely to be lower in terms of overall
market penetration, the implication is
unambiguous. In other major European
markets and in the US, the rates of
service adoption are at a much less
advanced stage, but operators must
still prepare themselves and develop
proactive responses should adoption of
OTT services like WhatsApp go viral and
reach levels witnessed in markets such
as Spain and the Netherlands.
This level of insight into service
adoption on smartphones and
understanding how they are being used
on different networks will be critical
for the development of future pricing,
service and partnership strategies
within operators. Without knowing
what is happening on Wi-Fi networks,
operators are vulnerable to major blind
spots in the prevailing usage trends
among their highest-value customers.
Indeed, without such full visibility,
there is a risk that the usage that today
resides on Wi-Fi networks could be
migrated to under-prepared cellular
networks by a sudden shift in pricing
or a new service proposition. This type
of insight has major relevance across
the entire operator business, but an
immediate value can be exploited by
marketing and product teams to build
targeted propositions and associated
pricing structures with a greater degree
of confidence about the expected impact
on networks or the level of customer
adoption.
Informa also believes that data around
application usage can be used to
identify potential new partners that are
reaching levels of critical mass adoption
and, more importantly, to improve the
negotiating position of operators when
entering into potential partnership
agreements with OTT players. Equally,
insights into usage behavior can be
used to underpin operators’ own
product and service development and
go-to-market planning.
Mapping busy hour traffic
across cellular and Wi-Fi
networks
The dimensioning of busy-hour traffic
is one of the most critical factors in
network-planning and deployment
strategy. Mobile operators build out
their networks in order to ensure that
the total available capacity is sufficient
to ensure the network is not over-
constrained and that an acceptable
quality of experience is offered for
customers during the periods of peak
consumption.
In order to develop a coherent Wi-Fi
offload strategy, operators must
understand busy-hour patterns and
periods of peak demand across both
cellular and Wi-Fi networks. Just as
earlier analyses of cellular traffic loads
highlighted different distributions of
voice and data traffic flows throughout
the day, there are similarly divergent
trends shown in the example of
smartphone-originated data traffic in
the UK both between cellular and Wi-Fi
networks and between weekdays and
weekends (see figs. 9 and 10). Most
interestingly, it is clearly demonstrated
that Wi-Fi usage during weekdays
is concentrated and peaks in the
evenings when customers return to
their Wi-Fi-enabled homes. Initial
analysis also suggests that Wi-Fi has
served to flatten peaks on the cellular
network resulting in a much more even
distribution of cellular traffic loads
throughout the day – a major network-
planning benefit for operators.
Data traffic is unevenly distributed
throughout the day, but there is even
greater variation in traffic distribution by
location. It is therefore imperative that
operators also crunch location-centric
traffic data on cellular and Wi-Fi networks
to pinpoint localized areas of peak-traffic
demand. Finally, once temporal and
spatial traffic distribution is understood
Fig. 8: WhatsApp service penetration by country, Jan-12
0
20
40
60
80
100
South KoreaUSFranceUKNetherlandsSpain
Applicationusersas%
oftotalcellularusersSource: Mobidia
7
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
and variations between cellular and
Wi-Fi networks have been identified,
operators must also seek to examine the
key applications that are driving peaks in
traffic across cellular and Wi-Fi networks.
This level of insight can help operators to
develop targeted offload strategies that
can seek to migrate traffic derived from
specific applications across their various
network assets to deliver it in the most
profitable manner.
Based upon today’s Wi-Fi traffic
distribution trends, Informa believes
that the migration, or offloading and
onloading, of traffic share between
cellular and Wi-Fi networks is primarily
driven by free Wi-Fi availability in
the home and the ease of device-led
automatic Wi-Fi network selection. This
implies that public offloading strategies
still require fine-tuning, not least because
the experience of discovering, selecting
and connecting to these networks falls far
short of users’ expectations.
Going forward, there are opportunities
to more proactively shift traffic flows
between networks based upon new
pricing models. Initially, the most
obvious opportunities could be to
introduce differentiated pricing for
time periods of cellular network under-
utilization, but location-centric pricing
and application-centric models will also
evolve in the future as operators build
more confidence about how, why and
when customers use their smartphones.
The ability for operators to be able
to use this data to pinpoint locations
and times of peak Wi-Fi demand can
also be used in more innovative ways.
For example, if a network operator is
able to know that a large portion of its
customers access Wi-Fi networks in
a specific shopping mall, the operator
could proactively engage with the venue
owner to build a stronger relationship
and work together to offer a wider
range of incentives and promotions to
use the locally-offered Wi-Fi access
points; for example, by offering
dedicated coupons or discounts to users
in the given location.
Understanding the impact of
SIM-swapping
The data captured by Mobidia has the
ability to identify each time a customer
swaps the SIM card within their
smartphone. The phenomenon of SIM-
swapping is driven by a number of factors,
but the primary motivation for using
multiple SIM cards is to take advantage
of inherent price differentials across
competing operators in domestic cellular
and roaming scenarios. According to
Informa Telecoms & Media data, there
are more than 6 billion active mobile
connections in circulation globally, but
just 4.2 billion individual users of mobile
services. This implies a ratio of 1.4 SIM
cards per active mobile user.
Within the sample base studied in
this report, there is evidence that
SIM-swapping is a well-developed
phenomenon, particularly in emerging
markets where users are typically
price-sensitive and where the largest
Fig. 9: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution by time of day
(weekday), Jan-12
Cellular Wi-Fi Total smartphone-originated traffic
Potential cellular
onload opportunity
Potential cellular
offload opportunity
Potential cellular
onload opportunity
%trafficdistributionbytimeofday
Time of day
0
2
4
6
8
10
23222120191817161514131211109876543210
Source: Mobidia
Fig. 10: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution by time of day
(weekend), Jan-12
Time of day
%trafficdistributionbytimeofday
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
23222120191817161514131211109876543210
Cellular Wi-Fi Total smartphone-originated traffic
Potential cellular
onload opportunity
Potential cellular
offload opportunity
Potential cellular
onload opportunity
Source: Mobidia
8
© 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com
opportunities for price arbitrage
are because of on-net and off-net
pricing. In markets such as Thailand
and Indonesia, around 25% of total
smartphone users are actively swapping
their SIM cards (see fig. 11). Given
that the sample data is likely to be
inherently weighted towards less price-
sensitive early adopters in emerging
markets due to the cost of entry into
the smartphone market, it is not
inconceivable that the numbers could
understate the overall prevalence of
SIM-swapping in emerging markets.
Operators have already lost visibility
of Wi-Fi and roaming data usage,
but the emergence of SIM-swapping
also threatens to reduce operators’
understanding of domestic cellular
data usage. There is already fierce
competition among operators to win
customers onto their network, but, in
active SIM-swapping markets, operators
must also compete to maximize
the share of spend across a single
individual’s multiple cellular accounts.
SIM-swapping is a source of revenue
leakage within an operator because
every time a user swaps the SIM card
in use, it effectively “leaks” potential
revenue to a competing operator.
It has heretofore been difficult for
operators to build the right propositions
to mitigate SIM-swapping tendencies
because of the inherent lack of full
transparency of the usage behavior of
SIM-swappers, but it can be expected
that, with a more complete picture of the
customers, operators will be able to build
more targeted promotions to effectively
“win back” share of total usage.
Conclusions
Mobidia’s data has demonstrated that
the total data demand from users is
far higher than previously articulated
by measurements based solely on a
cellular-centric view of smartphone
usage. The ratio of Wi-Fi to cellular
traffic varies significantly between
countries, but it is clear that Wi-Fi
is not only the primary form of data
connectivity for an important and
rapidly-growing class of smartphone
user. Wi-Fi usage can exceed cellular
by a ratio of more four to one.
Operators have traditionally enjoyed
complete visibility of customer behavior
for core voice and messaging services.
However, while investments into DPI
engines have helped improve the
understanding of cellular data usage,
Wi-Fi has been and remains a very
significant blind spot for the operators.
The emergence of device-centric
usage monitoring can now shed light
on this business-critical aspect of the
smartphone market.
According to an Informa Telecoms &
Media survey of operator executives,
data pricing has been identified as
the single most important strategy
to sustainably and profitably manage
data traffic growth. This strategy helps
operators to understand the growing
importance and application of yield-
management strategies designed
to squeeze maximum returns from
their investments into the networks
and devices that enable the mobile
data ecosystem. The transition from
unlimited data plans towards tiered
pricing and, in the future, towards more
value-centric pricing offers significant
revenue upside potential for mobile
operators, but, without a complete
insight into all aspects of smartphone
customer behavior, operators will
unlikely be able to capture the
maximum return from this billion-dollar
market opportunity.
Operators must invest into analytics
capabilities that offer such insights and,
more importantly, ensure that these
are shared and taken full advantage of
within all the relevant operator functions.
The trends identified in this paper will
resonate strongly in many important
parts of the operator business, including
strategy, marketing, network planning,
customer care and roaming teams.
Finally, it is important to conclude that,
while the value of this type of usage data
to operators has been articulated in many
ways and a number of recommendations
for actions outlined, it is clear that this
short report has only scratched the
surface in terms of highlighting the
significance of building a complete and
granular view of smartphone usage
behavior. It is inevitably an iterative
process to pivot the data in ways that can
enlighten the user and inform strategic
decision-making and – ultimately – to
make decisions that drive profit.
Fig. 11: Popularity of SIM-swapping, by country, Jan-12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Percentage of smartphone users that have used multiple SIM cards
U
S
Spain
U
K
N
etherlands
Italy
South
Africa
C
hina
India
Singapore
H
ong
Kong
Brazil
SaudiArabia
Indonesia
Thailand
%
Global average
Source: Mobidia
connect
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Understanding Todays smartphone User

  • 1. White Paper Understanding today’s smartphone user: Demystifying data usage trends on cellular &Wi-Fi networks Sponsored by
  • 2. Informa Telecoms & Media chose to participate in this report because we firmly believe the data shared by Mobidia contains valuable new insights into global smartphone usage trends. We consider the analysis that follows to take a significant step in advancing discussion in this area of critical interest to the telecoms and media industries. The emergence of on-device metering applications, such as Mobidia’s My Data Manager, has enabled the capture of data at levels of granularity that have not been possible until now. This report will shed new light on total smartphone-originated traffic demand and, critically, present a complete view of usage behavior trends across cellular networks in domestic and roaming scenarios and through Wi-Fi-based access. This is, to the best of our knowledge, the first time that a holistic view of user behavior across all three principal aspects of wireless access has been presented. Extracting the core value from data of this level of granularity is inevitably an iterative process and, by working in partnership with operators and other players such as Informa, Mobidia will continue to build upon the insights presented in this initial white paper to help unlock even more value for the industry. Informa strongly believes that the trends outlined within this report are of major relevance to readers and can be used to derive meaningful and robust insights into the evolving usage behavior of today’s smartphone user. It is important to note, however, that Informa has analyzed and interpreted the Mobidia-collated data used in this report with a sensitivity to and understanding of the specific methodology used to collect the data. The data is based solely upon active users of Mobidia’s My Data Manager application. As more than 600,000 users globally have downloaded the application and more than 30% of active users have agreed to share data with Mobidia on a strictly opt-in and anonymous basis, the sample represents a statistically significant and growing class of users that are data-usage-sensitive and savvy enough to use a dedicated application to monitor their daily data usage. This class of users does not necessarily represent today’s entire mass-market smartphone user base, but Informa believes this is a significant and growing proportion of the overall smartphone population. The sample collected refers only to smartphone users on the Android platform and does not include an analysis of users of other smartphone platforms, the users of which could display usage behavior that varies from those outlined in this report. Finally, the data refers to smartphone data usage during the month of January 2012 only and may therefore display some level of seasonal bias. Informa and Mobidia will happily provide, upon request, additional details on the methodology and underlying data used in this report. Thomas Wehmeier Principal Analyst | Telco Strategy thomas.wehmeier@informa.com @twehmeier 1 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com Foreword
  • 3. 2 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com The emergence of yield management strategies for data Smartphone adoption is the key enabler to unlocking the single largest revenue opportunity for mobile operators today. The provision of connectivity to mobile phone users in the form of monthly integrated or standalone data plans and prepaid top-ups generated more than US$110 billion in service revenues in 2011. Rising smartphone penetration rates and the successful attachment of data plans to those devices will grow the value of small-screen access revenues to operators to more than US$230 billion by 2016, according to Informa Telecoms & Media forecasts. Building small-screen access revenues into a US$100 billion annual market is already a considerable achievement, but today’s mobile data market is arguably still in the early stages of development. Indeed, Informa argues that mobile data pricing models prevalent in the market today lag years behind the advanced segmentation seen in the mobile voice market. Fulfilling the industry’s future growth potential by driving smartphone and data adoption into today’s untapped customer segments will require operators to build an in-depth understanding of all aspects of customer behavior to in order to deploy sustainable and profitable future pricing models. This includes the need to understand traffic demand by application, location and time of day as well as by the user’s preferred means of access technology. The transition away from unlimited data plans towards tiered pricing marks the first, but arguably the most important, step in the development of more advanced yield-management strategies designed to squeeze maximum returns from underlying demand for mobile data access. But this is just the first step in a long-term path towards more value-centric pricing. The operator community built mobile voice services into a US$630 billion market. This growth was underpinned by yield-management techniques, adapted from lessons learned in the airline and hotel industries, that have allowed operators to develop differential pricing models for voice calls based on differences in perceived user value, including peak and off-peak, on-net and off-net, friends & family and dynamic pricing. The implementation of more complex pricing propositions has largely been possible because of the extensive insights operators have been able to derive from the complete visibility they enjoyed of mobile voice usage patterns. The extent of cellular-based, smartphone-originated data demand is well understood. Numerous data points released by operators, vendors and other players have accurately measured average monthly cellular consumption on smartphones. This has typically placed average monthly data usage in the range of 100-500MB per month, depending on the country or the operator in question. It is now clear that these cellular-only numbers have significantly understated the true level of smartphone usage by excluding Wi-Fi-based usage from the numbers circulated within the industry. Informa’s analysis reveals that a cellular-only measurement of user demand can understate smartphone- originated traffic by a factor of several multiples in the world’s most advanced Wi-Fi markets. In the UK, data usage on cellular networks accounts for just 19% of the total smartphone-originated traffic (see fig. 3). Put another way, Wi-Fi traffic dwarfs cellular traffic in the UK by a factor of more than 4:1 in the sampled smartphone base. Operators are acutely aware that Wi-Fi usage is well entrenched within their customers’ day-to-day usage behavior, but the fragmentation of Wi-Fi hot-spot networks has rendered the accurate measurement of such usage effectively an impossible task. The implementation of network-centric analytical tools based upon deep-packet inspection engines means that a smartphone can be monitored as it moves around a cellular network, but, as soon as the smartphone connects to a Wi-Fi access point, it effectively “goes dark” and all subsequent usage becomes invisible to the operator. This paper will shed light on those dark spots and make a series Fig. 1: Active Wi-Fi users as a percentage of total smartphone users, selected countries, Jan-12 99 98 97 97 97 96 95 94 88 87 74 71 ActiveWi-Fiusersas% oftotalsmartphoneusers 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 India C hina Singapore U S France M alaysia C anada G erm any Spain U K H ong Kong N etherlands Source: Mobidia
  • 4. 3 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com of conclusions based upon new insights that can be derived from an holistic view of today’s smartphone user. For the first time, Informa and Mobidia are demystifying smartphone data usage across both cellular and Wi-Fi networks. Understanding the extent of Wi-Fi usage on smartphones The expansion of Wi-Fi into hundreds of millions of private homes and offices around the world, the deployment of more than one million public Wi-Fi hot spots by the end of 2011 and the growth of a vast and mature ecosystem built of thousands of devices has established Wi-Fi as the most heavily-used wireless technology in the world in terms of the volume of data transmitted. The low cost of integrating Wi-Fi chipsets has made it a must-have feature in every smartphone that comes to market and a rapidly-growing number of data-centric feature phones. That Wi-Fi is an integral form of smartphone connectivity is well understood, but the extent of active Wi-Fi adoption among smartphone users has remained uncertain. The data collected by Mobidia shows that Wi-Fi usage is close to ubiquity amongst the sampled smartphone users. In the developed markets, more than 90% of sampled smartphone users also use Wi-Fi as a means of data connectivity – in Hong Kong and the Netherlands, it is over 98% (see fig. 1). A wider examination of Wi-Fi adoption on a country-by-country basis highlights that this trend is truly global. Even in the major emerging markets of China and India, seven in 10 of the sampled users also use Wi-Fi to enable smartphone data usage (see fig. 1). While the smartphone users of these two markets are undoubtedly early adopters, it is clear that Wi-Fi will play a critical role in the lives of the smartphone generations of tomorrow in those markets. It is therefore no surprise that some of the world’s largest and most ambitious carrier deployments of public Wi-Fi networks are taking place in China, India, Brazil and other emerging markets. Just as important as understanding how many customers are using Wi-Fi, is knowing how much data those users are consuming. Within the sample user base under analysis, Wi-Fi is the primary form of connectivity for the overwhelming majority of users and it is apparent that Wi-Fi has become firmly entrenched in day-to- day usage. On a global basis, Wi-Fi accounted for more than two-thirds (70%) of all smartphone-originated data traffic within the sample base at the beginning of 2012 (see fig. 2). This leads to many important conclusions, but uppermost must be the recognition that operators do not enjoy anything close to complete visibility on the usage of key applications on smartphones by their customers. More positively, this Fig. 2: Global smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, Jan-12 Wi-Fi 69.6% Cellular 30.4% Source: Mobidia Fig. 3: Smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, selected countries, Jan-12 Cellular Wi-Fi Wi-Fi – cellular ratio Hong KongSingapore US Germany SpainUK 51.1% 48.9% 1x 1.7x 2.1x 4.3x 4.6x 4.6x 19.0% 81.0% 17.9% 82.1% 17.8% 82.2% 63.4% 36.6% 68.2% 31.8% Source: Mobidia
  • 5. 4 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com data implies that the total aggregated demand for data consumption on smartphones is vast and the potential addressable market for operators is bigger than previously estimated. Irrespective of the access technology used, each megabyte of data consumed represents an opportunity that can be turned into revenue with the right value proposition. As one would expect, there is wide variation in the distribution of smartphone-originated traffic across cellular and Wi-Fi networks, both across countries, but also across individual operators within those countries (see fig. 3). There are a variety of factors that have an impact on the share of traffic between Wi-Fi and cellular, but the most important are the level of development of Wi-Fi in terms of private and public hot-spot density, the maturity of carrier Wi-Fi strategies, the quality of experience on cellular networks and, finally, the pricing structure of mobile data services. In countries that benchmark high in terms of in-home Wi-Fi penetration and where mobile operators have highly-evolved carrier Wi-Fi strategies, cellular usage on smartphones is dwarfed by Wi-Fi. Interestingly, in markets such as Singapore and Japan, cellular usage represents a far higher proportion of total smartphone traffic, which is due in part to the build-out of world- leading, advanced mobile broadband infrastructure, but, more importantly, because of the prevalence of unlimited cellular data plans or generously-sized bundles at competitive prices. It is important not to generalize about country-level trends, because it is evident that there are subtle, but important differences in the share of traffic splits between different operators within a single market (see figs. 4 and 5). UK operator O2 and AT&T in the US, as the industry poster children of the so-called “capacity crunch era” of 2010 and 2011, have been two of the biggest proponents of driving Wi-Fi usage among their customers. The success of these strategies is evidenced by the fact that, in their respective markets, each operator ranks highest in terms of Wi-Fi as a percentage of overall smartphone data usage. Conversely, Sprint in the US and 3 UK have not promoted Wi-Fi to their customers, preferring instead to offer competitively-priced unlimited data plans on their cellular networks. The Mobidia data clearly reflects the resulting impact of these strategic decisions on smartphone usage behavior among their customers. There is no single right or wrong strategy when it comes to Wi-Fi, but operators must be alert to the trends across all forms of network options and must make informed, insight-led decisions based upon a deep understanding of customer trends and factors including their market position, network and spectrum holding and the overall composition of their customer base. Whatever the share of Wi-Fi, there can be no question that users place enormous value on Wi-Fi connectivity and that there is huge overall demand for data. Informa believes that, by analyzing these trends more deeply and making decisions using the right customer insights, operators have a major opportunity to monetize overall demand more effectively, either by capturing existing data traffic “share” Fig. 4: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, by operator, Jan-12 0 20 40 60 80 100 O2 UKOrange UKT-Mobile UKVodafone UK3 UK Datatraffic(%) Ratio 0 2 4 6 8 10 Wi-Fi Wi-Fi - cellular ratioCellular Source: Mobidia Fig. 5: US, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution, by operator, Jan-12 0 20 40 60 80 100 AT&TT-Mobile USAVerizon WirelessSprint Datatraffic(%) Wi-Fi - cellular ratio Ratio 0 2 4 6 8 10 Wi-FiCellular Source: Mobidia
  • 6. 5 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com from Wi-Fi and migrating this to cellular networks, by stimulating additional demand through new cellular pricing models or by finding innovative ways to monetize the demand for ubiquitous Wi-Fi access; for example, by offering a differentiated experience to free Wi-Fi. Smartphone-based application usage trends across cellular and Wi-Fi networks The usage behavior of smartphone users varies according to their choice of access network. By analyzing variations in application-level usage trends access technologies, it is apparent that today’s data-savvy customers are making deliberate and informed decisions about the applications they use, how much they use and for how long, depending on their current available forms of connectivity. The emergence of intuitive and easy- to-use connection-management clients on smartphones is enabling customers to control connection choices based principally upon the application to be used, the cost of access or their perceptions around the quality of network experience. In the UK, for example, high-bandwidth applications such as YouTube, iPlayer and other video and audio streaming services are most popular on Wi-Fi networks and are consumed at much greater intensity (see fig. 6). Other less bandwidth-intensive applications, such as Google Maps, e-mail or browsing, have similar levels of adoption across both cellular and Wi-Fi networks. But it is arguably in roaming scenarios, where the price of data access runs the risk of incurring extreme costs to the end user, that behavior is most radically different. Users are extremely cautious when roaming and typically will limit their usage on cellular networks to low-bandwidth, time-sensitive, mobile applications, such as e-mail, social networks or browsing and maps (see fig. 7). If operators are able to understand these subtle differences in usage across different access networks, they can use these insights to build more targeted propositions for their customers; for example, to build dedicated roaming plans around popular applications, such as an unlimited e-mail plan for roaming or a data bundle with inclusive zero- rated access to popular social networks. Crucially, it is apparent that, by analyzing data usage at this level of granularity, operators must be extremely cautious in controlling connection-management decisions centrally from the network. As has been argued here, the users are not only very capable of making their own decisions on preferred networks, but also demand the ability to retain that level of personalized control. There are circumstances where operator-selected connections decisions enforced from the network may be appropriate, but it is clear that operators must find the right balance between user-, device- and operator-controlled network selections. The “operator knows best” assumption is flawed. Operators should focus their efforts on proactively influencing and shaping customers’ decisions through their pricing, customer engagement and network-planning strategies, rather than arbitrarily imposing connectivity rules that may go against deeply- entrenched user behavior. A key part of Mobidia’s analytics proposition is the ability to examine service adoption trends at a micro- granular level. This can give the users of the data the ability to monitor the launch, adoption and usage of almost any new application across cellular and Wi-Fi networks. WhatsApp exploded onto the scene during the first half of 2011 when Dutch incumbent operator, KPN, directly Fig. 7: UK, service penetration of popular applications, by access technology of smartphone users, Jan-12 Application users whilst roaming as % of total roaming users Application users via Wi-Fi access as % of total Wi-Fi users Application users via cellular access as % of total cellular users 0 20 40 60 80 100 WhatsAppSkypeTwitterYouTubeFacebookGoogle Maps Penetration(%) Source: Mobidia Fig. 6: Top 5 smartphone applications by absolute traffic volumes (MB) in UK by access technology, Jan-12 Rank Cellular Wi-Fi Roaming 1 Browsing Browsing Browsing 2 Facebook app YouTube Facebook app 3 Tethering Video and audio streaming Google Maps 4 YouTube Downloads E-mail 5 Downloads iPlayer Tethering Source: Mobidia
  • 7. 6 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com attributed a material drop in its service revenues to the widespread adoption of the popular IP-based messaging service amongst its smartphone users. Ever since KPN flagged the threat of over- the-top (OTT) services to core revenue streams, the operator community has put its full force behind evaluating and, arguably, underplaying the risk to its businesses. But an analysis of WhatsApp penetration levels in various markets suggests that there could indeed be a strong risk of revenue attrition around the corner. The Dutch and Spanish markets have arguably felt the strongest impact from OTT players and this is spectacularly supported by the sheer extent of WhatsApp penetration amongst smartphone users in the sample originating from those markets. WhatsApp has surpassed the 90% level there (see fig. 8) and, although that is likely to be lower in terms of overall market penetration, the implication is unambiguous. In other major European markets and in the US, the rates of service adoption are at a much less advanced stage, but operators must still prepare themselves and develop proactive responses should adoption of OTT services like WhatsApp go viral and reach levels witnessed in markets such as Spain and the Netherlands. This level of insight into service adoption on smartphones and understanding how they are being used on different networks will be critical for the development of future pricing, service and partnership strategies within operators. Without knowing what is happening on Wi-Fi networks, operators are vulnerable to major blind spots in the prevailing usage trends among their highest-value customers. Indeed, without such full visibility, there is a risk that the usage that today resides on Wi-Fi networks could be migrated to under-prepared cellular networks by a sudden shift in pricing or a new service proposition. This type of insight has major relevance across the entire operator business, but an immediate value can be exploited by marketing and product teams to build targeted propositions and associated pricing structures with a greater degree of confidence about the expected impact on networks or the level of customer adoption. Informa also believes that data around application usage can be used to identify potential new partners that are reaching levels of critical mass adoption and, more importantly, to improve the negotiating position of operators when entering into potential partnership agreements with OTT players. Equally, insights into usage behavior can be used to underpin operators’ own product and service development and go-to-market planning. Mapping busy hour traffic across cellular and Wi-Fi networks The dimensioning of busy-hour traffic is one of the most critical factors in network-planning and deployment strategy. Mobile operators build out their networks in order to ensure that the total available capacity is sufficient to ensure the network is not over- constrained and that an acceptable quality of experience is offered for customers during the periods of peak consumption. In order to develop a coherent Wi-Fi offload strategy, operators must understand busy-hour patterns and periods of peak demand across both cellular and Wi-Fi networks. Just as earlier analyses of cellular traffic loads highlighted different distributions of voice and data traffic flows throughout the day, there are similarly divergent trends shown in the example of smartphone-originated data traffic in the UK both between cellular and Wi-Fi networks and between weekdays and weekends (see figs. 9 and 10). Most interestingly, it is clearly demonstrated that Wi-Fi usage during weekdays is concentrated and peaks in the evenings when customers return to their Wi-Fi-enabled homes. Initial analysis also suggests that Wi-Fi has served to flatten peaks on the cellular network resulting in a much more even distribution of cellular traffic loads throughout the day – a major network- planning benefit for operators. Data traffic is unevenly distributed throughout the day, but there is even greater variation in traffic distribution by location. It is therefore imperative that operators also crunch location-centric traffic data on cellular and Wi-Fi networks to pinpoint localized areas of peak-traffic demand. Finally, once temporal and spatial traffic distribution is understood Fig. 8: WhatsApp service penetration by country, Jan-12 0 20 40 60 80 100 South KoreaUSFranceUKNetherlandsSpain Applicationusersas% oftotalcellularusersSource: Mobidia
  • 8. 7 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com and variations between cellular and Wi-Fi networks have been identified, operators must also seek to examine the key applications that are driving peaks in traffic across cellular and Wi-Fi networks. This level of insight can help operators to develop targeted offload strategies that can seek to migrate traffic derived from specific applications across their various network assets to deliver it in the most profitable manner. Based upon today’s Wi-Fi traffic distribution trends, Informa believes that the migration, or offloading and onloading, of traffic share between cellular and Wi-Fi networks is primarily driven by free Wi-Fi availability in the home and the ease of device-led automatic Wi-Fi network selection. This implies that public offloading strategies still require fine-tuning, not least because the experience of discovering, selecting and connecting to these networks falls far short of users’ expectations. Going forward, there are opportunities to more proactively shift traffic flows between networks based upon new pricing models. Initially, the most obvious opportunities could be to introduce differentiated pricing for time periods of cellular network under- utilization, but location-centric pricing and application-centric models will also evolve in the future as operators build more confidence about how, why and when customers use their smartphones. The ability for operators to be able to use this data to pinpoint locations and times of peak Wi-Fi demand can also be used in more innovative ways. For example, if a network operator is able to know that a large portion of its customers access Wi-Fi networks in a specific shopping mall, the operator could proactively engage with the venue owner to build a stronger relationship and work together to offer a wider range of incentives and promotions to use the locally-offered Wi-Fi access points; for example, by offering dedicated coupons or discounts to users in the given location. Understanding the impact of SIM-swapping The data captured by Mobidia has the ability to identify each time a customer swaps the SIM card within their smartphone. The phenomenon of SIM- swapping is driven by a number of factors, but the primary motivation for using multiple SIM cards is to take advantage of inherent price differentials across competing operators in domestic cellular and roaming scenarios. According to Informa Telecoms & Media data, there are more than 6 billion active mobile connections in circulation globally, but just 4.2 billion individual users of mobile services. This implies a ratio of 1.4 SIM cards per active mobile user. Within the sample base studied in this report, there is evidence that SIM-swapping is a well-developed phenomenon, particularly in emerging markets where users are typically price-sensitive and where the largest Fig. 9: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution by time of day (weekday), Jan-12 Cellular Wi-Fi Total smartphone-originated traffic Potential cellular onload opportunity Potential cellular offload opportunity Potential cellular onload opportunity %trafficdistributionbytimeofday Time of day 0 2 4 6 8 10 23222120191817161514131211109876543210 Source: Mobidia Fig. 10: UK, smartphone-originated data traffic distribution by time of day (weekend), Jan-12 Time of day %trafficdistributionbytimeofday 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 23222120191817161514131211109876543210 Cellular Wi-Fi Total smartphone-originated traffic Potential cellular onload opportunity Potential cellular offload opportunity Potential cellular onload opportunity Source: Mobidia
  • 9. 8 © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com opportunities for price arbitrage are because of on-net and off-net pricing. In markets such as Thailand and Indonesia, around 25% of total smartphone users are actively swapping their SIM cards (see fig. 11). Given that the sample data is likely to be inherently weighted towards less price- sensitive early adopters in emerging markets due to the cost of entry into the smartphone market, it is not inconceivable that the numbers could understate the overall prevalence of SIM-swapping in emerging markets. Operators have already lost visibility of Wi-Fi and roaming data usage, but the emergence of SIM-swapping also threatens to reduce operators’ understanding of domestic cellular data usage. There is already fierce competition among operators to win customers onto their network, but, in active SIM-swapping markets, operators must also compete to maximize the share of spend across a single individual’s multiple cellular accounts. SIM-swapping is a source of revenue leakage within an operator because every time a user swaps the SIM card in use, it effectively “leaks” potential revenue to a competing operator. It has heretofore been difficult for operators to build the right propositions to mitigate SIM-swapping tendencies because of the inherent lack of full transparency of the usage behavior of SIM-swappers, but it can be expected that, with a more complete picture of the customers, operators will be able to build more targeted promotions to effectively “win back” share of total usage. Conclusions Mobidia’s data has demonstrated that the total data demand from users is far higher than previously articulated by measurements based solely on a cellular-centric view of smartphone usage. The ratio of Wi-Fi to cellular traffic varies significantly between countries, but it is clear that Wi-Fi is not only the primary form of data connectivity for an important and rapidly-growing class of smartphone user. Wi-Fi usage can exceed cellular by a ratio of more four to one. Operators have traditionally enjoyed complete visibility of customer behavior for core voice and messaging services. However, while investments into DPI engines have helped improve the understanding of cellular data usage, Wi-Fi has been and remains a very significant blind spot for the operators. The emergence of device-centric usage monitoring can now shed light on this business-critical aspect of the smartphone market. According to an Informa Telecoms & Media survey of operator executives, data pricing has been identified as the single most important strategy to sustainably and profitably manage data traffic growth. This strategy helps operators to understand the growing importance and application of yield- management strategies designed to squeeze maximum returns from their investments into the networks and devices that enable the mobile data ecosystem. The transition from unlimited data plans towards tiered pricing and, in the future, towards more value-centric pricing offers significant revenue upside potential for mobile operators, but, without a complete insight into all aspects of smartphone customer behavior, operators will unlikely be able to capture the maximum return from this billion-dollar market opportunity. Operators must invest into analytics capabilities that offer such insights and, more importantly, ensure that these are shared and taken full advantage of within all the relevant operator functions. The trends identified in this paper will resonate strongly in many important parts of the operator business, including strategy, marketing, network planning, customer care and roaming teams. Finally, it is important to conclude that, while the value of this type of usage data to operators has been articulated in many ways and a number of recommendations for actions outlined, it is clear that this short report has only scratched the surface in terms of highlighting the significance of building a complete and granular view of smartphone usage behavior. It is inevitably an iterative process to pivot the data in ways that can enlighten the user and inform strategic decision-making and – ultimately – to make decisions that drive profit. Fig. 11: Popularity of SIM-swapping, by country, Jan-12 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage of smartphone users that have used multiple SIM cards U S Spain U K N etherlands Italy South Africa C hina India Singapore H ong Kong Brazil SaudiArabia Indonesia Thailand % Global average Source: Mobidia
  • 10. connect Join us on LinkedIn: www.informatm.com/linkedin 24/7 access to business-critical insight, analysis and data www.informatandm.com/ic Follow us on Twitter: www.twitter.com/informatm Cutting edge information on all fixed line, cable and broadband markets www.informatandm.com/wbis Email us: marketing.enquiries@informa.com Keeping the world’s leading cellular organisations better informed www.informatandm.com/wcis Subscribe to our Connect email www.informatm.com/connect Model the business case of cellular data network investments www.informatandm.com/net ABOUT INFORMA TELECOMS & MEDIA Informa Telecoms & Media is the leading provider of business intelligence and strategic marketing solutions to global telecoms and media markets. Driven by constant first-hand contact with the industry, our 60 analysts and researchers produce a range of intelligence services including news and analytical products, in-depth market reports and datasets focused on technology, strategy and content. Informa Telecoms & Media – Head Office Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street London W1T 3JH, UK www.informatandm.com ABOUT MOBIDIA Mobidia develops software and solutions for enhancing mobile data networks. At the core of Mobidia's technology is a client- centric architecture that introduces network-edge intelligence to make mobile data networks more efficient, more profitable, and more usable. By leveraging the collective, distributed computing power of hundreds of millions of smartphones, Mobidia can enhance experiences for subscribers and lower costs and drive incremental revenue for mobile operators. Mobidia’s popular My Data Manager application has been downloaded by over 600K by subscribers around the world looking to better manage their mobile data usage and data plans. Mobidia offers a white-labeled version of the application to mobile operators for customizing, optimizing, and delivering a differentiated custom care, service promotion, and analytics solution. Mobidia is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia with local U.S., European and Hong Kong presence. For more information, visit www.mobidia.com or call 604-304-8640. © 2012 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com