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Frost & Sullivan Information and
Communication Technologies
Individual voices in Africa
Next billion mobile subscribers
Africa – the dark continent?
Africa – The Summary
Unified Comms:
2012 - $3 billion
2020 - $8 billion
Unified communications
hardware, software and
services spend
Contact Centres:
2012 - $3 billion
2020 - $10 billion
Contact centre and
BPO markets
Broadband
2012 - $12 billion
2020 - $30 billion
Bandwidth and
broadband spend
Cloud and Virtualisation:
2012 - $2 billion
2020 - $10 billion
Internal and external cloud spend
Mobile and Wireless :
2012 - $180 billion
2020 - $300 billion
Mobile and wireless telephony
spend
Data Centre:
2012 - $ 2 billion
2020 - $ 6 billion
Data Centre hardware and
services spend
Data Centre
Mobile & Wireless
BPO /
Contact Centres
Broadband
Communications
Cloud and
Virtualisation
Unified
Communications
ICT Major Opportunities
4
The penetration in the mobile broadband and internet
users is still in nascent phase
Fixed Telephone
Lines*
Mobile Cellular
Subscriptions*
Active mobile
broadband
subscriptions*
Internet users*
Fixed (wired)
broadband
subscriptions*
Households with
Internet access at
home*
Africa 1.4 53 3.8 12.8 0.2 5.7
The Americas 28.5 103.3 30.5 56.3 15.5 49.7
Asia and Pacific 13 73.9 10.7 27.2 6.2 24.9
Europe 39.1 119.5 54.1 74.4 25.8 72.2
Arab States 9.7 96.7 13.3 29.1 2.2 26.1
CIS 26.3 143 14.9 47.6 9.6 38.5
0
75
150
225
300
375
450
525
600
Numberof*per100inhabitants
Telecommunication Penetration in Africa vs. the World in 2011
Source: ITU
5
The Mobile broadband will be the key internet services growth driver in Africa, however this hinges on operator commitment to advanced technology
platforms. Fixed access services to be revived through convergence strategies
Mobile broadband is the key driver for growth into the
region
Stage of Development
AdoptionRate
Low
High
Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
Mobile
broadband
VoIP/mobile VoIP
Fixed
Broadband
Technology Adoption Trends (2011 to 2015)
Satellite DSL access
Ethernet
WiMAx
Microwave
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Bubble size represents adoption rates
Convergence
Technology Status
2014
M576-65
Wireless technology will
remain the primary driver
for telecommunications
services in Sub Saharan
Africa
Mobile Phone Subscriptions
• In 2010, African mobile penetration
is just less than 50 per cent
• That said, several countries have
reached saturation
• By 2020 we expect a 90 per cent
mobile penetration rate
By 2020, over 1 bn people are expected to invest in a
mobile device
80–100%
60–80%
40–60%
20–40%
<20%
Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2010
500 million
$80 billion investment in
networks
Low cost mobile phones
Value-added Services
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
1,170 million
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
South
Africa
50 milion
Angola
16.1
million
Nigeria
150 million
Senegal
10.5
million
Algeria
36 million
Libya
4.5
million
Egypt
76
million
Namibia
2.1 million
Mozambique
18.6 million
Tanzania
30.5 million
Kenya
32 million
Cameroon
13 million
Dem.
Republic
Congo
35
million
Uganda
23 million
Morocco
31.5 million
Sudan
34
million
Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2020
Ghana
23 million
Blackberry has the highest penetration in Africa and is
considered a status symbol in a number of countries
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
A number of local manufactured tablets are entering the
African market such as Inye and Wise Touch
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
With the increase of connectivity, data centres across
Africa is becoming paramount
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011
Data Centre Market, Africa, 2011
South Africa
$250 million
Kenya
$5 million
Tanzania
$3 million
Nigeria
$21 million
Ghana
$3 million
Uganda
$3 million
Data Centre Market, Africa, 2020
South Africa
$420 million
Kenya
$25 million
Tanzania
$12 million
Nigeria
$45 million
Ghana
$6 million
Uganda
$8 million
Expansion into new
regions
Virtualisation options
Lack of infrastructure is an
opportunity
$2 Billion $6 Billion
The changing eco system?
Communication Service Providers
Enterprises Consumers
System
Integrators/Internet
Service Providers
New players representing potential threats to telcos
Over-the-top Providers Application and Content
Providers
Public Entities
IBM
BCX
Didata
T-Systems
Skype
Google
Facebook
Amazon
DSTV
IBM
Webstorm
MWEB
EThekwini Municipality
Johannesburg City
Cape Town City
End-UsersServiceProvidersKeyPlayers

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GIL_2012_Africa_BU_Presentation_on_Mega_Trends_Africa_Telecoms_and_IT_by_Chantel_Lindeman

  • 1. Frost & Sullivan Information and Communication Technologies Individual voices in Africa Next billion mobile subscribers
  • 2. Africa – the dark continent?
  • 3. Africa – The Summary Unified Comms: 2012 - $3 billion 2020 - $8 billion Unified communications hardware, software and services spend Contact Centres: 2012 - $3 billion 2020 - $10 billion Contact centre and BPO markets Broadband 2012 - $12 billion 2020 - $30 billion Bandwidth and broadband spend Cloud and Virtualisation: 2012 - $2 billion 2020 - $10 billion Internal and external cloud spend Mobile and Wireless : 2012 - $180 billion 2020 - $300 billion Mobile and wireless telephony spend Data Centre: 2012 - $ 2 billion 2020 - $ 6 billion Data Centre hardware and services spend Data Centre Mobile & Wireless BPO / Contact Centres Broadband Communications Cloud and Virtualisation Unified Communications ICT Major Opportunities
  • 4. 4 The penetration in the mobile broadband and internet users is still in nascent phase Fixed Telephone Lines* Mobile Cellular Subscriptions* Active mobile broadband subscriptions* Internet users* Fixed (wired) broadband subscriptions* Households with Internet access at home* Africa 1.4 53 3.8 12.8 0.2 5.7 The Americas 28.5 103.3 30.5 56.3 15.5 49.7 Asia and Pacific 13 73.9 10.7 27.2 6.2 24.9 Europe 39.1 119.5 54.1 74.4 25.8 72.2 Arab States 9.7 96.7 13.3 29.1 2.2 26.1 CIS 26.3 143 14.9 47.6 9.6 38.5 0 75 150 225 300 375 450 525 600 Numberof*per100inhabitants Telecommunication Penetration in Africa vs. the World in 2011 Source: ITU
  • 5. 5 The Mobile broadband will be the key internet services growth driver in Africa, however this hinges on operator commitment to advanced technology platforms. Fixed access services to be revived through convergence strategies Mobile broadband is the key driver for growth into the region Stage of Development AdoptionRate Low High Introduction Growth Maturity Decline Mobile broadband VoIP/mobile VoIP Fixed Broadband Technology Adoption Trends (2011 to 2015) Satellite DSL access Ethernet WiMAx Microwave Source: Frost & Sullivan Bubble size represents adoption rates Convergence Technology Status 2014 M576-65 Wireless technology will remain the primary driver for telecommunications services in Sub Saharan Africa
  • 6. Mobile Phone Subscriptions • In 2010, African mobile penetration is just less than 50 per cent • That said, several countries have reached saturation • By 2020 we expect a 90 per cent mobile penetration rate By 2020, over 1 bn people are expected to invest in a mobile device 80–100% 60–80% 40–60% 20–40% <20% Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2010 500 million $80 billion investment in networks Low cost mobile phones Value-added Services Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011 1,170 million Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011 South Africa 50 milion Angola 16.1 million Nigeria 150 million Senegal 10.5 million Algeria 36 million Libya 4.5 million Egypt 76 million Namibia 2.1 million Mozambique 18.6 million Tanzania 30.5 million Kenya 32 million Cameroon 13 million Dem. Republic Congo 35 million Uganda 23 million Morocco 31.5 million Sudan 34 million Mobile Telephony Penetration Rate, Africa, 2020 Ghana 23 million
  • 7. Blackberry has the highest penetration in Africa and is considered a status symbol in a number of countries Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
  • 8. A number of local manufactured tablets are entering the African market such as Inye and Wise Touch Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
  • 9. With the increase of connectivity, data centres across Africa is becoming paramount Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2011 Data Centre Market, Africa, 2011 South Africa $250 million Kenya $5 million Tanzania $3 million Nigeria $21 million Ghana $3 million Uganda $3 million Data Centre Market, Africa, 2020 South Africa $420 million Kenya $25 million Tanzania $12 million Nigeria $45 million Ghana $6 million Uganda $8 million Expansion into new regions Virtualisation options Lack of infrastructure is an opportunity $2 Billion $6 Billion
  • 10. The changing eco system? Communication Service Providers Enterprises Consumers System Integrators/Internet Service Providers New players representing potential threats to telcos Over-the-top Providers Application and Content Providers Public Entities IBM BCX Didata T-Systems Skype Google Facebook Amazon DSTV IBM Webstorm MWEB EThekwini Municipality Johannesburg City Cape Town City End-UsersServiceProvidersKeyPlayers