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Regular Agenda #7
Comprehensive Plan – 5 Year Review
Existing Conditions Report
Existing Conditions Assessment
• Locational Context & the Land
• Demographics
• Economic Development
• Existing Land Use
• Public Facilities, Infrastructure &
Services

• Transportation
Plan Monitoring and Progress
• Annual Progress Report
(P&Z to Council)
• 5-year Evaluation Report
• Thorough Plan update
at least every 10 years
• Ongoing community outreach
and engagement
5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal
Report
 Existing Conditions Report
• Evaluation and Appraisal Report
• Scope included in the Comp Plan

• Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z
• Public Involvement
• Joint P&Z / Council Task Force
• Anticipated Completion May/June 2014
Planning Assumptions
• Projected 2030 population = 134,000
• Projected Texas A&M enrollment cap =
50,000 students
• Fastest growing age group =
50 and older
100K

• Student population continues to
grow, but their share of population is
declining (less than 50% today versus 60%
in 1990).
• % of 2000-08 platted lots in ETJ = 18%
Demographics
2.47%

Current Population: 99,889

(based on COs issued through November 30, 2013)

Average growth rate 2003 to current: 2.47%

(with current 2013 estimates)
Demographics
• Increase in percentage of senior population
(aged 65 and over)
• TAMU - Fall 2013 saw a 4% increase in first time
student enrollment, with an overall increase of
7% in total enrollment (53,786 record
enrollment)

• Fall 2013 - CSISD enrollment up 5.5%
Economic Development
• Major Employers College Station-Bryan MSA:
– TAMU
– CSISD / BISD
– Reynolds & Reynolds
– City of College Station
– Sanderson Farms
– St. Joseph Regional Hospital
• Over 51% of College Station residents have a
college degree
Economic Development
• Unemployment rate is 6.1%, lower than both the
Texas and National rate
• Employment growing in the College StationBryan MSA at an average rate of 1.3% over the
past 10 years
Land Use
Land Use
- 49% of land area designated for residential uses,
approximately 33% of land developed as residential
• 9% of land area designated for commercial uses,
approximately 6% of land developed as residential
Platting Activity:
- From 2000-2010 over 9,000 lots platted (18% in
ETJ)
- From 2010-2013 over 1,700 lots platted (7.5% in
ETJ)
Public Facilities
• Police:
– 133,538 police incidents in 2012
– Major crime offenses down 19% from 2011
– Arrests down 4% from 2011

• Fire:
– 6,800 calls for service in 2012
– 5.5 minute response time achieved 87% of the
time
Public Facilities
Parks & Recreation:
- 57 parks totaling 1,356 acres of park land
- 13.59 acres of parkland per 1000 residents

Utilities:
- CSU serves more than 36,000 customers
Transportation
• 525 miles of existing and planned streets in the
City and ETJ
• 156 miles of existing sidewalks
• 44 miles of striped bike lanes
Changing Assumptions
• 2010 Census – 93,857
2010

• Current Estimate – 99,889
• Texas A&M enrollment cap no longer
exists – 53,672 Fall 2013

• 4% increase in new enrollment – Fall
2013
• College of Engineering’s 25 by 25 Plan

• CSISD Fall 2013 5.5% growth
Projected Population Growth
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000

0

High Growth (6.08%)

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

103,388 109,674 116,342 123,415 130,919 138,879 147,323 156,280 165,782 175,861 186,554 197,896 209,928

Medium Growth (3.06%) 100,447 103,524 106,695 109,963 113,331 116,802 120,380 124,067 127,868 131,784 135,821 139,981 144,268
Low Growth (1.28%)
98,710 99,973 101,253 102,549 103,861 105,191 106,537 107,901 109,282 110,681 112,098 113,532 114,986
High growth 2000-2001
Low growth 2009-2010

124,000+ by 2020
Next Steps
•
•
•
•
•

Form Council Subcommittee (Jan)
Focus group meetings (Jan/Feb)
P&Z & Council Subcommittee meetings
Evaluation & Appraisal Report
Public hearings & anticipated completion
May/June 2014

www.cstx.gov/compplan
5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal
Report
 Existing Conditions Report
• Evaluation and Appraisal Report
• Scope included in the Comp Plan

• Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z
• Public Involvement
• Joint P&Z / Council Task Force
• Anticipated Completion May/June 2014

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Comp Plan 2013 Existing Conditions Report

  • 1. Regular Agenda #7 Comprehensive Plan – 5 Year Review Existing Conditions Report
  • 2. Existing Conditions Assessment • Locational Context & the Land • Demographics • Economic Development • Existing Land Use • Public Facilities, Infrastructure & Services • Transportation
  • 3. Plan Monitoring and Progress • Annual Progress Report (P&Z to Council) • 5-year Evaluation Report • Thorough Plan update at least every 10 years • Ongoing community outreach and engagement
  • 4. 5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal Report  Existing Conditions Report • Evaluation and Appraisal Report • Scope included in the Comp Plan • Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z • Public Involvement • Joint P&Z / Council Task Force • Anticipated Completion May/June 2014
  • 5. Planning Assumptions • Projected 2030 population = 134,000 • Projected Texas A&M enrollment cap = 50,000 students • Fastest growing age group = 50 and older 100K • Student population continues to grow, but their share of population is declining (less than 50% today versus 60% in 1990). • % of 2000-08 platted lots in ETJ = 18%
  • 6. Demographics 2.47% Current Population: 99,889 (based on COs issued through November 30, 2013) Average growth rate 2003 to current: 2.47% (with current 2013 estimates)
  • 7. Demographics • Increase in percentage of senior population (aged 65 and over) • TAMU - Fall 2013 saw a 4% increase in first time student enrollment, with an overall increase of 7% in total enrollment (53,786 record enrollment) • Fall 2013 - CSISD enrollment up 5.5%
  • 8. Economic Development • Major Employers College Station-Bryan MSA: – TAMU – CSISD / BISD – Reynolds & Reynolds – City of College Station – Sanderson Farms – St. Joseph Regional Hospital • Over 51% of College Station residents have a college degree
  • 9. Economic Development • Unemployment rate is 6.1%, lower than both the Texas and National rate • Employment growing in the College StationBryan MSA at an average rate of 1.3% over the past 10 years
  • 10. Land Use Land Use - 49% of land area designated for residential uses, approximately 33% of land developed as residential • 9% of land area designated for commercial uses, approximately 6% of land developed as residential Platting Activity: - From 2000-2010 over 9,000 lots platted (18% in ETJ) - From 2010-2013 over 1,700 lots platted (7.5% in ETJ)
  • 11.
  • 12. Public Facilities • Police: – 133,538 police incidents in 2012 – Major crime offenses down 19% from 2011 – Arrests down 4% from 2011 • Fire: – 6,800 calls for service in 2012 – 5.5 minute response time achieved 87% of the time
  • 13. Public Facilities Parks & Recreation: - 57 parks totaling 1,356 acres of park land - 13.59 acres of parkland per 1000 residents Utilities: - CSU serves more than 36,000 customers
  • 14. Transportation • 525 miles of existing and planned streets in the City and ETJ • 156 miles of existing sidewalks • 44 miles of striped bike lanes
  • 15. Changing Assumptions • 2010 Census – 93,857 2010 • Current Estimate – 99,889 • Texas A&M enrollment cap no longer exists – 53,672 Fall 2013 • 4% increase in new enrollment – Fall 2013 • College of Engineering’s 25 by 25 Plan • CSISD Fall 2013 5.5% growth
  • 16. Projected Population Growth 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 High Growth (6.08%) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 103,388 109,674 116,342 123,415 130,919 138,879 147,323 156,280 165,782 175,861 186,554 197,896 209,928 Medium Growth (3.06%) 100,447 103,524 106,695 109,963 113,331 116,802 120,380 124,067 127,868 131,784 135,821 139,981 144,268 Low Growth (1.28%) 98,710 99,973 101,253 102,549 103,861 105,191 106,537 107,901 109,282 110,681 112,098 113,532 114,986 High growth 2000-2001 Low growth 2009-2010 124,000+ by 2020
  • 17. Next Steps • • • • • Form Council Subcommittee (Jan) Focus group meetings (Jan/Feb) P&Z & Council Subcommittee meetings Evaluation & Appraisal Report Public hearings & anticipated completion May/June 2014 www.cstx.gov/compplan
  • 18. 5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal Report  Existing Conditions Report • Evaluation and Appraisal Report • Scope included in the Comp Plan • Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z • Public Involvement • Joint P&Z / Council Task Force • Anticipated Completion May/June 2014