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My.ComMetrics.com
ComMetrics

  Session 14: Warren Buffett to the rescue – analyse, decide...

                       http://www.slideshare.net/ComMetricsUniversity
                        Latest version can be found here just before class
  Presented by

                       http://www.YouTube/ComMetrics
                           ComMetrics – videos


                            http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=134
                                      social media trends 2011

                            http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=176
                                      ComMetrics blog checklist
  Urs E. Gattiker , Ph.D.

 2008_06_16
ComMetrics
  _Example – Amazon – leverage your
    process


  #1            Expand into new business areas
  Challenge


  Strategy:     Find business areas that benefit from core
                  competencies – logistics, etc.




                                                                        2011_01_19

  >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
ComMetrics
  _Example – Amazon – leverage your
    process


  #1            Expand into new business areas
  Challenge


  Strategy:     Find business areas that benefit from core
                  competencies – logistics, etc.

  Solution:     Allow others to sell on your platform



                                                                        2011_01_19

  >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
ComMetrics
  _Example – Amazon – leverage your
    process




  Solution:     Sell food like Coop or Migros online
                http://commetrics.com/?p=9114


  - 2 min video
  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2BntYZ9sBgY (German)

  -Amazon taking on Aldi, Lidl, Tesco and Migros besides Coop
   What could be the problem
                                                                        2011_01_19

  >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
ComMetrics
  _3 Why it matters – today„s 3 nuggets




  1 Why does Berkshire Hathaway„s shares trade at a discount?

  2 Does Warren Buffett know something we do not?

  3 Is continuous improvement important - how does creativity and
    hard work help?




                                                                       2011_01_19

  _Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Purpose


  What is this all about?




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction _Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What about process management?


  Definition in textbook?
  Does the textbook define process management, process innovation,
  etc.?
    How are process innovation, project management, etc.
    defined in other MBA courses/modules?

   How does process management, investment, project management
      and so forth relate to
      innovation?

  What is your company„s approach to process innovation and project
  management?
          (please bring document to class)
  ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::                               2011_01_19

  >Introduction _Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _From Purpose to HowTo


  How do we put this into practice?




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Assigned readings – Topic 14




  - we choose a student to moderate the discussion – you can
  volunteer yourself for today or for tomorrow


  - please have your notes ready – all students

  - Chosen reading is:



  - Baxter
                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Look at the process with the
  outsourcer - DHL


  - offering too many products can be very costly

  - Cutting too much will upset some consumers
  - Lego = girls

  - Manage partnerships with customers AND
     suppliers requires trust .... Manage in
     strategic and proactive way

                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Look at the process, search
    find and manage risks


  - 1.5 liter plastic bottle weighs 63gr
  - new bottle weights 48gr


  - Get buy in for the issue
  - Put the team together
  - Overcome obstacles
  - 14 months to discover the process
  - introduce in market – Russia big enough but
        not as bad as if things go wrong in BRD, US
                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Do modern management techniquest improve
  productivity?


  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/d5933396-ed2b-11df-8cc9-00144feab49a.html

  A field test with Accenture... and researchers - what a surprise this is!

  Get draft paper 48 pages pdf:
  http://www.stanford.edu/~nbloom/DMM.pdf




                                                                              2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What does Warren Buffett do?


  The oracle of Omaha – If I do not understand the process (e.g. 1999
  during the Internet boom), I cannot invest in such a business




                                                                        2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What does Warren Buffett do?

  http://www.cnbc.com/id/40198762


  http://howto.commetrics.com/?p=152 (released Jan. 25, 2011)




  Why does the stock market discount the value of Berkshire
    Hathaway – and has so for years




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What does Warren Buffett do?


  50-year maturity bonds – can we predict that far into
     the future
  Is this sound investment?

  What is the margin of error here?




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What does Warren Buffett do?


  Shareholder report
  http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html


  He talked about independence of directors in 2002
  already

  ==> if your income from directorships is too high....
  e.g., 50% or higher, you are not a truly independent
  director




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _What does Warren Buffett do?
  Reading Economist – Governance – Session 9 Infos we discussed:


  - “...our findings cast doubt on whether regulatory changes that
  increase shareholder activism and monitoring by outside directors will
  be effective in reducing the consequences of future economic crises.“

  - Corporate insiders want to protect their jobs (hide the bad news)
  while “... independent directors have an incentive to avoid the
  reputational cost of a bankruptcy by pressuring firms to raise equity
  capital.” (raise equity in markets).

  ==> so if they sit on too many boards, they become too dependent on
  that income --- according to Buffett
  http://www.accountingtoday.com/news/Independent-Board-Members-Played-Role-Financial-Woes-55972-1.html
  See complete research paper – http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1397685

                                                                                                          2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _3 assigned readings – Topic 14


  - we choose a student to moderate the discussion – you can
  volunteer yourself for today or for tomorrow

  - please have your notes ready – all students


  - chosen reading is:



  - could your data management approach result into value that an be
  leveraged in your business = data driven management
                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Tools & Tips – using iPhone, Facebook and your privacy

  - What can we do to use these gadgets while making sure we are
  protecting our privacy as well as those of ou clients/friends?

  - Is this a risk issue? What about compliance?




                                                                       2011_01_18

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Tools versus privacy




  > Foursquare – Facebook Geo-Apps
  Karsten – Sender
  2 associates – did he ask them first
  before sending out this tweet

  1 - http://twitter.com/kfuellhaas/status/22599443537

  2   - http://foursquare.com/venue/571920



                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Tools versus privacy




  See also Sessions 8 & 9 risks, mindlessly sharing (9 = steps to do with data)

  Do you have a smartphone?

  Do you use Facebook
  If you have a smartphone, use Facebook your privacy has been
  breached....
  Here is how you can fix it.



                                                                                  2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Decision time – analyzing the process

  - What can an organization do better?




                                                                       2011_01_18

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Student Case – Angelo Ramella


  Sechs Social-Media-Flops.pdf
  Umfrage_ Social Media in Unternehmen
  Social Media kein Thema bei Schweizer Chefs


  -We will related this to Sessions 3, 4 and 10 (see also Research
  Metholdogy e-book)




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Student Case – challenge at work


  - student presents – class discusses




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Google watches – then moves




  #1            Expand into new business areas
  Challenge

  Strategy:     Find business areas that benefit from core
                  competencies – logistics, etc.



                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Google watches – then moves




  #1            Google is entering the
  Challenge      market


  Strategy:     18 months after Google announced it open its online
                   eBookstore on 2010-12-06 Monday with 500„000
                   books (NYT best seller list included) and
                   3 mio free books



                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _Google watches – then moves




  Solution             all 6 major US publishers signed on,
                         Google contracts based on publishers„ existing terms
                         of sale... = larger share of revenue from sales usually
                         going to the publisher


  http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/40536192/ns/technology_and_science-tech_and_gadgets/

                                                                                     2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _ Google watches –
     then moves




  Solution      All books accessible from Google„s eBooks Web
                  reader from mobile phones, PCs or dedicated e-
                  book readers (compatible with 80 e-reading devices)



                                                                        2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _ Google watches –
     then moves




  Users„ ‚books„ all stored on Google„s ‚cloud„ of remote servers, as
  with its Gmail and Picasa photo services.

  Software remembers where a reader left off, even if it was on a diff.
  device.


  Bookstores can also use Google„s system to sell books.
                                                                          2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _3 Why it matters – today„s 3 nuggets




  1 Why does Berkshire Hathaway„s shares trade at a discount?

  2 Does Warrent Buffett know something we do not?

  3 Is continuous improvement important - how could creativity and
    hard work help?




                                                                       2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision _Conclusions
ComMetrics
  _One more thing



  Where does Amazon fit in the cube
   (upper right)?
  Where does Google fit with Google
    ebookstore


  -Download survey data - p. 13
  -http://www.consline.com/pressemeldungen/-/blogs/lebensmittel-online-kaufen-amazon-enttauscht-andere-

  angebote-bleiben-in-der-nische?_33_redirect=/pressemeldungen




                                                                                                          2011_01_19

  >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision _Conclusions
My.ComMetrics.com
ComMetrics

  Session 14: Warren Buffett to the rescue – analyse, decide...



  Presented by       http://My.ComMetrics.com (free registration)
                          http://ComMetrics.com (blog)

                                                            Roentgenstrasse 49     Street
                       http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=134
                            social media trends 2011         CH-8005 Zuerich   Zip Code

                                                                    Switzerland   Country
                       http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=176
                            ComMetrics blog checklist
                                                             +41(0)44 272 1876      Voice

                                                              +41(0)76 200 7778 Cell
                                                            info@CyTRAP.eu Google Talk
  Urs E. Gattiker , Ph.D.
                                                           www.ComMetrics.com URL
 2008_06_16

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Understand the process before starting to innovate - Warren Buffett to the rescue

  • 1. My.ComMetrics.com ComMetrics Session 14: Warren Buffett to the rescue – analyse, decide... http://www.slideshare.net/ComMetricsUniversity Latest version can be found here just before class Presented by http://www.YouTube/ComMetrics ComMetrics – videos http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=134 social media trends 2011 http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=176 ComMetrics blog checklist Urs E. Gattiker , Ph.D. 2008_06_16
  • 2. ComMetrics _Example – Amazon – leverage your process #1 Expand into new business areas Challenge Strategy: Find business areas that benefit from core competencies – logistics, etc. 2011_01_19 >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
  • 3. ComMetrics _Example – Amazon – leverage your process #1 Expand into new business areas Challenge Strategy: Find business areas that benefit from core competencies – logistics, etc. Solution: Allow others to sell on your platform 2011_01_19 >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
  • 4. ComMetrics _Example – Amazon – leverage your process Solution: Sell food like Coop or Migros online http://commetrics.com/?p=9114 - 2 min video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2BntYZ9sBgY (German) -Amazon taking on Aldi, Lidl, Tesco and Migros besides Coop What could be the problem 2011_01_19 >Introduction _Purpose >How to >Decision >Conclusions >Tools & Tips
  • 5. ComMetrics _3 Why it matters – today„s 3 nuggets 1 Why does Berkshire Hathaway„s shares trade at a discount? 2 Does Warren Buffett know something we do not? 3 Is continuous improvement important - how does creativity and hard work help? 2011_01_19 _Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 6. ComMetrics _Purpose What is this all about? 2011_01_19 >Introduction _Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 7. ComMetrics _What about process management? Definition in textbook? Does the textbook define process management, process innovation, etc.? How are process innovation, project management, etc. defined in other MBA courses/modules? How does process management, investment, project management and so forth relate to innovation? What is your company„s approach to process innovation and project management? (please bring document to class) :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 2011_01_19 >Introduction _Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 8. ComMetrics _From Purpose to HowTo How do we put this into practice? 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 9. ComMetrics _Assigned readings – Topic 14 - we choose a student to moderate the discussion – you can volunteer yourself for today or for tomorrow - please have your notes ready – all students - Chosen reading is: - Baxter 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 10. ComMetrics _Look at the process with the outsourcer - DHL - offering too many products can be very costly - Cutting too much will upset some consumers - Lego = girls - Manage partnerships with customers AND suppliers requires trust .... Manage in strategic and proactive way 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 11. ComMetrics _Look at the process, search find and manage risks - 1.5 liter plastic bottle weighs 63gr - new bottle weights 48gr - Get buy in for the issue - Put the team together - Overcome obstacles - 14 months to discover the process - introduce in market – Russia big enough but not as bad as if things go wrong in BRD, US 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 12. ComMetrics _Do modern management techniquest improve productivity? http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/d5933396-ed2b-11df-8cc9-00144feab49a.html A field test with Accenture... and researchers - what a surprise this is! Get draft paper 48 pages pdf: http://www.stanford.edu/~nbloom/DMM.pdf 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 13. ComMetrics _What does Warren Buffett do? The oracle of Omaha – If I do not understand the process (e.g. 1999 during the Internet boom), I cannot invest in such a business 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 14. ComMetrics _What does Warren Buffett do? http://www.cnbc.com/id/40198762 http://howto.commetrics.com/?p=152 (released Jan. 25, 2011) Why does the stock market discount the value of Berkshire Hathaway – and has so for years 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 15. ComMetrics _What does Warren Buffett do? 50-year maturity bonds – can we predict that far into the future Is this sound investment? What is the margin of error here? 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 16. ComMetrics _What does Warren Buffett do? Shareholder report http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html He talked about independence of directors in 2002 already ==> if your income from directorships is too high.... e.g., 50% or higher, you are not a truly independent director 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 17. ComMetrics _What does Warren Buffett do? Reading Economist – Governance – Session 9 Infos we discussed: - “...our findings cast doubt on whether regulatory changes that increase shareholder activism and monitoring by outside directors will be effective in reducing the consequences of future economic crises.“ - Corporate insiders want to protect their jobs (hide the bad news) while “... independent directors have an incentive to avoid the reputational cost of a bankruptcy by pressuring firms to raise equity capital.” (raise equity in markets). ==> so if they sit on too many boards, they become too dependent on that income --- according to Buffett http://www.accountingtoday.com/news/Independent-Board-Members-Played-Role-Financial-Woes-55972-1.html See complete research paper – http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1397685 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 18. ComMetrics _3 assigned readings – Topic 14 - we choose a student to moderate the discussion – you can volunteer yourself for today or for tomorrow - please have your notes ready – all students - chosen reading is: - could your data management approach result into value that an be leveraged in your business = data driven management 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose _HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 19. ComMetrics _Tools & Tips – using iPhone, Facebook and your privacy - What can we do to use these gadgets while making sure we are protecting our privacy as well as those of ou clients/friends? - Is this a risk issue? What about compliance? 2011_01_18 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 20. ComMetrics _Tools versus privacy > Foursquare – Facebook Geo-Apps Karsten – Sender 2 associates – did he ask them first before sending out this tweet 1 - http://twitter.com/kfuellhaas/status/22599443537 2 - http://foursquare.com/venue/571920 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 21. ComMetrics _Tools versus privacy See also Sessions 8 & 9 risks, mindlessly sharing (9 = steps to do with data) Do you have a smartphone? Do you use Facebook If you have a smartphone, use Facebook your privacy has been breached.... Here is how you can fix it. 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 22. ComMetrics _Decision time – analyzing the process - What can an organization do better? 2011_01_18 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo _Tools & Tips >Decision >Conclusions
  • 23. ComMetrics _Student Case – Angelo Ramella Sechs Social-Media-Flops.pdf Umfrage_ Social Media in Unternehmen Social Media kein Thema bei Schweizer Chefs -We will related this to Sessions 3, 4 and 10 (see also Research Metholdogy e-book) 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 24. ComMetrics _Student Case – challenge at work - student presents – class discusses 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 25. ComMetrics _Google watches – then moves #1 Expand into new business areas Challenge Strategy: Find business areas that benefit from core competencies – logistics, etc. 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 26. ComMetrics _Google watches – then moves #1 Google is entering the Challenge market Strategy: 18 months after Google announced it open its online eBookstore on 2010-12-06 Monday with 500„000 books (NYT best seller list included) and 3 mio free books 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 27. ComMetrics _Google watches – then moves Solution all 6 major US publishers signed on, Google contracts based on publishers„ existing terms of sale... = larger share of revenue from sales usually going to the publisher http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/40536192/ns/technology_and_science-tech_and_gadgets/ 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 28. ComMetrics _ Google watches – then moves Solution All books accessible from Google„s eBooks Web reader from mobile phones, PCs or dedicated e- book readers (compatible with 80 e-reading devices) 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 29. ComMetrics _ Google watches – then moves Users„ ‚books„ all stored on Google„s ‚cloud„ of remote servers, as with its Gmail and Picasa photo services. Software remembers where a reader left off, even if it was on a diff. device. Bookstores can also use Google„s system to sell books. 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips _Decision >Conclusions
  • 30. ComMetrics _3 Why it matters – today„s 3 nuggets 1 Why does Berkshire Hathaway„s shares trade at a discount? 2 Does Warrent Buffett know something we do not? 3 Is continuous improvement important - how could creativity and hard work help? 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision _Conclusions
  • 31. ComMetrics _One more thing Where does Amazon fit in the cube (upper right)? Where does Google fit with Google ebookstore -Download survey data - p. 13 -http://www.consline.com/pressemeldungen/-/blogs/lebensmittel-online-kaufen-amazon-enttauscht-andere- angebote-bleiben-in-der-nische?_33_redirect=/pressemeldungen 2011_01_19 >Introduction >Purpose >HowTo >Tools & Tips >Decision _Conclusions
  • 32. My.ComMetrics.com ComMetrics Session 14: Warren Buffett to the rescue – analyse, decide... Presented by http://My.ComMetrics.com (free registration) http://ComMetrics.com (blog) Roentgenstrasse 49 Street http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=134 social media trends 2011 CH-8005 Zuerich Zip Code Switzerland Country http://info.cytrap.eu/?p=176 ComMetrics blog checklist +41(0)44 272 1876 Voice +41(0)76 200 7778 Cell info@CyTRAP.eu Google Talk Urs E. Gattiker , Ph.D. www.ComMetrics.com URL 2008_06_16