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Corochanne コロちゃんぬ
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「私がサッカーを見るときは絶対日本が勝つんだよね」みたいな信じがたい発言から始まる「条件付き確率」の導入です。
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条件付き確率
1.
条件付き確率
2.
「私がサッカーを見るときは 絶対日本が勝つんだよね」 Aさん
3.
実際に調べてみると… 勝ち 負け 計 見た
2 1 3 見てない 12 5 17 計 14 6 20
4.
勝ち 負け 計 見た
2 1 3 見てない 12 5 17 計 14 6 20 ★日本代表の勝率… ★Aさんが見たときの 日本代表の勝率…
5.
事象Aが起こったときに事象Bが起こる 確率(条件付き確率) Aが起こった ときに… Bが起こった!
6.
A…Aさんが日本代表の試合を見る B…日本代表が勝つ 勝ち 負け 計 見た
2 1 3 見てない 12 5 17 計 14 6 20 練習
7.
A…Aさんが日本代表の試合を見る B…日本代表が勝つ 勝ち 負け 計 見た
2 1 3 見てない 12 5 17 計 14 6 20 練習 ※約分すると 1/7
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