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Dynamic Capabilities: Contemporary Triggers, Classical Antecedents, and Implications for the Theory of the Firm and Strategic Management
1. DYNAMIC CAPABILITIES: Contemporary Triggers,
Classical Antecedents, & Implications for the
Theory of the Firm & Strategic Management
Professor David J. Teece
Tusher Center for Intellectual Capital Management
Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley
*Slides partially based on:
1. D.J. TEECE, “TOWARD A CAPABILITY THEORY OF (INNOVATING) FIRMS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MANAGEMENT AND
POLICY”, CAMBRIDGE JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2017 1 OF 28
2. D. TEECE, M. PETERAF, S. LEIH, “DYNAMIC CAPABILITIES & ORGANIZATIONAL AGILITY: RISK, UNCERTAINTY, &
STRATEGY IN THE INNOVATION ECONOMY”, CALIFORNIA MANAGEMENT REVIEW, VOL.58, NO.54 (SUMMER 2016)..
Copyright D.Teece 2017
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2. I. THE NEED FOR A CAPABILITIES
PERSPECTIVE: Empirical
“irregularities” & incantations from
Nobel Laureates & others
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3. Heraldic pronouncement from esteemed
Prof. John Sutton, London School of
Economics
“The proximate cause [of differences in the wealth of nations]
lies, for the most part, in the capabilities of firms”
(Sutton, 2012: 8)
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4. Copyright D.Teece 2017
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
75th Percentile
25th Percentile
Top and Bottom Profit Margin Percentiles
Source: Compustat
Notes:
• Profit margin is defined as EBIT divided by
revenue
• The sample was restricted to firms with $100
million in revenues in at least one of the years
between 1965 and 2014
• Revenue field was considered missing
whenever it was zero or negative
• Industries were defined using manual grouping
by the 2-digit SIC code. Quartiles were
calculated across all industries
• Only years with the minimum number of 20
companies were considered
• Industries included: Multiple
• Annual data derived from the financial
statements of active and inactive North
American publicly traded companies. The
sample was restricted to companies with $100
million in revenues in at least one of the years
between 1965 and 2014
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
1965
1968
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
Source: Compustat
Notes:
• Fraction of 3 largest firms in each industry (in terms
of revenue) which are also in the top (75th)
probability percentile across all industries
• The sample was restricted to firms with $100 million
in revenues in at least one of the years between
1965 and 2014
• Profit margin is defined as EBIT divided by revenue.
Revenue field was considered missing whenever it
was zero or negative
• Industries were defined using manual grouping by the
2-digit SIC code. Quartiles were calculated across all
industries
• Only years with the minimum number of 20
companies were considered
• Industries included: multiple
• R-squared= 22.73%
Largest firms which are also profitability leaders: Is
there increasing liability associated with dominance?
6. Economists can no longer claim to
analyze income inequality issues while
relying on black-box models of the firm
Wage differences are larger between companies than within
them (e.g., Barth et al., 2016; Abowd, McKinney and Zhao,
2017)
Over two-thirds of the increase in earnings inequality from
1981-2013 can be accounted for by the rising variance of
earnings between firms
Inter-firm wage inequality has become greater and more
persistent as firms increasingly sort themselves into a small
number of knowledge-intensive companies and a larger pool of
relatively labor-intensive firms.
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7. The capability to innovate and change is the
very essence of capitalism, but it is deeply
underplayed in modern economic theory
As Nelson (1981) explains, the very essence of capitalism—in
fact, the very advantage of a private enterprise economy over
a planned one—is that, with private enterprise, firms
innovate, compete, sometimes disrupt each other, and
sometimes cooperate
Nelson is surely right; so theories of the firm that do not put
innovation and change center stage are not in tune with the
essence of our economy or the fundamental managerial
challenges of our time
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8. Even a federal judge has keen insights into
business firms consistent with the strategic
management perspective
A “producer may be the survivor out of active competitors,
merely by virtue of his superior skill, foresight and industry"
(148 F.2d 416 (2d Cir. 1945) at 571).
-Judge Learned Hand
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9. Certain Nobel Laureate economists
express deep concern about the
current state of academic research
“Year after year economic theorists continue to produce
scores of mathematical models and to explore in great
detail their formal properties ... without being able to
advance, in any perceptible way a systematic understanding
of the structure and the operations of a real economic
system.” (Wassily Leontief, 1982: 107)
“Economics as currently presented in textbooks and taught
in the classroom does not have much to do with business
management”, which has “severely damaged both the
business community and the academic discipline… it is time
to re-engage the severely impoverished field of economics
with the economy” (Ronald Coase, 2012)
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10. Nobel Laureate Ronald Coase (1988) also pointed out that:
It is not enough for a theory of the firm to merely explain
firm boundaries
A proper theory of the firm needs to explain why firms
develop capabilities and have different (heterogeneous)
costs
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Coase & capabilities theory
11. Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen highlights
capabilities
Grapples with capabilities, but his focus is on what can be called
ordinary capabilities, in contrast to the dynamic capabilities that
are the main focus here
Capability framework is articulated more at the level of the
individual, not that of the organization
Capabilities are seen as the fulcrum for leveraging tangible
resources into human achievement
Recognized that individuals can differ greatly in their abilities to
convert a given set of resources into outputs
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12. Paul Romer’s Critique:
Economics is suffering from “a general failure mode of a
scientific field that relies on mathematical theory”,
which includes “disregard for and disinterest in ideas,
opinions, and work of experts who are not part of the
group” (Romer, forthcoming: 7)
Romer’s criticism of the pursuit of (false) rigor over
relevance is just as relevant to micro- as to
macroeconomics
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14. Alfred Marshall (the founder of modern
microeconomics) recognized that management
matters
In Principles, Marshall (1920) recognizes the role of
management in determining enterprise performance
Managers fall into those “who open up new and improved
methods of business and those who follow beaten tracks.”
Managers, or “businessmen”, “adventure” or “undertake” the
risks (and uncertainties) of business. They bring together
capital and labor, conduct planning, and superintend to minor
details
The manager is “the natural leader of men” (Book IV, Chapter
XII, p.173). Marshall notes that good managers are hard to
find, and that management skills tend to atrophy
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15. Marshall, continued
Despite his use of the representative firm assumption, Marshall
saw firms as being different from one another. He also
recognized the need for an evolutionary/capability approach to
economics, noting:
“We shall need ever more to think of economic forces as
resembling those which make a young man grow in
strength, till he reaches his prime; after which he gradually
becomes stiff and inactive, till at last he sinks to make
room for other and more vigorous life”
Marshall’s reference to “strength” is aligned with capabilities
and evolutionary notions of firm innovation & change
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16. Frank Knight (1921) hinted at the
need for dynamic capabilities theory
of the firm
“With uncertainty present, doing things, the actual execution of
activity becomes in a real sense a secondary part of life; the
primary problem or function is deciding what to do and how to do
it” (Knight, 1921:268)
Interpretation: Making the right investments is critical while
optimizing current activities for efficiency is less important.
However, if investments are irreversible, there are potential
problems
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17. Lord Keynes (1936) with his appeal to
"animal spirits” was perhaps searching
for a theory of (dynamic) capabilities?
Keynes was keenly aware of the importance of firm-level investment
decisions and long-term investor expectations for macroeconomic theory
Invoked “animal spirits” not to signal irrational behavior but to help explain
investment decisions under uncertainty. Investing requires some kind of “leap
of faith” because of the fog of ambiguity around financial outcomes
Keynes noted: waiting too long for the future to unfold will often cripple
decision making
“Most, probably, of our decisions to do something positive, the full
consequences of which will be drawn out over many days to come, can only
be taken as a result of animal spirits—of a spontaneous urge to action rather
than inaction, and not as the outcome of a weighted average of quantitative
benefits multiplied by probabilities... Thus if the animal spirits are dimmed
and the spontaneous optimism falters, .... enterprise will fade and die.”
-Keynes, 1936, p.161
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18. Animal spirits foreshadowed “dynamic
capabilities”
The Keynesian concept of animal spirits is very consistent with
dynamic capabilities and knowledge-based theories of the firm
“Animal spirits”—an ability to envision a positive business
outcome requiring an astute investment path under uncertainty
—and is consistent with strong dynamic capabilities
Weaker firms and management teams are indecisive, devoid of
dynamic capabilities, and wait too long for greater certainty
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19. Lord Keynes & Jeff Bezos (Amazon) see
eye-to-eye
Keynes stressed that if human nature felt no temptation to
take a chance and investment had to rely on cold calculation,
there might not be much investment
Likewise, Jeff Bezos, the CEO/founder of Amazon, noted:
“there are decisions that can be made by analysis … Unfortunately,
there’s this whole other set of decisions that you can’t ultimately boil
down to a math problem” (Deutschman, 2004, p. 57)
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Other notable economists:
Joseph Schumpeter Belittled managers as mere, “superintendents”
Edith Penrose (1959);
George Richardson
(1972)
Penrose described the relation between a firm’s resources and its
production of final products. Richardson (p.188) further
developed the idea, positioning capabilities, which he defined as
the firm’s “knowledge, experience and skills,” as the driver of,
and constraint on, the activities of the firm
Harold Demsetz (1976) Demsetz pointed to the “inherent capabilities of producers”
(p.373) as a possible socially benign explanation for large market
shares.
John G. Matsusaka Capabilities defined as “the combined marketing, distribution,
and development skills of top and middle management”
John Sutton
(2002, 2012)
Has equated “capabilities” more narrowly with the ability to
enhance product quality and reduce cost (2002). Highlights the
ability (what can be classified as a dynamic capability) of
managers to select promising markets (2012)
22. Industry Analysis: The direct
contribution of orthodox industrial
economics
Mike Porter (and Dick Caves) turned standard industrial
organization theory on its head to build (a largely static)
framework for competitive advantage. Porter’s 5 forces was a
good industry level framework
Porter’s Framework did not help the analyst figure out,
however, the characteristics of “good” firms
The framework has evolved little since its introduction and has
serious shortcomings, having imported many of the weaknesses
of the structuralist paradigm from economics upon which it was
built
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23. Resources: A contribution of heterodox
industrial economics
Resources are the tangible and intangible assets, broadly defined,
that the firm can develop and effectively control.
Resources, include the skills of the firm’s employees, its equipment,
and the collective skills of the organization, generate streams of
services that the firm can deploy
As theorized by Penrose (1959) a firm at any point in time is likely to
have underemployed resources, including management skills
A firm with excess resources will only sometimes find it profitable to
monetize those services via product diversification (Teece, 1980a,
1982)
However, the resource based model (Rumelt, Wernerfelt, Barney, &
Amit), has a core assumption that resources are “inalienable” in the
sense that they are tied to the firm
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24. Dynamic Capabilities Builds on/Accepts Resource
Based View. However:
While the resource view is strategic, it is static
Each element of VRIN can change over time:
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Resource-Based Concept Commentary
V= Valuable
R= Rare
I= Imperfectly immitable
N= Non-substitutable
Bottlenecks can migrate up and down the value
chain, horizontally and laterally, e.g. valued
Computerland’s retail footprint in the 80’s & 90’s
was destroyed by Dell’s direct-to-customer business
model
Patents can expire, products can be reverse
engineered
New substitutes are being invented constantly, e.g.
margarine for butter; electric cars for internal
combustion engine cars
25. How resources are built, coordinated and managed is
at least as important to competitive success and
survival as the identity of the resources themselves
Capabilities such as asset orchestration and market
creation (or co-creation) are vital to profitable
“resource” management (Pitelis and Teece, 2010)
Whereas the resource based framework can explain
competitive advantage for the moment, it cannot
explain it over time because it ignores uncertainty
Yet, dynamic capabilities requires managers to
understand VRIN ideas: the frameworks are
complements, not substitutes
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Observations on the resource-based
approach
“DYNAMIC CAPABILITIES: THE RESOURCE BASED APPROACH
ON WHEELS & WITH AN ENGINE”
26. IV. The critically of the distinction
between risks & uncertainty for
understanding modern
management frameworks
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Alternative futures with known
probabilities & known conditional
probabilities
Pr(DIA)
Pr(CIB)
Risk
C D E F
prB
Pr(FIB)
Pr(CIA)
prA
Strategic Management requires
distinguishing between risk and
uncertainty
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Strategic Management requires
distinguishing between risk and
uncertainty
F1
F?
F?
F?
F?
F?
F? F?
F2
F3
F4
F?
F?
F?
F?
Uncertainty
Don’t know most futures or their probabilities with (unknown
unknowns with probabilities)
F 1-4 are possible futures
F? are undefined futures
F?
29. Chess v. Mixed Martial Arts (MMA). MMA is a
good metaphor for competition under
uncertainty in the innovation economy
Chess
Each move is knowable (closed world). The better player almost
always wins. A large but finite number of moves and counter moves.
If the player (e.g. a computer) has unlimited computational powers,
chess is a trivial game as Von Neumann and Morgenstern once
observed
MMA
Not a closed world… rules more permissive. Striking, grappling,
boxing, kickboxing, Brazilian Jujitsu, Judo, and wresting are all
widely employed
29
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30. The lack of predictability and deep uncertainty in MMA is not unlike
todays interdependent innovation economy.
Existing “rules” of competition are being changed
Entirely new “rules” are invented (e.g. cloud computing;
Amazon Prime, internet of things)
New players constantly emerging (e.g. mobile money, start-
ups versus the banks)
To succeed in this world, managers need to be entrepreneurs,
and entrepreneurs need to be (or find) managers too (e.g. Brin
and Page found Schmidt to be CEO of Google).
30
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There exists a premium to
entrepreneurial management when there
is deep uncertainty
32. Strong “ordinary” (or normal)
Capabilities: Requires resources to be
used efficiently
There is little attention to the validity of fundamental of resource
allocation decisions
Operations, administration and governance are ordinary capabilities
Routines / standard operating procedures are key to ordinary
capabilities
Ordinary capabilities reflect technical efficiency
Diffusion of ordinary capabilities to rivals is enabled by
More information in the public domain
Better business school training
Management consultants
“Best practices” logic connected to strong ordinary capabilities
Admittedly, not everyone gets the simple stuff right
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33. Best practices don’t suffice
There is no benefit at being very good at delivering the
“wrong” products
Best practices alone are generally insufficient to ensure a
firm’s success and survival, except in weak competitive
environments (which are still ubiquitous in less-developed
countries).
Much of the knowledge behind ordinary capabilities can be
secured through consultants or through a modest investment
in training (Bloom et al., 2013).
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Being a top performer in productivity is unlikely to
lead to competitive advantages because it only takes
a few firms at the frontier to drive prices down to
competitive levels
34. From ordinary to dynamic capabilities in
autos
Ordinary: The operations portion of the automobile business
has been thoroughly optimized over many decades, doesn’t
vary much from one automobile company to another, and can be
managed with a focus on repetitive process. It requires little in
the way of creativity, vision or imagination. Almost all car
companies do this very well, and there is little or no
competitive advantage to be gained by “trying even harder”
in procurement, manufacturing or wholesale
Dynamic: Where the real work of making a car company
successful suddenly turns complex, and where the winners are
separated from the losers, is in the long-cycle product
development process, where short-term day-to-day metrics and
the tabulation of results are meaningless.
-Bob Lutz, former vice chairman at General Motors, Wall Street Journal, June11, 2011
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Deep uncertainty (turbulent
environments) require strong dynamic
capabilities:
With stable environments ordinary capabilities are good enough
& the VRIN criterion provides meaningful guidance
36. Sensing
Identification of
opportunities &
threats at home
and abroad
Transforming
Continuous renewal
and periodic major
strategic shifts
Seizing
Mobilization of
resources to
deliver value and
shape markets
36
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Dynamic capabilities can be thought of
as falling in three categories:
37. The ability to foresee future
opportunities and threats… what
Jack Welsh (CEO of GE) once referred
to as the ability to “see around the
corners”
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Sensing is the ability to see around
corners
38. Sensing & Black Swans
Alert businesses can “discover” the future
ahead of the competition
The future is bound to surprise us, but we
don’t have to be dumbfounded
-Kenneth Boulding
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39. “Intellect has little to do on the road to discovery. There
comes a leap in consciousness, call it intuition or what you
will, and the solution comes to you, and you don’t know how
or why.”
Albert Einstein
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Sensing is akin to discovery of the truth
40. Explanations are developed for surprising or
anomalous behavior/phenomenon
Induction & deduction depend on the past
Abductive reasoning moves ahead through
“logical leaps of the mind” and uses all
available data in a search for patterns
Once an abductive hypothesis is established,
data is searched to test the hypothesis,
which in turn spurs original thinking
Not used to determine if something is true or
false, but to indicate a new path to “deep
truth” about a phenomenon or a situation
Good sensing benefits from “abductive”
reasoning as a way to help sense the
future
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Logical Implications of Abductive
Reasoning
If an investment option has a deductive logic, then the options
can only ever reflect thinking that started with a proven
template
If an option has an inductive logic, then “new” options simply
follow an established template
Neither inductive or deductive logic allow one to find
fundamentally new knowledge. Abduction digs deeper and
helps create new knowledge
Management must suppress a tendency to apply known rules;
Abductive reasoning is the handmaiden of sensing
42. Other tools to improve sensing
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• Sometimes sensing is enabled by internal R&D activities
(“search activities”) and internal scenario planning and other
tools to probe the future
• Internal R&D can be complemented (but not displaced) by
crowd-sourcing ideas, or by tapping into ideas of customers
(Von Hippel), supplies and/or other partners
The challenge is to develop a valid hypotheses
about what is going on in the market
43. Seizing/Asset Orchestration is also core to
dynamic capabilities
“Apple still has strong growth
opportunities because of its ability to
work simultaneously on hardware,
software and services… Apple has the
ability to innovate in all three of these
spheres and create magic… This isn’t
something you can just write a check
for. This is something you build over
decades.”
-Tim Cook, Apple CEO (Taipei Times, February 2013)
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Fig 5: Leadership Undergirding Dynamic Capabilities
Source: Krupp, Steven and Paul J.H. Schoemaker, Winning the Long Game: How Strategic Leaders
Shape the Future, Public Affairs/Perseus, 2014.
Asset orchestration requires many skills
45. Transformation/Renewal
Transformation issues reside between two extremes:
On one side it is frictionless organizational world of
mainstream microeconomic theory, in which production
technologies can be swapped modified
At the other end of the spectrum lies path dependence,
captured by the organizational ecology view that some
kind of organizational inertia (irreversibility) prevents
most firms from changing in response to existential
strategic threats
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46. Ken Arrow noted:
in cases where a commitment is costless reversible,
uncertainty poses no problem for the firm (Arrow, 1973)
There would be no need to peer into the future because, if
today’s plan proves unprofitable, the firm can try something
different tomorrow without penalty
There would be no path dependence, and strategic renewal
would be a straightforward affair
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Irreversibilities: Nobel Laureate Ken
Arrow’s insight
47. Commitment & Irreversibilities:
Implications
Irreversibility are not, however, simply a design or production
challenge flowing from past purchases of physical capital
Past commitments to strategic plans also create strategic
inflexibilities. These situations are qualitatively different
from irreversible physical capital and should be analyzed
separately
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48. Organizational structures, culture, and dynamics create a
different- and probably more significant irreversibility
Dorothy Leonard-Barton (1992) noted that the source of a
company’s strength can become a “core rigidity” that inhibits
its development
It is often harder to repurpose an organization than to
repurpose a technology. The latter is often little more than
writing a check; the former requires organizational
reengineering
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Organizational structure & culture
49. Figuring out how to manage/improve the
agility/efficiency tradeoff is a hallmark of
strong dynamic capabilities
Agility is the capacity of an organization to efficiently and
effectively redeploys / redirects resources to value creating and
value protecting activities as internal and external
circumstances warrant
Agility is costly to maintain and need not always be desirable
(when constructing Shinto Temples, change is undesirable)
“The ability to calibrate the requirements for change and to
effectuate the necessary adjustments would appear to depend
on the ability to scan the environment, to evaluate markets and
competitors, and to quickly accomplish reconfiguration and
transformation ahead of competition” (Teece, Pisano, and
Shuen, 1997:521)
49
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50. Dynamically capable firms have more than agility and more than
ambidexterity
Too often, agility is defined as the ability to do commonplace
things faster and cheaper. If that’s what one means by agility, it
is more akin to ordinary (rather than dynamic) capabilities
When agility refers to a reduction in the time required to reach
best practices, it is simply an incantation for Six Sigma, Value
Engineering, or other efficiency initiatives
Those may be necessary for the organization to become more
efficient; but they are only secondarily related to conferring
evolutionary fitness
What matters most is management’s ability to redeploy physical,
financial, and human assets to new and better commercial
avenues
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Dynamic capabilities emphasizes a special
kind of agility
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The Tradeoff between Efficiency and
Agility is different in Organizations with
Strong/Weak Dynamic Capabilities
52. The prioritization of ordinary
capabilities can weaken dynamic
capabilities & vice-versa
As Benner and Tushman (2003) elegantly stated it as follows:
“Activities focused on measurable efficiency and variance reduction
drive out variance-increasing activities and, thus, affect an
organization's ability to innovate and adapt outside of existing
trajectories ... Core capabilities may become core rigidities” (Benner
and Tushman, 2003: 242)
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53. Capability/efficiency choices at Pepsi
53
“I had a choice. I could have gone pedal to the metal, stripped
out costs, delivered strong profit for a few years, and then said
adios. But that wouldn’t have yielded long term success. So I
articulated a strategy to the board focusing on the portfolio we
needed to build, the muscles we needed to strengthen, the
capabilities to develop…we started to implement that strategy,
and we have achieved great shareholder value while
strengthening the company for the long term.”
Indra Nooyi and Adi Ignatius, “How Indra Nooyi Turned Design Thinking
Into Strategy: An Interview with PepsiCo's CEO,” Harvard Business Review
(September 2015).
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54. Transformation is about redeploying
financial, physical, and human resources to
effectuate organizational change
What’s needed is some kind of dynamic optimization, rather
than the static optimization. Lou Gerstner, IBM’s former
(turnaround) CEO put it this way:
“In anything other than a protected industry, longevity is the capacity
to change ... If you could take a snapshot of the values and processes
of most companies 50 years ago—and did the same with a surviving
company in 2014—you would say it’s a different company other than,
perhaps, its name and maybe its purpose and maybe its industry. The
leadership that really counts is the leadership that keeps a company
changing in an incremental, continuous fashion. It’s constantly
focusing on the outside, on what’s going on in the marketplace,
what’s changing there, noticing what competitors are doing.”
(Davis and Dickson, 2014: 125).
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55. Transforming Examples: Scaling v.
product mix
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TR1
TR2
P 1
P 2
Transforming Scenarios (TR1, TR2)
Q1 Q2 Q3
SZ1
SZ2
SZ3
Input 1
Input 2
P
56. • Strategic “fit” over the long run
(evolutionary fitness)
• Sensing, seizing, shaping and
transforming
• Difficult ; inimitable
• Technical efficiency in basic
business functions
• Operational, administrative,
and governance
• Relatively easy; imitable
Ordinary
Capabilities
Dynamic
Capabilities
Doing things “right” Doing the “right” things
Dynamic Vs. Ordinary US Dynamic Capabilities
Purpose
Tripartite
schemes
Imitability
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Purpose
58. Congruence (with strategy & capabilities)
is important, and general systems theory
alerted us to this 50 years ago
Systems theory views organizations as social systems existing in
different environments with units that must be associated if the
organization is to be effective (Churchman, 1968)
The underlying logic was later redeveloped into a pragmatic
model of organizational alignment by Nadler and Tushman
The Nadler-Tushman framework might be lacking some critical
components. A business model, for example, defines the
architecture of a business, specifying the value proposition to the
customer and how the delivery of value is to be monetized
(Teece, 2014). Is missing from their framework
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EVEN IF ALL INTERNAL COMPONENTS FIT WELL TOGETHER,
THE ORGANIZATION MAY FAIL IF IT DOESN’T FIT WHAT THE
MARKET REQUIRE AND ITS BUSINESS MODEL IS MISSPECIFIED
59. Strategy is complementary to dynamic
capabilities
“A good strategy is a ‘specific’ and ‘coherent’ response to—and approach for
overcoming—the obstacles to progress.”
“A bad strategy is a list of blue sky goals or a fluff-and-buzzword infected ‘vision’
everybody is supposed to share.”
- Strategy Kernel (Rumelt, 2009)
Diagnosis Guiding policy Coherent action
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60. While they are analytically distinct
concepts, strategy and capabilities are,
in practice, closely related
Sensing is important to dynamic capabilities but also contains a
strong element of diagnosis, which is important to strategy
Seizing needs to be connected to both a guiding policy and
coherent action; and transforming that is value protecting and
enhancing requires a guiding policy and coherent action.
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61. Dynamic capabilities & strategy
Put differently, the managerial orchestration that is core to
enhancing processes and exploiting positions must be guided
and informed by strategy- and vice-versa. Strategy needs to be
aligned with capabilities
Dynamic capabilities guide decisions such as which products to
make and which customers to target. Strategy helps to
determine the timing of market entry and how to keep
competitors at bay
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62. “Resources” (number & tonnage of warships) isn’t
decisive: Stalemate at the Battle of Jutland where
strategy was absent
The British Navy at the
Battle of Jutland, 1916
“There seems to be
something wrong with our
bloody ships today.”
Admiral John Jellicoe
“The real deficiency, however, was the
loss of [Vice Admiral Horatio Lord]
Nelson’s touch. It was not the bloody
ships that were principally at fault. It
was the inadequate doctrine of
command and control.”
Frank Hoffman, “What we can learn from Jackie Fisher,”
Proceedings of the Naval Institute, April 2004, p. 70.
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63. Aligning agility & strategy – The Battle of Trafalgar
63
Copyright D.Teece 2017
65. Closing capability “gaps”
Capability gaps are of at least three kinds:
Technology gaps
Market gaps
Business model gaps
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66. Recognizing capability gaps isn’t
straight forward
The first challenge is to understand the location and
magnitude of capabilities deficiencies
Often it is only after an organization tries to do
something (and fails) that the gap is apparent. The
early phase of a project looks okay because there are
typically few outcomes metrics to evaluate
Later on, problem begin to crop up, the senior team
gets more and more involved, and the goal slips further
away
Ad hoc “solutions” are attempted and failed. Only then
is there general recognition of a capability gap
Copyright D.Teece 2017 66
67. There may or may not be a resource gap
behind an identified capability gap
Resources are not capabilities
There may be budgets and people assigned to a project
(resources) but, if employee capabilities are not strong,
performance failure is likely
Building capabilities is hard; the silver lining is that, once built,
they are then difficult for others to imitate
Put differently, the absence of a market for capabilities means
that benefits can flow from entrepreneurial and managerial
activity that builds and hones value-creating capabilities
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68. Organizational instincts tend to
compel the exaggeration of current
capabilities
The search for capability gaps begins by examining the match
between a proposed business model and the firm’s existing
capabilities
An analysis of existing capabilities needs an objective point of
view that is detailed and realistic
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69. What is critical are abilities to:
Recognize what capabilities are needed
Develop them quickly, efficiently and effectively. This itself is
a dynamic capability (Feiler and Teece, 2014)
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70. Market Distance
Business Model Distance
Technological Distance
Target state relative to current “O”
O
Current state
Capability gaps & the transformation challenge
71. VII. Dynamic capabilities & competing
approaches to the theory of the
firm
Copyright D.Teece 2017 71
72. The evolution of strategic management & “research based”
thinking
5 Forces
-industry
attractiveness is
the central
focus
-Entry barriers
critical
-Shielding from
competitors is the
game changer
RBV
-VRIN assets
drive value
creation
- 4 VRIN
traits necessary to
sustain advantage
“Isolating
mechanisms”are
central
Dynamic
Capabilities
-Asset orchestration
& strategy help
drive advantage
-Reshaping
ecosystems & biz
models is critical
Decision making
under deep
uncertainty
Identifying &
bridging capability
gaps
1980s 1990s 2000+
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72
Deep
Uncertainty
Risk
Planning
-1-5 year
budgets
- Risk control
-Market forecasts
-Limited
competitive
analysis
1960s
73. A taxonomy of relevant theories
There are at least three classes of (economic) theories of the
firm:
1. Production functions perspective
2. Incomplete contracts and agency
3. Knowledge and capabilities. Dynamic capabilities belongs
to this class
It is also recognized by some observers that both economic and
strategic management perspectives are needed for a robust
theory of the firm
As Oliver Williamson (1999, p. 1106) observed, the two
approaches (transaction costs and capabilities) are “both rival
and complementary… more the latter than the former”
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74. Congruence theory developed out of
General Systems Theory
Congruence is the idea that certain things work best with certain other
things, and that failure is all but guaranteed when elements of a system
are mismatched. Russell Ackoff puts it this way:
“Suppose you could build a dream car that included the styling of a Jaguar, the
power plant of a Porsche, the suspension of a BMW, and the interior of a Rolls
Royce. Put them together and what have you got? Nothing. They weren’t
designed to go together. They don’t fit. The same is true of organizations.”
(Mercer Delta Consulting, 2004:7)
Systems theory views organizations as social systems existing in different
environments with units that myst be associated if the organization is to
be effective (Churchman, 1968)
The underlying logic was later redeveloped into a pragmatic model of
organizational alignment by Nadler and Tushman
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75. Brings Knightian uncertainty, Marshallian evolution, Penrosean
resources, Schumpeterian creative destruction, Keynesian
“animal spirits,” and Coase-Williamsonian transaction costs
and Boulding’s (1956) General Systems Theory together
It can potentially explain not only why firms exist, but also
their scope and potential for growth and sustained
profitability in competitive markets riddled with deep
uncertainty
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The dynamic capabilities framework
as General Systems Theory Redux?
76. Connections to economics: Invisible &
Visible hand theories
“Neoclassical theory’s objective is to understand price-guided,
not management-guided, resource allocation” (Demsetz, 1997:
426). This focus is a major limitation as it deflects attention
from critical resource allocation decisions inside firms
In particular, economists have been silent on critical
managerial issues such as: (i) how firms innovate (beyond just
spending money on R&D); (ii) why firms have capabilities that
transcend the sum of individual skills of their employees and
contractors; (iii) how individual firms sustain competitive
advantage over rivals
Capabilities theory falls into visible hand theories. Visible hand
theories address resource allocation processes inside the firm
Copyright D.Teece 2017 76
Visible & invisible hand theories are
complementary
77. Paul Romer: The field of economics
needs disruption (from the strategy
field)?
“A research program ought to involve risk” (Romer, forthcoming)
Dynamic capabilities is a radical approach to the theory of the
firm that puts capabilities and not the production function or
contracts/governance center stage
Dynamic capabilities doesn’t ignore these other approaches… it
seeks to integrate them
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78. Economic theorists have made recent
contributions but seem stuck in a
neoclassical straight jacket
Scale, scope, network effects, lock-in, and product
differentiation are all part of the modern toolkit that economists
reach into for explanations of market power, but these factors do
not go far enough
The point is not that formal (dynamic) modeling isn’t useful; it is
Tools and models need to be embedded in and connected to
narratives of what happens inside firms, industries, and
ecosystems
Behavioral economists have in recent years provided significant
insights into decision making
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Effort to establish links between various concepts
& the performance of individual firms have been
handicapped by the absence of a comprehensive
firm-level framework
79. Berger Wernerfelt’s “Adaptation,
Specialization, and the theory of the
firm” (Cambridge University Press 2016)
is a refreshing contribution
Key idea:
When firms must manage inevitable change, bargaining costs
are incurred in adapting contracts
Wernerfelt claims these costs are sub additive. I.e. it’s less
expensive to do inside a single from than have hundreds of firms or
individuals do it i.e. c (zx) < z c(x)
Wernerfelt’s model also assumes that gains from
specialization are generated
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80. Wernerfelt, continued
When demand shifts occur, and the goal is cost
minimization, then firms have incentives to expand their
scope
A firm’s employment contracts for in house workers (as
compared to an independent contractual relationship), is
assumed to be more efficient in the face of the need to
adapt. This seems to be based on Herbert Simon’s “zone of
indifference” view of the employment relationship
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81. Issues
Wernerfelt assumptions about the nature of the employment
relationship lead him to conclude that firms can enhance
efficiency through expanding into new businesses (i.e. by
expanding their scope).
One can posit, based on contemporary experience, e.g. Uber,
that the relationship is often the opposite, because it’s
harder to shed employees than independent contractors
Capabilities (other than those gained through specialization)
don’t really enter his analysis
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82. Wernerfelt recognizes that
complementarities are key; Also
implicated are:
Value capture issues
Coordination issues
Co-specialization issues
Co-creation issues
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Subadditivity alone doesn’t carry the day
83. Types of Complementarity: Summary
Copyright D.Teece 2017 83
Type Representative Authors Description
Production Hicks (1970)
A decrease in price of X leads to an increase in the
quantity of Y
Consumption Edgeworth (1897/1925)
An increase in the quantity demanded of X leads to
increased demand for Y
Asset Price Hirshleifer (1971)
Financial arbitrage opportunities are created by
foreknowledge of the probable impact of an
innovation.
Input Oligopoly Cournot (1838/1960)
Inputs X and Y will be sold for less if the companies
can collude to maximize profits.
Technological
Teece (1986, 1988b,
2006)
Unlocking the full value of an innovation requires
additional innovation in one or more horizontal,
lateral, or vertical complements; ownership of
complements aids appropriability.
Innovational
Bresnahan & Trajtenberg
(1995)
Improvements in a GPT increases the productivity of
goods in downstream applications.
84. Co-specialized assets can be value
creating & value capturing building
blocks
Building and assembling assets designed specifically to perform
some joint purpose inside the firm rather than accessing
commercially available assets through a skein of contracts is not
done primarily to guard against opportunism and recontracting
hazards, as TCE claims
Instead, it Is done to ensure the maintenance of effective
coordination and alignment of assets/resources/competences
over time as circumstances change
This adaptation is often more easily accomplished by managerial
fiat inside the firm than through the price system, an argument
perhaps first made by Barnard (1938)
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85. Capabilities v. contractual perspectives
Rather than stressing opportunism (although opportunism
surely exists and must be guarded against), the emphasis in
dynamic capabilities is on building (through investment and
through learning) unique specialized assets and on keeping
the enterprise aligned with its business environment
The associated activities include research and development,
business architecture transformation, asset selection, and
asset orchestration
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OPPORTUNITY V. OPPORTUNISM: The emphasis in
dynamic capabilities is on creating valuable and
distinctive assets that transaction cost economics
assumes are somehow already available
86. Many untidy Issues in Dynamic Capabilities
Seizing is about galvanizing the enterprise and making the
investments (and implementing the business models) to
embrace new opportunities and guard against threats
The impact of significant investments behind this modality
(seizing) can of course also be transformational and lead to
what is tantamount to renewal
So how does one distinguish between seizing and renewal?
Copyright D.Teece 2017 86
87. “Seizing” could be anchored to early stage business
evaluation while transformation/renewal could be late stage
(mature firm) changes.
“Seizing” could be scaling i.e. investing to expand existing
businesses while transformation and renewal might relate to a
change in strategy and the launch of new products. The
difficulty emerges because both seizing and transformation
first require sensing.
“Seizing” implicitly assumes that transformation isn’t first
required. This means (a) the organization is new and/or
seizing doesn’t require a change in business model (b) the
legacy structure of the organization isn’t a barrier to success.
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87
Sensing
Seizing
Shifting/
Transforming
88. A new (capability) theory of the firm
animated by deep uncertainty,
innovation, and building/deploying
non-priced assets can be imagined?
The dynamic capabilities framework incorporates an
entrepreneurial theory of the firm that starts from a more
primitive initial state than the one assumed in most economic
models
In the Coase-Williamson framework, for example, many
markets, technologies, and prices exist already (Boudreaux and
Holcombe, 1989)
In reality, entrepreneurs must first cut through uncertainty and
create each market before there are preferences and prices that
can lead to market activity (Frank Knight,1921)
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90. The resources/Capabilities perspectives “have mouthwatering potential
implications” (Gibbons, 2005)
Theoretical implications:
Managers and entrepreneurs have a place in the theory of the firm
Knowledge and know-how acquisition, transfer and protection also
find a natural place in the dynamic capabilities theory of the firm
Capability building, thin markets and non-tradable assets and asset
orchestration form the essence of the firm
Accordingly, a “transaction cost” problem of a very different kind
(from Williamson’s TCE) is center stage.
Good management is about building capabilities and orchestrating
assets
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Policy Implications
91. Economists are very influential on policy
Policy makers are handicapped by the neoclassical theory of
the firm
Managers are “in absentia” in economic theory, placing too
much burden (in the theory) on the price system to coordinate
economic activity
The absence of the manager (in economic theory) leads to
conceit with respect to the role of the price system… it takes
on an impossible grandiose role
Economic science cannot aid business and management until a
theory of the firm emerges which has knowledge generation
transfer and management center stage (jobs and President
Trump’s concern about jobs and trade can be addressed)
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91
Bad theory places blinders on policy
making
92. If managers are absent from the theory, entrepreneurs
rarely observed, and institutions ignored, then the price
system takes on an over amplified role as a coordination
mechanism
The policy implications are considerable:
Blind faith in the role of prices as resource allocation signals
leads to an unbalanced view of the requirements for
effective governance and misunderstanding of how firms and
their (entrepreneurial) management create value
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Bad theory places blinders on policy
making, continued
93. Dynamic capabilities prioritizes assimilation (capability
augmentation) over accumulation(resources)
Management matters for economic development
“Developing countries have a relatively large share of
inefficient, poorly managed firms” (Bloom, 2012)
This suggests that many advisors advance the wrong
priorities for development policy
If developing countries focus on investment for technical
efficiency without consideration of market needs and the
building of (dynamic) managerial competences, the d-
ineffectiveness of local firms will grow worse and national
economic growth will be hamstrung should be a priority
Copyright Teece 2016 93
Policy Implications- economic
development
94. The absence of a capabilities perspective (and the primacy of
agency concerns) has led to policy myopia. Management’s
hand is forced by shareholder activists and Sarbane Oxley’s
“imperatives”
Investment in longer term value-enhancing projects is
discouraged
If corporate boards are forced to worry excessively about audit
trails and shareholder activists, they become distracted from
strategizing, innovation lags and performance will suffers
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Capability theory creates room for strategic
management scholars to assist in public policy
Corporate governance
96. Dynamic capabilities as general
management systems theory “light”
“One of many objectives of General Systems Theory is to
develop a framework of general theory to enable one specialist
to catch relevant communications from others” (Boulding, 1956)
“There is not much doubt as to the demand for it. It is a little
more embarrassing to inquire into the supply”, (Boulding, 1956)
Copyright D.Teece 2017 96
Dynamic capabilities is an effort to build the necessary
interdisciplinary framework
97. Copyright Teece 2017 97
Paradigm Primary Authors
Deep
Uncertainty
Strategy
Present
Business
Models
Sensing
Critical
Seizing
Critical
Transformation
Infernal/External
Focus
Integrates
Other
Paradigms
Bonded
Rationality
Frequent
Metaphors/Used
SWOT No No No No No No I/E No ? ?
Resource based Penrose, Wernerfelt,
Barnley, Rumelt
No No No No No No I Yes ? Fungible Resources
Ambidexterity O’Reilly, Tushman ? No No No No No I Yes Ambidexterity
Disruption Christensen ? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes E No Yes Black Swans
Open Innovation H. Chesbrough ? Yes No Yes No No E No Yes Crowds
Obliquity J. Kay ? No No No No No 0 No ? ?
Lean Startup Toyota, Blank, Wagner Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes E No Yes Pivot
Remix Gomes-Casseras Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No E No Yes Constellations Remix
SECI Nonaka No No No No No No I No Yes Tacit Knowledge
General Systems Theory Boulding, Churchman Yes No No Yes Yes Yes E/I Yes No
Strategy Needs Strategy Reeves et al Yes Yes ? ? Yes No No Partia
l
Yes
Dynamic Capabilities
(Complexity Theory)
Schumpeter, Knight Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Mixed Martial Arts
99. The first step in Dynamic Capabilities is to
test the relevance of implicit principles of
strategy & organization
99
New DynCap
Principles
Present
Principles
Present
System
Future
System
Predicament
Assessment
100. WHY DO WE CHALLENGE
ORTHODOXIES?
Sensing:
Unmasking
Orthodoxies
• THEY DEFINE THE “RULES OF THE GAME”
in companies and in the industry
• THEY BECOME SELF-IMPOSED BOUNDARIES
on how companies compete
• THEY CAN BLIND US
to emerging business opportunities & threats
59
101. SENSING: WHAT IS A CUSTOMER INSIGHT?
An unmet or unarticulated need or frustration, which can lead to the
identification of a new opportunity
A Customer Insight redefines the combination of:
• Who (consumer target, segment)
• What (unmet need, benefit)
• Why (why does the consumer have this need?)
Source: Gary Getz, Strategos
60
102. Valuable insights are grounded in needs
that lie under the surface
• UNARTICULATED
• The customer settles or works around it.
• UNDERAPPRECIATED
• The industry hasn’t seen this as important.
Source: Gary Getz, Strategos
61
103. Seizing: Technology commercialization
advisory activities involves addressing
multiple activities in parallel
Testing key hypothesis behind new business concepts
Cycles of experimentation
Repeatedly refreshing business concepts and models to
incorporate what we are learning
The dynamic capabilities business brief
Building the infrastructure for commercial launch
The build phase
103
104. AGILE SEIZING:
“LEARNING BEFORE EARNING”
TEST
BUSINESS MODEL
ASSUMPTIONS
PRIORITIZE LEARNING OVER INVESTMENT TO DE-RISK AND ACCELERATE
RUN
PILOTS
EXPERIMENT
IN MARKET
LAUNCH AND
SCALE
1 2 3 4
Source: Gary Getz, Strategos
63
105. Experimentation is important to reduce the risk
of an opportunity before recommendation that
the business commit significant resources
All information
about the business
is certain
No information
about the business
is certain
Level of
commitment is high
Level of
commitment is low
Source: Gary Getz, Strategos
64
106. Good transformation assistance works
the consultant out of a job!
time
leading
coaching
mentoring
learning
learning/leading
leading Client
Experience
Consultants
Involvement
WAVE 1 WAVE 2 WAVE 3
Source: Gary Getz, Strategos
65