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Who's Who Among Special Finance Companies: Fourth Quarter Recap of Auto Finance Trends and Company Performance
1. Who's Who Among Special
Finance Companies
What Companies Are Buying Which Customers?
DEALERSTRONG
Greg Goebel, CEO
2. Session Overview
• Fourth quarter recap of the trends of auto finance
companies serving the subprime credit market.
• Recap of each credit tier
– Likely different in every dealership, even within same
organization
– Customer/deal characteristics of each “national” credit tier
– Breakdown of where the business falls nationally
• Averages vs. Benchmarks
• Recap of the finance companies performance in each tier
• Discussion about financing previous Canadian titled
vehicles
3. Data Sampling
• Cooperative effort - DealerStrong and ProMax Unlimited
• Merged transactional deal data beginning May 2014.
• Nearly 1.5M transactions from over 750 dealers who report
sales data tied to credit scores.
• Data was scrubbed many times to validate each transaction.
• Averages and benchmark deal characteristics for each credit
tier developed (including near-prime and prime).
• Identify the most frequently and profitably financed vehicles.
4. Defining Greg Goebel’s National
Credit Tiers
• Prime 681+
• Near Prime 680 - 621
• Tier 1 620 - 576
• Tier 2 575 – 521 Special
• Tier 3 520 - 476 Finance
• Tier 4 475 - 100
• Tier Zero 0
5. Defining Greg Goebel’s National
Credit Tiers
• Prime 681+
• Near Prime 680 - 621
• Tier 1 620 - 576
• Tier 2 575 – 521 Special
• Tier 3 520 - 476 Finance
• Tier 4 475 - 100
• Tier Zero 0
6. SF Tier 2: 575 – 526 Credit Scores
• Traditional subprime buyer.
• Stable employment and income.
• Higher loan-to-value than SF-T1.
• Worse payment-to-income ratio than SF-T1.
• Decent car credit.
• Stable at job.
• Fees: $95 - $400
• Req. Cash Down: $0 - $500
7. Relationship of Sales Among
Special Finance Tiers
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
SF Tier 1 SF Tier 2 SF Tier 3 SF Tier 4 Tier Zero
8. SF Tier 3 525 – 476 Credit Scores
• Tier where you earn your keep.
• Shorter job time, gaps.
• Verifiable but lower income.
• Fees: $500 - $1,000 Required cash down: $1,000+
• Some good credit – more derog. Likely prior repo or
foreclosure.
• LTVs 90% - 105%.
• PTI ratios 12% - 15%
9. SF Tier 4: 475 – 300 Credit Scores
• BIG difference New vs Used
• New: Large monthly payments.
+$100 over used – it is all about the income
• Used: BHPH “on steroids.”
• Short job time, gaps and hard to prove income.
• Many exceptions (DL, stubs, repos, illegals)
• Fees $1,500 - $3,000 (often shared risk)
• Req. Cash Down: $1,500 - $3,000
10. Special Finance Zero Credit Scores
• Can be credit “ghost” or credit criminal
• Affordability (PTI) with shorter terms is key.
• Significant equity
• In some states, “non-documented” aliens.
• Fees: 10% - $2,500.
• Req. Cash Down: 10% - $3,000
• Tier grew by over 20% in 2015!
11. Benchmarks vs. Averages
Benchmark = 75% percentile of all transactions.
(One in four exceeds benchmark and three in four fall
below the benchmark)
Average = the total of the transactions divided by the
number of transactions. (50%)
12. Q12016 Benchmarks: Deal Gross Profits
Tier Veh. GP Res. F&I GP Total BE GP Total GP
New Prime $ 1,317* $ 752 $ 809 $ 1,561 $ 2,878*
New Near P $ 1,215* $ 1,056 $ 1,236 $ 2,292 $ 3,507*
New SF-T1 $ 1,037* $ 713 $ 1,144 $ 1,857 $ 2,894*
New SF-T2 $ 866* $ 787 $ 1,118 $ 1,905 $ 2,771*
New SF-T3 $ 1,138* $ 778 $ 1,306 $ 2,084 $ 3,222*
New SF-T4 $ 851* $ 375 $ 1,096 $ 1,471 $ 2,322*
New SF-TNS $ 963* $ 415 $ 1,147 $ 1,562 $ 2,525*
*+$890 dlr inc.
Used Prime $ 2,348 $ 629 $ 878 $ 1,507 $ 3,855
Used Near P $ 2,376 $ 668 $ 999 $ 1,667 $ 4,043
Used SF-T1 $ 2,195 $ 557 $ 773 $ 1,330 $ 3,525
Used SF-T2 $ 2,130 $ 477 $ 695 $ 1,172 $ 3,302
Used SF-T3 $ 2,190 $ 293 $ 328 $ 621 $ 2,811
Used SF-T4 $ 2,225 $ 262 $ 530 $ 792 $ 3,017
Used SF-TNS $ 2,183 $ 382 $ 825 $ 1,207 $ 3,390
13. 1Q2016 Average Finance
Company Transaction Data
• Ranked by used credit tiers SF-T2 through SF-TNS
• NOT the same as benchmark.
• Comparison of the two shows that the difference
between average and benchmark results is that the
benchmark deals the transaction data is similar but
benchmark deals have:
• Better inventory sourcing (same vehicles/lower cost)
• Better deal structure, more room left for F&I products
14. SF Tier 2 Leaders
Tier 2 % of
Tier
Avg
of CB
Sale
Price
Veh. GP F&I GP Total
GP
Avg
Miles
Term Paym
Santander Auto
Finance
12.4% 551 16,488 659 1,288 1,947 41,004 70 424
Capital One 11.3% 552 16,943 903 1,422 2,325 38,848 70 407
Ally Financial 10.8% 553 19,701 1,213 1,938 3,151 32,972 70 417
GMF/Americredit 9.4% 552 20,261 906 1,084 1,989 27,920 69 411
Regional
Acceptance
7.5% 549 16,601 1,155 916 2,070 31,359 69 445
Wells Fargo Dealer
Services
7.3% 550 17,833 1,521 1,214 2,735 53,172 66 368
Credit Unions 6.2% 555 15,265 1,375 1,221 2,596 62,596 64 346
CPS 5.1% 547 15,845 1,497 751 2,248 47,548 67 406
Credit Acceptance 4.9% 549 10,989 1,407 381 1,787 94,248 55 347