Deepwater Energy Conference (DEC)2018 was held in Haikou, China. This event featured a dynamic group of speakers who discussed how deepwater technologies unlock new resources and develop in different ways. For additional details see: http://www.decchina.cn/en
2. Deepwater Energy Conference: where the world meets the C-suite
from Chinese oil and gas
Deepwater Energy Conference (DEC) is hosted by China National Offshore Oil
Corporation (CNOOC), the Chinese Academy of Engineering (CAE) and the People's
Government of Hainan Province, with support from the Ministry of Land and Resources
P.R.C, the National Energy Administration P.R.C and the State Oceanic Administration
P.R.C.
DEC aims at providing a global platform for researchers, experts, engineers,
academics and professionals from all over the world to exchange and share knowledge
through profound discussions and recent research findings, and promoting
international and multi-disciplinary cooperation in the field of deepwater energy.
This conference has become the most significant annual gathering where the world
meets top decision makers and key influencers from Chinese oil and gas industry. Our
supporting partners include CNPC, SINOPEC, CSSC, CSIC, COOEC and many other
organizations.
3. DEC2018: Plenary Session Highligts
Deepwater Exploration and Development Past, Present and Future
Zhu changlong, Shell China Exploration & Production Co. Ltd.
Energy Transition Outlook 2018: A Global & Regional Forcast to 2050
Wolfgang Wu, DNV GL Oil & Gas
Advancing Execution of Deepwater Projects
Andy Ralph, Fluor Corporation
Digitalization innovations for Oil & Gas in the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Lars-Erik Svabø, Kongsberg
Scottland is a Land of Energy Opportunity
Ian Ross, Scottish Development International
28. Copyright of SCEPCo
GREATER CHINA - REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
China is a frontrunner in the energy transition
The government is actively steering the transition, with
strategies for green development
F ive-year plans direct and set the speed and scale of the
energy transition, stipulating targets for efficiency, peak
emissions and non-fossil shares (i.e. 15% of primary energy
use by 2020)
Overarching ambition: securing supply while curbing
environmental degradation
Strategically combining energy, climate, and industrial policy
objectives
Spearheading electrification of transport, with fast growing
domestic market, and leading position in vehicle manufacturing
Switching from coal to gas is key to curb air pollution
29. Copyright of SCEPCo
FINAL ENERGY DEMAND
Table entries may not add up due to rounding.
Sector
Transport
Buildings
Manufacturing
Nonenergy
Other
Total
30. Copyright of SCEPCo
FINAL ENERGY DEMAND MIX
Table entries may not add up due to rounding.
Energy carrier
Offgrid PV
Solar thermal
Electricity
Direct heat
Hydrogen
Biomass
Geothermal
Natural gas
Oil
Coal
Total
31. Copyright of SCEPCo
PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION
Table entries may not add up due to rounding.
Energy Source
Wind
Solar PV
Solar thermal
Hydropower
Biomass
Geothermal
Nuclear fuels
Natural gas
Oil
Coal
Total
32. Copyright of SCEPCo
COAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
Production 3,410 2,903
Hard coal 3,410 2,903
Brown coal
Consumption 3,988 3,263
Regional production and consumption in Mt/yr
33. Copyright of SCEPCo
OIL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
Production
Conv. onshore
Unconv. onshore
Offshore
Consumption
Regional production and consumption in Mb/d
34. Copyright of SCEPCo
GAS PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
Regional production and consumption in Gm³/yr
Production
Conv. onshore
Unconv. onshore
Offshore
Consumption
37. Copyright of SCEPCo 37
SU ITE OF PU BLICATIONS
AVAILABLE AT: ETO.DNVGL.COM
LNG 与能源转型
快速变迁的能源格局中的增长机遇
在线研讨会
38. Copyright of SCEPCo
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
The trademarks DNV GL®, DNV®, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas®
are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved.
Thank you!
Wolfgang Wu
Yi.u@dnvgl.com
46. HO20180601-001
46
Step 3:
Establishing Flow
Project Drivers:
Capital Budgeting
Production Targets
Weather Windows
Long Lead Equipment
Key Material Availability
Minimum Durations
Capital Budgeting
Production
Targets
Weather
Windows
Long Lead
Equipment
Key Material
Availability
Minimum
Durations
Project
Drivers
52. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
DIGITALIZATION GENERAL TRENDS
page
03
Digital twin
Big data Advanced
analytics
Autonomy
Remote
operations
Digital eco
systems
Robots &
drones
Machine
learning
53. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
The increasing value of analytics
23.07.2019 Page 53
descriptive
reporting
what happened?
what is happening?
business reporting
scorecard
financial results
staff performance
scorecard
diagnostic
discover & explore
why is it happening?
where is the problem?
what are the trends?
agile dashboards
cause and effects
risk analysis
workforce analytics
predictive
forecast
what is likely to happen
next?
predictive modeling
regression analysis
strategy & growth
analysis
customer analytics
prescriptive
anticipate
what should I do?
what is the next best
action?
artificial intelligence
machine learning
simulation
analytical applications
with simulated outcome
question
technique
example
the increasing value of analytics
54. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
Digitalization in Norwegian Continental Shelf
Equinor: “Improved safety for our employees, produce oil and gas more effectively, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and
improved profitability.”
Equinor: Establish Digital Centre of Excellence and digital road map
- The goal is to significantly increase our utilization of data, sophisticated analytics and robotics. This will help us improve
safety, reduce our carbon footprint and increase profitability.
AkerBP: “reduce costs and increase production”
- Prioritize data, utilize data, and share and make available “Data Liberation”
“We have drilling data, operational data, subsurface data and supplier data, but we do not interpret them in an integrated
way.”, Equinor
“Data can be made much more accessible through cloud solutions, allowing us to share data more efficiently“, Equinor
“Digitalization of our work processes will increase our work efficiency by reducing the time spent on manual and
repetitive tasks. “, Equinor
23.07.2019 Page 54
56. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication 56
Digitalization
Digital Twins
Remote
operations
Unmanned
installations
& Autonomy
Integrated
Operation
Center
Data
platforms &
Eco systems
Machine
learning &
Advanced
analytics
Predictive
maintenance
57. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication 57
Digital Twin
-what is it?
• Digital twins in its simplest form visualize assets or
processes
• ..adding data about the asset you have a digital twin for
information and documentation
• ..adding data in real time and high fidelity models you have
a dynamic digital twin for planning, operation and
maintenance
• ..adding machine learning algorithms for increased
efficiency across processes, and testing outcome with the
simulators before adoption in production you have
increased automation
• Close loop with automation system to enable higher level
of autonomy
27%
Choke 1 Choke 2
58. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
Enabled by the Digital Twin Concept
58
Optimize asset lifecycle
from agile plan – design -
commission cycles; through data
driven operations and
maintenance.
asset lifecycle
optimization
Enable operating concepts for
autonomous, unmanned and
remotely operated assets offshore,
onshore, in the air and in space.
autonomous
operations
production
performance
Optimize production and increase
asset/field/farm throughput through
bottleneck identification and
control optimization.
Enabled by Digital Twin Concept
59. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication 59
Digital Twins Key advantages
Visibility and insight across disciplines and value
chains – improved organizational productivity
Real time virtual monitoring and work safety
Predictive diagnostics - early diagnoses of any
developing faults – predicting possible failures
and prevent downtime
Enable remote operations and autonomy
Photo: Equinor
60. Statoil & KONGSBERG Restricted - Digital Twin for Unmanned Facilities - Feasibility Study
61. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication 61
Integrated Operation Centre (IOC)
Remote operations
1
Asset X
2
Asset X
Asset Y
3
Asset X
Asset Y
62. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
Unmanned installations enabled by increased
automation and machine learning
Potential fields for unmanned operations are marginal fields
Cost of manned operation does not support field development
Examples of fields in NCS selected for unmanned operations:
- Krafla
- Peon
62
Unmanned processing platform
High level of automation and
supported by machine
learning
Remote operation with “one-
button” Start & Stop
Digital Twin supported
63. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
6
3
OPPORTUNITIES FOR
THE FUTURE
64. KONGSBERG PROPRIETARY - See Statement of Proprietary informationWORLD CLASS – Through people, technology and dedication
谢谢
Page 64
65. Ian Ross
Scottish Development International
OPPORTUNITY
IS A LAND OF ENERGY
SCOTLAND
Deepwater Energy Conference Hainan November 2018
66. Who are we and what we do?
• Scottish Enterprise is Scotland's main
economic development agency and a
non-departmental public body of the
Scottish Government.
• We work with partners in the public
and private sectors to identify and
exploit the best opportunities to
deliver a significant, lasting effect on
the Scottish economy.
• SDI is the international arm of
Scottish Enterprise and Scottish
Government. We deliver:
• Inward Investment - soft landing for
setting up in Scotland
• International Collaboration - finding
and matching partners to develop
trade and investment links
• Scottish presence at overseas trade
fairs and exhibitions
70. £17.6b
expenditure forecast for
North Sea decommissioning
over the period to 2025
5%
increase in
production
forecast for 2018
$5bn
of capital
investment
forecast for 2018
$8bn
of M&A
deals in
2017
10-20bn
barrels of
recoverable
resources remain
43.5bn
barrels of oil
equivalent
recovered
50+ years
experience of oil & gas
exploration and production in the
harsh North Sea environment
GUARANTEES A PRODUCTIVE FUTURE FOR OIL & GAS
AND COMMITMENT TO MAXIMISING NORTH SEA RECOVERY
OUR RICH HERITAGE
Image source: Scottish Enterprise
74. UKCS: Maximising Economic Recovery (MER)
Background – (1998-2013)
Reduced oil price
Ageing assets
Maturing fields
High extraction costs
Deep water and small pool recovery
Reduced exploration
The Wood Review 2014
In June 2013 the Secretary of State for Energy and
Climate Change, Edward Davey, asked Sir Ian
Wood to conduct an independently led review of
UKCS oil and gas recovery, specifically looking at
how economic recovery could be maximised. That is
how the UK could ensure that it maximises the
recovery of a potential additional 3-4 billion barrels of
North Sea oil and gas over the next 20 years
84. Subsea Strategic Relationship Manager
Scottish Enterprise
Gary Soper
OPPORTUNITY
IS A LAND OF ENERGY
SCOTLAND
Deepwater Energy Conference Hainan November 2018
85. Subsea Action Plan
- To continue to position Scotland as
a global leader in subsea
engineering
- Increase investment in innovation
to grow Scotland's market share in
oil and gas and support
opportunities in other sectors
- Develop Scotland's subsea
innovation infrastructure
91. Research into ten non-oil and gas subsea sectors, covering
technology synergies and global markets of interest
- Offshore Wind
- Carbon Capture, Utilisation and
Storage
- Nuclear Decommissioning
- Water and Wastewater
- O&G Decommissioning
- Marine Renewable Energy
- Aquaculture
- Defence
- Seabed Mining
- Ocean Science
92. Subsea Engineering Synergies
Project
management,
HSE and HR
Project design Construction
and
commissioning
Monitoring and
sensors
Automation and
robotics
Data analysis Operations and
maintenance
Pipelines and
transportation
Vessels and
offshore operations
Decommissioning
and repowering
93. Global Diversification Opportunities for Subsea Supply Chain
North America Potential:
Offshore wind: 2,058 GW Marine
Renewables: 290+ GW
CCUS storage: >21,200 GtCO2
Mariculture production worth
£811m
Asia and Pacific Potential:
Offshore wind: 1136+ GW
Marine Renewables:
837+ GW
CCUS storage: 2077 GtCO2
Mariculture production worth
£674+m
Europe Potential:
Offshore wind: 1,350 GW
Marine Renewables: 212+ GW
CCUS storage: 161 GtCO2
Mariculture production worth £8bn
94.
95. Scotland’s oil and gas innovators set the pace........
Scotland’s track record in R&D is recognised as
one of the best in the world and the infrastructure
exists to take that work into a new era.
There are a number of organisations and facilities
that make up this infrastructure.
International operators, have located specialist
teams in Scotland to be part of the world-class
R&D community.
101. We will assist you in
finding:
•Staff and training
•Investment opportunities
•Financial assistance
•Market research
•Premises
•Academic links
•Business partners
Background
Started in 1981 as a joint venture between:
• Scottish Government
• Scottish Enterprise
• Highlands & Islands Enterprise
Our People
240 staff around the world
• 30 International Offices
• Industry specialists
• Local staff throughout Scotland
Connect to the support you need
102. ENGINEERING HERITAGE
RENOWNED
NATURAL RESOURCES AND
ABUNDANT
IS BLESSED WITH
SCOTLAND
Image source: Senvion
INNOVATION CENTRES
WORLD CLASS
ENERGY SUPPLY CHAIN COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISING
IS HOME TO
SCOTLAND
Image source: Exceed
Notes de l'éditeur
Adjust the date of the presentation
The top line financial benefits of utilizing the Digital Twin concept were found to be compelling. Capex and Opex improvements were projected at 1 - 2.5 BNOK each (10-20% of Capex and 13-32% of Opex), with production revenue enhancements (mainly as a result of reduced downtime) of between 1 – 3.5 BNOK (3-7%) over the lifetime of the facility. Even in the short-term significant benefits were assumed to be achievable, with near-time total potential improvements within the range of 1.3 – 3.7 BNOK.
Our mission is expressed through three pillars:
- Asset Lifecycle Optimization: Faster time to market with positive NPV effects (first oil, first electricity to grid, etc) + decreased lifecycle risk, reduced cost of development (CAPEX) and cost of operations and maintenance (reduced OPEX).
- Autonomous Operations: Enable operators to remotely operate their assets from shore control centers, with none/fewer people working in high risk conditions (HMS). Journey towards autonomy.
- Production Performance: Increased production performance and throughput (together with faster time to market) is central to gain competitiveness and drive financial performance
-> Our mission is enabled by our dynamic Digital Twin Solution.
Setting the future scene:
Industry move towards autonmous operations and remote operations
Value chains are being transformed
Business models challenged
Requirements for safety, efficiency, productivity and sustainability evolving
Change is inevitable and the technology will follow so address how the industry will adapt to this change
Description:
This is the introductory slide setting out the premise of the presentation, which is: ‘Scotland is a land of energy opportunity’.
The next three slides expand on this premise by introducing the six main themes of the presentation, which are:
Abundant Natural Resources – oil and gas reserves and renewable generation potential
Renowned Engineering Heritage – Scotland’s long history harnessing its energy resources
Enterprising Supply Chain – Scottish companies working developing and delivering energy solutions around the world
World Class Innovation Centres – including R&D and T&D facilities
Ambitious Energy Strategy – outlining Scotland’s energy vision, principles, priorities and targets
Supportive Environment – outlining the support for companies to invest in Scotland
Image:
The summit of Ben Aan, overlooking Loch Katrine in Loch Lomond & The Trossachs National Park (Image Credit: Visit Scotland / Kenny Lam)
Description:
This is a proof point slide with evidence of the size and importance of Scotland’s oil & gas sector.
Script:
Scotland has pioneered solutions to some of the world’s most complex energy engineering challenges, drawing on over 50 of experience of oil & gas exploration and production in the harsh North Sea environment.
We’ve recovered 43.5 billion barrels of petroleum from the UK Continental Shelf, and continue to push the boundaries to ensure that we fully exploit the remaining 10-20 billion barrels of recoverable resource, even those very hard to reach small pools of hydrocarbons.
As one of the world’s most mature offshore oil & gas markets, we’re also leading the way in developing technologies and techniques that’ll ensure the safe, environmentally sound and cost-effective decommissioning of our expansive offshore infrastructure. Spend in this decommissioning market is forecast to be £17.6bn to 2025
Image:
Vessels in Aberdeen Harbour, photographed in 2015 (Image Credit: Scottish Enterprise / McAteer)
Description:
This is the introductory slide setting out the premise of the presentation, which is: ‘Scotland is a land of energy opportunity’.
The next three slides expand on this premise by introducing the six main themes of the presentation, which are:
Abundant Natural Resources – oil and gas reserves and renewable generation potential
Renowned Engineering Heritage – Scotland’s long history harnessing its energy resources
Enterprising Supply Chain – Scottish companies working developing and delivering energy solutions around the world
World Class Innovation Centres – including R&D and T&D facilities
Ambitious Energy Strategy – outlining Scotland’s energy vision, principles, priorities and targets
Supportive Environment – outlining the support for companies to invest in Scotland
Image:
The summit of Ben Aan, overlooking Loch Katrine in Loch Lomond & The Trossachs National Park (Image Credit: Visit Scotland / Kenny Lam)
In no particular order, these are the main areas of synergies between the subsea sectors and the Scottish subsea O&G supply chain. The biggest areas appear to be IRM and sensors.
I don’t think this is necessarily surprising, but gives a flavour of the areas covered.
Global opportunities: from our work so far we have identified that there is either operations, ambition, resource or potential for subsea activities in the countries highlighted. With some areas still to investigate the highlighted areas on the map are likely to grow.
Some examples are shown on the map
(note the maricultural figures are current values, the OW, MRE and CCUS figures are all potentials)
Description:
This slide introduces the third and fourth themes of the presentation, which are:
Enterprising Supply Chain – Scottish companies working developing and delivering energy solutions around the world
World Class Innovation Centres – including R&D and T&D facilities
Image:
Fairfield’s Dunlin A platform, located 500km North East of Aberdeen. Built by Shell following the discovery of the Dunlin oilfield in 1973, the field was acquired by Fairfield in 2008 and terminated production in 2015. Aberdeen-based Exceed is the lead contractor for decommissioning the 45 platform wells and 16 subsea wells across the field, which is ongoing. (Image Credit: Exceed)