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Delft-FEWS User Days
Gabriel Miller and Nathan Barber
10/27/2017
What is TVA?
A power company
and so much more…
Our Mission:
Serving the people of
the Tennessee Valley
to make life better.
3
What We Do
Partner with 154 local power companies,
to serve 9 million people and 700,000
businesses in parts of seven states.
Directly serve 58 large industries and federal
installations.
4
TVA’s Mission of Service
5
Energy Economic
Development
Environment
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Gas
Purchased Power
Energy Efficiency and
Demand Response
The TVA Power System
6
Current
Rivers of the United States
|7
Tennessee Valley Watershed
8
River System Management
29 hydroelectric dams
Flood damage averted:
$240 million annually
$7 billion averted
since 1936
9
20 non-power dams
$12 billion in recreation
benefit
Integrated Tennessee River System
| 10
Navigation
Flood-Damage
Reduction
Water Quality
Recreation
Power Generation
Water Supply
Hydropower Generation
• Conventional generating capacity (109 units): 3,538 MW
• Pumped Storage generating capacity (4 units): 1,653
MW
|11
Thermal Compliance/Cooling Water
• Schedule flows to minimize thermal derates at nuclear plants due to high river temperatures
• Provide cool, abundant water to nuclear and fossil plants
Water Supply
• Industrial process water and cooling water
• Municipalities water supply
Water Quality
• Minimum flows, aeration, and monitoring
• Oxygen starved water behind the impoundment is “aerated” before being released
TVA FEWS System
• Three year project
- Converted in-house forecast
system to standard models and
Delft-FEWS system
- Migration from 100+ programs to
one unified platform
- Vastly improved data
visualization and reports
• Went live Feb 7th 2017
| 12
TVA’s Forecasting
Process
|13
2
Storage
inventory
and
inflow
analysis
3
Reservoir
inflow
forecasting
4
Tributary
routing
5
Upper
main river
routing
6
Review
water
release
schedule
7
Routing
from
Guntersville
to Pickwick
8
Kentucky/
Barkley
Routing
9
Information
dissemination
10
Monitor
system
1
Collect
and
verify
data
• 24/7 Operation
• Constant system monitoring
• Hydropower schedule
produced twice daily
Realtime Monitoring
|14
Data Collection and Validation
|15
Hydrologic Models (Inflows)
|16
QPE Selection
QPF Selection
Inflow Modeling
Finalize for Scheduling and Hydraulic Modeling
Scheduling the River
|17
• Two Primary Riverware
• 6-Hour Model
- Model reservoirs at 6-hour time
steps for 14 days
- Simulation/optimization mode
• Preschedule Model
- Model reservoirs at hourly time
steps for 3 days (using 6-hour
model volumes)
- Optimization mode
|18
|19
Raccoon Mountain
|20
To spill or not to spill
|21
Spill Orders
|22
Hydraulic Models
|23
|24
Final Products
• Schedule – Current day schedule of hydro generation
• Preschedule – Forecast of hydro generation
• Stage Forecasts on the Tennessee River
|25
Hydrothermal Modeling
• Water Temperature
forecasting for TVA coal and
nuclear power plants
| 26
Hydrothermal – Delft3D Integration
| 27
Open Archive
• All historical
observations transferred
to Archive
• All real-time forecasts
and observations stored
in Archive
| 28
Data Warehouse/Reporting Workflow
| 29
FEWS REST
Web Setvice
Web Report
Server
Validated Reporting
Workflows
Canned Reports
FEWSArchive
DW
Cubes
Ad-Hoc Reporting
SSRS
FEWS Central
Database
Reporting Dashboard
| 30
Example Reports
| 31
| 32
| 33
Wiki
| 34
Endpoint Monitor
| 35
Future Plans
• Verification and Performance Scoring
• Ensemble Prediction
• Real-time Inundation Mapping
• Long-term Optimization Modelling
• Operational Delft3D hydrothermal models
• Public-facing webservice/Updated mobile application
• Watercoach training modules
| 36
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