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Fivewaystoa
better5G
ericsson.com/
consumerlab
Key trends influencing
consumeradoption of 5G
Ericsson Consumer and Market Insight report
May 2021
2 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
Contents
Methodology
Quantitative data was collected from
26 markets in December2020. More than
30,730 online interviews were held with
people aged 15–69, in markets where
active 5G commercial networks were
launched, as well as those without an
active commercial network.These included
Australia,Argentina, Brazil, China, Chile,
France, Finland, Germany, Ireland, India,
Italy, Indonesia, Oman, Peru, Qatar,
Romania, South Korea, Singapore, Kingdom
of SaudiArabia (KSA), Switzerland,Taiwan,
Thailand, Uruguay, the UAE, the UK and the
US.All respondents are smartphone owners
and use the internet on a daily basis.Among
these 30,730 interviews, 4,025 smartphone
users were active 5G subscribers.
This study is representative of the
opinions of 1.3 billion smartphone
users globally, including 220 million 5G
subscribers by the end of December 2020.
Qualitative insight was gathered through
44 interviews with 5G early adopters in
New York, US; London, UK; and Seoul,
South Korea, in March 2020 and February
2021 to understand the changes in
perception of 5G. These respondents
were early adopters of tech gadgets such
as smart speakers and virtual reality (VR)
headsets and were actively using mobile
broadband connected to a 5G network.
About Ericsson Consumer & IndustryLab
Ericsson Consumer & IndustryLab delivers
world-class research and insights for
innovation and sustainable business
development. We explore the future of
consumers, industries and a sustainable
society with regards to connectivity by
using scientific methods to provide
unique insights on markets, industries
and consumer trends.
Our knowledge is gained in global
consumer and industry research programs,
including collaborations with renowned
industry organizations and world-leading
universities. Our research programs cover
interviews with over 100,000 individuals
each year, in more than 40 countries –
statistically representing the views of
1.1 billion people.
All reports can be found at:
www.ericsson.com/consumerlab
03 	 Meeting consumer
		 expectations on 5G
04 	 State of consumer 5G
05 	 The 5G knowledge gap
06 	 5G drives network satisfaction
07	 Pandemic fuels need for
		 better indoor 5G
08 	 5G changes usage behavior
09 	 Early adopters recommend 5G,
		 but expect more innovation
10 	 From showcases to
		 commercializing use cases
11 	 The value of use cases
5G early markets (5G rolled out in 2019)
5G not launched by Jan 2021
5G launched in Dec 2020
5G launched by Nov 2020
Peru
Ireland
US
Germany
Switzerland
Romania
Finland
Qatar
KSA UAE
Oman
India
Thailand
Taiwan
Indonesia
Australia
Singapore
China South Korea
France
Italy
Chile
Argentina
Uruguay
Brazil
UK
5G launched in 2019
5G not launched by Jan 2021
5G launched in Dec 2020
5G launched by Nov 2020
Peru
Ireland
US
Germany
Switzerland
Romania
Finland
Qatar
KSA UAE
Oman
India
Thailand
Indonesia
Australia
Singapore
China South Korea
France
Italy
Chile
Argentina
Uruguay
Brazil
UK
Taiwan
3 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
Keyfindings:
1. Consumerintent to upgrade to 5G accelerates despite the pandemic.
At least 300 million smartphone users could take up 5G in 2021. By the end of
2020, 22 percent more smartphone users with 5G-ready smartphones could have
adopted 5G if knowledge gaps had been addressed.
2. 5G triggers changes in usage behavior, starts to displace Wi-Fi.
5G users spend two hours more perweek using cloud gaming and one hourmore
on augmented reality (AR) apps compared to 4G users. 20 percent say they have
decreased theirusage of Wi-Fi afterupgrading.
3. Indoor5G coverage more important forconsumers.
5G early adopters rate indoor5G coverage as two times more important than speed
orbattery life in driving satisfaction.
4. Earlyadopters are pleasedwith 5G speeds but expect more innovation.
Seventy percent are dissatisfied with the availability of innovative services and
expect new applications making use of 5G.
5. Consumersvalue 5G plans bundledwith digital services and arewilling to pay
20–30 percent more.
However, two-thirds of use cases highlyvalued by consumers have not yet
been commercialized.
Meeting consumer
expectations on 5G
As communications service providers in a growing number
of markets switch on 5G, consumer expectations are rising
faster than expected.
Understanding the evolving consumer expectations around 5G is critical to drive adoption
Analysis of the 5G network experience
has mostlyfocused on 5G speeds and
availability, based on independent network
measurements. But it is equallyimportant to
understand how5G earlyadopters perceive
the 5G network experience.This report, the
biggest ever5G consumerstudy, uncovers
keytrends influencing the adoption, usage
and perception of consumers towards 5G.
The report suggests fiveways that service
providers can meet consumerexpectations
and improve their5G experience, nowand
in the future:
1. Enhance thevalue: address the
knowledge gap to educate and better
market thevalue of 5G.
2. Consumers expect the qualityof indoor
and outdoorcoverage to be consistent.
3.Adapt to network requirements of new
services enabled by5G.
4. Focus on the jobs consumerswant 5G
to do, to envision newuse cases.
5. Go beyond just showcases: accelerate
the commercialization of existing and
newuse cases.
4 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
State of consumer5G
The number of live 5G markets is increasing daily as consumers become more
aware of the technology and hype gives way to reality. But there is a wide
disparity across the globe in terms of knowledge and intention to upgrade to 5G.
When comparing consumers’ intentions to
upgrade to a 5G smartphone in ourMarch
2019 5G consumersurvey, to ourDecember
2020 survey results, we see that despite
the pandemic there is an average increase
of two percentage points globally. India
saw the biggest rise in intention, though
5G networks are not still not available to
consumers.Among 5G markets, the US and
South Korea show an increase. China saw a
7 percent decrease, but 51 percent of urban
smartphone users in majorcities still wish to
take up 5G.
Italy, France, Germany, UK and Finland
see a more moderate consumerintention to
upgrade, as delays in commercial launches
and rollout of 5G network coverage,
financial uncertainty due to the pandemic,
5G misinformation campaigns and lack of
compelling digital services enhanced by 5G,
seem to have impacted consumerintentions
to upgrade, compared to the excitement
witnessed back in 2019.
While globallywe see that 39 percent of
consumers express an intention to upgrade
to 5G, analysis based on current ownership
of 5G smartphones, tech attitudes, life stage
of consumers, income and demographics,
reveals that only 21 percent of consumers
would realistically upgrade to 5G in 2021,
and the rest in 2022 orlater.This translates
to at least 300 million consumers across
the 20 markets in oursurveywho could be
5G subscribers in 2021. If 5G commercial
launches do take place in othermarkets like
India, Brazil and Indonesia, then we could
surpass this figure.
Figure 1: Percentage change in consumer intention to upgrade to 5G
(March 2019 vs. December 2020)
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 20 markets in the survey
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
300m
At least 300 million consumers could
upgrade to 5G in 2021
+2pp
Global
NA
+8pp
US
Europe
-3pp
UK
Finland
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
ME
+7pp
KSA
UAE
Asia
and
Oceania
+2pp
Australia
China
Singapore
Thailand
South Korea
Indonesia
India
SA
+1pp
Brazil
Argentina
Chile
Uruguay
2%
2%
1%
7%
6%
6%
0%
0%
0%
8%
8%
-4%
-4%
-4%
-5%
3%
13%
-15%
-8%
-7%
13%
5 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
The 5G
knowledge gap
Across the 20 markets in our survey where
5G commercial networks are available, an
average 4 percent of consumers own a 5G
smartphone and have a 5G subscription.
While 22 percent of smartphone users
who own a 5G-ready smartphone are
still using a 4G subscription, a further 4
percent claim they are on a 5G plan, but
use a 4G smartphone.
In China, this is 5 percent, and the
blanket term “5G package customers” is
often used by Chinese service providers
to refer to anyone on a 5G subscription,
regardless of whether they actually have a
5G device or access to a 5G network.
In the US, our survey found 14 percent
of smartphone users who claim they are
on 5G were using a 4G smartphone and
12 percent who own a 5G smartphone say
they have a 4G subscription.
This suggests a lingering confusion and
knowledge gap among consumers around
device capability and compatibility,
Consumer awareness of 5G potential remains high. However,
marketing rhetoric that is heavy with tech jargon is limiting real
understanding of its value, device capabilities and offerings.
5G network availability and lack of clarity
on whether access to 5G is included by
default or requires a change of plan or a
specific smartphone model. Another factor
is the inability to differentiate between
Wi-Fi types like 5GHz vs. cellular 5G.
In addition, different versions and
flavors of 5G network capabilities
being marketed using tech jargon by
service providers are contributing to this
knowledge gap.
If the value of 5G technology had
been better marketed, in terms that
were more relevant to consumers’ needs,
an additional 22 percent of consumers
globally, who already owned 5G-ready
smartphones in 2020, could have
upgraded to a 5G plan.
In markets such as India and
Indonesia, where commercial 5G
networks were not live, the survey found
an existing installed base of 22 percent
of smartphone users with a 5G-capable
smartphone. This could provide a secure
foundation for service providers to drive
quick adoption of 5G.
Since initial 5G deployment has
focused largely on city centers and
downtown areas that need capacity
augmentation, consumer perception
of 5G availability varies. In the UK, for
example, consumers living in the city
center perceive that they spent 1.5 times
longer connected to a 5G network than
those living in a suburban area.
Figure 2: Percentage of consumers on 5G plans vs. ownership of 5G-ready smartphones
Have a 5G phone, but only 4G subscription
Claim 5G, but have a 4G phone
5G user with 5G phone
Avg.
across
5G
markets
4%
22%
4%
Australia
5%
20%
5%
Brazil
26%
China
8%
33%
5%
Finland
4%
16%
6%
France
24%
Germany
3%
26%
5%
Ireland
3%
22%
4%
Italy
1%
23%
2%
KSA
8%
25%
8%
Qatar
8%
13%
8%
Romania
3%
23%
4%
South
Korea
18%
18%
9%
Switzerland
9%
22%
4%
UAE
7%
24%
7%
UK
3%
13%
3%
US
5%
12%
14%
Oman
5%
20%
9%
Taiwan
3%
20%
2%
Singapore
3%
28%
3%
Thailand
2%
28%
3%
Avg.
across
non-5G
markets
21%
Indonesia
19%
India
22%
Argentina
24%
Chile
22%
Peru
21%
Uruguay
16%
x5
Improving consumer perception of
5G availability could increase the
likelihood of adoption by at least
five times
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 26 markets in the survey
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
6 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
5G drives
network satisfaction
Among smartphone users with 5G-ready
smartphones and a 5G plan, across the
15 markets in oursurvey, we already see
that an average of 10 percent more users
are very satisfied with 5G, compared to
those using 4G. However, this varies by
markets and depends on factors such
as the extent of outdoorand indoor5G
coverage, speeds, reliability, the quantity
and type of spectrum available to service
providers, device availability and consumer
expectations in that market.
In Switzerland, 59 percent are very
satisfied with 5G network performance,
while only 30 percent are very satisfied
with 4G. In the US, while we already see 14
percent more users being very satisfied with
5G early adopters seem to be more satisfied with 5G than
smartphone users connected with 4G LTE.
5G compared to 4G, the release and usage
of new mid-band frequencies would bring a
furtherpositive shift in 5G performance.
On the otherhand, in South Korea,
smartphone users are very discerning
and rate the 5G network experience
lowerin comparison to a fully developed
and built out 4G experience. While
31 percent are very satisfied with 4G,
27 percent are with 5G.This lowerlevel
of satisfaction could be attributed to
exaggerated claims of 5G performance
made during the promotion period,
unsatisfactory 5G indoorcoverage, a lack
of more diverse and affordable price plans
limiting consumerchoices, and an already
superior4G and home Wi-Fi experience
as a benchmark. While this is a deviation
from the trend seen in othermarkets, it
doesn’t mean that the South Korean 5G
deployment is subpar.
To understand the extremely high
expectations and benchmarks of South
Korean consumers we need to look back at
satisfaction levels measured by Ericsson
ConsumerLab in 2012–13, when 4G was
launched in South Korea.The share of
consumers satisfied with 4G back then
is similarto the level we see nowwith
5G, suggesting that when compared to
consumers in othermarkets, South Korean
consumers expect much more from their
service providers — superiorperformance,
no gaps in coverage and new innovative
services, especiallywhen they are asked to
pay a premium fora 5G subscription plan.
Figure 3: Global trends in 5G vs 4G LTE network satisfaction
Figure 4: Consumer satisfaction trend with 4G LTE network in South Korea
60%
20%
0%
40%
50%
10%
30%
UK
Switzerland
Romania
Italy
Ireland
Finland
Germany
China
Australia
Taiwan
South
Korea
US
KSA
UAE
Qatar
Percentage
of
smartphone
users
Share of users very satisfied with 4G network Share of users very satisfied with 5G
60%
20%
0%
40%
50%
10%
30%
Europe
UK
Switzerland
Romania
Italy
Ireland
Finland
Germany
Asia and Oceania
China
Australia
Taiwan
South
Korea
North America
US
Middle East
KSA
UAE
Qatar
Percentage
of
smartphone
users
Share of users very satisfied with 4G network Share of users very satisfied with 5G
2013
26%
27%
2014
Share
of
users
satisfied
with
4G
LTE
27%
2015
27%
2016
27%
2017
33%
2018
31%
2019
31%
2020
5G launched
April 2019
4G launched
April 2012
5G 27%
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 15 markets in the survey
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021); ConsumerLab Analytical Platform 2013–2021
7 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
Pandemic fuels need
forbetterindoor5G
With more time spent at home, the first
experience that some consumers had
with 5G in 2020 was indoors.
Our analysis looked at consumer
satisfaction vs. the relative importance
of different network parameters, such as
5G network speeds, outdoor coverage
and indoor coverage, among others. It
suggests that 5G indoor coverage, at home
and in public places like malls and stores, is
relatively more important than 5G speeds
and even battery life in driving overall
consumer satisfaction, especially
during the pandemic.
In South Korea, as many as half were
dissatisfied with their indoor 5G coverage,
and 40 percent in Taiwan say the same.
In Australia, while 35 percent say they
were satisfied with indoor coverage,
24 percent were not.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, countries across the world implemented a range of
stringent policies, including stay-at-home lockdowns, school and workplace closures
and cancellation of events and public gatherings, moving daily activities indoors.
Figure 5: Level of satisfaction vs. importance of 5G network indicators
Level of satisfaction with operator’s 5G
Fix problems (potential driver!)
Relative
importance
High
High
Low
Data
reliability
5G coverage at
other indoor places
5G coverage at home
Battery life
performance when
using 5G network
Extent of 5G
coverage outdoors
5G mobile
data speed
Voice coverage
Voice reliability
Voice quality
Level of satisfaction with operator’s 5G
Fix problems (potential driver!)
Relative
importance
High
Low
Data
reliability
5G coverage at
other indoor places
5G coverage at home
Battery life
performance when
using 5G network
Extent of 5G
coverage outdoors
5G mobile
data speed
Voice reliability
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Australia, China, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Oman,
Qatar, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, the UAE, the UK and the US
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
The pandemic has fuelled the need for more consistent 5G indoor coverage
8 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
5G changes
usage behavior
On average one in five users upgrading to
5G have decreased Wi-Fi usage at home
and otherlocations. In markets like the
US,Taiwan, Switzerland, Finland, and
South Korea, where a higherproportion
of 5G users are on unlimited plans,
22 percent have decreased theirhome
Wi-Fi usage, while 10 percent claim they
have stopped using Wi-Fi on smartphones
afterupgrading to 5G.
Back inAugust 2019, SKTelecom also
reported this trend,1
with average monthly
Wi-Fi usage time of 5G users decreasing
by about 37 percent from 4.3 hours to
2.7 hours. Households with three ormore
members actively using home broadband
were more likely to report a decrease in
theirreliance on Wi-Fi once they upgraded
to 5G. During the pandemic, with home
broadband usage at an all-time high,
consumers seem to be relying on 5G cellular
connectivity as a backup when performance
issues arise with shared home Wi-Fi.
When comparing usage of digital
services between 5G vs. 4G, 5G users are
more engaged with using high bandwidth
immersive digital services than 4G users.
5G users not only spend two hours more
perweek streaming high definition mobile
video than 4G users, but have also started
to use enhanced video apps involving
With improvements in 5G performance and unlimited plans
across markets, we are starting to see new usage behaviors and a
displacement of Wi-Fi usage both at home and in other locations.
streaming of multi-angle views and
360-degree video content.
New services like cloud gaming
andAR apps also see a two hours and
one hourperweek average increase
respectively by 5G users.Analysis based
on passive smartphone measurement2
also shows that users in the US spent
an hourperweek on average on cloud
gaming services like Nvidia GeForce
NOW, in 2020.
In South Korea, 5G users seem to be
using multiple cloud gaming services.
GameBox, a 5G cloud game streaming
service by KT, saw roughly 20 minutes per
week of usage, while Xbox Game Pass
users spent 40 minutes perweek on the
SKT5GX Cloud Game service.
With more time being spent on
bandwidth-intensive apps, 5G early
adopters in oursurvey saw a monthly
data usage increase of 2.5 times
compared to 4G users. While 5G-powered
VR headsets are not commercially
available yet, and most usage is on Wi-Fi,
5G users already seem to be spending
more time usingVR content compared
to 4G users. Immersive video, which
includesAR andVR, already contributes
to 20 percent of total time spent by 5G
users on digital services listed in Figure 6.
Figure 6: Avg. increase in time spent per week (hrs:mins) by 5G early adopters on activities compared to 4G LTE users
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Australia, China, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Oman, Qatar, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Switzerland,
Taiwan, Thailand, the UAE, the UK and the US
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
1
SK Telecom report 2019
2
Ericsson analysis of App Annie data, Q4 2020-Q1 2021
20%
On average 1 in 5 users upgrading to
5G have decreased Wi-Fi usage at
home and other locations.
2 hours
5G users spend two hours more per
week on cloud gaming and one hour
more on AR apps than 4G users.
Using any kind
of VR content
+1 hr 11 mins
Watching 360-degree
HD videos
+ 1 hour
Streaming
HD music
+1 hr 16 mins
Streaming
HD videos
+1 hr 11 mins
Downloading
HD videos
+ 21 mins
Using any kind
of AR content
+1 hour
Using any kind
of VR content
+1 hr 11 mins
Watching live
streaming broadcasts
+ 1 hour
Watching 360-degree
HD videos
+ 1 hour
Streaming
HD music
+1 hr 16 mins
Streaming
HD videos
+1 hr 11 mins
Downloading
HD videos
+ 21 mins
Using any kind
of AR content
+ 1 hour
Cloud gaming on
your smart phone
+2 hours
Watching live
streaming broadcasts
+1 hour
9 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
Early adopters recommend 5G,
but expect more innovation
In most markets we see that 5G users are
very likely to recommend their service
provider’s brand to others, resulting in
higher Net Promoter Scores, a metric
used to assess brand referability. As
early adopters of new technology, these
users are more forgiving and trust that
operators are doing their best to build out
the network, so are patiently waiting for
coverage to improve. But this patience
won’t last long. While early adopters are
pleased with 5G network speeds, they are
already expressing dissatisfaction with
a lack of bundled new and innovative
apps and services, which they feel were
promised in the marketing pitch for 5G.
Our survey shows that higher satisfaction with 5G network performance
means 5G users are more likely to recommend their mobile service
operators, but they also expect more innovative services to be offered.
While 5G users seem to be satisfied
with network speeds, 70 percent are
dissatisfied with the innovative apps and
services bundled on the 5G plans. Apart
from some Asian markets such as South
Korea, Japan, Taiwan and China, in most
markets globally, service providers, while
attempting to drive a service-led strategy,
have been slow in bundling 5G with
digital services beyond what is already
being offered on 4G – such as music and
video steaming services and other apps.
Instead, service providers need to offer
exclusive content and services that could
differentiate a 5G experience from 4G and
promote a sense of novelty and exclusivity.
Figure 7: Net Promoter Scores by network technology
70%
A full 70 percent are dissatisfied
with the availability of innovative
services and expect new apps that
can take advantage of 5G
-38
-42
60
-60
20
-20
0
40
-40
North America
US
12
Asia and Oceania
China
Australia
Taiwan
South
Korea
-6
-43
-39
1
44
11
44
Middle East
KSA
UAE
Qatar
-3
32
24
15
14
6
5G users
4G users
Europe
Switzerland
37
-12
-7
-12
31
9
28
2
Romania
Italy
Ireland
UK
Finland
Germany
24
24
22
-13
15
1
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 15 markets in the survey
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
10 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
From showcases to
commercializing use cases
In this study we use the jobs-to-be-done
framework3
to help understand both the
consumer’s specific goal, or “job”, and the
thought processes that would lead to the
use of 5G to complete it. When looking
at 5G through a jobs-to-be-done lens,
consumer needs are shown by studying
the consumer core functional job or
outcomes that they wish to accomplish
using 5G. The study identified five jobs
or outcomes that consumers hope
5G will accomplish.
1. To be productive and efficient.
2. To be creative.
3. New ways of connecting and socializing.
4. The need for novelty
(thrill, surprise, discovery).
5. Rewarding me-time.
The value of the jobs-to-be-done theory
is that it provides an anchor point from
which service providers can create value
via new or existing use cases.
Despite the pandemic, smartphone
users surveyed are willing to pay
Identifying and understanding the jobs consumers want 5G to do is the first step in
envisioning and offering use cases that consumers want, especially ones they are
likely to pay for. 5G offers many possibilities to provide new digital services.
Figure 8: A consumer use case development roadmap for 5G
10 percent more on average for 5G plans
that offer enhanced mobile broadband
access. However, they are willing to
pay even more for plans with bundled
innovative digital services.
Globally, the inclusion of relevant
use cases on a 5G plan increased the
5G premium further, by 20–30 percent.
However, there are marked differences in
markets across the globe. In Australia
and the UK, smartphone users were willing
to pay an additional 7 percent, while in
UAE and China it was 30 percent and
45 percent more respectively, compared
to what smartphone users say they pay
today for a 4G plan.
Using the jobs-to-be-done framework,
we tested 27 different use case concepts
aligned with the consumer needs, to
assess which concepts consumers feel
are worth paying for, while also assessing
their current stage of commercialization.
Figure 8 shows the stage of each of the
individual use cases, mapped against their
relative success in persuading consumers
The commercialization of use cases
were benchmarked at three stages:
1. Business ready: digital services/
use cases that are currently being
bundled in 5G plans by service
providers orare widely available.
2.Technology showcases: use cases
that are currently relegated to just
technology demonstrations by service
providers.
3. Still in R&D: use cases that require
significant research and development
to solve technology complexity orsee
ecosystem readiness challenges.
Business ready
5G hot
zones 5G TV
Spatial
Hi-Fi music
Instant cloud
Interactive calling
Premuim esports
streaming
Multiplayer
AR gaming
In-venue
event experience
Best-seat event
experience
Social VR
Remote AR
concert
360-degree
video
livestreaming
Immersive learning
Health wearable
Virtual wellbeing
Transactable
AR
VR
shopping
5G in-car
entertainment
See-through
cars with 5G
3D hologram
calling
City AR cloud
Sensor enhanced
entertainment
VR cloud
gaming
VR passenger
entertainment
AR windows
Virtual meeting
Relative
importance
of
use
cases
in
driving
5G
premium
Low
impact
Medium
impact
R&D level
Showcase level
Stages of commercialization
High
impact
Percentage of
consumers
who think
the service
is worth
paying for
Lowest
(43%)
Highest
(66%)
Enhanced mobile broadband
Entertainment
Gaming and AR/VR
Shopping and immersive
communications
Smart home and IoT
Automotive
Cloud
gaming
to pay more for a 5G plan that includes a
combination of them. With 27 use cases
included in this roadmap, two-thirds of
valuable use cases rated by consumers
were found to be only in the technology
showcases or research and development
stage, and not available for consumers
to experience.
Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Finland, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Singapore, South
Korea, Thailand, UAE, UK, US, Uruguay
Source: Jobs-to-be-done framework; Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
3
www.christenseninstitute.org/jobs-to-be-done
11 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G
The value
of use cases
Across 26 markets in our survey,
16 percent of users are willing to give
up their current home broadband
provider to try a 5G FWA service.
In the US, while 5G FWA is an
opportunity to provide underserved
communities and rural pockets with more
broadband choices, it is also likely to
accelerate cord-cutting in urban areas.
There are two times more users in major
metro cities of the US who are willing to
switch their current home broadband
provider for 5G FWA, than in smaller towns
and rural counties. A quarter of users
in these mega/metro cities are already
looking to cut the cord, that is, give up on
their cable TV services in favor of streaming
alternatives. This opens up an opportunity
for a provider to offer 5G FWA bundled with
(5G TV) streaming alternatives.
Globally, 67 percent of consumers are
willing to pay for a 5G TV service, while
57 percent are willing to pay for a
best-seat event experience, a personalized
viewing experience for sports or other
5G home broadband is a rural and urban opportunity. In our survey, 18
percent of consumers see 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) services to be
extremely relevant.
events where users can pick custom
camera angles and watch replays.
In comparison, 44 percent of
consumers find premium multi-view
esports streaming services valuable, but
37 percent do not. The use cases viewed
as most valuable by consumers also vary
by market.
A recent ConsumerLab study 4
uncovered USD 31 trillion addressable
consumer revenues that will flow over 5G
networks by 2030. Service providers could
secure USD 3.7 trillion of this, driven by 5G
connectivity, which remains the biggest
revenue driver.
However, the greatest revenue boost
will come from bundling digital services
with 5G tariffs, in order to convince
consumers of the value of a 5G network
platform. Service providers togetherwith
other ecosystem players should accelerate
the commercialization of digital services
that are currently being used as showcases
of the new technology. This way they meet
consumer needs while unlocking the full
revenue potential of 5G.
Imagine an average day in 2025
You start your day at a café with a
remote team meeting, where you
and your colleagues appear as
3D holograms on yourAR glasses
powered by 5G. You collaborate on a
real-time 3D model with colleagues
sitting miles away, uploading work
files to the high-speed, secure,
instant cloud service over 5G.
You then take a walk to grab lunch
and your 5G-powered AR glasses
provide real-time contextual AR
advertising, reviews and ratings,
which are virtually anchored to
specific locations. The AR navigation
assistance leads you to nearby
restaurants, offering discounts based
on open AR cloud technology.
You end your day unwinding by
watching a soccer game, chatting
with friends virtually, first from your
smartphone and then moving to your
smartglasses, as multiple camera
angles in 4K quality give you the best
seat in the stadium.
It may seem futuristic, but these
are just some of the digital services
that could be enhanced by 5G and
consumers are looking forward to
being realized.
Key recommendations:
1. Enhance the value: address the knowledge gap to educate and better market
the value of 5G.
2. Consumers expect the quality of indoor and outdoor coverage to be consistent.
3. Adapt to network requirements of new services enabled by 5G.
4. Focus on the jobs consumers want 5G to do, to envision new use cases.
5. Go beyond just showcases: accelerate the commercialization of existing and
new use cases.
4
www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/consumerlab/reports/harnessing-the-5g-consumer-potential
The content of this document is subject to
revision without notice due to continued
progress in methodology, design and
manufacturing. Ericsson shall have no
liability for any error or damage of any kind
resulting from the use of this document
Ericsson
SE-164 80 Stockholm, Sweden
Telephone +46 10 719 0000
www.ericsson.com
GFTL-21:000688
© Ericsson 2020
Ericsson enables communications service providers
to capture the full value of connectivity.The company’s
portfolio spans Networks, Digital Services, Managed
Services, and Emerging Business and is designed to
help our customers go digital, increase efficiency and
find new revenue streams. Ericsson’s investments in
innovation have delivered the benefits of telephony
and mobile broadband to billions of people around
the world. The Ericsson stock is listed on Nasdaq
Stockholm and on Nasdaq New York.
www.ericsson.com

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How 5G Can Meet Rising Consumer Expectations

  • 1. Fivewaystoa better5G ericsson.com/ consumerlab Key trends influencing consumeradoption of 5G Ericsson Consumer and Market Insight report May 2021
  • 2. 2 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G Contents Methodology Quantitative data was collected from 26 markets in December2020. More than 30,730 online interviews were held with people aged 15–69, in markets where active 5G commercial networks were launched, as well as those without an active commercial network.These included Australia,Argentina, Brazil, China, Chile, France, Finland, Germany, Ireland, India, Italy, Indonesia, Oman, Peru, Qatar, Romania, South Korea, Singapore, Kingdom of SaudiArabia (KSA), Switzerland,Taiwan, Thailand, Uruguay, the UAE, the UK and the US.All respondents are smartphone owners and use the internet on a daily basis.Among these 30,730 interviews, 4,025 smartphone users were active 5G subscribers. This study is representative of the opinions of 1.3 billion smartphone users globally, including 220 million 5G subscribers by the end of December 2020. Qualitative insight was gathered through 44 interviews with 5G early adopters in New York, US; London, UK; and Seoul, South Korea, in March 2020 and February 2021 to understand the changes in perception of 5G. These respondents were early adopters of tech gadgets such as smart speakers and virtual reality (VR) headsets and were actively using mobile broadband connected to a 5G network. About Ericsson Consumer & IndustryLab Ericsson Consumer & IndustryLab delivers world-class research and insights for innovation and sustainable business development. We explore the future of consumers, industries and a sustainable society with regards to connectivity by using scientific methods to provide unique insights on markets, industries and consumer trends. Our knowledge is gained in global consumer and industry research programs, including collaborations with renowned industry organizations and world-leading universities. Our research programs cover interviews with over 100,000 individuals each year, in more than 40 countries – statistically representing the views of 1.1 billion people. All reports can be found at: www.ericsson.com/consumerlab 03 Meeting consumer expectations on 5G 04 State of consumer 5G 05 The 5G knowledge gap 06 5G drives network satisfaction 07 Pandemic fuels need for better indoor 5G 08 5G changes usage behavior 09 Early adopters recommend 5G, but expect more innovation 10 From showcases to commercializing use cases 11 The value of use cases 5G early markets (5G rolled out in 2019) 5G not launched by Jan 2021 5G launched in Dec 2020 5G launched by Nov 2020 Peru Ireland US Germany Switzerland Romania Finland Qatar KSA UAE Oman India Thailand Taiwan Indonesia Australia Singapore China South Korea France Italy Chile Argentina Uruguay Brazil UK 5G launched in 2019 5G not launched by Jan 2021 5G launched in Dec 2020 5G launched by Nov 2020 Peru Ireland US Germany Switzerland Romania Finland Qatar KSA UAE Oman India Thailand Indonesia Australia Singapore China South Korea France Italy Chile Argentina Uruguay Brazil UK Taiwan
  • 3. 3 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G Keyfindings: 1. Consumerintent to upgrade to 5G accelerates despite the pandemic. At least 300 million smartphone users could take up 5G in 2021. By the end of 2020, 22 percent more smartphone users with 5G-ready smartphones could have adopted 5G if knowledge gaps had been addressed. 2. 5G triggers changes in usage behavior, starts to displace Wi-Fi. 5G users spend two hours more perweek using cloud gaming and one hourmore on augmented reality (AR) apps compared to 4G users. 20 percent say they have decreased theirusage of Wi-Fi afterupgrading. 3. Indoor5G coverage more important forconsumers. 5G early adopters rate indoor5G coverage as two times more important than speed orbattery life in driving satisfaction. 4. Earlyadopters are pleasedwith 5G speeds but expect more innovation. Seventy percent are dissatisfied with the availability of innovative services and expect new applications making use of 5G. 5. Consumersvalue 5G plans bundledwith digital services and arewilling to pay 20–30 percent more. However, two-thirds of use cases highlyvalued by consumers have not yet been commercialized. Meeting consumer expectations on 5G As communications service providers in a growing number of markets switch on 5G, consumer expectations are rising faster than expected. Understanding the evolving consumer expectations around 5G is critical to drive adoption Analysis of the 5G network experience has mostlyfocused on 5G speeds and availability, based on independent network measurements. But it is equallyimportant to understand how5G earlyadopters perceive the 5G network experience.This report, the biggest ever5G consumerstudy, uncovers keytrends influencing the adoption, usage and perception of consumers towards 5G. The report suggests fiveways that service providers can meet consumerexpectations and improve their5G experience, nowand in the future: 1. Enhance thevalue: address the knowledge gap to educate and better market thevalue of 5G. 2. Consumers expect the qualityof indoor and outdoorcoverage to be consistent. 3.Adapt to network requirements of new services enabled by5G. 4. Focus on the jobs consumerswant 5G to do, to envision newuse cases. 5. Go beyond just showcases: accelerate the commercialization of existing and newuse cases.
  • 4. 4 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G State of consumer5G The number of live 5G markets is increasing daily as consumers become more aware of the technology and hype gives way to reality. But there is a wide disparity across the globe in terms of knowledge and intention to upgrade to 5G. When comparing consumers’ intentions to upgrade to a 5G smartphone in ourMarch 2019 5G consumersurvey, to ourDecember 2020 survey results, we see that despite the pandemic there is an average increase of two percentage points globally. India saw the biggest rise in intention, though 5G networks are not still not available to consumers.Among 5G markets, the US and South Korea show an increase. China saw a 7 percent decrease, but 51 percent of urban smartphone users in majorcities still wish to take up 5G. Italy, France, Germany, UK and Finland see a more moderate consumerintention to upgrade, as delays in commercial launches and rollout of 5G network coverage, financial uncertainty due to the pandemic, 5G misinformation campaigns and lack of compelling digital services enhanced by 5G, seem to have impacted consumerintentions to upgrade, compared to the excitement witnessed back in 2019. While globallywe see that 39 percent of consumers express an intention to upgrade to 5G, analysis based on current ownership of 5G smartphones, tech attitudes, life stage of consumers, income and demographics, reveals that only 21 percent of consumers would realistically upgrade to 5G in 2021, and the rest in 2022 orlater.This translates to at least 300 million consumers across the 20 markets in oursurveywho could be 5G subscribers in 2021. If 5G commercial launches do take place in othermarkets like India, Brazil and Indonesia, then we could surpass this figure. Figure 1: Percentage change in consumer intention to upgrade to 5G (March 2019 vs. December 2020) Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 20 markets in the survey Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021) 300m At least 300 million consumers could upgrade to 5G in 2021 +2pp Global NA +8pp US Europe -3pp UK Finland France Germany Ireland Italy ME +7pp KSA UAE Asia and Oceania +2pp Australia China Singapore Thailand South Korea Indonesia India SA +1pp Brazil Argentina Chile Uruguay 2% 2% 1% 7% 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 8% 8% -4% -4% -4% -5% 3% 13% -15% -8% -7% 13%
  • 5. 5 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G The 5G knowledge gap Across the 20 markets in our survey where 5G commercial networks are available, an average 4 percent of consumers own a 5G smartphone and have a 5G subscription. While 22 percent of smartphone users who own a 5G-ready smartphone are still using a 4G subscription, a further 4 percent claim they are on a 5G plan, but use a 4G smartphone. In China, this is 5 percent, and the blanket term “5G package customers” is often used by Chinese service providers to refer to anyone on a 5G subscription, regardless of whether they actually have a 5G device or access to a 5G network. In the US, our survey found 14 percent of smartphone users who claim they are on 5G were using a 4G smartphone and 12 percent who own a 5G smartphone say they have a 4G subscription. This suggests a lingering confusion and knowledge gap among consumers around device capability and compatibility, Consumer awareness of 5G potential remains high. However, marketing rhetoric that is heavy with tech jargon is limiting real understanding of its value, device capabilities and offerings. 5G network availability and lack of clarity on whether access to 5G is included by default or requires a change of plan or a specific smartphone model. Another factor is the inability to differentiate between Wi-Fi types like 5GHz vs. cellular 5G. In addition, different versions and flavors of 5G network capabilities being marketed using tech jargon by service providers are contributing to this knowledge gap. If the value of 5G technology had been better marketed, in terms that were more relevant to consumers’ needs, an additional 22 percent of consumers globally, who already owned 5G-ready smartphones in 2020, could have upgraded to a 5G plan. In markets such as India and Indonesia, where commercial 5G networks were not live, the survey found an existing installed base of 22 percent of smartphone users with a 5G-capable smartphone. This could provide a secure foundation for service providers to drive quick adoption of 5G. Since initial 5G deployment has focused largely on city centers and downtown areas that need capacity augmentation, consumer perception of 5G availability varies. In the UK, for example, consumers living in the city center perceive that they spent 1.5 times longer connected to a 5G network than those living in a suburban area. Figure 2: Percentage of consumers on 5G plans vs. ownership of 5G-ready smartphones Have a 5G phone, but only 4G subscription Claim 5G, but have a 4G phone 5G user with 5G phone Avg. across 5G markets 4% 22% 4% Australia 5% 20% 5% Brazil 26% China 8% 33% 5% Finland 4% 16% 6% France 24% Germany 3% 26% 5% Ireland 3% 22% 4% Italy 1% 23% 2% KSA 8% 25% 8% Qatar 8% 13% 8% Romania 3% 23% 4% South Korea 18% 18% 9% Switzerland 9% 22% 4% UAE 7% 24% 7% UK 3% 13% 3% US 5% 12% 14% Oman 5% 20% 9% Taiwan 3% 20% 2% Singapore 3% 28% 3% Thailand 2% 28% 3% Avg. across non-5G markets 21% Indonesia 19% India 22% Argentina 24% Chile 22% Peru 21% Uruguay 16% x5 Improving consumer perception of 5G availability could increase the likelihood of adoption by at least five times Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 26 markets in the survey Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
  • 6. 6 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G 5G drives network satisfaction Among smartphone users with 5G-ready smartphones and a 5G plan, across the 15 markets in oursurvey, we already see that an average of 10 percent more users are very satisfied with 5G, compared to those using 4G. However, this varies by markets and depends on factors such as the extent of outdoorand indoor5G coverage, speeds, reliability, the quantity and type of spectrum available to service providers, device availability and consumer expectations in that market. In Switzerland, 59 percent are very satisfied with 5G network performance, while only 30 percent are very satisfied with 4G. In the US, while we already see 14 percent more users being very satisfied with 5G early adopters seem to be more satisfied with 5G than smartphone users connected with 4G LTE. 5G compared to 4G, the release and usage of new mid-band frequencies would bring a furtherpositive shift in 5G performance. On the otherhand, in South Korea, smartphone users are very discerning and rate the 5G network experience lowerin comparison to a fully developed and built out 4G experience. While 31 percent are very satisfied with 4G, 27 percent are with 5G.This lowerlevel of satisfaction could be attributed to exaggerated claims of 5G performance made during the promotion period, unsatisfactory 5G indoorcoverage, a lack of more diverse and affordable price plans limiting consumerchoices, and an already superior4G and home Wi-Fi experience as a benchmark. While this is a deviation from the trend seen in othermarkets, it doesn’t mean that the South Korean 5G deployment is subpar. To understand the extremely high expectations and benchmarks of South Korean consumers we need to look back at satisfaction levels measured by Ericsson ConsumerLab in 2012–13, when 4G was launched in South Korea.The share of consumers satisfied with 4G back then is similarto the level we see nowwith 5G, suggesting that when compared to consumers in othermarkets, South Korean consumers expect much more from their service providers — superiorperformance, no gaps in coverage and new innovative services, especiallywhen they are asked to pay a premium fora 5G subscription plan. Figure 3: Global trends in 5G vs 4G LTE network satisfaction Figure 4: Consumer satisfaction trend with 4G LTE network in South Korea 60% 20% 0% 40% 50% 10% 30% UK Switzerland Romania Italy Ireland Finland Germany China Australia Taiwan South Korea US KSA UAE Qatar Percentage of smartphone users Share of users very satisfied with 4G network Share of users very satisfied with 5G 60% 20% 0% 40% 50% 10% 30% Europe UK Switzerland Romania Italy Ireland Finland Germany Asia and Oceania China Australia Taiwan South Korea North America US Middle East KSA UAE Qatar Percentage of smartphone users Share of users very satisfied with 4G network Share of users very satisfied with 5G 2013 26% 27% 2014 Share of users satisfied with 4G LTE 27% 2015 27% 2016 27% 2017 33% 2018 31% 2019 31% 2020 5G launched April 2019 4G launched April 2012 5G 27% Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 15 markets in the survey Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021); ConsumerLab Analytical Platform 2013–2021
  • 7. 7 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G Pandemic fuels need forbetterindoor5G With more time spent at home, the first experience that some consumers had with 5G in 2020 was indoors. Our analysis looked at consumer satisfaction vs. the relative importance of different network parameters, such as 5G network speeds, outdoor coverage and indoor coverage, among others. It suggests that 5G indoor coverage, at home and in public places like malls and stores, is relatively more important than 5G speeds and even battery life in driving overall consumer satisfaction, especially during the pandemic. In South Korea, as many as half were dissatisfied with their indoor 5G coverage, and 40 percent in Taiwan say the same. In Australia, while 35 percent say they were satisfied with indoor coverage, 24 percent were not. During the COVID-19 pandemic, countries across the world implemented a range of stringent policies, including stay-at-home lockdowns, school and workplace closures and cancellation of events and public gatherings, moving daily activities indoors. Figure 5: Level of satisfaction vs. importance of 5G network indicators Level of satisfaction with operator’s 5G Fix problems (potential driver!) Relative importance High High Low Data reliability 5G coverage at other indoor places 5G coverage at home Battery life performance when using 5G network Extent of 5G coverage outdoors 5G mobile data speed Voice coverage Voice reliability Voice quality Level of satisfaction with operator’s 5G Fix problems (potential driver!) Relative importance High Low Data reliability 5G coverage at other indoor places 5G coverage at home Battery life performance when using 5G network Extent of 5G coverage outdoors 5G mobile data speed Voice reliability Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Australia, China, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Oman, Qatar, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, the UAE, the UK and the US Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021) The pandemic has fuelled the need for more consistent 5G indoor coverage
  • 8. 8 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G 5G changes usage behavior On average one in five users upgrading to 5G have decreased Wi-Fi usage at home and otherlocations. In markets like the US,Taiwan, Switzerland, Finland, and South Korea, where a higherproportion of 5G users are on unlimited plans, 22 percent have decreased theirhome Wi-Fi usage, while 10 percent claim they have stopped using Wi-Fi on smartphones afterupgrading to 5G. Back inAugust 2019, SKTelecom also reported this trend,1 with average monthly Wi-Fi usage time of 5G users decreasing by about 37 percent from 4.3 hours to 2.7 hours. Households with three ormore members actively using home broadband were more likely to report a decrease in theirreliance on Wi-Fi once they upgraded to 5G. During the pandemic, with home broadband usage at an all-time high, consumers seem to be relying on 5G cellular connectivity as a backup when performance issues arise with shared home Wi-Fi. When comparing usage of digital services between 5G vs. 4G, 5G users are more engaged with using high bandwidth immersive digital services than 4G users. 5G users not only spend two hours more perweek streaming high definition mobile video than 4G users, but have also started to use enhanced video apps involving With improvements in 5G performance and unlimited plans across markets, we are starting to see new usage behaviors and a displacement of Wi-Fi usage both at home and in other locations. streaming of multi-angle views and 360-degree video content. New services like cloud gaming andAR apps also see a two hours and one hourperweek average increase respectively by 5G users.Analysis based on passive smartphone measurement2 also shows that users in the US spent an hourperweek on average on cloud gaming services like Nvidia GeForce NOW, in 2020. In South Korea, 5G users seem to be using multiple cloud gaming services. GameBox, a 5G cloud game streaming service by KT, saw roughly 20 minutes per week of usage, while Xbox Game Pass users spent 40 minutes perweek on the SKT5GX Cloud Game service. With more time being spent on bandwidth-intensive apps, 5G early adopters in oursurvey saw a monthly data usage increase of 2.5 times compared to 4G users. While 5G-powered VR headsets are not commercially available yet, and most usage is on Wi-Fi, 5G users already seem to be spending more time usingVR content compared to 4G users. Immersive video, which includesAR andVR, already contributes to 20 percent of total time spent by 5G users on digital services listed in Figure 6. Figure 6: Avg. increase in time spent per week (hrs:mins) by 5G early adopters on activities compared to 4G LTE users Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Australia, China, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Oman, Qatar, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, the UAE, the UK and the US Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021) 1 SK Telecom report 2019 2 Ericsson analysis of App Annie data, Q4 2020-Q1 2021 20% On average 1 in 5 users upgrading to 5G have decreased Wi-Fi usage at home and other locations. 2 hours 5G users spend two hours more per week on cloud gaming and one hour more on AR apps than 4G users. Using any kind of VR content +1 hr 11 mins Watching 360-degree HD videos + 1 hour Streaming HD music +1 hr 16 mins Streaming HD videos +1 hr 11 mins Downloading HD videos + 21 mins Using any kind of AR content +1 hour Using any kind of VR content +1 hr 11 mins Watching live streaming broadcasts + 1 hour Watching 360-degree HD videos + 1 hour Streaming HD music +1 hr 16 mins Streaming HD videos +1 hr 11 mins Downloading HD videos + 21 mins Using any kind of AR content + 1 hour Cloud gaming on your smart phone +2 hours Watching live streaming broadcasts +1 hour
  • 9. 9 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G Early adopters recommend 5G, but expect more innovation In most markets we see that 5G users are very likely to recommend their service provider’s brand to others, resulting in higher Net Promoter Scores, a metric used to assess brand referability. As early adopters of new technology, these users are more forgiving and trust that operators are doing their best to build out the network, so are patiently waiting for coverage to improve. But this patience won’t last long. While early adopters are pleased with 5G network speeds, they are already expressing dissatisfaction with a lack of bundled new and innovative apps and services, which they feel were promised in the marketing pitch for 5G. Our survey shows that higher satisfaction with 5G network performance means 5G users are more likely to recommend their mobile service operators, but they also expect more innovative services to be offered. While 5G users seem to be satisfied with network speeds, 70 percent are dissatisfied with the innovative apps and services bundled on the 5G plans. Apart from some Asian markets such as South Korea, Japan, Taiwan and China, in most markets globally, service providers, while attempting to drive a service-led strategy, have been slow in bundling 5G with digital services beyond what is already being offered on 4G – such as music and video steaming services and other apps. Instead, service providers need to offer exclusive content and services that could differentiate a 5G experience from 4G and promote a sense of novelty and exclusivity. Figure 7: Net Promoter Scores by network technology 70% A full 70 percent are dissatisfied with the availability of innovative services and expect new apps that can take advantage of 5G -38 -42 60 -60 20 -20 0 40 -40 North America US 12 Asia and Oceania China Australia Taiwan South Korea -6 -43 -39 1 44 11 44 Middle East KSA UAE Qatar -3 32 24 15 14 6 5G users 4G users Europe Switzerland 37 -12 -7 -12 31 9 28 2 Romania Italy Ireland UK Finland Germany 24 24 22 -13 15 1 Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 across 15 markets in the survey Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021)
  • 10. 10 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G From showcases to commercializing use cases In this study we use the jobs-to-be-done framework3 to help understand both the consumer’s specific goal, or “job”, and the thought processes that would lead to the use of 5G to complete it. When looking at 5G through a jobs-to-be-done lens, consumer needs are shown by studying the consumer core functional job or outcomes that they wish to accomplish using 5G. The study identified five jobs or outcomes that consumers hope 5G will accomplish. 1. To be productive and efficient. 2. To be creative. 3. New ways of connecting and socializing. 4. The need for novelty (thrill, surprise, discovery). 5. Rewarding me-time. The value of the jobs-to-be-done theory is that it provides an anchor point from which service providers can create value via new or existing use cases. Despite the pandemic, smartphone users surveyed are willing to pay Identifying and understanding the jobs consumers want 5G to do is the first step in envisioning and offering use cases that consumers want, especially ones they are likely to pay for. 5G offers many possibilities to provide new digital services. Figure 8: A consumer use case development roadmap for 5G 10 percent more on average for 5G plans that offer enhanced mobile broadband access. However, they are willing to pay even more for plans with bundled innovative digital services. Globally, the inclusion of relevant use cases on a 5G plan increased the 5G premium further, by 20–30 percent. However, there are marked differences in markets across the globe. In Australia and the UK, smartphone users were willing to pay an additional 7 percent, while in UAE and China it was 30 percent and 45 percent more respectively, compared to what smartphone users say they pay today for a 4G plan. Using the jobs-to-be-done framework, we tested 27 different use case concepts aligned with the consumer needs, to assess which concepts consumers feel are worth paying for, while also assessing their current stage of commercialization. Figure 8 shows the stage of each of the individual use cases, mapped against their relative success in persuading consumers The commercialization of use cases were benchmarked at three stages: 1. Business ready: digital services/ use cases that are currently being bundled in 5G plans by service providers orare widely available. 2.Technology showcases: use cases that are currently relegated to just technology demonstrations by service providers. 3. Still in R&D: use cases that require significant research and development to solve technology complexity orsee ecosystem readiness challenges. Business ready 5G hot zones 5G TV Spatial Hi-Fi music Instant cloud Interactive calling Premuim esports streaming Multiplayer AR gaming In-venue event experience Best-seat event experience Social VR Remote AR concert 360-degree video livestreaming Immersive learning Health wearable Virtual wellbeing Transactable AR VR shopping 5G in-car entertainment See-through cars with 5G 3D hologram calling City AR cloud Sensor enhanced entertainment VR cloud gaming VR passenger entertainment AR windows Virtual meeting Relative importance of use cases in driving 5G premium Low impact Medium impact R&D level Showcase level Stages of commercialization High impact Percentage of consumers who think the service is worth paying for Lowest (43%) Highest (66%) Enhanced mobile broadband Entertainment Gaming and AR/VR Shopping and immersive communications Smart home and IoT Automotive Cloud gaming to pay more for a 5G plan that includes a combination of them. With 27 use cases included in this roadmap, two-thirds of valuable use cases rated by consumers were found to be only in the technology showcases or research and development stage, and not available for consumers to experience. Base: Smartphone users aged 15–69 in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Finland, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, KSA, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, UAE, UK, US, Uruguay Source: Jobs-to-be-done framework; Ericsson ConsumerLab, Five ways to a better 5G (May 2021) 3 www.christenseninstitute.org/jobs-to-be-done
  • 11. 11 Ericsson  |  Five ways to a better 5G The value of use cases Across 26 markets in our survey, 16 percent of users are willing to give up their current home broadband provider to try a 5G FWA service. In the US, while 5G FWA is an opportunity to provide underserved communities and rural pockets with more broadband choices, it is also likely to accelerate cord-cutting in urban areas. There are two times more users in major metro cities of the US who are willing to switch their current home broadband provider for 5G FWA, than in smaller towns and rural counties. A quarter of users in these mega/metro cities are already looking to cut the cord, that is, give up on their cable TV services in favor of streaming alternatives. This opens up an opportunity for a provider to offer 5G FWA bundled with (5G TV) streaming alternatives. Globally, 67 percent of consumers are willing to pay for a 5G TV service, while 57 percent are willing to pay for a best-seat event experience, a personalized viewing experience for sports or other 5G home broadband is a rural and urban opportunity. In our survey, 18 percent of consumers see 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) services to be extremely relevant. events where users can pick custom camera angles and watch replays. In comparison, 44 percent of consumers find premium multi-view esports streaming services valuable, but 37 percent do not. The use cases viewed as most valuable by consumers also vary by market. A recent ConsumerLab study 4 uncovered USD 31 trillion addressable consumer revenues that will flow over 5G networks by 2030. Service providers could secure USD 3.7 trillion of this, driven by 5G connectivity, which remains the biggest revenue driver. However, the greatest revenue boost will come from bundling digital services with 5G tariffs, in order to convince consumers of the value of a 5G network platform. Service providers togetherwith other ecosystem players should accelerate the commercialization of digital services that are currently being used as showcases of the new technology. This way they meet consumer needs while unlocking the full revenue potential of 5G. Imagine an average day in 2025 You start your day at a café with a remote team meeting, where you and your colleagues appear as 3D holograms on yourAR glasses powered by 5G. You collaborate on a real-time 3D model with colleagues sitting miles away, uploading work files to the high-speed, secure, instant cloud service over 5G. You then take a walk to grab lunch and your 5G-powered AR glasses provide real-time contextual AR advertising, reviews and ratings, which are virtually anchored to specific locations. The AR navigation assistance leads you to nearby restaurants, offering discounts based on open AR cloud technology. You end your day unwinding by watching a soccer game, chatting with friends virtually, first from your smartphone and then moving to your smartglasses, as multiple camera angles in 4K quality give you the best seat in the stadium. It may seem futuristic, but these are just some of the digital services that could be enhanced by 5G and consumers are looking forward to being realized. Key recommendations: 1. Enhance the value: address the knowledge gap to educate and better market the value of 5G. 2. Consumers expect the quality of indoor and outdoor coverage to be consistent. 3. Adapt to network requirements of new services enabled by 5G. 4. Focus on the jobs consumers want 5G to do, to envision new use cases. 5. Go beyond just showcases: accelerate the commercialization of existing and new use cases. 4 www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/consumerlab/reports/harnessing-the-5g-consumer-potential
  • 12. The content of this document is subject to revision without notice due to continued progress in methodology, design and manufacturing. Ericsson shall have no liability for any error or damage of any kind resulting from the use of this document Ericsson SE-164 80 Stockholm, Sweden Telephone +46 10 719 0000 www.ericsson.com GFTL-21:000688 © Ericsson 2020 Ericsson enables communications service providers to capture the full value of connectivity.The company’s portfolio spans Networks, Digital Services, Managed Services, and Emerging Business and is designed to help our customers go digital, increase efficiency and find new revenue streams. Ericsson’s investments in innovation have delivered the benefits of telephony and mobile broadband to billions of people around the world. The Ericsson stock is listed on Nasdaq Stockholm and on Nasdaq New York. www.ericsson.com