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Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                     ®
                                                                                                : China
                 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om




                                                                                                          China
December 18, 2012
SCOTT GALLOWAY
NYU Stern

doug guthrie
The George Washington
School of Business

Distribution of this report violates copyright, trademark and intellectual property laws.                    © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com
Co-hosted by:




                            NYC




                       FOCUS 2013                JANUARY 24, 2013 | NYU STERN

       This half-day, three module clinic hosted at NYU Stern will look at opportunities and trends that brands will face in 2013.
          Topics include China, the Changing Landscape of Retail, and The Enterprise Effect. Industry experts will discuss new
          opportunities for prestige brands in China, brand case studies will highlight effective strategies of dealing with trends
                 in retail and L2 will present data on how the Enterprise Effect can be a friend and a foe to prestige brands.

                                                                    Tentative Agenda


MODULE 1: China                                       MODULE 2: Changing Landscape of Retail                MODULE 3: The Enterprise Effect

(featuring)                                           (featuring)                                           (featuring)

Scott Galloway                                        SapientNitro presents Connected Experience:           Maureen Mullen
Founder                                               A Glimpse into the Highly Personalized                Director of Research & Advisory
L2                                                    Shopping Experience                                   L2

Doug Guthrie                                          Alisa Gould-Simon                                     Sonia Marciano
Dean                                                  Co-Founder & VP of Creative Partnerships              Clinical Full Professor of
The George Washington School of Business              Pose.com                                              Management and Organizations
                                                                                                            NYU Stern
Vimla Gupta & Andra Mielnicki
Vice President of Global Marketing
Executive Director of Global Communications
BeautyBank
Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com

              Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                                          ®
                                                                                                                  : China
              To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Watch the



                   Doubt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          China Video
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Click to Play




                 For the first time in a decade, China is a question mark for the prestige industry.


                  A
                                 midst slowing growth and political uncertainty, luxury executives                                                   Quarterly Chinese Luxury Retail Sales Growth
                                 are questioning whether the deceleration is temporary or the                                                                                     YoY Fixed Exchange Rate
                                                                                                                                                                                       Q2 2011–Q3 2012
                                 beginning of the end. We continue to believe China offers more
                                                                                                                                                                                                   34%
                  upside, often linked to digital, than any other luxury market. However, there
                  is also more complexity and barriers to realizing return:                                                                                                                      Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                     2011
                  •	 While Mainland China’s organic luxury sales growth softened to single digits,1




                                                                                                                                                            %
                                                                                                                                                        47

                                                                                                                                                            Q2




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  26
                      Chinese tourist spend abroad increased 58 percent in Q3 2012,2 suggesting




                                                                                                                                                                       1
                                                                                                                                                                   201




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Q2411


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Barclays Equity Research
                      consumer demand remains robust.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                  •	 In the next three years, Chinese e-commerce sales are projected to triple.
                      However, two thirds of online sales will remain on C2C channels such as




                                                                                                                                                                                             201
                                                                                                                                                                                     Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                 2
                      Taobao. Poor fulfillment infrastructure, security concerns, and nascent payment




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Q112
                                                                                                                                                                                     6 %




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     20


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  %
                      systems pose challenges to traditional direct e-commerce businesses.                                                                                                         2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 21
                  •	 Pricing arbitrage continues to threaten fledging e-commerce businesses.                                                                                                     Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                                   16%
                      U.S. and European retailers ranging from Neiman Marcus to House of Fraser
                      ship to China and advertise products at a fraction of the domestic price.
                                                                                                                                                        Chinese E-Commerce Transaction Volume
                  •	 Sixty-one percent of Chinese high-net-worth individuals indicate the Internet                                                                                        Q1 2010–Q3 2012                                                                                    45.6
                      is a primary source for brand information, more than any other channel.3                                                Total Online Shopping (Billion USD)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  43.1

                      However, while digital, social media, and video platforms may be the best                                               B2C Online Shopping (Billion USD)                                            36.9        36.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                31.7
                      places to reach Chinese consumers, the landscape is fragmented, with                                                                                                            28.4
                                                                                                                                                                              25.9        26.0
                      players emerging and declining in importance each year.
                                                                                                                                                                   18.3
                                                                                                                                                        16.3                                                                                                                             16.23
                                                                                                                                              13.6                                                                                            14.35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10.75      9.98




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Source: iResearch
                                                                                                                                                                                                             7.26
                                                                                                                                                                           4.08      5.02        5.91
                                                                                                                                           1.49      1.93       2.62

                                                                                                                                            Q1        Q2         Q3         Q4           Q1        Q2         Q3          Q4          Q1        Q2                                         Q3
                                                                                                                                            2010      2010       2010       2010         2011      2011       2011        2011        2012      2012                                       2012
                                                                                                                                                                               YoY Percent Growth E-Commerce
                                                                                                                                            81%       80%        53%        88% 92% 75% 73% 43%                                    41%          52%                                        44%

                                                                                                                                                             YoY Percent Growth B2C E-Commerce
                  1.	 “Investor Question Series: Will political change in China be a catalyst for growth?,” Barclays, November 16, 2012.   181% 209% 233% 199% 237% 206% 178% 164%                                                 99%         143% 124%
                  2.	 Global Blue Q3 data.
                  3.	 HuRun Report 2012.

© L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3
Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com

              Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                   ®
                                                                                           : China
              To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om

                                                                                                                  China: Average Time Spent vs. Percentage of Ad Spend
                  Visible Hand                                                                                                                             2011
                                                                                                                       2.8
                  Attempting to ease public concern regarding the widening wealth gap, the
                                                                                                                                            2.5
                  Chinese government continues to place restrictions on traditional luxury
                  advertising. Just as errant attempts to legislate tobacco companies from                                   40%                                              % of Total Ad Spend
                                                                                                                                                                              Average Time Spent (Hours)
                  television in the U.S. resulted in a surge of innovation (e.g., CRM, point of purchase
                  investment, better packaging), the visible hand of the Chinese government has
                  inspired a wave of innovation in digital marketing via tighter regulation of traditional
                  media. Chinese digital marketing spend is set to double over the next three years.4                                                                     19%
                                                                                                                                                  18%
                  The increased investment and online innovation will inspire consumer exploration and                                                              0.7
                  purchase that may supplant traditional methods, transforming the Chinese digital                                                                                                9%
                                                                                                                                                                                            0.3
                  ecosystem into the global role model, versus the fast follower.

                  The Same, but Different
                  Many viewed digital as an agent of integration into the global community.                              TV                Internet               Newspapers               Magazines
                  However, while economic integration marches on, China’s digital landscape
                                                                                                                   Percentage of High Net Worth Individuals Who Claim as Source of Product Info
                  is becoming more distinct. The “Great Firewall of China” has strengthened as
                                                                                                                        51%                  61%                      43%                     50%
                  government control over Internet and mobile content tightens, fostering a “Wild
                                                                                                                                    Source: Ipsos via Zenith Media and CMMS Summer 2011.
                  East” mentality resulting in local entrepreneurship and innovation. In this year’s
                  Index we saw the emergence of several forces: So.com, in a few short months,
                                                                                                             Digital IQ = Shareholder Value
                  has captured greater market share than Google, Pinterest-like curation platforms
                                                                                                             Our thesis is that the success of prestige brands in China is inextricably
                  Meilishuo and Mogujie are gaining traction, and Tencent-owned WeChat, a mobile
                                                                                                             linked to digital competence. This study attempts to quantify the digital
                  messaging service, has skyrocketed to 200 million users.
                                                                                                             performance of 100 iconic brands in China. Our aim is to provide a robust tool to

                  Underinvestment?                                                                           diagnose digital strengths and weaknesses and help managers achieve greater

                  Despite opportunity, digital investment remains modest. Brands’ Chinese sites              return on incremental investment.

                  register average load times of 24.1 seconds, four times their global peers. One in five    Like the medium we are assessing, our methodology is dynamic, and we hope
                  prestige brands host their site in China and just over half display prices in RMB. While   you reach out to us with comments that improve our approach, investigation, and
                  Sina Weibo adoption by prestige brands has reached 91 percent, and the industry            findings. You can reach us at scott@stern.nyu.edu and guthrie@gwu.edu.
                  has registered double-digit increases in mobile, social, and search engine marketing
                  adoption, just four brands have launched direct e-commerce since 2011. Third party
                  players, including Western retailers, are filling the void and offering brands a trusted
                  platform. However, in exchange, brands sacrifice control and a direct relationship with
                                                                                                             Scott Galloway                                   Doug guthrie
                  the end consumer.
                                                                                                             Professor of Marketing, NYU Stern                Dean, The George Washington
                                                                                                             Founder, L2                                      University School of Business
                                                                                                                                                              Founder, Guthrie & Associates

                  4.	 “Q2 2012 Global Digital Advertising Update,” Adobe, July 2012.

© L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED                                                                                                                                                     4
Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com

              Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                     ®
                                                                                             : China
              To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om




                 ABOUT THE RANKING
                                                                                                    The Methodology
                                                        Mobile Site               Android Applications




                       20%                                                                                                                                     30%
                                                        • Compatibility of        • Availability in China
                                                          China Site              • Popularity
                                                        • Functionality           • Functionality


                       Mobile
                                                        • Transaction
                                                          Capability
                                                                                                                                                                                              Site
                                                        iOS Applications                                                                                       Localization of site features
                                                        • Availability in China                                                                                • Technology: Load Time, Hosting Location
        Compatibility, optimization, and
                                                        • Popularity                                                                                           • Customer Service & Store Locator
        marketing on smartphones and tablets
                                                        • Functionality                                                                                        • Product Page
                                                                                                                                                               • E-Commerce & Checkout
                                                                                                                                                               • Integration of Chinese Social Media
                                                                                                                                                               • Innovation: Product Customization, BBS/Microsites,




                  30%
                                                                                                                                                                 Category-Specific Functionality
                                                        Brand presence, community size,
                                                        content and engagement
                                                        SNS
                                                        • Sina Weibo          • Page Size & Growth
                  Social Media                                                                                                                         g
                                                                                                                                                               Search                            BBS, Social, and Baidu Buzz




                                                                                                                            0%
                                                                              • Post Frequency
                                                                                                                                                   tin
                                                        • Tencent Weibo
                                                                                                                                                               • Traffic                         • Mentions
                                                                              • Reposts & Comments
                                                                                                                                                 e
                                                                                                                                              rk
                                                        • Kaixin



                                                                                                                          2
                                                                                                                                                               • Web Authority                   • Average Daily Searches
                                                        • Renren              • Tabs & Applications                                      a
                                                        • Douban              • Engagement Rate
                                                                                                                                   ta  lM                 nd
                                                                                                                                                               • SEO & SEM:                      Email

                                                                                                                               igi
                                                                                                                                                      a          Baidu, So.com, Google
                                                                                                                                                  ia,                                            • Frequency
                                                        Video Sites
                                                                                                                             D                   ed            Advertising & Innovation          • Language
                                                                              • Views                                                         lm     ts
                                                        • Youku
                                                                                                                                           ita effor
                                                                                                                                         ig g                  • Online & Offline Synergies      • Content
                                                        • Tudou               • Number of Uploads
                                                                                                                                      ,d      n
                                                                              • View & Subscriber Growth                           rch rketi                   • Cross Platform Initiatives      • Chinese Social Media
                                                                                                                              S ea      a                      • Emerging Social Platform          Integration
                                                                                                                                      m
                                                                                                                                  ail
                                                                              • Viral Videos
                                                                                                                                                                 Adoption (WeChat, Meilishuo
                                                                                                                              em                                 & Mogujie, iQiyi, Jiepang)
 Note: Brand’s were scored based on effectivenees on platforms they participate on



                                                                                                    Digital IQ Classes
Genius 140+                                                               Gifted 110–139                               Average 90–109                            Challenged 70–89                            Feeble < 70
Digital competence is a point of competitive differentiation.             Brands are experimenting and innovating      Digital presence is siloed                Digital efforts lack.                       Investment does not
Successful multi-channel, digital campaigns; functional                   across their site, mobile, traditional and   by dimension.                                                                         match opportunity.
sites that cater to local needs; strong social presence                   emerging social media platforms.
and integration across platforms.



© L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED                                                                                                                                                             5
GENIUS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Estée Lauder
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Audi

                Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                  ®
                                                                                            : China
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Chow Tai Fook
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lancôme
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         GIFTED
                To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om                                                                                                                                                Volvo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            BMW
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Buick
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Land Rover
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Benefit Cosmetics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Burberry
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Clarins
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Shiseido
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Louis Vuitton


                   DIGITAL IQ RANKING
                   Key Findings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sephora
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Chanel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jaguar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Kiehl’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Shangri-La
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Biotherm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Coach
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             SK-II
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cartier
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      AVERAGE
         RANK                                            DIGITAL IQ               RANK BRAND                          DIGITAL IQ            RANK BRAND                                       DIGITAL IQ                 Herborist
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mercedes-Benz
genius




                                                                         GIFTED




                                                                                                                                   GIFTED
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Swarovski
         1                                                                                                                                                                                                               Cadillac
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Clinique
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ferrari

                                                                                   5                                     138                11                                                  120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Tiffany & Co.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Bobbi Brown
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Gucci
                                                            156                                                                                  Shiseido
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Origins
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Porsche
                                                                                       Zhejiang Geely Holding Group                                                                                             Jaeger-LeCoultre
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Marriott
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Infiniti
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Armani
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Hilton
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 InterContinental
                  The Estée Lauder Companies
                                                                                   6                                     136                13                                                  118
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 CHALLENGED
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Dior
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Van Cleef & Arpels
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Raymond Weil
         2                                                                             BMW Group                                                 LVMH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Westin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                M.A.C Cosmetics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        St. Regis
                                                                                                                                                                                                          L’Occitane en Provence
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Guerlain
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Dolce & Gabbana
                                                            152                                                                                                                                                IWC Schaffhausen

                                                                                   6                                                        13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Maserati
                                                                                                                         136                                                                    118                       Yue-Sai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Four Seasons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Hugo Boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Mandarin Oriental
                                                                                       General Motors                                            LVMH                                                                  Park Hyatt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 The Ritz-Carlton
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         FEEBLE
                       Volkswagen Group                                                                                                                                                                              Aston Martin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Wyndham
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sofitel Luxury Hotels

         3                                                                         8                                                        15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Alfred Dunhill
                                                                                                                         133                                                                    117                        Bulgari
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Omega
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Rolex
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Longines
                                                                                       Tata Motors                                               Chanel                                                                  Valentino
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Lexus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Kempinski
                                                            151                                                                                                                                                          Fairmont
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Piaget
                                                                                                                                                                                                           The Peninsula Hotels
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Bottega Veneta
                                                                                   9                                     129                16                                                  116                    Montblanc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TAG Heuer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Bally
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Hublot
                                                                                       LVMH                                                      Tata Motors                                                                Acura
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Calvin Klein
                    Chow Tai Fook Enterprises                                                                                                                                                                             Pandora
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Elizabeth Arden
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Lamborghini
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Ports 1961

         4                                                                        10                                     124                17                                                  115
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Balenciaga
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Waldorf Astoria
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Ermenegildo Zegna
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Chloé
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Givenchy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Conrad
                                                                                       Burberry Group                                            L’Oréal                                                    Salvatore Ferragamo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         De Beers
                                                            142                                                                                                                                           Diane von Furstenberg
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Hermés
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Vacheron Constantin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Fendi

                                                                                  11                                                        18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Versace
                                                                                                                         120                                                                    113               Shanghai Tang
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Prada
genius




                                                                         GIFTED




                                                                                                                                   GIFTED




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Harry Winston
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Baccarat
                            L’Oréal                                                    Clarins Group                                             Shangri-La International Hotel Management                         Patek Philippe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ralph Lauren


  © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED                                                                                                                                                    6
GENIUS
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Estée Lauder
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Audi

                  Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index                                  ®
                                                                                              : China
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Chow Tai Fook
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Lancôme
                                                                                                                                                                                                          GIFTED
                  To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om                                                                                                                               Volvo
                                                                                                                                                                                                             BMW
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Buick
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Land Rover
                                                                                                                                                                                                Benefit Cosmetics
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Burberry
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Clarins
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Shiseido
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Louis Vuitton


                         DIGITAL IQ RANKING
                         Key Findings
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sephora
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Chanel
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jaguar
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Kiehl’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Shangri-La
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Biotherm
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Coach
                                                                                                                                                                                                              SK-II
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Cartier
                                                                                                                                                                                                       AVERAGE
          RANK BRAND                               DIGITAL IQ                     RANK BRAND                     DIGITAL IQ             RANK BRAND                            DIGITAL IQ                 Herborist
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mercedes-Benz
gifted




                                                                         GIFTED
                                                                       average




                                                                                                                              average
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Swarovski
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cadillac
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Clinique
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Ferrari

          19                                          112                         26                                105                 33                                       93                  Tiffany & Co.
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Bobbi Brown
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Gucci
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Origins
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Porsche
               L’Oréal                                                                 General Motors                                        Volkswagen Group                                    Jaeger-LeCoultre
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Marriott
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Infiniti
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Armani
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Hilton
                                                                                                                                                                                                  InterContinental

          20                                          111                         27                                101                 34                                       92               CHALLENGED
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Dior
                                                                                                                                                                                               Van Cleef & Arpels
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Raymond Weil
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Westin
               Coach                                                                   Estée Lauder Companies                                Compagnie Financière Richemont                      M.A.C Cosmetics
                                                                                                                                                                                                         St. Regis
                                                                                                                                                                                           L’Occitane en Provence
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Guerlain
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Dolce & Gabbana
                                                                                                                                                                                                IWC Schaffhausen

          20                                                                      28                                                    34
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Maserati
                                                      111                                                           98                                                           92                        Yue-Sai
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Four Seasons
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Hugo Boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mandarin Oriental
               Procter & Gamble                                                        Fiat                                                  Marriott International                                     Park Hyatt
                                                                                                                                                                                                  The Ritz-Carlton
                                                                                                                                                                                                          FEEBLE
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aston Martin
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Wyndham
                                                                                                                                                                                             Sofitel Luxury Hotels

          22                                          110                         28                                98                  36                                       91
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Alfred Dunhill
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Bulgari
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Omega
 gifted
GIFTED




                                                                        GIFTED




                                                                                                                                                                                                              Rolex
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Longines
                Compagnie Financière Richemont                                         Tiffany & Co.                                         Nissan Motor Company                                         Valentino
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Lexus
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Kempinski
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Fairmont
average




                                                                                                                                                                                                             Piaget
                                                                                                                                                                                            The Peninsula Hotels

                                                                                                                                        37
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Bottega Veneta
          23                                          107                         30                                97                                                           90                     Montblanc
                                                                                                                                                                                                        TAG Heuer
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Bally
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Hublot
               Shanghai Jahwa Group                                                    Estée Lauder Companies                                                                                                Acura
                                                                                                                                             Giorgio Armani                                            Calvin Klein
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Pandora
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Elizabeth Arden
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Lamborghini
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Ports 1961
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Balenciaga

          24                                          106                         31                                96                  37                                       90                Waldorf Astoria
                                                                                                                                                                                              Ermenegildo Zegna
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Chloé
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Givenchy
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Conrad
               Daimler                                                                 Gucci Group (PPR)                                     Hilton Worldwide                                Salvatore Ferragamo
                                                                                                                                                                                                          De Beers
                                                                                                                                                                                           Diane von Furstenberg
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Hermés
                                                                                                                                                                                             Vacheron Constantin
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Fendi

          24                                          106                         32                                94                  37                                       90
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Versace
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Shanghai Tang
average




                                                                       average




                                                                                                                              average




                                                                                                                                                                                                             Prada
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Harry Winston
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Baccarat
               Swarovski                                                                Estée Lauder Companies                               InterContinental Hotels Group                          Patek Philippe
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ralph Lauren


© L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED                                                                                                                                       7
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L2: China Index

  • 1. Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om China December 18, 2012 SCOTT GALLOWAY NYU Stern doug guthrie The George Washington School of Business Distribution of this report violates copyright, trademark and intellectual property laws. © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com
  • 2. Co-hosted by: NYC FOCUS 2013 JANUARY 24, 2013 | NYU STERN This half-day, three module clinic hosted at NYU Stern will look at opportunities and trends that brands will face in 2013. Topics include China, the Changing Landscape of Retail, and The Enterprise Effect. Industry experts will discuss new opportunities for prestige brands in China, brand case studies will highlight effective strategies of dealing with trends in retail and L2 will present data on how the Enterprise Effect can be a friend and a foe to prestige brands. Tentative Agenda MODULE 1: China MODULE 2: Changing Landscape of Retail MODULE 3: The Enterprise Effect (featuring) (featuring) (featuring) Scott Galloway SapientNitro presents Connected Experience: Maureen Mullen Founder A Glimpse into the Highly Personalized Director of Research & Advisory L2 Shopping Experience L2 Doug Guthrie Alisa Gould-Simon Sonia Marciano Dean Co-Founder & VP of Creative Partnerships Clinical Full Professor of The George Washington School of Business Pose.com Management and Organizations NYU Stern Vimla Gupta & Andra Mielnicki Vice President of Global Marketing Executive Director of Global Communications BeautyBank
  • 3. Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om Watch the Doubt China Video Click to Play For the first time in a decade, China is a question mark for the prestige industry. A midst slowing growth and political uncertainty, luxury executives Quarterly Chinese Luxury Retail Sales Growth are questioning whether the deceleration is temporary or the YoY Fixed Exchange Rate Q2 2011–Q3 2012 beginning of the end. We continue to believe China offers more 34% upside, often linked to digital, than any other luxury market. However, there is also more complexity and barriers to realizing return: Q3 2011 • While Mainland China’s organic luxury sales growth softened to single digits,1 % 47 Q2 26 Chinese tourist spend abroad increased 58 percent in Q3 2012,2 suggesting 1 201 % Q2411 Source: Barclays Equity Research consumer demand remains robust. 0 • In the next three years, Chinese e-commerce sales are projected to triple. However, two thirds of online sales will remain on C2C channels such as 201 Q3 2 Taobao. Poor fulfillment infrastructure, security concerns, and nascent payment Q112 6 % 20 % systems pose challenges to traditional direct e-commerce businesses. 2012 21 • Pricing arbitrage continues to threaten fledging e-commerce businesses. Q2 16% U.S. and European retailers ranging from Neiman Marcus to House of Fraser ship to China and advertise products at a fraction of the domestic price. Chinese E-Commerce Transaction Volume • Sixty-one percent of Chinese high-net-worth individuals indicate the Internet Q1 2010–Q3 2012 45.6 is a primary source for brand information, more than any other channel.3 Total Online Shopping (Billion USD) 43.1 However, while digital, social media, and video platforms may be the best B2C Online Shopping (Billion USD) 36.9 36.6 31.7 places to reach Chinese consumers, the landscape is fragmented, with 28.4 25.9 26.0 players emerging and declining in importance each year. 18.3 16.3 16.23 13.6 14.35 10.75 9.98 Source: iResearch 7.26 4.08 5.02 5.91 1.49 1.93 2.62 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 YoY Percent Growth E-Commerce 81% 80% 53% 88% 92% 75% 73% 43% 41% 52% 44% YoY Percent Growth B2C E-Commerce 1. “Investor Question Series: Will political change in China be a catalyst for growth?,” Barclays, November 16, 2012. 181% 209% 233% 199% 237% 206% 178% 164% 99% 143% 124% 2. Global Blue Q3 data. 3. HuRun Report 2012. © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED 3
  • 4. Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om China: Average Time Spent vs. Percentage of Ad Spend Visible Hand 2011 2.8 Attempting to ease public concern regarding the widening wealth gap, the 2.5 Chinese government continues to place restrictions on traditional luxury advertising. Just as errant attempts to legislate tobacco companies from 40% % of Total Ad Spend Average Time Spent (Hours) television in the U.S. resulted in a surge of innovation (e.g., CRM, point of purchase investment, better packaging), the visible hand of the Chinese government has inspired a wave of innovation in digital marketing via tighter regulation of traditional media. Chinese digital marketing spend is set to double over the next three years.4 19% 18% The increased investment and online innovation will inspire consumer exploration and 0.7 purchase that may supplant traditional methods, transforming the Chinese digital 9% 0.3 ecosystem into the global role model, versus the fast follower. The Same, but Different Many viewed digital as an agent of integration into the global community. TV Internet Newspapers Magazines However, while economic integration marches on, China’s digital landscape Percentage of High Net Worth Individuals Who Claim as Source of Product Info is becoming more distinct. The “Great Firewall of China” has strengthened as 51% 61% 43% 50% government control over Internet and mobile content tightens, fostering a “Wild Source: Ipsos via Zenith Media and CMMS Summer 2011. East” mentality resulting in local entrepreneurship and innovation. In this year’s Index we saw the emergence of several forces: So.com, in a few short months, Digital IQ = Shareholder Value has captured greater market share than Google, Pinterest-like curation platforms Our thesis is that the success of prestige brands in China is inextricably Meilishuo and Mogujie are gaining traction, and Tencent-owned WeChat, a mobile linked to digital competence. This study attempts to quantify the digital messaging service, has skyrocketed to 200 million users. performance of 100 iconic brands in China. Our aim is to provide a robust tool to Underinvestment? diagnose digital strengths and weaknesses and help managers achieve greater Despite opportunity, digital investment remains modest. Brands’ Chinese sites return on incremental investment. register average load times of 24.1 seconds, four times their global peers. One in five Like the medium we are assessing, our methodology is dynamic, and we hope prestige brands host their site in China and just over half display prices in RMB. While you reach out to us with comments that improve our approach, investigation, and Sina Weibo adoption by prestige brands has reached 91 percent, and the industry findings. You can reach us at scott@stern.nyu.edu and guthrie@gwu.edu. has registered double-digit increases in mobile, social, and search engine marketing adoption, just four brands have launched direct e-commerce since 2011. Third party players, including Western retailers, are filling the void and offering brands a trusted platform. However, in exchange, brands sacrifice control and a direct relationship with Scott Galloway Doug guthrie the end consumer. Professor of Marketing, NYU Stern Dean, The George Washington Founder, L2 University School of Business Founder, Guthrie & Associates 4. “Q2 2012 Global Digital Advertising Update,” Adobe, July 2012. © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED 4
  • 5. Inquire about your brand’s ranking: Info@L2ThinkTank.com Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om ABOUT THE RANKING The Methodology Mobile Site Android Applications 20% 30% • Compatibility of • Availability in China China Site • Popularity • Functionality • Functionality Mobile • Transaction Capability Site iOS Applications Localization of site features • Availability in China • Technology: Load Time, Hosting Location Compatibility, optimization, and • Popularity • Customer Service & Store Locator marketing on smartphones and tablets • Functionality • Product Page • E-Commerce & Checkout • Integration of Chinese Social Media • Innovation: Product Customization, BBS/Microsites, 30% Category-Specific Functionality Brand presence, community size, content and engagement SNS • Sina Weibo • Page Size & Growth Social Media g Search BBS, Social, and Baidu Buzz 0% • Post Frequency tin • Tencent Weibo • Traffic • Mentions • Reposts & Comments e rk • Kaixin 2 • Web Authority • Average Daily Searches • Renren • Tabs & Applications a • Douban • Engagement Rate ta lM nd • SEO & SEM: Email igi a Baidu, So.com, Google ia, • Frequency Video Sites D ed Advertising & Innovation • Language • Views lm ts • Youku ita effor ig g • Online & Offline Synergies • Content • Tudou • Number of Uploads ,d n • View & Subscriber Growth rch rketi • Cross Platform Initiatives • Chinese Social Media S ea a • Emerging Social Platform Integration m ail • Viral Videos Adoption (WeChat, Meilishuo em & Mogujie, iQiyi, Jiepang) Note: Brand’s were scored based on effectivenees on platforms they participate on Digital IQ Classes Genius 140+ Gifted 110–139 Average 90–109 Challenged 70–89 Feeble < 70 Digital competence is a point of competitive differentiation. Brands are experimenting and innovating Digital presence is siloed Digital efforts lack. Investment does not Successful multi-channel, digital campaigns; functional across their site, mobile, traditional and by dimension. match opportunity. sites that cater to local needs; strong social presence emerging social media platforms. and integration across platforms. © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED 5
  • 6. GENIUS Estée Lauder Audi Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China Chow Tai Fook Lancôme GIFTED To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om Volvo BMW Buick Land Rover Benefit Cosmetics Burberry Clarins Shiseido Louis Vuitton DIGITAL IQ RANKING Key Findings Sephora Chanel Jaguar Kiehl’s Shangri-La Biotherm Coach SK-II Cartier AVERAGE RANK DIGITAL IQ RANK BRAND DIGITAL IQ RANK BRAND DIGITAL IQ Herborist Mercedes-Benz genius GIFTED GIFTED Swarovski 1 Cadillac Clinique Ferrari 5 138 11 120 Tiffany & Co. Bobbi Brown Gucci 156 Shiseido Origins Porsche Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Jaeger-LeCoultre Marriott Infiniti Armani Hilton InterContinental The Estée Lauder Companies 6 136 13 118 CHALLENGED Dior Van Cleef & Arpels Raymond Weil 2 BMW Group LVMH Westin M.A.C Cosmetics St. Regis L’Occitane en Provence Guerlain Dolce & Gabbana 152 IWC Schaffhausen 6 13 Maserati 136 118 Yue-Sai Four Seasons Hugo Boss Mandarin Oriental General Motors LVMH Park Hyatt The Ritz-Carlton FEEBLE Volkswagen Group Aston Martin Wyndham Sofitel Luxury Hotels 3 8 15 Alfred Dunhill 133 117 Bulgari Omega Rolex Longines Tata Motors Chanel Valentino Lexus Kempinski 151 Fairmont Piaget The Peninsula Hotels Bottega Veneta 9 129 16 116 Montblanc TAG Heuer Bally Hublot LVMH Tata Motors Acura Calvin Klein Chow Tai Fook Enterprises Pandora Elizabeth Arden Lamborghini Ports 1961 4 10 124 17 115 Balenciaga Waldorf Astoria Ermenegildo Zegna Chloé Givenchy Conrad Burberry Group L’Oréal Salvatore Ferragamo De Beers 142 Diane von Furstenberg Hermés Vacheron Constantin Fendi 11 18 Versace 120 113 Shanghai Tang Prada genius GIFTED GIFTED Harry Winston Baccarat L’Oréal Clarins Group Shangri-La International Hotel Management Patek Philippe Ralph Lauren © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED 6
  • 7. GENIUS Estée Lauder Audi Excerpt from the 2012 Digital IQ Index ® : China Chow Tai Fook Lancôme GIFTED To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.om Volvo BMW Buick Land Rover Benefit Cosmetics Burberry Clarins Shiseido Louis Vuitton DIGITAL IQ RANKING Key Findings Sephora Chanel Jaguar Kiehl’s Shangri-La Biotherm Coach SK-II Cartier AVERAGE RANK BRAND DIGITAL IQ RANK BRAND DIGITAL IQ RANK BRAND DIGITAL IQ Herborist Mercedes-Benz gifted GIFTED average average Swarovski Cadillac Clinique Ferrari 19 112 26 105 33 93 Tiffany & Co. Bobbi Brown Gucci Origins Porsche L’Oréal General Motors Volkswagen Group Jaeger-LeCoultre Marriott Infiniti Armani Hilton InterContinental 20 111 27 101 34 92 CHALLENGED Dior Van Cleef & Arpels Raymond Weil Westin Coach Estée Lauder Companies Compagnie Financière Richemont M.A.C Cosmetics St. Regis L’Occitane en Provence Guerlain Dolce & Gabbana IWC Schaffhausen 20 28 34 Maserati 111 98 92 Yue-Sai Four Seasons Hugo Boss Mandarin Oriental Procter & Gamble Fiat Marriott International Park Hyatt The Ritz-Carlton FEEBLE Aston Martin Wyndham Sofitel Luxury Hotels 22 110 28 98 36 91 Alfred Dunhill Bulgari Omega gifted GIFTED GIFTED Rolex Longines Compagnie Financière Richemont Tiffany & Co. Nissan Motor Company Valentino Lexus Kempinski Fairmont average Piaget The Peninsula Hotels 37 Bottega Veneta 23 107 30 97 90 Montblanc TAG Heuer Bally Hublot Shanghai Jahwa Group Estée Lauder Companies Acura Giorgio Armani Calvin Klein Pandora Elizabeth Arden Lamborghini Ports 1961 Balenciaga 24 106 31 96 37 90 Waldorf Astoria Ermenegildo Zegna Chloé Givenchy Conrad Daimler Gucci Group (PPR) Hilton Worldwide Salvatore Ferragamo De Beers Diane von Furstenberg Hermés Vacheron Constantin Fendi 24 106 32 94 37 90 Versace Shanghai Tang average average average Prada Harry Winston Baccarat Swarovski Estée Lauder Companies InterContinental Hotels Group Patek Philippe Ralph Lauren © L2 2012 L2ThinkTank.com. REPRODUCTIONS AND DISTRIBUTION PROHIBITED 7