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Energy from the deserts; an emerging
reality
Paul van Son
Dii GmbH – Renewable energy bridging continents
Munich, May 6, 2013
© Dii GmbH May 2013 2
Today generation mix in MENA and the EU
heavily based on fossil fuels and nuclear energy
Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii
© Dii GmbH May 2013 3
Electricity demand will more than double, but
more than enough energy available in EUMENA
Electricity
in TWh / a
630,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Theoretical
Potential of
renewables
>630,000
Demand
2050
Demand
2010
MENA
Europe
Source: DLR
Geothermal
Solar
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Wave/Tidal
© Dii GmbH May 2013 4
Objective 2050: More than 90 % renewable
energy in the EU-MENA electricity mix
Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii
Mainly
wind
and
solar
© Dii GmbH May 2013 5
Dii, an international industry network…
Shareholders* Associated Partners*
Inspired by Desertec, Dii creates in partnership with local authorities
and industries a market place in EUMENA
for renewable energy from the deserts
* as of December 2012
© Dii GmbH May 2013 6
… mobilizing many stakeholders
in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe
Scientific community Industry
Policy Community
Civil society (NGOs),
e.g. DESERTEC Foundation
Dii conducts it’s studies and initiates reference projects in partnership
with key stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe
© Dii GmbH May 2013 7
Dii is open to all field-proven technologies
Load/supply matchWindPV
Thin-film
CSP
On-shore turbines
AC transmission
(short & medium distances)
Mono/Poly-CrystallineParabolic trough
Solar power tower
Fresnel
Hybrid (CSP + Gas)
Concentrated
HVDC transmission
(long distances)
Source: Dii; The Science Museum; phault (Flickr)
Off-shore turbines
Storage
(e.g. Pumped Hydro)
Load management
(e.g. desalination)
© Dii GmbH May 2013 8
Dii: market enabler for desert power in the
EUMENA region
EUMENA
system strategy
Target picture: Desert Power 2050
Implementation steps: Getting Started
Develop RE Projects
Construct RE plants
Operate RE plants
Country strategies
EUMENA
system strategy
Reference Projects
MA, TN, DZ, EG, …
Market players
Market players
Market players
© Dii GmbH May 2013 9
Connecting the two systems in Europe and
in the MENA region will create benefits for all
Source: Dii, ISI Fraunhofer
While super producers, balancers and
importers profit from the system integration in
a different way, they ALL BENEFIT from being
part of a large sustainable power system.
Reliable
+
Sustainable
+
Job market effects
+
Mutual reliance+
Cost effective
+
© Dii GmbH May 2013 10
Creating an EUMENA market makes sense
Average summer day in Europe and MENA
The demand and supply conditions in MENA and Europe are balanced over the course of a single
day. Such balance also exists during different seasons.
© Dii GmbH May 2013 11
Spotlight on Egypt
 Local demand will be
multiplied by 6 by
2050
 High wind resources
will help Egypt secure
its energy supply
 In an interconnected
scenario, possible
exports to Saudi
Arabia and Libya
© Dii GmbH March 2012 12
Desert Power 2050:
a strategic framework in two parts
The first part of Desert Power
2050 is a target picture showing
what a sustainable power system in
North Africa, the Middle East and
Europe could look like in 2050 –
specifically, with which technological
and geographical mix
1
The second part of Desert Power 2050,
“Getting started”, will give actionable recommendations on:
 The development of renewable energy in MENA
 Electricity highways connecting MENA & Europe
 Public support phase-out
 Socio-economic effects
2
© Dii GmbH May 2013 13
Ecomonic Impacts of Desert Power:
Getting Started for the people
MENA industrial
capability analysis:
 Complexity of
component
manufacturing and
capability status
today
 Hypotheses on
future development
in MENA
Macro-economic
impacts:
 Macro-economic
impact assessment
on country level
 Influences of
different climate
policy and electricity
trade assumptions
Policy
recommendations:
 Advice for
governments on
how to capture the
benefits of desert
power for their
citizens
 Describe actionable
tools for different
sectors
Economic Impacts of Desert Power
Employment
effects:
 Employment effects
for several countries
 Comparison of CSP,
PV, Wind technology
build-up across
different countries
Source: Dii
© Dii GmbH May 2013 14
Desert power potential increasingly
recognized in Europe
Intensive talks with
European governments ongoing
GERMANY: Support for desert power
expressed by government
Energy partnership with Tunisia,
Morocco and proposal for an energy
partnership with Algeria
FRANCE: Strategic partnership with
Morocco with an interest expressed
for renewable energy
Support for Tunisia’s renewable
energy targets expressed
ITALY: RE strategy including import
from EU and MENA
RE targets, outlook
2050, infrastructure plan,
Article 9 of the EU Renewables
Directive
© Dii GmbH May 2013 15
The energy transition has already started on
the Southern shore of the Mediterranean
RE targets until 2020 in GW (August 2012)
Morocco
Algeria
Tunisia
Egypt
Libya
Jordan
Turkey
Syria
4,2
2,5
1,0
7,3
2,8
1,8
16,2
2,7
2,5
16,2
Wind:
Zafarana 1-8: 545 MW
UAE (Abu Dhabi/Dubai)
Saudi Arabia
CSP:
Shams 1: 100 MW
PV and Wind:
100 MW
RWE
© Dii GmbH May 2013 16
Dii: stimulating the MENA energy transition
Intensive talks to all other North African
and Middle Eastern countries continued
MOROCCO: RE national strategy
Country strategy with MASEN
Reference Project: 500 MW
ALGERIA: RE national strategy
Planned investment: USD 60 bn. until
2030
Country strategy with Sonelgaz
Reference Project: 1000 MW
TUNISIA: RE national strategy
Country strategy with STEG ER
Reference Project: 1000 MW
EGYPT: RE on the policy agenda
MoU with NREA (Jan. 2013)
JORDAN: RE strategy
Current talks with Jordanian partners
© Dii GmbH May 2013 17
Co-ordinated actions are the key!
© Dii GmbH May 2013 18
Need for Dii’s work is increasing
Policy
Advocates
Think Tank
Industry
Platform
Opinion
Leader
Priorities 2013-2014
 MENA country strategies
 Market-orientated implementation
recommendations (RE, grids,
capacity building, etc…)
 Initiate break through reference
projects
 Expanding cooperation with
governments, regulators, industry
and NGOs.
© Dii GmbH May 2013 19
The project: internships for Tunisian
students at Dii partner companies for
6-9 months, beginning in Feb. 2012
Dii’s commitment to education in EUMENA
Pilot Project internship: “Know-
how from the deserts”
Desertec Best Paper Award
Journalist Fellowship
The project: award for outstanding
academic work in the field of
renewable energy in the deserts of
the MENA region
The project: fellowship enabling five
young journalists from MENA to visit
the 4th Dii Desert Energy Conference
in Rabat
© Dii GmbH May 2013 20
 Videos, pictures, statements and
news related to renewable energy
from the deserts and the activities of
Dii on Facebook and Twitter
Stay connected!
www.dii-eumena.com Social media channels
 Videos on Youtube
 Pictures on Flickr
© Dii GmbH May 2013 21
Thank you for your attention

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Dii Presentation for Student Groups

  • 1. Energy from the deserts; an emerging reality Paul van Son Dii GmbH – Renewable energy bridging continents Munich, May 6, 2013
  • 2. © Dii GmbH May 2013 2 Today generation mix in MENA and the EU heavily based on fossil fuels and nuclear energy Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii
  • 3. © Dii GmbH May 2013 3 Electricity demand will more than double, but more than enough energy available in EUMENA Electricity in TWh / a 630,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Theoretical Potential of renewables >630,000 Demand 2050 Demand 2010 MENA Europe Source: DLR Geothermal Solar Hydro Wind Biomass Wave/Tidal
  • 4. © Dii GmbH May 2013 4 Objective 2050: More than 90 % renewable energy in the EU-MENA electricity mix Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii Mainly wind and solar
  • 5. © Dii GmbH May 2013 5 Dii, an international industry network… Shareholders* Associated Partners* Inspired by Desertec, Dii creates in partnership with local authorities and industries a market place in EUMENA for renewable energy from the deserts * as of December 2012
  • 6. © Dii GmbH May 2013 6 … mobilizing many stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe Scientific community Industry Policy Community Civil society (NGOs), e.g. DESERTEC Foundation Dii conducts it’s studies and initiates reference projects in partnership with key stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe
  • 7. © Dii GmbH May 2013 7 Dii is open to all field-proven technologies Load/supply matchWindPV Thin-film CSP On-shore turbines AC transmission (short & medium distances) Mono/Poly-CrystallineParabolic trough Solar power tower Fresnel Hybrid (CSP + Gas) Concentrated HVDC transmission (long distances) Source: Dii; The Science Museum; phault (Flickr) Off-shore turbines Storage (e.g. Pumped Hydro) Load management (e.g. desalination)
  • 8. © Dii GmbH May 2013 8 Dii: market enabler for desert power in the EUMENA region EUMENA system strategy Target picture: Desert Power 2050 Implementation steps: Getting Started Develop RE Projects Construct RE plants Operate RE plants Country strategies EUMENA system strategy Reference Projects MA, TN, DZ, EG, … Market players Market players Market players
  • 9. © Dii GmbH May 2013 9 Connecting the two systems in Europe and in the MENA region will create benefits for all Source: Dii, ISI Fraunhofer While super producers, balancers and importers profit from the system integration in a different way, they ALL BENEFIT from being part of a large sustainable power system. Reliable + Sustainable + Job market effects + Mutual reliance+ Cost effective +
  • 10. © Dii GmbH May 2013 10 Creating an EUMENA market makes sense Average summer day in Europe and MENA The demand and supply conditions in MENA and Europe are balanced over the course of a single day. Such balance also exists during different seasons.
  • 11. © Dii GmbH May 2013 11 Spotlight on Egypt  Local demand will be multiplied by 6 by 2050  High wind resources will help Egypt secure its energy supply  In an interconnected scenario, possible exports to Saudi Arabia and Libya
  • 12. © Dii GmbH March 2012 12 Desert Power 2050: a strategic framework in two parts The first part of Desert Power 2050 is a target picture showing what a sustainable power system in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe could look like in 2050 – specifically, with which technological and geographical mix 1 The second part of Desert Power 2050, “Getting started”, will give actionable recommendations on:  The development of renewable energy in MENA  Electricity highways connecting MENA & Europe  Public support phase-out  Socio-economic effects 2
  • 13. © Dii GmbH May 2013 13 Ecomonic Impacts of Desert Power: Getting Started for the people MENA industrial capability analysis:  Complexity of component manufacturing and capability status today  Hypotheses on future development in MENA Macro-economic impacts:  Macro-economic impact assessment on country level  Influences of different climate policy and electricity trade assumptions Policy recommendations:  Advice for governments on how to capture the benefits of desert power for their citizens  Describe actionable tools for different sectors Economic Impacts of Desert Power Employment effects:  Employment effects for several countries  Comparison of CSP, PV, Wind technology build-up across different countries Source: Dii
  • 14. © Dii GmbH May 2013 14 Desert power potential increasingly recognized in Europe Intensive talks with European governments ongoing GERMANY: Support for desert power expressed by government Energy partnership with Tunisia, Morocco and proposal for an energy partnership with Algeria FRANCE: Strategic partnership with Morocco with an interest expressed for renewable energy Support for Tunisia’s renewable energy targets expressed ITALY: RE strategy including import from EU and MENA RE targets, outlook 2050, infrastructure plan, Article 9 of the EU Renewables Directive
  • 15. © Dii GmbH May 2013 15 The energy transition has already started on the Southern shore of the Mediterranean RE targets until 2020 in GW (August 2012) Morocco Algeria Tunisia Egypt Libya Jordan Turkey Syria 4,2 2,5 1,0 7,3 2,8 1,8 16,2 2,7 2,5 16,2 Wind: Zafarana 1-8: 545 MW UAE (Abu Dhabi/Dubai) Saudi Arabia CSP: Shams 1: 100 MW PV and Wind: 100 MW RWE
  • 16. © Dii GmbH May 2013 16 Dii: stimulating the MENA energy transition Intensive talks to all other North African and Middle Eastern countries continued MOROCCO: RE national strategy Country strategy with MASEN Reference Project: 500 MW ALGERIA: RE national strategy Planned investment: USD 60 bn. until 2030 Country strategy with Sonelgaz Reference Project: 1000 MW TUNISIA: RE national strategy Country strategy with STEG ER Reference Project: 1000 MW EGYPT: RE on the policy agenda MoU with NREA (Jan. 2013) JORDAN: RE strategy Current talks with Jordanian partners
  • 17. © Dii GmbH May 2013 17 Co-ordinated actions are the key!
  • 18. © Dii GmbH May 2013 18 Need for Dii’s work is increasing Policy Advocates Think Tank Industry Platform Opinion Leader Priorities 2013-2014  MENA country strategies  Market-orientated implementation recommendations (RE, grids, capacity building, etc…)  Initiate break through reference projects  Expanding cooperation with governments, regulators, industry and NGOs.
  • 19. © Dii GmbH May 2013 19 The project: internships for Tunisian students at Dii partner companies for 6-9 months, beginning in Feb. 2012 Dii’s commitment to education in EUMENA Pilot Project internship: “Know- how from the deserts” Desertec Best Paper Award Journalist Fellowship The project: award for outstanding academic work in the field of renewable energy in the deserts of the MENA region The project: fellowship enabling five young journalists from MENA to visit the 4th Dii Desert Energy Conference in Rabat
  • 20. © Dii GmbH May 2013 20  Videos, pictures, statements and news related to renewable energy from the deserts and the activities of Dii on Facebook and Twitter Stay connected! www.dii-eumena.com Social media channels  Videos on Youtube  Pictures on Flickr
  • 21. © Dii GmbH May 2013 21 Thank you for your attention