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Global Foreign Exchange
             and
       Capital Markets
                    by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                      1
                    mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Chapter 9 Objectives

• How does the foreign exchange work?
• Why do companies deal in foreign exchange?
• Who are the different institutions that deal in foreign
  exchange?
• How do companies make payment for international
  transactions?



                         by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                           2
                         mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
The Foreign Exchange includes . . .


Foreign exchange (Fx):
  money denominated in
  the currency of another
  nation or group of
  nations

Exchange rate: the price of
  one currency expressed
  in terms another
  currency

                    What do you think causes the values of currencies to change daily?

                                       by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                        3
                                       mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Where do people go to exchange their
             currency?

• The Foreign Exchange Market
   – Most are Over-the-counter (OTC) market through
     commercial and investment banks
   – The Exchange-trade market specializes in securities,
     futures and options
   – www.forex-markets.com to learn how to do-it-yourself




                       by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                           4
                       mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Top OTC Banks


                                     ESTIMATED BEST IN                         BEST IN  BEST IN BEST IN
TRADING BANK                         MKT.SHARE LONDON                     NEW YORK EURO/US$ US$/YEN
1. Deutsche Bank 19.75%                                 2                 3                    1       4
2. UBS Warburg 11.61%                                   5                 4                    4       3
3. Citigroup           7.33%                            3                 1                    3       1
4. HSBC       6.64% 1                                       5                     2                2
5. Barclays            6.41%                           4                 —                    7        7
6. JP Morgan       5.38%                               7                 2                    5         5
7. ABN Amro            4.57%                           9                 7                    6         6
8. Merrill Lynch       4.45%                           —                 —                    —        —
9. Goldman Sachs 4.38%                                 8                 8                 10 10
10.Morgan Stanley 4.20%                                —                 9                    —        —
Source: “2005 Euromoney Foreign Exchange Poll,” Euromoney (May 2005).




                                                            by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
 07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                                          5
                                                            mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Which currency is the
                                             most actively traded?

CURRENCY 1989                                   1992            1995           1998            2001 2004

U.S. Dollar 90                                    82             83              87              90              89
Euro                                              —              —               —               —               38         37
Japanese Yen                                      27             23              24              21              23         20
Pound Sterling                                    15             14              10              11              13         17
Swiss Franc 10                                     9              7               7               6               6
All others                                        31             32              39              44              30         31
Source: Bank for International Settlements, Central BankSurvey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity, 2004.



         Why do you think these currencies so popular?
                                                          by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
       07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                                                         6
                                                          mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
The stability of the U.S. dollar has made it the most
               widely traded in the world

                • Dollars are invested in many capital markets
                • Dollars are used as a reserve currency for many
                  governments’ central banks
                • Dollars are a transaction currency in many
                  international commodity markets
                • Dollars are an invoice currency
                • Dollars are an intervention currency used by
                  monetary authorities to influence their own
                  exchange rates


                            by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                   7
                            mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Why do you think the U.K. has the most Fx
              market activity?




                    by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                      8
                    mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Location of the 4 Biggest
                           Foreign Exchange Market
•     London is the largest foreign exchange market (followed by New York, Tokyo, and
      Singapore) because of its strategic location between Asia and the Americas.
       – 1st peak when Asia & Europe are open
       – 2nd peak when Europe and U.S. are open
The most frequently traded currency pairs are:
          U.S. Dollar/Euro (28%)
          U.S. Dollar/Yen (17%)




                                     by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
    07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                   9
                                     mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
The Circadian Rhythms of the Foreign
                  Exchange Market




                    by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                      10
                    mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
What are Futures & Options?
• Futures: a contractual agreement to buy or sell a
  given currency at a negotiated price on a specified
  future date.

• Option: gives the buyer the right (but not the
  obligation) to buy or sell a certain amount of foreign
  currency at a specified exchange rate “strike price”
  within a specified amount of time.
     – more flexible & expensive than forward contracts
     – Premium: the fee paid to the writer of the option

                        by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                          11
                        mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Foreign Exchange Markets: Thursday, April
                28, 2005
                                                        US$ EQUIVALENT                         CURRENCY PER US$
 COUNTRY                                              THUR             WED                                  THUR     WED
 Brazil (Real)                .3917                                    .3972                                2.5530   2.5176
 Canada (Dollar)              .7991                                    .8004                                1.2514   1.2494
 India (Rupee)                .02291                                   .02288                               43.649   43.706
 Japan (Yen)             .009430                                       .009445 106.04                       105.88
 Russia (Ruble)               .03597                                   .03607                               27.801   27.724
 South Africa (Rand) .1630    .1646                                            6.1350                       6.0753
 Switzerland (Franc) .8383    .8390                                            1.1929                       1.1919
 U.K. (Pound)             1.9068                                       1.9059                               .5244    .5247
 Special Drawing Right 1.5135                                          1.5121                               .6607    .6613
 Euro                     1.2895                                       1.2933                               .7755    .7732
 Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are based on exchange rates for the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen,
 and the British pound.
 Sources: International Monetary Fund; Wall Street Journal, 2005.




                                                      by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                                                             12
                                                      mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Is ALL currency convertible?

Convertibility: How easy/hard it is to purchase foreign
  currency with a domestic currency without government
  restrictions
   – Hard currencies are fully convertible with no govt restrictions on
     trade
   – External convertibility: Govt. limits non-resident trading
   – Soft currencies are non-convertible because of total govt.
     restriction on trading




                           by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
  07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                13
                           mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Currency As a Trade Barrier
A government currency restrictions include:
   – licensing
   – a multiple exchange rate system
   – advance import deposits
   – quantity controls

         Currency controls add to the cost of doing business
         and thus serve as serious impediments to trade
         and investment.


                        by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                          14
                        mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Why do Businesses Fx?




 •      To covert currency for trade transactions
 •      hedging [risk reduction through loss protection]
 •      speculation [currency trading on expectations of future prices]
 •      arbitrage [risk-free profit based on price differentials]
       – interest arbitrage


                             by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                         15
                             mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Structure of Foreign Exchange Markets




                      by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                        16
                      mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Global Capital Markets: International
                          Bonds
•    Companies borrow money in the international bond market to diversify
     funding sources.
      – Foreign bonds: sold outside of home country but denominated in the currency
        of the country of issue.
      – Eurobonds: sold in countries other than the one in whose currency the bond is
        denominated; usually underwritten
      – Global bond: registered in different national markets according to the
        registration requirements of each market




                                 by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
    07/05/12 03:57 AM                                                                   17
                                 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Equity Capital Markets = Stock Market


• The growth of emerging stock markets has been very
  sensitive to global economic conditions and events.




                       by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                         18
                       mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
Conclusions
• at least $1.2 trillion in foreign exchange is traded
  each day by banks and securities exchanges.
• The U.S. dollar is the most widely traded currency
  in the world.
• Currency is exchanged to
     – settle trade transactions
     – For direct investment
     – portfolio investment and speculation


                      by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv
07/05/12 03:57 AM                                        19
                      mba,email1966patel@gmail.com

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9currency

  • 1. Global Foreign Exchange and Capital Markets by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 1 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 2. Chapter 9 Objectives • How does the foreign exchange work? • Why do companies deal in foreign exchange? • Who are the different institutions that deal in foreign exchange? • How do companies make payment for international transactions? by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 2 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 3. The Foreign Exchange includes . . . Foreign exchange (Fx): money denominated in the currency of another nation or group of nations Exchange rate: the price of one currency expressed in terms another currency What do you think causes the values of currencies to change daily? by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 3 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 4. Where do people go to exchange their currency? • The Foreign Exchange Market – Most are Over-the-counter (OTC) market through commercial and investment banks – The Exchange-trade market specializes in securities, futures and options – www.forex-markets.com to learn how to do-it-yourself by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 4 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 5. Top OTC Banks ESTIMATED BEST IN BEST IN BEST IN BEST IN TRADING BANK MKT.SHARE LONDON NEW YORK EURO/US$ US$/YEN 1. Deutsche Bank 19.75% 2 3 1 4 2. UBS Warburg 11.61% 5 4 4 3 3. Citigroup 7.33% 3 1 3 1 4. HSBC 6.64% 1 5 2 2 5. Barclays 6.41% 4 — 7 7 6. JP Morgan 5.38% 7 2 5 5 7. ABN Amro 4.57% 9 7 6 6 8. Merrill Lynch 4.45% — — — — 9. Goldman Sachs 4.38% 8 8 10 10 10.Morgan Stanley 4.20% — 9 — — Source: “2005 Euromoney Foreign Exchange Poll,” Euromoney (May 2005). by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 5 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 6. Which currency is the most actively traded? CURRENCY 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 U.S. Dollar 90 82 83 87 90 89 Euro — — — — 38 37 Japanese Yen 27 23 24 21 23 20 Pound Sterling 15 14 10 11 13 17 Swiss Franc 10 9 7 7 6 6 All others 31 32 39 44 30 31 Source: Bank for International Settlements, Central BankSurvey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity, 2004. Why do you think these currencies so popular? by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 6 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 7. The stability of the U.S. dollar has made it the most widely traded in the world • Dollars are invested in many capital markets • Dollars are used as a reserve currency for many governments’ central banks • Dollars are a transaction currency in many international commodity markets • Dollars are an invoice currency • Dollars are an intervention currency used by monetary authorities to influence their own exchange rates by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 7 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 8. Why do you think the U.K. has the most Fx market activity? by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 8 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 9. Location of the 4 Biggest Foreign Exchange Market • London is the largest foreign exchange market (followed by New York, Tokyo, and Singapore) because of its strategic location between Asia and the Americas. – 1st peak when Asia & Europe are open – 2nd peak when Europe and U.S. are open The most frequently traded currency pairs are:  U.S. Dollar/Euro (28%)  U.S. Dollar/Yen (17%) by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 9 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 10. The Circadian Rhythms of the Foreign Exchange Market by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 10 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 11. What are Futures & Options? • Futures: a contractual agreement to buy or sell a given currency at a negotiated price on a specified future date. • Option: gives the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a certain amount of foreign currency at a specified exchange rate “strike price” within a specified amount of time. – more flexible & expensive than forward contracts – Premium: the fee paid to the writer of the option by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 11 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 12. Foreign Exchange Markets: Thursday, April 28, 2005 US$ EQUIVALENT CURRENCY PER US$ COUNTRY THUR WED THUR WED Brazil (Real) .3917 .3972 2.5530 2.5176 Canada (Dollar) .7991 .8004 1.2514 1.2494 India (Rupee) .02291 .02288 43.649 43.706 Japan (Yen) .009430 .009445 106.04 105.88 Russia (Ruble) .03597 .03607 27.801 27.724 South Africa (Rand) .1630 .1646 6.1350 6.0753 Switzerland (Franc) .8383 .8390 1.1929 1.1919 U.K. (Pound) 1.9068 1.9059 .5244 .5247 Special Drawing Right 1.5135 1.5121 .6607 .6613 Euro 1.2895 1.2933 .7755 .7732 Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are based on exchange rates for the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, and the British pound. Sources: International Monetary Fund; Wall Street Journal, 2005. by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 12 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 13. Is ALL currency convertible? Convertibility: How easy/hard it is to purchase foreign currency with a domestic currency without government restrictions – Hard currencies are fully convertible with no govt restrictions on trade – External convertibility: Govt. limits non-resident trading – Soft currencies are non-convertible because of total govt. restriction on trading by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 13 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 14. Currency As a Trade Barrier A government currency restrictions include: – licensing – a multiple exchange rate system – advance import deposits – quantity controls Currency controls add to the cost of doing business and thus serve as serious impediments to trade and investment. by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 14 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 15. Why do Businesses Fx? • To covert currency for trade transactions • hedging [risk reduction through loss protection] • speculation [currency trading on expectations of future prices] • arbitrage [risk-free profit based on price differentials] – interest arbitrage by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 15 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 16. Structure of Foreign Exchange Markets by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 16 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 17. Global Capital Markets: International Bonds • Companies borrow money in the international bond market to diversify funding sources. – Foreign bonds: sold outside of home country but denominated in the currency of the country of issue. – Eurobonds: sold in countries other than the one in whose currency the bond is denominated; usually underwritten – Global bond: registered in different national markets according to the registration requirements of each market by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 17 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 18. Equity Capital Markets = Stock Market • The growth of emerging stock markets has been very sensitive to global economic conditions and events. by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 18 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com
  • 19. Conclusions • at least $1.2 trillion in foreign exchange is traded each day by banks and securities exchanges. • The U.S. dollar is the most widely traded currency in the world. • Currency is exchanged to – settle trade transactions – For direct investment – portfolio investment and speculation by Dr.Rajesh Patel,Director, nrv 07/05/12 03:57 AM 19 mba,email1966patel@gmail.com