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New Data Details Automakers’ Material Use
   Use of Fuel-Saving, Emission-Reducing Aluminum
                    At All-Time High

               The Aluminum Association’s
             Auto & Light Truck Group (ALTG)
                        Webinar

                  Tuesday, April 7, 2009


                www.autoaluminum.org
Today’s Agenda

• Introductions
• Ducker Research Highlights
  •   North America
  •   Global
  •   Leading Automakers
  •   Emerging Markets
• Why Aluminum?
• Q&A
Introductions


     Buddy Stemple                Doug Richman              Randall Scheps
     Chairman, ALTG              Vice President of       Marketing Director of
VP/GM of Specialty Products Engineering and Technology   Ground Transportation
         Novelis                 Kaiser Aluminum                 Alcoa
2009 Aluminum
 Growth Study
Auto Aluminum Use Increases

                                North American Light Vehicle Aluminum
                                  Content Continues Steady Increase
                        12%
                                                                                                                 10.4%
                                                                                                          9.6%
                        10%                                                                        8.8%
                                                                                            8.6%
% Vehicle Curb Weight




                                                                                     7.8%
                        8%                                                    6.9%
                                                                       6.1%
                        6%                                     5.1%
                                                       4.5%
                                               3.9%
                        4%                                                              1970 Average: 81 Pounds
                               2.0%    2.1%                                             2009 Average: 326 Pounds
                        2%
                                                                                        2020 Projection: 376 Pounds
                        0%
                              1970    1975    1980    1985    1990    1995    2000   2005   2009 2010F 2015F 2020F


                                                Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight
Aluminum Use Across Product Forms

                  2006                                              2009

                       Forgings and                                       Forgings and
   Extruded Shapes,      Impacts                   Extruded Shapes,         Impacts
    Tube, Rod & Bar        2.3%                     Tube, Rod & Bar          2.1%
                6.9%                                               7.2%

 Rolled 10.0%                                     Rolled    9.8%
Products                                         Products




                                  80.8%
                                                                                    80.9%
                                      Castings                                              Castings

           316 Pounds per Vehicle                             326 Pounds per Vehicle
North American Aluminum Components

              Engines                                                                                                   113.84
                                                                                                                                 122.64   + 8.8 Lbs.
         Transmissions                                                        57.08    - 2.37 Lbs., downsizing
                                                                            54.71
                                                                           52.06
               Wheels                                                         55.49   + 3.43 Lbs.
                                                           31.54
       Heat Exchangers                                     31.46     - 0.08 Lbs., downsizing
                                          12.76
             Driveline                   11.29            - 1.47 Lbs., downsizing
              Steering                  9.75
                                          11.44       + 1.69 Lbs.
                Brakes               8.32
                                     9.10            + 0.82 Lbs.
                                                                                                           Net increase of
              Closures           5.52                                                                      10.24 pounds in
                                 5.93              + 0.41 Lbs.
Crossmembers & Cradles           4.82                                                                      2009 over 2006
                              1.45                - 3.37 Lbs., program change
          Suspensions           4.24
                                 5.48          + 1.24 Lbs.
                                4.06
          Heat Shields          4.21          + 0.15 Lbs.
                              1.91
              Bumpers         2.40        + 0.49 Lbs.
                              1.30
    Body & IP Supports        1.33       + 0.03 Lbs.
                                                                                                                 2009   2006
              All Other                9.02
                                       9.41       + 0.39 Lbs.
                          0                         25                50                 75               100                    125

                                                                      Pounds per Vehicle
Aluminum Saturation and
         Growth Opportunities
Component                   Aluminum Share
   »   Heat exchangers          100%
   »   Pistons                  100%
   »   Transmission cases       > 98%
   »   Cylinder heads           > 98%
   »   Wheels                   > 69%
   »   Engine blocks            > 69%
   »   Drive shafts             > 50% (RWD)
   »   Knuckles                 > 39%
   »   Hoods                    > 22%
   »   Control Arms             > 15%
   »   Bumper                   > 11%

 Complex Structures
   » Cradles/sub-frames         > 10%
   » BIW                          ----
Leading OEMs by Aluminum Content

                                               2009 Aluminum Content as Percent
                                                        of Curb Weight
                         12%

                                                        10.1%    10.2%
                                                                                                         9.8%
                                                                         9.4%                    9.4%
Percent of Curb Weight




                               8.8%                                               8.5%   8.8%
                         9%
                                      7.8%    7.7%
                                                                                                                 7.0%

                         6%




                         3%




                         0%
                               GM     Ford   Chrysler   Nissan   Honda   Toyota   BMW    VW     Subaru Hyundai Daimler

 2007 NHTSA CAFE Rating:                                33.5     34.0    31.6
High Aluminum Content Vehicles
                                     Across Vehicle Segments
                                                                                                         *




* Some versions of these models may have less than 400 lbs or 10% of       ** Hybrid and non-hybrid models
aluminum based on selected options such as steel wheels and engine size.
North America Leads Content Use

                                       Pounds per Vehicle by Country or Region

                     350
                                                                                                             326

                     300
                                                                                                      273
Pounds per Vehicle




                                                                                     248       253
                     250                                                   237
                                                                  220

                     200                               179
                                             175
                            152      153
                     150


                     100
                           Middle    South Russia &   India &    China    South      World    Japan   EU     North
                           East &   America Other      Other              Korea     Average                 America
                           Africa           Europe      Asia

                                                                Country or Region
Worldwide Use Increases


             Light Vehicle Aluminum Content as a Percent of
                   Curb Weight – All Vehicle Segments
10%



9%
                                                                   8.6%   8.6%

                                          8.1%      8.1%    8.0%
8%
                              7.5%
                      7.1%
7%    6.8%     6.8%



6%



5%
               2002                       2006                     2009
                             Japan   EU     North America
Component Application Comparison
                                          By Region
                                      Pounds Per Average Vehicle
                               North America                     European Union              Japan (Excludes A Segment)
     Segment
                      2002 R      2006 R       2009 F   2002 R       2006 R       2009 F   2002 R     2006 R       2009 F
Engines               92.66       113.84       122.64   80.60        90.22        94.38    98.00       99.0        107.31
Transmission &        62.04        69.46        66.0    34.00        34.19         34.6    45.30       48.0        48.19
Driveline

Chassis, Suspension   13.76        18.73       18.37    18.10        22.63        25.51     6.50       7.85         7.89
& Steering
Wheels                49.32        52.06       55.49    31.35        39.74        44.56    39.20       42.59       44.53
Heat Exchangers       32.00        31.56       31.46    24.30        27.03         27.1    26.40       30.0        30.05
Brakes                 5.48        8.32         9.1      6.00        10.48        11.33     3.69       7.52         7.72
Closures               4.32        5.52         5.93     5.30        10.77        11.35     0.60       4.08         4.27
Body & IP Beams        1.00        1.30         1.33     3.90         6.2          6.36     0.30       0.46         0.22
Heat Shields           3.82        4.06         4.21     2.60         3.00         3.3      1.20       2.36         2.43

Bumper Beams           1.35        1.91         2.4      3.13         6.07         6.0      1.71       1.52         1.28
All Other              9.03        9.02         9.41     8.50         8.49         8.65     6.10       7.01         7.11
Components
     Total            271.78      316.16       326.34   217.78       258.82       273.14   229.00     250.40      261.00*
Aluminum Achieves 40 Years of Growth




 2009 Nissan Altima – D Segment         2009 Honda Civic – C Segment
    310 Pounds of Aluminum                409 Pounds of Aluminum




2009 Chevrolet Traverse – E Segment   2009 Dodge Charger – E Segment
     422 Pounds of Aluminum              413 Pounds of Aluminum
Key Growth Drivers
   for Aluminum
Leading Experts Agree: Lightweighting
        “Very Important” to Reach CAFE Levels


25% – Fuel economy improvement to come from
weight savings, as predicted by material experts and
body engineers


50% – Fuel economy improvement to come from
weight savings, as predicted by powertrain experts
Aluminum Creates Value
                                  for Alternative Powertrains

                    Percent Increase in MPG               Cost per 1 MPG Increase
60.0%                                           $300
50.0%                                           $250
40.0%                                           $200
30.0%                                           $150
20.0%                                           $100
10.0%                                           $50
  0.0%                                            $0
                   Baseline   Diesel   Hybrid           Baseline    Diesel   Hybrid
           Steel Body         Aluminum Body            Steel Body   Aluminum Body



Source: IBIS ’07
Aluminum Life Cycle Saves on Emissions



                1,000,000
                                                   761,905
                  800,000
       Energy
  (mega-joules 600,000
   per body-in-
white structure) 400,000

                  200,000   25,049      2,220                    1,200
                        0
                            Material   Fabrication Vehicle Use   Post-Use



                                                         Source: USAMP
Aluminum Can Improve Safety

 • Adding crush space without adding weight improves safety 27%
 • Reducing weight further improves fleet safety

                                      ELU Scenarios


                     100
                                           27%
                           85.9                              28%
                      80
                                          63.0               61.8
                      60
                                                                          Other Car
               ELU




                                                                          Driver
                      40

                      20

                       0
                           Baseline    Added Length     Reduced Weight
                                      Constant Weight   Constant Length

SUV to Car Crashes
Honda Pilot: Increased Size,
                   Strong on Safety




Size             Longer, taller and wider without weight gain
Safety           5-star ratings on front and side impact tests
Fuel economy     Rates better than competitors
Emissions        Reduced as a result of best fuel economy for segment
Performance      Zero to 60 performance improved by one second
Cost             Retails for less than competition, yet more efficient
Auto Aluminum Use Climbs
The future offers lighter, cleaner and better-
  performing vehicles for all consumers.




                                         Chevy Volt




       BMW X6
Question & Answer
Please submit any questions through the question box on
                     your screen
The Aluminum Association’s
Auto & Light Truck Group (ALTG)

   www.autoaluminum.org

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2009 april.ducker webinar

  • 1. New Data Details Automakers’ Material Use Use of Fuel-Saving, Emission-Reducing Aluminum At All-Time High The Aluminum Association’s Auto & Light Truck Group (ALTG) Webinar Tuesday, April 7, 2009 www.autoaluminum.org
  • 2. Today’s Agenda • Introductions • Ducker Research Highlights • North America • Global • Leading Automakers • Emerging Markets • Why Aluminum? • Q&A
  • 3. Introductions Buddy Stemple Doug Richman Randall Scheps Chairman, ALTG Vice President of Marketing Director of VP/GM of Specialty Products Engineering and Technology Ground Transportation Novelis Kaiser Aluminum Alcoa
  • 5. Auto Aluminum Use Increases North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Continues Steady Increase 12% 10.4% 9.6% 10% 8.8% 8.6% % Vehicle Curb Weight 7.8% 8% 6.9% 6.1% 6% 5.1% 4.5% 3.9% 4% 1970 Average: 81 Pounds 2.0% 2.1% 2009 Average: 326 Pounds 2% 2020 Projection: 376 Pounds 0% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010F 2015F 2020F Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight
  • 6. Aluminum Use Across Product Forms 2006 2009 Forgings and Forgings and Extruded Shapes, Impacts Extruded Shapes, Impacts Tube, Rod & Bar 2.3% Tube, Rod & Bar 2.1% 6.9% 7.2% Rolled 10.0% Rolled 9.8% Products Products 80.8% 80.9% Castings Castings 316 Pounds per Vehicle 326 Pounds per Vehicle
  • 7. North American Aluminum Components Engines 113.84 122.64 + 8.8 Lbs. Transmissions 57.08 - 2.37 Lbs., downsizing 54.71 52.06 Wheels 55.49 + 3.43 Lbs. 31.54 Heat Exchangers 31.46 - 0.08 Lbs., downsizing 12.76 Driveline 11.29 - 1.47 Lbs., downsizing Steering 9.75 11.44 + 1.69 Lbs. Brakes 8.32 9.10 + 0.82 Lbs. Net increase of Closures 5.52 10.24 pounds in 5.93 + 0.41 Lbs. Crossmembers & Cradles 4.82 2009 over 2006 1.45 - 3.37 Lbs., program change Suspensions 4.24 5.48 + 1.24 Lbs. 4.06 Heat Shields 4.21 + 0.15 Lbs. 1.91 Bumpers 2.40 + 0.49 Lbs. 1.30 Body & IP Supports 1.33 + 0.03 Lbs. 2009 2006 All Other 9.02 9.41 + 0.39 Lbs. 0 25 50 75 100 125 Pounds per Vehicle
  • 8. Aluminum Saturation and Growth Opportunities Component Aluminum Share » Heat exchangers 100% » Pistons 100% » Transmission cases > 98% » Cylinder heads > 98% » Wheels > 69% » Engine blocks > 69% » Drive shafts > 50% (RWD) » Knuckles > 39% » Hoods > 22% » Control Arms > 15% » Bumper > 11% Complex Structures » Cradles/sub-frames > 10% » BIW ----
  • 9. Leading OEMs by Aluminum Content 2009 Aluminum Content as Percent of Curb Weight 12% 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 9.4% Percent of Curb Weight 8.8% 8.5% 8.8% 9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 6% 3% 0% GM Ford Chrysler Nissan Honda Toyota BMW VW Subaru Hyundai Daimler 2007 NHTSA CAFE Rating: 33.5 34.0 31.6
  • 10. High Aluminum Content Vehicles Across Vehicle Segments * * Some versions of these models may have less than 400 lbs or 10% of ** Hybrid and non-hybrid models aluminum based on selected options such as steel wheels and engine size.
  • 11. North America Leads Content Use Pounds per Vehicle by Country or Region 350 326 300 273 Pounds per Vehicle 248 253 250 237 220 200 179 175 152 153 150 100 Middle South Russia & India & China South World Japan EU North East & America Other Other Korea Average America Africa Europe Asia Country or Region
  • 12. Worldwide Use Increases Light Vehicle Aluminum Content as a Percent of Curb Weight – All Vehicle Segments 10% 9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8% 7.5% 7.1% 7% 6.8% 6.8% 6% 5% 2002 2006 2009 Japan EU North America
  • 13. Component Application Comparison By Region Pounds Per Average Vehicle North America European Union Japan (Excludes A Segment) Segment 2002 R 2006 R 2009 F 2002 R 2006 R 2009 F 2002 R 2006 R 2009 F Engines 92.66 113.84 122.64 80.60 90.22 94.38 98.00 99.0 107.31 Transmission & 62.04 69.46 66.0 34.00 34.19 34.6 45.30 48.0 48.19 Driveline Chassis, Suspension 13.76 18.73 18.37 18.10 22.63 25.51 6.50 7.85 7.89 & Steering Wheels 49.32 52.06 55.49 31.35 39.74 44.56 39.20 42.59 44.53 Heat Exchangers 32.00 31.56 31.46 24.30 27.03 27.1 26.40 30.0 30.05 Brakes 5.48 8.32 9.1 6.00 10.48 11.33 3.69 7.52 7.72 Closures 4.32 5.52 5.93 5.30 10.77 11.35 0.60 4.08 4.27 Body & IP Beams 1.00 1.30 1.33 3.90 6.2 6.36 0.30 0.46 0.22 Heat Shields 3.82 4.06 4.21 2.60 3.00 3.3 1.20 2.36 2.43 Bumper Beams 1.35 1.91 2.4 3.13 6.07 6.0 1.71 1.52 1.28 All Other 9.03 9.02 9.41 8.50 8.49 8.65 6.10 7.01 7.11 Components Total 271.78 316.16 326.34 217.78 258.82 273.14 229.00 250.40 261.00*
  • 14. Aluminum Achieves 40 Years of Growth 2009 Nissan Altima – D Segment 2009 Honda Civic – C Segment 310 Pounds of Aluminum 409 Pounds of Aluminum 2009 Chevrolet Traverse – E Segment 2009 Dodge Charger – E Segment 422 Pounds of Aluminum 413 Pounds of Aluminum
  • 15. Key Growth Drivers for Aluminum
  • 16. Leading Experts Agree: Lightweighting “Very Important” to Reach CAFE Levels 25% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight savings, as predicted by material experts and body engineers 50% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight savings, as predicted by powertrain experts
  • 17. Aluminum Creates Value for Alternative Powertrains Percent Increase in MPG Cost per 1 MPG Increase 60.0% $300 50.0% $250 40.0% $200 30.0% $150 20.0% $100 10.0% $50 0.0% $0 Baseline Diesel Hybrid Baseline Diesel Hybrid Steel Body Aluminum Body Steel Body Aluminum Body Source: IBIS ’07
  • 18. Aluminum Life Cycle Saves on Emissions 1,000,000 761,905 800,000 Energy (mega-joules 600,000 per body-in- white structure) 400,000 200,000 25,049 2,220 1,200 0 Material Fabrication Vehicle Use Post-Use Source: USAMP
  • 19. Aluminum Can Improve Safety • Adding crush space without adding weight improves safety 27% • Reducing weight further improves fleet safety ELU Scenarios 100 27% 85.9 28% 80 63.0 61.8 60 Other Car ELU Driver 40 20 0 Baseline Added Length Reduced Weight Constant Weight Constant Length SUV to Car Crashes
  • 20. Honda Pilot: Increased Size, Strong on Safety Size Longer, taller and wider without weight gain Safety 5-star ratings on front and side impact tests Fuel economy Rates better than competitors Emissions Reduced as a result of best fuel economy for segment Performance Zero to 60 performance improved by one second Cost Retails for less than competition, yet more efficient
  • 21. Auto Aluminum Use Climbs The future offers lighter, cleaner and better- performing vehicles for all consumers. Chevy Volt BMW X6
  • 22. Question & Answer Please submit any questions through the question box on your screen
  • 23. The Aluminum Association’s Auto & Light Truck Group (ALTG) www.autoaluminum.org