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Labor Shortage Risk
Mitigation
Energy Construction Forum
Galveston
March 3-4
Harry Harrison, Wood Group Mustang
Brian Stamper, CURT/CLMA
Leading Global EPCM Provider
•  Founded 1987 in Houston, Texas
•  Joined Wood Group in 2000
•  Rebranded to Wood Group Mustang in 2012
•  More than 11,000 projects for 350 clients
•  Consistently ranked as a Top Workplace
•  Approximately 8,500 employees worldwide
•  Core services:
–  Project management
–  Engineering
–  Procurement
–  Construction management
Our Core Values
Industry’s Challenge
www.myCLMA.com
The Problem
Ø  Skilled labor demand far
exceeds skilled labor supply
Ø  Labor shortages equals high
risk, painful cost escalation
Ø Industry has lacked an
effective, dynamic way to
understand labor risk & plan
The Challenge
Ø  What and where are the
challenges
Ø  Which industry sectors?
Ø  Which crafts
Ø  Short-term or long-term?
Supply/Demand Gap
www.myCLMA.com
The	
  past	
  year	
  saw	
  an	
  increase	
  of…	
  
	
  ≈	
  200k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
	
  	
  	
  ≈	
  150k	
  entered/re-­‐entered	
  labor	
  force	
  	
  	
  
Supply/Demand Gap
www.myCLMA.com
The	
  Industrial	
  Market	
  
•  Peak	
  Demand	
  of	
  over	
  1.2m	
  CraC	
  
	
  
Demand	
  by	
  industrial	
  markets	
  
•  30%	
  Power	
  GeneraGon	
  ≈	
  360k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  –	
  Q1	
  2018	
  
•  25%	
  Manufacturing	
  ≈	
  300k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  -­‐	
  Q2	
  2016	
  
•  23%	
  Process	
  ≈	
  275k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  -­‐	
  Q1	
  2017	
  
•  15%	
  Chemical	
  ≈	
  180K	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  -­‐	
  Q1	
  2017	
  
•  5%	
  	
  	
  Refinery	
  ≈	
  61k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  -­‐	
  Q2	
  2017	
  
•  2%	
  	
  	
  Other	
  ≈	
  24k	
  in	
  skilled	
  labor	
  demand	
  
•  Peaks	
  –	
  Q2	
  2015	
  	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Market Pressures (Age Demographics)
An	
  es6mated	
  17%	
  of	
  
the	
  construc6on	
  
workforce	
  will	
  re6re	
  
in	
  the	
  next	
  decade	
  or	
  
so,	
  represen6ng	
  
aBri6on	
  of	
  about	
  
800,000	
  skilled	
  
workers.	
  The	
  
percentage	
  for	
  
supervision	
  is	
  much	
  
higher.	
  
24.9%	
  
15.5%	
  
3.9%	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Market Pressures (Gas Plays)
•  Energy
•  Natural gas prices
•  Made in America resurgence
•  Labor cost increases overseas
•  NG construction past 5 years ≈ 46% ▲
Source:	
  Associated	
  General	
  Contractors	
  of	
  America	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Gulf Coast Base-to-Peak
www.myCLMA.com
Sophisticated. Not Complicated.
Owners	

Contractors	

Unions	

Governments	

Underwriters	

Suppliers	

Brokers	

Consultants	

A/E Firms	

Industrial & Non-
Industrial Projects	

(Demand)	

Worker data input
by contractors &
unions (Supply)	

 ü 	
  Secure	
  
ü 	
  ConfidenGal	
  
ü 	
  AnG-­‐Trust	
  Protected	
  
ü 	
  90-­‐Day	
  Updates	
  
www.myCLMA.com
•  More	
  than	
  4M	
  projects	
  
•  Value	
  of	
  projects	
  ≈	
  $4.25T	
  
•  Over	
  70%	
  of	
  U.S.	
  non-­‐residenGal	
  construcGon	
  
•  Over	
  76%	
  Industrial	
  construcGon	
  
•  About	
  68%	
  Non-­‐Industrial	
  construcGon	
  
•  Tracks	
  49	
  craC	
  disciplines	
  	
  
•  Now	
  tracking	
  14	
  management	
  /	
  supervisor	
  posiGons	
  	
  
	
  
The CLMA® Database
www.myCLMA.com
Easy Project Input
Project Name: 	

Enter a unique project name/
code	

Project Class:	

•  New Construction	

•  Maintenance/ Shutdown	

Project Type:	

•  Capital 	

•  Annual Capital Program 	

•  Maintenance 	

•  Ongoing Maintenance	

Industry Type:	

Choose from 99 industrial and
non-industrial industry types.
If the industry type you need
isn’t there, we’ll customize
one for you.
www.myCLMA.com
Easy Project Input
Project Status: 	

Select your project status
from 11 options ranging from
Conceptual Planning (pre-FEL)
to Construction Completed
or On-Hold	

Probability: 	

Enter the % likely that the
project will commence	

Time Units: 	

Indicate your preference for
tracking labor utilization –
Daily,Weekly, Monthly	

Total Project Cost: 	

Enter the total installed cost
of the project
www.myCLMA.com
Easy Project Input
Start / End Date: 	

Indicate the estimated date
construction will begin and
the estimated construction
completion date	

Zip Code: 	

Input the project zip code	

Project Notes: 	

Enter any relevant notes 	

Bundled Projects: 	

Bundle multiple small projects
with the same zip code and
similar start/end dates, and list
them here
www.myCLMA.com
Sample Project
Project	
  Descrip6on	
   Chemical	
  LA	
  
Project	
  Type	
   New	
  ConstrucGon	
  
Project	
  Loca6on	
   Baton	
  Rouge,	
  LA	
  
Industry	
  Type	
   Chemical	
  
Project	
  Status	
   Early	
  FEL	
  1	
  
Project	
  Cost	
   $1.35B	
  
PLF® Identifies Project Labor Needs
Quickly understand your
skilled labor requirements on
a craft-by-craft basis, along
with peak headcount overall
and by craft.	

Chemical	
  Project	
  Louisiana	
  	
  
www.myCLMA.com
1,251	
  
Click the Risk Indicator & find
mitigation options that
correlate to the CURT®
Skilled Labor Shortage Risk
Mitigation white paper. 	

Visualize Risk. Take Action.
Chemical	
  Project	
  Louisiana	
  	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Customize Risk Profile
Chemical	
  Project	
  Louisiana	
  	
  
www.myCLMA.com
www.myCLMA.com
Analyze Competition for Crafts
Analyze	
  project	
  labor	
  
challenges	
  and	
  risk	
  
dynamically	

Visualize your project’s
competition for skilled labor
on a craft-by-craft basis	

Chemical	
  Project	
  Louisiana	
  	
  
Labor Supply – U.S. Sample
Sample	
  
Data	
  for	
  
Demo	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Labor Supply – TX Sample
www.myCLMA.com
Sample	
  
Data	
  for	
  
Demo	
  
Labor Supply – TX Sample
Sample	
  
Data	
  for	
  
Demo	
  
www.myCLMA.com
www.myCLMA.com
Market Demand (TX Sample)
5% Growth	

Age 60 Attrition	

Visualize age attrition over time
& required replacement of
crafts to meet demand
www.myCLMA.com
Market Pressures (Today’s Issues)
Project	
  cancella6ons	
  
Project	
  start	
  delays	
  
No	
  impact	
  
Re-­‐work	
  
Overall	
  project	
  budget	
  
Safety	
  
Absenteeism	
  
Schedule	
  
Turnover	
  
Quality	
  
Produc6vity	
  
Cost	
  of	
  labor	
  
7%	
  
15%	
  
19%	
  
23%	
  
25%	
  
27%	
  
28%	
  
35%	
  
36%	
  
45%	
  
49%	
  
52%	
  
Na6onal	
  survey	
  of	
  531	
  construc6on	
  industry	
  leaders	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Market Pressures (Today’s Issues)
Na6onal	
  survey	
  of	
  100	
  construc6on	
  industry	
  leaders	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Finding Labor Issues (Today’s Issues)
Na6onal	
  survey	
  of	
  100	
  construc6on	
  industry	
  leaders	
  
79%	
  
21%	
  
Yes	
  
No	
  
www.myCLMA.com
Safety Issues (Today’s Issues)
Na6onal	
  survey	
  of	
  100	
  construc6on	
  industry	
  leaders	
  
65%	
  
35%	
  
Yes	
  
No	
  
www.mustangeng.com	
  

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Workforce Labor Demands, Studies & Forecasts - PART 3

  • 1. Labor Shortage Risk Mitigation Energy Construction Forum Galveston March 3-4 Harry Harrison, Wood Group Mustang Brian Stamper, CURT/CLMA
  • 2. Leading Global EPCM Provider •  Founded 1987 in Houston, Texas •  Joined Wood Group in 2000 •  Rebranded to Wood Group Mustang in 2012 •  More than 11,000 projects for 350 clients •  Consistently ranked as a Top Workplace •  Approximately 8,500 employees worldwide •  Core services: –  Project management –  Engineering –  Procurement –  Construction management
  • 4. Industry’s Challenge www.myCLMA.com The Problem Ø  Skilled labor demand far exceeds skilled labor supply Ø  Labor shortages equals high risk, painful cost escalation Ø Industry has lacked an effective, dynamic way to understand labor risk & plan The Challenge Ø  What and where are the challenges Ø  Which industry sectors? Ø  Which crafts Ø  Short-term or long-term?
  • 5. Supply/Demand Gap www.myCLMA.com The  past  year  saw  an  increase  of…    ≈  200k  in  skilled  labor  demand        ≈  150k  entered/re-­‐entered  labor  force      
  • 6. Supply/Demand Gap www.myCLMA.com The  Industrial  Market   •  Peak  Demand  of  over  1.2m  CraC     Demand  by  industrial  markets   •  30%  Power  GeneraGon  ≈  360k  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  –  Q1  2018   •  25%  Manufacturing  ≈  300k  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  -­‐  Q2  2016   •  23%  Process  ≈  275k  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  -­‐  Q1  2017   •  15%  Chemical  ≈  180K  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  -­‐  Q1  2017   •  5%      Refinery  ≈  61k  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  -­‐  Q2  2017   •  2%      Other  ≈  24k  in  skilled  labor  demand   •  Peaks  –  Q2  2015    
  • 7. www.myCLMA.com Market Pressures (Age Demographics) An  es6mated  17%  of   the  construc6on   workforce  will  re6re   in  the  next  decade  or   so,  represen6ng   aBri6on  of  about   800,000  skilled   workers.  The   percentage  for   supervision  is  much   higher.   24.9%   15.5%   3.9%  
  • 8. www.myCLMA.com Market Pressures (Gas Plays) •  Energy •  Natural gas prices •  Made in America resurgence •  Labor cost increases overseas •  NG construction past 5 years ≈ 46% ▲ Source:  Associated  General  Contractors  of  America  
  • 10. www.myCLMA.com Sophisticated. Not Complicated. Owners Contractors Unions Governments Underwriters Suppliers Brokers Consultants A/E Firms Industrial & Non- Industrial Projects (Demand) Worker data input by contractors & unions (Supply) ü   Secure   ü   ConfidenGal   ü   AnG-­‐Trust  Protected   ü   90-­‐Day  Updates  
  • 11. www.myCLMA.com •  More  than  4M  projects   •  Value  of  projects  ≈  $4.25T   •  Over  70%  of  U.S.  non-­‐residenGal  construcGon   •  Over  76%  Industrial  construcGon   •  About  68%  Non-­‐Industrial  construcGon   •  Tracks  49  craC  disciplines     •  Now  tracking  14  management  /  supervisor  posiGons       The CLMA® Database
  • 12. www.myCLMA.com Easy Project Input Project Name: Enter a unique project name/ code Project Class: •  New Construction •  Maintenance/ Shutdown Project Type: •  Capital •  Annual Capital Program •  Maintenance •  Ongoing Maintenance Industry Type: Choose from 99 industrial and non-industrial industry types. If the industry type you need isn’t there, we’ll customize one for you.
  • 13. www.myCLMA.com Easy Project Input Project Status: Select your project status from 11 options ranging from Conceptual Planning (pre-FEL) to Construction Completed or On-Hold Probability: Enter the % likely that the project will commence Time Units: Indicate your preference for tracking labor utilization – Daily,Weekly, Monthly Total Project Cost: Enter the total installed cost of the project
  • 14. www.myCLMA.com Easy Project Input Start / End Date: Indicate the estimated date construction will begin and the estimated construction completion date Zip Code: Input the project zip code Project Notes: Enter any relevant notes Bundled Projects: Bundle multiple small projects with the same zip code and similar start/end dates, and list them here
  • 15. www.myCLMA.com Sample Project Project  Descrip6on   Chemical  LA   Project  Type   New  ConstrucGon   Project  Loca6on   Baton  Rouge,  LA   Industry  Type   Chemical   Project  Status   Early  FEL  1   Project  Cost   $1.35B  
  • 16. PLF® Identifies Project Labor Needs Quickly understand your skilled labor requirements on a craft-by-craft basis, along with peak headcount overall and by craft. Chemical  Project  Louisiana     www.myCLMA.com 1,251  
  • 17. Click the Risk Indicator & find mitigation options that correlate to the CURT® Skilled Labor Shortage Risk Mitigation white paper. Visualize Risk. Take Action. Chemical  Project  Louisiana     www.myCLMA.com
  • 18. Customize Risk Profile Chemical  Project  Louisiana     www.myCLMA.com
  • 19. www.myCLMA.com Analyze Competition for Crafts Analyze  project  labor   challenges  and  risk   dynamically Visualize your project’s competition for skilled labor on a craft-by-craft basis Chemical  Project  Louisiana    
  • 20. Labor Supply – U.S. Sample Sample   Data  for   Demo   www.myCLMA.com
  • 21. Labor Supply – TX Sample www.myCLMA.com Sample   Data  for   Demo  
  • 22. Labor Supply – TX Sample Sample   Data  for   Demo   www.myCLMA.com
  • 23. www.myCLMA.com Market Demand (TX Sample) 5% Growth Age 60 Attrition Visualize age attrition over time & required replacement of crafts to meet demand
  • 24. www.myCLMA.com Market Pressures (Today’s Issues) Project  cancella6ons   Project  start  delays   No  impact   Re-­‐work   Overall  project  budget   Safety   Absenteeism   Schedule   Turnover   Quality   Produc6vity   Cost  of  labor   7%   15%   19%   23%   25%   27%   28%   35%   36%   45%   49%   52%   Na6onal  survey  of  531  construc6on  industry  leaders  
  • 25. www.myCLMA.com Market Pressures (Today’s Issues) Na6onal  survey  of  100  construc6on  industry  leaders  
  • 26. www.myCLMA.com Finding Labor Issues (Today’s Issues) Na6onal  survey  of  100  construc6on  industry  leaders   79%   21%   Yes   No  
  • 27. www.myCLMA.com Safety Issues (Today’s Issues) Na6onal  survey  of  100  construc6on  industry  leaders   65%   35%   Yes   No