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climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Implica0ons 
for 
Employment 
Key 
Findings 
from 
the 
Intergovernmental 
Panel 
on 
Climate 
Change 
Fi7h 
Assessment 
Report 
June 
2014
climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Jobs 
& 
Livelihoods 
Climate 
change 
threats 
to 
ecosystems 
such 
as 
forests 
and 
oceans 
will 
affect 
economic 
sectors 
such 
as 
agriculture, 
fisheries, 
mining, 
energy 
produc0on, 
pulp 
and 
paper 
and 
tourism. 
Climate 
change 
effects 
will 
interact 
with: 
§ Popula0on 
growth 
§ Economic 
development 
§ Urbanisa0on 
and 
migra0on 
§ Supply 
chain 
globalisa0on 
Impacts 
on 
global 
employment 
will 
be 
both 
direct 
and 
indirect, 
and 
jobs 
will 
be 
created 
as 
well 
as 
lost. 
People 
living 
in 
poverty 
will 
be 
most 
affected. 
Greenhouse 
gas 
(GHG) 
emissions 
at 
current 
rates 
are 
projected 
to 
raise 
global 
average 
surface 
temperature 
by 
2.6–4.8oC 
by 
2100.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Impacts 
on 
Urban 
& 
Coastal 
Zones 
everyone’s 
business Coastal 
Zones 
contain 
10% 
of 
the 
world 
popula0on 
(600 
million 
people), 
and 
65% 
of 
ci0es 
over 
5 
million 
people. 
Urban 
areas 
will 
be 
affected 
by: 
§ DisrupOons 
to 
infrastructure 
§ Insecurity 
and 
breakdown 
of 
food 
systems 
§ Limited 
adapOon 
ability 
of 
poor 
residents 
§ Increased 
infrastructure 
spending 
§ Increased 
municipal 
jobs 
Coastal 
zones 
will 
be 
affected 
by: 
§ Assets 
exposed 
to 
sea-­‐level 
rise 
§ Storm 
surges 
and 
extreme 
weather 
§ Decreases 
in 
tourism 
§ Decline 
in 
fish 
stocks 
and 
fisheries’ 
produc0on
climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Rural 
livelihoods 
and 
incomes 
will 
be 
impacted 
by: 
§ Insufficient 
access 
to 
water 
§ Food 
insecurity 
§ Reduced 
agricultural 
produc0vity 
People 
living 
in 
poverty 
will 
be 
affected 
by: 
§ Slow 
economic 
growth 
§ Exis0ng 
vulnerabili0es 
exacerbated 
by 
climate 
change 
§ New 
poverty 
traps 
triggered 
by 
climate 
change 
Climate 
change 
impacts 
will 
make 
it 
harder 
for 
people 
to 
escape 
poverty. 
Impacts 
on 
Rural 
& 
Poor 
Poor 
and 
rural 
regions 
are 
already 
subject 
to 
non-­‐climate 
stressors, 
such 
as: 
§ Underinvestment 
in 
agriculture 
§ Land 
and 
natural 
resource 
policy 
problems 
§ Environmental 
degradaOon
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Economic 
Ac0vity 
everyone’s 
business Ac0ons 
and 
policies 
to 
reduce 
GHG 
emissions 
may 
threaten 
livelihoods 
in 
exisOng 
industries, 
but 
should 
create 
opportuniOes 
in 
new 
areas. 
Climate-­‐sensi0ve 
sectors, 
such 
as 
agriculture, 
forestry, 
fisheries 
and 
tourism, 
may 
find 
it 
more 
difficult 
to 
adapt 
to 
climate 
change. 
The 
sectors 
that 
will 
be 
most 
affected 
include: 
§ Energy 
§ Water 
§ Food 
produc0on 
and 
agriculture 
§ Tourism 
§ Transport 
Slow 
impacts 
will 
indirectly 
change 
the 
economic 
viability 
of 
various 
sectors.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Migra0on 
everyone’s 
business Migra0ons 
of 
people 
could 
be 
affected 
by 
climate 
change 
via: 
§ IntensificaOon 
of 
natural 
disasters 
§ Shortages 
of 
food 
or 
water 
§ Sea-­‐level 
rise 
in 
coastal 
areas 
or 
island 
states 
§ Increased 
compe00on 
or 
violent 
conflict 
over 
resources 
MigraOon 
can 
have 
both 
posi0ve 
and 
nega0ve 
effects: 
Posi%ve: 
Remi_ances 
sent 
back 
home 
from 
migrants 
abroad 
Nega%ve: 
Increased 
burden 
of 
work 
where 
migrants 
leave 
Decreased 
tradi0onal 
knowledge 
transmission 
Demographic 
and 
resource 
pressure 
where 
migrants 
arrive 
Migra0on 
will 
be 
one 
of 
the 
main 
opOons 
for 
employment 
adaptaOon 
to 
climate 
change.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Implica0ons 
for 
Employment 
everyone’s 
business Most 
regions 
and 
sectors 
will 
experience 
nega0ve 
employment 
effects. 
§ Extreme 
weather 
and 
other 
climate 
impacts 
threaten 
supply 
chains 
and 
logis0cs. 
§ Rising 
temperatures 
and 
disease 
will 
reduce 
labour 
produc0vity. 
Some 
regions 
and 
sectors 
will 
experience 
posi0ve 
employment 
effects. 
Jobs 
can 
be 
created 
through 
climate 
change 
adaptaOon 
efforts 
such 
as: 
§ Flood 
relief 
measures 
§ Roll-­‐out 
of 
renewable 
energy 
capacity 
§ Energy 
efficiency 
ini0a0ves
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Resilience 
(1/3) 
everyone’s 
business Public 
investment 
and 
private 
involvement 
§ Climate 
policies 
Increasing 
energy 
from 
renewable 
resources 
Encouraging 
culOvaOon 
of 
biofuels 
Payments 
under 
the 
REDD 
markets 
§ Agriculture 
Reducing 
market 
vola0lity 
Making 
global 
agricultural 
markets 
more 
predictable 
and 
reliable 
§ Insurance 
programmes 
Social 
protec0on 
measures 
Disaster 
risk 
management 
will 
be 
criOcal 
to 
climate 
change 
adaptaOon, 
and 
can 
include 
individuals, 
SMEs 
and 
large 
corpora0ons.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Resilience 
(2/3) 
everyone’s 
business PotenOal 
adaptaOon 
opOons 
exist 
and 
can 
directly 
benefit 
§ Adapta0on 
across 
food 
system 
ac0vi0es 
Focus 
on 
food 
security 
and 
equity 
likely 
to 
have 
most 
direct 
livelihood 
benefits. 
Food 
producOon 
Processing 
Packaging 
Transport 
Storage 
and 
trade 
the 
§ Fishery 
and 
aquaculture 
Maintaining 
resilient 
ecosystems 
Developing 
early 
warning 
systems 
Be^er-­‐adapted 
livestock 
breeds 
Improving 
access 
to 
credit 
for 
adapta0on 
measures 
livelihoods.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Resilience 
(3/3) 
everyone’s 
business § Resilient 
infrastructure 
for 
urban 
areas 
Water 
supply 
SanitaOon 
Storm 
and 
waste 
water 
drains 
Electricity 
Transport 
TelecommunicaOons 
Healthcare 
EducaOon 
Emergency 
response 
Building 
resilient 
systems 
will 
be 
crucial 
to 
maintain 
economic 
acOvity 
and 
support 
jobs. 
Urban 
areas 
hold 
more 
than 
half 
of 
the 
world 
popula0on, 
most 
of 
its 
built 
assets 
and 
most 
of 
its 
economic 
ac0vi0es.
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Mi0ga0on 
Poten0al 
everyone’s 
business Op0ons 
available 
to 
policymakers 
for 
climate 
change 
miOgaOon 
include: 
Decoupling 
economic 
growth 
from 
an 
increase 
in 
GHG 
emissions, 
requiring 
large-­‐scale 
transformaOons 
in 
the 
way 
the 
economy 
works. 
Developing 
a 
workforce 
capable 
of 
working 
in 
‘green 
jobs’, 
including 
renewable 
energy, 
green 
buildings, 
decentralised 
energy 
and 
efficiency. 
Reducing 
energy 
demand, 
through 
energy 
efficiency 
and 
behavioural 
change. 
Increasing 
supply-­‐side 
energy 
measures 
such 
as 
renewable 
technologies, 
nuclear 
power 
and 
carbon 
capture 
and 
storage 
(CCS).
climate 
Climate 
Change: 
Conclusion 
everyone’s 
business Coastal 
regions, 
ci0es 
and 
rural 
areas 
are 
all 
at 
risk 
from 
different 
climate-­‐related 
events. 
Climate 
change 
effects 
will 
disrupt 
economic 
acOvity 
and 
jobs, 
both 
in 
specific 
sectors 
and 
also 
by 
effects 
on 
the 
en0re 
economic 
infrastructure. 
AdapOng 
to 
climate 
change 
effects 
will 
present 
both 
nega0ve 
impacts 
as 
well 
as 
employment 
opportuni0es. 
Climate 
change 
poses 
a 
moderate 
threat 
to 
sustainable 
development 
today 
and 
a 
severe 
threat 
to 
future 
sustainable 
development, 
and 
thus 
to 
employment, 
livelihoods 
and 
jobs. 
Threat 
Mul0plier 
A 
factor 
that 
exacerbates 
the 
negaOve 
effects 
of 
other 
drivers 
of 
change.
For 
more 
informa0on 
Cambridge 
InsOtute 
for 
Sustainability 
Leadership 
ipcc@cisl.cam.ac.uk 
Bela 
Galgoczi, 
ETUI 
bgalgoczi@etui.org 
European 
Climate 
FoundaOon 
AR5@europeanclimate.org 
www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/ipcc 
www.etui.org 
www.europeanclimate.org 
The 
ETUI 
is 
financially 
supported 
by 
the 
EU.

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Climate Change: Implications for Employment

  • 1. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Implica0ons for Employment Key Findings from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fi7h Assessment Report June 2014
  • 2. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Jobs & Livelihoods Climate change threats to ecosystems such as forests and oceans will affect economic sectors such as agriculture, fisheries, mining, energy produc0on, pulp and paper and tourism. Climate change effects will interact with: § Popula0on growth § Economic development § Urbanisa0on and migra0on § Supply chain globalisa0on Impacts on global employment will be both direct and indirect, and jobs will be created as well as lost. People living in poverty will be most affected. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions at current rates are projected to raise global average surface temperature by 2.6–4.8oC by 2100.
  • 3. climate Climate Change: Impacts on Urban & Coastal Zones everyone’s business Coastal Zones contain 10% of the world popula0on (600 million people), and 65% of ci0es over 5 million people. Urban areas will be affected by: § DisrupOons to infrastructure § Insecurity and breakdown of food systems § Limited adapOon ability of poor residents § Increased infrastructure spending § Increased municipal jobs Coastal zones will be affected by: § Assets exposed to sea-­‐level rise § Storm surges and extreme weather § Decreases in tourism § Decline in fish stocks and fisheries’ produc0on
  • 4. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Rural livelihoods and incomes will be impacted by: § Insufficient access to water § Food insecurity § Reduced agricultural produc0vity People living in poverty will be affected by: § Slow economic growth § Exis0ng vulnerabili0es exacerbated by climate change § New poverty traps triggered by climate change Climate change impacts will make it harder for people to escape poverty. Impacts on Rural & Poor Poor and rural regions are already subject to non-­‐climate stressors, such as: § Underinvestment in agriculture § Land and natural resource policy problems § Environmental degradaOon
  • 5. climate Climate Change: Economic Ac0vity everyone’s business Ac0ons and policies to reduce GHG emissions may threaten livelihoods in exisOng industries, but should create opportuniOes in new areas. Climate-­‐sensi0ve sectors, such as agriculture, forestry, fisheries and tourism, may find it more difficult to adapt to climate change. The sectors that will be most affected include: § Energy § Water § Food produc0on and agriculture § Tourism § Transport Slow impacts will indirectly change the economic viability of various sectors.
  • 6. climate Climate Change: Migra0on everyone’s business Migra0ons of people could be affected by climate change via: § IntensificaOon of natural disasters § Shortages of food or water § Sea-­‐level rise in coastal areas or island states § Increased compe00on or violent conflict over resources MigraOon can have both posi0ve and nega0ve effects: Posi%ve: Remi_ances sent back home from migrants abroad Nega%ve: Increased burden of work where migrants leave Decreased tradi0onal knowledge transmission Demographic and resource pressure where migrants arrive Migra0on will be one of the main opOons for employment adaptaOon to climate change.
  • 7. climate Climate Change: Implica0ons for Employment everyone’s business Most regions and sectors will experience nega0ve employment effects. § Extreme weather and other climate impacts threaten supply chains and logis0cs. § Rising temperatures and disease will reduce labour produc0vity. Some regions and sectors will experience posi0ve employment effects. Jobs can be created through climate change adaptaOon efforts such as: § Flood relief measures § Roll-­‐out of renewable energy capacity § Energy efficiency ini0a0ves
  • 8. climate Climate Change: Resilience (1/3) everyone’s business Public investment and private involvement § Climate policies Increasing energy from renewable resources Encouraging culOvaOon of biofuels Payments under the REDD markets § Agriculture Reducing market vola0lity Making global agricultural markets more predictable and reliable § Insurance programmes Social protec0on measures Disaster risk management will be criOcal to climate change adaptaOon, and can include individuals, SMEs and large corpora0ons.
  • 9. climate Climate Change: Resilience (2/3) everyone’s business PotenOal adaptaOon opOons exist and can directly benefit § Adapta0on across food system ac0vi0es Focus on food security and equity likely to have most direct livelihood benefits. Food producOon Processing Packaging Transport Storage and trade the § Fishery and aquaculture Maintaining resilient ecosystems Developing early warning systems Be^er-­‐adapted livestock breeds Improving access to credit for adapta0on measures livelihoods.
  • 10. climate Climate Change: Resilience (3/3) everyone’s business § Resilient infrastructure for urban areas Water supply SanitaOon Storm and waste water drains Electricity Transport TelecommunicaOons Healthcare EducaOon Emergency response Building resilient systems will be crucial to maintain economic acOvity and support jobs. Urban areas hold more than half of the world popula0on, most of its built assets and most of its economic ac0vi0es.
  • 11. climate Climate Change: Mi0ga0on Poten0al everyone’s business Op0ons available to policymakers for climate change miOgaOon include: Decoupling economic growth from an increase in GHG emissions, requiring large-­‐scale transformaOons in the way the economy works. Developing a workforce capable of working in ‘green jobs’, including renewable energy, green buildings, decentralised energy and efficiency. Reducing energy demand, through energy efficiency and behavioural change. Increasing supply-­‐side energy measures such as renewable technologies, nuclear power and carbon capture and storage (CCS).
  • 12. climate Climate Change: Conclusion everyone’s business Coastal regions, ci0es and rural areas are all at risk from different climate-­‐related events. Climate change effects will disrupt economic acOvity and jobs, both in specific sectors and also by effects on the en0re economic infrastructure. AdapOng to climate change effects will present both nega0ve impacts as well as employment opportuni0es. Climate change poses a moderate threat to sustainable development today and a severe threat to future sustainable development, and thus to employment, livelihoods and jobs. Threat Mul0plier A factor that exacerbates the negaOve effects of other drivers of change.
  • 13. For more informa0on Cambridge InsOtute for Sustainability Leadership ipcc@cisl.cam.ac.uk Bela Galgoczi, ETUI bgalgoczi@etui.org European Climate FoundaOon AR5@europeanclimate.org www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/ipcc www.etui.org www.europeanclimate.org The ETUI is financially supported by the EU.