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“Rail + Property” Joint Development in
China: The Shenzhen Case study
Jan. 16, 2015
  World  Resources  Ins.tute
www.embarq.org!
BACKGROUND
  1.  Widened  Funding  Gap
Financing
gap
Capital costs of
new
infrastructure
Debt service
Operational
costs of existing
lines
155
46
205
34.72
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Capital  cost
 Opera?on  Cost
Opera?on  revenue
Debt  service
Gov's  contribu?on
Example: cost structure of Beijing’s Metro system
Sources:Beijing DRC. Appraisal Report on Beijing Public Transit Cost
q The  capital  cost  of  urban  rail  transit  system  requires  1.5  trillion  RMB  
investments  between  2015-­‐2020,  and  the  pricing  of  the  urban  rail  transit  
system  alone  cannot  make  the  end  meet.  
www.embarq.org!
Debt Financing (50-70%):
• Bank loans
• Corporate bonds
Gov.’s capital
contribution(30-50%):
• Land sales
• General budget revenue
•  The  boarder  city  finance  system  that  relies  on  land  
leasing  is  not  healthy  for  urban  development.  
q   The  current  transit  financing  prac?ce  consists  of  government  capital  
contribu?on  and  debt  financing  via  government  financing  vehicles.    
•  Debt  financing  increases  the  financial  liabili?es  of  the  
public  sector  and  exposes  local  governments  to  financial  
risks.  
BACKGROUND
  2.  Structural  Problems  with  the  Current  Financing  Prac?ce.
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2020
net  land  
revenue
capital  
investment  
of  rail  transit
%  of  GDP
Source:World Bank 2014. Urban China: Toward Efficient, Inclusive, and Sustainable Urbanization
capital  cost  
of  rail  transit
BACKGROUND
3.  Benefits  of  “Rail  +  Property”  Joint  Development
q Bundle  urban  transit  and  land  development
State  Council  released  Direc?ve  [2014]  (37)  on  “Land  Comprehensive  
Development  in  Suppor?ng  Railway  Construc?on”  to  encourage  
integrated  land  development  at  railway  sta?ons.  
q Mobilize  private  investments
Strong  poli?cal  will  and  na?onal  campaigns  to  promote  pilots  and  
guidelines  on  Public  Private  Partnership  by  the  NDRC  and  Ministry  of  
Finance.
q Rail  +  Property  Development  is  s?ll  in  the  pilot  stage,  not  
only  facing  ins?tu?onal  and  regulatory  barriers,  but  also  
being  confounded  by  the  lack  of  knowledge.
q Excellence:  champion  experimental  prac?ce,  recognizable  innova?on  in  
planning,  ins?tu?ons  and  opera?ons
q Scalability:  common  macro  economic  environment,  na?onal  legal  
framework  and  policies  s?ll  apply
SHENZHEN  CASE
SHENZHEN  CASE
1.  Financial  
arrangement
2.  Value  
crea?on
3.  Value  
realiza?on
4.  Value  capture  
and  realloca?on
Life  cycle  of  land  value  dynamics
Urban  planning Land  policies Business  opera?onFinancial  arrangement
Strong  mul?-­‐agency  coordina?on
FINANCIAL  ARRANGEMENT  
Gov’t
Project company
(Metro company, or
consortium)
• Pre-­‐rail  land  price
• Payment  in  installments
Development  
rights  transfer  
by  agreement
Gov’t
• Aier-­‐rail  land  price
• Lump  sum  payment
Development  
rights  transfer  by  
Bid,  auc?on,  list
Other Interested
bidders
Rail  Plus  Property
 Current  prac?ces
q Major  Barriers—The  open  market  auc?on  and  upfront  land  payment  
affect  the  project  company  (metro  company)’s    financial  viability  and  pose  
the  risk  on  land  development  rights  transfer.
Project company
(Metro company, or
consortium)
•  Aier-­‐rail  land  price
•  Lump  sum  payment
FINANCIAL  ARRANGEMENT  
Gov’t
Shenzhen Metro. Co
Land  prices
Phase  II:  Exclusive  land  auc?on  +
Land  concession  fee  refund
p Full  Land  price  refund
p Exclusive  land  auc?on:  lower  land  
sale  payment,  appoint  winners.  
p Gov’s  contribu?on:  70%à50%
Land  price    
refund
Land  
development  
rights  
Land  
development  
rights
Shenzhen Metro. Co
Gov’t
Phase  III:  In-­‐kind  land  contribu?on  as  
capital  asset  
p Gov’t  financial  contribu?on  is  replaced  by  
land  development  rights  in  equal  
amounts.  
p Project  company  use  the  appraised  value  
of  the  land  to  raise  funds  in  the  market.  
VALUE  CREATION  :  PLANNING  
q Transit  oriented  development  holds  the  poten?al  to  achieve  
op?mal  land  use,  and  anain  economic,  social,  and  environmental  
goals.  
q Major  barriers—current  planning  prac?ce  does  not  enable  TOD:
1.  Not  market  responsive:  The  government-­‐led  planning  process  fail  to  
match  the  supply  with  the  market  demand,  resul?ng  in  oversupplies  of  
housing  and/or  shortages  of  ameni?es.  
2.    Lack  integrated  urban  and  transit  plans:  rail  transit  plan  is  not  
coordinated  with  urban  master/regulatory  plans,  leading  to  lack  of  
developable  lands  around  transit  sta?ons.  
3.  Inflexible  regulatory  zoning:  The  regulatory  plan  is  too  rigid  to  allow  for  
up-­‐zoning  or  changes  of  land  uses  in  proximity  to  transit  sta?ons.  
VALUE  CREATION:  PLANNING  
1.  Market-­‐responsive  and  Integrated  Planning
Urban  Planning
Urban  Master  Plan
Urban  District  Plan
Regulatory  Plan
Urban  Design
Site  Plan  and  Opera?on  
Plan
Rail  Transit  Planning
Long-­‐term  Rail  Transit  Plan
Short-­‐term  Rail  Transit  Plan
Rail  Transit  Line  Detailed  
Plan
Rail  Transit  Feasibility  Plan
Inter-­‐modal  Transit  Plan
Agencies/Organiza?ons
Government
Government
Government  &  
Project  Company
Government  &  
Project  Company
Government  &  
Project  Company
Project  Company
q Mul?-­‐stakeholder  engagement—allow  project  companies  to  par?cipate  and  make  
market-­‐oriented  adjustments.  
q Integrated  land  use  and  transit  planning  process—link  transit  to  urban  plans  to  
iden?fy  land  plots  of  greatest  poten?als  or  reroute  transit  lines  to  access  valuable  
land.
VALUE  CREATION  :  PLANNING  
2.  Flexibility  of  Zoning
C1
(FAR  *1.2)
C1
(FAR*1.6)
R2
 R2
(FAR*1.4)
R2
S3
C1
SD
R2
Special  
District
(SD)
R2
S3+C3
Set  up  TOD  zones  
(FAR  adjustment)
Set  up  Special  Districts
(FAR  and  land  use  adjustment)
Note:  C—Commercial,  R—residen?al,  S–  transport  
VALUE  REALIZATION:  LAND  POLICIES  
Ver?cal  separa?on  of  development  (air)  rights
Metro  tracks
Rolling  stock  
depot
Transfer  zone
Commercial  and  
residen?al  use
Ground
9m
15m
Land  right  by  alloca?on
(no  year  limits)
Land  right  by  agreement
(non-­‐compe??ve,  year  limits  )
Land  right  by  listed  auc?on
(compe??ve,  50-­‐70  years)
•  Major  Barriers—Land  planned  for  urban  transit  facili?es  is  leased  by  agreement.  
Land  planned  for  commercial  development  is  sold  by  open  auc?on.
•  Realize land value increase not only relies on proper institutional
designs, but demands business models and operations.
Business  mindsets:
Become  business  savvy,  understand  the  market  well.
Shii  the  tradi?onal  focus  on  short-­‐term  gains  to  long-­‐term  value  crea?on.  
Phasing  of  development:
Phase  the  ?ming  of  different  R+P  projects  to  mi?gate  the  risk  of  real  estate  market  
fluctua?ons.  
Corporate  finance  and  risk  sharing:
Spread  the  risks  and  cost  burdens  through  diversifying  corporate  funding  sources    and  
forming  joint  ventures  with  capable  firms.    
VALUE CAPTURE: BUSINESS MODEL
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
1. Taken together
1.  Ins?tu?onal  
setup
2.  Value  
crea?on
3.  Value  
realiza?on
4.  Value  capture  
and  realloca?on
Urban  planning Land  policies Business  opera?onFinancial  arrangement
Strong  mul?-­‐agency  coordina?on
•  Integrated  transit  and  
urban  planning.  
•  Land  use  compa?bility  
and  flexibility.    
•  Land  banking.  
•  Cul?vate  consul?ng  
capacity
•  Introduce  capable  
firms
•  Promote  fair  
compe??on.  
•  Legalize  pilots.
 •  Ver?cal  separa?on  
of  development  
rights  
POLICY  IMPLICATIONS  
2.  Enabling  condi?ons
Market
-­‐  General  trend  of  real  
estate  market:  
booming  or  shrinking
-­‐  Rela?ve  demand  or  
supply  surplus  of  
specific  type  of  real  
estate  development
-­‐  The  impacts  of  large  
scale  supply  on  local  
property  values
Policy
-­‐  City  leaders’  poli?cal  
will  and  commitment
-­‐  Trust  and  confidence  
in  all  par?es.
Capacity
-­‐  Sufficient    in-­‐house  
knowledge  of  R+P  
management  and  
opera?ons
-­‐  Possibility  to  obtain  
professional  consul?ng  
services  at  affordable  
cost
Thanks!

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"Rail + Property" Joint Developing in China: The Shenzen Case Study - Lulu Xue - EMBARQ China - Transforming Transportation 2015

  • 1. “Rail + Property” Joint Development in China: The Shenzhen Case study Jan. 16, 2015  World  Resources  Ins.tute
  • 2. www.embarq.org! BACKGROUND  1.  Widened  Funding  Gap Financing gap Capital costs of new infrastructure Debt service Operational costs of existing lines 155 46 205 34.72 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Capital  cost Opera?on  Cost Opera?on  revenue Debt  service Gov's  contribu?on Example: cost structure of Beijing’s Metro system Sources:Beijing DRC. Appraisal Report on Beijing Public Transit Cost q The  capital  cost  of  urban  rail  transit  system  requires  1.5  trillion  RMB   investments  between  2015-­‐2020,  and  the  pricing  of  the  urban  rail  transit   system  alone  cannot  make  the  end  meet.  
  • 3. www.embarq.org! Debt Financing (50-70%): • Bank loans • Corporate bonds Gov.’s capital contribution(30-50%): • Land sales • General budget revenue •  The  boarder  city  finance  system  that  relies  on  land   leasing  is  not  healthy  for  urban  development.   q   The  current  transit  financing  prac?ce  consists  of  government  capital   contribu?on  and  debt  financing  via  government  financing  vehicles.     •  Debt  financing  increases  the  financial  liabili?es  of  the   public  sector  and  exposes  local  governments  to  financial   risks.   BACKGROUND  2.  Structural  Problems  with  the  Current  Financing  Prac?ce. 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2020 net  land   revenue capital   investment   of  rail  transit %  of  GDP Source:World Bank 2014. Urban China: Toward Efficient, Inclusive, and Sustainable Urbanization capital  cost   of  rail  transit
  • 4. BACKGROUND 3.  Benefits  of  “Rail  +  Property”  Joint  Development q Bundle  urban  transit  and  land  development State  Council  released  Direc?ve  [2014]  (37)  on  “Land  Comprehensive   Development  in  Suppor?ng  Railway  Construc?on”  to  encourage   integrated  land  development  at  railway  sta?ons.   q Mobilize  private  investments Strong  poli?cal  will  and  na?onal  campaigns  to  promote  pilots  and   guidelines  on  Public  Private  Partnership  by  the  NDRC  and  Ministry  of   Finance. q Rail  +  Property  Development  is  s?ll  in  the  pilot  stage,  not   only  facing  ins?tu?onal  and  regulatory  barriers,  but  also   being  confounded  by  the  lack  of  knowledge.
  • 5. q Excellence:  champion  experimental  prac?ce,  recognizable  innova?on  in   planning,  ins?tu?ons  and  opera?ons q Scalability:  common  macro  economic  environment,  na?onal  legal   framework  and  policies  s?ll  apply SHENZHEN  CASE
  • 6. SHENZHEN  CASE 1.  Financial   arrangement 2.  Value   crea?on 3.  Value   realiza?on 4.  Value  capture   and  realloca?on Life  cycle  of  land  value  dynamics Urban  planning Land  policies Business  opera?onFinancial  arrangement Strong  mul?-­‐agency  coordina?on
  • 7. FINANCIAL  ARRANGEMENT   Gov’t Project company (Metro company, or consortium) • Pre-­‐rail  land  price • Payment  in  installments Development   rights  transfer   by  agreement Gov’t • Aier-­‐rail  land  price • Lump  sum  payment Development   rights  transfer  by   Bid,  auc?on,  list Other Interested bidders Rail  Plus  Property Current  prac?ces q Major  Barriers—The  open  market  auc?on  and  upfront  land  payment   affect  the  project  company  (metro  company)’s    financial  viability  and  pose   the  risk  on  land  development  rights  transfer. Project company (Metro company, or consortium) •  Aier-­‐rail  land  price •  Lump  sum  payment
  • 8. FINANCIAL  ARRANGEMENT   Gov’t Shenzhen Metro. Co Land  prices Phase  II:  Exclusive  land  auc?on  + Land  concession  fee  refund p Full  Land  price  refund p Exclusive  land  auc?on:  lower  land   sale  payment,  appoint  winners.   p Gov’s  contribu?on:  70%à50% Land  price     refund Land   development   rights   Land   development   rights Shenzhen Metro. Co Gov’t Phase  III:  In-­‐kind  land  contribu?on  as   capital  asset   p Gov’t  financial  contribu?on  is  replaced  by   land  development  rights  in  equal   amounts.   p Project  company  use  the  appraised  value   of  the  land  to  raise  funds  in  the  market.  
  • 9. VALUE  CREATION  :  PLANNING   q Transit  oriented  development  holds  the  poten?al  to  achieve   op?mal  land  use,  and  anain  economic,  social,  and  environmental   goals.   q Major  barriers—current  planning  prac?ce  does  not  enable  TOD: 1.  Not  market  responsive:  The  government-­‐led  planning  process  fail  to   match  the  supply  with  the  market  demand,  resul?ng  in  oversupplies  of   housing  and/or  shortages  of  ameni?es.   2.    Lack  integrated  urban  and  transit  plans:  rail  transit  plan  is  not   coordinated  with  urban  master/regulatory  plans,  leading  to  lack  of   developable  lands  around  transit  sta?ons.   3.  Inflexible  regulatory  zoning:  The  regulatory  plan  is  too  rigid  to  allow  for   up-­‐zoning  or  changes  of  land  uses  in  proximity  to  transit  sta?ons.  
  • 10. VALUE  CREATION:  PLANNING   1.  Market-­‐responsive  and  Integrated  Planning Urban  Planning Urban  Master  Plan Urban  District  Plan Regulatory  Plan Urban  Design Site  Plan  and  Opera?on   Plan Rail  Transit  Planning Long-­‐term  Rail  Transit  Plan Short-­‐term  Rail  Transit  Plan Rail  Transit  Line  Detailed   Plan Rail  Transit  Feasibility  Plan Inter-­‐modal  Transit  Plan Agencies/Organiza?ons Government Government Government  &   Project  Company Government  &   Project  Company Government  &   Project  Company Project  Company q Mul?-­‐stakeholder  engagement—allow  project  companies  to  par?cipate  and  make   market-­‐oriented  adjustments.   q Integrated  land  use  and  transit  planning  process—link  transit  to  urban  plans  to   iden?fy  land  plots  of  greatest  poten?als  or  reroute  transit  lines  to  access  valuable   land.
  • 11. VALUE  CREATION  :  PLANNING   2.  Flexibility  of  Zoning C1 (FAR  *1.2) C1 (FAR*1.6) R2 R2 (FAR*1.4) R2 S3 C1 SD R2 Special   District (SD) R2 S3+C3 Set  up  TOD  zones   (FAR  adjustment) Set  up  Special  Districts (FAR  and  land  use  adjustment) Note:  C—Commercial,  R—residen?al,  S–  transport  
  • 12. VALUE  REALIZATION:  LAND  POLICIES   Ver?cal  separa?on  of  development  (air)  rights Metro  tracks Rolling  stock   depot Transfer  zone Commercial  and   residen?al  use Ground 9m 15m Land  right  by  alloca?on (no  year  limits) Land  right  by  agreement (non-­‐compe??ve,  year  limits  ) Land  right  by  listed  auc?on (compe??ve,  50-­‐70  years) •  Major  Barriers—Land  planned  for  urban  transit  facili?es  is  leased  by  agreement.   Land  planned  for  commercial  development  is  sold  by  open  auc?on.
  • 13. •  Realize land value increase not only relies on proper institutional designs, but demands business models and operations. Business  mindsets: Become  business  savvy,  understand  the  market  well. Shii  the  tradi?onal  focus  on  short-­‐term  gains  to  long-­‐term  value  crea?on.   Phasing  of  development: Phase  the  ?ming  of  different  R+P  projects  to  mi?gate  the  risk  of  real  estate  market   fluctua?ons.   Corporate  finance  and  risk  sharing: Spread  the  risks  and  cost  burdens  through  diversifying  corporate  funding  sources    and   forming  joint  ventures  with  capable  firms.     VALUE CAPTURE: BUSINESS MODEL
  • 14. POLICY IMPLICATIONS 1. Taken together 1.  Ins?tu?onal   setup 2.  Value   crea?on 3.  Value   realiza?on 4.  Value  capture   and  realloca?on Urban  planning Land  policies Business  opera?onFinancial  arrangement Strong  mul?-­‐agency  coordina?on •  Integrated  transit  and   urban  planning.   •  Land  use  compa?bility   and  flexibility.     •  Land  banking.   •  Cul?vate  consul?ng   capacity •  Introduce  capable   firms •  Promote  fair   compe??on.   •  Legalize  pilots. •  Ver?cal  separa?on   of  development   rights  
  • 15. POLICY  IMPLICATIONS   2.  Enabling  condi?ons Market -­‐  General  trend  of  real   estate  market:   booming  or  shrinking -­‐  Rela?ve  demand  or   supply  surplus  of   specific  type  of  real   estate  development -­‐  The  impacts  of  large   scale  supply  on  local   property  values Policy -­‐  City  leaders’  poli?cal   will  and  commitment -­‐  Trust  and  confidence   in  all  par?es. Capacity -­‐  Sufficient    in-­‐house   knowledge  of  R+P   management  and   opera?ons -­‐  Possibility  to  obtain   professional  consul?ng   services  at  affordable   cost