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Smart Growth, Climate Change and Prosperity Transforming Transportation January 27, 2011 Chuck Kooshian
Transportation Program What We Do Research Technical assistance Policy proposals Dialogues Key Products Transportation and GHG Trading paper State Climate Plans Transportation Emissions Guidebook Growing Cooler Dollar per Ton study Data & Capacity Needs for Transport   NAMAs
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why  Growing Wealthier ?
What could the new economy look like? Metropolitan Easy Access  (less driving) Prosperous
Why should there be  accessibility with less driving? Mitigating climate change is one reason.
Transportation climate targets  can be met…
By driving 2 ½ miles less per person per day VMT/Capita  -9%
Doesn’t driving make us prosperous?
Doesn’t driving make us prosperous? Not like it  used to.
By 1996 economic growth began to outpace driving growth.
It takes fewer miles to make a GDP dollar than it used to. US Vehicle Miles Traveled per $1000 GDP
And consider….
 
Travel that contributes little or nothing to households and local economies might be called “empty miles”
How much VMT growth in the past 50 years has been  “empty miles”?
States with high per capita GDP  tend to drive less, not more
Mobility – the ability to move  Accessibility – the ability to get where you want to go
These are common sense development principles.
More like  “ Back to  the Future” than “The Jetsons”
These principles can improve accessibility and reduce the need for driving.
Smarter development patterns can also:
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How does it happen?
How does it happen? Improved accessibility
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning Quality design
How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning Quality design
Return on Investment Business Household Municipal and Region Nation Savings on Expenditures Business Household Municipal and Region Nation Improved Quality of Life Business Household Municipal and Region Nation
Return on Investment Municipal and Region
Dallas, Texas – In the first year after the light rail system began operation downtown retail grew 33 percent Portland, Oregon – Investment of $103 million in streetcar attracted $3.5 billion in  adjacent private investment. Silver Spring, Maryland - $360 million public/private partnership in mixed use shopping center drew 1 million square of office space raising annual property tax revenue 30% Return on Investment Municipal and Regional Municipal and Region
Return on Investment Business Municipal and Region
Properties with a high “Walk Score” value appreciated nearly 2% more annually than properties with low “Walk Score” $1 billion in stimulus money spent on transit created 16,419 job months while $1 billion spent on highways created only 8,781 job months A Federal Reserve study found that a metro area twice as dense as another tends to create 20-30% more patents. Return on Investment Business Municipal and Region
Return on Investment Business Households Municipal and Region
Denver households within ½ mile of light rail line rose in value by 18% between 2006 and 2008; other Denver homes lost 7.5% value on average. Return on Investment Households Municipal and Region
Savings on Expenditures Household
In the Washington, DC metro area households in central jurisdictions spent about 30% of their incomes on housing plus transportation; in outer suburbs they spent about 40% Sacramento’s Blueprint plan  would lower future regional infrastructure costs by approximately $18,000 per household, reducing tax burdens. Bay Area Metropolitan Transportation Commission calculated vehicle travel reduction  resulting in 15% less GHG would also generate $140 million in healthcare savings by 2035. Savings on Expenditures Household Savings on Expenditures Household
Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Region
Kentucky study found new central city households paid $1 more in annual taxes than services cost; in suburban areas costs were as much as $1,222  more than tax revenue per household. Sarasota, FL comparison showed a downtown development cost city $5 million in infrastructure while paying almost $2 million in taxes; a similar suburban development cost $10 million in infrastructure and only generated $250 thousand in tax revenue. Garland, Texas tree canopy is credited with diffusing 19 million cubic feet of runoff per storm, that additional water would require $38 million in retention infrastructure to handle it. Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Regional Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Region
Savings on Expenditures Nation
The Victoria Transportation Policy Institute calculated that for each trip not driven, i.e. taken by a mode other than car, society saves $1 to $3.50.  TRB study concluded that shifting 15% of new growth into more developed areas by 2025 could save the nation $105 billion in road infrastructure costs. Households that travel fewer vehicle miles daily are less vulnerable to gasoline price variations. Savings on Expenditures National Savings on Expenditures Nation
Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Region
Quality of life was found to be a top reason for Colorado business location decisions with parks and open space the key attribute. Attractive placemaking efforts in Ohio, Kentucky, Washington, DC and other locations have consistently attracted new businesses and increased visitors to formerly depressed areas. Residents in King County, Washington were found to get out and walk more in neighborhoods that provided a wide variety of retail services. Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Regional Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Region
Improved Quality of Life Household
An analysis found a lower rate of pedestrian fatalities in compact  urban areas and higher rates in sprawling areas. In Seattle, increase in neighborhood walkability  was associated with more time spent walking and lower body-mass-index. Public participation in community planning in Sacramento was increased by going through the visioning process and letting residents create their own scenarios. Improved Quality of Life Household Improved Quality of Life Household
Surveys by real estate advisor RCLCO reveal that up to 88% of Gen Y (80 million born between 1979 and 1996) prefer to live in an urban setting.  One-third are willing to pay for walkability.
Recommendations ,[object Object],[object Object]

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Smart Growth Climate Change and Prosperity

  • 1.  
  • 2. Smart Growth, Climate Change and Prosperity Transforming Transportation January 27, 2011 Chuck Kooshian
  • 3. Transportation Program What We Do Research Technical assistance Policy proposals Dialogues Key Products Transportation and GHG Trading paper State Climate Plans Transportation Emissions Guidebook Growing Cooler Dollar per Ton study Data & Capacity Needs for Transport NAMAs
  • 4.
  • 5. What could the new economy look like? Metropolitan Easy Access (less driving) Prosperous
  • 6. Why should there be accessibility with less driving? Mitigating climate change is one reason.
  • 8. By driving 2 ½ miles less per person per day VMT/Capita -9%
  • 9. Doesn’t driving make us prosperous?
  • 10. Doesn’t driving make us prosperous? Not like it used to.
  • 11. By 1996 economic growth began to outpace driving growth.
  • 12. It takes fewer miles to make a GDP dollar than it used to. US Vehicle Miles Traveled per $1000 GDP
  • 14.  
  • 15. Travel that contributes little or nothing to households and local economies might be called “empty miles”
  • 16. How much VMT growth in the past 50 years has been “empty miles”?
  • 17. States with high per capita GDP tend to drive less, not more
  • 18. Mobility – the ability to move Accessibility – the ability to get where you want to go
  • 19. These are common sense development principles.
  • 20. More like “ Back to the Future” than “The Jetsons”
  • 21. These principles can improve accessibility and reduce the need for driving.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. How does it happen?
  • 28. How does it happen? Improved accessibility
  • 29. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel
  • 30. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services
  • 31. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs
  • 32. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services
  • 33. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning
  • 34. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning Quality design
  • 35. How does it happen? Improved accessibility More efficient travel More efficient services Lower energy costs Use natural services Inclusive planning Quality design
  • 36. Return on Investment Business Household Municipal and Region Nation Savings on Expenditures Business Household Municipal and Region Nation Improved Quality of Life Business Household Municipal and Region Nation
  • 37. Return on Investment Municipal and Region
  • 38. Dallas, Texas – In the first year after the light rail system began operation downtown retail grew 33 percent Portland, Oregon – Investment of $103 million in streetcar attracted $3.5 billion in adjacent private investment. Silver Spring, Maryland - $360 million public/private partnership in mixed use shopping center drew 1 million square of office space raising annual property tax revenue 30% Return on Investment Municipal and Regional Municipal and Region
  • 39. Return on Investment Business Municipal and Region
  • 40. Properties with a high “Walk Score” value appreciated nearly 2% more annually than properties with low “Walk Score” $1 billion in stimulus money spent on transit created 16,419 job months while $1 billion spent on highways created only 8,781 job months A Federal Reserve study found that a metro area twice as dense as another tends to create 20-30% more patents. Return on Investment Business Municipal and Region
  • 41. Return on Investment Business Households Municipal and Region
  • 42. Denver households within ½ mile of light rail line rose in value by 18% between 2006 and 2008; other Denver homes lost 7.5% value on average. Return on Investment Households Municipal and Region
  • 44. In the Washington, DC metro area households in central jurisdictions spent about 30% of their incomes on housing plus transportation; in outer suburbs they spent about 40% Sacramento’s Blueprint plan would lower future regional infrastructure costs by approximately $18,000 per household, reducing tax burdens. Bay Area Metropolitan Transportation Commission calculated vehicle travel reduction resulting in 15% less GHG would also generate $140 million in healthcare savings by 2035. Savings on Expenditures Household Savings on Expenditures Household
  • 45. Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Region
  • 46. Kentucky study found new central city households paid $1 more in annual taxes than services cost; in suburban areas costs were as much as $1,222 more than tax revenue per household. Sarasota, FL comparison showed a downtown development cost city $5 million in infrastructure while paying almost $2 million in taxes; a similar suburban development cost $10 million in infrastructure and only generated $250 thousand in tax revenue. Garland, Texas tree canopy is credited with diffusing 19 million cubic feet of runoff per storm, that additional water would require $38 million in retention infrastructure to handle it. Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Regional Savings on Expenditures Municipal and Region
  • 48. The Victoria Transportation Policy Institute calculated that for each trip not driven, i.e. taken by a mode other than car, society saves $1 to $3.50. TRB study concluded that shifting 15% of new growth into more developed areas by 2025 could save the nation $105 billion in road infrastructure costs. Households that travel fewer vehicle miles daily are less vulnerable to gasoline price variations. Savings on Expenditures National Savings on Expenditures Nation
  • 49. Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Region
  • 50. Quality of life was found to be a top reason for Colorado business location decisions with parks and open space the key attribute. Attractive placemaking efforts in Ohio, Kentucky, Washington, DC and other locations have consistently attracted new businesses and increased visitors to formerly depressed areas. Residents in King County, Washington were found to get out and walk more in neighborhoods that provided a wide variety of retail services. Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Regional Improved Quality of Life Municipal and Region
  • 51. Improved Quality of Life Household
  • 52. An analysis found a lower rate of pedestrian fatalities in compact urban areas and higher rates in sprawling areas. In Seattle, increase in neighborhood walkability was associated with more time spent walking and lower body-mass-index. Public participation in community planning in Sacramento was increased by going through the visioning process and letting residents create their own scenarios. Improved Quality of Life Household Improved Quality of Life Household
  • 53. Surveys by real estate advisor RCLCO reveal that up to 88% of Gen Y (80 million born between 1979 and 1996) prefer to live in an urban setting. One-third are willing to pay for walkability.
  • 54.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Introductions
  2. There was a need for broader and deeper research on the economic and livability benefits of smart growth. Help folks find their (economic) self interest in smart growth policies to inspire and motivate them to try hard on implementation.
  3. It boils down to a vision of the future. As we emerge from the recession it is clear that the old patterns are not going to continue.
  4. And GDP includes many of the negative impacts of motorized driving: collision costs, fuel consumption, oil spills, health impacts…
  5. Let’s look at the effect on American households. We know more household members are driving and they are driving longer distances. In fact since 1967 miles driven per household went up over 60%. Yet at the same time median income, a statistic that cancels out the effect of very high earners, only rose 25%. The experience for most households was one of driving substantially more but not seeing their income rise proportionately. CCAP thinks this means we are driving “empty miles”
  6. We can all think of examples: driving 10 miles to the grocery store for a loaf of bread, driving the kids to trick or treat, school or playdates, driving to the gym or driving to park to walk the dog.
  7. We should ask ourselves how much of VMT growth is empty miles. Caltrans also realized that not all miles are equal
  8. We don’t know how much travel is empty miles but we can see that some places are doing well with far fewer miles of travel.
  9. The explanation is accessibility. This is not the same as mobility. Mobility is driving a fast car on an empty desert highway, nothing hinders you from moving rapidly. Accessibility is having a grocery store two blocks away. When you want something, there it is. Communities are accessible if they are created by following simple development principles.
  10. You’ve heard of smart growth, but let’s consider the actual principles. Walkability, mixed use, transportation choices. These are tried and true common sense principles. We know the kind of communities they build because America has been here before and these images live on in popular culture. In other words think “Back to the Future” not the Jetsons.
  11. But wait, there’s more…
  12. We already mentioned accessibility. When stuff is closer together you travel less to meet your daily needs
  13. Trains, busses, bikes and walking use less energy than cars and trucks
  14. Shorter roads, sewer lines, garbage pickup routes all can cost less.
  15. Compact mixed use buildings save on energy, including gasoline for travel
  16. Preserving the right natural areas can allow nature to provide services instead of requiring gray infrastructure
  17. Community planning is a form of market research for both developers and governments.
  18. Quality lasts – when you build for the future, you’re building wealth.
  19. We tried to tease apart these benefits and find examples of how they can be quantified.
  20. We found a range of benefits across a spectrum of stakeholders.
  21. These are some measurable ways to look at quality of life but its really all about what people want. And that is changing.
  22. It’s not just smart, it’s what people want
  23. How do we get there? Room to experiment, more tools. Policy that rewards performance. Assessing state & local capacity needs Livability & the Economy workshop