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EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                         11/8/12	
  




                     Sustainable Transport Save
                                Lives
                                                      Holger Dalkmann
                                        EMBARQ, World Resources Institute




                     Disfuncional relationship




                                                                                    1	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                              11/8/12	
  




                           3.2 million people




                                                   Source: WHO

                  Picture: noticiasnorte.com




                           2 million people




                                                Source: WHO
                  Picrure: RPP Noticias




                                                                         2	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                      11/8/12	
  




                      1.3 million people




                                                                           Source: WHO




                                                                                    Source: WHO

                                                                                                  	
  

                        South-­‐East	
  Asia	
  +	
  Western	
  Pacific	
  =	
  563,341	
  
                                                                                                  	
  




                                                                                                                 3	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                   11/8/12	
  




                              Sustainable transport saves lives


                                            AVOID	
  long	
  motorized	
  
                                            travel	
  	
  
                                            SHIFT	
  to	
  safer,	
  healthier	
  
                                            and	
  more	
  environmentally	
  
                                            friendly	
  modes	
  
                                            	
  

                                            IMPROVE	
  vehicle	
  and	
  
                                            fuel	
  technology	
  and	
  ensure	
  
                                            safe	
  system	
  design




                                                                                              4	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                                                                          11/8/12	
  




                   Sustainable Transport Saves Lives
                                                                                         U.S. states
                                                             35.00
                                                       Strategy
                     Traffic fatalities per 100,000 people



                                                             30.00

                                                             Avoid/Shift: Reduce driving (VMT) via high-
                                                       ! 25.00
                                                             quality sustainable transport
                                  (urban roads)




                                                                                                       R² = 0.69
                                                         20.00
                                                       !  Improve: Mainstream “road safety” into
                                                             sustainable transport policy & solutions
                                                         15.00                             8.4 fatalities per
                                                                                                                  million miles driven
                                                             10.00

                                                              5.00

                                                                -
                                                                     10   15   20     25      30      35           40       45           50           55
                                                                                    Daily VMT per person
                                                                                        (urban roads)
                                                                                                       Source:	
  FHWA	
  Highway	
  StaJsJcs,	
  2008	
  
                                                                                                                   Regression	
  Analysis:	
  EMBARQ




                                                                    New York and Atlanta



                                                                                                           NEW	
  YORK	
  had
                                                                                                           3.49 traffic fatalities
                                                                                                           per 100,000
                                                                                                           inhabitants in 2008	
  
                                                                                                           	
  

                                                                                                           ATLANTA	
  had	
  
                                                                                                           10.97	
  fataliJes	
  per	
  
                                                                                                           100,000	
  inhabitants




                                                                                                                                                                     5	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                                                        11/8/12	
  




                                              ROAD SAFETY & ECONOMICS

                                              NYC case
                    !  Traffic crashes cost
                      NYC's economy $ 4.29
                      billion annually
                    !  The cost of pedestrian
                      crashes alone in NYC is
                      estimated at $ 1.38
                      billion
                    !  People of low
                      socioeconomic status
                      and the unemployed are
                      at a higher risk for traffic
                      fatalities

                                                                            Source: NYC Pedestrian safety study, 2010; Photo: H.Dalkmann




                                              Ahmedabad Scenarios
                                                       Today                               2041
                                                                        Automobility                   Sustainable	
  Transport




                       Population	
  (millions)        5.4                  13.2                                 13.2
                       Trips (millions/yr)             5.6                 39.75                                39.75
                       Area	
  (Sq.	
  Km.)           1330                  6484                                3242
                       Emissions
                       (million	
  Tons CO2/yr)        0.33                12.32                                 1.97
                       Traffic	
  Fatalities	
  
                       (per	
  yr)                     175                 5,232                                1,225




                                                                                                                                                   6	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                             11/8/12	
  




                                  URBAN DEVELOPMENT

                                  Transit Oriented Development




                                                        !     Increased transit use, walking and biking
                                                        !     Residents are more physically active
                                                        !     More destinations closer to transit
                                                        !     Lower car use




                                  BRT & ROAD SAFETY

                                  Macrobús, Guadalajara
                            Passenger per hour per direction                         Crashes per year
                                        (peak)

                                                                      2 general traffic lanes             726
                     2 general traffic lanes           3194


                                1 BRT lane                     5000              1 BRT lane     6




                                                                                                                        7	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                                                              11/8/12	
  




                                        Safety impact of BRT (example: Guadalajara)
                                        Monthly crashes before and after the implementation of the BRT


                       250                                                                                                                5000
                               Before BRT          During	
  BRT	
  construcKon	
          ALer	
  start	
  of	
  operaKons	
  
                                                                                                                                          4500
                                                                                                                                  Citywide
                       200                                                                                                        crashes 4000

                                                                                                                                          3500

                       150                                                                                                                3000

                                                                                                                                          2500

                       100                                                                                                                2000

                                                                                                                                          1500

                        50                                                                                                                1000

                                                                                                                                          500

                         0                                                                                                                0




                        BRT and busway systems in the world!
                             !   evolution of the # of cities and km per decade!




                             3741 km!




                             905 km!                                                  Before 1990 (14 cities)!

                             493 km!                                                  1990´s (19 cities)!
                   Total length!                                                      Since 2000 (114 cities)!
                   !


                                                                                                           source: BRTdata.org, October, 2012!




                                                                                                                                                         8	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                                                    11/8/12	
  




                                 Global research: BRT and road
                                 safety




                         Vancouver

                           Guadalajara                                             Delhi
                                              Mexico City        Ahmedabad
                                           Cali  Pereira
                                          Bogota        Belo Horizonte
                                                        Curitiba
                                                     Porto Alegre                    Brisbane




                             Results: Metrobus Line 4 before and after

                    !   Road safety audit report 2011

                  Before (2011): Unprotected pedestrian refuge   After (2012): Well protected island
                  island




                                                                                                               9	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                     11/8/12	
  




                  !   EMBARQ has developed a
                     pilot version of Traffic Safety
                     Guidelines for Bus Systems

                  !   We will road test these
                     guidelines with external
                     partners on BRT projects
                     around the world

                  !   The guidelines are available
                     and free to use and anyone
                     is invited to participate in the
                     road test or provide
                     feedback




                              Upscaling road safety




                                                               10	
  
EMBARQ	
  Knowledge	
  Management	
                                11/8/12	
  




                                        Role of ADB?
                      !   Continue to commit to own Sustainable
                        Transport Initiative
                      !   Champion sustainable transport as most
                        efficient strategy to save lives
                      !  Ensure safety as part of all projects
                        (Mandatory Audit)
                      !   Leadership amongst multilaterals




                        Thank you for your attention




                                   www.embarq.org
                                        hdalkmann@wri.org




                                                                          11	
  

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Sustainable Transport Saves Lives

  • 1. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Sustainable Transport Save Lives Holger Dalkmann EMBARQ, World Resources Institute Disfuncional relationship 1  
  • 2. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   3.2 million people Source: WHO Picture: noticiasnorte.com 2 million people Source: WHO Picrure: RPP Noticias 2  
  • 3. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   1.3 million people Source: WHO Source: WHO   South-­‐East  Asia  +  Western  Pacific  =  563,341     3  
  • 4. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Sustainable transport saves lives AVOID  long  motorized   travel     SHIFT  to  safer,  healthier   and  more  environmentally   friendly  modes     IMPROVE  vehicle  and   fuel  technology  and  ensure   safe  system  design 4  
  • 5. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Sustainable Transport Saves Lives U.S. states 35.00 Strategy Traffic fatalities per 100,000 people 30.00  Avoid/Shift: Reduce driving (VMT) via high- ! 25.00 quality sustainable transport (urban roads) R² = 0.69 20.00 !  Improve: Mainstream “road safety” into sustainable transport policy & solutions 15.00 8.4 fatalities per million miles driven 10.00 5.00 - 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Daily VMT per person (urban roads) Source:  FHWA  Highway  StaJsJcs,  2008   Regression  Analysis:  EMBARQ New York and Atlanta NEW  YORK  had 3.49 traffic fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants in 2008     ATLANTA  had   10.97  fataliJes  per   100,000  inhabitants 5  
  • 6. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   ROAD SAFETY & ECONOMICS NYC case !  Traffic crashes cost NYC's economy $ 4.29 billion annually !  The cost of pedestrian crashes alone in NYC is estimated at $ 1.38 billion !  People of low socioeconomic status and the unemployed are at a higher risk for traffic fatalities Source: NYC Pedestrian safety study, 2010; Photo: H.Dalkmann Ahmedabad Scenarios Today 2041 Automobility Sustainable  Transport Population  (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2 Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75 Area  (Sq.  Km.) 1330 6484 3242 Emissions (million  Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97 Traffic  Fatalities   (per  yr) 175 5,232 1,225 6  
  • 7. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   URBAN DEVELOPMENT Transit Oriented Development !   Increased transit use, walking and biking !   Residents are more physically active !   More destinations closer to transit !   Lower car use BRT & ROAD SAFETY Macrobús, Guadalajara Passenger per hour per direction Crashes per year (peak) 2 general traffic lanes 726 2 general traffic lanes 3194 1 BRT lane 5000 1 BRT lane 6 7  
  • 8. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Safety impact of BRT (example: Guadalajara) Monthly crashes before and after the implementation of the BRT 250 5000 Before BRT During  BRT  construcKon   ALer  start  of  operaKons   4500 Citywide 200 crashes 4000 3500 150 3000 2500 100 2000 1500 50 1000 500 0 0 BRT and busway systems in the world! !   evolution of the # of cities and km per decade! 3741 km! 905 km! Before 1990 (14 cities)! 493 km! 1990´s (19 cities)! Total length! Since 2000 (114 cities)! ! source: BRTdata.org, October, 2012! 8  
  • 9. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Global research: BRT and road safety Vancouver Guadalajara Delhi Mexico City Ahmedabad Cali Pereira Bogota Belo Horizonte Curitiba Porto Alegre Brisbane Results: Metrobus Line 4 before and after !   Road safety audit report 2011 Before (2011): Unprotected pedestrian refuge After (2012): Well protected island island 9  
  • 10. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   !   EMBARQ has developed a pilot version of Traffic Safety Guidelines for Bus Systems !   We will road test these guidelines with external partners on BRT projects around the world !   The guidelines are available and free to use and anyone is invited to participate in the road test or provide feedback Upscaling road safety 10  
  • 11. EMBARQ  Knowledge  Management   11/8/12   Role of ADB? !   Continue to commit to own Sustainable Transport Initiative !   Champion sustainable transport as most efficient strategy to save lives !  Ensure safety as part of all projects (Mandatory Audit) !   Leadership amongst multilaterals Thank you for your attention www.embarq.org hdalkmann@wri.org 11