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Advanced Breast Cancer Consensus
                               Conference
                       3-5 November 2011, Lisbon, Portugal



Overview of Imaging Tests for Assessment
     of Metastases in Breast Cancer


                Nehmat Houssami
   Screening and Test Evaluation Program (STEP)
   School of Public Health, Sydney Medical School
Overview of Imaging for Assessment of Metastases in BC
       (focus on evidence reviews of imaging accuracy)


 A/Prof Houssami: No Conflict of Interest


 Acknowledgement: STEP receives program grant funding
 from Australia’s National Health & Medical Research Council

 Acknowledgement
   Dr Meagan Brennan (University of Sydney)
   Dr Colleen Costelloe (MD Anderson)
Background - Imaging for detection or investigation of metastases
or suspected metastases in breast cancer, applied in various
settings, with different purposes

 Initial diagnosis of BC (baseline staging) or at subsequent
  local relapse and/or suspected distant relapse (restaging)

 Investigation of symptoms (or clinical or ‘other test’
  abnormalities) raising suspicion of metastatic spread

 Surveillance (distant relapse) in women with history of
  early BC

 Monitoring response to therapy in established metastatic
  disease.
Review of recent guidelines (January 2011)
NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology: Breast cancer (USA)
  2009, 2011 [Carlson et al. JNCCN 2011]
  Clinical early-stage or operable IBC                 Bone scan (localized symptoms, elevated ALP, or IIIA)
                                                       Abdominal +/- pelvis CT or US or MRI (abdominal
  Optional additional imaging or as directed      symptoms or clinical abnormality, elevated ALP or abnormal
  by symptoms for stage I (only if symptoms       LFT, or T3, N1, M0
  present or abnormal staging tests) or for            Chest imaging (symptoms)
  stage IIA, stage IIB, and stage IIIA (T3, N1,
  M0)                                             PET or PET/CT scanning not indicated in routine staging of
                                                  clinical stage I, II, or operable stage III.
  Locally advanced IBC                                  Bone scan
                                                        Abdominal +/- pelvis CT or US or MRI
  Optional additional imaging or as directed
  by symptoms or abnormal staging tests, for      PET or PET-CT scanning discouraged except where other
  stage IIIB (T4, N0-2, M0) or IIIC (any T,       staging tests are equivocal or suspicious (biopsy of suspected site
  N3, M0)                                         recommended alternative)
                                                       Bone scan; x-ray symptomatic bones or if bone scan
  Metastatic breast cancer (stage IV)             abnormal
                                                       Chest imaging
                                                       Consider abdominal CT or MRI

                                                  PET or PET-CT scanning discouraged except where other
                                                  staging tests are equivocal or suspicious (biopsy of suspected site
                                                  recommended alternative)
Review of recent guidelines (January 2011)

NICE / National Collaborating Centre                Assess presence and extent of visceral metastases: combination of
for Cancer (UK) 2009                          plain radiography, US, CT, and MRI
Advanced BC Guidance                                Assess presence and extent of bone metastases: bones of axial
Suspected recurrence / metastatic             skeleton using bone windows on CT or MRI or bone scintigraphy; assess
breast cancer                                 proximal limb bones for risk of pathological fracture using bone
                                              scintigraphy and/or plain radiography if evidence of bone metastases
→ initial testing should be based on          elsewhere
symptoms; once recurrence is suspected        (Qualifying statement: Insufficient evidence to support the choice of one
clinically or diagnosed on testing, staging   imaging test over another)
recommended
                                             MRI to assess bony metastases if other imaging is equivocal, or
                                       where more information required (for example, lytic metastases
                                       encroaching on the spinal canal)
                                             PET-CT should only be used if conventional imaging is suspicious
                                       but not diagnostic of metastatic disease
ESMO guidelines (Cardoso et al) Annals       Chest imaging (x-ray or CT)
of Oncology 2010                              Abdominal US, CT or MRI (to identify visceral disease)
General staging recommendations              Bone scintigraphy (confirmation of lesions by x-ray, CT, or MRI)
for locally recurrent or metastatic          CT and/or MRI of the CNS (if symptoms)
breast cancer                                PET or PET-CT may be useful for identifying site of relapse when
                                       traditional imaging methods are equivocal or conflicting.
Review of recent guidelines (1/2011): Advanced BC guidance (NICE/UK 2009)


                  Assess for visceral                          Assess for bone
                      metastases                                 metastases
                  (presence/extent):
                    plain radiography
                                                     Axial skeleton:       Proximal limb
                    Ultrasound                        CT scan or               bones:
                    CT scan                           MRI or bone            Bone scan
                    MRI                                   scan                and/or
                                                                            radiography

                                                        Qualifying statement: Insufficient
                                                         evidence to support choice of one
                                                            imaging test over another




                 Imaging suspicious                        Imaging is equivocal, or
                 but not diagnostic of                       more information
                     metastases?                                  needed?


                                                NO


                 Yes                                                        Yes


                PET/CT                   Imaging confirms or                  MRI
                                         excludes metastases
Two systematic reviews undertaken to provide
                background evidence summary for ABC1

 N. Houssami & C. Costelloe. Imaging bone metastases in
 breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals
 of Oncology 2011.

 M. Brennan & N. Houssami. Evaluation of the evidence on
 staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant
 metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Breast 2011, in
 press)
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative
 test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011 (Houssami & Costelloe )

 systematic search of the literature (Jan 2000 to Feb 2011) studies
  reporting comparative accuracy for detection of bone metastases (BM)

 Subjects with BC as primary, BM from various primary cancers
  ineligible

 At minimum reported data on TP/FP detection in same subject cohort


 Described a reference standard (RS) that was not entirely composed of
  one of the tests under comparison

 Data extraction: study characteristics/quality appraisal, & quantitative
  data on test accuracy
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test
accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results

 Studies meeting criteria: N= 16 (mostly small studies, 15-119 subjects)
 Entry into study: suspected BM (symptoms, clinical findings, abnormal
  imaging/tumour markers), or staging/re-staging in suspected or known
  local or distant recurrence; generally non-consecutive clinical cohorts

 Selection of subjects: had conventional test (often BS) → progressed
  to newer test (accuracy estimates may be affected by selection bias).
  Other limitations noted in quality appraisal (methodology)

 Substantial heterogeneity evident for two factors (limits pooling of data)
   Quality of the applied reference standard*
   Underlying prevalence of BM across studies (study-specific proportion
    with BM): median 34% (R: 10% to 67%), partly reflects extent of selection
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy.
                  Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe.   Results
 Substantial heterogeneity evident for two factors (limits pooling of data)
 Quality of the applied reference standard (RS):
   Generally small % confirmed with tissue diagnosis (0-17%)
   Clinical +/- imaging follow-up of variable durations
   Multidisciplinary team consensus opinion based on available information
   Concordance between tests included in RS
   Non-verification of test negatives
   Within-study combinations of above


 Underlying prevalence of BM across studies median 34% (10% to 67)


 Does it matter? Above factors combined increase likelihood of misclassification,
  & combined with imprecision of study estimates → may account for some of
  observed differences in paired test accuracy (vs true differences in
  comparative test accuracy)
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy.
                   Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe.   Results

PET or PET/CT vs bone scan (BS)
 Seven studies compared FDG-PET with BS
   Sensitivity generally similar for both tests (or slightly higher for PET):
    median sensitivity for PET 84% (range 77.7-95.2) vs BS 80% (67.0-93.3)

   Specificity similar for both tests or higher for PET: median specificity for
    PET 92% (88.2-99.0%) vs BS 82.4% (9.1* -99.0)
     *low (outlier) estimate from Yang et al for lesion-based data (should be interpreted
       cautiously): using data from 10 studies reporting data on BS specificity compared to any
       other imaging (excluding Yang) then median BS specificity is 86% (range 68.0%-100%)


• Integrated PET/CT vs BS: Evidence limited to 2 studies, both indicated
  higher accuracy for PET/CT than BS (however one of these only looked at
  subjects who had discordant results or inconclusive BS), the other (Fuster) gave
  100% sensitivity/specificity for PET/CT!
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy.
                 Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe.   Results

Other Imaging comparisons based on too few studies/limited evidence
 CT[thorax, abdomen, pelvis] vs BS: 1 study similar sensitivity for CT (98%)
  and BS (100%), but CT had higher specificity (100% vs 68%)

 SPECT[single-photon-emission CT]) vs PET: much higher sensitivity for
  SPECT (85.0%) than for PET (17.0%)
   Caution! lesion-based estimates from 900 bone lesions in 15 subjects,
    majority of 163 metastatic lesions occurring in 4 subjects (≥ 30 metastatic
    lesions each), analytically misleading
   reported SPECT may have altered treatment in 1 patient


• CT vs radiography: 1 study, similar (modest) sensitivity for CT (72%)
  and x-ray (66%) with same specificity for both tests (100%)
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy.
                    Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe.      Results

Other Imaging comparisons based on too few studies/limited evidence
 MRI[conventional] or whole-body MRI vs BS: 2 studies, showed ~ 10% higher
  sensitivity for MRI relative to BS, but findings on specificity were inconsistent
                     Altehoefer 2001   54 subjects   MRI (axial)           Sen 98%     Sp 100%
                                                     BS                    Sen 87%     Sp 100%
                     Engelhard 2004    22 subjects   MRI (whole-body)      Sen 92.0%   Sp 90.0%
                                                     BS                    Sen 83.0%   Sp 80.0%

   Altehoefer → each of BS or MRI detected sites of BM (in same or alternate anatomic
     region) that were not detected by the other test, in some cases this modified local treatment

   series comparing whole-body MRI with BS: MRI detected additional non-osseous
     metastases (lung or liver) in 1 subject → directed change in chemotherapy; tumor
     destruction of vertebral spine with cord compression in 1 subject identified only with MRI


 MRI [whole-body MR with diffusion-weighted imaging] vs PET/CT (20 subjects)
   Higher sensitivity and specificity for PET/CT than MRI ... But 100% sen/spec for PET/CT
Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy.
                 Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Conclusions

 Methodologic limitations (Ref Stand / selection issues)
 Some evidence that PET (in fewer studies PET/CT), and limited evidence that CT or
  conventional MRI
      small increments in accuracy of imaging bones relative to BS, where used for
       evaluation of suspected lesions and/or bone symptoms or in staging/re-staging

      studies have generally compared imaging tests such as PET, PET/CT, CT, or
        MRI as add-on tests with BS, hence the evidence is indicative of role of these bone
        imaging tests as complementary to BS in an imaging strategy where BS was likely to
        have been the initial or baseline test (highest accuracy reported for PET/CT)

      Insufficient evidence to base recommendations regarding SPECT or whole-
        body MRI for bone metastases

 No definitive evidence supporting that any of the imaging tests
  discussed in this review can be a replacement to BS in first-line
  imaging for bone lesions or symptoms, or staging/re-staging, in BC
 Review of PET (or PET/CT) for detection of suspected local and/or distant
recurrence, including direct comparison (PET vs conventional Imaging tests, CIT)
and indirect comparison (only PET, or only CIT). Conventional imaging: bone scan,
MRI, CT, conventional work/up

Suspected on basis: symptoms, clinical suspicion, elevated tumour markers,
       restaging, abnormal CIT

No distinction between imaging detection of loco-regional and distant recurrence

Quality appraisal: similar methodologic issues/limitations identified in the review
of bone metastases (selection bias/unclear selection, variable RS, incorporation bias,
PET frequently performed after CIT with variable time interval
A systematic review of PET and PET/CT for diagnosis of breast
cancer recurrence (Pennant et al) HTA 2010
PET vs CIT (conventional imaging tests) direct comparisons (10 studies): sensitivity
and specificity of PET significantly higher than CIT (each ~10% higher)




Same analysis (sensitivity analysis) for sen/spec based only on studies in which PET
and CIT performed within 1-month period: similar sensitivity, specificity of PET higher
Two systematic reviews undertaken to provide
                background evidence summary for ABC1

 N. Houssami & C. Costelloe. Imaging bone metastases in
 breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals
 of Oncology 2011.

 M. Brennan & N. Houssami. Evaluation of the evidence on
 staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant
 metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Breast 2011, in
 press)
Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant
metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer. Brennan & Houssami; Breast 2011 in press

 Systematic review (95- 6/2011): Imaging staging for detection of
  asymptomatic DM/ reporting detection for any type of DM (not LR recurrence)
 Quality appraisal: various biases (similar to those identified in SR of imaging
  bones, selection bias, non-verification of test-negatives, incorporation bias)


 22 studies/ 3 groups by type of imaging
   Conventional imaging only (BS, abdominal US, CXR, CT) combined
    Med sensitivity 78% (33-100) / Med specificity 91.4% (67-98)

    FDG-PET (some integrated PET-CT) Med sensitivity 100% (78-100) / Med
     specificity 96.5% (82-100)

    Conventional imaging vs PET (or PET/CT) 5 studies: PET-based higher sensitivity
     than conventional (similar median sensitivity as above), variable specificity
Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant
metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer. Brennan & Houssami; Breast 2011 in press




   Med 2.1%
   Mean 2.8%




  Med 10.3%
  Mean 19.4%




  Med 31.8%
  Mean 23.9%
Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly
                   diagnosed breast cancer (Brennan & Houssami). Breast 2011 in press

Conventional imaging studies had large data-sets with stage-specific data allowing reliable within-
study analysis (chi-sq test for trend): significant Increase in DM % with increasing clinical stage,
              T-stage, or nodal involvement (P<0.0001) [data for clinical stage shown]
                               Koizumi
                               Clinical Stage   n total   n metastasis   DM %
                                      0          486           0            0
                                       I        1212           1         0.08%
                                      II        3120          34           1%
                                     III         673          67          10%
                                  TOTAL         5491          102        1.85%
                               Barratt
                                   Stage        n total   n metastasis    DM %
                                      0          348           0             0
                                       I         992           0             0
                                      II        1041          12          1.20%
                                     III         224          26         11.60%
                                  TOTAL         2605          38          1.45%
                               Lee
                                   Stage        n total   n metastasis   DM %
                                      0           0            0           NA
                                       I         586           5         0.80%
                                      II         858           6         0.70%
                                     III         395          18         4.60%
                                  TOTAL         1839          29         1.58%
                               Dillman
                                   Stage        n total   n metastasis    DM %
                                      0          220           0             0
                                       I         502           1          0.19%
                                      II         367          13          3.50%
                                     III          78          12         15.40%
                                  TOTAL         1167          26          2.20%
                               Kim
                                   Stage        n total   n metastasis   DM %
                                      0           0            0            0
                                       I         448           1         0.20%
                                      II         838           1         0.12%
                                     III         417          25           6%
                                  TOTAL         1703          27         1.50%
Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly
diagnosed breast cancer (Brennan & Houssami) 2011. CONCLUSIONS

    very low % of DM in stage I-II / significantly increased with more advanced
      presentations (stage III, inflammatory BC, greater node involvement)

    PET (PET/CT) performed better → higher sensitivity for detecting DM (~ 25%
      increased relative detection) than studies of conventional imaging only BUT

    Conventional imaging only studies (relative to PET & PET/CT studies) had:
        much lower underlying prevalence of DM
        more likely to have consecutive cohorts/ less selection bias
        Much larger studies/precise estimates (allowed more detailed stage-specific analysis)


    Unclear whether better sensitivity of PET & PET/CT reflects true imaging
      capability, or selection issues/underlying risk, biases (probably combination):

   Approximation only using median of increased detection (~25% of average 21% DM
   prevalence from all studies that included PET or PET/CT): absolute increase in
   detection of DM from PET (PET/CT) accounts for ~ 5.3% (effect of selection)
Recommend
? Consider prospective multi-centre (paired) trial of staging consecutive
newly diagnosed clinical stage III with conventional imaging + PET/CT
(independent reporting) with adequate follow-up: measure effect on
treatment, clinical & QoL outcomes

Work together → Improve quality of research in imaging
accuracy studies in MBC


                         THANK YOU

                    nehmath@med.usyd.edu.au

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ABC1 - N. Houssami - Overview of imaging tests for assessment of metastases in breast cancer

  • 1. Advanced Breast Cancer Consensus Conference 3-5 November 2011, Lisbon, Portugal Overview of Imaging Tests for Assessment of Metastases in Breast Cancer Nehmat Houssami Screening and Test Evaluation Program (STEP) School of Public Health, Sydney Medical School
  • 2. Overview of Imaging for Assessment of Metastases in BC (focus on evidence reviews of imaging accuracy)  A/Prof Houssami: No Conflict of Interest  Acknowledgement: STEP receives program grant funding from Australia’s National Health & Medical Research Council  Acknowledgement  Dr Meagan Brennan (University of Sydney)  Dr Colleen Costelloe (MD Anderson)
  • 3. Background - Imaging for detection or investigation of metastases or suspected metastases in breast cancer, applied in various settings, with different purposes  Initial diagnosis of BC (baseline staging) or at subsequent local relapse and/or suspected distant relapse (restaging)  Investigation of symptoms (or clinical or ‘other test’ abnormalities) raising suspicion of metastatic spread  Surveillance (distant relapse) in women with history of early BC  Monitoring response to therapy in established metastatic disease.
  • 4. Review of recent guidelines (January 2011) NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology: Breast cancer (USA) 2009, 2011 [Carlson et al. JNCCN 2011] Clinical early-stage or operable IBC  Bone scan (localized symptoms, elevated ALP, or IIIA)  Abdominal +/- pelvis CT or US or MRI (abdominal Optional additional imaging or as directed symptoms or clinical abnormality, elevated ALP or abnormal by symptoms for stage I (only if symptoms LFT, or T3, N1, M0 present or abnormal staging tests) or for  Chest imaging (symptoms) stage IIA, stage IIB, and stage IIIA (T3, N1, M0) PET or PET/CT scanning not indicated in routine staging of clinical stage I, II, or operable stage III. Locally advanced IBC  Bone scan  Abdominal +/- pelvis CT or US or MRI Optional additional imaging or as directed by symptoms or abnormal staging tests, for PET or PET-CT scanning discouraged except where other stage IIIB (T4, N0-2, M0) or IIIC (any T, staging tests are equivocal or suspicious (biopsy of suspected site N3, M0) recommended alternative)  Bone scan; x-ray symptomatic bones or if bone scan Metastatic breast cancer (stage IV) abnormal  Chest imaging  Consider abdominal CT or MRI PET or PET-CT scanning discouraged except where other staging tests are equivocal or suspicious (biopsy of suspected site recommended alternative)
  • 5. Review of recent guidelines (January 2011) NICE / National Collaborating Centre  Assess presence and extent of visceral metastases: combination of for Cancer (UK) 2009 plain radiography, US, CT, and MRI Advanced BC Guidance  Assess presence and extent of bone metastases: bones of axial Suspected recurrence / metastatic skeleton using bone windows on CT or MRI or bone scintigraphy; assess breast cancer proximal limb bones for risk of pathological fracture using bone scintigraphy and/or plain radiography if evidence of bone metastases → initial testing should be based on elsewhere symptoms; once recurrence is suspected (Qualifying statement: Insufficient evidence to support the choice of one clinically or diagnosed on testing, staging imaging test over another) recommended  MRI to assess bony metastases if other imaging is equivocal, or where more information required (for example, lytic metastases encroaching on the spinal canal)  PET-CT should only be used if conventional imaging is suspicious but not diagnostic of metastatic disease ESMO guidelines (Cardoso et al) Annals  Chest imaging (x-ray or CT) of Oncology 2010  Abdominal US, CT or MRI (to identify visceral disease) General staging recommendations  Bone scintigraphy (confirmation of lesions by x-ray, CT, or MRI) for locally recurrent or metastatic  CT and/or MRI of the CNS (if symptoms) breast cancer  PET or PET-CT may be useful for identifying site of relapse when traditional imaging methods are equivocal or conflicting.
  • 6. Review of recent guidelines (1/2011): Advanced BC guidance (NICE/UK 2009) Assess for visceral Assess for bone metastases metastases (presence/extent): plain radiography Axial skeleton: Proximal limb Ultrasound CT scan or bones: CT scan MRI or bone Bone scan MRI scan and/or radiography Qualifying statement: Insufficient evidence to support choice of one imaging test over another Imaging suspicious Imaging is equivocal, or but not diagnostic of more information metastases? needed? NO Yes Yes PET/CT Imaging confirms or MRI excludes metastases
  • 7. Two systematic reviews undertaken to provide background evidence summary for ABC1  N. Houssami & C. Costelloe. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011.  M. Brennan & N. Houssami. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Breast 2011, in press)
  • 8. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011 (Houssami & Costelloe )  systematic search of the literature (Jan 2000 to Feb 2011) studies reporting comparative accuracy for detection of bone metastases (BM)  Subjects with BC as primary, BM from various primary cancers ineligible  At minimum reported data on TP/FP detection in same subject cohort  Described a reference standard (RS) that was not entirely composed of one of the tests under comparison  Data extraction: study characteristics/quality appraisal, & quantitative data on test accuracy
  • 9. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results  Studies meeting criteria: N= 16 (mostly small studies, 15-119 subjects)  Entry into study: suspected BM (symptoms, clinical findings, abnormal imaging/tumour markers), or staging/re-staging in suspected or known local or distant recurrence; generally non-consecutive clinical cohorts  Selection of subjects: had conventional test (often BS) → progressed to newer test (accuracy estimates may be affected by selection bias). Other limitations noted in quality appraisal (methodology)  Substantial heterogeneity evident for two factors (limits pooling of data)  Quality of the applied reference standard*  Underlying prevalence of BM across studies (study-specific proportion with BM): median 34% (R: 10% to 67%), partly reflects extent of selection
  • 10. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results  Substantial heterogeneity evident for two factors (limits pooling of data)  Quality of the applied reference standard (RS):  Generally small % confirmed with tissue diagnosis (0-17%)  Clinical +/- imaging follow-up of variable durations  Multidisciplinary team consensus opinion based on available information  Concordance between tests included in RS  Non-verification of test negatives  Within-study combinations of above  Underlying prevalence of BM across studies median 34% (10% to 67)  Does it matter? Above factors combined increase likelihood of misclassification, & combined with imprecision of study estimates → may account for some of observed differences in paired test accuracy (vs true differences in comparative test accuracy)
  • 11. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results PET or PET/CT vs bone scan (BS)  Seven studies compared FDG-PET with BS  Sensitivity generally similar for both tests (or slightly higher for PET): median sensitivity for PET 84% (range 77.7-95.2) vs BS 80% (67.0-93.3)  Specificity similar for both tests or higher for PET: median specificity for PET 92% (88.2-99.0%) vs BS 82.4% (9.1* -99.0) *low (outlier) estimate from Yang et al for lesion-based data (should be interpreted cautiously): using data from 10 studies reporting data on BS specificity compared to any other imaging (excluding Yang) then median BS specificity is 86% (range 68.0%-100%) • Integrated PET/CT vs BS: Evidence limited to 2 studies, both indicated higher accuracy for PET/CT than BS (however one of these only looked at subjects who had discordant results or inconclusive BS), the other (Fuster) gave 100% sensitivity/specificity for PET/CT!
  • 12. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results Other Imaging comparisons based on too few studies/limited evidence  CT[thorax, abdomen, pelvis] vs BS: 1 study similar sensitivity for CT (98%) and BS (100%), but CT had higher specificity (100% vs 68%)  SPECT[single-photon-emission CT]) vs PET: much higher sensitivity for SPECT (85.0%) than for PET (17.0%)  Caution! lesion-based estimates from 900 bone lesions in 15 subjects, majority of 163 metastatic lesions occurring in 4 subjects (≥ 30 metastatic lesions each), analytically misleading  reported SPECT may have altered treatment in 1 patient • CT vs radiography: 1 study, similar (modest) sensitivity for CT (72%) and x-ray (66%) with same specificity for both tests (100%)
  • 13. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Results Other Imaging comparisons based on too few studies/limited evidence  MRI[conventional] or whole-body MRI vs BS: 2 studies, showed ~ 10% higher sensitivity for MRI relative to BS, but findings on specificity were inconsistent Altehoefer 2001 54 subjects MRI (axial) Sen 98% Sp 100% BS Sen 87% Sp 100% Engelhard 2004 22 subjects MRI (whole-body) Sen 92.0% Sp 90.0% BS Sen 83.0% Sp 80.0%  Altehoefer → each of BS or MRI detected sites of BM (in same or alternate anatomic region) that were not detected by the other test, in some cases this modified local treatment  series comparing whole-body MRI with BS: MRI detected additional non-osseous metastases (lung or liver) in 1 subject → directed change in chemotherapy; tumor destruction of vertebral spine with cord compression in 1 subject identified only with MRI  MRI [whole-body MR with diffusion-weighted imaging] vs PET/CT (20 subjects)  Higher sensitivity and specificity for PET/CT than MRI ... But 100% sen/spec for PET/CT
  • 14. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011; Houssami & Costelloe. Conclusions  Methodologic limitations (Ref Stand / selection issues)  Some evidence that PET (in fewer studies PET/CT), and limited evidence that CT or conventional MRI  small increments in accuracy of imaging bones relative to BS, where used for evaluation of suspected lesions and/or bone symptoms or in staging/re-staging  studies have generally compared imaging tests such as PET, PET/CT, CT, or MRI as add-on tests with BS, hence the evidence is indicative of role of these bone imaging tests as complementary to BS in an imaging strategy where BS was likely to have been the initial or baseline test (highest accuracy reported for PET/CT)  Insufficient evidence to base recommendations regarding SPECT or whole- body MRI for bone metastases  No definitive evidence supporting that any of the imaging tests discussed in this review can be a replacement to BS in first-line imaging for bone lesions or symptoms, or staging/re-staging, in BC
  • 15.  Review of PET (or PET/CT) for detection of suspected local and/or distant recurrence, including direct comparison (PET vs conventional Imaging tests, CIT) and indirect comparison (only PET, or only CIT). Conventional imaging: bone scan, MRI, CT, conventional work/up Suspected on basis: symptoms, clinical suspicion, elevated tumour markers, restaging, abnormal CIT No distinction between imaging detection of loco-regional and distant recurrence Quality appraisal: similar methodologic issues/limitations identified in the review of bone metastases (selection bias/unclear selection, variable RS, incorporation bias, PET frequently performed after CIT with variable time interval
  • 16. A systematic review of PET and PET/CT for diagnosis of breast cancer recurrence (Pennant et al) HTA 2010 PET vs CIT (conventional imaging tests) direct comparisons (10 studies): sensitivity and specificity of PET significantly higher than CIT (each ~10% higher) Same analysis (sensitivity analysis) for sen/spec based only on studies in which PET and CIT performed within 1-month period: similar sensitivity, specificity of PET higher
  • 17. Two systematic reviews undertaken to provide background evidence summary for ABC1  N. Houssami & C. Costelloe. Imaging bone metastases in breast cancer: Evidence on comparative test accuracy. Annals of Oncology 2011.  M. Brennan & N. Houssami. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Breast 2011, in press)
  • 18. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer. Brennan & Houssami; Breast 2011 in press  Systematic review (95- 6/2011): Imaging staging for detection of asymptomatic DM/ reporting detection for any type of DM (not LR recurrence)  Quality appraisal: various biases (similar to those identified in SR of imaging bones, selection bias, non-verification of test-negatives, incorporation bias)  22 studies/ 3 groups by type of imaging  Conventional imaging only (BS, abdominal US, CXR, CT) combined Med sensitivity 78% (33-100) / Med specificity 91.4% (67-98)  FDG-PET (some integrated PET-CT) Med sensitivity 100% (78-100) / Med specificity 96.5% (82-100)  Conventional imaging vs PET (or PET/CT) 5 studies: PET-based higher sensitivity than conventional (similar median sensitivity as above), variable specificity
  • 19. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer. Brennan & Houssami; Breast 2011 in press Med 2.1% Mean 2.8% Med 10.3% Mean 19.4% Med 31.8% Mean 23.9%
  • 20. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Brennan & Houssami). Breast 2011 in press Conventional imaging studies had large data-sets with stage-specific data allowing reliable within- study analysis (chi-sq test for trend): significant Increase in DM % with increasing clinical stage, T-stage, or nodal involvement (P<0.0001) [data for clinical stage shown] Koizumi Clinical Stage n total n metastasis DM % 0 486 0 0 I 1212 1 0.08% II 3120 34 1% III 673 67 10% TOTAL 5491 102 1.85% Barratt Stage n total n metastasis DM % 0 348 0 0 I 992 0 0 II 1041 12 1.20% III 224 26 11.60% TOTAL 2605 38 1.45% Lee Stage n total n metastasis DM % 0 0 0 NA I 586 5 0.80% II 858 6 0.70% III 395 18 4.60% TOTAL 1839 29 1.58% Dillman Stage n total n metastasis DM % 0 220 0 0 I 502 1 0.19% II 367 13 3.50% III 78 12 15.40% TOTAL 1167 26 2.20% Kim Stage n total n metastasis DM % 0 0 0 0 I 448 1 0.20% II 838 1 0.12% III 417 25 6% TOTAL 1703 27 1.50%
  • 21. Evaluation of the evidence on staging imaging for detection of asymptomatic distant metastases in newly diagnosed breast cancer (Brennan & Houssami) 2011. CONCLUSIONS  very low % of DM in stage I-II / significantly increased with more advanced presentations (stage III, inflammatory BC, greater node involvement)  PET (PET/CT) performed better → higher sensitivity for detecting DM (~ 25% increased relative detection) than studies of conventional imaging only BUT  Conventional imaging only studies (relative to PET & PET/CT studies) had:  much lower underlying prevalence of DM  more likely to have consecutive cohorts/ less selection bias  Much larger studies/precise estimates (allowed more detailed stage-specific analysis)  Unclear whether better sensitivity of PET & PET/CT reflects true imaging capability, or selection issues/underlying risk, biases (probably combination): Approximation only using median of increased detection (~25% of average 21% DM prevalence from all studies that included PET or PET/CT): absolute increase in detection of DM from PET (PET/CT) accounts for ~ 5.3% (effect of selection)
  • 22. Recommend ? Consider prospective multi-centre (paired) trial of staging consecutive newly diagnosed clinical stage III with conventional imaging + PET/CT (independent reporting) with adequate follow-up: measure effect on treatment, clinical & QoL outcomes Work together → Improve quality of research in imaging accuracy studies in MBC THANK YOU nehmath@med.usyd.edu.au