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RAISING ACHIEVEMENT AND
    CLOSING GAPS BETWEEN
    GROUPS:
    Lessons from Schools and Districts on
    the Performance Frontier


New York City Department of Education
NYC, NY                             January, 2012
America: Two Enduring Stories
1. Land of Opportunity:

Work hard, and you can become
  anything you want to be.
2. Generational Advancement:

  Through hard work and sacrifice, each
   generation of parents will be able to
     assure a better life—and better
      education—for their children.
Powerful
          Pervasive
           Wrong
Source:
Over past 30 years, earnings among the lowest income
            families have declined—while biggest increases have
                             occurred at the top




Source: The College Board, “Trends in College Pricing 2011” (New York: College Board, 2010), Figure 16A.
                                                                                                           © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
U.S. has the fourth-highest income inequality among
                           OECD nations


                             United States




Note: Gini coefficient ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 indicates total income equality and 1 indicates total income inequality
Source: United Nations, UNdata, http://data.un.org/DocumentData.aspx?q=gini&id=230
                                                                                                                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
For people of
          color, the past four
          years have
          brought an
          economic
          Tsunami.
Source:
Real Median Annual Income
                       2007     2011     Percent
                                         Change
          Black Head   35,072   31,784   - 9.4%
          of Household
          Hispanic     41,945   39,901   - 4.9%
          Head of
          Household
          White Head 59,111     56,320   - 4.7%
          of Household


Source:
                                           © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
2010 Poverty Rates

          Black             27%
          Latino            26%
          Asian             12.1%
          White             9.9%

Source:
                                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Change in Median Wealth, 2005-2009

          Hispanic Households   Down 66%
          Black Households      Down 53%
          Asian Households      Down 54%
          White Households      Down 16%




Source:
Median Wealth of White Families


          20 X     that of African Americans




          18 X     that of Latinos


Source:
Not just wages, but mobility as
            well.
US intergenerational mobility was increasing
                until 1980, and has sharply declined since




Source: Aaronson and Mazumder. Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the U.S.. 1940-2000.
              Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago WP 2005-12: Dec. 2005.
                                                                                             © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
The US now has one of lowest rates of
                      intergenerational mobility




Source: Hertz, Tom. Understanding Mobility in America. Center for American Progress: 2006.

                                                                                             © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
What does that mean?

 That we have essentially hollowed out the
   middle class, and are fast becoming a
 country where those at the top stay at the
top and those at the bottom stay there, too.
At macro level, better and more
equal education is not the only
            answer.
 But at the individual level, it really is.
What schools and colleges do, in
other words, is hugely important to
    returning this country to the
principles on which it was founded.
So, how are we doing?
First, some good news.
After more than a decade of fairly flat
    achievement and stagnant or
   growing gaps, we appear to be
         turning the corner.


                                 © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
4th Grade Reading:
           Record Performance with Gap Narrowing




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
4th Grade Math:
           Record Performance with Gap Narrowing




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
8th Grade Reading: Recent Gap Narrowing
                  for Blacks, Less for Latinos




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
8th Grade Math:
            Progress for All Groups, Some Gap Narrowing




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Same pattern on Main NAEP exams.




                         © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                         © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
All groups have improved since 1990, and gaps
                    between groups have narrowed




*Accommodations not permitted
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 249)

                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Over the last decade, all groups have steadily
                   improved and gaps have narrowed




*Accommodations not permitted
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299)
                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Gains Are Not Just Among Low-Achievers:
                   Increase at the Top, Too




Source: Hanushek, Peterson and Woesmann. “US Math Performance in Global Perspective; November, 2010

                                                                                                      ©© 2011 THEEDUCATION TRUST
                                                                                                       2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Some gap-closing over last decade




*Accommodations not permitted
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 238)

                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Some gap closing over the last decade




*Accommodations not permitted
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 281)
                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
What do these changes mean for
      individual children?




                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
1996 NAEP Grade 4 Math




Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES

                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
2011 NAEP Grade 4 Math




Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/
                                                                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                                                                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Bottom Line:

When we really focus on
 something, we make
      progress!

                     © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Clearly, much more remains to be done
   in elementary and middle school

   Too many youngsters still enter high
          school way behind.



                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
But at least we have some traction on
elementary and middle school problems.

          The same is NOT true
           of our high schools.



                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Achievement Flat in Reading




Source: NAEP Long-Term Trends, NCES (2004)

                                                © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Math achievement flat over time




* Denotes previous assessment format
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress

                                                                                          © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
And gaps between groups are
mostly wider today than in late
   eighties, early nineties



                          © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                          © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
12th Grade Reading: No Progress, Gaps
                         Wider than 1988




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
12 Grade Math: Results Mostly Flat
                        Gaps Same or Widening




*Denotes previous assessment format
Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES

                                                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
And no matter how you cut the
data, our students aren’t doing well
 compared to their peers in other
             countries.



                             © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                             © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
PISA Performance
            U.S.A. Ranks Near Bottom, Has Mostly Fallen Since
                                  2000


                         2000 Rank                  2003 Rank                   2006 Rank                 2009 Rank
    Subject                                                                                               (out of 26)
                            (out of 26)                (out of 26)                 (out of 26)

                                                                                                              Tied
   Math                         17th                       22nd                        22nd
                                                                                                              20th
   Science                      13th               Tied for 17th                       19th                   13th
             Rankings are for the 26 OECD countries participating in PISA in 2000, 2003, and 2006.            Tied
   Reading                     14th                       14th                          n/a
                                                                                                              10th

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2006 Results, http://www.oecd.org/ THE EDUCATION TRUST
                                                                                                      © 2011
A closer look at math




                    © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Of 29 OECD Countries, U.S.A. Ranked 24th

                                            U.S.A.




Source: PISA 2003 Results, OECD

                                         © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Problems are not limited to our
high-poverty and high-minority
         schools . . .




                         © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
U.S. Ranks Low in the Percent of Students in the Highest Achievement Level (Level 6)
                                               in Math




Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/
                                                                                                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29 OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of the Highest-
                                  Performing Students*




                                            * Students at the 95th Percentile
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at
http://www.oecd.org/                                                                                     © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29
               OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of High-SES Students




Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at
http://www.oecd.org/                                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Problems not limited to math,
          either.




                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Science?




           © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
PISA 2006 Science
                         Of 30 OECD Countries, U.S.A. Ranked 21st

                                                                                      U.S.A.




  Higher than U.S. average        Not measurably different from U.S. average   Lower than U.S. average
Source: NCES, PISA 2006 Results, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Percent of Students

                                                                       Lu




                                                                                                        10.0%
                                                                                                                   20.0%
                                                                                                                              30.0%
                                                                                                                                      40.0%
                                                                                                                                                               50.0%




                                                                                                 0.0%
                                                                            xem
                                                                         Sw bo u
                                                                              itze rg
                                                                                     rl
                                                                              Au a nd
                                                                      Ne            s
                                                                           w Z tral ia
                                                                                  ea
                                                                                         la
                                                                      Un       Ca nd
                                                                          it e na da
                                                                               dS
                                                                                      t
                                                                             Ge ates
                                                                                   rm
                                                                                          a
                                                                               Be ny
                                                                                    l giu
                                                                                 Au m
                                                                                       str

                                                                                                                           U.S.A.
                                                                                Fra ia
                                                                        Ne
                                                                             th e nce
                                                                                   rla
                                                                    OE         Sw nds
                                                                        C            e
                                                                    Un D Av de n
                                                                      it e          e
                                                                          d K ra ge




Source: OECD, PISA 2006 Results, table 4.2c, http://www.oecd.org/
                                                                                i ng
                                                                                       d
                                                                             De om
                                                                                  nm
                                                                                          a
                                                                                Gr rk
                                                                                                                                              2nd Generation




                                                                                      ee
                                                                                           ce
                                                                                    Sp
                                                                                          a
                                                                                No in
                                                                                      rw
                                                                              Po ay
                                                                                    rt u
                                                                                          g
                                                                                  Ire al
                                                                                                                                                                                         OECD countries




                                                                                         lan
                                                                                             d
                                                                                         Ita
                                                                                                                                              1st Generation




                                                                     Cz          M ly
                                                                          e c exi c
                                                                              hR             o
                                                                                     ep
                                                                                           u
                                                                                Ice b
                                                                                        la n
                                                                              Hu             d
                                                                                    ng
                                                                                          a
                                                                                Fi n ry
                                                                                        lan
                                                                     Slo Tu d
                                                                           vak rkey
                                                                                  Re
                                                                                          pu
                                                                                   Ja b
                                                                                         pa
                                                                                 Po n
                                                                                       l an
                                                                                             d
                                                                                                                                                                        of immigrants and children of immigrants than most
                                                                                                                                                                       Immigrants? The U.S.A. does have a larger percentage




       © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
But ranks 21st out of 30 OECD countries when only
                  taking into account native student* scores
                                                         PISA 2006 Science


                                                                                                U.S.A.




*Students born in the country of assessment with at least one parent born in the same country
Source: OECD, PISA 2006 Results, table 4.2c, http://www.oecd.org/                                    © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Even in problem-solving, something
we consider an American strength…




                           © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
U.S.A. Ranks 24th Out of 29 OECD Countries
                                  in Problem-Solving



                                                             U.S.A.




Source: PISA 2003 Results, OECD

                                                          © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
We used to make up for at least
some of this by sending more of
  our students on to college.




                         © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
© 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
© 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
© 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Only place we rank high?

     Inequality.


                     © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
PISA 2003: Gaps in Performance Of U.S.15
 Year-Olds Are Among the Largest of OECD
                Countries
                                                                Rank in Performance
                                                               Gaps Between Highest
                                                               and Lowest Achieving
                                                                    Students *
  Mathematical Literacy                                                  8th

  Problem Solving                                                                       6th


*Of 29 OECD countries, based on scores of students at the 5th and 95th
percentiles.
 Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at
 http://www.oecd.org/                                                                                  © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Among OECD Countries, U.S.A. has the 4th Largest
              Gap Between High-SES and Low-SES Students

                                       U.S.A.




Source: PISA 2006 Results, OECD, table 4.8b

                                                   © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Among OECD Countries, U.S.A. has the 5th Largest
              Gap Between High-SES and Low-SES Students
                                        U.S.A.   OECD




Source: PISA 2009 Results, OECD, Table II.3.1

                                                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
These gaps begin before children
 arrive at the schoolhouse door.
  But, rather than organizing our educational
    system to ameliorate this problem, we
    organize it to exacerbate the problem.



                                       © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
How?

By giving students who arrive with
      less, less in school, too.



                              © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Some of these “lesses” are a result
of choices that policymakers make.




                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
National Inequities in State and Local Revenue
                            Per Student

                                                                                                    Gap
                        High Poverty vs.                                                          –$773
                        Low Poverty Districts                                                   per student
                        High Minority vs.                                                        –$1,122
                        Low Minority Districts                                                  per student



Source: Education Trust analyses based on U.S. Department of Education and U.S. Census Bureau data for the 2005-06 school year.

                                                                                                                   © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
New York Inequities in State and Local Revenue
                           Per Student

                                                                                               Gap
                        High Poverty vs.                                                     –$3,068
                        Low Poverty Districts                                            per student (#1)
                        High Minority vs.                                                    –$2,902
                        Low Minority Districts                                           per student (#1)



Source: Education Trust analyses based on U.S. Department of Education and U.S. Census Bureau data for the 2005-06 school year.

                                                                                                                   © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
In truth, though, some of the most
devastating “lesses” are a function
of choices that we educators make.



                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Choices we make about what to
      expect of whom…




                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Students in Poor Schools Receive ‘A’s
              for Work That Would Earn ‘Cs’ in
                      Affluent Schools
                                            100
                                                  87                 Seventh Grade Math
                       Percentile - CTBS4




                                                                    56

                                                                                       41
                                                           35                34

                                                                                            22     21

                                                                                                            11

                                              0
                                                       A                 B              C               D
                                                                              Grades
                                                           Low-poverty schools     High-poverty schools

Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in “Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes”, PES, DOE, 1997.



                                                                                                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Choices we make about what to
        teach whom…




                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                        © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
African American, Latino & Native American high
                    school graduates are less likely to have been enrolled
                                 in a full college prep track
                               50               46
                                                                                                 39
     percent in college prep




                                       25
                                                           22                 21




                               0
                                     African   Asian    Latino            Native               White
                                    American                             American
  Full College Prep track is defined as at least: 4 years of English, 3 years of math, 2 years of natural science,
  2 years of social science and 2 years of foreign language

Source: Jay P. Greene, Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States,
Manhattan Institute, September 2003. Table 8. 2001 high school graduates with college-prep THE EDUCATION TRUST
                                                                                    © 2011 curriculum.
And choices we make about
   who teaches whom…




                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                      © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
More Classes in High-Poverty, High-Minority
          Schools Taught By Out-of-Field Teachers
    Percent of Classes Taught by Out



                                 50%


                                                34%
            of Field Teachers




                                                                                            29%

                                                                                                             21%
                                                           19%




                                       0%
                                            High poverty Low poverty                   High minority Low minority
Note: High Poverty school-50% or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low-poverty school -15% or
fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch.

High-minority school - 50% or more of the students are nonwhite. Low-minority school- 15% or fewer of the students are
nonwhite.

*Teachers lacking a college major or minor in the field. Data for secondary-level core academic classes.
Source: Richard M. Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania. Original analysis for the Ed Trust of 1999-2000 Schools and Staffing Survey. TRUST
                                                                                                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION
Poor and Minority Students Get
                                  More Inexperienced* Teachers
                            25%
    Percent of Teachers Who Are




                                                                                            21%
                                              20%
           Inexperienced




                                                          11%                                                10%




                                  0%
                                           High poverty Low poverty                     High minority Low minority
                                       *Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience.
  Note: High poverty refers to the top quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low poverty-
  bottom quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High minority-top quartile; those schools with
  the highest concentrations of minority students. Low minority-bottom quartile of schools with the lowest concentrations of
  minority students

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Tennessee: High poverty/high minority schools have
           fewer of the “most effective” teachers and more “least
                            effective” teachers




Note: High Poverty/High minority means at least 75% qualify for FRPL and at least 75% are minority.
Source: Tennessee Department of Education 2007. “Tennessee’s Most Effective Teachers: Are they assigned to the schools that need them
most?” http://tennessee.gov/education/nclb/doc/TeacherEffectiveness2007_03.pdf                                    © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Los Angeles: LOW-INCOME STUDENTS LESS LIKELY
     TO HAVE HIGH VALUE-ADDED TEACHERS
ELA                                               MATH
A low-income      A student from a relatively     In math, a student from a      A low-
student is        more affluent background is     relatively more affluent       income
more than         62% more likely to get a high   background is 39% more         student is
twice as likely   value-added ELA teacher.        likely to get a high value-    66% more
to have a low                                     added math teacher.            likely to
value-added                                                                      have a low
teacher for                                                                      value-
ELA                                                                              added
                                                                                 teacher.




                                                                   © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Results are devastating.

Kids who come in a little behind,
      leave a lot behind.



                              © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
African American and Latino
                         17 Year-Olds Do Math at Same Levels As White 13 Year-Olds
                          100%
   Percent of Students




                            0%
                                       200            250                 300                   350

                                                      Average Scale Score

                         White 13 Year-Olds   African American 17 Year-Olds         Latino 17-Year Olds
Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
African American and Latino
                          17 Year-Olds Read at Same Levels As White 13 Year-Olds
                         100%
   Percent of Students




                           0%
                                      150        200            250             300               350

                                                       Average Scale Score

                         White 13 Year-Olds   African American 17 Year-Olds         Latino 17 Year-Olds
Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
And these are the students who
remain in school through 12th grade.
    Add those all up and throw in
 college entry and graduation, and…



                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
                            © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
© 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
e




    © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST

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Raising Achievement and Closing Gaps Between Groups

  • 1. RAISING ACHIEVEMENT AND CLOSING GAPS BETWEEN GROUPS: Lessons from Schools and Districts on the Performance Frontier New York City Department of Education NYC, NY January, 2012
  • 3. 1. Land of Opportunity: Work hard, and you can become anything you want to be.
  • 4. 2. Generational Advancement: Through hard work and sacrifice, each generation of parents will be able to assure a better life—and better education—for their children.
  • 5. Powerful Pervasive Wrong Source:
  • 6. Over past 30 years, earnings among the lowest income families have declined—while biggest increases have occurred at the top Source: The College Board, “Trends in College Pricing 2011” (New York: College Board, 2010), Figure 16A. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 7. U.S. has the fourth-highest income inequality among OECD nations United States Note: Gini coefficient ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 indicates total income equality and 1 indicates total income inequality Source: United Nations, UNdata, http://data.un.org/DocumentData.aspx?q=gini&id=230 © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 8. For people of color, the past four years have brought an economic Tsunami. Source:
  • 9. Real Median Annual Income 2007 2011 Percent Change Black Head 35,072 31,784 - 9.4% of Household Hispanic 41,945 39,901 - 4.9% Head of Household White Head 59,111 56,320 - 4.7% of Household Source: © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 10. 2010 Poverty Rates Black 27% Latino 26% Asian 12.1% White 9.9% Source: © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 11. Change in Median Wealth, 2005-2009 Hispanic Households Down 66% Black Households Down 53% Asian Households Down 54% White Households Down 16% Source:
  • 12. Median Wealth of White Families 20 X that of African Americans 18 X that of Latinos Source:
  • 13. Not just wages, but mobility as well.
  • 14. US intergenerational mobility was increasing until 1980, and has sharply declined since Source: Aaronson and Mazumder. Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the U.S.. 1940-2000. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago WP 2005-12: Dec. 2005. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 15. The US now has one of lowest rates of intergenerational mobility Source: Hertz, Tom. Understanding Mobility in America. Center for American Progress: 2006. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 16. What does that mean? That we have essentially hollowed out the middle class, and are fast becoming a country where those at the top stay at the top and those at the bottom stay there, too.
  • 17. At macro level, better and more equal education is not the only answer. But at the individual level, it really is.
  • 18. What schools and colleges do, in other words, is hugely important to returning this country to the principles on which it was founded.
  • 19. So, how are we doing?
  • 20. First, some good news. After more than a decade of fairly flat achievement and stagnant or growing gaps, we appear to be turning the corner. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 21. 4th Grade Reading: Record Performance with Gap Narrowing *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 22. 4th Grade Math: Record Performance with Gap Narrowing *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 23. 8th Grade Reading: Recent Gap Narrowing for Blacks, Less for Latinos *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 24. 8th Grade Math: Progress for All Groups, Some Gap Narrowing *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 25. Same pattern on Main NAEP exams. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 26. All groups have improved since 1990, and gaps between groups have narrowed *Accommodations not permitted Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 249) © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 27. Over the last decade, all groups have steadily improved and gaps have narrowed *Accommodations not permitted Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299) © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 28. Gains Are Not Just Among Low-Achievers: Increase at the Top, Too Source: Hanushek, Peterson and Woesmann. “US Math Performance in Global Perspective; November, 2010 ©© 2011 THEEDUCATION TRUST 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 29. Some gap-closing over last decade *Accommodations not permitted Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 238) © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 30. Some gap closing over the last decade *Accommodations not permitted Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 281) © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 31. What do these changes mean for individual children? © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 32. 1996 NAEP Grade 4 Math Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 33. 2011 NAEP Grade 4 Math Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 34. Bottom Line: When we really focus on something, we make progress! © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 35. Clearly, much more remains to be done in elementary and middle school Too many youngsters still enter high school way behind. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 36. But at least we have some traction on elementary and middle school problems. The same is NOT true of our high schools. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 37. Achievement Flat in Reading Source: NAEP Long-Term Trends, NCES (2004) © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 38. Math achievement flat over time * Denotes previous assessment format Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 39. And gaps between groups are mostly wider today than in late eighties, early nineties © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 40. 12th Grade Reading: No Progress, Gaps Wider than 1988 *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 41. 12 Grade Math: Results Mostly Flat Gaps Same or Widening *Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 42. And no matter how you cut the data, our students aren’t doing well compared to their peers in other countries. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 43. PISA Performance U.S.A. Ranks Near Bottom, Has Mostly Fallen Since 2000 2000 Rank 2003 Rank 2006 Rank 2009 Rank Subject (out of 26) (out of 26) (out of 26) (out of 26) Tied Math 17th 22nd 22nd 20th Science 13th Tied for 17th 19th 13th Rankings are for the 26 OECD countries participating in PISA in 2000, 2003, and 2006. Tied Reading 14th 14th n/a 10th Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2006 Results, http://www.oecd.org/ THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011
  • 44. A closer look at math © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 45. Of 29 OECD Countries, U.S.A. Ranked 24th U.S.A. Source: PISA 2003 Results, OECD © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 46. Problems are not limited to our high-poverty and high-minority schools . . . © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 47. U.S. Ranks Low in the Percent of Students in the Highest Achievement Level (Level 6) in Math Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 48. U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29 OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of the Highest- Performing Students* * Students at the 95th Percentile Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 49. U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29 OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of High-SES Students Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 50. Problems not limited to math, either. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 51. Science? © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 52. PISA 2006 Science Of 30 OECD Countries, U.S.A. Ranked 21st U.S.A. Higher than U.S. average Not measurably different from U.S. average Lower than U.S. average Source: NCES, PISA 2006 Results, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 53. Percent of Students Lu 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 0.0% xem Sw bo u itze rg rl Au a nd Ne s w Z tral ia ea la Un Ca nd it e na da dS t Ge ates rm a Be ny l giu Au m str U.S.A. Fra ia Ne th e nce rla OE Sw nds C e Un D Av de n it e e d K ra ge Source: OECD, PISA 2006 Results, table 4.2c, http://www.oecd.org/ i ng d De om nm a Gr rk 2nd Generation ee ce Sp a No in rw Po ay rt u g Ire al OECD countries lan d Ita 1st Generation Cz M ly e c exi c hR o ep u Ice b la n Hu d ng a Fi n ry lan Slo Tu d vak rkey Re pu Ja b pa Po n l an d of immigrants and children of immigrants than most Immigrants? The U.S.A. does have a larger percentage © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 54. But ranks 21st out of 30 OECD countries when only taking into account native student* scores PISA 2006 Science U.S.A. *Students born in the country of assessment with at least one parent born in the same country Source: OECD, PISA 2006 Results, table 4.2c, http://www.oecd.org/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 55. Even in problem-solving, something we consider an American strength… © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 56. U.S.A. Ranks 24th Out of 29 OECD Countries in Problem-Solving U.S.A. Source: PISA 2003 Results, OECD © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 57. We used to make up for at least some of this by sending more of our students on to college. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 58. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 59. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 60. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 61. Only place we rank high? Inequality. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 62. PISA 2003: Gaps in Performance Of U.S.15 Year-Olds Are Among the Largest of OECD Countries Rank in Performance Gaps Between Highest and Lowest Achieving Students * Mathematical Literacy 8th Problem Solving 6th *Of 29 OECD countries, based on scores of students at the 5th and 95th percentiles. Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/ © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 63. Among OECD Countries, U.S.A. has the 4th Largest Gap Between High-SES and Low-SES Students U.S.A. Source: PISA 2006 Results, OECD, table 4.8b © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 64. Among OECD Countries, U.S.A. has the 5th Largest Gap Between High-SES and Low-SES Students U.S.A. OECD Source: PISA 2009 Results, OECD, Table II.3.1 © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 65. These gaps begin before children arrive at the schoolhouse door. But, rather than organizing our educational system to ameliorate this problem, we organize it to exacerbate the problem. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 66. How? By giving students who arrive with less, less in school, too. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 67. Some of these “lesses” are a result of choices that policymakers make. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 68. National Inequities in State and Local Revenue Per Student Gap High Poverty vs. –$773 Low Poverty Districts per student High Minority vs. –$1,122 Low Minority Districts per student Source: Education Trust analyses based on U.S. Department of Education and U.S. Census Bureau data for the 2005-06 school year. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 69. New York Inequities in State and Local Revenue Per Student Gap High Poverty vs. –$3,068 Low Poverty Districts per student (#1) High Minority vs. –$2,902 Low Minority Districts per student (#1) Source: Education Trust analyses based on U.S. Department of Education and U.S. Census Bureau data for the 2005-06 school year. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 70. In truth, though, some of the most devastating “lesses” are a function of choices that we educators make. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 71. Choices we make about what to expect of whom… © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 72. Students in Poor Schools Receive ‘A’s for Work That Would Earn ‘Cs’ in Affluent Schools 100 87 Seventh Grade Math Percentile - CTBS4 56 41 35 34 22 21 11 0 A B C D Grades Low-poverty schools High-poverty schools Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in “Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes”, PES, DOE, 1997. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 73. Choices we make about what to teach whom… © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 74. African American, Latino & Native American high school graduates are less likely to have been enrolled in a full college prep track 50 46 39 percent in college prep 25 22 21 0 African Asian Latino Native White American American Full College Prep track is defined as at least: 4 years of English, 3 years of math, 2 years of natural science, 2 years of social science and 2 years of foreign language Source: Jay P. Greene, Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States, Manhattan Institute, September 2003. Table 8. 2001 high school graduates with college-prep THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 curriculum.
  • 75. And choices we make about who teaches whom… © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 76. More Classes in High-Poverty, High-Minority Schools Taught By Out-of-Field Teachers Percent of Classes Taught by Out 50% 34% of Field Teachers 29% 21% 19% 0% High poverty Low poverty High minority Low minority Note: High Poverty school-50% or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low-poverty school -15% or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High-minority school - 50% or more of the students are nonwhite. Low-minority school- 15% or fewer of the students are nonwhite. *Teachers lacking a college major or minor in the field. Data for secondary-level core academic classes. Source: Richard M. Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania. Original analysis for the Ed Trust of 1999-2000 Schools and Staffing Survey. TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION
  • 77. Poor and Minority Students Get More Inexperienced* Teachers 25% Percent of Teachers Who Are 21% 20% Inexperienced 11% 10% 0% High poverty Low poverty High minority Low minority *Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience. Note: High poverty refers to the top quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low poverty- bottom quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High minority-top quartile; those schools with the highest concentrations of minority students. Low minority-bottom quartile of schools with the lowest concentrations of minority students Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 78. Tennessee: High poverty/high minority schools have fewer of the “most effective” teachers and more “least effective” teachers Note: High Poverty/High minority means at least 75% qualify for FRPL and at least 75% are minority. Source: Tennessee Department of Education 2007. “Tennessee’s Most Effective Teachers: Are they assigned to the schools that need them most?” http://tennessee.gov/education/nclb/doc/TeacherEffectiveness2007_03.pdf © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 79. Los Angeles: LOW-INCOME STUDENTS LESS LIKELY TO HAVE HIGH VALUE-ADDED TEACHERS ELA MATH A low-income A student from a relatively In math, a student from a A low- student is more affluent background is relatively more affluent income more than 62% more likely to get a high background is 39% more student is twice as likely value-added ELA teacher. likely to get a high value- 66% more to have a low added math teacher. likely to value-added have a low teacher for value- ELA added teacher. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 80. Results are devastating. Kids who come in a little behind, leave a lot behind. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 81. African American and Latino 17 Year-Olds Do Math at Same Levels As White 13 Year-Olds 100% Percent of Students 0% 200 250 300 350 Average Scale Score White 13 Year-Olds African American 17 Year-Olds Latino 17-Year Olds Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 82. African American and Latino 17 Year-Olds Read at Same Levels As White 13 Year-Olds 100% Percent of Students 0% 150 200 250 300 350 Average Scale Score White 13 Year-Olds African American 17 Year-Olds Latino 17 Year-Olds Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 83. And these are the students who remain in school through 12th grade. Add those all up and throw in college entry and graduation, and… © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 84. © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST
  • 85. e © 2011 THE EDUCATION TRUST