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REPÚBLICA VELHÍSSIMA

1985-1990
REPÚBLICA FINANCIADA
PELA ELITE
GOVERNO JOSÉ
SARNEY (1985-1990)
Como chegou ao poder?

Herança da ditadura

INFLAÇÃO
ESTADO FALIDO
ECONOMIA
META

COMBATER A INFLAÇÃO
•NOVA MOEDA = CRUZADO
PLANO CRUZADO
•
(FISCAIS DO SARNEY) CONGELAMENTO
PREÇOS E SALÁRIOS
•GATILHO SALARIAL

CONSEQUÊNCIAS
FALTA DOS PRODUTOS = “ÁGIO”
PRODUTOS “MAQUIADOS”
“GORDURA” INFLACIONÁRIA
OUTROS PLANOS

BRESSER
VERÃO
NOVA CONSTITUIÇÃO - 1988
•SEGURO DESEMPREGO
•LICENÇA PATERNIDADE
•VOTO ANALFABETOS

SUCESSÃO PRESIDENCIAL

AVANÇO DA ESQUERDA
(LULA)

CANDIDATO DE DIREITA = COLLOR
FINAL DO GOVERNO SARNEY = INFLAÇÃO 70% AO MÊS
“VOCÊS ERAM FELIZES E NÃO SABIAM - JOSÉ SARNEY”
BRASIL NEOLIBERAL
ESTADO MÍNIMO NA ECONOMIA = PRIVATIZAÇÕES
(-) BEM ESTAR = (+) EXCLUSÃO SOCIAL = RESULTADO (?)
PIB MODELO VARGUISTA (década 80) = 3,2%
PIB MODELO NEOLIBERAL (década 90) = 2,7%

GOVERNO COLLOR
CONSERVADOR = ESCOLHIDO PELA ELITE
VENCE LULA NO 2o. TURNO
PLANO COLLOR - 1990

CONFISCO DAS
CONTAS BANCÁRIAS

ABERTURA DAS IMPORTAÇÕES

CONSEQUÊNCIAS
• FALÊNCIAS
•DESEMPREGO
•CONCORRÊNCIA IMPORTADO
•MODERNIZAÇÃO INDUSTRIAL
POLÍTICA
•CORRUPÇÃO
•PC-FARIAS
CARAS-PINTADAS

FIM DO APOIO DOS CONSERVADORES

IMPEACHMENT

CONGRESSO VOTA PELA SAÍDA DE COLLOR-1992
ITAMAR FRANCO (VICE) ASSUME
GOVERNO ITAMAR FRANCO
PLANO POLÍTICO E ECONÔMICO

AFASTAR AMEAÇA
DA ESQUERDA
LULA

COMBATER A INFLAÇÃO

INFLAÇÃO ASSOCIADA A SUCESSÃO
FERNANDO HENRIQUE CARDOSO - SOCIÓLOGO
DISCUTIR O PLANO REAL COM OS SETORES DA SOCIEDADE
PLANO REAL - 1994
COMBATER A
INFLAÇÃO

JUROS ALTOS =
MENOS CONSUMO

FACILITA
IMPORTADOS

•REAL NASCE UMA MOEDA FORTE DEVIDO AS RESERVAS
CAMBIAIS DO GOVERNO COLLOR E MUNDO NEOLIBERAL
QUER UM BRASIL CONSUMISTA
•TEM APOIO DA ELITE E DO POVO
•ESQUERDA AFASTADA DO PODER
•CAMPANHA DE FHC BASEADA NO PLANO REAL
1o. GOVERNO FERNANDO H.
CARDOSO
1995-1999
•O PLANO REAL SÓ COMBATE A INFLAÇÃO, NÃO GERA
CRESCIMENTO ECONÕMICO
•GOVERNO NEOLIBERAL
•PREOCUPAÇÃO COM A REELEIÇÃO APROVADA PELO
CONGRESSO
•MANTÊM O REAL SUPERVALORIZAÇÃO = (-) EXPORTAÇÕES
= BALANÇA EM DÉFICIT= FALÊNCIAS = RECESSÃO
•JUROS ALTOS ATRAI CAPITAL ESPECULATIVO
REELEIÇÃO
2o. GOVERNO FHC - 1999-2003
•FALTA DE OPÇÃO NA OPOSIÇÃO = LULA FRACO
•APOIO DA CLASSE MÉDIA
•GERÊNCIA A CRISE ECONÔMICA
•ÓTIMA ACEITAÇÃO INTERNACIONAL
APAGÃO - 2001
SETOR ENERGÉTICO SEM
INVESTIMENTO
ELEIÇÃO LULA - 1O. GOVERNO

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Brasil 1985-2003: da ditadura à democracia

  • 1. REPÚBLICA VELHÍSSIMA 1985-1990 REPÚBLICA FINANCIADA PELA ELITE GOVERNO JOSÉ SARNEY (1985-1990) Como chegou ao poder? Herança da ditadura INFLAÇÃO ESTADO FALIDO
  • 2. ECONOMIA META COMBATER A INFLAÇÃO •NOVA MOEDA = CRUZADO PLANO CRUZADO • (FISCAIS DO SARNEY) CONGELAMENTO PREÇOS E SALÁRIOS •GATILHO SALARIAL CONSEQUÊNCIAS FALTA DOS PRODUTOS = “ÁGIO” PRODUTOS “MAQUIADOS” “GORDURA” INFLACIONÁRIA OUTROS PLANOS BRESSER VERÃO
  • 3. NOVA CONSTITUIÇÃO - 1988 •SEGURO DESEMPREGO •LICENÇA PATERNIDADE •VOTO ANALFABETOS SUCESSÃO PRESIDENCIAL AVANÇO DA ESQUERDA (LULA) CANDIDATO DE DIREITA = COLLOR FINAL DO GOVERNO SARNEY = INFLAÇÃO 70% AO MÊS “VOCÊS ERAM FELIZES E NÃO SABIAM - JOSÉ SARNEY”
  • 4.
  • 5. BRASIL NEOLIBERAL ESTADO MÍNIMO NA ECONOMIA = PRIVATIZAÇÕES (-) BEM ESTAR = (+) EXCLUSÃO SOCIAL = RESULTADO (?) PIB MODELO VARGUISTA (década 80) = 3,2% PIB MODELO NEOLIBERAL (década 90) = 2,7% GOVERNO COLLOR CONSERVADOR = ESCOLHIDO PELA ELITE VENCE LULA NO 2o. TURNO
  • 6. PLANO COLLOR - 1990 CONFISCO DAS CONTAS BANCÁRIAS ABERTURA DAS IMPORTAÇÕES CONSEQUÊNCIAS • FALÊNCIAS •DESEMPREGO •CONCORRÊNCIA IMPORTADO •MODERNIZAÇÃO INDUSTRIAL
  • 7. POLÍTICA •CORRUPÇÃO •PC-FARIAS CARAS-PINTADAS FIM DO APOIO DOS CONSERVADORES IMPEACHMENT CONGRESSO VOTA PELA SAÍDA DE COLLOR-1992 ITAMAR FRANCO (VICE) ASSUME
  • 8.
  • 9. GOVERNO ITAMAR FRANCO PLANO POLÍTICO E ECONÔMICO AFASTAR AMEAÇA DA ESQUERDA LULA COMBATER A INFLAÇÃO INFLAÇÃO ASSOCIADA A SUCESSÃO FERNANDO HENRIQUE CARDOSO - SOCIÓLOGO DISCUTIR O PLANO REAL COM OS SETORES DA SOCIEDADE
  • 10. PLANO REAL - 1994 COMBATER A INFLAÇÃO JUROS ALTOS = MENOS CONSUMO FACILITA IMPORTADOS •REAL NASCE UMA MOEDA FORTE DEVIDO AS RESERVAS CAMBIAIS DO GOVERNO COLLOR E MUNDO NEOLIBERAL QUER UM BRASIL CONSUMISTA •TEM APOIO DA ELITE E DO POVO •ESQUERDA AFASTADA DO PODER •CAMPANHA DE FHC BASEADA NO PLANO REAL
  • 11.
  • 12. 1o. GOVERNO FERNANDO H. CARDOSO 1995-1999 •O PLANO REAL SÓ COMBATE A INFLAÇÃO, NÃO GERA CRESCIMENTO ECONÕMICO •GOVERNO NEOLIBERAL •PREOCUPAÇÃO COM A REELEIÇÃO APROVADA PELO CONGRESSO •MANTÊM O REAL SUPERVALORIZAÇÃO = (-) EXPORTAÇÕES = BALANÇA EM DÉFICIT= FALÊNCIAS = RECESSÃO •JUROS ALTOS ATRAI CAPITAL ESPECULATIVO REELEIÇÃO
  • 13. 2o. GOVERNO FHC - 1999-2003 •FALTA DE OPÇÃO NA OPOSIÇÃO = LULA FRACO •APOIO DA CLASSE MÉDIA •GERÊNCIA A CRISE ECONÔMICA •ÓTIMA ACEITAÇÃO INTERNACIONAL APAGÃO - 2001 SETOR ENERGÉTICO SEM INVESTIMENTO ELEIÇÃO LULA - 1O. GOVERNO