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YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 10 NOVEMBER 2014 
STOCK INFORMATION 
STOCK PRICE 
572.30 
TARGET PRICE 
580-595 
SECTOR 
REFINERIES 
SYMBOL (AT NSE) 
HINDPETRO 
ISIN 
INE094A01015 
FACE VALUE (IN RS.) 
10.00 
BSE CODE 
500104 
STOCK FUNDAMENTALS 
MARKET CAP 
19,379.64 
BOOK VALUE 
443.31 
EPS - (TTM) (IN RS. CR.) 
95.69 
P/E 
5.98 
INDUSTRY P/E 
14.38 
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORPORATION LIMITED 
SPECIAL REPORT 
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN 
RESULTS (Quarterly )(Rs mn) 
COMPANY INFORMATION 
Jun’14 
Mar’14 
Dec’13 
Sep’13 
Jun’13 
Sales 
59,215.78 
64,192.29 
55,454.99 
51,860.1 
51,7638 
Operating profit 
589.84 
5,938.48 
-930.71 
1,014.21 
-687.88 
Interest 
589.84 
5,938.48 
-930.71 
1,014.21 
-687.88 
Gross profit 
658.18 
6,070.30 
-1,177.36 
861.49 
-950.48 
EPS (Rs) 
1.36 
136.11 
-51.20 
9.42 
-43.13 
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited a Government of India undertaking and a Fortune 500 company, is a major inte- grated oil refining and marketing company in India. It is a Mega Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) with Navaratna status. 
HPCL accounts for about 20% of the market share in India among the PSUs. The Company operates with 2 refineries pro- ducing a wide variety of petroleum fuels & specialties, one at Mumbai (West Coast) having a capacity of 6.5 Million Metric Tonnes Per Annum (MMTPA) and the other in Vishakapatnam (East Coast) with a capacity of 8.3 MMTPA. HPCL also holds an equity stake of 16.95% in Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemi- cals Limited (MRPL), a state-of-the-art refinery at Mangalore with a capacity of 9 MMTPA. In addition, HPCL, in collabora- tion with M/s Mittal Energy Investment Pte.Ltd. has set up a 9 MMTPA refinery at Bathinda, in the state of Punjab, as a Joint venture. 
HPCL owns the country's largest Lube Refinery with a capacity of 335,000 Metric Tonnes which amounts to 40% of the na- tional capacity of Lube Oil production. Presently HPCL pro- duces over 300+ grades of Lubes, Specialities and Greases. 
Diesel price deregulation…bold move in right time 
The government’s move to announce a cut in diesel prices by Rs 3.4 per litre and deregulate diesel prices comes at the right time when there has been a sharp decline in crude oil prices. Diesel prices will be market determined at both retail and re- finery gate level for all consumers. The move to deregulate diesel prices will lead to a decline in crude oil gross under- recoveries, with only kerosene and LPG prices under the regu- latory regime. The gross under-recoveries are now expected to decline from Rs 139869 crore in FY14 to Rs 83,326.5 crore in FY16E. ONGC, Oil India and PSU downstream companies would be the key beneficiaries and may see a reduction in their net subsidy burden, going forward. 
We expect more reforms from the government on the subsidy sharing mechanism, wherein lower subsidy burden needs to be set for upstream and downstream companies. We expect the decision on the subsidy sharing mechanism to come sooner than later, given the strong government and political sensitivity of the decision being the least. We expect net oil realisation for ONGC at $44.1/bbl, $45.5/bbl and $57.5/bbl for FY15E, FY16E and FY17E and for Oil India at $50.9/bbl, $53/bbl and $65/bbl for FY15E, FY16E and FY17E, respectively. OMCs also stand to benefit if they are able to increase their diesel marketing margins by Rs 0.5 per litre. 
INVESTMENT RATIONALE
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 10 NOVEMBER 2014 
TECHNICAL VIEW 
Our Other Recommendation for Next Week 
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. 
Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. 
This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility 
The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. 
The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. 
Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. 
We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken. 
Disclaimer 
SYMBOL 
VALUE 
ACTION 
RSI(14) 
71.036 
BUY 
STOCH(9,6) 
69.105 
BUY 
STOCHRSI(14) 
40.701 
SELL 
MACD(12,26) 
-15.830 
SELL 
ADX(14) 
48.510 
BUY 
WILLIAMS %R 
-26.641 
BUY 
CCI(14) 
102.6628 
BUY 
ATR(14) 
5.9643 
HIGH VOLATILITY 
HIGH/LOWS(14) 
11.2679 
BUY 
ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 
58.182 
BUY 
ROC 
3.864 
BUY 
BULL/BEAR POWER()13 
21.3820 
BUY 
BUY: 09 SELL:02 NEUTRAL: 3 
SUMMARY : STRONG BUY 
SCRIP 
ACTION 
ENTRY 
SL 
TGT 
TIME FRAME 
CMP 
TATA COMM 
BUY 
425-430 
417 
439-445 
ONE WEEK 
430.35 
LUPIN 
BUY 
1400-1420 
1375 
1450-1480 
ONE WEEK 
1429.85 
BHEL 
SELL 
246-250 
259 
242-234 
ONE WEEK 
246.95 
UCO BANK 
SELL 
85-87 
90 
82-80 
ONE WEEK 
83.55 
SUNPHARMA 
BUY 
895.75 
880-890 
858 
915-935 
ONE WEEK 
HIND PETRO is looking strong on charts. We advise to buy around 550-560 with stoploss of 530 for the targets of 580- 595 levels. RSI is also showing upside momentum in it on weekly charts. 
Performance of Previous Week 
SCRIP 
LOT 
ACTION 
ENTRY 
SL 
TGT 
P&L 
REMARK 
CLOSE / HIGH 
CANARA BANK 
1000 
BUY 
400-408 
385 
419-440 
18000.00 
NEAR TGT 
406.25 / 418.40 
REL INFRA 
500 
BUY 
620-640 
600 
655-675 
7500.00 
FIRST TGT HIT 
633.50 / 660.60 
TATA STEEL 
500 
BUY 
490-500 
475 
510-525 
-7500.00 
SL HIT 
474.15 / 497.40 
BHARAT FORGE 
1000 
BUY 
805-815 
790 
830-850 
40000.00 
BOTH TGT HIT 
841.45 / 857.00 
L&T 
250 
BUY 
1640-1670 
1600 
1695-1740 
10000.00 
FIRST TGT HIT 
1659.05 / 1696.85 
HINDALCO 
2000 
BUY 
162-165 
156 
170-175 
-12000.00 
SL HIT 
157.10 / 166.95 
NET PROFIT 
56000.00

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Epic research weakly fundamental report of 10th – 14th november 2014

  • 1. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 10 NOVEMBER 2014 STOCK INFORMATION STOCK PRICE 572.30 TARGET PRICE 580-595 SECTOR REFINERIES SYMBOL (AT NSE) HINDPETRO ISIN INE094A01015 FACE VALUE (IN RS.) 10.00 BSE CODE 500104 STOCK FUNDAMENTALS MARKET CAP 19,379.64 BOOK VALUE 443.31 EPS - (TTM) (IN RS. CR.) 95.69 P/E 5.98 INDUSTRY P/E 14.38 HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORPORATION LIMITED SPECIAL REPORT SHAREHOLDING PATTERN RESULTS (Quarterly )(Rs mn) COMPANY INFORMATION Jun’14 Mar’14 Dec’13 Sep’13 Jun’13 Sales 59,215.78 64,192.29 55,454.99 51,860.1 51,7638 Operating profit 589.84 5,938.48 -930.71 1,014.21 -687.88 Interest 589.84 5,938.48 -930.71 1,014.21 -687.88 Gross profit 658.18 6,070.30 -1,177.36 861.49 -950.48 EPS (Rs) 1.36 136.11 -51.20 9.42 -43.13 Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited a Government of India undertaking and a Fortune 500 company, is a major inte- grated oil refining and marketing company in India. It is a Mega Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) with Navaratna status. HPCL accounts for about 20% of the market share in India among the PSUs. The Company operates with 2 refineries pro- ducing a wide variety of petroleum fuels & specialties, one at Mumbai (West Coast) having a capacity of 6.5 Million Metric Tonnes Per Annum (MMTPA) and the other in Vishakapatnam (East Coast) with a capacity of 8.3 MMTPA. HPCL also holds an equity stake of 16.95% in Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemi- cals Limited (MRPL), a state-of-the-art refinery at Mangalore with a capacity of 9 MMTPA. In addition, HPCL, in collabora- tion with M/s Mittal Energy Investment Pte.Ltd. has set up a 9 MMTPA refinery at Bathinda, in the state of Punjab, as a Joint venture. HPCL owns the country's largest Lube Refinery with a capacity of 335,000 Metric Tonnes which amounts to 40% of the na- tional capacity of Lube Oil production. Presently HPCL pro- duces over 300+ grades of Lubes, Specialities and Greases. Diesel price deregulation…bold move in right time The government’s move to announce a cut in diesel prices by Rs 3.4 per litre and deregulate diesel prices comes at the right time when there has been a sharp decline in crude oil prices. Diesel prices will be market determined at both retail and re- finery gate level for all consumers. The move to deregulate diesel prices will lead to a decline in crude oil gross under- recoveries, with only kerosene and LPG prices under the regu- latory regime. The gross under-recoveries are now expected to decline from Rs 139869 crore in FY14 to Rs 83,326.5 crore in FY16E. ONGC, Oil India and PSU downstream companies would be the key beneficiaries and may see a reduction in their net subsidy burden, going forward. We expect more reforms from the government on the subsidy sharing mechanism, wherein lower subsidy burden needs to be set for upstream and downstream companies. We expect the decision on the subsidy sharing mechanism to come sooner than later, given the strong government and political sensitivity of the decision being the least. We expect net oil realisation for ONGC at $44.1/bbl, $45.5/bbl and $57.5/bbl for FY15E, FY16E and FY17E and for Oil India at $50.9/bbl, $53/bbl and $65/bbl for FY15E, FY16E and FY17E, respectively. OMCs also stand to benefit if they are able to increase their diesel marketing margins by Rs 0.5 per litre. INVESTMENT RATIONALE
  • 2. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 10 NOVEMBER 2014 TECHNICAL VIEW Our Other Recommendation for Next Week The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken. Disclaimer SYMBOL VALUE ACTION RSI(14) 71.036 BUY STOCH(9,6) 69.105 BUY STOCHRSI(14) 40.701 SELL MACD(12,26) -15.830 SELL ADX(14) 48.510 BUY WILLIAMS %R -26.641 BUY CCI(14) 102.6628 BUY ATR(14) 5.9643 HIGH VOLATILITY HIGH/LOWS(14) 11.2679 BUY ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 58.182 BUY ROC 3.864 BUY BULL/BEAR POWER()13 21.3820 BUY BUY: 09 SELL:02 NEUTRAL: 3 SUMMARY : STRONG BUY SCRIP ACTION ENTRY SL TGT TIME FRAME CMP TATA COMM BUY 425-430 417 439-445 ONE WEEK 430.35 LUPIN BUY 1400-1420 1375 1450-1480 ONE WEEK 1429.85 BHEL SELL 246-250 259 242-234 ONE WEEK 246.95 UCO BANK SELL 85-87 90 82-80 ONE WEEK 83.55 SUNPHARMA BUY 895.75 880-890 858 915-935 ONE WEEK HIND PETRO is looking strong on charts. We advise to buy around 550-560 with stoploss of 530 for the targets of 580- 595 levels. RSI is also showing upside momentum in it on weekly charts. Performance of Previous Week SCRIP LOT ACTION ENTRY SL TGT P&L REMARK CLOSE / HIGH CANARA BANK 1000 BUY 400-408 385 419-440 18000.00 NEAR TGT 406.25 / 418.40 REL INFRA 500 BUY 620-640 600 655-675 7500.00 FIRST TGT HIT 633.50 / 660.60 TATA STEEL 500 BUY 490-500 475 510-525 -7500.00 SL HIT 474.15 / 497.40 BHARAT FORGE 1000 BUY 805-815 790 830-850 40000.00 BOTH TGT HIT 841.45 / 857.00 L&T 250 BUY 1640-1670 1600 1695-1740 10000.00 FIRST TGT HIT 1659.05 / 1696.85 HINDALCO 2000 BUY 162-165 156 170-175 -12000.00 SL HIT 157.10 / 166.95 NET PROFIT 56000.00