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WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
13 Apr 2015
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Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
MAY 9050 9888 8860 9404 +4.61 164370
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
8880
SUPP. 2
8356
PIVOT
9384
Coriander short term
trend is up, further
more upside side is
expected in comimg
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9908
RES. 2
10412
CASTORSEED
MAY 3767 3799 3669 3752 -0.51 4592
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3681
SUPP. 2
3610
PIVOT
3740
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3811
RES. 2
3870
TURMERIC
MAY 7766 8490 7640 8370 +8.34 5475
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7843
SUPP. 2
7317
PIVOT
8167
Turmeric short term
trend is up and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8693
RES. 2
9017
GUARGUM
MAY 8860 10240 8860 10010 +12.60 5356
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9167
SUPP. 2
8323
PIVOT
9703
Guargum Short term
trend is up, Expecting
price may go up in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10547
RES. 2
11083
Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY CORIANDER MAY ABOVE 9440 TARGET 9540 9640 SL BELOW 9290
SELL CORIANDER MAY BELOW 9050 TARGET 8950 8850 SL ABOVE 9075
BUY GUARGUM MAY ABOVE 10350 TARGET 10500 10650 SL BELOW 10150
SELL GUARGUM MAY BELOW 9820 TARGET 9670 9520 SL ABOVE 9880
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 The recent unseasonal rains will not affect the medium-term inflation
target, chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian said, indicating that
the government does not see a lasting impact. "On agricultural prices, I
think there is a blip because of unseasonal rains. For the moment, the
expectation is that this will not sustainably affect the medium term
inflation target,According to the agriculture ministry, rain and hail
damaged rabi (winter-sown) crops in about 113 lakh hectares across the
country, prompting the government to announce a relief package.
Subramanian said a good June-September monsoon would make up for
the bad weather."Especially for this year, if the monsoon forecast is good
you have an offsetting impact. So for the moment we have to view it as a
temporary blip up and not a permanent shift in the inflationary process,"
he said. He said the government's projections on growth and buoyancy of
revenue is much more realistic this year. Opening a paddy procurement
centre at Gollapudi village in Krishna district to purchase rabi season
paddy from farmers, during the kharif season, government agencies
purchased 3,31,135 metric tonne of paddy from 15,393 farmers in the
district. rabi season which has just commenced, government agencies
have a target to purchase 3.89 lakh tonne of paddy from farmers.He
appealed to farmers not to indulge in distress sales and also guaranteed
that government agencies would purchase the entire production of the
rabi season at a Minimum Support Price of Rs 1,400 a quintal.
 The spot prices of wheat have witnessed some selling on the account
of favourable weather in major producing states . However, weak
production was estimated in local mandies. As per the official data,
unseasonal rains and hailstorms have damaged rabi (winter-sown) crops
in about 113 lakh hectares of crop area in the country. Total cultivable
area in rabi season stands at 600 lakh hectares. The officials also added
that the total wheat production in the current year is estimated at 91.64
million tonnes, down 4-5 percent from the last year. The spot prices
decreased by Rs 5 per quintal today.
 Chana prices found some strong resistance at near the psychological 4000
mark. Overall market sentiments remained firm however as crop damage
prospects due to the untimely rains in North, North-West and Central India, and
lower sowing reports kept sentiments firm.Rising domestic demand and
possibility of surge in imports in coming weeks could support prices further.As
per 2nd Advance Estimates for 2014-15, total foodgrains production in India is
estimated at 257.07 million tons– lower by 3% w.r.t. 265.57 million tons
previous year. Production of pulses estimated at 18.43 million tonnes is lower
by 1.35 million tonnes than the last year’s production. Chana production
estimated at 8.28 million tons vs 9.53 million tons last year. Urad production
expected to shrink by 5% to 16.10 lakh tons from 17 lakh tons. Moong
production to fall to 14 lakh tons from 16.10 lakh tons.In order to keep prices
for Pulses under check, the Govt has decided to extent duty-free imports till
Sept. Unseasonal rains in March brought a heavy loss to crops of pulses.Indian
farmers have cultivated 146 lakh hectares of pulse crops during the rabi season.
Out of this, chana acreage is near 85 lakh hectares.
 Turmeric is likely to trade on a bullish note for short term as well as intra
day. The carry over stocks are ample. There is demand for stocks from last year
as new arrivals are said to be of high moisture content.Traders are learnt to be
holding their produce expecting a rise in Turmeric prices. The concern over a
possible decline in production is also influencing Turmeric prices. According to
Agriculture Department estimates, turmeric production this year stands at
around 3.7 million bags as against with 5.2 million bags a year ago.Delay in
sowing due to erratic monsoon prompted farmers to plant the crop on lower
area in States such as Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh. At Sangli market
sources reported arrivals at 13000 quintals, up by 500 quintals from previous
trading day. At Nizamabad market Total arrivals are at 15000 quintals,
unchanged as compared to previous day’s arrival.
 Weakness was seen inn mustard seed market on the account of fresh selling
by traders and millers at higher levels. Traders stated that fresh arrivals of
around 5-5.50 lakh bags mustard seed have been reported in Kota mandi.
However, traders stated that overall crop production is likely to decline by 10
lakh tonnes in current year.
5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
 Castor Oil Export Increases By 1500 To 38500 T In March.
 Texprocil demands release of 50,000 cotton bales per day by CCI.
 India asks Australia to increase agricultural imports.
 Government bought paddy worth Rs 425 crore in kharif season.
 Malaysia's Palm Oil Stocks For March Seen Slightly Higher On M-o-M.
 Freak weather may hit kharif crop too, feel experts.
 Sugarcane arrear crosses Rs 19,000 crore.
 Eight developments that drive India's Oil Meal exports this year.
 India coastal cargo movement of raw Cotton to increase by 266%.
 Wheat output could fall by 4-5%.
 Global Wheat output in 2015 will be 1% below 2014 estimate.
SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Ref Soya Oil Indore 602.25
Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 585
Soy Bean Kota 3460
Soy Bean Indore 3593
Soy Bean Nagpur 3646.5
Soybean 2 MT Indore 3593
Soymeal Indore 31700
Sugar M Grade Kolhapur 2560.9
Sugar M Grade Kanpur 2768.7
Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 2737.5
Sugar M Grade Erode 2598
Sugar M Grade Delhi 2762.5
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Guar Gum Jodhpur 9893.9
Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 4407.8
GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 4407.8
Guarseed Bikaner 4350
Gur Muzaffar Nagar 946.75
Jeera Unjha 16480
Kapas Surendranagar 816.2
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Davengere 1350
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Karimnagar 1300
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Sangli 1380
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Delhi 1550
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Gulabbagh 1410
Maize - Feed/Industrial
Grade
Nizamabad 1268.75
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Similaire à Epic research weekly agri report 13th to 17th april 2015 (20)

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Epic research weekly agri report 13th to 17th april 2015

  • 1. WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 13 Apr 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Weekly Wrap Up 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL CORIANDER MAY 9050 9888 8860 9404 +4.61 164370 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 8880 SUPP. 2 8356 PIVOT 9384 Coriander short term trend is up, further more upside side is expected in comimg days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9908 RES. 2 10412 CASTORSEED MAY 3767 3799 3669 3752 -0.51 4592 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3681 SUPP. 2 3610 PIVOT 3740 Castorseed short term trend is down, Prices expected to go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3811 RES. 2 3870 TURMERIC MAY 7766 8490 7640 8370 +8.34 5475 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7843 SUPP. 2 7317 PIVOT 8167 Turmeric short term trend is up and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8693 RES. 2 9017 GUARGUM MAY 8860 10240 8860 10010 +12.60 5356 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 9167 SUPP. 2 8323 PIVOT 9703 Guargum Short term trend is up, Expecting price may go up in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10547 RES. 2 11083
  • 3. Weekly Recommendations 3 BUY CORIANDER MAY ABOVE 9440 TARGET 9540 9640 SL BELOW 9290 SELL CORIANDER MAY BELOW 9050 TARGET 8950 8850 SL ABOVE 9075 BUY GUARGUM MAY ABOVE 10350 TARGET 10500 10650 SL BELOW 10150 SELL GUARGUM MAY BELOW 9820 TARGET 9670 9520 SL ABOVE 9880
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  The recent unseasonal rains will not affect the medium-term inflation target, chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian said, indicating that the government does not see a lasting impact. "On agricultural prices, I think there is a blip because of unseasonal rains. For the moment, the expectation is that this will not sustainably affect the medium term inflation target,According to the agriculture ministry, rain and hail damaged rabi (winter-sown) crops in about 113 lakh hectares across the country, prompting the government to announce a relief package. Subramanian said a good June-September monsoon would make up for the bad weather."Especially for this year, if the monsoon forecast is good you have an offsetting impact. So for the moment we have to view it as a temporary blip up and not a permanent shift in the inflationary process," he said. He said the government's projections on growth and buoyancy of revenue is much more realistic this year. Opening a paddy procurement centre at Gollapudi village in Krishna district to purchase rabi season paddy from farmers, during the kharif season, government agencies purchased 3,31,135 metric tonne of paddy from 15,393 farmers in the district. rabi season which has just commenced, government agencies have a target to purchase 3.89 lakh tonne of paddy from farmers.He appealed to farmers not to indulge in distress sales and also guaranteed that government agencies would purchase the entire production of the rabi season at a Minimum Support Price of Rs 1,400 a quintal.  The spot prices of wheat have witnessed some selling on the account of favourable weather in major producing states . However, weak production was estimated in local mandies. As per the official data, unseasonal rains and hailstorms have damaged rabi (winter-sown) crops in about 113 lakh hectares of crop area in the country. Total cultivable area in rabi season stands at 600 lakh hectares. The officials also added that the total wheat production in the current year is estimated at 91.64 million tonnes, down 4-5 percent from the last year. The spot prices decreased by Rs 5 per quintal today.  Chana prices found some strong resistance at near the psychological 4000 mark. Overall market sentiments remained firm however as crop damage prospects due to the untimely rains in North, North-West and Central India, and lower sowing reports kept sentiments firm.Rising domestic demand and possibility of surge in imports in coming weeks could support prices further.As per 2nd Advance Estimates for 2014-15, total foodgrains production in India is estimated at 257.07 million tons– lower by 3% w.r.t. 265.57 million tons previous year. Production of pulses estimated at 18.43 million tonnes is lower by 1.35 million tonnes than the last year’s production. Chana production estimated at 8.28 million tons vs 9.53 million tons last year. Urad production expected to shrink by 5% to 16.10 lakh tons from 17 lakh tons. Moong production to fall to 14 lakh tons from 16.10 lakh tons.In order to keep prices for Pulses under check, the Govt has decided to extent duty-free imports till Sept. Unseasonal rains in March brought a heavy loss to crops of pulses.Indian farmers have cultivated 146 lakh hectares of pulse crops during the rabi season. Out of this, chana acreage is near 85 lakh hectares.  Turmeric is likely to trade on a bullish note for short term as well as intra day. The carry over stocks are ample. There is demand for stocks from last year as new arrivals are said to be of high moisture content.Traders are learnt to be holding their produce expecting a rise in Turmeric prices. The concern over a possible decline in production is also influencing Turmeric prices. According to Agriculture Department estimates, turmeric production this year stands at around 3.7 million bags as against with 5.2 million bags a year ago.Delay in sowing due to erratic monsoon prompted farmers to plant the crop on lower area in States such as Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh. At Sangli market sources reported arrivals at 13000 quintals, up by 500 quintals from previous trading day. At Nizamabad market Total arrivals are at 15000 quintals, unchanged as compared to previous day’s arrival.  Weakness was seen inn mustard seed market on the account of fresh selling by traders and millers at higher levels. Traders stated that fresh arrivals of around 5-5.50 lakh bags mustard seed have been reported in Kota mandi. However, traders stated that overall crop production is likely to decline by 10 lakh tonnes in current year.
  • 5. 5 NEWS RECAP COMMODITY HEADLINES  Castor Oil Export Increases By 1500 To 38500 T In March.  Texprocil demands release of 50,000 cotton bales per day by CCI.  India asks Australia to increase agricultural imports.  Government bought paddy worth Rs 425 crore in kharif season.  Malaysia's Palm Oil Stocks For March Seen Slightly Higher On M-o-M.  Freak weather may hit kharif crop too, feel experts.  Sugarcane arrear crosses Rs 19,000 crore.  Eight developments that drive India's Oil Meal exports this year.  India coastal cargo movement of raw Cotton to increase by 266%.  Wheat output could fall by 4-5%.  Global Wheat output in 2015 will be 1% below 2014 estimate.
  • 6. SPOT QUOTES 6 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Ref Soya Oil Indore 602.25 Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 585 Soy Bean Kota 3460 Soy Bean Indore 3593 Soy Bean Nagpur 3646.5 Soybean 2 MT Indore 3593 Soymeal Indore 31700 Sugar M Grade Kolhapur 2560.9 Sugar M Grade Kanpur 2768.7 Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 2737.5 Sugar M Grade Erode 2598 Sugar M Grade Delhi 2762.5 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Guar Gum Jodhpur 9893.9 Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 4407.8 GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 4407.8 Guarseed Bikaner 4350 Gur Muzaffar Nagar 946.75 Jeera Unjha 16480 Kapas Surendranagar 816.2 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Davengere 1350 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Karimnagar 1300 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Sangli 1380 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Delhi 1550 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Gulabbagh 1410 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Nizamabad 1268.75
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.