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Special report by epic research 21 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
Global markets at a glance
Asian markets crept higher on Tuesday as Japanese stocks
rebounded and Chinese money rates eased, while the U.S.
dollar got a fillip from a report the Federal Reserve would
again trim its bond buying next week. The dollar broke the
early lethargy with a hop to 104.48 yen when the Wall
Street Journal reported the Fed is on track to trim its bondbuying program for the second time in six weeks, paring
back by $10 billion to $65 billion a month.
Wall Street Update
A lackluster U.S. jobs report had not diminished the central
bank's confidence in the economy, wrote Fed watcher Jon
Hilsenrath. Investors suspect he has an inside line to policy
makers and put a lot of weight on his opinion. It was
enough to nudge 10-year U.S. Treasury yields up a couple
of basis points to 2.84 percent, following the U.S. market
holiday on Monday. The drop in the yen helped Japan's
Nikkei .N225 bounce 1.1 percent, and dragged up markets
from South Korea to Taiwan. MSCI's broadest index of Asia
-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS swung round
to be 0.36 percent firmer
Previous day Roundup
After a volatile session, the market ended the day on a
strong note. The Sensex ended up 141.43 points at
21205.05, and the Nifty closed at 6303.95, up 42.30 points.
About 1383 shares have advanced, 1209 shares declined,
and 245 shares are unchanged. IT stocks kept the market
busy with TCS gaining 5.5 percent while Wipro was up 4
percent. Sesa Sterlite, ITC and Tata Motors were other
gainers in the Sensex. Reliance, Coal India, Tata Power, Sun
Power and Bharti was major laggards in the Sensex.
Index stats
The Market was up in yesterday session where Bankex and
Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up0.75 % and up 0.88 %
respectively). Among the sartorial indices almost the sectors which were up are; Capital Goods [up 11.66 pts],
AUTO [up 86.40 pts], Metals [up 23.33 pts], and the index
advanced were Consumer Durables [up 18.55pts], IT [up
265.49 pts], Healthcare [up28.57 pts], FMCG [up70.65 pts]
Realty [up 1.25 pts], TECK [up 128.50 pts]. And PSU [down0.35 pts], Oil & Gas [down –84.14pts],Power [down –58.35
pts], sectors were down.
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
16458.56
+0.25
S&P 500
1838.70
-0.39
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4197.58
3153.17
6836.73
-0.50
-0.03
-0.03
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15872.52
23025.76
+1.48
+0.42
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
2334.90
121.85
5.51
574.00
21.30
3.85
1430.85
51.20
3.71
INDUSINDBK
435.00
11.65
2.75
SSLT
205.50
4.90
2.44
CMP
Change
% Chg
868.00
77.45
2593.00
307.65
144.15
-16.75
0.90
-29.00
-3.25
-1.35
-1.89
-1.15
-1.11
-1.05
-0.93
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
1379.65
51.20
3.71
BHUSANSTL
475.20
4.65
0.98
CERA
756.30
0.70
0.09
INFINITE
155.35
3.15
2.03
WIPRO
552.70
21.30
3.85
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CMP
Change
% Chg
6303.95
21205.05
42.30
141.43
0.68
0.67
TCS
WIPRO
HCLTECH
Top Losers
Company
RELIANCE
TATAPOWER
GRASIM
BHARTIAIRTEL
NMDC
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
HCL-TECH
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ITC FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. RELIANCE MEDIAWORKS
ITC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
332 levels. We advise buying above 332 levels with strict
stop loss 327 for the targets of 337-339 levels.
RELIANCE MEDIAWORKS is looking strong on charts. We
advice buying above 55 levels with strict stop loss of 51 for
the targets of 59-62 levels.
MACRO NEWS
2. RCOM FUTURE
RCOM FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
132 levels. We advise buying around 130-131 levels with
strict stop loss 127 for the targets of 134-135 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Yesterday the directed the Planning Commission to set
up a committee with representatives from northeastern
states to monitor and improve coordination for infrastructure development in the region as he reviewed its
status here.
the (textiles exports) target will be USD 60 billion, having seen the potential and concentrating on skill development in the country, focus on textile sector by the
government and also the necessity of the advanced nations to depend entirely on Asia, especially China and
India, Union Textiles Minister K S Rao
Public sector power producer NTPC yesterday said it
facing illegal mining at its Pakri Barwadih coal block in
and alleged the state is not providing law and order support, while asking the government to look into the issue.
Venture Capital firms invested about $805 million over
206 deals in India during 2013, registering a fall of about
18 per cent over the corresponding period a year ago,
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
21st JANUARY. 2013
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
NIFTY
PE
6,200
19
4,64,438 71,47,400
NIFTY
PE
6,300
47.05
4,11,313 53,57,050
NIFTY
PE
6,100
7.65
2,25,748 54,15,800
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,800
69.1
19,918
1,23,850
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,500
22
16,563
2,88,625
BANKNIFTY
PE
11,000
139
12,808
2,24,150
SBIN
PE
1,600
12.9
3,085
2,72,875
INFY
PE
3,650
8.2
2,699
STOCKS IN NEWS
Biocon introduces world's first biosimilar Trastuzumab that drug is used for breast cancer treatment
Banks will recast Rs 5,000-crore debt of Era Infra Engineering
Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs is likely to
take up Hindustan Zinc residual stake sale today
Reliance Media Works board approves delisting
NIFTY FUTURE
Open
Interest
2,95,500
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
CE
6,300
65
4,85,139 49,34,700
NIFTY
CE
6,400
23.35
3,77,583 43,13,800
NIFTY
CE
6,500
6.35
1,50,893 43,68,200
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,000
180.1
24,044
3,50,025
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,500
34.5
20,870
3,81,875
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,200
99.1
14,608
INFY
CE
3,800
23
RCOM
CE
130
5.25
Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading ses1,75,775 sion. We advise buying around 6290-6300 levels with
strict stop loss of 6270 for the targets of 6340-6370 lev4,317 4,80,125 els.
3,939 20,00,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
55853
1731.53
63718
1976.72
483731
14965.21
-245.19
INDEX OPTIONS
378140
11632.89
381733
11732.81
1284522
39930.19
-99.92
STOCK FUTURES
87075
2877.53
87504
2858.17
1062797
33180.93
19.36
STOCK OPTIONS
65803
2020.71
66774
2054.05
99787
3241.57
-33.34
TOTAL
-359.09
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6197.61
6229.63
6278.36
6310.38
6359.11
NIFTYJUNIOR
12175.06
12256.13
12381.91
12462.98
12588.76
BANK NIFTY
10774.15
10842.75
10962.35
11030.95
11150.55
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 45300 TGTS 45500/45800 SL 44950
SELL SILVER BELOW 44950 TGTS 44750/44450 SL 45300
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29350 TGTS 29430/29530 SL 29250
SELL GOLD BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29350
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold steadied after touching its highest level in nearly six
weeks on Monday, still finding support from a lower dollar
and a dip in equities, which improved investor confidence in
the metal. Platinum prices rose to their highest level in
more than two months after the main trade union for South
African platinum miners said workers at the world's top
three producers would go out on strike this week. Spot gold
hit its highest level since mid-December at $1,259.46 an
ounce earlier and was trading up 0.1 percent at $1,254.70
by 1116 GMT. U.S. gold futures for February delivery were
up $2.80 at $1,254.60 an ounce. European shares edged
lower, retreating from 5-1/2 year highs, while the dollar fell
0.2 percent versus a basket of main currencies. Liquidity
was expected to be thin with U.S. markets closed on Monday for a holiday.
MCX GOLDPETAL January contract was trading at Rs 2982
up Rs 6, or 0.20 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate touched an
intraday high of Rs 2983 and an intraday low of Rs 2969. So
far 4467 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices
have moved down Rs 25, or 0.83 percent in the January series so far. MCX GOLDPETAL February contract was trading
at Rs 2941 up Rs 6, or 0.20 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate
touched an intraday high of Rs 2943 and an intraday low of
Rs 2932. So far 3248 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved down Rs 24, or 0.81 percent in
the February series so far.
MCX SILVERMIC February contract was trading at Rs 45193
up Rs 28, or 0.06 percent. The SILVERMIC rate touched an
intraday high of Rs 45285 and an intraday low of Rs 45020.
So far 21035 contracts have been traded. SILVERMIC prices
have moved up Rs 3193, or 7.60 percent in the February
series so far. MCX SILVERMIC April contract was trading at
Rs 46204 up Rs 74, or 0.16 percent. The SILVERMIC rate
touched an intraday high of Rs 46280 and an intraday low of
Rs 46030. So far 1336 contracts have been traded. SILVERMIC prices have moved down Rs 10912, or 19.10 percent in
the April series so far. MCX SILVERMIC June contract was
trading at Rs 47150 up Rs 39, or 0.08 percent. The SILVERMIC rate touched an intraday high of Rs 47253 and an intraday low of Rs 46600. So far 143 contracts have been traded.
SILVERMIC prices have moved down Rs 128, or 0.27 percent
in the June series so far.
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5. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4275
0
Chana
3020
-0.59
Coriander
7950
-1.01
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1547
0.06
12745
1.88
Maize– Feed/ Industrial grade
1200
0.84
Mustard seed
3517
-2.95
Soy Bean
3750
-31
Turmeric
6714
-0.06
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4380 TGTS 4410,4460 SL 4330
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4315 TGTS 4285,4235 SL 4365
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8190 TGTS 8220,8270 SL 8140
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8090 TGTS 8070,8020 SL 8140
YOUR MINTVISORY
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Selling continued in coriander futures due strong production estimates in major producing states along with limited
export demand in local mandies. The NCDEX futures
slumped by Rs 5 per quintal today. The market sources suggested that the total production of coriander crop is likely at
118 lakh bags against 98 lakh bags of the last year. This is
mainly due to strong sowing acreage in major producing
states like Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. The total production in Gujarat is likely to increase by 57%, while
production in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh is likely to
augment by 16.60 and 13.33% in the current year.
The NCDEX April coriander futures declined by 0.06% today
to close at Rs 8955 per quintal. The NCDEX futures added
2% in open interest indicating fresh short position by traders. India's National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange
(NCDEX) has received approval from market regulator, Forward Markets Commission (FMC) to launch futures trading
in Gold Hedge 100 gms. This comes close on the heels of
NCDEX launching a 1 kg Gold Hedge contract on January
16th.
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6. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.6345 Yen-100
Euro
83.4245 GBP
Rate
59.1900
101.2532
USD/INR
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Indian rupee declined in the early trade on Monday. It has
opened lower by 11 paise at 61.67 per dollar as against Friday's closing value of 61.55. Agam Gupta of Standard Chartered feels dollar-rupee will open higher at around 61.70
level mainly reflecting dollar strength overnight. He expects
exporters to sell on upticks to 61.80 while the nationalised
bank demand will support the pair at 61.50. "The flows are
expected to be muted as US markets will remain shut today," he adds. Meanwhile, the US dollar started Monday
near a two-month high, having enjoyed a solid comeback
last week after a string of mostly upbeat data convinced
markets the Federal Reserve will continue its gradual withdrawal of stimulus.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 61.82 TGTS 61.95, 62.09 SL
61.52.
SELL USD/INR BELOW 61.47 TGTS 61.34, 61.18 SL
61.77.
Foreign institutional investors have been heavy investors in
local debt, being net buyers for seven successive sessions to
Friday, taking the total purchases for the month to $2.8 billion. The purchases came after they reduced their holdings
by $8.3 billion in 2013. Easing inflation and a stable rupee
have led to expectations that Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan will keep rates steady when the central
bank meets on Jan. 28 to decide monetary policy, helping
improve investor confidence."The bond inflows have been
one of the biggest factors supporting the rupee. Moreover, I
expect equity-related inflows to pick up in the coming
months due to FDI inflows and share buybacks lined up,"
said Subramanian Sharma, director at Greenback Forex. The
central bank raised its key policy rate twice late last year to
contain inflation, sparking concerns about declining economic growth.
GBP/INR
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 101.61 TGTS 101.75, 101.90
SL 101.26.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 101.05 TGTS 100.92, 100.76
SL 101.40.
YOUR MINTVISORY
A pause in rate hikes will boost equities and attract more
foreign funds, which will be supportive of the rupee.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.62/63 per dollar
compared with its Friday close of 61.54/55. The currency
remained in a tight range of 61.5425-61.67 as the U.S. markets will remain closed on Monday for a national holiday.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
7. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
20/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
BUY
29350
29430-29530
29250
BOOKED PROFIT
20/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
SELL
29150
29070-28970
29250
NOT EXECUTED
20/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
45350
45600-45950
45000
NOT EXECUTED
20/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
44800
44500-44200
45150
NOT EXECUTED
20/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
BUY
4360
4390-4440
4310
NOT EXECUTED
20/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
SELL
4270
4240-4190
4320
BOOKED PROFIT
20/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEN.
BUY
8090
8120-8170
8030
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
SELL
8115
8085-8035
8165
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
BUY
101.43
101.58-101.76
101.08
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
20/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
SELL
100.56
100.39-100.21
100.91
NOT EXECIUED
20/01/14
JPY/INR
JAN.
BUY
59.12
59.26-59.40
58.82
BOOKED PROFIT
20/01/14
JPY/INR
JAN.
SELL
58.83
58.69-58.51
5913
NOT EXECUTED
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Date
Scrip
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
20/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6290
6240-6200
6350
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
AXIS BANK
FUTURE
SELL
1160
1130-1105
1170
SL TRIGGERED
20/01/14
BJAAJ AUTO
FUTURE
BUY
1950
1900-2040
1890
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
ALL CARGO LOGISTIC
CASH
BUY
138
144-148
132
NOT EXECUTED
17/01/14
GITANJALI
CASH
BUY
70
75-85
65
CALL OPEN
15/01/14
SKS MICRO
CASH
BUY
186
192-198
180
BOOKED FULL PRPFIT
YOUR MINTVISORY
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8. DAILY REPORT
21st JANUARY. 2013
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN 20
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. DAY
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JAN 21
NONE SCHEDULED
WEDNESDAY, JAN.22
NONE SCHEDULED
THURSDAY, JAN. 23
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
1/18
N/A
N/A
9 AM
MARKIT "FLASH" PMI
JAN.
--
55.0
9 AM
FHFA HOME PRICES
NOV.
--
8.2% Y-O-Y
10 AM
EXISTING HOME SALES
DEC.
4.95 MLN
4.90 MLN
10 AM
LEADING INDICATORS
DEC.
--
0.8%
FRIDAY, JAN. 24
NONE SCHEDULED
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