Stock market special report by epic research 14 march 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian shares skidded to a three-week low and the yen held
steady at lofty levels on Friday, as heightened tension in
Ukraine ahead of a weekend referendum prompted inves-
tors to shed riskier assets. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-
Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.5 per-
cent in early trading, touching its lowest level since late
February and on track for a weekly loss of more than 2
percent. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury
note fell to 2.641 percent in early Asian trading from its
U.S. close of 2.653 percent.
Germany's DAX fell 1.3% to 9,188.69 points on Wednes-
day, while the euro zone's blue chip Euro STOXX 50 ended
0.9% lower at 3,065.46 points. At 0729 GMT, futures for
the Euro STOXX 50, Britain's FTSE 100 , Germany's DAX and
France's CAC were 0.1 to 0.3% higher. The FTSEurofirst 300
index of top European shares closed 1.1% lower in the pre-
vious session after hitting a one-month low. The index has
fallen 3.2 percent since March 6 and closed below its 50
percent retracement of a rally from February 4 to 25.
Wall Street Update
On Wall Street on Thursday, benchmark U.S. stock indices
fell more than 1.0%, posting their biggest daily losses since
early Feb, with the S&P500 stock index tumbling 1.17%.
Previous day Roundup
Late trade profit booking on Thursday drove the 50-share
NSE Nifty below 6500-level for the first time in last five
sessions. If Infosys had not seen a selling pressure the mar-
ket may have seen positive close. The Sensex fell 81.61
points to 21774.61 and the Nifty lost 23.80 points to
6493.10. Decliners beat advancers by a ratio of 1493 to
1276 on the BSE. The market tried to hold positive mo-
mentum supported by banks, oil & gas and FMCG stocks
despite heavy selling in Infosys and Sun Pharma, but sud-
den profit booking in last hour of trade in select banks,
steel and Tata group stocks forced the market close lower.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterday’s session. The
sartorial indices performed as follow Consumer Durables
[down 16.18pts], Capital Good [up 24.30pts], PSU [up
79.46pts], FMCG [up 25.72pts], Realty [down 49.36Pts],
Power [down 11.21pts], Auto [up 68.65pts], Healthcare
[down 105.14pts], IT [down 379.61pts], Metals [up pts],
TECK [down 180.90pts], Oil& Gas [up 131.26pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16,108.89 -1.41
S&P 500 1,846.34 -1.17
NASDAQ 4,260.42 -1.46
EURO STO 3,019.54 -1.50
FTSE 100 6,553.78 -1.01
Nikkei 225 14,434.19 -2.58
Hong Kong 21,538.40 -1.00
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BPCL 444.40 31.50 +7.63
M&M 1017.5 26.25 +2.65
DRREDDY 2754.00 66.50 +2.47
KOTAKBANK 763.25 18.40 +2.47
ONGC 324.40 7.45 +2.35
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
INFY 3361.00 310.3 -8.45
DLF 167.7 11.45 -6.39
SUNPHARMA 573.35 30.95 -5.12
JPASSOCIAT 46.55 1.80 -3.72
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BEML 263.7 18.10 +7.37
BPCL 444.4 31.5 +7.63
GLOBOFFS 283.80 6.10 +2.20
HDFCBANK 741.15 15.60 +2.15
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 6,493.10 -23.80 -0.37
SENSEX 21,774.61 -81.61 -0.37
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
MONNETISPA 66.8 1.70 -2.48
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2. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. DLF LTD.
DLF FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has
been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below
170 levels. We advise selling around 170 levels with strict
stoploss 175 for the targets of 165-160 levels.
2. PFC
PFC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
175 levels. We advise buying around 172-175 levels with
strict stop loss 168 for the targets of 179-182 levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. KOTAK BANK
KOTAK BANK LTD is looking strong on charts. We advise
buying around 760-765 levels with strict stop loss of 750 for
the targets of 775-785 levels.
MACRO NEWS
WPI INFLATION will be released today.
India's coal imports jumped 20 per cent year-on-year in
February to 11.6 million tonnes as prices dipped and the
rupee strengthened, data from research firm OreTeam
showed, indicating that demand remains strong despite
a sharp fall in January. India's reliance on foreign coal
has grown over the years as local production has failed
to grow in line with demand.
Maruti Suzuki has sent a clarification to SEBI over the
recent decision to have its parent set up a manufactur-
ing plant in Gujarat.
Trade relations between India and Australia have been
growing steadily and with the "right mindsets" they can
be enhanced further.
Heavy rainfall to impact harvest-ready crops.
UPA government's direct cash transfer scheme fails to
convince bureaucrats.
EMphasiS yesterday reported a 2% fall in consolidated
net profit at Rs 180.6 crore for the first quarter ended
January 31, 2014.
3. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 6,500 62.5 4,13,237 54,20,800
NIFTY PE 6,400 31.5 2,87,678 66,51,250
NIFTY PE 6,300 15.35 1,86,617 55,40,350
BANKNIFTY PE 12,000 160.05 35,712 2,42,500
INFY PE 3,300 39.65 4,926 1,12,625
SBIN PE 1,600 18.6 4,229 2,71,875
INFY PE 3,200 17.5 4,042 1,51,875
RELIANCE PE 860 8.6 3,993 6,42,750
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 6,600 35.55 3,68,720 46,45,550
NIFTY CE 6,700 13.45 2,47,352 32,28,150
NIFTY CE 6,500 79 2,08,401 44,92,850
BANKNIFTY CE 12,500 126 50,862 2,44,650
INFY CE 3,600 13.85 8,907 2,77,500
SBIN CE 1,700 26 8,397 5,70,250
RELIANCE CE 900 10.8 6,810 12,60,750
AXISBANK CE 1,500 5.7 4,194 12,18,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 63212 2049.92 49938 1623.02 487795 15782.88 426.90
INDEX OPTIONS 454478 14504.69 463644 14690.20 1612820 52182.25 -185.51
STOCK FUTURES 93149 3175.56 111899 3774.76 1062265 34023.53 -599.21
STOCK OPTIONS 78178 2597.89 77845 2617.90 97584 3082.41 -20.01
TOTAL -377.82
INDICES S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2
NIFTY 6425.59 6459.34 6510.39 6544.14 6595.19
NIFTYJUNIOR 12309.7 12411.15 12567.0 12668.45 12824.3
BANK NIFTY 11924.48 12032.96 12170.83 12279.31 12417.18
STOCKS IN NEWS
Avantha Group's Gautam Thapar to sell 42.7% stake in
Crompton Greaves, company valued at $3 billion.
SBI launches SBIePay to facilitate e-transactions.
Manappuram Finance acquires Milestone Home Fi-
nance Company from Jaypee Hotels.
Now,USFDA's import alert on Sun Pharma's Karkhadi
plant in Gujarat
Cipla board approves retirement of YK Hamied
Jubilant Life to hike Niacin prices by 18%.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
We advise selling around 6550-6540 levels with strict
stop loss of 6595 for the targets of 6500-6450 levels.
4. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47050 TGTS 47250/47550 SL
46700
SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46600 TGTS 46400/46050 SL
46950
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30580 TGTS 30660/30780 SL 30450
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30410 TGTS 30330/30210 SL 30530
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
India's gems and jewellery exports in February fell by
4.15% to $ 3.59 bn due to sluggish demand in key markets
such as the US and Europe. The exports have now dropped
for the fourth month in a row. The overseas shipments are
also contracting due to the curbs imposed by the govt on
gold imports. The imports declined 71.4 per cent, year-on-
year, to $ 1.63 bn in February. For the 11-month period of
the 2013-14 fiscal, the shipments have slipped by 7.15%,
year-on-year, to $ 35.73 bn, an official in the commerce
ministry said. In order to curb the current account deficit
(CAD).
Gold for April delivery lost 0.1% to $1,368.90 an ounce by
7:32 am on the Comex in New York. It reached earlier to-
day $1,375.70, the highest since September 10. Futures
volume was 49 per cent above the average for the past
100 days for this time of day.
Bullion for immediate delivery added 0.1% to $1,368.43 in
London The metal's 14-day relative strength index was at
68.5, near a level of 70 that signals to some who study
technical charts that prices may be set to decline. Holdings
in gold- backed exchange-traded products fell 1.9 tonnes
on Wednesday, the first drop in a week. Gold traded near
a six-month high in New York, as investors weighed con-
cern about tension between Ukraine and Russia and slow-
ing Chinese economic growth against speculation prices
climbed too fast.
Copper prices fell by 0.43% to Rs 400.95 per kg in futures
trade yesterday as speculators reduced positions amid
weak global cues. At the MCX, copper for delivery in April
traded lower by Rs 1.75, or 0.43%, to Rs 400.95 per kg in
business turnover of 1,155 lots. Similarly, the metal for
delivery in far-month June was down by Rs 1.45, or 0.36%,
to Rs 404 per kg in 22 lots. The fall in copper futures to
weak global trend with China to post factory and retail
sales data amid concerns that the slowdown in Asia's larg-
est economy is worsening. Besides, subdued demand in
the spot market also put pressure. Meanwhile, copper for
delivery in three months traded little changed at USD
6,507.75 at LME.
COMMODITY MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4705 TGTS 4735,4785 SL 4655
SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4610 TGTS 4580,4530 SL 4650
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9570 TGTS 9600,9650 SL 9520
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9485 TGTS 9455,9405 SL 9535
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4240 -0.52
Chana 3273 -0.70
Coriander 9516 -0.55
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1529 +0.39
Jeera 10595 -0.28
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
1270 +1.03
Mustard seed 3486 -0.49
Soy Bean 4270 +1.57
Turmeric 6804 -1.70
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Untimely rains and hailstorms across many wheat-growing
regions in the last few days might hit the crop and lower
production to less than the estimated 100 million tonnes.
In the past month, wheat prices have risen five per cent to
Rs 1,700 a quintal in mandis in the North. The minimum
support price for the crop is Rs 1,350 a quintal.
Oil prices fell in Asian trade today ahead of the
weekly USstockpiles report that will give an indication of
demand in the world's biggest economy. New York's main
contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for April delivery
dipped 47 cents to $99.56 in mid-morning trade, and Brent
North Sea crude for April eased 20 cents to $108.35.
The production of oilseeds, excluding cottonseed,
in Gujaratfor 2013-14 is estimated to be around 4.25 mil-
lion tonnes compared to last year's 2.26 million tonnes,
according to the latest data released by the Central Organi-
sation for Oil Industry & Trade. Apart from castor seed,
whose production is likely to see a slight slump this year in
comparison to last year because of reduced sowing area,
production of groundnut, soybean, sesame and rape/
mustard/toria oilseeds is estimated to be higher than last
year.
6. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 85.60 TGTS 85.73, 85.88 SL 85.32.
SELL EUR/INR BELOW 84.88 TGTS 84.75, 84.60 SL 85.16.
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 61.44 TGTS 61.57, 61.71 SL 61.16.
SELL USD/INR BELOW 61.02 TGTS 60.89, 60.74 SL 61.30.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Data on Thursday showed China's industrial output growth
fell short of forecasts for the combined January/February
period, and retail sales also came in weaker than expected.
The disappointing figures fuelled fears of a slowdown in
the world's second biggest economy. That continued to
weigh on the Australian dollar, considered a proxy for
China plays. The Aussie lost about 0.1 percent to $0.9019.
The euro also remained under pressure after comments
from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who
said the bank has been preparing additional policy steps to
guard against deflation taking hold in the euro zone. The
single currency was down about 0.1 percent at $1.3859,
moving away from Thursday's 2-1/2 year high of $1.3967
hit before Draghi spoke.
The Indian rupee has weakened today against the US dollar
for a second consecutive session, notwithstanding data
showing that inflation has decelerated more than expected
in Asia’s third-largest economy. Data released by the In-
dian Central Bank showed that consumer inflation in the
Asian nation made its smallest increase since 2012. Infla-
tion ticked up 8.1% from the previous year a figure that
was less than the 8.3% rise being forecast by economists.
The easing pressure on consumer prices will likely bolster
the belief that the Reserve Bank of India will keep interest
rates unchanged at its policy review on April 1, after having
aggressively raised its benchmark repo rate by 75 basis
points to 8.0 percent in the period September to January.
The RBI’s own favored metric for inflation is the Wholesale
Price Index, due out on Friday. The market consensus is for
WPI inflation to ease to 4.99 percent y/y in February from
January’s 5.05 percent. RBI early this week said it will con-
duct a 21-day term repo variable rate auction for a notified
amount of Rs 50000 crore on Friday, 14 March 2014, so as
to address the anticipated tightening in liquidity conditions
in the banking system on account of advance tax payments
by corporate commencing mid-March 2014
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 61.0155 Yen-100 59.4600
Euro 85.0232 GBP 101.6518
7. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
13/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. BUY 30530 30610-30710 30420 SL TRIGGERED
13/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. SELL 30350 30270-30170 30460 SL TRIGGERED
13/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY BUY 46950 47150-47500 46600 BOOKED PROFIT
13/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY SELL 46600 46400-46050 47000 BOOKED PROFIT
13/03/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. BUY 4665 4695-4744 4615 BOOKED PROFIT
13/03/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. SELL 4610 4580-4530 4650 NOT EXECUTED
13/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. BUY 9595 9625-9675 9545 NOT EXECUTED
13/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. SELL 9520 9490-9440 9570 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
13/03/14 USD/INR MAR. BUY 61.57 61.70-61.85 61.29 NOT EXECUTED
13/03/14 JPY/INR MAR. BUY 60.00 60.13-60.28 59.72 NOT EXECUTED
13/03/14 JPY/INR MAR. SELL 59.30 59.17-59.02 59.58 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
13/03/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY
6500-
6520
6570-6590 6470 CALL OPEN
13/03/14 SUNPHARMA FUTURE BUY 610 620-635 598 SL TRIGGERED
13/03/14 TATAMOTORS FUTURE SELL 393-395 388-382 400 BOOKED PROFIT
13/03/14 APOLLO HOSP CASH BUY 855-860 870-890 840 CALL OPEN
11/03/14 OBEROI REALITY CASH BUY 210 220-235 200 CALL OPEN
10/02/14 KRBL CASH BUY 45-46 50-54 40 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
14th
MARCH 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MARCH 10
None scheduled
TUESDAY, MARCH 11
10 am Job openings Jan. -- 4.0 mln
10 am Wholesale inventories Jan. -- 0.3%
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12
2 pm Federal budget Feb. -- -$204 bln
THURSDAY, MARCH 13
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3-8 N/A N/A
8:30 am Retail sales Feb. 0.2% -0.4%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Feb. 0.2% 0.0%
8:30 am Import price index Feb. 0.3% 0.1%
10 am Business inventories Jan. 0.3% 0.1%
FRIDAY ,MARCH 14
8:30 am Producer price index, final demand Feb. 0.2% 0.2%
8:30 am Core PPI, final demand Feb. 0.2% 0.2%
9:55 am UMich consumer sentiment March 81.7 81.6