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How the tech giant is attacking the healthcare space
Amazon in
Healthcare
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W I T H I N 2 4 H O U R S
33
@cbinsights
@nikillinit
#amazonhealth
J O I N T H E C O N V E R S A T I O N O N T W I T T E R
4
W H O W E A R E
The technology market
intelligence platform.
CB Insights software lets you predict, discuss,
and communicate emerging technology trends
using data in ways that are beyond human
cognition. We are a leader in the Expert Automation
& Augmentation Software (EAAS) space.
5
T R U S T E D B Y T H E W O R L D ’ S L E A D I N G C O M P A N I E S
“We use CB Insights to find emerging trends
and interesting companies that might signal a shift in
technology or require us to reallocate resources.”
Beti Cung, Corporate Strategy, Microsoft
6
I N D U S T R Y - S C A L E S U M M I T S C L I E N T - O N L Y E V E N T SP E E R - T O - P E E R
N E T W O R K
The CBI Community — Membership Has Benefits
DEMO DAY
7
Nikhil Krishnan
A B O U T T H E A N A L Y S T
Nikhil Krishnan is a senior analyst at CB Insights, where he produces data-
driven analysis and research reports on trends in digital health and
healthcare broadly. He sends the weekly Digital Health Insights newsletter
to 55K+ members. His research has been featured in The Economist, New
York Times, Wall Street Journal, and more.
Most popular analyses by Nikhil:
Oscar Health Insurance Strategy Teardown
Apple In Healthcare
Google In Healthcare
@nikillinit | nkrishnan@cbinsights.com
Senior Analyst
8
Contents
-
-
Advantages, Philosophy, and Approach
Where Amazon Should Enter Healthcare
Amazon, the Pharmacy
Claims Administration and Health Benefits Management
Amazon and Medicare/Medicaid management
Amazon for Providers
Amazon in the Lab
-
-
-
-
-
9
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Advantages,
Philosophy, and
Approach
10
Some of the trends Amazon is riding
Generics are a bigger and bigger part of prescription drug shareMore employers are self-insuring
More people have high-deductible plans Administrative overhead has exploded
Wall Street Journal, Optum, Kaiser Family Foundation, Athenahealth
11
Amazon has a lot
of non-healthcare
revenue
Amazon clearly has cash
and a growing revenue
stream that it can use to
invest in healthcare.
More importantly, this
means that Amazon
doesn’t need to make
money on their healthcare
ventures, and can instead
use it to make its
ecosystem and Prime
membership more
valuable.
Amazon’s cash and revenue over time
Amazon income and balance sheet, 2015 - 2017
12
Amazon has a large testing ground and
aggregated consumer demand
1.2M employees between
Amazon-JPM-Berkshire
5M estimated
sellers on Amazon
2020
TechCrunch, Enterpreneur
310M
Active Customers
(100M Prime Members)
13NPS Benchmarks
People like
Amazon
Amazon is entering the
healthcare with an edge
that existing companies in
the space don’t have –
brand. As Amazon aims
to create a consumer-
driven healthcare
initiative, it’ll be hard for
existing incumbents to
shed that brand and
internal company ethos.
62
12
Amazon Health Insurance (average)
Amazon’s NPS is much higher than that
of health incumbents
14
The logistics infrastructure – Amazon can get
things to you quickly
2020
Bloomberg, Business Insider
15
Amazon = platform + back end infrastructure
for business
Fulfillment By Amazon handles delivery, inventory
management, and customer returns
AWS handles datacenter management and
associated cloud services
16
Amazon’s playbook
1. Invest in large, upfront, fixed cost
aspects of a business (e.g warehouses,
data centers)
2. Bring standardization to messy,
unstructured, and fragmented back-office
functions (e.g. logistics)
3. Add transparency and a platform for
companies to distribute goods and services
Companies can focus on their core
competencies and outsource the rest to
Amazon
1717
“I have devoted my public health career to building scalable solutions for
better healthcare delivery that are saving lives, reducing suffering, and
eliminating wasteful spending both in the US and across the world. Now I
have the backing of these remarkable organizations to pursue this mission
with even greater impact for more than a million people, and in doing so
incubate better models of care for all. This work will take time but must be
done. The system is broken, and better is possible.”
Atul Gawande,
CEO of Amazon-JPMorgan-Berkshire Health Initiative
A T U L G A W A N D E : F O C U S E S O N S T A N D A R D I Z A T I O N A N D S C A L A B I L I T Y
1818
“Reinventing medical care could produce hundreds of innovations. Some may be as simple as giving
patients greater e-mail and online support from their clinicians, which would enable timelier advice
and reduce the need for emergency-room visits. Others might involve smartphone apps for coaching the
chronically ill in the management of their disease, new methods for getting advice from specialists,
sophisticated systems for tracking outcomes and costs, and instant delivery to medical teams of up-
to-date care protocols. Innovations could take a system that requires sixty-three clinicians for a knee
replacement and knock the number down by half or more.”
Atul Gawande,
CEO of Amazon-JPMorgan-Berkshire Health Initiative
A T U L G A W A N D E ’ S R O A D M A P ?
1919
Who’s at risk?
• Middlemen that are value extractors and have large profit
margins
• Companies that focus on formatting or coordinating information
• Areas where customer experience has been an afterthought
• Companies that have relied on opaque pricing as a business
model
20
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Amazon, the Pharmacy
21
The pharmaceutical supply chain is convoluted
Drug Channels
22
And the middlemen take a healthy amount
Wall Street Journal
23
Can Amazon shift this model?
Wall Street Journal
24St. Louis Post Dispatch
Amazon goes for
the wholesale
licenses first
Amazon reportedly
received approval for
wholesale pharmacy
licenses in 12 states.
Original speculation was
that this was going to be
used for business-to-
business selling since
Amazon still didn’t have
pharmacy licenses.
However…
25
Amazon acquires PillPack, with pharmacy
licenses in all 50 states
26
PillPack’s PharmacyOS looks similar to the
Fulfilled By Amazon/AWS platform model
27
The pharma supply chain did not react well to
this acquisition…
2828
Potential next steps:
Fill out the rest of the pharma supply
chain and expand offering to self-insured
employers and smaller health plans
29Consumer Reports
Cash paying
customers are an
easy first target
While cash paying
customers are a small
percentage of the
population, there is a wide
disparity in how much the
same goods can cost
across pharmacies. In
some cases, these cash
deals can be even
cheaper than thorugh
health insurers, and it
bypasses PBMs.
Prices for cash paying customers for a basket of drugs
30Fortune
Build out retail
pharmacies for
same day
delivery
While PillPack is great for
regular medication users
with predictable
schedules, Amazon needs
to complement that with
quicker delivery. It can do
this by building out
pharmacies/delivery hubs
in Whole Foods as well as
partner with independent
pharmacies.
31
Offer negotiated
rates to self-
insured
employers
Amazon can offer
employers and small
health plans the
pharmacy benefits that
PBMs traditionally provide
(aggregate leverage to
provide discounts, access
to pharmacies for
medications, etc.)
Self-Insured Employer
Health Plan
PBM
Contracts for medical benefits/
physician network
Option 1: Contract with PBM
directly for pharmacy benefits
Option 2:
Health Plan sub-
contracts with
PBM to include
pharmacy benefits
32
Do employers want to use PBMs?
National Pharmaceutical Council
Survey of 88 large employers suggest that
they’re willing to adopt alternatives and don’t find the incentives
totally aligned
33
The impending Drug Supply Chain Security Act
opens an opportunity for Amazon to create an
FBA for drug manufacturers
Cardinal Health
34
Could Amazon get a manufacturing pharmacy
license? UPS is already moving in this direction
"As a repackager, [UPS is] not just taking the product as it is from
the manufacturer. It's being able to the product and individualize it
and split it up into different units. Becoming an FDA-registered
relabeler means UPS now has the ability to take products from a
manufacturer, relabel them, and sell under their own label or brand.
Because of FDA requirements, we will soon know what UPS will
relabel, as each FDA registrant must list each drug that it
manufactures, repacks, relabels, or salvages for commercial
distribution.“ - Nicodemo Fiorentino, a drug supply chain and
compliance attorney
Supply Chain Dive
35
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Claims Administration
and Health Benefits
Management
36Tech Tamma
Medical billing is
complicated
The lifecycle of a claim
sees many steps with
various middlemen (e.g.
clearinghouses) and lacks
standardization. The
process is also slow –
laws are in place to
prevent claims from
taking more than 30-45
days.
37
Better claims
processor =
better CX
Oscar has spent the last
few years building its own
modern claims
processing system. This
allows it to do things like
pay doctors more for
working peak hours like
evenings and weekends,
or give members a clearer
sense for how much
procedures or tests will
cost them.
3838
“When we started Collective Health, we thought we would partner with a TPA [Third Party Administrator] to handle
the ‘boring’ part around claims adjudication - which is a small - but important - part of what we do. We went around
the country to meet with dozens of TPAs, but we quickly realized the technology at the core of these businesses
wasn’t capable of powering the transformation in the healthcare experience for members and employers we were
creating.
We eliminated common frustrations by rebuilding the healthcare experience with modern technology. This has
allowed us to build a unique and drastically improved member experience and has allowed us to give employers the
tools to intelligently and easily manage their health plans.”
Rajaie Batniji,
Co-founder of Collective Health
C O L L E C T I V E H E A L T H E S C H E W S T P A S F O R C U S T O M E R E X P E R I E N C E
Quora
3939
Grand Challenge is also working with AWS on a project, internally dubbed Hera, which involves taking
unstructured data from electronic medical records to identify an incorrect code or the misdiagnosis of a
patient. The technology captures patient data that a physician may miss, and can help remove the
inaccuracies for insurers as they assess a population's risk.
Grand Challenge is starting to pitch Hera, which has been in development for at least three years, to
commercial health insurance companies, according to two people familiar with the effort.
I S A M A Z O N P L A N N I N G T O B U I L D
I T S O W N C L A I M S P R O C E S S O R / C L E A R I N G H O U S E ?
40
A Benefits
Marketplace
Once Amazon sets up a
system that handles the
messy back-end for both
employers and healthcare
service providers, it can
set up a benefits
marketplace that removes
the payments and
coordination hassle for
both parties. This
platform + back-end-as-a-
service play has worked
for it in e-commerce.
Cost of genetic testing
Pharmacies
Lab testing centers
PCP/Urgent Care
Wellness benefits
Etc.
Employer A
Employer B
Employer C
Employer D
Employer E
Claims Administration,
Payment, Scheduling, etc.
41
Amazon could offer stop-loss insurance via
Berkshire Hathaway
Stop-loss insurance helps to protect self-insured employers
from catastrophe scenarios. Berkshire’s specialty insurance
subsidiary announced its medical stop-loss division in 2016.
This playbook looks similar to what Collective Health
has done with Sun Life Financial, which also offers
stop-loss insurance.
42
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Amazon and
Medicare/Medicaid
Management
43
Amazon Prime has low penetration/higher
growth prospects in low income and older
populations
Recode, Prosper Insights
44
Medicaid + Medicare + Dual Eligible Patients
• There are 52M+ Medicare beneficiaries,
71M+ Medicaid beneficiaries, and 10M+
dual eligibles
• Medicare and Medicaid spend topped
$1.3T in 2017
• Spend is concentrated in sickest 10% of
patients
• Biggest issues are lifestyle
management, coordination across
diseases, and consistency in access to
care
Macpac, Kaiser Family Foundation
45
Expansion of
coverage
CMS plans to expand its
definition of health-
related benefits that
Medicare Advantage
plans can cover. This
could include healthy
groceries, air conditioners
for people with asthma,
non-emergency medical
transportation, and more.
Telemedicine-only visits
are also slowly making
their way into Medicare
reimbursement.
CMS, Healthcare IT News
“As part of today’s announcement and guidance, the agency is reinterpreting the
standards for health-related supplemental benefits in the Medicare Advantage program
to include additional services that increase health and improve quality of life, including
coverage of non-skilled in-home supports and other assistive devices. CMS is expanding
the definition of ‘primarily health related.’ Under the new definition, the agency will
allow supplemental benefits if they compensate for physical impairments, diminish the
impact of injuries or health conditions, and/or reduce avoidable emergency room
utilization.”
"Under this proposal, Medicare will start paying for virtual check-ins, meaning patients
can connect with their doctor by phone or video chat…Many times this type of check-in
will resolve patient concerns in a convenient manner that gets them the care that they
need and avoids unnecessary cost to the system. This is a big issue for our elderly and
disabled populations where transportation can be a burden to care as well as to
caregivers. We’re not intending to replace office visits but rather to augment them and
provide new access points for patients.“ – Seema Verma, CMS Administrator
Expanding definition of primary care
Covering telemedicine visits
4646
Can Amazon leverage its relationship
with members at home to become a
Medicaid/Medicare manager?
47
Not a joke
"Something...we've been building for some
period of time and we deeply care about...
relates to what happens to older
people…We have looked at the older
population in the context of health... and
we know this group has a lot of issues and
unmet needs.”
-Babak Parviz, Amazon’s vice president of
special projects
Amazon in talks with AARP
CNBC
SNL does a skit for the Amazon Echo Silver
48
Amazon Prime +
Medicaid
Amazon has begun its
outreach to Medicaid
beneficiaries by offering
Amazon Prime for the
discounted rate for
$5.99/month. At the
moment, it doesn’t give
any discounts for Amazon
Fresh or Prime Pantry, but
is a possibility if it works
with Medicaid carriers.
Members do get
discounts for Amazon
Family, though.
49
Amazon can use meal tailoring to boost its
Amazon Fresh and Pantry businesses
Health Affairs
50
Can Amazon
leverage the
Echo?
As the smart home race
heats up, can Amazon
turn the Echo from a nice-
to-have to a necessity for
Medicaid/Medicare
patients? By adding
healthcare functionality, it
can increase the utility for
existing Echo users. It
could potentially also get
subsidies from carriers,
especially since the new
Echo products have
cameras.
51
Amazon potentially looking at HIPAA
compliance for Alexa
Was removed after reporters saw the listing
GeekWire 51
52
The Echo can help manage home care
Alexa for monitoring and adherence Amazon + telemedicine?
CB Insights, JPMorgan Chase
Echo could monitor medication adherence.
The company could also monitor for falls,
and already has patents for monitoring blood
flow.
“We will be hiring a strong management team to
start working on some of these critical problems
and issues:
• Empowering employees to make better choices
and have the best options available by owning
their own healthcare data with access to
excellent telemedicine options, where more
consumer-driven health initiatives can help.
• Developing better wellness programs,
particularly around obesity and smoking — they
account for approximately 25% of chronic
diseases (e.g., cancer, stroke, heart disease and
depression).”
-Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEO
Amazon could use the Echo as a medium of
communication for caregivers, coaches, digital
therapeutics companies, family members, or
potentially even physicians.
52
53
The Echo can help manage home care
Allows seniors to verbally report
medical data, get exercise and
adherence reminders, call a
caregiver, and coordinate transport
Development of Third-Party Alexa Apps
54
Amazon bring in ex-Iora Health executive
55
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Amazon for Providers
56
Administrative
overhead has
exploded
The healthcare system is
continuing to throw more
humans into the mix,
increasing administrative
costs and middlemen
layers. There are different
potential reasons for the
explosion of
administrators, but many
point to the onerous
regulatory requirements
that require extensive
tracking and coordination.
Athenahealth
5757
Can Amazon revamp the IT
infrastructure and interface at
hospitals/clinics to reduce the admin
overhead?
58
Potential strategy to get into providers
A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T
B A C K W A R D S I N T E G R A T E
I N T O E X I S T I N G
S Y S T E M S
A G G R E G A T E U S E R S
W I T H A B E T T E R U S E R
I N T E R F A C E
S L O W L Y R E P L A C E A L L
F U N C T I O N S O F T H E
S Y S T E M A N D B E C O M E
T H E P R E F E R R E D B A C K -
E N D + P L A T F O R M
1 2 3
5959
Example 1: Using Alexa to integrate
and become the electronic medical
record (EMR)
60
A case study…
• Premier Health, a medical network of
five hospitals and two major health
centers spent as much as $1.6M to
implement voice recognition software
integrated with an electronic medical
records system from Epic Systems
Corp
• The software reduced “clicking fatigue”
by 90 minutes a day for doctors
• Estimated first year savings on labor
and productivity are $1.3M
Digital Commerce 360
6161
"We definitely need to make that transition into the HIPAA-
compliant framework before we can build out fully-enabled
skills that have all the patient's health information on demand.
"I'd say there's definitely a future vision of voice being able
to drive a lot of the interface or interactions that clinicians
have with the medical record and other reference data sets
around patient information, just because it's such a deep
amount of information you have to process about a
patient…Pulling those things via voice commands is really
powerful and I think that's probably the future of voice in
healthcare.“
-Matt Murphy, ex-Digital Health Innovation Lead at Boston’s
Children’s Hospital
A L E X A I S E N T E R I N G T H E H O S P I T A L
MDDI Online
62
Can Alexa help rebuild the EMR?
A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T
63
Suki is a virtual scribe that can input
data into the EMR via voice. Alexa could
potentially do something similar, and in
the process build the pipes into its own
EMR offering.
Select Investors
Social Capital, Venrock, First Round
Capital
C O M P A N I E S W O R K I N G O N V O I C E + E M R S
Funding
$20M
S I M I L A R C O M P A N I E S
6464
Example 2: Amazon becoming the
new medical supply ordering system
65
Hospital supply chains are expensive and
middleman heavy
A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T
Navigant
Manufacturer Distributor Group Purchasing Organization
(GPO)
Hospital
Hospitals spend
approximately 30% of
operating expense on
supply chain with that
number expected to
increase
66
Amazon
Business
Amazon’s B2B division
offers low-risk commodity
products that don’t
require a specific supply
chain (e.g. cold chain).
This includes
stethoscopes, gloves, etc.
Amazon has more
success with smaller
clinics than large
hospitals, which have
stakes in GPOs and can
get all their products from
existing distributors.
6767
"We gave [Amazon] a piece of our supply
chain to see whether they could get us
better pricing and the answer to that was
no."
R E L Y I N G O N S I Z E / D I S C O U N T S W I L L N O T W O R K F O R A M A Z O N I N I T I A L L Y
Healthcare Dive
Steven Corwin,
CEO of New York Presbyterian
6868
Amazon Business claims a number of their healthcare customers have
seen their labor costs cut by more than half — and it's not just big hospitals
they are going after
.
“When an employee sits down at work, and they see Amazon, they
already know exactly what to do — they don’t even need to be trained…
The procurement tools often feed back into an ERP (enterprise resource
plan) or financial system that has a very standardized general ledger
that does really well when it’s a repeat order, but isn’t very good at
anything new,” Holt said. “We’ve been building technology to integrate
backwards into all of these systems, even to enable EDI (electronic data
interchange) transactions,” allowing Amazon's system to fully interact
with the healthcare system’s.”
N E W M E T R I C S : P R O D U C T I V I T Y , I N T E R F A C E , A N D B E T T E R P R O C U R E M E N T
Chris Holt, Global Healthcare at Amazon
Healthcare Dive
69
First improve
efficiency, then
introduce the
marketplace
If Amazon can bring on
customers with the
promise of better usability
and improved efficiency,
it can eventually use that
as a lever to get more
systems onto its
marketplace, and increase
the number of suppliers
for customers.
70
Amazon could also go the consumer route for
medical device delivery and monitoring
CNBC
The physician can order all the
supplies the patient
needs directly for the patient
powered by Amazon
7171
[Whole Foods CEO, John Mackey’s] second idea is even more grandiose: a Whole Foods medical clinic.
He says he was inspired by Rosen Care, an employer health-care program run by Rosen Hotels & Resorts
in Orlando, which offers employees an on-site company-owned medical facility. The clinic has a staff of
38 health-care practitioners serving 5,300 employees and places an emphasis on nutrition and preventive
medicine, which company founder Harris Rosen says has reduced his per-employee health-care costs to
about half the national average. Mackey met Rosen at a health-care conference last summer in Las
Vegas, then traveled to Florida to tour the clinic. He’s considering rolling out Whole Foods clinics to
employees—and even, perhaps, to customers.
A M A Z O N B E C O M E S T H E P R O V I D E R : W I L L C L I N I C S E N T E R W H O L E F O O D S ?
Bloomberg
72
A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E
Amazon in the Lab
73Forbes
The cloud wars
are heating up
Amazon, Microsoft,
Google, and many other
large tech companies are
competing in their
offering of cloud services.
Several of these
companies see healthcare
as a high growth area due
to the vast amount of
data that’s being
produced and the need for
high performance
computing to make sense
of it.
74
With the investment in GRAIL, Amazon is
getting a customer and a case study
74
75
AWS frameworks are going to expand across
healthcare, with a focus in genomics due to the
growth in datasets and applications
75
7676
Potential next steps:
Amazon offers a lab-as-a-service
back end and a platform for other
goods and services for researchers
77
Amazon can drop the cost for small labs the
same way AWS did for tech startups
Outsourced services to
clinical research
organizations (CROs)
become a major cost
component as companies
scale.
Perlara Open Finances
9%
Lab Supplies
20%
CRO
29%
Wages
13%
Taxes
14%
Overhead
15%
Other
Perlara PBC’s 2016 expense report
Amazon can facilitate
the market place for
these companies to
compare and shop for
services
11%
Lab Supplies
23%
Wages
8%
Service
Providers
42%
Capital
Equipment
9%
Screening
Compounds
7%
Other
Perlara PBC’s 2014 expense report
Large fixed costs in the
form of capital
equipment exist for
early stage biotech
startups
Amazon can
outsource those
fixed costs, similar
to what it did with
datacenters for
AWS
78
Transcriptic operates an outsourced
robotic lab. You send in your samples,
run your assays, and it sends back raw
and analyzed data. Amazon could build
or acquire something similar to lower
the equipment cost for small labs.
Select Investors
Data Collective, Y Combinator, Google
Ventures
T H E O U T S O U R C E D L A B
Funding
$26M
S I M I L A R C O M P A N I E S
79
Amazon can facilitate the marketplace for other
services as well
AWS marketplace Marketplace for other CRO services
79
80
Can Amazon recreate this for the lab?
Both Sides Of The Table
$5,000,000
$500,000
$50,000 $5,000
2000 2005 2009 2011
Cloud + AWS
Amazon can allow small labs to outsource fixed costs to them while also building a marketplace
and finding future AWS clients through the process
Costs to launch an internet tech startup (approximately)
Open source + horizontal
scaling
Developers start
companies
81
Questions?
Twitter: @nikillinit
nkrishnan@cbinsights.com
82
The CB Insights platform has the
underlying data included in this report
W H E R E I S A L L T H I S D A T A F R O M ?
CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR FREE
83
cbinsights.com
@cbinsights
Nikhil Krishnan
nkrishnan@cbinsights.com

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Cb insights amazon-in-healthcare-briefing

  • 1. 1 How the tech giant is attacking the healthcare space Amazon in Healthcare
  • 2. 2 The presentation will also be sent to you. Feel free to share with colleagues. The resolution of some slides may be suboptimal due to the webinar software. Those slides will look fine in the presentation that we send you. Briefing recording will be distributed http://support.citrixonline.com/en_US/Webinar W I T H I N 2 4 H O U R S
  • 3. 33 @cbinsights @nikillinit #amazonhealth J O I N T H E C O N V E R S A T I O N O N T W I T T E R
  • 4. 4 W H O W E A R E The technology market intelligence platform. CB Insights software lets you predict, discuss, and communicate emerging technology trends using data in ways that are beyond human cognition. We are a leader in the Expert Automation & Augmentation Software (EAAS) space.
  • 5. 5 T R U S T E D B Y T H E W O R L D ’ S L E A D I N G C O M P A N I E S “We use CB Insights to find emerging trends and interesting companies that might signal a shift in technology or require us to reallocate resources.” Beti Cung, Corporate Strategy, Microsoft
  • 6. 6 I N D U S T R Y - S C A L E S U M M I T S C L I E N T - O N L Y E V E N T SP E E R - T O - P E E R N E T W O R K The CBI Community — Membership Has Benefits DEMO DAY
  • 7. 7 Nikhil Krishnan A B O U T T H E A N A L Y S T Nikhil Krishnan is a senior analyst at CB Insights, where he produces data- driven analysis and research reports on trends in digital health and healthcare broadly. He sends the weekly Digital Health Insights newsletter to 55K+ members. His research has been featured in The Economist, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and more. Most popular analyses by Nikhil: Oscar Health Insurance Strategy Teardown Apple In Healthcare Google In Healthcare @nikillinit | nkrishnan@cbinsights.com Senior Analyst
  • 8. 8 Contents - - Advantages, Philosophy, and Approach Where Amazon Should Enter Healthcare Amazon, the Pharmacy Claims Administration and Health Benefits Management Amazon and Medicare/Medicaid management Amazon for Providers Amazon in the Lab - - - - -
  • 9. 9 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Advantages, Philosophy, and Approach
  • 10. 10 Some of the trends Amazon is riding Generics are a bigger and bigger part of prescription drug shareMore employers are self-insuring More people have high-deductible plans Administrative overhead has exploded Wall Street Journal, Optum, Kaiser Family Foundation, Athenahealth
  • 11. 11 Amazon has a lot of non-healthcare revenue Amazon clearly has cash and a growing revenue stream that it can use to invest in healthcare. More importantly, this means that Amazon doesn’t need to make money on their healthcare ventures, and can instead use it to make its ecosystem and Prime membership more valuable. Amazon’s cash and revenue over time Amazon income and balance sheet, 2015 - 2017
  • 12. 12 Amazon has a large testing ground and aggregated consumer demand 1.2M employees between Amazon-JPM-Berkshire 5M estimated sellers on Amazon 2020 TechCrunch, Enterpreneur 310M Active Customers (100M Prime Members)
  • 13. 13NPS Benchmarks People like Amazon Amazon is entering the healthcare with an edge that existing companies in the space don’t have – brand. As Amazon aims to create a consumer- driven healthcare initiative, it’ll be hard for existing incumbents to shed that brand and internal company ethos. 62 12 Amazon Health Insurance (average) Amazon’s NPS is much higher than that of health incumbents
  • 14. 14 The logistics infrastructure – Amazon can get things to you quickly 2020 Bloomberg, Business Insider
  • 15. 15 Amazon = platform + back end infrastructure for business Fulfillment By Amazon handles delivery, inventory management, and customer returns AWS handles datacenter management and associated cloud services
  • 16. 16 Amazon’s playbook 1. Invest in large, upfront, fixed cost aspects of a business (e.g warehouses, data centers) 2. Bring standardization to messy, unstructured, and fragmented back-office functions (e.g. logistics) 3. Add transparency and a platform for companies to distribute goods and services Companies can focus on their core competencies and outsource the rest to Amazon
  • 17. 1717 “I have devoted my public health career to building scalable solutions for better healthcare delivery that are saving lives, reducing suffering, and eliminating wasteful spending both in the US and across the world. Now I have the backing of these remarkable organizations to pursue this mission with even greater impact for more than a million people, and in doing so incubate better models of care for all. This work will take time but must be done. The system is broken, and better is possible.” Atul Gawande, CEO of Amazon-JPMorgan-Berkshire Health Initiative A T U L G A W A N D E : F O C U S E S O N S T A N D A R D I Z A T I O N A N D S C A L A B I L I T Y
  • 18. 1818 “Reinventing medical care could produce hundreds of innovations. Some may be as simple as giving patients greater e-mail and online support from their clinicians, which would enable timelier advice and reduce the need for emergency-room visits. Others might involve smartphone apps for coaching the chronically ill in the management of their disease, new methods for getting advice from specialists, sophisticated systems for tracking outcomes and costs, and instant delivery to medical teams of up- to-date care protocols. Innovations could take a system that requires sixty-three clinicians for a knee replacement and knock the number down by half or more.” Atul Gawande, CEO of Amazon-JPMorgan-Berkshire Health Initiative A T U L G A W A N D E ’ S R O A D M A P ?
  • 19. 1919 Who’s at risk? • Middlemen that are value extractors and have large profit margins • Companies that focus on formatting or coordinating information • Areas where customer experience has been an afterthought • Companies that have relied on opaque pricing as a business model
  • 20. 20 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Amazon, the Pharmacy
  • 21. 21 The pharmaceutical supply chain is convoluted Drug Channels
  • 22. 22 And the middlemen take a healthy amount Wall Street Journal
  • 23. 23 Can Amazon shift this model? Wall Street Journal
  • 24. 24St. Louis Post Dispatch Amazon goes for the wholesale licenses first Amazon reportedly received approval for wholesale pharmacy licenses in 12 states. Original speculation was that this was going to be used for business-to- business selling since Amazon still didn’t have pharmacy licenses. However…
  • 25. 25 Amazon acquires PillPack, with pharmacy licenses in all 50 states
  • 26. 26 PillPack’s PharmacyOS looks similar to the Fulfilled By Amazon/AWS platform model
  • 27. 27 The pharma supply chain did not react well to this acquisition…
  • 28. 2828 Potential next steps: Fill out the rest of the pharma supply chain and expand offering to self-insured employers and smaller health plans
  • 29. 29Consumer Reports Cash paying customers are an easy first target While cash paying customers are a small percentage of the population, there is a wide disparity in how much the same goods can cost across pharmacies. In some cases, these cash deals can be even cheaper than thorugh health insurers, and it bypasses PBMs. Prices for cash paying customers for a basket of drugs
  • 30. 30Fortune Build out retail pharmacies for same day delivery While PillPack is great for regular medication users with predictable schedules, Amazon needs to complement that with quicker delivery. It can do this by building out pharmacies/delivery hubs in Whole Foods as well as partner with independent pharmacies.
  • 31. 31 Offer negotiated rates to self- insured employers Amazon can offer employers and small health plans the pharmacy benefits that PBMs traditionally provide (aggregate leverage to provide discounts, access to pharmacies for medications, etc.) Self-Insured Employer Health Plan PBM Contracts for medical benefits/ physician network Option 1: Contract with PBM directly for pharmacy benefits Option 2: Health Plan sub- contracts with PBM to include pharmacy benefits
  • 32. 32 Do employers want to use PBMs? National Pharmaceutical Council Survey of 88 large employers suggest that they’re willing to adopt alternatives and don’t find the incentives totally aligned
  • 33. 33 The impending Drug Supply Chain Security Act opens an opportunity for Amazon to create an FBA for drug manufacturers Cardinal Health
  • 34. 34 Could Amazon get a manufacturing pharmacy license? UPS is already moving in this direction "As a repackager, [UPS is] not just taking the product as it is from the manufacturer. It's being able to the product and individualize it and split it up into different units. Becoming an FDA-registered relabeler means UPS now has the ability to take products from a manufacturer, relabel them, and sell under their own label or brand. Because of FDA requirements, we will soon know what UPS will relabel, as each FDA registrant must list each drug that it manufactures, repacks, relabels, or salvages for commercial distribution.“ - Nicodemo Fiorentino, a drug supply chain and compliance attorney Supply Chain Dive
  • 35. 35 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Claims Administration and Health Benefits Management
  • 36. 36Tech Tamma Medical billing is complicated The lifecycle of a claim sees many steps with various middlemen (e.g. clearinghouses) and lacks standardization. The process is also slow – laws are in place to prevent claims from taking more than 30-45 days.
  • 37. 37 Better claims processor = better CX Oscar has spent the last few years building its own modern claims processing system. This allows it to do things like pay doctors more for working peak hours like evenings and weekends, or give members a clearer sense for how much procedures or tests will cost them.
  • 38. 3838 “When we started Collective Health, we thought we would partner with a TPA [Third Party Administrator] to handle the ‘boring’ part around claims adjudication - which is a small - but important - part of what we do. We went around the country to meet with dozens of TPAs, but we quickly realized the technology at the core of these businesses wasn’t capable of powering the transformation in the healthcare experience for members and employers we were creating. We eliminated common frustrations by rebuilding the healthcare experience with modern technology. This has allowed us to build a unique and drastically improved member experience and has allowed us to give employers the tools to intelligently and easily manage their health plans.” Rajaie Batniji, Co-founder of Collective Health C O L L E C T I V E H E A L T H E S C H E W S T P A S F O R C U S T O M E R E X P E R I E N C E Quora
  • 39. 3939 Grand Challenge is also working with AWS on a project, internally dubbed Hera, which involves taking unstructured data from electronic medical records to identify an incorrect code or the misdiagnosis of a patient. The technology captures patient data that a physician may miss, and can help remove the inaccuracies for insurers as they assess a population's risk. Grand Challenge is starting to pitch Hera, which has been in development for at least three years, to commercial health insurance companies, according to two people familiar with the effort. I S A M A Z O N P L A N N I N G T O B U I L D I T S O W N C L A I M S P R O C E S S O R / C L E A R I N G H O U S E ?
  • 40. 40 A Benefits Marketplace Once Amazon sets up a system that handles the messy back-end for both employers and healthcare service providers, it can set up a benefits marketplace that removes the payments and coordination hassle for both parties. This platform + back-end-as-a- service play has worked for it in e-commerce. Cost of genetic testing Pharmacies Lab testing centers PCP/Urgent Care Wellness benefits Etc. Employer A Employer B Employer C Employer D Employer E Claims Administration, Payment, Scheduling, etc.
  • 41. 41 Amazon could offer stop-loss insurance via Berkshire Hathaway Stop-loss insurance helps to protect self-insured employers from catastrophe scenarios. Berkshire’s specialty insurance subsidiary announced its medical stop-loss division in 2016. This playbook looks similar to what Collective Health has done with Sun Life Financial, which also offers stop-loss insurance.
  • 42. 42 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Amazon and Medicare/Medicaid Management
  • 43. 43 Amazon Prime has low penetration/higher growth prospects in low income and older populations Recode, Prosper Insights
  • 44. 44 Medicaid + Medicare + Dual Eligible Patients • There are 52M+ Medicare beneficiaries, 71M+ Medicaid beneficiaries, and 10M+ dual eligibles • Medicare and Medicaid spend topped $1.3T in 2017 • Spend is concentrated in sickest 10% of patients • Biggest issues are lifestyle management, coordination across diseases, and consistency in access to care Macpac, Kaiser Family Foundation
  • 45. 45 Expansion of coverage CMS plans to expand its definition of health- related benefits that Medicare Advantage plans can cover. This could include healthy groceries, air conditioners for people with asthma, non-emergency medical transportation, and more. Telemedicine-only visits are also slowly making their way into Medicare reimbursement. CMS, Healthcare IT News “As part of today’s announcement and guidance, the agency is reinterpreting the standards for health-related supplemental benefits in the Medicare Advantage program to include additional services that increase health and improve quality of life, including coverage of non-skilled in-home supports and other assistive devices. CMS is expanding the definition of ‘primarily health related.’ Under the new definition, the agency will allow supplemental benefits if they compensate for physical impairments, diminish the impact of injuries or health conditions, and/or reduce avoidable emergency room utilization.” "Under this proposal, Medicare will start paying for virtual check-ins, meaning patients can connect with their doctor by phone or video chat…Many times this type of check-in will resolve patient concerns in a convenient manner that gets them the care that they need and avoids unnecessary cost to the system. This is a big issue for our elderly and disabled populations where transportation can be a burden to care as well as to caregivers. We’re not intending to replace office visits but rather to augment them and provide new access points for patients.“ – Seema Verma, CMS Administrator Expanding definition of primary care Covering telemedicine visits
  • 46. 4646 Can Amazon leverage its relationship with members at home to become a Medicaid/Medicare manager?
  • 47. 47 Not a joke "Something...we've been building for some period of time and we deeply care about... relates to what happens to older people…We have looked at the older population in the context of health... and we know this group has a lot of issues and unmet needs.” -Babak Parviz, Amazon’s vice president of special projects Amazon in talks with AARP CNBC SNL does a skit for the Amazon Echo Silver
  • 48. 48 Amazon Prime + Medicaid Amazon has begun its outreach to Medicaid beneficiaries by offering Amazon Prime for the discounted rate for $5.99/month. At the moment, it doesn’t give any discounts for Amazon Fresh or Prime Pantry, but is a possibility if it works with Medicaid carriers. Members do get discounts for Amazon Family, though.
  • 49. 49 Amazon can use meal tailoring to boost its Amazon Fresh and Pantry businesses Health Affairs
  • 50. 50 Can Amazon leverage the Echo? As the smart home race heats up, can Amazon turn the Echo from a nice- to-have to a necessity for Medicaid/Medicare patients? By adding healthcare functionality, it can increase the utility for existing Echo users. It could potentially also get subsidies from carriers, especially since the new Echo products have cameras.
  • 51. 51 Amazon potentially looking at HIPAA compliance for Alexa Was removed after reporters saw the listing GeekWire 51
  • 52. 52 The Echo can help manage home care Alexa for monitoring and adherence Amazon + telemedicine? CB Insights, JPMorgan Chase Echo could monitor medication adherence. The company could also monitor for falls, and already has patents for monitoring blood flow. “We will be hiring a strong management team to start working on some of these critical problems and issues: • Empowering employees to make better choices and have the best options available by owning their own healthcare data with access to excellent telemedicine options, where more consumer-driven health initiatives can help. • Developing better wellness programs, particularly around obesity and smoking — they account for approximately 25% of chronic diseases (e.g., cancer, stroke, heart disease and depression).” -Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEO Amazon could use the Echo as a medium of communication for caregivers, coaches, digital therapeutics companies, family members, or potentially even physicians. 52
  • 53. 53 The Echo can help manage home care Allows seniors to verbally report medical data, get exercise and adherence reminders, call a caregiver, and coordinate transport Development of Third-Party Alexa Apps
  • 54. 54 Amazon bring in ex-Iora Health executive
  • 55. 55 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Amazon for Providers
  • 56. 56 Administrative overhead has exploded The healthcare system is continuing to throw more humans into the mix, increasing administrative costs and middlemen layers. There are different potential reasons for the explosion of administrators, but many point to the onerous regulatory requirements that require extensive tracking and coordination. Athenahealth
  • 57. 5757 Can Amazon revamp the IT infrastructure and interface at hospitals/clinics to reduce the admin overhead?
  • 58. 58 Potential strategy to get into providers A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T B A C K W A R D S I N T E G R A T E I N T O E X I S T I N G S Y S T E M S A G G R E G A T E U S E R S W I T H A B E T T E R U S E R I N T E R F A C E S L O W L Y R E P L A C E A L L F U N C T I O N S O F T H E S Y S T E M A N D B E C O M E T H E P R E F E R R E D B A C K - E N D + P L A T F O R M 1 2 3
  • 59. 5959 Example 1: Using Alexa to integrate and become the electronic medical record (EMR)
  • 60. 60 A case study… • Premier Health, a medical network of five hospitals and two major health centers spent as much as $1.6M to implement voice recognition software integrated with an electronic medical records system from Epic Systems Corp • The software reduced “clicking fatigue” by 90 minutes a day for doctors • Estimated first year savings on labor and productivity are $1.3M Digital Commerce 360
  • 61. 6161 "We definitely need to make that transition into the HIPAA- compliant framework before we can build out fully-enabled skills that have all the patient's health information on demand. "I'd say there's definitely a future vision of voice being able to drive a lot of the interface or interactions that clinicians have with the medical record and other reference data sets around patient information, just because it's such a deep amount of information you have to process about a patient…Pulling those things via voice commands is really powerful and I think that's probably the future of voice in healthcare.“ -Matt Murphy, ex-Digital Health Innovation Lead at Boston’s Children’s Hospital A L E X A I S E N T E R I N G T H E H O S P I T A L MDDI Online
  • 62. 62 Can Alexa help rebuild the EMR? A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T
  • 63. 63 Suki is a virtual scribe that can input data into the EMR via voice. Alexa could potentially do something similar, and in the process build the pipes into its own EMR offering. Select Investors Social Capital, Venrock, First Round Capital C O M P A N I E S W O R K I N G O N V O I C E + E M R S Funding $20M S I M I L A R C O M P A N I E S
  • 64. 6464 Example 2: Amazon becoming the new medical supply ordering system
  • 65. 65 Hospital supply chains are expensive and middleman heavy A M A Z O N + H E A L T H I T Navigant Manufacturer Distributor Group Purchasing Organization (GPO) Hospital Hospitals spend approximately 30% of operating expense on supply chain with that number expected to increase
  • 66. 66 Amazon Business Amazon’s B2B division offers low-risk commodity products that don’t require a specific supply chain (e.g. cold chain). This includes stethoscopes, gloves, etc. Amazon has more success with smaller clinics than large hospitals, which have stakes in GPOs and can get all their products from existing distributors.
  • 67. 6767 "We gave [Amazon] a piece of our supply chain to see whether they could get us better pricing and the answer to that was no." R E L Y I N G O N S I Z E / D I S C O U N T S W I L L N O T W O R K F O R A M A Z O N I N I T I A L L Y Healthcare Dive Steven Corwin, CEO of New York Presbyterian
  • 68. 6868 Amazon Business claims a number of their healthcare customers have seen their labor costs cut by more than half — and it's not just big hospitals they are going after . “When an employee sits down at work, and they see Amazon, they already know exactly what to do — they don’t even need to be trained… The procurement tools often feed back into an ERP (enterprise resource plan) or financial system that has a very standardized general ledger that does really well when it’s a repeat order, but isn’t very good at anything new,” Holt said. “We’ve been building technology to integrate backwards into all of these systems, even to enable EDI (electronic data interchange) transactions,” allowing Amazon's system to fully interact with the healthcare system’s.” N E W M E T R I C S : P R O D U C T I V I T Y , I N T E R F A C E , A N D B E T T E R P R O C U R E M E N T Chris Holt, Global Healthcare at Amazon Healthcare Dive
  • 69. 69 First improve efficiency, then introduce the marketplace If Amazon can bring on customers with the promise of better usability and improved efficiency, it can eventually use that as a lever to get more systems onto its marketplace, and increase the number of suppliers for customers.
  • 70. 70 Amazon could also go the consumer route for medical device delivery and monitoring CNBC The physician can order all the supplies the patient needs directly for the patient powered by Amazon
  • 71. 7171 [Whole Foods CEO, John Mackey’s] second idea is even more grandiose: a Whole Foods medical clinic. He says he was inspired by Rosen Care, an employer health-care program run by Rosen Hotels & Resorts in Orlando, which offers employees an on-site company-owned medical facility. The clinic has a staff of 38 health-care practitioners serving 5,300 employees and places an emphasis on nutrition and preventive medicine, which company founder Harris Rosen says has reduced his per-employee health-care costs to about half the national average. Mackey met Rosen at a health-care conference last summer in Las Vegas, then traveled to Florida to tour the clinic. He’s considering rolling out Whole Foods clinics to employees—and even, perhaps, to customers. A M A Z O N B E C O M E S T H E P R O V I D E R : W I L L C L I N I C S E N T E R W H O L E F O O D S ? Bloomberg
  • 72. 72 A M A Z O N I N H E A L T H C A R E Amazon in the Lab
  • 73. 73Forbes The cloud wars are heating up Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and many other large tech companies are competing in their offering of cloud services. Several of these companies see healthcare as a high growth area due to the vast amount of data that’s being produced and the need for high performance computing to make sense of it.
  • 74. 74 With the investment in GRAIL, Amazon is getting a customer and a case study 74
  • 75. 75 AWS frameworks are going to expand across healthcare, with a focus in genomics due to the growth in datasets and applications 75
  • 76. 7676 Potential next steps: Amazon offers a lab-as-a-service back end and a platform for other goods and services for researchers
  • 77. 77 Amazon can drop the cost for small labs the same way AWS did for tech startups Outsourced services to clinical research organizations (CROs) become a major cost component as companies scale. Perlara Open Finances 9% Lab Supplies 20% CRO 29% Wages 13% Taxes 14% Overhead 15% Other Perlara PBC’s 2016 expense report Amazon can facilitate the market place for these companies to compare and shop for services 11% Lab Supplies 23% Wages 8% Service Providers 42% Capital Equipment 9% Screening Compounds 7% Other Perlara PBC’s 2014 expense report Large fixed costs in the form of capital equipment exist for early stage biotech startups Amazon can outsource those fixed costs, similar to what it did with datacenters for AWS
  • 78. 78 Transcriptic operates an outsourced robotic lab. You send in your samples, run your assays, and it sends back raw and analyzed data. Amazon could build or acquire something similar to lower the equipment cost for small labs. Select Investors Data Collective, Y Combinator, Google Ventures T H E O U T S O U R C E D L A B Funding $26M S I M I L A R C O M P A N I E S
  • 79. 79 Amazon can facilitate the marketplace for other services as well AWS marketplace Marketplace for other CRO services 79
  • 80. 80 Can Amazon recreate this for the lab? Both Sides Of The Table $5,000,000 $500,000 $50,000 $5,000 2000 2005 2009 2011 Cloud + AWS Amazon can allow small labs to outsource fixed costs to them while also building a marketplace and finding future AWS clients through the process Costs to launch an internet tech startup (approximately) Open source + horizontal scaling Developers start companies
  • 82. 82 The CB Insights platform has the underlying data included in this report W H E R E I S A L L T H I S D A T A F R O M ? CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR FREE