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TRENDS IN FISH AND SEAFOOD IN EUROPE
SEAFOOD EXPO GLOBAL – 20/04/2015
WIEBKE SCHOON, ANALYST, EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL
© Euromonitor International
2
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About Euromonitor International
EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL
London
Singapore
Shanghai
Dubai
Vilnius
Cape Town
Santiago
Tokyo
Sydney
Chicago
Bangalore
Sao Paulo
MARKET OVERVIEW
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
FUTURE OUTLOOK
© Euromonitor International
4
Fresh Fish and Seafood in Western Europe
MARKET OVERVIEW
Fresh Fish & Seafood
78% Fish 8% Crustaceans 14%
Molluscs and
Cephalopods
*Volume sales, Western Europe, 2014
© Euromonitor International
5
Industry statistics reports:
Production + Imports – Exports =
Apparent Consumption
Euromonitor tracks:
Total consumption by
end consumer
Apparent
consumption
Animal Feed
Wastage
Consumption
by farmers
Industrial
processing
EMI’s Fresh
Food volume
data
Euromonitor Fresh Food vs. Trade and Production Statistics
MARKET OVERVIEW
© Euromonitor International
6
Sales of Fresh Fish and Seafood in Western Europe in 2014
MARKET OVERVIEW
Western Europe
Total Volume Sales
5,869,000 tonnes
© Euromonitor International
7
What Are the Drivers for Consumption of Fish and Seafood?
MARKET OVERVIEW
Consumption of Fish
Financial crisis
– food budget
Health &
wellness
considerations
Demographic/
socioeconomic
changes
Education-
cooking skills
Distribution
?
© Euromonitor International
8
Fresh Fish and Seafood Volume Sales Decline Slowing Down
MARKET OVERVIEW
3200
3300
3400
3500
3600
3700
3800
3900
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Inthousandtonnes
Total Volume Size For Fresh Fish And Seafood In The Big 5
Western European Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
© Euromonitor International
9MARKET OVERVIEW
Fresh Fish and Seafood Consumption Remains Low
32.2
10.6
9.2 9.4
6.0
26.4
11.3
8.4 7.8
4.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Spain United
Kingdom
Italy Germany France
Percapitaconsumptioninkg
Per Capita Consumption in Kg per Person for the Big 5
Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
2009
2014
© Euromonitor International
10
Fresh Meat Consumption is Much Higher
MARKET OVERVIEW
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Germany France Spain Italy United
Kingdom
TotalVolumesales2014in‘000sTonnes
Fresh Meat vs Fresh Fish and Seafood 2014
Fresh Fish and Seafood
Fresh Meat
© Euromonitor International
11
Decline for Packaged Fish and Seafood Slowing Down
MARKET OVERVIEW
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Totalvolumesalesgrowth
Packaged Fish And Seafood Volume Growth For The Big 5
(DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
© Euromonitor International
12
Packaged Processed Fish Most Popular in Germany
MARKET OVERVIEW
52%
43%
24%
48%
36%
% Packaged fish of total (fresh and packaged) fish and seafood volume sales (excl. institutional sales)
© Euromonitor International
13
Fresh Fish Stronger in Western Europe Overall
MARKET OVERVIEW
61%
18%
7%
14%
Proportion of Fish And Seafood Sales by Format for the Big
5 Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
Fresh Fish and Seafood
Shelf Stable Fish and
Seafood
Chilled Processed Fish
and Seafood
Frozen Processsed Fish
and Seafood
Total volume sales:
5,382,000 tonnes (2014)
MARKET OVERVIEW
TRENDS IN FISH AND SEAFOOD
FUTURE OUTLOOK
© Euromonitor International
15TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
Ethical Labels Going Strong
Tuna Tuna Private LabelFish Fingers
MSC Line Caught Dolphin Safe
Friend of the
Sea
© Euromonitor International
16
Tracking Can Help Consumers with Responsible Consumption
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
© Euromonitor International
17
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
China Japan Australia United
Kingdom
Canada
%CAGR
US$million
Selected International Fish Oil/Omega Fatty Acid Supplement
Markets by Sales (US$, Retail Value Sales), 2014
2014 - Retail
value sales
2009-2014 %
CAGR
Fish Oil/Omega Fatty Acids Supplements Around the World
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
© Euromonitor International
18
Protein Intake Becoming Increasingly Important
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
© Euromonitor International
19
Convenience is the New Mantra for Packaging
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
Packaging can help reduce perceived
difficulty of preparing fish
In shelf stable fish and seafood, plastic
containers convey freshness and higher
quality
© Euromonitor International
20
The Impact of Distribution – Case Study Germany
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
Photo: Chilled fish refrigerator Lidl, Germany
48%
11%
41%
Proportions of Packaged Fish
and Seafood in Germany*
Shelf Stable Fish/Seafood
Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
*Percentage of total volume sales, 2014
MARKET OVERVIEW
TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
FUTURE OUTLOOK
© Euromonitor International
22
Fish and Seafood to Benefit from Economic Recovery
FUTURE OUTLOOK
-0.8%
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
volumegrowth
Forecast period 2015 - 2019
Forecast Volume Growth For The Big 5 Markets
(DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
Fresh fish and seafood
(including institutional sales)
Packaged fish and seafood
© Euromonitor International
23
Frozen Fish Drives Volume Growth in Packaged Fish and Seafood
FUTURE OUTLOOK
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
volumegrowth
Forecast Volume Growth For The Big 5 Markets By Category
Shelf Stable
Fish/Seafood
Chilled Processed
Fish/Seafood
Frozen Processed
Fish/Seafood
© Euromonitor International
24
Mixed Outlook for Fresh and Packaged Fish and Seafood
FUTURE OUTLOOK
-0.4
0.3
-0.5
-0.4
0.0
3.0
-1.2
-0.5
0.4
0.5
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
United Kingdom
Spain
Germany
France
Italy
2014-2019 CAGR %
2014 to 2019 volume % CAGR
Fresh Fish and
Seafood
Packaged Fish
and Seafood
© Euromonitor International
25
Five Key Takeaways: Success Factors for Fish and Seafood
FUTURE OUTLOOK
Improve
availability
Keep prices
affordable
Highlight
health benefits
Educate
consumers
Focus on
sustainability
© Euromonitor International
26
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
Wiebke Schoon| Research Analyst Food and Nutrition

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Trends in Fish and Seafood in Europe

  • 1. TRENDS IN FISH AND SEAFOOD IN EUROPE SEAFOOD EXPO GLOBAL – 20/04/2015 WIEBKE SCHOON, ANALYST, EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL
  • 2. © Euromonitor International 2 • Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence • 12 Regional offices - 800+ analysts in 80 countries • Cross-country comparable data and analysis • Consumer focused industries, countries and consumers • 5 - 10 year forecasts with matching trend analysis • All retail channels covered • Subscription services, reports and consulting About Euromonitor International EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL London Singapore Shanghai Dubai Vilnius Cape Town Santiago Tokyo Sydney Chicago Bangalore Sao Paulo
  • 3. MARKET OVERVIEW TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS FUTURE OUTLOOK
  • 4. © Euromonitor International 4 Fresh Fish and Seafood in Western Europe MARKET OVERVIEW Fresh Fish & Seafood 78% Fish 8% Crustaceans 14% Molluscs and Cephalopods *Volume sales, Western Europe, 2014
  • 5. © Euromonitor International 5 Industry statistics reports: Production + Imports – Exports = Apparent Consumption Euromonitor tracks: Total consumption by end consumer Apparent consumption Animal Feed Wastage Consumption by farmers Industrial processing EMI’s Fresh Food volume data Euromonitor Fresh Food vs. Trade and Production Statistics MARKET OVERVIEW
  • 6. © Euromonitor International 6 Sales of Fresh Fish and Seafood in Western Europe in 2014 MARKET OVERVIEW Western Europe Total Volume Sales 5,869,000 tonnes
  • 7. © Euromonitor International 7 What Are the Drivers for Consumption of Fish and Seafood? MARKET OVERVIEW Consumption of Fish Financial crisis – food budget Health & wellness considerations Demographic/ socioeconomic changes Education- cooking skills Distribution ?
  • 8. © Euromonitor International 8 Fresh Fish and Seafood Volume Sales Decline Slowing Down MARKET OVERVIEW 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 3800 3900 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Inthousandtonnes Total Volume Size For Fresh Fish And Seafood In The Big 5 Western European Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
  • 9. © Euromonitor International 9MARKET OVERVIEW Fresh Fish and Seafood Consumption Remains Low 32.2 10.6 9.2 9.4 6.0 26.4 11.3 8.4 7.8 4.9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Spain United Kingdom Italy Germany France Percapitaconsumptioninkg Per Capita Consumption in Kg per Person for the Big 5 Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK) 2009 2014
  • 10. © Euromonitor International 10 Fresh Meat Consumption is Much Higher MARKET OVERVIEW 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 Germany France Spain Italy United Kingdom TotalVolumesales2014in‘000sTonnes Fresh Meat vs Fresh Fish and Seafood 2014 Fresh Fish and Seafood Fresh Meat
  • 11. © Euromonitor International 11 Decline for Packaged Fish and Seafood Slowing Down MARKET OVERVIEW -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Totalvolumesalesgrowth Packaged Fish And Seafood Volume Growth For The Big 5 (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK)
  • 12. © Euromonitor International 12 Packaged Processed Fish Most Popular in Germany MARKET OVERVIEW 52% 43% 24% 48% 36% % Packaged fish of total (fresh and packaged) fish and seafood volume sales (excl. institutional sales)
  • 13. © Euromonitor International 13 Fresh Fish Stronger in Western Europe Overall MARKET OVERVIEW 61% 18% 7% 14% Proportion of Fish And Seafood Sales by Format for the Big 5 Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK) Fresh Fish and Seafood Shelf Stable Fish and Seafood Chilled Processed Fish and Seafood Frozen Processsed Fish and Seafood Total volume sales: 5,382,000 tonnes (2014)
  • 14. MARKET OVERVIEW TRENDS IN FISH AND SEAFOOD FUTURE OUTLOOK
  • 15. © Euromonitor International 15TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS Ethical Labels Going Strong Tuna Tuna Private LabelFish Fingers MSC Line Caught Dolphin Safe Friend of the Sea
  • 16. © Euromonitor International 16 Tracking Can Help Consumers with Responsible Consumption TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
  • 17. © Euromonitor International 17 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 China Japan Australia United Kingdom Canada %CAGR US$million Selected International Fish Oil/Omega Fatty Acid Supplement Markets by Sales (US$, Retail Value Sales), 2014 2014 - Retail value sales 2009-2014 % CAGR Fish Oil/Omega Fatty Acids Supplements Around the World TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
  • 18. © Euromonitor International 18 Protein Intake Becoming Increasingly Important TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
  • 19. © Euromonitor International 19 Convenience is the New Mantra for Packaging TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS Packaging can help reduce perceived difficulty of preparing fish In shelf stable fish and seafood, plastic containers convey freshness and higher quality
  • 20. © Euromonitor International 20 The Impact of Distribution – Case Study Germany TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS Photo: Chilled fish refrigerator Lidl, Germany 48% 11% 41% Proportions of Packaged Fish and Seafood in Germany* Shelf Stable Fish/Seafood Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood *Percentage of total volume sales, 2014
  • 21. MARKET OVERVIEW TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS FUTURE OUTLOOK
  • 22. © Euromonitor International 22 Fish and Seafood to Benefit from Economic Recovery FUTURE OUTLOOK -0.8% -0.6% -0.4% -0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 volumegrowth Forecast period 2015 - 2019 Forecast Volume Growth For The Big 5 Markets (DE, ES, FR, IT, UK) Fresh fish and seafood (including institutional sales) Packaged fish and seafood
  • 23. © Euromonitor International 23 Frozen Fish Drives Volume Growth in Packaged Fish and Seafood FUTURE OUTLOOK -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 volumegrowth Forecast Volume Growth For The Big 5 Markets By Category Shelf Stable Fish/Seafood Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
  • 24. © Euromonitor International 24 Mixed Outlook for Fresh and Packaged Fish and Seafood FUTURE OUTLOOK -0.4 0.3 -0.5 -0.4 0.0 3.0 -1.2 -0.5 0.4 0.5 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 United Kingdom Spain Germany France Italy 2014-2019 CAGR % 2014 to 2019 volume % CAGR Fresh Fish and Seafood Packaged Fish and Seafood
  • 25. © Euromonitor International 25 Five Key Takeaways: Success Factors for Fish and Seafood FUTURE OUTLOOK Improve availability Keep prices affordable Highlight health benefits Educate consumers Focus on sustainability
  • 26. © Euromonitor International 26 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING Wiebke Schoon| Research Analyst Food and Nutrition