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ExLPharma’s4th Clinical Supply Forecasting Summit Highlights April 13-14, 2010 Philadelphia, PA
Drug Supply and Use Optimal Techniques for Clinical Supply Forecasting and Making Better Use of Drug Supplies 2
Supply Plans Program vs. Study Level Various Factors Incorporated ,[object Object]
Drug Properties (e.g., shelf life, dosage form)
Supply Chain
Supplies Forecast
Packaging
Labeling
DistributionShould be comprehensive so that the clinical supply team has one place to access information 3
Clinical Supply Forecasting Program Level:  Set of studies planned for drug development When forecasting for a clinical program ,[object Object]
Lengthy Plans; years out (typically 3-4)
Studies will only have the most basic of details
Flexible – program will change over time
Due to the vagueness, may not be a good candidate for forecasting tools4
Clinical Supply Forecasting Study Level: Individual study or set of studies When forecasting for a study: ,[object Object]
Usually packing against a planned manufacture
Future oriented; but not quite as far into the future as a program
Still a need to be flexible; study events will change the course of supplies over time
Usually good candidates for forecasting tools5
Translating Clinical Requirements Factors Affecting Forecast Basics Number of Patients, Visits, Centers, Countries Drug / Packaging Properties Dosing / Component Restrictions Predictability  Recruitment Patient Need ,[object Object],6
Basics Number of Patients Obvious core of demand; a few items to look for  ,[object Object]
Patient Compliance
Recruitment
Drop out rateNumber of Visits 	Another obvious core of demand; visit windows can impact 	the packaging amounts needed in a study Number of Centers 	Each center that needs an initial shipment adds to the 	forecasted demand Number of Countries 	Every country with a local distribution depot adds to the 	demand due to loss in flexibility in supplies 7
Drug / Packaging Properties Component Restrictions Humidity conditions Availability / Limited Distributors of components (e.g., foil envelopes, blister pack plastic) Cold Chain Out of temperature shipments; need to pack more Dosing Restrictions Limits in available strengths to make up the dose can also add to the forecast – use of multple unit kits 8
Efficient and Fit for Purpose To lessen the amount forecasted, when possible Simple packaging Multi-protocol packaging Multi-language booklet labels Avoid expiration dates on the labels Ease ‘switch-out’ when replacing expiring stocks Bar-coding  Ease fulfilment (pick and pack) of orders The more flexible supplies are, the less overage is needed in the forecast 9
Why isn’t this always possible? Available strengths don’t match the dosing needed ,[object Object],e.g., if dose is determined by Body Surface 	Area (BSA), assumptions will need to 	include amounts for various types of 	patients thus adding to the forecast Stability program does not support packaging that would faciliate the distribution, compliance, etc. ,[object Object],10
Why isn’t this always possible? Components can limit the use of labels ,[object Object],Clinical system may not support the use of multiple-protocol packaging ,[object Object],11
Why isn’t this always possible? Regulatory concerns ,[object Object],Legal Restrictions ,[object Object]
Components used to handle a drug’s stability conditions (e.g., humidity) may not be capable of supporting the legal requirements (foil envelopes)12
Predictability Recruitment Predictability ,[object Object]
Screen failues, drop-outs and lengthy study times all affect the amount of drug needed
Country recruitment levels need to be accurate to support the forecast
Competitive recruitment impacts need as demand will fluctuate among participating markets
Faster enrolling countries lessen the demand need for those that are slower in recruiting
Late starts impact supply needs/plans13
Predictability ,[object Object],The more uncertainty there is of what type and how many kits patients need, more clinical supplies are needed and have to be added to the forecast ,[object Object]
Adaptive Randomizations

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Highlights from ExL Pharma's 4th Clinial Supply Forecasting Summit

  • 1. ExLPharma’s4th Clinical Supply Forecasting Summit Highlights April 13-14, 2010 Philadelphia, PA
  • 2. Drug Supply and Use Optimal Techniques for Clinical Supply Forecasting and Making Better Use of Drug Supplies 2
  • 3.
  • 4. Drug Properties (e.g., shelf life, dosage form)
  • 9. DistributionShould be comprehensive so that the clinical supply team has one place to access information 3
  • 10.
  • 11. Lengthy Plans; years out (typically 3-4)
  • 12. Studies will only have the most basic of details
  • 13. Flexible – program will change over time
  • 14. Due to the vagueness, may not be a good candidate for forecasting tools4
  • 15.
  • 16. Usually packing against a planned manufacture
  • 17. Future oriented; but not quite as far into the future as a program
  • 18. Still a need to be flexible; study events will change the course of supplies over time
  • 19. Usually good candidates for forecasting tools5
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 24. Drop out rateNumber of Visits Another obvious core of demand; visit windows can impact the packaging amounts needed in a study Number of Centers Each center that needs an initial shipment adds to the forecasted demand Number of Countries Every country with a local distribution depot adds to the demand due to loss in flexibility in supplies 7
  • 25. Drug / Packaging Properties Component Restrictions Humidity conditions Availability / Limited Distributors of components (e.g., foil envelopes, blister pack plastic) Cold Chain Out of temperature shipments; need to pack more Dosing Restrictions Limits in available strengths to make up the dose can also add to the forecast – use of multple unit kits 8
  • 26. Efficient and Fit for Purpose To lessen the amount forecasted, when possible Simple packaging Multi-protocol packaging Multi-language booklet labels Avoid expiration dates on the labels Ease ‘switch-out’ when replacing expiring stocks Bar-coding Ease fulfilment (pick and pack) of orders The more flexible supplies are, the less overage is needed in the forecast 9
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. Components used to handle a drug’s stability conditions (e.g., humidity) may not be capable of supporting the legal requirements (foil envelopes)12
  • 31.
  • 32. Screen failues, drop-outs and lengthy study times all affect the amount of drug needed
  • 33. Country recruitment levels need to be accurate to support the forecast
  • 34. Competitive recruitment impacts need as demand will fluctuate among participating markets
  • 35. Faster enrolling countries lessen the demand need for those that are slower in recruiting
  • 36. Late starts impact supply needs/plans13
  • 37.
  • 39. Center vs. Centralized Balancing14
  • 40. Have you used Pooled Supplies?
  • 41. What Does Pooling of Clinical Supplies Mean? Supplies that are primary packaged so that they can be used across multiple protocols Supplies that are primary packaged and labeled for multiple protocols and distributed for predetermined study Supplies that are primary packaged and labeled and distributed to allow for use across multiple protocols All of the Above
  • 42. Pooling Definition All of the above – Pooling Definition- use of an allocated pool of supplies that are uniquely labeled such that they can be used across sites within a protocol and across protocols within a program.
  • 43. Agenda What is Program Pooling Key Considerations in Executing an Effective Pooling Plan Uncovering what the Potential Cost Savings are to Clinical Supplies Working with Regulators to Ensure Complaint Pooling Activities Key Take Home Messages
  • 44. All pools are not created equal…
  • 45. What Does Pooling of Clinical Supplies Mean? Supplies that are primary packaged so that they can be used across multiple protocols Supplies that are primary packaged and labeled for multiple protocols and distributed for predetermined study Supplies that are primary packaged and labeled and distributed to allow for use across multiple protocols
  • 46. Pooling until Shipment Subject 1001 Protocol A, Site 1 Shipment Dispensing Protocol 1252 Protocol 1253 Protocol 1254 Container is commutable until shipment Labeling Options Protocol ID added to label when shipping (via ancillary label) All Protocol IDs associated with the pool on label, specify protocol when shipping (via circle or highlight) Container is “married” to the protocol and site at Shipment, System must be designed to capture protocol specificity for container at shipping Re-supply algorithm is protocol-specific IVRS system is not needed Protocol: 1253
  • 47.
  • 49. Umbrella Pool ID on Label
  • 50. If needed, Protocol ID added when Dispensing
  • 51. All Protocol IDs on Label, specify protocol when dispensing (via circle or highlight)
  • 52. Container is “married” to the site at shipment
  • 53. container is “married” to the protocol at dispensing
  • 54. Re-supply algorithm considers needs of all protocols running at site in poolAdvantageous when same sites are running multiple protocols in the pool
  • 55. Overview of Program Level Supplies A500 Pooled Supply A500_____________ (Program # on Label) Upon protocol approval IVR adds it to its list of “approved protocols for shipping studies” Study 1 Study n Study 2 Study 4 Study 5 Study 3 Site 1 Upon site approval IVR adds site to its list of “approved sites for dispensing” to the POOLED supplies Site 2 Site 3 Protocol number added manually to label at study sites AFTER IVR links container # and protocol # at the time of drug assignment Bottle Labels Labeled supplies ready to use in study
  • 57.
  • 58. Investigator specifies Protocol, Subject and Visit and system selects suitable container (i.e., container ID is “married” to Protocol ID at dispensing)
  • 59. Label can provide space to record or apply ancillary label with specific protocol ID upon dispensing, if deemed important
  • 60.
  • 61. Key Considerations Distribution / Labeling From which depot will the supplies for each country originate? What are the label requirements for each country? Are there additional unique labeling requirements?
  • 62. Common Logistical Concerns Alignment of invoices with shipping documents and import license. Multiple investigators at a single site without central pharmacy Proper interpretation of shipping documentation Clinical supply reconciliation Contractors seeking verification of any dossier updates prior to shipment.
  • 63. Other Pooling Challenges Regulatory Acceptability (pooling not well understood) Annex 13 (section 26) Local Laws Labeling options must be agreed to by each country in advance. May need to have separate pools due to differences in expiry dating or other labeling variations. IVR/IWR must be designed to support pooling approach
  • 65. Pooling Benefits Supply commutability translates to flexibility and responsiveness. Protocols can be ramp up rapidly using a pre-exiting pool New Protocols can be added to pool downstream (dependent on labeling approach) Fewer packaging & labeling campaigns to prepare and release. Generally will achieve some supply savings (reduction of waste)
  • 66. Where will you see a reduction in cost API Directly correlated with overall drug product savings Drug Product Demand quantities Packaging/labeling Campaigns Container types Containers Label Prints
  • 67. Where will you see a reduction in cost QA Decrease number of releases Distribution Number of shipments if multiple protocols at same site Value Added Tax (VAT) Time = money Takes Supply Chain off of critical path when clinical plan changes
  • 68. 4 protocols in pool, 2 dosage forms,35 countries, over 350 sites
  • 70. Partnering with Regulators Know your facts Regulation or interpretation Many countries look to Europe What have other companies done Ensure regulators understand and are comfortable with IVR technology Provide information on concept and controls associated with system High light benefits not in terms of cost but in terms of patient safety Present solutions to challenges Small steps can bring you to your goal Pilot one program Company specific waiver Resources ISPE
  • 71. Key Take Home Messages Pooling can be done many different ways There can be logistical and Importation Challenges but they can be overcome Pooling adds greater flexibility in your program Many benefits NOT just cost
  • 72. Still have any questions? For additional information on ExLPharma’s Clinical Supply Forecasting Summits, please visit www.exlpharma.com

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. BSA: speak to the example provided (use IPI)