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Data and Personalization:
The Marketplace Holy Grail
!
Kamelia Aryafar (@KAryafar) , Data Scientist @ Etsy
!
https://github.com/karyafar/Extract2015
Data Science
3
Kamelia Aryafar
Diane Hu Andrew Clegg
Rob Hall
Josh Attenberg
Corey Lynch
Caitlin Cellier
Etsy is an online marketplace where people connect to 

buy and sell unique goods: Handmade, vintage, or craft supplies
Etsy Overview
4


ColoredStars

Rome , Italy
Etsy Overview
5
~21M
Active Buyers
1.4M
Active Sellers
~35M
Listings
!
!
Stats as of March 31, 2015
People buy and sell on Etsy from nearly every country in the world.
In a 2014 survey of Etsy buyers, 92% agreed that Etsy offers
products they cannot find elsewhere.
6
Unique Items, Unique Challenges
PedantWorld
8Circuit Board Pendant!
Etsy Overview
9
Etsy Overview
10
!
!
!
Favorite
an item or shop, and 

add to collections with coherent
theme/style
!
Follow
another user with similar 

style/interest
!
!
!
!
Browse

(Unintentional)
!
Search 

(Intentional)
Etsy Overview
How do people typically use Etsy?
11
!
!
!
Purchase
an item
!
!
!
!
!
Marketing Emails
Including Recommendations
!
!
!
!
!
Pinterest
Facebook
Search Engines
!
…
1 2
Data, Data, Data
Recommendations on Etsy
13
ITEM RECS USER REC SHOP REC
Recommendations on Etsy
14
Recommendations on Etsy
15
Marketing Emails
16
C art Recommendations
17
Empty C art Recommendations
18
Personalization
• Collect Data
• Scrub
• Model
• Generate Recommendations
Personalization
20
Matrix Factorization ( MF )
21Slide Credit: Rob Hall
Matrix Factorization ( MF )
22Slide Credit: Rob Hall
Matrix Factorization ( MF )
23Slide Credit: Rob Hall
L ocality S ensitive Hashing ( LSH )
24Slide Credit: Rob Hall
Latent Dirichlet Allocation ( LDA )
25
Discover popular styles on Etsy as a
distribution over items
Represent each user as a distribution over
popular styles, i.e. “style profile”
...
V
K
“geometric” “mid-century” “surreal”
. . . K
0.38
0.13
0.02
...
“geometric”
“mid-century”
“surreal”=
Slide Credit: Diane Hu
Discovering User Styles
26
A N I M A L S
G E O M E T R I C
M I D - C E N T U RY M O D E R N
T E N TA C L E S
Different styles discovered by LDA
Slide Credit: Diane Hu
Generating Recommendations
27
S T Y L E # 4 2 8
S T Y L E # 6 5 5
S T Y L E # 5 4
S T Y L E # 8 7
U S E R ’ S FAV O R I T E S
I T E M R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S
Slide Credit: Diane Hu
What We Have Learned
Impact
29
A/B Testing
!
•Variant: LDA or MF personalized recommendations
•Control : No recommendations
!
• Significant increase in all business metrics
!
Personalized content best engages users and
enhances business metrics.
30
More Data, More accurate models, Better
recommendations
31
Thank you!
32
Questions?
https://github.com/karyafar/Extract2015
Data and Personalization: The Marketplace Holy Grail

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Data and Personalization: The Marketplace Holy Grail