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Local News Online: Aggregators,
Geo-Targeting and the Market for
Local News
FSR Communications & Media Scientific Seminar
Florence: March 21-22, 2019
Lisa George
Hunter College and the Graduate Center, CUNY
Christiaan Hogendorn
Wesleyan University
Digital News Consumption
Digital News Consumption
Mediated News Consumption
Mediated News Visits
News visits by a geographically representative sample of about 45,000 US households,
2002-2011. Source: ComScore Web Behavior Database aggregated by authors.
Mediated News Consumption
Unique Outlets
Does aggregation raise or
lower news consumption?
Local News
Digital News Consumption
Policy Issue
Antitrust, Ownership Rules,
Cross-ownership Ban
Supply?
Number of Newspapers
Demand?
Facebook Local News
This Paper
This Paper
How does aggregation of local news
headlines affect local news consumption?
Nutshell
• Natural experiment in local new aggregation
• Identification - imputed Google News intensity
• Identification - Google vs. Yahoo intensity
• Aggregation increased local news visits, but a
modest change from a low base
• Aggregation increased weekly consumption
variety, but not source discovery
Literature
• Supply Side View: Aggregators as Pirates
• Diminish incentives for content production
• Content costly, bundling cheap
• Esfahani-Jeon (2016), Rutt (2011)
• Chiou & Tucker (2017)
• Demand Side: Aggregators as Bundlers
– Reduce cost of locating content, improve matches
– Content cheap, bundling & matching costly
– George-Hogendorn (2012); Blogs (Shirky, Gans)
– Athey & Mobious (2012)
Geo-targeting
• Passive geo-location of digital devices
• Reduces consumer search cost
• Expands advertising market
• No opt-in provision for privacy protections
Google News Experiment
• 2006: Google News launch
• 2008: Limited “opt-in” personalization
• 2010: Page redesign
• Single-column news layout
• Added strip with local news
• Added some “opt-in” customization
• Location identified automatically
Before: June 28, 2010
(no local news)
After: July 2, 2010
(permanent local news)
Data
• Household Data
– ComScore Web Behavior Database
– Complete history of page views for 36,876 households inside of
MSA’’s over 47 weeks of 2010
– News visits and local news visits aggregated to household-
domain-week
• News Domains
– Raw ComScore includes 718,000 top-level domains visited at
least 5 times in 2010.
– News identified from directories & Google News scrape
– Final sample includes 8,240 news outlets, 2,626 having
appeared on Google News.
Intermediation
• Two identification strategies
– Imputed Google News intensity
– Treatment (Google News) & control (Yahoo)
households
• Google News Visit
– Outlet linked that day on Google News
• Daily scrape of Wayback pages
– Visit referred by Google
• Robustness Specification
– Google vs. Yahoo referral intensity
Pictures (Google News)
Visits to Top Outlets
Top (blue) line – all news
visits
Bottom (red) line – Google
News Links
Do Google News Appearances
Increase Outlet Traffic?
A link on Google News before re-design increase
non-local visits by 3.3%, with no effect on local visits.
Local Visit Shares
Top Local Outlets
Household Treatment Measures
Estimation
• Yit is local news consumption household i week t
– Number of local news visits
– Probability of a local news visit
– Share of visits to local news sites
• X is treatment
– Imputed Google News intensity
– Treatment & control specification
– Google & Yahoo intensity
Local News Visits
Local News Visits
Variety
Robustness
Outlet Effects
• Effect of local news aggregation on
local news consumption is modest.
• How consequential is aggregation
for domains?
• Evidence & limitations.
Competition
Extensions/Conclusions
• Intermediaries are an important feature of
news markets
• Need for theory and empirical work to
understand their role in consumption and
competition
• Search & transaction costs matter online
• Results suggest low consumption of local
news is demand-driven

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Local News Online: Aggregators, Geo-Targeting and the Market for Local News (Lisa George)

  • 1. Local News Online: Aggregators, Geo-Targeting and the Market for Local News FSR Communications & Media Scientific Seminar Florence: March 21-22, 2019 Lisa George Hunter College and the Graduate Center, CUNY Christiaan Hogendorn Wesleyan University
  • 5. Mediated News Visits News visits by a geographically representative sample of about 45,000 US households, 2002-2011. Source: ComScore Web Behavior Database aggregated by authors. Mediated News Consumption
  • 7. Does aggregation raise or lower news consumption?
  • 10. Policy Issue Antitrust, Ownership Rules, Cross-ownership Ban
  • 16. This Paper How does aggregation of local news headlines affect local news consumption?
  • 17. Nutshell • Natural experiment in local new aggregation • Identification - imputed Google News intensity • Identification - Google vs. Yahoo intensity • Aggregation increased local news visits, but a modest change from a low base • Aggregation increased weekly consumption variety, but not source discovery
  • 18. Literature • Supply Side View: Aggregators as Pirates • Diminish incentives for content production • Content costly, bundling cheap • Esfahani-Jeon (2016), Rutt (2011) • Chiou & Tucker (2017) • Demand Side: Aggregators as Bundlers – Reduce cost of locating content, improve matches – Content cheap, bundling & matching costly – George-Hogendorn (2012); Blogs (Shirky, Gans) – Athey & Mobious (2012)
  • 19. Geo-targeting • Passive geo-location of digital devices • Reduces consumer search cost • Expands advertising market • No opt-in provision for privacy protections
  • 20. Google News Experiment • 2006: Google News launch • 2008: Limited “opt-in” personalization • 2010: Page redesign • Single-column news layout • Added strip with local news • Added some “opt-in” customization • Location identified automatically
  • 21. Before: June 28, 2010 (no local news)
  • 22. After: July 2, 2010 (permanent local news)
  • 23. Data • Household Data – ComScore Web Behavior Database – Complete history of page views for 36,876 households inside of MSA’’s over 47 weeks of 2010 – News visits and local news visits aggregated to household- domain-week • News Domains – Raw ComScore includes 718,000 top-level domains visited at least 5 times in 2010. – News identified from directories & Google News scrape – Final sample includes 8,240 news outlets, 2,626 having appeared on Google News.
  • 24. Intermediation • Two identification strategies – Imputed Google News intensity – Treatment (Google News) & control (Yahoo) households • Google News Visit – Outlet linked that day on Google News • Daily scrape of Wayback pages – Visit referred by Google • Robustness Specification – Google vs. Yahoo referral intensity
  • 26.
  • 27. Visits to Top Outlets Top (blue) line – all news visits Bottom (red) line – Google News Links
  • 28. Do Google News Appearances Increase Outlet Traffic? A link on Google News before re-design increase non-local visits by 3.3%, with no effect on local visits.
  • 29. Local Visit Shares Top Local Outlets
  • 31. Estimation • Yit is local news consumption household i week t – Number of local news visits – Probability of a local news visit – Share of visits to local news sites • X is treatment – Imputed Google News intensity – Treatment & control specification – Google & Yahoo intensity
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 38. Outlet Effects • Effect of local news aggregation on local news consumption is modest. • How consequential is aggregation for domains? • Evidence & limitations.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 42. Extensions/Conclusions • Intermediaries are an important feature of news markets • Need for theory and empirical work to understand their role in consumption and competition • Search & transaction costs matter online • Results suggest low consumption of local news is demand-driven