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Chapter 2
Insurance
and Risk
Agenda
• Definition and Basic Characteristics of
Insurance
• Characteristics of An Ideally Insurable
Risk
• Adverse Selection and Insurance
• Insurance and Gambling Compared
• Insurance and Hedging Compared
• Types of Insurance
• Benefits and Costs of Insurance to
Society
Definition of Insurance
• Insurance is the pooling of fortuitous
losses by transfer of such risks to insurers,
who agree to indemnify insureds for such
losses, to provide other pecuniary benefits
on their occurrence, or to render services
connected with the risk
Basic Characteristics of Insurance
• Pooling of losses
– Pooling involves spreading losses incurred by
the few over the entire group
– Risk reduction is based on the Law of Large
Numbers
– According to the Law of Large Numbers, the
greater the number of exposures, the more
closely will the actual results approach the
probable results that are expected from an
infinite number of exposures.
Basic Characteristics of Insurance
(Continued)
• Example of Pooling:
– Two business owners own identical buildings
valued at $50,000
– There is a 10 percent chance each building will
be destroyed by a peril in any year
– Loss to either building is an independent event
– Expected value and standard deviation of the
loss for each owner is:
000
,
5
$
000
,
50
$
*
10
.
0
0
$
*
90
.
0 


loss
Expected
   
000
,
15
$
000
,
5
$
000
,
50
$
10
.
0
000
,
5
$
0
90
.
0
2
2





deviation
Standard
Basic Characteristics of Insurance
(Continued)
• Example, continued:
– If the owners instead pool (combine) their loss
exposures, and each agrees to pay an equal
share of any loss that might occur:
– As additional individuals are added to the pool,
the standard deviation continues to decline while
the expected value of the loss remains
unchanged
000
,
5
$
000
,
50
$
*
01
.
0
000
,
25
$
*
09
.
0
000
,
25
$
*
09
.
0
0
$
*
81
.
0





loss
Expected
   
607
,
10
$
)
000
,
5
$
000
,
50
($
01
.
0
000
,
5
$
000
,
25
$
)
09
.
0
)(
2
(
000
,
5
$
0
81
.
0 2
2
2







deviation
Standard
Basic Characteristics of Insurance
(Continued)
• Payment of fortuitous losses
– A fortuitous loss is one that is unforeseen,
unexpected, and occur as a result of chance
• Risk transfer
– A pure risk is transferred from the insured to
the insurer, who typically is in a stronger
financial position
• Indemnification
– The insured is restored to his or her
approximate financial position prior to the
occurrence of the loss
Characteristics of an Ideally
Insurable Risk
• Large number of exposure units
– to predict average loss based on the
law of large numbers
• Accidental and unintentional loss
– to assure random occurrence of
events
• Determinable and measurable loss
– to determine how much should be
paid
Characteristics of an Ideally
Insurable Risk (Continued)
• No catastrophic loss
– to allow the pooling technique to work
– exposures to catastrophic loss can be managed
by using reinsurance, dispersing coverage over
a large geographic area, or using financial
instruments, such as catastrophe bonds
• Calculable chance of loss
– to establish a premium that is sufficient to pay
all claims and expenses and yields a profit
during the policy period
• Economically feasible premium
– so people can afford to purchase the policy
– For insurance to be an attractive purchase, the
premiums paid must be substantially less than
the face value, or amount, of the policy
• Based on these requirements:
– Most personal, property and liability risks can be
insured
– Market risks, financial risks, production risks and
political risks are difficult to insure
Characteristics of an Ideally
Insurable Risk (Continued)
Exhibit 2.1 Fire as an Insurable Risk
Exhibit 2.2 Unemployment as an Insurable
Risk
Adverse Selection and Insurance
• Adverse selection is the tendency of persons
with a higher-than-average chance of loss to
seek insurance at standard rates
• If not controlled by underwriting, adverse
selection results in higher-than-expected
loss levels
• Adverse selection can be controlled by:
– careful underwriting (selection and classification
of applicants for insurance)
– policy provisions (e.g., suicide clause in life
insurance)
Insurance vs. Gambling
Insurance
• Handles an already
existing pure risk
• Is always socially
productive:
– both parties have a
common interest in
the prevention of a
loss
Gambling
• Creates a new
speculative risk
• Is not socially
productive
– The winner’s gain
comes at the
expense of the
loser
Insurance vs. Hedging
Insurance
• Risk is transferred
by a contract
• Involves the transfer
of pure (insurable)
risks
• Moral hazard and
adverse selection
are more severe
problems for
insurers
Hedging
• Risk is transferred
by a contract
• Involves risks that
are typically
uninsurable
• Fewer problems of
moral hazard and
adverse selection
for entities who
buy or sell futures
contracts
Types of Private Insurance
• Life and Health
– Life insurance pays death benefits to
beneficiaries when the insured dies
– Health insurance covers medical expenses
because of sickness or injury
Types of Private Insurance
(Continued)
• Property and Liability
– Property insurance indemnifies property owners
against the loss or damage of real or personal
property
– Liability insurance covers the insured’s legal
liability arising out of property damage or bodily
injury to others
– Casualty insurance refers to insurance that
covers whatever is not covered by fire, marine,
and life insurance
Types of Private Insurance
(Continued)
• Private insurance coverages can be
grouped into two major categories
– Personal lines: coverages that insure the real
estate and personal property of individuals and
families or provide protection against legal
liability
– Commercial lines: coverages for business
firms, nonprofit organizations, and government
agencies
Types of Government Insurance
• Social Insurance Programs
– Financed entirely or in large part by
contributions from employers and/or employees
– Benefits are heavily weighted in favor of low-
income groups
– Eligibility and benefits are prescribed by statute
– Examples: Social Security, Unemployment,
Workers Comp
• Other Government Insurance Programs
– Found at both the federal and state level
– Examples:Federal flood insurance, state health
insurance pools
Social Benefits of Insurance
• Indemnification for Loss
• Reduction of Worry and Fear
• Source of Investment Funds
• Loss Prevention
• Enhancement of Credit
Social Costs of Insurance
• Cost of Doing Business
– An expense loading is the amount needed to
pay all expenses, including commissions,
general administrative expenses, state premium
taxes, acquisition expenses, and an allowance
for contingencies and profit
• Fraudulent Claims
• Inflated Claims
Higher premiums to cover additional losses
reduce disposable income and consumption
of other goods and services

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rejda_rmiGE_ppt02.ppt

  • 2. Agenda • Definition and Basic Characteristics of Insurance • Characteristics of An Ideally Insurable Risk • Adverse Selection and Insurance • Insurance and Gambling Compared • Insurance and Hedging Compared • Types of Insurance • Benefits and Costs of Insurance to Society
  • 3. Definition of Insurance • Insurance is the pooling of fortuitous losses by transfer of such risks to insurers, who agree to indemnify insureds for such losses, to provide other pecuniary benefits on their occurrence, or to render services connected with the risk
  • 4. Basic Characteristics of Insurance • Pooling of losses – Pooling involves spreading losses incurred by the few over the entire group – Risk reduction is based on the Law of Large Numbers – According to the Law of Large Numbers, the greater the number of exposures, the more closely will the actual results approach the probable results that are expected from an infinite number of exposures.
  • 5. Basic Characteristics of Insurance (Continued) • Example of Pooling: – Two business owners own identical buildings valued at $50,000 – There is a 10 percent chance each building will be destroyed by a peril in any year – Loss to either building is an independent event – Expected value and standard deviation of the loss for each owner is: 000 , 5 $ 000 , 50 $ * 10 . 0 0 $ * 90 . 0    loss Expected     000 , 15 $ 000 , 5 $ 000 , 50 $ 10 . 0 000 , 5 $ 0 90 . 0 2 2      deviation Standard
  • 6. Basic Characteristics of Insurance (Continued) • Example, continued: – If the owners instead pool (combine) their loss exposures, and each agrees to pay an equal share of any loss that might occur: – As additional individuals are added to the pool, the standard deviation continues to decline while the expected value of the loss remains unchanged 000 , 5 $ 000 , 50 $ * 01 . 0 000 , 25 $ * 09 . 0 000 , 25 $ * 09 . 0 0 $ * 81 . 0      loss Expected     607 , 10 $ ) 000 , 5 $ 000 , 50 ($ 01 . 0 000 , 5 $ 000 , 25 $ ) 09 . 0 )( 2 ( 000 , 5 $ 0 81 . 0 2 2 2        deviation Standard
  • 7. Basic Characteristics of Insurance (Continued) • Payment of fortuitous losses – A fortuitous loss is one that is unforeseen, unexpected, and occur as a result of chance • Risk transfer – A pure risk is transferred from the insured to the insurer, who typically is in a stronger financial position • Indemnification – The insured is restored to his or her approximate financial position prior to the occurrence of the loss
  • 8. Characteristics of an Ideally Insurable Risk • Large number of exposure units – to predict average loss based on the law of large numbers • Accidental and unintentional loss – to assure random occurrence of events • Determinable and measurable loss – to determine how much should be paid
  • 9. Characteristics of an Ideally Insurable Risk (Continued) • No catastrophic loss – to allow the pooling technique to work – exposures to catastrophic loss can be managed by using reinsurance, dispersing coverage over a large geographic area, or using financial instruments, such as catastrophe bonds • Calculable chance of loss – to establish a premium that is sufficient to pay all claims and expenses and yields a profit during the policy period
  • 10. • Economically feasible premium – so people can afford to purchase the policy – For insurance to be an attractive purchase, the premiums paid must be substantially less than the face value, or amount, of the policy • Based on these requirements: – Most personal, property and liability risks can be insured – Market risks, financial risks, production risks and political risks are difficult to insure Characteristics of an Ideally Insurable Risk (Continued)
  • 11. Exhibit 2.1 Fire as an Insurable Risk
  • 12. Exhibit 2.2 Unemployment as an Insurable Risk
  • 13. Adverse Selection and Insurance • Adverse selection is the tendency of persons with a higher-than-average chance of loss to seek insurance at standard rates • If not controlled by underwriting, adverse selection results in higher-than-expected loss levels • Adverse selection can be controlled by: – careful underwriting (selection and classification of applicants for insurance) – policy provisions (e.g., suicide clause in life insurance)
  • 14. Insurance vs. Gambling Insurance • Handles an already existing pure risk • Is always socially productive: – both parties have a common interest in the prevention of a loss Gambling • Creates a new speculative risk • Is not socially productive – The winner’s gain comes at the expense of the loser
  • 15. Insurance vs. Hedging Insurance • Risk is transferred by a contract • Involves the transfer of pure (insurable) risks • Moral hazard and adverse selection are more severe problems for insurers Hedging • Risk is transferred by a contract • Involves risks that are typically uninsurable • Fewer problems of moral hazard and adverse selection for entities who buy or sell futures contracts
  • 16. Types of Private Insurance • Life and Health – Life insurance pays death benefits to beneficiaries when the insured dies – Health insurance covers medical expenses because of sickness or injury
  • 17. Types of Private Insurance (Continued) • Property and Liability – Property insurance indemnifies property owners against the loss or damage of real or personal property – Liability insurance covers the insured’s legal liability arising out of property damage or bodily injury to others – Casualty insurance refers to insurance that covers whatever is not covered by fire, marine, and life insurance
  • 18. Types of Private Insurance (Continued) • Private insurance coverages can be grouped into two major categories – Personal lines: coverages that insure the real estate and personal property of individuals and families or provide protection against legal liability – Commercial lines: coverages for business firms, nonprofit organizations, and government agencies
  • 19. Types of Government Insurance • Social Insurance Programs – Financed entirely or in large part by contributions from employers and/or employees – Benefits are heavily weighted in favor of low- income groups – Eligibility and benefits are prescribed by statute – Examples: Social Security, Unemployment, Workers Comp • Other Government Insurance Programs – Found at both the federal and state level – Examples:Federal flood insurance, state health insurance pools
  • 20. Social Benefits of Insurance • Indemnification for Loss • Reduction of Worry and Fear • Source of Investment Funds • Loss Prevention • Enhancement of Credit
  • 21. Social Costs of Insurance • Cost of Doing Business – An expense loading is the amount needed to pay all expenses, including commissions, general administrative expenses, state premium taxes, acquisition expenses, and an allowance for contingencies and profit • Fraudulent Claims • Inflated Claims Higher premiums to cover additional losses reduce disposable income and consumption of other goods and services