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Digital Re-print -
                 January | February 2013
Global Feed Markets: January - February 2013

  Grain & Feed Milling Technology is published six times a year by Perendale Publishers Ltd of the United Kingdom.
  All data is published in good faith, based on information received, and while every care is taken to prevent inaccuracies,
  the publishers accept no liability for any errors or omissions or for the consequences of action taken on the basis of
  information published.
  ©Copyright 2013 Perendale Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form
  or by any means without prior permission of the copyright owner. Printed by Perendale Publishers Ltd. ISSN: 1466-3872




                          www.gfmt.co.uk
GLOBAL
                                        GRAIN & FEED MARKETS
                                             Every issue GFMT’s market analyst John Buckley reviews
                                           world trading conditions which are impacting the full range of
                                         commodities used in food and feed production. His observations
                                                        will influence your decision-making.




     Chicago soft red             Will 2013 be a year of crop recovery?

                                W
winter wheat prices                                ITH most of 2012’s adverse supply    the remarkable recovery in US and other world
                                                   developments now factored            stock markets instead.
   have dropped by                                 into prices, world grain and            That said, investors haven’t done badly out of
                                                   feed markets are now starting        wheat in 2012 which saw this grain close with a
      about 8% since            to fix their sights more firmly on 2013/14 crop         near 20% year-on-year gain in Chicago, albeit after
                                prospects. A recovery is certainly needed in            trading as much as 45% up earlier in the year. EU
       our last review          2013 cereal output. Latest estimates show world         milling wheat markets meanwhile closed the year
                                production this season is dropping by about 75m         about Δ50/tonne up (+25%), led by London feed-
        after losing as         tonnes or just over 4% but consumption by only          wheat plus £53 or 35%. Interestingly, the wheat
                                37m tonnes or 2%, the balance coming off stocks.        markets across the Atlantic diverge completely on
          much as 12%              While there have recently been some jitters          their forward views. EU 2013 crop wheat futures
                                about South American maize and soyabean crop            are cheaper than current old crop months whereas
      at one stage. In          weather, lower Argentine wheat quality, some            the US futures outlook shows higher distant prices.
                                winterkill threats in the former Soviet countries          In contrast, forward US futures continue to point
Europe, soft milling            and a combination of drought and frost threats          to significantly cheaper prices for maize, for which
                                to a poorly rated US winter wheat crop, price           current months have come out of 2012 with a gain
        wheat futures           rallies on the bellwether Chicago futures markets       of only 8% - quite a shift from last August when
                                for both grains have largely struggled to hold up.      prices were up by over 30%.
   have dropped by              That, in turn, has encouraged European cereal              Wheat and maize prices have also come
                                markets, to a large extent, to steer clear of further   under pressure from global export competition.
  about 8-9% while              steep price increases too. In fact, if anything, the    Despite this year’s smaller Russian, Ukrainian and
                                global grain and feed markets have maintained           Kazakh crops, the Black Sea wheat exporters gave
 in export markets,             gradual downward bias since our last review, the        their rivals a good run for their money with an
                                major grains recently trading at their cheapest         aggressive early season export campaign – as did
      US quality hard           since last July.                                        the Argentines too from their own smaller wheat
                                   Partly this trend has reflected less interest from   crop. Even the EU, with a significantly smaller 2012
  spring wheats are             speculative and other ‘outside’ money in the trend-     wheat harvest, has been running a much more
                                setting US futures markets. Even the index funds        active wheat export campaign so far this season,
down by about 9%                or institutional investors, who have tended to stick    clocking up a 35% year-on-year gain recently. That
                                with cereals through thick and thin in the hope of      may lead to uncomfortably tight supplies here
    too. The smallest           price rises have cashed in a large chunk of their       before the season closes in June but it has all helped
                                wheat chips in recent weeks, preferring to ride         keep exports from the main supplier, the USA, well
declines have been

seen in US hard red

winter wheats amid

     caution over the

   poor condition of

    the coming crop.




 44 | January - february 2013                                                                           Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
FEATURE


                                                                                       COMMODITIES      means longer uptime, lower operating costs,
                                                                                                        less expenses on maintenance and spares,
                                                                                                        and half the energy usage. This makes the
                                                                                                        whole unloading process more economical
                                                                                                        and environmentally sustainable, especially
                                                                                                        considering the added demurrage costs to
                                                                                                        vessels if a pneumatic system breaks down.
                                                                                                        Lastly, the Bargolink operates at lower noise
                                                                                                        levels and does not generate lower frequen-
                                                                                                        cies than pneumatic systems whose loud
                                                                                                        droning and changing volumes may consti-
                                                                                                        tute a health hazard.
                                                                                                            Already three customers in China,
                                                                                                        Croatia and France have been convinced
                                                                                                        that they can benefit from Bühler’s Bargolink.
                                                                                                        Altogether, Bühler’s Bargolink offers an
                                                                                                        investment-friendly, highly flexible and effi-
                                                                                                        cient solution for unloading systems used for
                                                                                                        inland water transportation in the genuine
     behind their target level and, in turn, helped
                                                                                                        Buhler manufacturing quality combined with
     to keep wheat prices there and on world
                                                                                                        best in class components.
     markets under control.
        The same goes for the maize market
     where the past two months have seen              more to win all the notable business among        to the once dominant global maize supplier
     unprecedented competition in terms of            the large Asian feed importing countries (with    which as recently as three or four years ago
                                                                                                           More InforMatIon:
     sales volume and pricing from record South       the exception of China, discussed under our       exported twice as much as its Latin American
     American crops. Some of this is old crop         coarse grain section below). .                       Bühler GmbH
                                                                                                        rivals.
     business, some pre-selling of crops harvested       Latest estimates from the USDA suggest            Grain Logistics, CH-9240, Uzwil, Switzerland
                                                                                                           US sales and thus world maize prices, are
     from around Feb/Mar of this year onward.         these two Lat-Am expor ters’ combined             alsoTel: +41 719 551111 by another relatively
                                                                                                              being subdued
                                                                                                             Fax: +41 719 553949
     Even during an earlier spell of rain delays to   shipments of maize will reach a record 42m        large Ukrainian crop, enabling 12.5m tonnes
                                                                                                             Email: grain-logistics@buhlergroup.com
     Argentine planting and a more recent, rather     tonnes – over 60% more than the forecast          of exports. www.buhlergroup.com 2.6m from
                                                                                                             Website:
                                                                                                                       That may be down
     worrying dry spell, the Latin American maize     for US expor ts (26m) which has been              last season but it’s more twice the historical
     suppliers seem to have been happy to keep        slashed repeatedly in recent months on the        average shipped from this country. These
     undercutting the US by $20 per tonne and         competition factor. It’s a remarkable challenge   ‘new’ supplies coming onto the world market




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    Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
          &
Ann A5 Grain0212.indd millinG technoloGy
       victam  feed 1
                                                                                                                           January - february 2013 | 17
                                                                                                                            January - february 201315:37:04
                                                                                                                                           21/02/12 | 45
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milling@buhlergroup.com, www.buhlergroup.com                                                  Hall 10, booth no. B2




Innovations for a better world.
peak in the summer months. And, as noted in
                                                                                                            our last review, the forward futures markets
                                                                                                            suggest soya will be cheaper next autumn
                                                                                                            – if all the scheduled crop increases come
                                                                                                            through. So far, things are looking promising
                                                                                                            for South American supply to reach or even
                                                                                                            exceed targets. Crops there did go in late
                                                                                                            because of heavy rains but have avoided the
                                                                                                            withering droughts that decimated last year’s
                                                                                                            output in many areas and some is already
                                                                                                            being harvested in the early-planted areas
                                                                                                            of Northern Brazil. The US is meanwhile
                                                                                                            expected to bump up soya acreage again this
also beg the question of where all the extra             Feed use of grain has been holding up better       spring. However, markets need to see that
production will go if the US does get the             in the US than in Europe and the former Soviet        crop up and running under normal weather
record crop farmers there are expected to             countries and has recently been revised up            conditions before selling into it. There are also
plant this spring. The answer is that much            by the USDA - which also cut US stocks                some uncertainties over other oilseed supplies
of it will go to re-stocking, principally in the      accordingly, especially for maize. However, the       after last year’s disappointing rapeseed and
USA itseld. If that does happen, the discounts        initial bullish impact of this news proved short-     sunflowerseed crops in Canada, Europe and
currently offered on new crop (latter 2013) US        lived as the Department also raised (rather           the former Soviet countries. Some revival is
maize futures will have to get much bigger – a        than lowered, as the market expected) its             needed in these sectors too – especially in
development that would help contain wheat             final estimate of the US maize crop as well as        crops from Europe east and west, to help
prices too by reducing feed demand for fine           increasing Latin American and other forecasts,        keep protein costs down.
grains.                                               resulting in a slightly larger global maize crop         Overall, the picture at this juncture is one of
   Europe also needs to grow a bigger maize           for 2012/13 than expected late last year.             supplies improving and, with a few less global
crop this summer after last year’s crashed by            On the negative side, the forecast for world       weather problems in coming months, perhaps
11.5m tonnes to a multi-year low of under 55m         maize consumption jumped too, largely due to          some further decline in costs of the main grain
– about 9m under projected EU consumption             the US adding 7.6m tonnes of usage for the full       and feed raw materials.
needs. Europe’s consequent huge import need           2012/13 season (which ends August 31). That
– at least 8m tonnes – is one oif the few bright
spots for global exporters in a season when
                                                      means US and world stocks will finish 2012/13
                                                      at very low levels in terms of consumption
                                                                                                            Main commodity
world maize imports are seen tumbling from            needs – about seven weeks of global supply            devbelopments since our last
103m to 97m tonnes.
   Maize is also coming under some restraint
                                                      compared with almost double that for wheat
                                                      (and half of that tied up ‘off-market’ in China).     review
from a weaker trend in the US corn ethanol            So, regardless of those extra Latin American
market, home for 40% of its crop (and, of             and Ukrainian supplies, a big US maize crop
                                                                                                            Wheat prices down
course, a large chunk of EU cereal production         rebound is essential this summer to establish             Chicago soft red winter wheat prices have
too). Although US ethanol output is just about        a more comfortable stock cushion against              dropped by about 8% since our last review
matching USDA targets, production margins             possible crop problems in the subsequent              after losing as much as 12% at one stage.
recently have been poor, often negative, and          year..                                                In Europe, soft milling wheat futures have
                                                                                                            dropped by about 8-9% while in export
                                                                                                            markets, US quality hard spring wheats are
                                                                                                            down by about 9% too. The smallest declines
                                                                                                            have been seen in US hard red winter wheats
                                                                                                            amid caution over the poor condition of the
                                                                                                            coming crop.
                                                                                                                The firmest sector of the wheat market
                                                                                                            has been in former Soviet countries where
                                                                                                            this season’s smaller crops have been sold
                                                                                                            into export markets at an aggressive pace
                                                                                                            earlier in the season to capture the high
                                                                                                            world prices ruling then. Russia is now paying
                                                                                                            the price with record feedgrain costs and
                                                                                                            there has been talk of it needing to back-
                                                                                                            fill with imports, possibly from Europe – a
                                                                                                            development that could hoist prices here too,
                                                                                                            if it comes about. Russia is already taking some
are believed to have already idled about 20% of          In the protein sector, two opposing forces         grain from neighbouring Kazakhstan, though,
US capacity. The root cause is the still relatively   have continued to dominate the markets –              and along with a programme of intervention
high price of maize. In the boom years of the         record Chinese demand, centred on dwindling           stock releases this may be enough to cool its
last decade, for example, when US capacity was        US soya supplies, versus expected record large        internal market and avoid raiding the broader
rising regularly by as much as 20-30% a year –        Latin American soyabean crops.                        world market. In theory, it could buy US soft
and before the ‘blend wall’ or renewable fuel            Like the grains, soya prices also failed to hold   red winter wheat if it wanted to, cheaper than
mandate was approached – US maize was only            all their stellar 2012 price gains, finishing the     at any time since June.
$3.50 a bushel, half its current cost.                year with an 18.4% increase against a 49.7%               Questions have been raised about the


46 | January - february 2013                                                                                        Grain  &feed millinG technoloGy
FIAAP:ad   5/2/13   10:37   Page 1




                                                                                                                                       COMMODITIES
                                                                          FEATURE                                                                                       FEATURE


 protected, and the aleurone ment cells protective systems intended for
              the ductwork layer and and therefore reducing the envi-
well as all improves the energy value of the feed.
            the connected use in potentially explosive atmospheres on
                                                                 ronmental impact.
 ipment are at risk. This the European market.                   However, it has
   combination extent topathogenic bacteria in willbecome apparent than expected crop. This is put this down to cautionary stock-building of
            Reducing which world wheat output
                  with explo-            By investing in explosion from a smaller
                                                                        protection,
            the colon
equipment on recover in 2013. The International Grainsthat still a large one by historical comparison the main food staple. The question is whether
                 each vessel, organisations can safeguard themselves eco-further nutri-
                 A third possible mechanism by which 4% uptional benefits are has figured prominently in that phase is completed or has further to run
                 Council ‘tentatively’ puts output the                 and the country
                                                                                                   8 – 10 April 2014 . Bangkok International Trade & Exhibition Centre (BITEC), Bangkok, Thailand
            nutritive value of feed is increased by feed achieved because export trade but what higher in the second half of the season. If it has run its
                 – which would be around 682m tonnes. recent world
            enzymes is through the release of oligosac- phytate has the Australia can offer has been course, markets may refocus on the fact that
                 However, the worst-rated US hard red winter quality wheat
                 crop on modern record albeit sown                     commanding                            Asia’s foremost exhibition and
            charides (Choct and Cadogan,–2001). These oncapacity to bind higher and higher premiums. world import demand for wheat overall is still
                    larger area – is a the a wild card of              Canada, which                         conferences for the ingredients
            cana be formed during bit of degradation in thisother important had a bigger exportable crop running about 8% down on the year, allowing
            storage and is Russia’scarbohydrates bysouthernminerals
                 pack. So cell wall crop in its main sup-
                 catchment areas and are able to resist
                                                                                    such
                                                                                                             and additives used in the
                                                                       last year, has also been actively competing for global wheat prices to relax further. On the
            plemental enzymes for exports. In both regionsas calcium, zinc,
                                                                       global wheat import business. Farmers there other hand, the Near East and others might see
                 there has been by of either drought                   intend to iron                        production of animal feeds,
            further degradation talk digestive enzymes ormanganese, sow between 5% and 10% more this further price cuts as a good buying opportunity.
            andwinterkill clipping as the colon. Once in and year, which will be welcomed for its usually
                   so able to reach much as 25% even 30%                  copper thus                        aquafeeds and petfoods
            the off production potential. Howevera nutri- reducing quality, normal weather permitting.
                  colon these oligosaccharides are that would higher their
            ent nowhere for beneficial to a national/regionalbioavailability in
                   source near equate bacteria such as                      Lastly, we should not forget India which has
                                                                                                                                               KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS
            Bifidobacterium and Lactobacillus doing whichwellthe digestive tract.
                 trend. US soft red crops are spp very                 a seventh successive record crop predicted                              AHEAD
            suppressmoregrowth wheat could be sown on Additional in March and needs to clear some
                 and the spring of pathogenic bacteria                 to arrive
            such as Salmonella, Clostridium, Campylobacter research has alsopoorly-stored stocks in export • How will US, European and Black Sea
                 abandoned acres. Ukraine’s crop is meanwhile of its record,
 lector and andin good shape, nomically, established that revealed that Some think it could double sales to
               could includecoli. probably the best appropriate channels. the
                   Escherichia        It is well follow for years, health and                                                             crops emerge from a winter of challenging
 sion, explosion venting or comeback in the secondprotect workers from to around 9m tonnes (also a
                 suggesting a safety standards and largest world phytase
            reducing pathogenic bacteria in the colon inclusion of market                                                                 weather?
                                    potential risks.
            improves Sea’ suppliers’ export feed conver- can record). Port logistics might limit what it can • Will the northern hemisphere have more
                 ‘Black weight gain and the role. Then there            improve both
            sion ratio in pigs and poultry. have undoubtedlyileal sell pre-harvest and not everybody wants trade show and conference organised specifically for feed ingredients,
                 is Europe itself. Crops here                              amino acid              FIAAP Asia 2014 is the only dedicated
                                                                                                                                          ‘normal’ conditions this year?
codes and standards the UK and Northwest Francedigestibility lower quality – additives and it morewithin the dynamicWheat use inoffeeds may ease back if maize
                 struggled in                                          India’s       and           making formulation of a • and growing region South and South East Asia.
otential health problems, feed formulation freezingdietary foravail-
            Cost saving of excessive wet, recent
                 from months                                           factor feedgrain (maize) markets. However,                         crops do rebound but in the meantime
                                                                                                   New for 2014                                     Supported by
sure employers in furtherof the More InforMatIon:
                 Regardless rain and flooding. East Europeanable itmetabolisable
                 and the EU               mechanism by which               is another bearish influence on prices.
                                                                                                   Now including the first                cheaperThe Thailand Convention could raise use in
                                                                                                                                                      wheat prices
                                                                                                   ASEAN Feed Summit                                and Exhibition Bureau
  rkers fromthe crops have also had some harsh weatherenergy Wheat prices will also be influenced in the
              being harmed of BS&Bis increased, the
                   energy value          feed Safety Systems                  (Ravindran                                                  this sector
                                                                                                   Specialist conferences                           Co-located with
 ubstances factwith varying levels significantprotection. Willet al monthsPhytate by the level exhibition will be supported
              in that it occurs is of of snow161 955 4202
                  the work-              Tel: +44 importance            2001). ahead               The of import demand.                            VICTAM Asia 2014
K, under the aproducers and nutritionists. Thiswheat and,is therefore quietened down awill include:
                                         Email: sales@bsb-systems.co.uk has con-
            for Dangerous outlook for German allows
                    very good                                          This
                                                                                                   by its own specialist conferences.
                                                                                                   They bit recently after               Maize supplies could surge in
                                                                                                                                                    www.victam.com
                                                                                                                                                    Contact details
                                                                                                   The FIAAP Conference 2014
  Explosive for hopefully, some better formulating diets sidered as both an active buying, particularly from
              Atmospheres
                  greater flexibility when spring and summer a long spell of
                                         Website: www.bsbipd.com
02 (DSEAR),weather redress the balance?ingredients, willindigestible nutri-
            meaning work-alternative feed Only time
                    all that
                                                                                                   Petfood Forum Asia 2014
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                                                                                                   Aquafeed Horizons Asia 2014
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  substances thatare traditionally of lower nutritive isent tension constantly breaking out across the
                 tell. could
            which Among the other big players, Australia                 and an anti-                                                     NEWS that the US had fed a lot more
            value, can have had some quality disappointmentsnutrient and inter- Arab Spring, some traders maize to its livestock from last year’s
                 said to be utilised in the formulation. This          region since the
            can result in significant savings in feed costs estingly, in the last
            for producers where, for example, some of decade, research
            the wheat-based portion of the diet can be has demonstrated
            replaced with cheaper barley, providing aNAI,that administering




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                      & &
                   Grain millinG technoloGy January - february 2013 | 11
               Grain feed feed millinG technoloGy                                                                                                          January - february 2013 2013 | 47
                                                                                                                                                                January - february | 19

 C_90x132mm.indd 1                                                                     16/10/2012 16:50
disappointingly small crop gave prices a lift
  in January. Earlier, the Chicago futures market
  had been down as much as 10% from its
  early December highs. The USDA raised
  its US feeding number by 7.6m tonnes to
  113m. However, it also cut US exports by
  5m tonnes and raised the 2012 final crop
  estimate by 1.4m, limiting the impact on US
  ending stocks to a more manageable 1.1m
  tonne decline. Given that US exports are
  still running well behind the target pace,
  it’s possible that figure could go lower still,
  freeing up a little more ending stock. On
  the plus side for supplies, USDA raised
  combined South American production by                 KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS                           This will be none too soon for the US
  1.5m tonnes and the region’s expor ts by
  3.5m. With increments to other, smaller               AHEAD                                            market which has been selling its supplies
                                                                                                         out far too fas t for comfor t, chief ly
  producers, world corn output actually                 • US 2013 crop maize planting area and           feeding record first-half-season demand
  increased last month to 852.3m from 849.1m              growing weather will determine whether         from top buyer China. Although some
  tonnes. Nonetheless, world ending stocks                US and global stocks of the grain return to    of these advance bookings (ranging into
  have tightened further still.                           more ‘normal’ levels                           2013.14 now) could be washed out and
      On the restraining side, as mentioned above,      • How long will export competition from          switched to South American, the US is
  competition for US maize on world markets               Latin America, former Soviet countries and     likely to star t next season with very small
  is keeping a lid on prices. This is coming not          India contiunue intoi second quarter 2013?     stocks. That will make markets sensitive
  only from South American and east European              The South American crops look promising        over the coming months to any US weather
  maize exports but from still relatively cheap           but need more rain as we go to press           problems, before, during and well after
  feed wheat, including Indian and even some            • Will US corn ethanol use revive after an       sowing the crop around April/May. If all
  South American and is expected to continue              unusual decline in 2012?                       goes well, the US should fur ther boost
  into second quarter 2013.                             • Chinese demand for maize has grown 37%         2013 supplies and help keep prices moving
      Despite USDA’s upward revision, US feed use         in just four years – can its crop keep up or   lower.
  of maize, also taking about 40% of production,          will they raid the world market for larger        Protein users have become increasingly
  will still be about 2m tonnes lower than last           volumes?                                       dependent on soya in this season of
  year’s and about 9m less than in 2010/11.             • Speculators’ enthusiasm to buy into any        disappointing rapeseed and sunflowerseed
  However, US ethanol use is forecast about               crop weather problems                          production. Apart from a little extra feeding
  10% down this season and may fall further still                                                        of palm kernel and groundnut meal, almost
  if profitability fails to stem the current spate      Proteins/oilmeals - demand to                    all the increase in this season’s oilmeal
  of plant shutdowns and slowdowns. All of this                                                          consumption will be fed by soyabean
  could spell slightly larger stocks to start the new
                                                        mop up extra soya?                               products. At this stage, there are no firm
  US season on September 1.                               SOYA supplies are still improving. The         pointers to alternative oilmeals making
                                                                                  final US harvest       a much bigger contribution in 2013/14
                                                                                  estimate has           but we still have to see how Canadian
                                                                                  been revised           rapeseed, EU and former Soviet countries’
                                                                                  up by more             spring rape and sunflower plantings pan
                                                                                  than expected          out. So far this lack of substitutes has
                                                                                  while South            helped keep soya prices relatively f irm.
                                                                                  American crops         Despite dipping by around 7% at one stage
                                                                                  are looking closer     since our last review, the Chicago market
                                                                                  to attaining the       has recently recouped most of its losses.
                                                                                  record 144.25m         However, if the US gets the 90m tonne
                                                                                  (plus 33.25m)          crop some expect in 2013, prices should
                                                                                  forecast by the        come down more emphatically.
                                                                                  USDA . T he
                                                                                  tot al incr ea se
                                                                                  in world output
                                                                                                         KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS
                                                                                  equals about           AHEAD
     World barley production also fell to a             26m tonnes more meal whereas global
  multi-year low this season at just under              consumption is only expected to increase         • South American crop weather during the
  130m tonnes and with consumption running              by about 5.2m. Although there have been            remainder of the growing/harvest period
  closer to 133m, ending stocks will fall to a          some dry weather jitters recently, the Lat-      • The timing of importers’ switch to Lat-Am
  multi-year low of under 20m tonnes. Stocks            Am crops are now entering the home run             from US supplies
  will be par ticularly low within the EU by            and some are already starting harvest so,        • US spring planting decisions – and
  end-June – 3.6m tonne compared with                   barring an extended dry spell or some last         accompanying weather
  15.6m just three years ago so there is not            minute harvest weather problems, soya            • Chinese demand for soya meal
  much leeway if anything goes wrong with               demand should be making its annual shift to      • EU/CIS rapeseed & sunflowerseed and
  the next crop.                                        the southern hemisphere suppliers shortly.         Canadian canola plantings and weather


48 | January - february 2013                                                                                   Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
FEATURE


 the product is not efficient. (data from Dr. alpha and beta forms)or mannans. Not associated form of selenium in the ani-
 Morgane Henry, Hellenic Center for marine all the YCW are equal. Efficiency should mal’s body and then allow making organic
 Research , 2011)
                                  WANT NEWS?        be checked as a prerequisite to use, or selenium which are readily available when
      YCW products, depending Grain & Feed Milling Technology magazine has two new options for you reactions occur.
                                   on the quality change, YCW.                                  oxidative stress
 of the autolysed yeast separation, containup to the LFA we have conducted a survey
                                  - online and         At minute!                                   The main application would be in aqua-
 also significant percentages of proteins and of four YCW (2 bakery and 2 brewery culture as fish meal is a main supply of
 lipids. It should be noted that the lower the yeasts) produced in 4 of our own facto- selenium and the development of diets with
 level of proteins, the higher of level of carbo- ries in the same L. Anguillarum challenge less fish meal will require compensation of
 hydrates, and then the better immunostimu- in sea bass supplemented at 0.5 g/kg selenium in aquafeed formulae. Such an
 lation from the YCW is. Various quality of of feed for 8 weeks. Only 2 responded application could be useful in preventing
 YCW are on the animal production market significantly (1 bakery, 1 brewery), the the oxidation of poly unsaturated fatty acids
                        Global
                       THE
 and major differences can be found between remaining 2 had even negative results at 4 (PUFA) in fish flesh. Chromium yeast is
                       Miller
 products depending on the strain, the sub- weeks (lower survival than control). This seldom used in aquaculture diets.
 strate used to produce the yeast, and event result shows first that not all is under-
 the drying process.                                stood in the way these products work Conclusion
      Mannans represent as most 25-27 per- and that one particular YCW cannot be                     Yeast products are getting more fre-
 cent of YCW in good quality YCW from replaced by another.                                      quently used in aquaculture. Some appli-
     The Global Miller blog is an online offshoot                                  The Global Milling News service is a new
 primary grown yeasts, but can be found                                                         cations are promising as the use as an
    of Grain & Feed Milling Technology magazine.                                  development from the Perendale Publishers
 as low as 9 percent in crude preparation Selenium yeast                                        alternative source of proteins or as a sanitary
     While the bi-monthly magazine covers mill-                                  Limited family of grain, feed and flour milling
 coming from industry by-products. Glucans             Yeast can be induced to be a source and welfare enhancer. However many
     ing issues in-depth, the Global Miller takes a                              publications. The site scours the web to find
 or poly-glucose can range from 18 To 40 of organic selenium, mainly under the products ranging from crude ethanol yeast
     lighter approach. The columnists dig out the                                 relevant stories from around the globe. The
 percent. YCW Protein level remains the form of seleniomethionine, which is then by-products to more purified beta-glucans
      best daily industry stories, show and event                                information is then ranked and orgnaised by
 most convenient indicator of quality, the stored in proteins. During the growth are available on the market. Therefore
    news and highlights from the print magazine                                   topic, making it easy to find information. If
 best products being those having lower of baker’s yeast, selenium is added to potential users must accurately select them
           and bring them to you ever day ...                                      you’re searching for a specific topic, you’ll
 nitrogen content. The variability between the medium and is replacing sulphurfind it at Global Milling News.
                                                                                           in in function of their targeted application. It is
 batches can also be very high. Texture methionine. The excess of selenium is also as important to select a reliable source
 should be checked first. Good YCW often then eliminated by careful washing steps of the products to ensure a consistency of
 have a smooth, fine texture, low granu- (see Figure 5) to ensure that the selenium the supply and the quality.
 lometry and a light beige colour. There is left is 97-99 percent organic. Selenium
 also the tendency to believe that all YCW yeast should be then checked for the
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                                                                                                    More InforMatIon:
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                                                                                                      Website: www.yeast-science.com to get the app
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 Grain  &feed millinG technoloGy                                                                                              January - february 2013 | 31
                                                                                                                                                        49
Milling Technology magazine. 	
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Global Feed Markets: January - February 2013

  • 1. Digital Re-print - January | February 2013 Global Feed Markets: January - February 2013 Grain & Feed Milling Technology is published six times a year by Perendale Publishers Ltd of the United Kingdom. All data is published in good faith, based on information received, and while every care is taken to prevent inaccuracies, the publishers accept no liability for any errors or omissions or for the consequences of action taken on the basis of information published. ©Copyright 2013 Perendale Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means without prior permission of the copyright owner. Printed by Perendale Publishers Ltd. ISSN: 1466-3872 www.gfmt.co.uk
  • 2. GLOBAL GRAIN & FEED MARKETS Every issue GFMT’s market analyst John Buckley reviews world trading conditions which are impacting the full range of commodities used in food and feed production. His observations will influence your decision-making. Chicago soft red Will 2013 be a year of crop recovery? W winter wheat prices ITH most of 2012’s adverse supply the remarkable recovery in US and other world developments now factored stock markets instead. have dropped by into prices, world grain and That said, investors haven’t done badly out of feed markets are now starting wheat in 2012 which saw this grain close with a about 8% since to fix their sights more firmly on 2013/14 crop near 20% year-on-year gain in Chicago, albeit after prospects. A recovery is certainly needed in trading as much as 45% up earlier in the year. EU our last review 2013 cereal output. Latest estimates show world milling wheat markets meanwhile closed the year production this season is dropping by about 75m about Δ50/tonne up (+25%), led by London feed- after losing as tonnes or just over 4% but consumption by only wheat plus £53 or 35%. Interestingly, the wheat 37m tonnes or 2%, the balance coming off stocks. markets across the Atlantic diverge completely on much as 12% While there have recently been some jitters their forward views. EU 2013 crop wheat futures about South American maize and soyabean crop are cheaper than current old crop months whereas at one stage. In weather, lower Argentine wheat quality, some the US futures outlook shows higher distant prices. winterkill threats in the former Soviet countries In contrast, forward US futures continue to point Europe, soft milling and a combination of drought and frost threats to significantly cheaper prices for maize, for which to a poorly rated US winter wheat crop, price current months have come out of 2012 with a gain wheat futures rallies on the bellwether Chicago futures markets of only 8% - quite a shift from last August when for both grains have largely struggled to hold up. prices were up by over 30%. have dropped by That, in turn, has encouraged European cereal Wheat and maize prices have also come markets, to a large extent, to steer clear of further under pressure from global export competition. about 8-9% while steep price increases too. In fact, if anything, the Despite this year’s smaller Russian, Ukrainian and global grain and feed markets have maintained Kazakh crops, the Black Sea wheat exporters gave in export markets, gradual downward bias since our last review, the their rivals a good run for their money with an major grains recently trading at their cheapest aggressive early season export campaign – as did US quality hard since last July. the Argentines too from their own smaller wheat Partly this trend has reflected less interest from crop. Even the EU, with a significantly smaller 2012 spring wheats are speculative and other ‘outside’ money in the trend- wheat harvest, has been running a much more setting US futures markets. Even the index funds active wheat export campaign so far this season, down by about 9% or institutional investors, who have tended to stick clocking up a 35% year-on-year gain recently. That with cereals through thick and thin in the hope of may lead to uncomfortably tight supplies here too. The smallest price rises have cashed in a large chunk of their before the season closes in June but it has all helped wheat chips in recent weeks, preferring to ride keep exports from the main supplier, the USA, well declines have been seen in US hard red winter wheats amid caution over the poor condition of the coming crop. 44 | January - february 2013 Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
  • 3.
  • 4. FEATURE COMMODITIES means longer uptime, lower operating costs, less expenses on maintenance and spares, and half the energy usage. This makes the whole unloading process more economical and environmentally sustainable, especially considering the added demurrage costs to vessels if a pneumatic system breaks down. Lastly, the Bargolink operates at lower noise levels and does not generate lower frequen- cies than pneumatic systems whose loud droning and changing volumes may consti- tute a health hazard. Already three customers in China, Croatia and France have been convinced that they can benefit from Bühler’s Bargolink. Altogether, Bühler’s Bargolink offers an investment-friendly, highly flexible and effi- cient solution for unloading systems used for inland water transportation in the genuine behind their target level and, in turn, helped Buhler manufacturing quality combined with to keep wheat prices there and on world best in class components. markets under control. The same goes for the maize market where the past two months have seen more to win all the notable business among to the once dominant global maize supplier unprecedented competition in terms of the large Asian feed importing countries (with which as recently as three or four years ago More InforMatIon: sales volume and pricing from record South the exception of China, discussed under our exported twice as much as its Latin American American crops. Some of this is old crop coarse grain section below). . Bühler GmbH rivals. business, some pre-selling of crops harvested Latest estimates from the USDA suggest Grain Logistics, CH-9240, Uzwil, Switzerland US sales and thus world maize prices, are from around Feb/Mar of this year onward. these two Lat-Am expor ters’ combined alsoTel: +41 719 551111 by another relatively being subdued Fax: +41 719 553949 Even during an earlier spell of rain delays to shipments of maize will reach a record 42m large Ukrainian crop, enabling 12.5m tonnes Email: grain-logistics@buhlergroup.com Argentine planting and a more recent, rather tonnes – over 60% more than the forecast of exports. www.buhlergroup.com 2.6m from Website: That may be down worrying dry spell, the Latin American maize for US expor ts (26m) which has been last season but it’s more twice the historical suppliers seem to have been happy to keep slashed repeatedly in recent months on the average shipped from this country. These undercutting the US by $20 per tonne and competition factor. It’s a remarkable challenge ‘new’ supplies coming onto the world market ite ou r we b s Vi sit vigan.com www. VIGAN manufactures dry agribulk materials handling systems: • Portable pneumatic conveyors or grain pumps (100 - 250 tph); • Pneumatic Continuous barge & Ship Unloaders (160 - 800 tph); VIV Asia 2013 Latest references PYEONGTAEK PORT South Korea 1 NIV 400 tph • Mechanical Continuous Ship Unloaders (up to 1,500 tph); March 13-15, 2013 | BITEC Bangkok, Thailand On rails with cable reels • Mechanical loaders (up to 1,200 tph). as well as complete storage systems in ports and the agricultural industries. LATTAKIA PORT Syria 2 Mobile T200 From project design to complete turnkey bulk handling solutions REGISTER 2 x 250 tph NOW and port terminals with mechanical and/or pneumatic for FREE entrance and reliable and cost effective equipment. high quality conferences at www.viv.net Special themes SWINOUJSCIE Poland (BUNGE GROUP) The world’s most promising meeting point 1 Loader 600 tph to boost your business from Feed to Meat. An affiliate company of VAN DE WIELE group. VIGAN Engineering s.a. • Rue de l’Industrie, 16 • B-1400 Nivelles (Belgium) Phone : +32 67 89 50 41 • Fax : +32 67 89 50 60 • Web : www.vigan.com • E-mail : info@vigan.com Grain &feed millinG technoloGy & Ann A5 Grain0212.indd millinG technoloGy victam feed 1 January - february 2013 | 17 January - february 201315:37:04 21/02/12 | 45
  • 5. Success comes with the original product. Quality always pays off. Bühler is setting standards in the grain processing industry for more than 150 years. Whether you grind wheat, corn, rye, oat, buckwheat, soy, or malt grain – our processes and equipment are finely tuned to get the most from your grain. And this kind of pro- cess quality quickly pays off. The highest flour yields and best product quality ensure fast return on investment. www.buhlergroup.com Visit us at the IDMA 2013 Bühler AG, Grain Milling, 9240 Uzwil, Switzerland, T + 41 71 955 11 11, F + 41 71 955 66 11 in Istanbul (April 4 – 7, 2013), milling@buhlergroup.com, www.buhlergroup.com Hall 10, booth no. B2 Innovations for a better world.
  • 6. peak in the summer months. And, as noted in our last review, the forward futures markets suggest soya will be cheaper next autumn – if all the scheduled crop increases come through. So far, things are looking promising for South American supply to reach or even exceed targets. Crops there did go in late because of heavy rains but have avoided the withering droughts that decimated last year’s output in many areas and some is already being harvested in the early-planted areas of Northern Brazil. The US is meanwhile expected to bump up soya acreage again this also beg the question of where all the extra Feed use of grain has been holding up better spring. However, markets need to see that production will go if the US does get the in the US than in Europe and the former Soviet crop up and running under normal weather record crop farmers there are expected to countries and has recently been revised up conditions before selling into it. There are also plant this spring. The answer is that much by the USDA - which also cut US stocks some uncertainties over other oilseed supplies of it will go to re-stocking, principally in the accordingly, especially for maize. However, the after last year’s disappointing rapeseed and USA itseld. If that does happen, the discounts initial bullish impact of this news proved short- sunflowerseed crops in Canada, Europe and currently offered on new crop (latter 2013) US lived as the Department also raised (rather the former Soviet countries. Some revival is maize futures will have to get much bigger – a than lowered, as the market expected) its needed in these sectors too – especially in development that would help contain wheat final estimate of the US maize crop as well as crops from Europe east and west, to help prices too by reducing feed demand for fine increasing Latin American and other forecasts, keep protein costs down. grains. resulting in a slightly larger global maize crop Overall, the picture at this juncture is one of Europe also needs to grow a bigger maize for 2012/13 than expected late last year. supplies improving and, with a few less global crop this summer after last year’s crashed by On the negative side, the forecast for world weather problems in coming months, perhaps 11.5m tonnes to a multi-year low of under 55m maize consumption jumped too, largely due to some further decline in costs of the main grain – about 9m under projected EU consumption the US adding 7.6m tonnes of usage for the full and feed raw materials. needs. Europe’s consequent huge import need 2012/13 season (which ends August 31). That – at least 8m tonnes – is one oif the few bright spots for global exporters in a season when means US and world stocks will finish 2012/13 at very low levels in terms of consumption Main commodity world maize imports are seen tumbling from needs – about seven weeks of global supply devbelopments since our last 103m to 97m tonnes. Maize is also coming under some restraint compared with almost double that for wheat (and half of that tied up ‘off-market’ in China). review from a weaker trend in the US corn ethanol So, regardless of those extra Latin American market, home for 40% of its crop (and, of and Ukrainian supplies, a big US maize crop Wheat prices down course, a large chunk of EU cereal production rebound is essential this summer to establish Chicago soft red winter wheat prices have too). Although US ethanol output is just about a more comfortable stock cushion against dropped by about 8% since our last review matching USDA targets, production margins possible crop problems in the subsequent after losing as much as 12% at one stage. recently have been poor, often negative, and year.. In Europe, soft milling wheat futures have dropped by about 8-9% while in export markets, US quality hard spring wheats are down by about 9% too. The smallest declines have been seen in US hard red winter wheats amid caution over the poor condition of the coming crop. The firmest sector of the wheat market has been in former Soviet countries where this season’s smaller crops have been sold into export markets at an aggressive pace earlier in the season to capture the high world prices ruling then. Russia is now paying the price with record feedgrain costs and there has been talk of it needing to back- fill with imports, possibly from Europe – a development that could hoist prices here too, if it comes about. Russia is already taking some are believed to have already idled about 20% of In the protein sector, two opposing forces grain from neighbouring Kazakhstan, though, US capacity. The root cause is the still relatively have continued to dominate the markets – and along with a programme of intervention high price of maize. In the boom years of the record Chinese demand, centred on dwindling stock releases this may be enough to cool its last decade, for example, when US capacity was US soya supplies, versus expected record large internal market and avoid raiding the broader rising regularly by as much as 20-30% a year – Latin American soyabean crops. world market. In theory, it could buy US soft and before the ‘blend wall’ or renewable fuel Like the grains, soya prices also failed to hold red winter wheat if it wanted to, cheaper than mandate was approached – US maize was only all their stellar 2012 price gains, finishing the at any time since June. $3.50 a bushel, half its current cost. year with an 18.4% increase against a 49.7% Questions have been raised about the 46 | January - february 2013 Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
  • 7.
  • 8. FIAAP:ad 5/2/13 10:37 Page 1 COMMODITIES FEATURE FEATURE protected, and the aleurone ment cells protective systems intended for the ductwork layer and and therefore reducing the envi- well as all improves the energy value of the feed. the connected use in potentially explosive atmospheres on ronmental impact. ipment are at risk. This the European market. However, it has combination extent topathogenic bacteria in willbecome apparent than expected crop. This is put this down to cautionary stock-building of Reducing which world wheat output with explo- By investing in explosion from a smaller protection, the colon equipment on recover in 2013. The International Grainsthat still a large one by historical comparison the main food staple. The question is whether each vessel, organisations can safeguard themselves eco-further nutri- A third possible mechanism by which 4% uptional benefits are has figured prominently in that phase is completed or has further to run Council ‘tentatively’ puts output the and the country 8 – 10 April 2014 . Bangkok International Trade & Exhibition Centre (BITEC), Bangkok, Thailand nutritive value of feed is increased by feed achieved because export trade but what higher in the second half of the season. If it has run its – which would be around 682m tonnes. recent world enzymes is through the release of oligosac- phytate has the Australia can offer has been course, markets may refocus on the fact that However, the worst-rated US hard red winter quality wheat crop on modern record albeit sown commanding Asia’s foremost exhibition and charides (Choct and Cadogan,–2001). These oncapacity to bind higher and higher premiums. world import demand for wheat overall is still larger area – is a the a wild card of Canada, which conferences for the ingredients cana be formed during bit of degradation in thisother important had a bigger exportable crop running about 8% down on the year, allowing storage and is Russia’scarbohydrates bysouthernminerals pack. So cell wall crop in its main sup- catchment areas and are able to resist such and additives used in the last year, has also been actively competing for global wheat prices to relax further. On the plemental enzymes for exports. In both regionsas calcium, zinc, global wheat import business. Farmers there other hand, the Near East and others might see there has been by of either drought intend to iron production of animal feeds, further degradation talk digestive enzymes ormanganese, sow between 5% and 10% more this further price cuts as a good buying opportunity. andwinterkill clipping as the colon. Once in and year, which will be welcomed for its usually so able to reach much as 25% even 30% copper thus aquafeeds and petfoods the off production potential. Howevera nutri- reducing quality, normal weather permitting. colon these oligosaccharides are that would higher their ent nowhere for beneficial to a national/regionalbioavailability in source near equate bacteria such as Lastly, we should not forget India which has KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS Bifidobacterium and Lactobacillus doing whichwellthe digestive tract. trend. US soft red crops are spp very a seventh successive record crop predicted AHEAD suppressmoregrowth wheat could be sown on Additional in March and needs to clear some and the spring of pathogenic bacteria to arrive such as Salmonella, Clostridium, Campylobacter research has alsopoorly-stored stocks in export • How will US, European and Black Sea abandoned acres. Ukraine’s crop is meanwhile of its record, lector and andin good shape, nomically, established that revealed that Some think it could double sales to could includecoli. probably the best appropriate channels. the Escherichia It is well follow for years, health and crops emerge from a winter of challenging sion, explosion venting or comeback in the secondprotect workers from to around 9m tonnes (also a suggesting a safety standards and largest world phytase reducing pathogenic bacteria in the colon inclusion of market weather? potential risks. improves Sea’ suppliers’ export feed conver- can record). Port logistics might limit what it can • Will the northern hemisphere have more ‘Black weight gain and the role. Then there improve both sion ratio in pigs and poultry. have undoubtedlyileal sell pre-harvest and not everybody wants trade show and conference organised specifically for feed ingredients, is Europe itself. Crops here amino acid FIAAP Asia 2014 is the only dedicated ‘normal’ conditions this year? codes and standards the UK and Northwest Francedigestibility lower quality – additives and it morewithin the dynamicWheat use inoffeeds may ease back if maize struggled in India’s and making formulation of a • and growing region South and South East Asia. otential health problems, feed formulation freezingdietary foravail- Cost saving of excessive wet, recent from months factor feedgrain (maize) markets. However, crops do rebound but in the meantime New for 2014 Supported by sure employers in furtherof the More InforMatIon: Regardless rain and flooding. East Europeanable itmetabolisable and the EU mechanism by which is another bearish influence on prices. Now including the first cheaperThe Thailand Convention could raise use in wheat prices ASEAN Feed Summit and Exhibition Bureau rkers fromthe crops have also had some harsh weatherenergy Wheat prices will also be influenced in the being harmed of BS&Bis increased, the energy value feed Safety Systems (Ravindran this sector Specialist conferences Co-located with ubstances factwith varying levels significantprotection. Willet al monthsPhytate by the level exhibition will be supported in that it occurs is of of snow161 955 4202 the work- Tel: +44 importance 2001). ahead The of import demand. VICTAM Asia 2014 K, under the aproducers and nutritionists. Thiswheat and,is therefore quietened down awill include: Email: sales@bsb-systems.co.uk has con- for Dangerous outlook for German allows very good This by its own specialist conferences. They bit recently after Maize supplies could surge in www.victam.com Contact details The FIAAP Conference 2014 Explosive for hopefully, some better formulating diets sidered as both an active buying, particularly from Atmospheres greater flexibility when spring and summer a long spell of Website: www.bsbipd.com 02 (DSEAR),weather redress the balance?ingredients, willindigestible nutri- meaning work-alternative feed Only time all that Petfood Forum Asia 2014 the Middle Eastern countries. Amid the political Aquafeed Horizons Asia 2014 2013 For visitor, exhibitionvisit: space and conference information please stand The Thai Feed Conference 2014 www.fiaap.com substances thatare traditionally of lower nutritive isent tension constantly breaking out across the tell. could which Among the other big players, Australia and an anti- NEWS that the US had fed a lot more value, can have had some quality disappointmentsnutrient and inter- Arab Spring, some traders maize to its livestock from last year’s said to be utilised in the formulation. This region since the can result in significant savings in feed costs estingly, in the last for producers where, for example, some of decade, research the wheat-based portion of the diet can be has demonstrated replaced with cheaper barley, providing aNAI,that administering M I ND N t ec N IA LA HE ow h suitable blend beta-glucanase and xylanase unconvention- Performance, 1 w olo C GLOBAL MILLING ith g enzymes are incorporated into the diet. ally high doses or flexibility and stability n by ‘superdosing’ CONFERENCE y Phytase development phytase in diets that st The 1990s saw the development of the animal perform- 7- VIV Russia 2013 next enzyme of significant importance in ani-bruarance 9F e y 20 1 3 can be sub- mal nutrition, phytase. Phosphorous is a very stantially improved important and valuable mineral element in all (Cowieson et al species as it is crucial for bone development 2011). India and metabolic processes. May 21-23, 2013 | Moscow, Russia In plants, the majority of phosphorous is Challenges stored in the form of phytate. Monogastrics associated the world’s second largest market are unable to utilise the phosphorous in with phytate so it is a major source of an enzymes use Raise your standards of performance with Safety, sustainability and food supply in milling Econase ® XT and Mixer Liquid Application. important nutrient that is normally wasted. One of the for the 21st Century Instead, producers have to supplement diets major challenges Looking for improved profitability in uncertain times? withRaw materials - demand & supplements   with the cur- • inorganic phosphorous supply trends   Econase ® XT Mixer Liquid Application technology optimises although & food safety on inorganic phos- rent use of feed • Food dependence     production and feed efficiency, offering you significant phorous supplements is developments     • Milling technology a challenge because enzymes is that cost savings. global reserves formulation     • Nutrition & of rock phosphate are not producers face dif- REGISTER NOW The only liquid NSP enzyme stable enough to add prior to pelleting. renewable and the price has escalated. ficult decisions on • Environment & sustainability     for FREE entrance at Furthermore, producers have a tendency which varieties to • Improved FCR • Food security • Consistent in-feed homogeneity www.viv.net to over-supplement with inorganic phos- use and at what • Storage & transportation • Can reduce power consumption when pelleting phorous with the result that most of it is inclusion rates. excreted morethe animal and becomes a Aside from the Econase ® XT from AB Vista – the leaders in enzyme innovation. Find out by at: major environmental pollutant. diet formulation Find outthemes E: econasext@abvista.com to the Special more: Opening the gates http://bit.ly/QpgZGW and the ingredi- T: +44 (0)1672 517664 Russian Feed to Meat trade. W: abvista.com Phytase benefits ents used, there When the development of phytase are a number of enzymes began it was largely to reduce factors that can RAISING STANDARDS the requirements organised by Assocom Jointly for inorganic phospho- affect the efficacy and Grain & Feed Milling Technology magazine rous thus saving money for producers and of feed enzymes. & & Grain millinG technoloGy January - february 2013 | 11 Grain feed feed millinG technoloGy January - february 2013 2013 | 47 January - february | 19 C_90x132mm.indd 1 16/10/2012 16:50
  • 9.
  • 10. disappointingly small crop gave prices a lift in January. Earlier, the Chicago futures market had been down as much as 10% from its early December highs. The USDA raised its US feeding number by 7.6m tonnes to 113m. However, it also cut US exports by 5m tonnes and raised the 2012 final crop estimate by 1.4m, limiting the impact on US ending stocks to a more manageable 1.1m tonne decline. Given that US exports are still running well behind the target pace, it’s possible that figure could go lower still, freeing up a little more ending stock. On the plus side for supplies, USDA raised combined South American production by KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS This will be none too soon for the US 1.5m tonnes and the region’s expor ts by 3.5m. With increments to other, smaller AHEAD market which has been selling its supplies out far too fas t for comfor t, chief ly producers, world corn output actually • US 2013 crop maize planting area and feeding record first-half-season demand increased last month to 852.3m from 849.1m growing weather will determine whether from top buyer China. Although some tonnes. Nonetheless, world ending stocks US and global stocks of the grain return to of these advance bookings (ranging into have tightened further still. more ‘normal’ levels 2013.14 now) could be washed out and On the restraining side, as mentioned above, • How long will export competition from switched to South American, the US is competition for US maize on world markets Latin America, former Soviet countries and likely to star t next season with very small is keeping a lid on prices. This is coming not India contiunue intoi second quarter 2013? stocks. That will make markets sensitive only from South American and east European The South American crops look promising over the coming months to any US weather maize exports but from still relatively cheap but need more rain as we go to press problems, before, during and well after feed wheat, including Indian and even some • Will US corn ethanol use revive after an sowing the crop around April/May. If all South American and is expected to continue unusual decline in 2012? goes well, the US should fur ther boost into second quarter 2013. • Chinese demand for maize has grown 37% 2013 supplies and help keep prices moving Despite USDA’s upward revision, US feed use in just four years – can its crop keep up or lower. of maize, also taking about 40% of production, will they raid the world market for larger Protein users have become increasingly will still be about 2m tonnes lower than last volumes? dependent on soya in this season of year’s and about 9m less than in 2010/11. • Speculators’ enthusiasm to buy into any disappointing rapeseed and sunflowerseed However, US ethanol use is forecast about crop weather problems production. Apart from a little extra feeding 10% down this season and may fall further still of palm kernel and groundnut meal, almost if profitability fails to stem the current spate Proteins/oilmeals - demand to all the increase in this season’s oilmeal of plant shutdowns and slowdowns. All of this consumption will be fed by soyabean could spell slightly larger stocks to start the new mop up extra soya? products. At this stage, there are no firm US season on September 1. SOYA supplies are still improving. The pointers to alternative oilmeals making final US harvest a much bigger contribution in 2013/14 estimate has but we still have to see how Canadian been revised rapeseed, EU and former Soviet countries’ up by more spring rape and sunflower plantings pan than expected out. So far this lack of substitutes has while South helped keep soya prices relatively f irm. American crops Despite dipping by around 7% at one stage are looking closer since our last review, the Chicago market to attaining the has recently recouped most of its losses. record 144.25m However, if the US gets the 90m tonne (plus 33.25m) crop some expect in 2013, prices should forecast by the come down more emphatically. USDA . T he tot al incr ea se in world output KEY FACTORS IN THE MONTHS equals about AHEAD World barley production also fell to a 26m tonnes more meal whereas global multi-year low this season at just under consumption is only expected to increase • South American crop weather during the 130m tonnes and with consumption running by about 5.2m. Although there have been remainder of the growing/harvest period closer to 133m, ending stocks will fall to a some dry weather jitters recently, the Lat- • The timing of importers’ switch to Lat-Am multi-year low of under 20m tonnes. Stocks Am crops are now entering the home run from US supplies will be par ticularly low within the EU by and some are already starting harvest so, • US spring planting decisions – and end-June – 3.6m tonne compared with barring an extended dry spell or some last accompanying weather 15.6m just three years ago so there is not minute harvest weather problems, soya • Chinese demand for soya meal much leeway if anything goes wrong with demand should be making its annual shift to • EU/CIS rapeseed & sunflowerseed and the next crop. the southern hemisphere suppliers shortly. Canadian canola plantings and weather 48 | January - february 2013 Grain &feed millinG technoloGy
  • 11. FEATURE the product is not efficient. (data from Dr. alpha and beta forms)or mannans. Not associated form of selenium in the ani- Morgane Henry, Hellenic Center for marine all the YCW are equal. Efficiency should mal’s body and then allow making organic Research , 2011) WANT NEWS? be checked as a prerequisite to use, or selenium which are readily available when YCW products, depending Grain & Feed Milling Technology magazine has two new options for you reactions occur. on the quality change, YCW. oxidative stress of the autolysed yeast separation, containup to the LFA we have conducted a survey - online and At minute! The main application would be in aqua- also significant percentages of proteins and of four YCW (2 bakery and 2 brewery culture as fish meal is a main supply of lipids. It should be noted that the lower the yeasts) produced in 4 of our own facto- selenium and the development of diets with level of proteins, the higher of level of carbo- ries in the same L. Anguillarum challenge less fish meal will require compensation of hydrates, and then the better immunostimu- in sea bass supplemented at 0.5 g/kg selenium in aquafeed formulae. Such an lation from the YCW is. Various quality of of feed for 8 weeks. Only 2 responded application could be useful in preventing YCW are on the animal production market significantly (1 bakery, 1 brewery), the the oxidation of poly unsaturated fatty acids Global THE and major differences can be found between remaining 2 had even negative results at 4 (PUFA) in fish flesh. Chromium yeast is Miller products depending on the strain, the sub- weeks (lower survival than control). This seldom used in aquaculture diets. strate used to produce the yeast, and event result shows first that not all is under- the drying process. stood in the way these products work Conclusion Mannans represent as most 25-27 per- and that one particular YCW cannot be Yeast products are getting more fre- cent of YCW in good quality YCW from replaced by another. quently used in aquaculture. Some appli- The Global Miller blog is an online offshoot The Global Milling News service is a new primary grown yeasts, but can be found cations are promising as the use as an of Grain & Feed Milling Technology magazine. development from the Perendale Publishers as low as 9 percent in crude preparation Selenium yeast alternative source of proteins or as a sanitary While the bi-monthly magazine covers mill- Limited family of grain, feed and flour milling coming from industry by-products. Glucans Yeast can be induced to be a source and welfare enhancer. However many ing issues in-depth, the Global Miller takes a publications. The site scours the web to find or poly-glucose can range from 18 To 40 of organic selenium, mainly under the products ranging from crude ethanol yeast lighter approach. The columnists dig out the relevant stories from around the globe. The percent. YCW Protein level remains the form of seleniomethionine, which is then by-products to more purified beta-glucans best daily industry stories, show and event information is then ranked and orgnaised by most convenient indicator of quality, the stored in proteins. During the growth are available on the market. Therefore news and highlights from the print magazine topic, making it easy to find information. If best products being those having lower of baker’s yeast, selenium is added to potential users must accurately select them and bring them to you ever day ... you’re searching for a specific topic, you’ll nitrogen content. The variability between the medium and is replacing sulphurfind it at Global Milling News. in in function of their targeted application. It is batches can also be very high. Texture methionine. The excess of selenium is also as important to select a reliable source should be checked first. Good YCW often then eliminated by careful washing steps of the products to ensure a consistency of have a smooth, fine texture, low granu- (see Figure 5) to ensure that the selenium the supply and the quality. lometry and a light beige colour. There is left is 97-99 percent organic. Selenium also the tendency to believe that all YCW yeast should be then checked for the GO MOBILE All of our services are also available for your smart More InforMatIon: are the same and that differentiation To find out more about our news services visit: of highest percentage of selenomethionine phone.Visit http://www.gfmt.co.uk/pplapp for a demo Website: www.yeast-science.com to get the app version of our app - or use the QR code http://www.gfmt.co.uk/millingnews products must be done to the highest level and the consistency between batches. FREE on your mobile. of glucans (sometimes measured as both Seleniomethionine is the main carbon- www.symaga.com symaga@symaga.com Offices and Factory: Ctra. de Arenas km. 2,300 13210 Villarta de San Juan • Ciudad Real- Spain T: +34 926 640 475 • F: +34 926 640 294 Madrid Office: C/ Azcona, 37 • 28028 Madrid - Spain grain silos hoppered silos T: +34 91 726 43 04 • F: +34 91 361 15 94 Grain &feed millinG technoloGy January - february 2013 | 31 49
  • 12. Milling Technology magazine. Content from the magazine is available to view free-of-charge, both as a full LINKS This digital Re-print is part of the January | February 2013 edition of Grain & Feed online magazine on our website, and as an archive of individual features on the docstoc website. Please click here to view our other publications on www.docstoc.com. January - February 2013 first published in 1891 • See the full issue • Controlling the explosion risks within hammer mills • Visit the GFMT website • • Contact the GFMT Team Recycling surplus factory food In this issue: into quality animal feeds • Efficient barge unloading technology • Use of computer • Feed • Subscribe to GFMT programming enzymes in animal diet in animal formulation nutrition INCORPORATING PORTS, DISTRIBUTION AND FORMULATION A subscription magazine for the global flour & feed milling industries - first published in 1891 To purchase a paper copy of the magazine, or to subscribe to the paper edi- tion please contact our Circulation and Subscriptions Manager on the link adove. INFORMATION FOR ADVERTISERS - CLICK HERE Article reprints All Grain & Feed Milling Tecchnology feature articles can be re-printed as a 4 or 8 page booklets (these have been used as point of sale materials, promotional materials for shows and exhibitions etc). If you are interested in getting this article re-printed please contact the GFMT team for more informa- tion on - Tel: +44 1242 267707 - Email: jamest@gfmt.co.uk or visit www.gfmt.co.uk/reprints www.gfmt.co.uk