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Tesla’s Self-Driven Electric Cars
Powered by Over-the-Air (OTA)
Technology
Ghanesh Kulkarni
ISM 6026
April 18th, 2016
1
2
$2.7 B
$35 B
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2015 2022
Recall Cost
Sage, A. (2015, September 29). Big Auto look to tech companies to fix cars over the air. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-wireless-idUSKCN0RT0BV20150929
Fig. 1: Estimated Car Recalls by 2022
3Preview
The Context
The Technology
Competitive Environment
The Economics
Organizational Implementation
4
The Context
32,000 Road Fatalities
US
$1.3 Trillion
Global
$5.6 Trillion
Fig. 2: Accidents Cause Damage to the Society
Fig. 3: Autonomous cars will contribute to Economy
5
The Context
IT Influence on
Automotive Industry
Tesla’s Founders
Fig. 4: Tesla pioneering automotive innovations
Fig. 5: They founded Tesla Motors in 2003
6
The Technology
Fig. 6: Over-the-Air Connectivity Fig. 7: Updates pushed via Network
Fig. 8: Car’s Internal
System Architecture
7
The Technology
Fig. 9: Auto-pilot Features
Fig. 10: Tesla’s Phone App
8Competitive Environment
Fig. 11: Tesla’s Competitors
V/S
Tech Competitors Traditional Automakers
9Competitive Environment
Strength
1. Environment Friendly Image
2. Integrated IT Platform
3. Brand Positioning as Innovative
and Technology Company
4. Direct to Customer Business
Model
5. Supercharging Stations
6. Business Partners and Investors
Weakness
1. Delays in Production
2. Limited Product Line
3. Lack of Experience in
Automotive Industry
Opportunities
1. Increased Production from
Gigafactory
2. Increased Environmental
Awareness
3. First Movers Advantage
Threats
1. Experienced Industry Leaders
2. Regulatory Restriction could
discourage Auto-Pilot R&D
Efforts
10
The Economics
 2015 Gross Revenue: $4.05 Billion
 2015 Net Income: $923.50 Million (35% increase from 2014)
 30% Profit Margin
 Investing $5 Billion on construction of Gigafactory
 Actively Increasing Network of Supercharging Stations
 Focused on building a pool of Talented Automotive
Professionals
Major Highlights from Annual Report Submitted to
Security and Exchange Commission (SEC), 2016
SEC.gov. (2016, February 2). Form 10-K - Annual report. Retrieved 04/01/2016 from
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459016013195/0001564590-16-013195-index.htm
11
The Economics
Impact on Cost V/S Value Addition
 Manufacturing Cost per Vehicle $62,000
 Autopilot Activation Charge $3,000
 80% Owners paid Activation Fees in 2015
Fig. 13: Best CaseFig. 12: 5 year Projections
12
The Economics
Fig. 15: Most Likely Case
Fig. 14: Worst Case (23% less than best case)
13
Organizational Implementation
Fig. 16: Critical Risks
14
Organizational Implementation
Fig. 18: Critical Success Factors
2-3
Years
Fig. 17: Estimated Time Line 2 to 3 Years
15
Owning a Non-Autonomous Car in Fifteen Years
from Now Will be Like Still Owning a Horse
– Elon Musk
Thank You!!
?
16
References 17Bergen, M. (2015, October 14). With New Software Rollout, Tesla Accelerates Toward Fully Self-Driving Cars. Retrieved 02/18/2016 from
http://recode.net/2015/10/14/with-new-software-rollout-tesla-accelerates-toward-full-self-driving-cars/
Bullis, K. (2013, August). How Tesla Is Driving Electric Car Innovation. MIT Technology Review. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/516961/how- tesla-is-driving-electric-car-innovation/
Calpito, D. (2016, January 11). Tesla Curbs Model S Autopilot Features, Yet Elon Musk Promises Driverless Cars Going Cross-Country in 2018. Retrieved
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going-cross-country-in-2018.htm
Dalton, M. (2015, December 12). Nations Unite in Global Agreement on Climate Change. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from
http://www.wsj.com/articles/final-draft-of-global-climate-change-deal-is-complete-1449906731
Energy.gov. (2014, September 15). The History of the Electric Car. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from http://energy.gov/articles/history-electric-carFord:
Ford Motor Company. (2016). Company Timeline. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from http://corporate.ford.com/company/history.html
Gao, P., Kaas, H. W., Mohr, D., & Wee, D. (2016, January). Disruptive trends that will transform the auto industry. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from
http://www.mckinsey.com/industries/high-tech/our-insights/disruptive-trends-that-will-transform-the-auto-industry
Gilbert, D. (2015, August 6). Tesla Model S hacked: Researchers discover six security flaws in popular electric car. International Business Times. Retrieved
03/26/2016 from http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/tesla-model-s-hacked-researchers-discover-six-security-flaws-popular-electric-car-1514352
Heisler, Y. (2015, November 4). Elon Musk: Not having a self-driving car in 15 years will be like still owning a horse. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from
http://bgr.com/2015/11/04/tesla-self-driving-cars/
Hirsch, J. (2015, March 19). Elon Musk: Model S not a car but a “sophisticated computer on wheels.” Los Angeles Times. Retrieved
03/24/2016 from http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-fi-hy-musk-computer-on-wheels-20150319- story.html
Indiagarner. (2013, June 6). Relationship between Human beings and Cars. Retrieved 03/24/2016 from
https://indiagarner.wordpress.com/2013/06/06/relationship-between-human-beings-and-cars/
King, R. (2014, May 15). At Tesla, Software Takes the Driver’s Seat. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 03/24/2016 from
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Konrad, A. (2013, October 17). Tesla Now Connects Every Car to Internet through AT&T Wireless, but it’s Not 4G LTE. Retrieved
03/31/2016 from http://www.forbes.com/sites/alexkonrad/2013/10/17/tesla-att-connected-cars/#32c855e1359a
18Loveday, E. (2014). Tesla’s Model S App. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from http://insideevs.com/video-9-to-5-mac-selects-tesla-model-s-
app-as-iphone-app-of-the-year/
Mahaffey, K. (2015, August 7). Hacking a Tesla Model S: What we found and what we learned. Retrieved 03/25/2016 from
https://blog.lookout.com/blog/2015/08/07/hacking-a-tesla/
MarketWatch.Com (2016, February 24). Annual Financials for Tesla Motors Inc. Retrieved 04/01/2016 from
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/tsla/financials
Mearian, L. (2015, February 5). Over-the-air software coming soon to your next car. Retrieved 03/27/2016 from
http://www.computerworld.com/article/2880150/over-the-air-software-coming-soon-to-your-next-car.html
Middleton, R. (2015, September 22). Apple targets electric car shipping date for 2019. International Business Times. Retrieved
03/28/2016 from http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/apple-targets-electric-car-shipping-date-2019-1520641
Moritz, S., & Ohnsman, A. (2013, October). Tesla Using AT&T Service in Cars. Bloomberg. Retrieved 03/26/2016 from
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-10-17/tesla-will-use-at-t-service-in-cars
Muoio, D. (2016, April 1). Here is the Tesla Model 3. Tech Insider. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from http://www.techinsider.io/photos-
here-is-the-tesla-model-3-2016-4
Newcomb, D. (2015, March 27). Tesla Update Strategy Leaves Other Automakers in the Dust. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from
http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2478816,00.asp
Ninkovic, S. (2015, October 10). The 3 Advantages Of 2-Part Pricing - How Tesla’s Autopilot Could Have Changed Its Business
Model. Retrieved 03/29/2016 from http://www.ev-analyst.com/home/the-3-advantages-of-2-part-pricing-how-teslas-autopilot-
changes-the-business-model
Ramsey, M. (2015). Tesla Ramps up Hiring as Rivals Loom. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from 03/29/2016
http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-ramps-up-hiring-as-rivals-loom-1451350702
Randall, T. (2015, August). Here’s How Elon Musk Gets Tesla to 500,000 Cars a Year by 2020. Bloomberg. Retrieved 03/29/2016
from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-10/here-s-how-elon-musk-takes- tesla-to-500-000-cars-in-five-years
Duffer, R. (2016, April 2). Tesla autopilot turns driver on to not driving. Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from
http://www.chicagotribune.com/classified/automotive/sc-tesla-models-autopilot-1210-20151207-story.html
Sage, A. (2015, September 29). Big Auto look to tech companies to fix cars over the air. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-wireless-idUSKCN0RT0BV20150929
19
SEC.gov. (2016, February 2). Form 10-K - Annual report. Retrieved 04/01/2016 from
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459016013195/0001564590-16-013195-index.htm
Sparks, D. (2015, May 13). SWOT Analysis of Tesla Stock. Retrieved 03/29/2016 from
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/05/13/swot-analysis-of-tesla- stock.aspx?source=eptfxblnk0000004
Sparks, D. (2016, March 2). Tesla Motors, Inc.’s Autopilot is “a Breakthrough Technology.” Retrieved 04/01/2016 from
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/03/02/tesla-motors-incs-autopilot-is-a-breakthrough-tech.aspx
Sparks, D. (2016, January 11). Elon Musk: The First “Summon” Feature Is Just a “Baby Step.” Retrieved 03/30/2016 from
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/01/11/elon-musk-the-first-summon-feature-is-just-a-baby.aspx
Spector, M., & Ramsey, M. (2016). U.S. Proposes Spending $4 Billion to Encourage Driverless Cars. The Wall Street Journal.
Retrieved 03/31/2016 from http://www.wsj.com/articles/obama-administration-proposes-spending-4-billion-on-driverless-car-
guidelines-1452798787
Stall, J. D. (2016). Tesla’s Model 3 Electric Car Gets Requests for 180,000 Vehicles on First Day of Orderings. The Wall Street
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hours-1459483890
Tesla Motors, Inc. (2016). Tesla’s mission is to accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy. Retrieved 03/26/2016
from https://www.teslamotors.com/about
Tesla Motors, Inc. (2016, February 10). Tesla Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Update. Retrieved 03/26/2016 from
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4892824F058D/Q4_15_Tesla_Update_Letter.pdf
TeslaTap.com. (2014, October 17). Cost for Autopilot Retrofit. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from
https://forums.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/cost-autopilot-retrofit
Wesoff, E. (2014, May 27). Tesla CTO on Energy Storage: “We Should All Be Thinking Bigger.” Retrieved 03/26/2016 from
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Williams, M. (2012, August 14). Tesla CTO talks Model S, batteries and in-car Linux. Retrieved 03/27/2016 from
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Zhang, B. (2012). Tesla wants to take self-driving cars to a whole new level. Business Insider Retrieved 03/26/2016 from
http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-on-tesla-over-the-air-software-update-summon-feature-2016-1

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Tesla's technological innovations

  • 1. Tesla’s Self-Driven Electric Cars Powered by Over-the-Air (OTA) Technology Ghanesh Kulkarni ISM 6026 April 18th, 2016 1
  • 2. 2 $2.7 B $35 B 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2015 2022 Recall Cost Sage, A. (2015, September 29). Big Auto look to tech companies to fix cars over the air. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-wireless-idUSKCN0RT0BV20150929 Fig. 1: Estimated Car Recalls by 2022
  • 3. 3Preview The Context The Technology Competitive Environment The Economics Organizational Implementation
  • 4. 4 The Context 32,000 Road Fatalities US $1.3 Trillion Global $5.6 Trillion Fig. 2: Accidents Cause Damage to the Society Fig. 3: Autonomous cars will contribute to Economy
  • 5. 5 The Context IT Influence on Automotive Industry Tesla’s Founders Fig. 4: Tesla pioneering automotive innovations Fig. 5: They founded Tesla Motors in 2003
  • 6. 6 The Technology Fig. 6: Over-the-Air Connectivity Fig. 7: Updates pushed via Network Fig. 8: Car’s Internal System Architecture
  • 7. 7 The Technology Fig. 9: Auto-pilot Features Fig. 10: Tesla’s Phone App
  • 8. 8Competitive Environment Fig. 11: Tesla’s Competitors V/S Tech Competitors Traditional Automakers
  • 9. 9Competitive Environment Strength 1. Environment Friendly Image 2. Integrated IT Platform 3. Brand Positioning as Innovative and Technology Company 4. Direct to Customer Business Model 5. Supercharging Stations 6. Business Partners and Investors Weakness 1. Delays in Production 2. Limited Product Line 3. Lack of Experience in Automotive Industry Opportunities 1. Increased Production from Gigafactory 2. Increased Environmental Awareness 3. First Movers Advantage Threats 1. Experienced Industry Leaders 2. Regulatory Restriction could discourage Auto-Pilot R&D Efforts
  • 10. 10 The Economics  2015 Gross Revenue: $4.05 Billion  2015 Net Income: $923.50 Million (35% increase from 2014)  30% Profit Margin  Investing $5 Billion on construction of Gigafactory  Actively Increasing Network of Supercharging Stations  Focused on building a pool of Talented Automotive Professionals Major Highlights from Annual Report Submitted to Security and Exchange Commission (SEC), 2016 SEC.gov. (2016, February 2). Form 10-K - Annual report. Retrieved 04/01/2016 from http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459016013195/0001564590-16-013195-index.htm
  • 11. 11 The Economics Impact on Cost V/S Value Addition  Manufacturing Cost per Vehicle $62,000  Autopilot Activation Charge $3,000  80% Owners paid Activation Fees in 2015 Fig. 13: Best CaseFig. 12: 5 year Projections
  • 12. 12 The Economics Fig. 15: Most Likely Case Fig. 14: Worst Case (23% less than best case)
  • 14. 14 Organizational Implementation Fig. 18: Critical Success Factors 2-3 Years Fig. 17: Estimated Time Line 2 to 3 Years
  • 15. 15 Owning a Non-Autonomous Car in Fifteen Years from Now Will be Like Still Owning a Horse – Elon Musk
  • 17. References 17Bergen, M. (2015, October 14). With New Software Rollout, Tesla Accelerates Toward Fully Self-Driving Cars. Retrieved 02/18/2016 from http://recode.net/2015/10/14/with-new-software-rollout-tesla-accelerates-toward-full-self-driving-cars/ Bullis, K. (2013, August). How Tesla Is Driving Electric Car Innovation. MIT Technology Review. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from https://www.technologyreview.com/s/516961/how- tesla-is-driving-electric-car-innovation/ Calpito, D. (2016, January 11). Tesla Curbs Model S Autopilot Features, Yet Elon Musk Promises Driverless Cars Going Cross-Country in 2018. Retrieved 02/25/2016 from http://www.techtimes.com/articles/123277/20160111/tesla-curbs-model-s-autopilot-features-yet-elon-musk-promises-driverless-cars- going-cross-country-in-2018.htm Dalton, M. (2015, December 12). Nations Unite in Global Agreement on Climate Change. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from http://www.wsj.com/articles/final-draft-of-global-climate-change-deal-is-complete-1449906731 Energy.gov. (2014, September 15). The History of the Electric Car. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from http://energy.gov/articles/history-electric-carFord: Ford Motor Company. (2016). Company Timeline. Retrieved 03/22/2016 from http://corporate.ford.com/company/history.html Gao, P., Kaas, H. W., Mohr, D., & Wee, D. (2016, January). Disruptive trends that will transform the auto industry. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from http://www.mckinsey.com/industries/high-tech/our-insights/disruptive-trends-that-will-transform-the-auto-industry Gilbert, D. (2015, August 6). Tesla Model S hacked: Researchers discover six security flaws in popular electric car. International Business Times. Retrieved 03/26/2016 from http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/tesla-model-s-hacked-researchers-discover-six-security-flaws-popular-electric-car-1514352 Heisler, Y. (2015, November 4). Elon Musk: Not having a self-driving car in 15 years will be like still owning a horse. Retrieved 03/23/2016 from http://bgr.com/2015/11/04/tesla-self-driving-cars/ Hirsch, J. (2015, March 19). Elon Musk: Model S not a car but a “sophisticated computer on wheels.” Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 03/24/2016 from http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-fi-hy-musk-computer-on-wheels-20150319- story.html Indiagarner. (2013, June 6). Relationship between Human beings and Cars. Retrieved 03/24/2016 from https://indiagarner.wordpress.com/2013/06/06/relationship-between-human-beings-and-cars/ King, R. (2014, May 15). At Tesla, Software Takes the Driver’s Seat. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 03/24/2016 from http://blogs.wsj.com/cio/2014/05/15/at-tesla-software-takes-the-drivers-seat/ Konrad, A. (2013, October 17). Tesla Now Connects Every Car to Internet through AT&T Wireless, but it’s Not 4G LTE. Retrieved 03/31/2016 from http://www.forbes.com/sites/alexkonrad/2013/10/17/tesla-att-connected-cars/#32c855e1359a
  • 18. 18Loveday, E. (2014). Tesla’s Model S App. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from http://insideevs.com/video-9-to-5-mac-selects-tesla-model-s- app-as-iphone-app-of-the-year/ Mahaffey, K. (2015, August 7). Hacking a Tesla Model S: What we found and what we learned. Retrieved 03/25/2016 from https://blog.lookout.com/blog/2015/08/07/hacking-a-tesla/ MarketWatch.Com (2016, February 24). Annual Financials for Tesla Motors Inc. Retrieved 04/01/2016 from http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/tsla/financials Mearian, L. (2015, February 5). Over-the-air software coming soon to your next car. Retrieved 03/27/2016 from http://www.computerworld.com/article/2880150/over-the-air-software-coming-soon-to-your-next-car.html Middleton, R. (2015, September 22). Apple targets electric car shipping date for 2019. International Business Times. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/apple-targets-electric-car-shipping-date-2019-1520641 Moritz, S., & Ohnsman, A. (2013, October). Tesla Using AT&T Service in Cars. Bloomberg. Retrieved 03/26/2016 from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-10-17/tesla-will-use-at-t-service-in-cars Muoio, D. (2016, April 1). Here is the Tesla Model 3. Tech Insider. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from http://www.techinsider.io/photos- here-is-the-tesla-model-3-2016-4 Newcomb, D. (2015, March 27). Tesla Update Strategy Leaves Other Automakers in the Dust. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2478816,00.asp Ninkovic, S. (2015, October 10). The 3 Advantages Of 2-Part Pricing - How Tesla’s Autopilot Could Have Changed Its Business Model. Retrieved 03/29/2016 from http://www.ev-analyst.com/home/the-3-advantages-of-2-part-pricing-how-teslas-autopilot- changes-the-business-model Ramsey, M. (2015). Tesla Ramps up Hiring as Rivals Loom. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from 03/29/2016 http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-ramps-up-hiring-as-rivals-loom-1451350702 Randall, T. (2015, August). Here’s How Elon Musk Gets Tesla to 500,000 Cars a Year by 2020. Bloomberg. Retrieved 03/29/2016 from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-10/here-s-how-elon-musk-takes- tesla-to-500-000-cars-in-five-years Duffer, R. (2016, April 2). Tesla autopilot turns driver on to not driving. Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 04/02/2016 from http://www.chicagotribune.com/classified/automotive/sc-tesla-models-autopilot-1210-20151207-story.html Sage, A. (2015, September 29). Big Auto look to tech companies to fix cars over the air. Retrieved 03/28/2016 from http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-wireless-idUSKCN0RT0BV20150929
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