Presentation by David Ward, Secretary General, Global New Car Assessment Programme 29 October 2015, Mandarin Orchard, Singapore

1. Road Map for Safer Cars 2020
Presentation by
David Ward, Secretary General,
Global New Car Assessment Programme
29 October 2015, Mandarin Orchard,
Singapore

2. On 25 September the UN adopted the
Global Goals for Sustainable Development.
Road safety is included in Goals 3 and 11
For Health and Cities, with a target to:
Halve the number of global deaths
and injuries from road crashes by
2020.
This is the UN’s strongest ever road safety
commitment and the first ever global
casualty reduction target.
To meet the new target requires major
improvements in fatality rates per 100,000
Population in high middle and low income
countries.
Global Goals for Sustainable Development and Road Safety
High Income Countries: from 8.7 per
deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 4 by 2020
Middle Income Countries: from 20.1 per
deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 7 by 2020
Low Income Countries: from 18.3 per
deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 12 by 2020

3. Global Status Report on Road Safety 2015
The World Health Organisation’s new report
shows that in 79 countries road fatalities have
fallen but risen in 68. Although the overall level
of road deaths has stabilised the WHO warns
that “the pace of change is too slow”.
The report also shows that fatality rates of low
and middle income countries are more than
twice that of high income nations. Despite
having only half the worlds vehicles they also
have 90% of total road deaths.
The report also confirms that road crashes are
the number one killer of young people aged
between 15-19 years.
More action is clearly required to achieve the
new UN target to halve road deaths by 2020.

4. The Decade is supported by a Global Plan with
five pillars of action:
1. Building Management Capacity
2. Encouraging Safer User Behaviour
3. Building Safer Vehicles
4. Building Safer Roads
5. Improving Post Crash Care
The Global Plan includes seven recommended
activities to promote vehicle safety; such as
applying minimum crash test standards and
promoting NCAPs in all world regions. This was
endorsed by the UN GA in a resolution in April 2014.
In November progress of the Decade will be
reviewed at the 2nd Global High Level Conference on
Road Safety hosted by the Government of Brazil on
18-19 November in Brasilia.
UN Decade of Action for Road Safety

5. UN Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations
The Global Plan of the Decade supports
wider application of the most important
global standards available under the 1958
and 1998 agreements of the UN World
Forum for Harmonisation of Vehicle
Regulations (WP29).*
These are:
Reg. 14 Seat belt anchorages
Reg. 16 Safety belts & restraints
Reg. 94 Frontal collision
Reg. 95 Lateral collision
Reg.13H (GTR 8) Electronic stability control
Reg.127 (GTR 9) Pedestrian protection
Reg. 44/129 Child restraints
*or equivalent national standards (eg: FVMSSs)

6. The 2015 Status Report:
• Reveals “worrying data” showing that
only 40 out of a total of 193 UN
Member States fully apply the seven
most important UN safety regulations
and these are overwhelmingly high-
income countries.
• Says “there is an urgent need for these
minimum vehicle standards to be
implemented by every country”.
• Warns that “regulations helping to
protect occupants withstand front and
side impact crashes are poorly
implemented globally” and also calls for
mandatory fitment of electronic
stability control.
Vehicle Safety in the Global Road Safety Status Report 2015

7. In high income countries the combination of
safety standards and consumer information
have made passenger cars safer than ever
before. This is the positive result of “regulatory
push” and “demand pull”.
The challenge now is to extend this progress to
the rapidly motorising low and middle income
countries which now account 50% of car sales
and production…and over 90% of road fatalities.
Today millions of new cars sold in low and
middle income countries fail to meet minimum
UN crash test standards, have no air bags, and
no electronic stability control (ESC).
Vehicle Safety’s Winning Formula:
Regulatory Push & Demand Pull

8. Crash Worthiness: Front & Side Occupant Protection
Crash tests for front and side impact are the
most important assessment tools for occupant
protection; and are used both in legislation
and consumer information programmes.
The frontal impact simulates a car to car crash
in which the test vehicle hits a barrier that
replicates the soft front end of the other
vehicle. The impact is ‘offset’ with a 40%
overlap.
The UN Reg. 94 test speed is 56 km/h whilst
NCAP tests usually use 64 km/h (a speed
at which fatalities are likely to occur).
The side impact test uses a trolley that hits the
vehicle just above the door sill area at 50 km/h.

9. No airbag and poor body shell integrity
gives zero stars. But just adding an airbag
(see below) makes no difference…
The combination of good body shell
integrity and an airbag results in a
survivable crash.

10. Global NCAP For Safer Cars…Worldwide
The first NCAP was launched in 1978
by the US National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration.
NCAPs promote a ‘market for safety’
by raising awareness of the car buying
public, and rewarding manufacturers
that build the safest cars.
There are now nine NCAPs active in Asia, Australia, Europe, Latin America and the USA.
In 2011 Global NCAP was launched as a UK registered charity which aims to:
• offer support to New Car Assessment Programmes in emerging economies and regions
by offering technical support guidance and quality assurance.
• provide a platform for cooperation for NCAPs and like organisations around the world to
share best practice, and exchange information.
• support the UN Decade of Action 2011-2020 and implementation of the Global Plan for
the Decade especially its motor vehicle pillar.

11. Since 2012 ASEAN NCAP has tested over 50
models with results varying from zero to five
stars. The test requirement in ASEAN NCAP
for five stars includes electronic stability control.
This year ASEAN NCAP plans to test at least 17 cars
with further results being released through the
year. See: http://www.aseancap.org/
In September ASEAN NCAP held its Annual Forum
in Bandung Indonesia bringing together road safety
experts and partners from across the ASEAN
region. They completed their pilot phase and
published a report listing all the results.
Last month ASEAN NCAP also carried out a motor
cycle crash test to demonstrate the two wheeler
safety issues.
2015 Update

12. Over 56 cars tested
with 18 five star
results

13. The Growing Importance of Crash Avoidance Systems
Three key crash avoidance systems are today’s priority
technologies for passenger cars, buses, commercial
vehicles and motor cycles:
Electronic Stability Control (ESC) anti-skid system
with capacity to reduce up to 40% of run-off road
crashes. Now mandatory in most high income
countries.
Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB) automatically
applies the brakes if the driver does not react and can
cut collisions at low speed by 20%. Pedestrian systems
are also appearing and will become an important injury
prevention technology.
Motorcycle Anti-lock Brakes (ABS) improves stability
and braking performance. Motorcycles equipped with
ABS have rate of fatal crashes 37 per cent lower than
same models without.

14. without ESC with ESC
Seventeen case studies between 2001 and
2007 have shown ESC to be highly effective.
In Europe it is estimated that since 1995 at
least 188,500 crashes involving injury have
been avoided and more than 6,100 lives
saved by ESC.
ESC is mandatory in Australia, Canada, the
European Union, Israel, Japan, New
Zealand, Russia, South Korea, Turkey and
the USA and will soon also be in Argentina.
Global NCAP believes that the current ESC
global fitment rate of just over 60% of new
passenger cars and light duty vehicles is too
low and wants this to be raised to 100% by
2020.
ESC: A Proven Life Saver

15. CC/MKC2 | 17.10.2014 | © Robert Bosch GmbH 2013. All rights reserved, also regarding any disposal, exploitation,
reproduction, editing, distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
94%
95% 96% 97%
97% 97% 98% 98%
98%
78%
84%
88%
91% 92%
93% 93% 94%
94%
70%
74% 80%
83%
87% 89%
90% 90%
90%
73%
74%
72%
69%
75%
59%
60%
65%
71%
75%
77%
80% 80%
80%
55%
59%
63%
65%
67%
69%
71% 72%
72%
20%
19%
28%
50%
57%
63%
67%
71%
72%
25%
32%
39%
45%
49% 53%
55%
57%
57%
4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
6% 6%
9%
10%
3%
4%
9%
14%
30%
46%
68%
86%
89%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
North America
Europe
Japan
Australia
Korea
World
Russland
China
India
Brasilien
ESC Global Installation Rates to 2021
Passenger cars &
LCV <6

16. Better to Stop the Crash than Have One!
#Stop the Crash is a new global initiative to promote
the most important crash avoidance systems and also
tyre safety.
#Stop the Crash partners include the ADAC, Autoliv, Bosch,
Continental, Denso, Thatcham, ZF-TRW, and the Towards
Zero Foundation.
#Stop the Crash will promote electronic stability control,
autonomous emergency braking ,and anti-lock brakes on
motorcycles.
#Stop the Crash will be launched on 17 November in
Brasilia prior to the Global High Level Conference on Road
Safety and feature demonstrations for VIPs and the media.
#Stop the Crash supports the UN Global Goals target to
halve road fatalities and injuries by 2020.

17. Global NCAP’s Road Map for Safer Cars :
• Calls for the combination of stronger
consumer information and universal
application of minimum UN standards for
crash protection and avoidance.
• Ten key recommendations including the
application to all new cars of the UN’s
front, side and pedestrian impact crash
tests and the anti-skid system, electronic
stability control, by 2020 at the latest.
• Will be submitted to the 2nd Global
Ministerial Conference on Road Safety to
be held on 18-19 November 2015 hosted
by the government of Brazil.
Democratizing Car Safety: A Road Map for Safer Cars 2020

18. Global NCAP’s 2015 Road Map Regulatory Recommendations
Road Map for Safer Cars 2020
Apply UN Regulations* for:
All New Cars Produced
or Imported
All Cars Produced
or Imported
Stage One
Frontal Impact (No.94)
Side Impact (No.95)
Seat Belt & Seat Belt
Anchorages (No.14 & No.16)
2016 2018
Stage Two
Electronic Stability Control
(No. 13H or GTR No.8)
Pedestrian Protection
(No.127 or GTR No.9)
*or equivalent national standard
2018 2020

19. • Meeting minimum crash standards can cost less
than US $200 per vehicle.
• Airbag costs have fallen by over 60% in 15 years to
about US$50 per unit. ESC (for a car with ABS) also
costs less than US$50 per unit.
• Car companies are developing global platforms
producing many different models reducing costs
and raising their profitability.
• Universal implementation of UN standards for crash
protection and avoidance will bring economies of
scale, reduce cost, and promote fair competition .
• Governments can promote safer cars by giving fiscal
incentives for vehicles featuring improved safety
technologies.
Key Message: Safety is not a Luxury and is Affordable

20. Global NCAP is pleased to acknowledge support from:
Thank You!