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Findings from STEP: LAO PDR
Household Survey 2012
April 29, 2013
Ximena Del Carpio
Social Protection and Labor
Human Development Network
2
Rationale
1. Need for skilled labor, absence of current levels
• Growing economy, especially in mining, banking, services.
• Firms are facing major problems finding skilled workers, especially in
the services sector (World Bank Enterprise Survey 2009).
• Analytical work is a key input to government’s revision of the Lao
PDR National Human resource Development Strategy.
2. Lao Development Report
• WB flagship report, the 2013 Lao Development Report, focusing on
human resource development.
• New data, analysis, options and dialogue will be based on actual
figures.
3. Future operation to improve skill matches
• Project preparation.
Expected Outcomes from STEP+
A clear articulation of
what results might look
like in a Human
Resource Development
Strategy (and/or 8th
National Development
Plan), with clear and
measurable goals on
skills development.
A baseline (“situation
analysis”) on where
Lao is today and may
be heading
Options for Action
3
The Lao STEP Surveys
4
1. Household 2011/12:
1. Urban and Rural (no-Remote) representative
2. Sample size is 2849 households and 14,349 people
3. 51% female in the household sample, and 60% female for skills modules
4. Survey included standard HHS questionnaire, a Skills Module and Cognitive test “Education
Testing Services (ETS)”
5. Local data collection firm collected data over a 3 month period through visits individual
households
2. Enterprise Survey: Investment Climate + Skills 2012
1. Six urban labor markets (north, VTE, central and south)
2. All sectors of the economy except agriculture
3. Sample is 400 firms (5+ employees formal sector)
4. Statistically representative
5. Local data collection firm interviewed businesses over a four month period
Few people have high education levels, and even
fewer in rural areas
Only 20% of rural women
proceed to secondary
education compared to
51% in urban areas.
Source: STEP Household Survey 2011-12.
4 7
12
29
10
16
26
24
20
26
30
26
21
23
15
14
7
4
6
1
11
11
3
15
9
711
4 1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female Male Female
Urban Urban Rural Rural
University or postgraduate
Upper sec and vocational
Upper secondary
Prim or lower sec, and vocational
Lower secondary
Primary
Primary, incomplete
No schooling
Lao workers in semi-or-low-skilled occupations have
low basic education levels…
6
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Managers
Professionals
Technicians and associate professionals
Clerical support workers
Service and sales workers
Skilled agricultural, forestry and fishery workers
Craft and related trades
Plant and machine operators and assemblers
Elementary occupations
Total
TypeATypeBTotal
Primary or lower Lower secondary Upper secondary Diploma Bachelor Master & higher
Focus on urban population of the age 25 –
44
• Age 25: Born in 1987
Finished education
• Age 44: Born in 1968
Age 7 in 1975
• 44% of the working age population
Employers report literacy, numeracy and
technical skills as the most desired “hard” skills
8
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mgt/Prof/Technical
Clerical/Service/Sale
Skilled Agri/Crafts
Operator/Elementary
Desired Job-Related Skills by Occupation
Literacy Specific technical skills Numeracy
Communication skills Leadership Creative and critical thinking
Team work Foreign Language Problem solving
Time management Independent
Literacy
People in Lao read but much less than in
Vietnam
8.4 12.1
77.4
32.4
12.3
25.9
29.6
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Lao Vietnam
Reading intensity in the past 12 months:
Lao and Vietnam
High
Medium
Low
None
… not only because of lower educational
attainment
42.8
14.4
47.9
23.4
9.2
62.2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Lao Vietnam
Reading intensity of university graduates:
Lao and Vietnam
High
Medium
Low
Even students currently studying at
universities
don’t read much
58.7
9.5
37.0
12.6
4.2
76.1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Lao Vietnam
Reading intensity of university students:
Lao and Vietnam
High
Medium
Low
The literacy exercise module confirms the
finding
Vietnam: Score distribution by education
With post secondary education, only 30% got
all answers right
Lao: Score distribution by education
Half of high-skilled workers are satisfied with
their literacy skills
51.2
64.8
48.8
35.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Lao Vietnam
Has a lack of skills kept you from getting a job or a
promotion?
No
Yes
15
Non-cognitive Skills
Conscientiousness is a highly desired “soft” skill
by employers
16
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Desired Personality Traits by Occupation
Conscientiousness Emotional stability Extraversion
Openness to experience Agreeableness
More educated people are more likely to have
“better” personality traits
17
Openness Conscientiousness
Source: STEP Household Survey 2011-12.
Incentive for higher education?
• Education does not guarantee the
acquisition of reading/writing skills,
• But it may give you a chance to get a good
position.
In Vietnam, the labor market rewards
education
0
10
20
30
40
50
No
schooling
Primary
Lowersec
Uppersec
Vocationa
l
College,U
niv
Total
(Thousand VND)
Mean hourly wage rates: Vietnam
Male
Female
in Lao, higher education
does not guarantee success,
especially for men
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
No
schooling
Primary
Lowersec
Uppersec
Vocational
College,Uni
v
Total
(kip) Mean hourly wage rates: Lao PDR
Male
Female
… and the same for
private sectors.
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
No schooling Primary Lower sec Upper sec Vocational College, Univ Total
(kip)
Mean hourly wage rates:
Lao private only
Male
Female
Despite the lower returns,
40% of young women are from vocational schools
14.4 13.1 11.7
6.0
12.0
10.7 11.2
14.9
4.8 10.9
28.6
18.8
24.0
43.0
9.8
9.0
41.3
21.7
34.4
49.2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Men Women Men Women
Lao Vietnam
Education attainment of wage workers : age 23-28
College, Univ
Vocational
Upper sec
Lower sec
Primary
No schooling
Some Findings and Puzzles
• Education system is not functioning well as a provider of literacy skills
– Rural-urban differences are clear in terms of participation and skill levels, this indicates
geographic differences in access to formal education and job opportunities.
– Lao people self-report “higher” skills (literacy) abilities than they actually have.
– People read/write very little, use basic math frequently. Critical finding given that
employers value literacy and specific technical skills highly for skilled workers.
• Higher education does not necessarily guarantee higher wage rates
– Education level remains a key determinant for occupation and provides a clear signal for
LM outcomes and career progression…however, despite improvements in levels, quality
remains low. Laos lags “way” behind other comparator countries.
– Gender differences also persist…women have lower education and skill levels.
• People with higher education have stronger extraversion, openness to
experience, agreeableness, and willingness to take risks...employers need
unskilled workers to master these traits.
• Despite their lower returns, many young wage workers selected to proceed to
vocational schools…why?
Thank you
Ximena Del Carpio
xdelcarpio@worldbank.org
+1 (202) 458-1004
And
Yuki Ikeda
yikeda1@worldbank.org
24

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Multi-Donor Trust Fund on Labor Markets, Job Creation and Economic Growth: Lao PDR Household Survey 2012

  • 1. Findings from STEP: LAO PDR Household Survey 2012 April 29, 2013 Ximena Del Carpio Social Protection and Labor Human Development Network
  • 2. 2 Rationale 1. Need for skilled labor, absence of current levels • Growing economy, especially in mining, banking, services. • Firms are facing major problems finding skilled workers, especially in the services sector (World Bank Enterprise Survey 2009). • Analytical work is a key input to government’s revision of the Lao PDR National Human resource Development Strategy. 2. Lao Development Report • WB flagship report, the 2013 Lao Development Report, focusing on human resource development. • New data, analysis, options and dialogue will be based on actual figures. 3. Future operation to improve skill matches • Project preparation.
  • 3. Expected Outcomes from STEP+ A clear articulation of what results might look like in a Human Resource Development Strategy (and/or 8th National Development Plan), with clear and measurable goals on skills development. A baseline (“situation analysis”) on where Lao is today and may be heading Options for Action 3
  • 4. The Lao STEP Surveys 4 1. Household 2011/12: 1. Urban and Rural (no-Remote) representative 2. Sample size is 2849 households and 14,349 people 3. 51% female in the household sample, and 60% female for skills modules 4. Survey included standard HHS questionnaire, a Skills Module and Cognitive test “Education Testing Services (ETS)” 5. Local data collection firm collected data over a 3 month period through visits individual households 2. Enterprise Survey: Investment Climate + Skills 2012 1. Six urban labor markets (north, VTE, central and south) 2. All sectors of the economy except agriculture 3. Sample is 400 firms (5+ employees formal sector) 4. Statistically representative 5. Local data collection firm interviewed businesses over a four month period
  • 5. Few people have high education levels, and even fewer in rural areas Only 20% of rural women proceed to secondary education compared to 51% in urban areas. Source: STEP Household Survey 2011-12. 4 7 12 29 10 16 26 24 20 26 30 26 21 23 15 14 7 4 6 1 11 11 3 15 9 711 4 1 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Male Female Male Female Urban Urban Rural Rural University or postgraduate Upper sec and vocational Upper secondary Prim or lower sec, and vocational Lower secondary Primary Primary, incomplete No schooling
  • 6. Lao workers in semi-or-low-skilled occupations have low basic education levels… 6 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Managers Professionals Technicians and associate professionals Clerical support workers Service and sales workers Skilled agricultural, forestry and fishery workers Craft and related trades Plant and machine operators and assemblers Elementary occupations Total TypeATypeBTotal Primary or lower Lower secondary Upper secondary Diploma Bachelor Master & higher
  • 7. Focus on urban population of the age 25 – 44 • Age 25: Born in 1987 Finished education • Age 44: Born in 1968 Age 7 in 1975 • 44% of the working age population
  • 8. Employers report literacy, numeracy and technical skills as the most desired “hard” skills 8 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mgt/Prof/Technical Clerical/Service/Sale Skilled Agri/Crafts Operator/Elementary Desired Job-Related Skills by Occupation Literacy Specific technical skills Numeracy Communication skills Leadership Creative and critical thinking Team work Foreign Language Problem solving Time management Independent
  • 9. Literacy People in Lao read but much less than in Vietnam 8.4 12.1 77.4 32.4 12.3 25.9 29.6 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Lao Vietnam Reading intensity in the past 12 months: Lao and Vietnam High Medium Low None
  • 10. … not only because of lower educational attainment 42.8 14.4 47.9 23.4 9.2 62.2 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Lao Vietnam Reading intensity of university graduates: Lao and Vietnam High Medium Low
  • 11. Even students currently studying at universities don’t read much 58.7 9.5 37.0 12.6 4.2 76.1 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Lao Vietnam Reading intensity of university students: Lao and Vietnam High Medium Low
  • 12. The literacy exercise module confirms the finding Vietnam: Score distribution by education
  • 13. With post secondary education, only 30% got all answers right Lao: Score distribution by education
  • 14. Half of high-skilled workers are satisfied with their literacy skills 51.2 64.8 48.8 35.3 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Lao Vietnam Has a lack of skills kept you from getting a job or a promotion? No Yes
  • 16. Conscientiousness is a highly desired “soft” skill by employers 16 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Desired Personality Traits by Occupation Conscientiousness Emotional stability Extraversion Openness to experience Agreeableness
  • 17. More educated people are more likely to have “better” personality traits 17 Openness Conscientiousness Source: STEP Household Survey 2011-12.
  • 18. Incentive for higher education? • Education does not guarantee the acquisition of reading/writing skills, • But it may give you a chance to get a good position.
  • 19. In Vietnam, the labor market rewards education 0 10 20 30 40 50 No schooling Primary Lowersec Uppersec Vocationa l College,U niv Total (Thousand VND) Mean hourly wage rates: Vietnam Male Female
  • 20. in Lao, higher education does not guarantee success, especially for men 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 No schooling Primary Lowersec Uppersec Vocational College,Uni v Total (kip) Mean hourly wage rates: Lao PDR Male Female
  • 21. … and the same for private sectors. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 No schooling Primary Lower sec Upper sec Vocational College, Univ Total (kip) Mean hourly wage rates: Lao private only Male Female
  • 22. Despite the lower returns, 40% of young women are from vocational schools 14.4 13.1 11.7 6.0 12.0 10.7 11.2 14.9 4.8 10.9 28.6 18.8 24.0 43.0 9.8 9.0 41.3 21.7 34.4 49.2 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Men Women Men Women Lao Vietnam Education attainment of wage workers : age 23-28 College, Univ Vocational Upper sec Lower sec Primary No schooling
  • 23. Some Findings and Puzzles • Education system is not functioning well as a provider of literacy skills – Rural-urban differences are clear in terms of participation and skill levels, this indicates geographic differences in access to formal education and job opportunities. – Lao people self-report “higher” skills (literacy) abilities than they actually have. – People read/write very little, use basic math frequently. Critical finding given that employers value literacy and specific technical skills highly for skilled workers. • Higher education does not necessarily guarantee higher wage rates – Education level remains a key determinant for occupation and provides a clear signal for LM outcomes and career progression…however, despite improvements in levels, quality remains low. Laos lags “way” behind other comparator countries. – Gender differences also persist…women have lower education and skill levels. • People with higher education have stronger extraversion, openness to experience, agreeableness, and willingness to take risks...employers need unskilled workers to master these traits. • Despite their lower returns, many young wage workers selected to proceed to vocational schools…why?
  • 24. Thank you Ximena Del Carpio xdelcarpio@worldbank.org +1 (202) 458-1004 And Yuki Ikeda yikeda1@worldbank.org 24

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. As WB’s flagship report, we hope to contribute to the following:Contribute to a new vision to guide investment and high-level steering that goes beyond enrolment and graduation rates (especially useful to think about goals beyond MDG 2015) and moves toward people’s mastery of skills
  2. A second reason to focus on HRD, firms are increasingly complaining they cannot find workers with the right skills