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For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org September 2018
REAL ESTATE
Table of Content
Executive Summary……………….….….….3
Advantage India…………………..….….......4
Market Overview and Trends ………..…….6
Strategies Adopted ………….……....…….14
Growth Drivers ..……………….…..............16
Opportunities ..….……….........………….…24
Key Industry Organizations ..…….…….….28
Useful Information ..…….......…………..….30
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Urban Population in India1 (million)
429 461 483
543
0
200
400
600
2015 2018E 2020F 2025F
India’s Real Estate Market (US$ billion)
120
650
1,000
0
500
1000
1500
2017 2025 2030
Source: Ministry of Tourism, KPMG, World Bank, Census 2011, EY – India’s Growth Paradigm 2017, Credai-JLL report, 1United Nations World Urbanization Prospects 2018
Notes: E – estimated; 1from April 2000 to March 2018
 Real estate sector in India is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by
2030. By 2025, it will contribute 13 per cent to the country’s GDP.
 Rapid urbanisation bodes well for the sector. The number of Indians
living in urban areas is expected to reach 543 million by 20251. More
than 70 per cent of India’s GDP will be contributed by the urban
areas by 2020.
 Construction is the fourth largest sector in terms of FDI inflows. FDI
in the sector1 stood at US$ 24.87 billion from April 2000 to June
2018.
 Government of India’s Housing for All initiative is expected to bring
US$ 1.3 trillion investments in the housing sector by 2025.
Cumulative FDI inflows1 between April 2000-June 2018 (US$
billion)
13.11
24.87
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
Construction Construction Development
Real Estate
ADVANTAGE INDIA
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate5
ADVANTAGE INDIA
 Demand for residential properties has
surged due to increased urbanisation and
rising household income. India is among the
top 10 price appreciating housing markets
internationally.
 About 10 million people migrate to cities
every year.
 35 per cent of the population is in young
age bracket (15-35 years).
 Growing economy driving demand for
commercial and retail space.
 Growing requirements of space from sectors
such as education and healthcare, e-
commerce and logistics.
 Warehousing space is expected to reach 247
million square feet in 2020 from 140 million
square feet in 2017. Investments of Rs
50,000 crore (US$ 7.76 billion) are expected
in India’s warehousing between 2018-20.
 Growing demand of energy efficient and
environment friendly architecture.
 Cross-border capital inflows to India’s real
estate sector have increased 600 per cent
between 2012-17 to reach US$ 2.6 billion.
 In 2017, India ranked 19th out of 73
countries in attracting cross-border capital
to its property market.
 Private Equity and Venture Capital
investments in the sector reached US$
2.99 billion during January-August 2018.
 The government has allowed FDI of up to
100 per cent for townships and settlements
development projects
 Under the Housing For All scheme, 60
million houses are to be built which include
40 million in rural areas and 20 million in
urban area by 2022
 Real Estate Bill was passed in March 2016
to establish a real estate regulatory
authority for regulating and promoting the
sector
ADVANTAGE
INDIA
Source: KPMG, Report on Real Estate Sector in India – Corporate Catalyst India Pvt Ltd, USGBC, JLL India, Cushman & Wakefield, Knight Frank Active Capital, EY
Real Estate
MARKET OVERVIEW
AND TRENDS
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate7
SEGMENTS IN THE INDIAN REAL ESTATE SECTOR
 Residential segment contributes ~80 per cent of the real estate sector. New housing
launches across top seven cities in India increased 50 per cent quarter-on-quarter in
April-June 2018.
Real estate
sector
 Few players with presence across India
 Office space leasing increased by over 10 per cent to cross 20 million square feet in
the first half of 2018.
 FDI in multi brand retail to boost demand
 In 2017, new retail space of 6.4 million has finished and supply of around 20 mn sq ft is
expected in 2019.
 Between 2015 and March 2018, the retail segment in Indian realty attracted private
equity investments of around Rs 5,500 crore (US$ $853.4 million) up to March 2018.
 The country has 406 approved hotels with 31,944 rooms.*
Commercial space
Retail space
Hospitality space
SEZs
Residential space
 As of July 2018, India had formally approved 420 SEZs, of which 223 were in
operation.
 Majority of the SEZs are in the IT/ ITeS sector.
Notes: SEZ - Special Economic Zone. IT - Information Technology, ITeS - Information Technology Enabled Services,*as of Dec 20,2017
Source: KPMG Cushman and Wakefield, Knight Frank, CRISIL, Ministry of Tourism, JLL India, ANAROCK Property Consultants, Colliers Research
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate8
INDIAN REAL ESTATE IS A LARGE, GROWING
MARKET…
120
650
1000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2017 2025 2030
Market size of real estate in India (US$ billion)
Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate; F – Forecast, Information is as per latest data available, *average of indices of all cities
Source: KPMG, Report on Real Estate Sector in India – Corporate Catalyst India Pvt Ltd, CBRE, National Housing Bank
 Real Estate sector in India is expected to reach a market size of
US$ US$ 1 trillion by 2030 from US$ 120 billion in 2017.
 Increasing share of real estate in the GDP would be supported by
increasing industrial activity, improving income level and
urbanisation
 Mumbai and Bengaluru have been rated as the top real investment
destinations in Asia
 The government also launched 10 key policies for real estate sector
in 2016, namely:
• Real Estate Regulatory Act
• Benami Transactions Act
• Boost to affordable housing construction
• Interest subsidy to home buyers
• Change in arbitration norms
• Service tax exemption
• Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) exemption
• Goods and Services Tax
• Demonetisation
• PR for foreign investors
110.2
116.6
122.08
128.52 128.9
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
Mar '14 Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18
NHB India Housing Price Index*
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate9
… WITH SIGNIFICANT ROOM FOR FURTHER GROWTH
15.1
18.4
19.3
20.5
21.7
18.78
10
34.1
34
30.1
26.7
26
19.7
14.8
NA NA
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2001 2005 2008 2010 2014 2015 2017* 2022E
Urban Rural
Urban-rural housing shortage (million)
Notes: : E – Estimates, * As of November 2017 , 1 till December 08, 2017
Source: : Ministry of Housing and Urban Poverty Alleviation, RBI, CRISIL
 The urban housing shortage in India is estimated at around 10
million units* which is being addressed through Pradhan Mantri
Awas Yojana (PMAY), Urban, under which 6,028,608 houses have
been sanctioned up t o September 2018.
 Significant increase in real estate activity in cities like Indore, Raipur,
Ahmedabad, Jaipur and other 2-tier cities; this has opened new
avenues of growth for the sector
 Relaxation in the FDI norms for real estate sector has been done to
boost the real estate sector
 Government’s plan to build 100 smart cities would reduce the
migration of people to metro and other developed cities.
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate10
DEMAND FOR RESIDENTIAL SPACE EXPECTED TO
GROW SHARPLY
 A localised, fragmented market presents
opportunities for consolidation with only few large,
pan-India players such as DLF and Unitech
 More foreign players might enter the market as FDI
norms have eased
 Furthermore, norms on land acquisitions is expected
to be relaxed
Scenario
 NCR is expected to generate maximum demand in
MIG and HIG category followed by Bengaluru
 Developers now focussing on affordable and mid-
range categories to meet the huge demand
 India jumped 13 spots in Knight Frank’s Global
House Price Index to reach 9th position in Q2 2017.
Notable
Trends
25
647
351
1,982
1,457
717
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
LIG
MIG
HIG
Demand
Supply
Cumulative Housing Demand-Supply in Top 8 Cities (‘000 units)
2016-20
Source: : Cushman and Wakefield
Notes: LIG – Low Income Group, MIG - Middle Income Group, HIG - High Income Group
 Rapid urbanisation
 Growth in population
 Rise in the number of nuclear families
 Easy availability of finance
 Repatriation of NRIs and HNIs
 Rise in disposable income
Key Drivers
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate11
METROS DRIVING DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL
SPACE
22 23
28 28 27
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Demand for commercial space in top 8 cities (million sq ft)
16
25 26
8 15
13
32
4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Pune
NCR
Mumbai
Kolkata
Hyderabad
Chennai
Bengaluru
Ahemdabad
City-Wise Commercial Space Demand (million sq ft) 2013-17
Source: Cushman and Wakefield
Notes: MNC - Multinational Corporation, BFSI - Banking, Financial and Insurance Services, CBD - Central Business District, SBD - Special Business District, NCR - National Capital Region
 Few large developers with a pan-India presence
dominate the market
 Operating model has shifted from sales to a lease
and maintenance
Scenario
 Commercial office stock in India is expected to cross
600 million square feet by 2018 end.
 Mumbai, NCR and Bengaluru accounted for 60 per
cent of total office space demand in India in 2017.
 Business activity shifting from CBDs to SBDs, Tier 1
to Tier 2 cities
 Co-working space in top eight cities crossed 8
million square feet in April 2018.
Notable
Trends
 Rapid growth in services sectors: IT/ITeS, BFSI and
Telecom
 Rising demand from MNCs
 Demand for office space in Tier 2 cities
Key Drivers
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate12
RETAIL SPACE LIKELY TO SEE STRONG GROWTH
Number of Malls in India
Source: : Cushman and Wakefield, CBRE, JLL India, Real estate intelligence service (JLL), Anarock
 Currently, retail accounts for a small portion of the
Indian real estate market
 Organised retailers are few and the organised retail
space is mostly developed by residential/office
space developers
Scenario
 Absorption across retail malls in top seven cities
increased 69 per cent year-on-year in January-
March 2018.
 About 85 new malls are expected to open in India
between 2018-23.
 Private equity investments in Indian retail assets
increased 15 per cent in CY 2017 to reach US$ 800
million.
 During January-March 2018, private equity investors
invested Rs 950 crore (US$ 147.4 million) into
Indian malls.
Notable
Trends
 Booming consumerism in India
 Organised retail sector growing 25-30 per cent annually
 Entry of MNC retailers
 India’s population below 30 years of age having
exposure to global retail are expected to drive demand
for organised retail
Key Drivers
188
203
212
219
232
246
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate13
HOSPITALITY MARKET TO WITNESS LARGE
INCREMENTAL CAPACITY
82
100
114 118 120
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Trend analysis (stock - no of rooms) (‘000)
Source: : Cushman and Wakefield
Occupancy Vs. Stock (2017E)
19
12
36
7
11 10
20
5
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
70%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Bengaluru
Chennai
NCR
Kolkata
Hyderabad
Pune
Mumbai
Ahemdabad
Stock Occupany
Notes: FSI - Floor Space Index, E - estimates
 NCR and Mumbai are by far the biggest hospitality
markets in India, followed by Bengaluru, Hyderabad
and Chennai
 Besides hotels, the hospitality market comprises
serviced apartments and convention centres
Scenario
 Serviced apartments appear particularly attractive
within the hospitality space
 Government initiatives to promote tourism in Tier 2
and Tier 3 cities is generating significant demand for
hotels in such cities, especially for budget hotels
Notable
Trends
 A robust domestic tourism industry
 The increasingly global nature of Indian businesses
boosting business travel
 Tax incentives for hotels and higher FSI
Key Drivers
Real Estate
STRATEGIES
ADOPTED
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STRATEGIES ADOPTED
Source: Aranca Research, Livemint, Economic Times
 Having a diverse portfolio of residential, commercial and township developments
 Companies have projects in various strategic geographic locations in order to diversify risks
 Focus on the growth of lease business
 Housing finance companies and private equity companies have started focusing on affordable housing.
Diversified portfolio
 In May 2018, Blackstone Group acquired One Indiabulls in Chennai from Indiabulls Real Estate for around Rs 900
crore (US$ 136.9 million).
 In 2017, 62 M&A deals worth US$ 1.46 billion were witnessed in India’s real estate sector.
Merger and
Acquisitions
 Joint Venture with land owners instead of amassing land banks. For e.g.: Oberoi Realty, Mumbai based realty firm
adopted this strategy while entering the NCR region
 Revenue, area and profit sharing agreement with the land owner
Risk management
in land sourcing
 Outsourced support functions
 Focus on delivery capability
 Development of world class infrastructure
 Rationalising costs
Superior execution
 An architectural, structural and interior studio and a metal and glazing factory
 Interiors and wood working factory and a concrete block making plant
Backward
integration
Real Estate
GROWTH DRIVERS
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate17
REAL ESTATE BEING DRIVEN BY POLICIES AND
GROWING ECONOMY
Growth in Tourism
Epidemological
Changes
Policy SupportEasier Financing
Growing Economy
Urbanisation
Growth drivers
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate18
ECONOMIC GROWTH ALONG WITH GROWING
URBANISATION IS BOOSTING REAL ESTATE DEMAND
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018F
FY2019F
Advanced Economies Emerging Economies
India China
Real GDP growth rates of major economies
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, CUshman and Wakefield, *United Nations World Urbanization Prospects 2018
Notes: E – Estimate, F – Forecast, JNNURM: Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission
429 461 483
543
880 893 900 909
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2015
2018E
2020F
2025F
Urban Rural
Population breakdown of India (million)
 The Indian economy experienced robust growth in the past decade
and is expected to be one of the fastest growing economies in the
coming years
 Demand for commercial property is being driven by the country’s
economic growth
 By 2022, real estate and construction sector in India is expected to
generate 75 million jobs and emerge as the largest employer in
the country.
 India’s urban population is expected to reach 543 million by 2025
from 461 million estimated in 2018*.
 Government initiatives such as various urban development
policies and programmes (e.g., JNNURM) are expected to
contribute to enhanced urbanisation.
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate19
RISING TOURIST NUMBERS BOOSTING THE
HOSPITALITY SECTOR
Source: Ministry of Tourism, World Travel and Tourism Council’s Economic Impact 2015, Aranca Research
Notes: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate; CY – Calendar Year, * up to August 2018
 The number of Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTAs) to India increased 15.6 per cent in CY 2017 to reach 10.177 million and reached 6.76 million in
January-August 2018, showing a growth rate of 7.5 per cent year-on-year.
 The Government of India has set a target of 20 million foreign tourist arrivals (FTAs) by 2020 and double the foreign exchange earnings as well.
 India’s tourism and hospitality industry is anticipated to touch US$ 418.9 billion by 2022
 India’s foreign exchange earnings (FEEs) from tourism increased by 20.8 per cent during CY 2017 to reach US$ 27.693 billion and reached US$
19.46 billion during January-August 2018, showing a year-on-year growth rate of 11.8 per cent.
 The growing inflows from tourists is expected to provide a fillip to the hospitality sector
 Medical tourism sector in India is gaining momentum, with a target of attracting 8 million medical tourists into the country by 2020.
3.9
4.4
5.1
5.3
5.2
5.8
6.3
6.6
7.0
7.4
8.0
8.8
10.2
6.8
15.3
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018*
2025E
Foreign Tourists Arrivals in India (million)
CAGR 7.1%
8.6
10.7
11.8
11.4
14.2
16.6
17.7
18.4
19.7
21.1
22.9
27.7
19.46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018*
India’s Foreign Exchange Earnings From Tourism (US$ billion)
CAGR 10.88%
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate20
GOVERNMENT POLICIES ARE HELPING THE REAL
ESTATE SECTOR PROSPER
Source: Union Budget 2018-19, Government of India, News Sources
 In order to boost affordable real estate, housing loans up to Rs 3.5 million (US$ 54,306) in metro cities were
included in priority sector lending by the RBI in June 2018. Loans under priority sector lending are relatively
cheaper.
 Home loans in India are expected to grow 17-19 per cent in FY19, according to ICRA.
Ease in housing
finances
 The government has allowed 100 per cent FDI for townships and settlements development projects
 Provision for reduction in minimum capitalisation for FDI investment from US$ 10 million to US$ 5 million which
would help in boosting urbanisation.
 In January 2018, Government of India allowed 100 per cent FDI in single-brand retail trading and construction
development without any government approvals.
FDI
 Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in non-residential segment and Infrastructure Investment Trusts. REIT will
open channels for both commercial and infrastructure sector. In September 2018, Embassy Office Parks
announced that it would raise around Rs 52 billion (US$ 775.66 million) through India’s first REIT listing.
REITs
 In December 2014, the government passed an ordinance amending the Land Acquisition Bill
 This ordinance would help speeding up the process for industrial corridors, social infra, rural infra, housing for the
poor and defence capabilities
Land Acquisition Bill
 Under Union Budget 2018-19, Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) (Gramin) was allocated Rs 33,000 crore (US$
5.10 billion) while the urban programme of the scheme was allocated Rs 31,500 crore (US$ 4.87 billion). The
scheme is expected to push affordable housing and construction in the country and give a boost to the real estate
sector.
 Affordable housing supply increased 100 per cent quarter-on-quarter in April-June 2018.
 In February 2018, the National Urban Housing Fund (NUHF) was approved with an outlay of Rs 60,000 crore (US$
9.27 billion).
Housing for
economically
weaker sections
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate21
MAJOR DEALS IN REAL ESTATE
Target Acquirer
Value
(US$ million)
Year
DLF Cyber City Developers (33.34 % stake) GIC 1,399.9 2017
Phoenix MarketCity, Bangalore (49 per cent stake)
Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board
(CPPIB)
- 2016
Grabhouse Quickr India Pvt Ltd 10 2016
Realty Business Intelligence Housing.com 1.7 2015
Quickr India Pvt Ltd Indian Realty Exchange - 2015
Candor Investments Inc Brookfield Asset Management Inc 337.4 2014
GIC and Ascendas Ascendas India Growth Programme 600 2014
Farallon Capital Indiabulls Real Estate Ltd 187 2013
Indiabulls Properties Pvt Ltd Indiabulls Property Invest Trust 223.1 2012
Source: Corporate Catalyst India , Business Standard, The Economic Times
 A joint venture between Dutch asset manager APG Asset Management and real estate asset platform Virtuous Retail, has acquired a portfolio of
three shopping malls for US$ 300 million, and has committed an additional US$ 150 million as equity capital to expand the portfolio.
 Emaar Properties, with largest FDI in the realty sector, has invested about US$ 126.96 billion in Indian real estate market, through its JV firm
Emaar MGF.
 Maruti Suzuki is planning to acquire land for dealership expansion plans at key strategic locations across the country
Major acquisitions in real estate sector in India
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PE INVESTMENTS ON THE RISE
Investor Investee Stake (%)
Investment
(US$ million)
Blackstone Group Lp
Indiabulls Properties Pvt Ltd and
Indiabulls Real Estate
Company
50 742
GIC Exora Business Parks Limited 40 406
Brookfield Asset Management Inc
Essar Group - Equinox Business
Park
100 384
Piramal Fund Management The Wadhwa Group NA 235
CPPIB
Island Star Mall Developers
Private
Limited .(Phoenix Mills JV)
NA 185
ASK Property Investment
Advisors
Shriram Properties Private
Limited
NA 155
Source: Grant Thornton, Cushman and Wakefield, EY
 RBI proposed to allow banks to invest in real estate investment trusts and infrastructure investment trusts, attracting more institutional investors to
such assets. Indian Banks, which are allowed to invest about 20 per cent of their net-owned funds in equity-linked mutual funds, venture capital
funds and stocks, could invest in these trusts within this limit
 Private equity investments in the sector increased 74.1 per cent year-on-year in the H1 2018 to reach US$ 2.24 billion.
 KKR India Asset Finance invested over US$ 500 million in residential projects in India in 2017.
Top PE deals in Indian real estate sector in 2018
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate23
SEZs EMERGING AS AN EXTENSION OF REAL
ESTATE BUSINESS
76.01
87.45
81.67
75.84
71.38
78.07
85.54
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
SEZ exports from India (US$ billion)
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, SEZ website
 100 per cent FDI permitted in real estate projects within Special
Economic Zone (SEZ)
 100 per cent FDI permitted for developing townships within SEZs
with residential areas, markets, playgrounds, clubs, recreation
centres, etc.
 Exports from SEZs reached Rs 5.51 trillion (US$ 85.54 billion) in
FY18.
 Industry players, including realtors and property analysts, are rooting
for the creation of "Special Residential Zones" (SRZs), along the
lines of SEZs
 Minimum land requirement has been brought down from 1000
hectares to 500 hectares for multi-product SEZ and for sector-
specific SEZs to 50 hectares.
Source: * includes exports from SEZs and Export Oriented Units (EOUs)
Real Estate
OPPORTUNITIES
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NICHE SECTORS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE GROWTH
OPPORTUNITIES
Source: Cushman and Wakefield, Fitch Ratings, Report on Healthcare, Telemedicine and Medical Tourism In India – ASA and Associates LLP, Ministry of Tourism
 NCR is expected to have the highest incremental demand from the education sector amidst the period of 2015-19
 The rising young population of India is expected to drive this space
Education
 Emergence of nuclear families and growing urbanisation have given rise to several townships that are developed to
take care of the elderly
 A number of senior citizen housing projects have been planned; the segment is expected to grow significantly in
future
 The segment in India can reach US$ 7.7 billion in size by 2030, according to a study by the Ministry of Commerce
and Industry.
Senior Citizen
Housing
 Growth in the number of tourists has resulted in demand for service apartments.
 In 2017, number of foreign tourist arrivals in India was recorded 10.177 million
 This demand is likely to be on uptrend and presents opportunities for the unorganised sector
Service Apartments
 FTAs in India is expected to reach 15.3 million by 2025, which is expected to lead to an increase in demand for
hotels.
Hotels
 The healthcare market is expected to reach US$ 372 billion by 2022.
 India requires additional 1.1 million beds
 India needs to add 2 million hospital beds to meet the global average of 2.6 for every 1,000 people
Healthcare
Notes: NCR – National Capital Region
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate26
TOP CITIES TO CONTRIBUTE TO GROWTH
Kolkata
 Projects like Light Rail Transport System, Mono Rail, Eco-Park, Airport expansion etc. are likely to boost travel
which would result in increase in demand for hotel industry
 Corporate clients expected to provide steady growth to room demandBengaluru
 Emerging as promising commercial destination with Chennai Bengaluru Industrial Corridor, likely to witness strong
demand
Chennai
 Room demand is expected to be driven by commercial and office space projects in the cityHyderabad
 Higher Floor Space index, inclusion of hotel projects in infra lending lists provide a positive outlook to hotel market
in NCR
NCR
Ahmedabad  Upcoming office space likely to boost hospitality segment
 Improved infrastructure, new airport terminal and upcoming airport in Navi Mumbai expected to provide growth to
hotel industry
Mumbai
 IT parks are attracting global players and increasing traffic. New business units are likely to increase business
conferences, events which in turn would boost hotel demand
Pune
Source: Cushman and Wakefield
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate27
OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW – RENTS SET TO GROW
14.0
8.1
5.5 5.2 4.9
3.2
1.2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Bengaluru
NCR
Mumbai
Hyderabad
Chennai
Pune
Kolkata
Gross Office Space Absorption in 2018F (million square feet)
Source: Cushman and Wakefield, JLL India, Livemint, Colliers International, CBRE, JLL
Notes: ITeS - Information Technology Enabled Service, F-forecast
 Office market has been driven mostly by growth in ITeS/IT,BFSI,
consulting and manufacturing. Moreover, many new companies are
planning a foray into Indian markets due to huge potential and
recently relaxed FDI norms.
 Commercial office stock in India is expected to cross 600 million
square feet by 2018 end while office space leasing in the top eight
cities is expected to cross 100 million square feet between 2018-20.
 Grade-A office space absorption is expected to cross 700 million
square feet by 2022, with Delhi-NCR contributing the most to this
demand.
 Office space leasing increased by over 10 per cent to cross 20 million
square feet in the first half of 2018. Office leasing in top eight cities
increased by 60 per cent between 2013-17.
 The first real estate investment trust (REIT) in India is expected to be
launched by 2018 end.
Real Estate
KEY INDUSTRY
ORGANISATIONS
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate29
INDUSTRY ORGANISATIONS
National Secretariat, 703, Ansal Bhawan,
16, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110 001
Tel: (011) 43126262/43126200
Fax: 91 11 43126211
E-mail: info@credai.org
Website: www.credai.org
The Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations of
India (CREDAI
G-1/G-20, Commerce Centre, J. Dadajee Road,
Tardeo, Mumbai – 400034
Tel: 91 22 23514134, 23514802, 23520507
Fax: 91 22 23521328
E-mail: bai@vsnl.com, baihq.mumbai@gmail.com
Website: www.baionline.in
Builders' Association of India (BAI)
Real Estate
USEFUL
INFORMATION
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate31
GLOSSARY
 BFSI: Banking, Financial Services and Insurance
 CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
 CBD: Central Business District
 FDI: Foreign Direct Investment
 FSI: Floor Space Index
 HNI: High Net-worth Individual
 GOI: Government of India
 INR: Indian Rupee
 IT/ITeS: Information Technology/Information Technology enabled Services
 MNC: Multinational Corporation
 NRI: Non Resident Indian
 SBD: Special Business District
 SEZ: Special Economic Zone
 US$ : US Dollar
 Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate32
EXCHANGE RATES
Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year) Exchange Rates (Calendar Year)
Year INR INR Equivalent of one US$
2004–05 44.95
2005–06 44.28
2006–07 45.29
2007–08 40.24
2008–09 45.91
2009–10 47.42
2010–11 45.58
2011–12 47.95
2012–13 54.45
2013–14 60.50
2014-15 61.15
2015-16 65.46
2016-17 67.09
2017-18 64.45
Q1 2018-19 67.04
Year INR Equivalent of one US$
2005 44.11
2006 45.33
2007 41.29
2008 43.42
2009 48.35
2010 45.74
2011 46.67
2012 53.49
2013 58.63
2014 61.03
2015 64.15
2016 67.21
2017 65.12
Source: Reserve Bank of India, Average for the year
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate33
DISCLAIMER
India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Aranca in consultation
with IBEF.
All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced,
wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or
incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval
of IBEF.
This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the
information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a
substitute for professional advice.
Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do
they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed on this presentation.
Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any
reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.

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Real Estate Sector Report September 2018

  • 1. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org September 2018 REAL ESTATE
  • 2. Table of Content Executive Summary……………….….….….3 Advantage India…………………..….….......4 Market Overview and Trends ………..…….6 Strategies Adopted ………….……....…….14 Growth Drivers ..……………….…..............16 Opportunities ..….……….........………….…24 Key Industry Organizations ..…….…….….28 Useful Information ..…….......…………..….30
  • 3. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Urban Population in India1 (million) 429 461 483 543 0 200 400 600 2015 2018E 2020F 2025F India’s Real Estate Market (US$ billion) 120 650 1,000 0 500 1000 1500 2017 2025 2030 Source: Ministry of Tourism, KPMG, World Bank, Census 2011, EY – India’s Growth Paradigm 2017, Credai-JLL report, 1United Nations World Urbanization Prospects 2018 Notes: E – estimated; 1from April 2000 to March 2018  Real estate sector in India is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030. By 2025, it will contribute 13 per cent to the country’s GDP.  Rapid urbanisation bodes well for the sector. The number of Indians living in urban areas is expected to reach 543 million by 20251. More than 70 per cent of India’s GDP will be contributed by the urban areas by 2020.  Construction is the fourth largest sector in terms of FDI inflows. FDI in the sector1 stood at US$ 24.87 billion from April 2000 to June 2018.  Government of India’s Housing for All initiative is expected to bring US$ 1.3 trillion investments in the housing sector by 2025. Cumulative FDI inflows1 between April 2000-June 2018 (US$ billion) 13.11 24.87 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 Construction Construction Development
  • 5. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate5 ADVANTAGE INDIA  Demand for residential properties has surged due to increased urbanisation and rising household income. India is among the top 10 price appreciating housing markets internationally.  About 10 million people migrate to cities every year.  35 per cent of the population is in young age bracket (15-35 years).  Growing economy driving demand for commercial and retail space.  Growing requirements of space from sectors such as education and healthcare, e- commerce and logistics.  Warehousing space is expected to reach 247 million square feet in 2020 from 140 million square feet in 2017. Investments of Rs 50,000 crore (US$ 7.76 billion) are expected in India’s warehousing between 2018-20.  Growing demand of energy efficient and environment friendly architecture.  Cross-border capital inflows to India’s real estate sector have increased 600 per cent between 2012-17 to reach US$ 2.6 billion.  In 2017, India ranked 19th out of 73 countries in attracting cross-border capital to its property market.  Private Equity and Venture Capital investments in the sector reached US$ 2.99 billion during January-August 2018.  The government has allowed FDI of up to 100 per cent for townships and settlements development projects  Under the Housing For All scheme, 60 million houses are to be built which include 40 million in rural areas and 20 million in urban area by 2022  Real Estate Bill was passed in March 2016 to establish a real estate regulatory authority for regulating and promoting the sector ADVANTAGE INDIA Source: KPMG, Report on Real Estate Sector in India – Corporate Catalyst India Pvt Ltd, USGBC, JLL India, Cushman & Wakefield, Knight Frank Active Capital, EY
  • 7. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate7 SEGMENTS IN THE INDIAN REAL ESTATE SECTOR  Residential segment contributes ~80 per cent of the real estate sector. New housing launches across top seven cities in India increased 50 per cent quarter-on-quarter in April-June 2018. Real estate sector  Few players with presence across India  Office space leasing increased by over 10 per cent to cross 20 million square feet in the first half of 2018.  FDI in multi brand retail to boost demand  In 2017, new retail space of 6.4 million has finished and supply of around 20 mn sq ft is expected in 2019.  Between 2015 and March 2018, the retail segment in Indian realty attracted private equity investments of around Rs 5,500 crore (US$ $853.4 million) up to March 2018.  The country has 406 approved hotels with 31,944 rooms.* Commercial space Retail space Hospitality space SEZs Residential space  As of July 2018, India had formally approved 420 SEZs, of which 223 were in operation.  Majority of the SEZs are in the IT/ ITeS sector. Notes: SEZ - Special Economic Zone. IT - Information Technology, ITeS - Information Technology Enabled Services,*as of Dec 20,2017 Source: KPMG Cushman and Wakefield, Knight Frank, CRISIL, Ministry of Tourism, JLL India, ANAROCK Property Consultants, Colliers Research
  • 8. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate8 INDIAN REAL ESTATE IS A LARGE, GROWING MARKET… 120 650 1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2017 2025 2030 Market size of real estate in India (US$ billion) Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate; F – Forecast, Information is as per latest data available, *average of indices of all cities Source: KPMG, Report on Real Estate Sector in India – Corporate Catalyst India Pvt Ltd, CBRE, National Housing Bank  Real Estate sector in India is expected to reach a market size of US$ US$ 1 trillion by 2030 from US$ 120 billion in 2017.  Increasing share of real estate in the GDP would be supported by increasing industrial activity, improving income level and urbanisation  Mumbai and Bengaluru have been rated as the top real investment destinations in Asia  The government also launched 10 key policies for real estate sector in 2016, namely: • Real Estate Regulatory Act • Benami Transactions Act • Boost to affordable housing construction • Interest subsidy to home buyers • Change in arbitration norms • Service tax exemption • Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) exemption • Goods and Services Tax • Demonetisation • PR for foreign investors 110.2 116.6 122.08 128.52 128.9 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 Mar '14 Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18 NHB India Housing Price Index*
  • 9. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate9 … WITH SIGNIFICANT ROOM FOR FURTHER GROWTH 15.1 18.4 19.3 20.5 21.7 18.78 10 34.1 34 30.1 26.7 26 19.7 14.8 NA NA 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2001 2005 2008 2010 2014 2015 2017* 2022E Urban Rural Urban-rural housing shortage (million) Notes: : E – Estimates, * As of November 2017 , 1 till December 08, 2017 Source: : Ministry of Housing and Urban Poverty Alleviation, RBI, CRISIL  The urban housing shortage in India is estimated at around 10 million units* which is being addressed through Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY), Urban, under which 6,028,608 houses have been sanctioned up t o September 2018.  Significant increase in real estate activity in cities like Indore, Raipur, Ahmedabad, Jaipur and other 2-tier cities; this has opened new avenues of growth for the sector  Relaxation in the FDI norms for real estate sector has been done to boost the real estate sector  Government’s plan to build 100 smart cities would reduce the migration of people to metro and other developed cities.
  • 10. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate10 DEMAND FOR RESIDENTIAL SPACE EXPECTED TO GROW SHARPLY  A localised, fragmented market presents opportunities for consolidation with only few large, pan-India players such as DLF and Unitech  More foreign players might enter the market as FDI norms have eased  Furthermore, norms on land acquisitions is expected to be relaxed Scenario  NCR is expected to generate maximum demand in MIG and HIG category followed by Bengaluru  Developers now focussing on affordable and mid- range categories to meet the huge demand  India jumped 13 spots in Knight Frank’s Global House Price Index to reach 9th position in Q2 2017. Notable Trends 25 647 351 1,982 1,457 717 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 LIG MIG HIG Demand Supply Cumulative Housing Demand-Supply in Top 8 Cities (‘000 units) 2016-20 Source: : Cushman and Wakefield Notes: LIG – Low Income Group, MIG - Middle Income Group, HIG - High Income Group  Rapid urbanisation  Growth in population  Rise in the number of nuclear families  Easy availability of finance  Repatriation of NRIs and HNIs  Rise in disposable income Key Drivers
  • 11. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate11 METROS DRIVING DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL SPACE 22 23 28 28 27 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Demand for commercial space in top 8 cities (million sq ft) 16 25 26 8 15 13 32 4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Pune NCR Mumbai Kolkata Hyderabad Chennai Bengaluru Ahemdabad City-Wise Commercial Space Demand (million sq ft) 2013-17 Source: Cushman and Wakefield Notes: MNC - Multinational Corporation, BFSI - Banking, Financial and Insurance Services, CBD - Central Business District, SBD - Special Business District, NCR - National Capital Region  Few large developers with a pan-India presence dominate the market  Operating model has shifted from sales to a lease and maintenance Scenario  Commercial office stock in India is expected to cross 600 million square feet by 2018 end.  Mumbai, NCR and Bengaluru accounted for 60 per cent of total office space demand in India in 2017.  Business activity shifting from CBDs to SBDs, Tier 1 to Tier 2 cities  Co-working space in top eight cities crossed 8 million square feet in April 2018. Notable Trends  Rapid growth in services sectors: IT/ITeS, BFSI and Telecom  Rising demand from MNCs  Demand for office space in Tier 2 cities Key Drivers
  • 12. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate12 RETAIL SPACE LIKELY TO SEE STRONG GROWTH Number of Malls in India Source: : Cushman and Wakefield, CBRE, JLL India, Real estate intelligence service (JLL), Anarock  Currently, retail accounts for a small portion of the Indian real estate market  Organised retailers are few and the organised retail space is mostly developed by residential/office space developers Scenario  Absorption across retail malls in top seven cities increased 69 per cent year-on-year in January- March 2018.  About 85 new malls are expected to open in India between 2018-23.  Private equity investments in Indian retail assets increased 15 per cent in CY 2017 to reach US$ 800 million.  During January-March 2018, private equity investors invested Rs 950 crore (US$ 147.4 million) into Indian malls. Notable Trends  Booming consumerism in India  Organised retail sector growing 25-30 per cent annually  Entry of MNC retailers  India’s population below 30 years of age having exposure to global retail are expected to drive demand for organised retail Key Drivers 188 203 212 219 232 246 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 13. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate13 HOSPITALITY MARKET TO WITNESS LARGE INCREMENTAL CAPACITY 82 100 114 118 120 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Trend analysis (stock - no of rooms) (‘000) Source: : Cushman and Wakefield Occupancy Vs. Stock (2017E) 19 12 36 7 11 10 20 5 58% 60% 62% 64% 66% 68% 70% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Bengaluru Chennai NCR Kolkata Hyderabad Pune Mumbai Ahemdabad Stock Occupany Notes: FSI - Floor Space Index, E - estimates  NCR and Mumbai are by far the biggest hospitality markets in India, followed by Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai  Besides hotels, the hospitality market comprises serviced apartments and convention centres Scenario  Serviced apartments appear particularly attractive within the hospitality space  Government initiatives to promote tourism in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities is generating significant demand for hotels in such cities, especially for budget hotels Notable Trends  A robust domestic tourism industry  The increasingly global nature of Indian businesses boosting business travel  Tax incentives for hotels and higher FSI Key Drivers
  • 15. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate15 STRATEGIES ADOPTED Source: Aranca Research, Livemint, Economic Times  Having a diverse portfolio of residential, commercial and township developments  Companies have projects in various strategic geographic locations in order to diversify risks  Focus on the growth of lease business  Housing finance companies and private equity companies have started focusing on affordable housing. Diversified portfolio  In May 2018, Blackstone Group acquired One Indiabulls in Chennai from Indiabulls Real Estate for around Rs 900 crore (US$ 136.9 million).  In 2017, 62 M&A deals worth US$ 1.46 billion were witnessed in India’s real estate sector. Merger and Acquisitions  Joint Venture with land owners instead of amassing land banks. For e.g.: Oberoi Realty, Mumbai based realty firm adopted this strategy while entering the NCR region  Revenue, area and profit sharing agreement with the land owner Risk management in land sourcing  Outsourced support functions  Focus on delivery capability  Development of world class infrastructure  Rationalising costs Superior execution  An architectural, structural and interior studio and a metal and glazing factory  Interiors and wood working factory and a concrete block making plant Backward integration
  • 17. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate17 REAL ESTATE BEING DRIVEN BY POLICIES AND GROWING ECONOMY Growth in Tourism Epidemological Changes Policy SupportEasier Financing Growing Economy Urbanisation Growth drivers
  • 18. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate18 ECONOMIC GROWTH ALONG WITH GROWING URBANISATION IS BOOSTING REAL ESTATE DEMAND 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018F FY2019F Advanced Economies Emerging Economies India China Real GDP growth rates of major economies Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, CUshman and Wakefield, *United Nations World Urbanization Prospects 2018 Notes: E – Estimate, F – Forecast, JNNURM: Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission 429 461 483 543 880 893 900 909 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2015 2018E 2020F 2025F Urban Rural Population breakdown of India (million)  The Indian economy experienced robust growth in the past decade and is expected to be one of the fastest growing economies in the coming years  Demand for commercial property is being driven by the country’s economic growth  By 2022, real estate and construction sector in India is expected to generate 75 million jobs and emerge as the largest employer in the country.  India’s urban population is expected to reach 543 million by 2025 from 461 million estimated in 2018*.  Government initiatives such as various urban development policies and programmes (e.g., JNNURM) are expected to contribute to enhanced urbanisation.
  • 19. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate19 RISING TOURIST NUMBERS BOOSTING THE HOSPITALITY SECTOR Source: Ministry of Tourism, World Travel and Tourism Council’s Economic Impact 2015, Aranca Research Notes: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate; CY – Calendar Year, * up to August 2018  The number of Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTAs) to India increased 15.6 per cent in CY 2017 to reach 10.177 million and reached 6.76 million in January-August 2018, showing a growth rate of 7.5 per cent year-on-year.  The Government of India has set a target of 20 million foreign tourist arrivals (FTAs) by 2020 and double the foreign exchange earnings as well.  India’s tourism and hospitality industry is anticipated to touch US$ 418.9 billion by 2022  India’s foreign exchange earnings (FEEs) from tourism increased by 20.8 per cent during CY 2017 to reach US$ 27.693 billion and reached US$ 19.46 billion during January-August 2018, showing a year-on-year growth rate of 11.8 per cent.  The growing inflows from tourists is expected to provide a fillip to the hospitality sector  Medical tourism sector in India is gaining momentum, with a target of attracting 8 million medical tourists into the country by 2020. 3.9 4.4 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.6 7.0 7.4 8.0 8.8 10.2 6.8 15.3 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2025E Foreign Tourists Arrivals in India (million) CAGR 7.1% 8.6 10.7 11.8 11.4 14.2 16.6 17.7 18.4 19.7 21.1 22.9 27.7 19.46 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* India’s Foreign Exchange Earnings From Tourism (US$ billion) CAGR 10.88%
  • 20. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate20 GOVERNMENT POLICIES ARE HELPING THE REAL ESTATE SECTOR PROSPER Source: Union Budget 2018-19, Government of India, News Sources  In order to boost affordable real estate, housing loans up to Rs 3.5 million (US$ 54,306) in metro cities were included in priority sector lending by the RBI in June 2018. Loans under priority sector lending are relatively cheaper.  Home loans in India are expected to grow 17-19 per cent in FY19, according to ICRA. Ease in housing finances  The government has allowed 100 per cent FDI for townships and settlements development projects  Provision for reduction in minimum capitalisation for FDI investment from US$ 10 million to US$ 5 million which would help in boosting urbanisation.  In January 2018, Government of India allowed 100 per cent FDI in single-brand retail trading and construction development without any government approvals. FDI  Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in non-residential segment and Infrastructure Investment Trusts. REIT will open channels for both commercial and infrastructure sector. In September 2018, Embassy Office Parks announced that it would raise around Rs 52 billion (US$ 775.66 million) through India’s first REIT listing. REITs  In December 2014, the government passed an ordinance amending the Land Acquisition Bill  This ordinance would help speeding up the process for industrial corridors, social infra, rural infra, housing for the poor and defence capabilities Land Acquisition Bill  Under Union Budget 2018-19, Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) (Gramin) was allocated Rs 33,000 crore (US$ 5.10 billion) while the urban programme of the scheme was allocated Rs 31,500 crore (US$ 4.87 billion). The scheme is expected to push affordable housing and construction in the country and give a boost to the real estate sector.  Affordable housing supply increased 100 per cent quarter-on-quarter in April-June 2018.  In February 2018, the National Urban Housing Fund (NUHF) was approved with an outlay of Rs 60,000 crore (US$ 9.27 billion). Housing for economically weaker sections
  • 21. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate21 MAJOR DEALS IN REAL ESTATE Target Acquirer Value (US$ million) Year DLF Cyber City Developers (33.34 % stake) GIC 1,399.9 2017 Phoenix MarketCity, Bangalore (49 per cent stake) Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) - 2016 Grabhouse Quickr India Pvt Ltd 10 2016 Realty Business Intelligence Housing.com 1.7 2015 Quickr India Pvt Ltd Indian Realty Exchange - 2015 Candor Investments Inc Brookfield Asset Management Inc 337.4 2014 GIC and Ascendas Ascendas India Growth Programme 600 2014 Farallon Capital Indiabulls Real Estate Ltd 187 2013 Indiabulls Properties Pvt Ltd Indiabulls Property Invest Trust 223.1 2012 Source: Corporate Catalyst India , Business Standard, The Economic Times  A joint venture between Dutch asset manager APG Asset Management and real estate asset platform Virtuous Retail, has acquired a portfolio of three shopping malls for US$ 300 million, and has committed an additional US$ 150 million as equity capital to expand the portfolio.  Emaar Properties, with largest FDI in the realty sector, has invested about US$ 126.96 billion in Indian real estate market, through its JV firm Emaar MGF.  Maruti Suzuki is planning to acquire land for dealership expansion plans at key strategic locations across the country Major acquisitions in real estate sector in India
  • 22. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate22 PE INVESTMENTS ON THE RISE Investor Investee Stake (%) Investment (US$ million) Blackstone Group Lp Indiabulls Properties Pvt Ltd and Indiabulls Real Estate Company 50 742 GIC Exora Business Parks Limited 40 406 Brookfield Asset Management Inc Essar Group - Equinox Business Park 100 384 Piramal Fund Management The Wadhwa Group NA 235 CPPIB Island Star Mall Developers Private Limited .(Phoenix Mills JV) NA 185 ASK Property Investment Advisors Shriram Properties Private Limited NA 155 Source: Grant Thornton, Cushman and Wakefield, EY  RBI proposed to allow banks to invest in real estate investment trusts and infrastructure investment trusts, attracting more institutional investors to such assets. Indian Banks, which are allowed to invest about 20 per cent of their net-owned funds in equity-linked mutual funds, venture capital funds and stocks, could invest in these trusts within this limit  Private equity investments in the sector increased 74.1 per cent year-on-year in the H1 2018 to reach US$ 2.24 billion.  KKR India Asset Finance invested over US$ 500 million in residential projects in India in 2017. Top PE deals in Indian real estate sector in 2018
  • 23. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate23 SEZs EMERGING AS AN EXTENSION OF REAL ESTATE BUSINESS 76.01 87.45 81.67 75.84 71.38 78.07 85.54 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 SEZ exports from India (US$ billion) Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, SEZ website  100 per cent FDI permitted in real estate projects within Special Economic Zone (SEZ)  100 per cent FDI permitted for developing townships within SEZs with residential areas, markets, playgrounds, clubs, recreation centres, etc.  Exports from SEZs reached Rs 5.51 trillion (US$ 85.54 billion) in FY18.  Industry players, including realtors and property analysts, are rooting for the creation of "Special Residential Zones" (SRZs), along the lines of SEZs  Minimum land requirement has been brought down from 1000 hectares to 500 hectares for multi-product SEZ and for sector- specific SEZs to 50 hectares. Source: * includes exports from SEZs and Export Oriented Units (EOUs)
  • 25. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate25 NICHE SECTORS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Source: Cushman and Wakefield, Fitch Ratings, Report on Healthcare, Telemedicine and Medical Tourism In India – ASA and Associates LLP, Ministry of Tourism  NCR is expected to have the highest incremental demand from the education sector amidst the period of 2015-19  The rising young population of India is expected to drive this space Education  Emergence of nuclear families and growing urbanisation have given rise to several townships that are developed to take care of the elderly  A number of senior citizen housing projects have been planned; the segment is expected to grow significantly in future  The segment in India can reach US$ 7.7 billion in size by 2030, according to a study by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Senior Citizen Housing  Growth in the number of tourists has resulted in demand for service apartments.  In 2017, number of foreign tourist arrivals in India was recorded 10.177 million  This demand is likely to be on uptrend and presents opportunities for the unorganised sector Service Apartments  FTAs in India is expected to reach 15.3 million by 2025, which is expected to lead to an increase in demand for hotels. Hotels  The healthcare market is expected to reach US$ 372 billion by 2022.  India requires additional 1.1 million beds  India needs to add 2 million hospital beds to meet the global average of 2.6 for every 1,000 people Healthcare Notes: NCR – National Capital Region
  • 26. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate26 TOP CITIES TO CONTRIBUTE TO GROWTH Kolkata  Projects like Light Rail Transport System, Mono Rail, Eco-Park, Airport expansion etc. are likely to boost travel which would result in increase in demand for hotel industry  Corporate clients expected to provide steady growth to room demandBengaluru  Emerging as promising commercial destination with Chennai Bengaluru Industrial Corridor, likely to witness strong demand Chennai  Room demand is expected to be driven by commercial and office space projects in the cityHyderabad  Higher Floor Space index, inclusion of hotel projects in infra lending lists provide a positive outlook to hotel market in NCR NCR Ahmedabad  Upcoming office space likely to boost hospitality segment  Improved infrastructure, new airport terminal and upcoming airport in Navi Mumbai expected to provide growth to hotel industry Mumbai  IT parks are attracting global players and increasing traffic. New business units are likely to increase business conferences, events which in turn would boost hotel demand Pune Source: Cushman and Wakefield
  • 27. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate27 OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW – RENTS SET TO GROW 14.0 8.1 5.5 5.2 4.9 3.2 1.2 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 Bengaluru NCR Mumbai Hyderabad Chennai Pune Kolkata Gross Office Space Absorption in 2018F (million square feet) Source: Cushman and Wakefield, JLL India, Livemint, Colliers International, CBRE, JLL Notes: ITeS - Information Technology Enabled Service, F-forecast  Office market has been driven mostly by growth in ITeS/IT,BFSI, consulting and manufacturing. Moreover, many new companies are planning a foray into Indian markets due to huge potential and recently relaxed FDI norms.  Commercial office stock in India is expected to cross 600 million square feet by 2018 end while office space leasing in the top eight cities is expected to cross 100 million square feet between 2018-20.  Grade-A office space absorption is expected to cross 700 million square feet by 2022, with Delhi-NCR contributing the most to this demand.  Office space leasing increased by over 10 per cent to cross 20 million square feet in the first half of 2018. Office leasing in top eight cities increased by 60 per cent between 2013-17.  The first real estate investment trust (REIT) in India is expected to be launched by 2018 end.
  • 29. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate29 INDUSTRY ORGANISATIONS National Secretariat, 703, Ansal Bhawan, 16, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110 001 Tel: (011) 43126262/43126200 Fax: 91 11 43126211 E-mail: info@credai.org Website: www.credai.org The Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations of India (CREDAI G-1/G-20, Commerce Centre, J. Dadajee Road, Tardeo, Mumbai – 400034 Tel: 91 22 23514134, 23514802, 23520507 Fax: 91 22 23521328 E-mail: bai@vsnl.com, baihq.mumbai@gmail.com Website: www.baionline.in Builders' Association of India (BAI)
  • 31. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate31 GLOSSARY  BFSI: Banking, Financial Services and Insurance  CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate  CBD: Central Business District  FDI: Foreign Direct Investment  FSI: Floor Space Index  HNI: High Net-worth Individual  GOI: Government of India  INR: Indian Rupee  IT/ITeS: Information Technology/Information Technology enabled Services  MNC: Multinational Corporation  NRI: Non Resident Indian  SBD: Special Business District  SEZ: Special Economic Zone  US$ : US Dollar  Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
  • 32. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate32 EXCHANGE RATES Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year) Exchange Rates (Calendar Year) Year INR INR Equivalent of one US$ 2004–05 44.95 2005–06 44.28 2006–07 45.29 2007–08 40.24 2008–09 45.91 2009–10 47.42 2010–11 45.58 2011–12 47.95 2012–13 54.45 2013–14 60.50 2014-15 61.15 2015-16 65.46 2016-17 67.09 2017-18 64.45 Q1 2018-19 67.04 Year INR Equivalent of one US$ 2005 44.11 2006 45.33 2007 41.29 2008 43.42 2009 48.35 2010 45.74 2011 46.67 2012 53.49 2013 58.63 2014 61.03 2015 64.15 2016 67.21 2017 65.12 Source: Reserve Bank of India, Average for the year
  • 33. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.orgReal Estate33 DISCLAIMER India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Aranca in consultation with IBEF. All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed on this presentation. Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.