IBM Smarter Defence Summit Track 1 b Analytics for Smarter Defence - Michael Mc cracken

1. Michael McCracken, Major, USAFR and Military Intelligence Strategy Leader, IBM
10 October 2012
Intelligence Analysis for Smarter Defence
Lesson’s Learned from 1,512 Days in Iraq and Afghanistan
© 2009 IBM Corporation

2. 41,512 days
422,680 hours
410 unforgettable missions
To help intelligence drive operations, build a bigger box.
© 2009 IBM Corporation

3. Organize information the way you want it to be found
(Visually, Verbally, or Numerically)
L by Location • Atlas
• Maps
• Latitude and Longitude
A by Alphabet
• Dictionary
• Maps
• Latitude and Longitude
T • Historical timeline
by Time
C • Time Magazine
• History Novel
H by Category
• Encyclopedia
• Department Store
• Yahoo Search Engine
• Largest to Smallest
by Hierarchy • Darkest to Lightest
• Densest to Least Dense
© 2009 IBM Corporation

4. August 2006 – February 2007
MNF-I CJ2X Detainee Operations, Bagdad, Iraq
Officer-In-Charge, Combined Review and Release Board (Capt, USAFR)
1 Mission
• Vetting Detainees Scheduled for Release
• Determine AQ-IZ
• Coordinate with TF-134 CG
2 Problem
• Mission 3x with NO additional resources
• Rising Political Pressures
• High Intelligence Analysts Turnover
3 Lesson
• Controlled Vetting Process
• Shop Standards
• Performance-based Metrics
© 2009 IBM Corporation

5. June 2008 – August 2008
MNC-I Counter-Improvised Explosive Devices Cell, Iraq
Explosively Formed Projectile Intelligence Analyst (US DoD Contractor)
1 Mission
• Analyze C-IED Tactics, Techniques and Procedures
• Analyze EFP Tactics, Techniques and Procedures
• Develop link analysis of IED cells in MNF-Ds
2 Problem
• Analysis miss-aligned with analysis areas of focus
• Duplicative efforts of MNF-I Intel Teams
• Lack of cohesive intelligence strategy
3 Lesson
• C-IED Cell disbanded / realigned with area teams
• MNC-I / MNF-I combined
• Comprehensive C-IED efforts imbedded across AO
© 2009 IBM Corporation

6. August 2008 – March 2009
MNSTC-I Intelligence Transition Team, Green Zone, Iraq
Information Technology / Intelligence Analyst (US DoD Contractor)
1 Mission
• Branch of MNF-I
• Develop, Organize, Train and Equip MoD/MoI
• Build sustainable intelligence model for IZ forces
2 Problem
• IZ forces lacked basic technical / intelligence skills
• IZ skeptical of western assistance
• Rapid build-up of capabilities pushed by CF
3 Lesson
• Progress requires host-nation buy-in
• Fundamental education required to build forces
• Sustainable capabilities require financial foundation
© 2009 IBM Corporation

7. March 2009 – February 2010
NTM-A RC-North Coordination Center, Mazar-e Sharif, AF
Intelligence Mentor to RC-North Coordination Center for ANA/ANP/NDS (US DoD Contractor)
1 Mission
• Branch of ISAF-A
• Develop, Organize, Train and Equip MoD/MoI
• Build basic intelligence skills of 209th Corp
2 Problem
• ANA/ANP lacked skills / desire to learn
• AF Forces have weak vetting process
• Challenged by basic intelligence skill sets
3 Lesson
• ISAF/USFOR-A unable to measure results
• DoD/DoS difficulty developing training program
• Security efforts continue to plague training mission
© 2009 IBM Corporation

8. March 2010 – June 2010
Biometric Enabled Intelligence, Kandahar (RC-S), AF
BEI Intelligence Analyst for 2 SCR Brigade HQ/FOBs in RC-S (US DoD Contractor)
1 Mission
• Easiest method to establish positive identification
• Develop comprehensive biometric program
• Build base of biometrically enrolled AF citizens
2 Problem
• Lack of priority and conflicting mission requirements
• ANA/ANP contamination of IED Explosions / F&C
• Slow reach-back support and low bandwidth
3 Lesson
• Improved training and leadership buy-in
• Stronger education / combined C-IED efforts
• Enemy tactics discovered and exploited across AO
© 2009 IBM Corporation

9. July 2010 – February 2012
Deputy Chief of Staff, Intelligence ISAF HQ, Kabul, AF
Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Analyst for US ISR-Task Force (US DoD Contractor)
1 Mission
• Support COMISAF on all Intelligence matters
• Develop comprehensive ISR mission
• Train and equip ISAF-A/USFOR-A on all intel
2 Problem
• Personality lead efforts / Fix Intelligence
• Intelligence Assessments / Tactical Employment
• Intelligence Fusion or Hidden Agendas
3 Lesson
• Right person for the right job
• Aerostats / Continue to ISR Surge / Build capes
• Be careful what you ask for (and get)
© 2009 IBM Corporation

10. Intelligence Assessment
External focus
(Intelligence Community)
Collaboration
Interconnected
objectives
Data Training
Discoverability
Internal focus
(agency)
© 2009 IBM Corporation

11. © 2009 IBM Corporation