Mk2 quantifying water user trade offs at yali reservoir vietnam
1. QUANTIFYING WATER USER TRADE OFFS AT YALI
RESERVOIR
Bamboo Green Hotel Da Nang, 17th Sept 2013
Nguyen Viet Anh, Tarek Ketelsen, Mai Ky Vinh
MK2: Valuing Multiple uses of reservoir waters: WorldFish – ICEM –IFPRI – CIEM – DLOF - CEPA
2. Contents
Characteristics
of water use
demand
Hydrological
Characteristics
Cost and benefit
evaluations
between water
users
• CIEM carried out
the survey within
2km buffer of Yali
reservoir
• Surface water
availability
• Reservoir water
allocation & flows
• Storage capacity
and hydro-
electricity
production
• Economic costs &
benefits
• Social costs and
benefits
• Conclusion
3. Research scope
• Water shortage occurs in Yali catchment during the dry
season which is affecting agriculture and aquaculture
production which are important for the provincial economy
• Yali reservoir has capacity to provide dry season supply, but
has not been utilized by provincial users because it was
built for electricity production
• There is a perceived water conflict between electricity
production and consumptive use by surrounding
communities
• The study investigates how significant is this conflict? What
is the trade off in electricity production if some reservoir
waters are used for community abstraction?
5. Overview of the methodology
_
Water
availability
Water
demand
Water
availability
with
consumptive
use
Identify
critical areas
Rainfall
Inflow
Water
demand
Evaporation
_
+ _ Outflow
Power
Production
9. Surface water
availability
• Water availability stays in
surplus during the wet
season and mostly in deficit
during the dry season
• Surface water stress occurs
around Yali reservoir
catchment during the dry
season (over 300mm
deficit)
• Small contribution of water
from the reservoir could be
used for irrigation within
2km buffer area
• What would be the impact
on power production?
10. Hydrological Model
• Using MODSIM hydrological
model which is developed
by Colorado State University
• The model was constructed
using the following data:
– Daily nature inflow to the
reservoir (VMOD)
– Daily precipitation and
evaporation
– Water demand
– Storage capacity and power
generation (CSUPD)
Evaporation
Precipitation
11. Scenario 1 - Baseline
• Reservoir is managed exclusively for hydropower
production
– On average, the reservoir is full for 78 days over a year (21%)
– Average annual power generated is 3,595 GWh
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05
Energy(KWh)
LiveStorageCapacity(1000m3)
Reservoir storage Power generation
12. Scenario 2
• Reservoir water is used to
meet 100% of the total
water demand by
agriculture, domestic and
aquaculture uses within a
2km buffer zone around
the reservoir
• Annual water demand is
81,328,065m3
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
8000000
9000000
10000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Waterdemand(m3)
14. Scenario 2 findings
• Annual storage capacity and
power production are expected
to reduce by 0.7% and 1%
respectively
• Storage capacity in the dry
season is reduced by 3.6% (493m3
daily)
• Power production in the dry
season is reduced by 3.5%
(3,194kWh)
• Annual economical cost from
power generation reduction is
462,000USD of which 83% of the
loss occurs during the dry season
• However most of electricity is
generated during the wet season.
Dry season production is only
22% of the yearly production
-4.0%
-3.5%
-3.0%
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
Annually Dry season Wet season
Change(%)
Storage capacity Power generation
15. Conclusions of the water availability
assessment
• Relatively small change for hydro power production (i.e. 1%
energy reduction annually) can have big impact on
communities surrounding Yali reservoir (within 2km).
Especially in the dry season, when there is water stress and
higher dependency on groundwater.
• 462,000USD loss from electricity production could bring
greater benefit for surrounding community
The central highland of Vietnam has been known for its dry climate during the dry season. Water supply for irrigation and domestic uses is heavily rely on underground water.There might be a potential for some certain communities living around Yali reservoir to utilise reservoir water without affecting to much on electricity production. To assess this potential utilisation, we carried out a research to Quantify the monthly abstraction totals for water users in the 2km buffer … and to evaluate Social and economic consequence of trading offWater use Keep in mind that this study has not been done for manyHydro-power reservoirs in Vietnam where reservoirs’ main focus is to reserve water for electricity production
What would happen if we added water demand of the district into the equation?Water demand for each sub-catchment was calculated (based on district water demand CIEM)Over lay water demand on top of water availability layers i.e. water availability minus water demand to find out Water availability with consumptive use
- The map shows surface water availability in Gia Lai and KonTum. Water availability is estimated by subtracting evaporation from precipitation.Daily Precipitation data is from INHEM and daily evaporation data is taken from the 2 monitoring stations Pleiku & KonTum. The study has been done at sub-catchment level i.e. each district in Gia Lai and KonTum was divided into sub-catchments Total water availability annually stays in surplus, Sa Thay district has less water availability than other communes. However it is miss leading if we only looking at annually data as the difference between precipitation in the dry and wet season is significant. As seen on the map, Water availability stays in surplus during the wet season but mostly in deficit during the dry season (only one part of Kbang is in the surphus). During the dry season, severe water stress occurs in Sa Thay district.
Total water availability with consumptive use annually and in the wet season stays in surplus however water availability in the dry season stays in deficit
If we just look at water availability in the dry season we could see some significant changes.The map on the left shows water availability with no consumptive demandThe map in the middle shows water availability with consumptive demandThe map on the right shows the percentage changes between the two The significant changes occur at Kbang, La Pa, Krong Pa, Ayun Pa. At Kbang, water availability used to be in the surplus now become deficit. Over 36% decrease of water availability occur at La Pa, Krong Pa, Ayun Pa leading to more exposure of water stress. Water shortage is critical within and around Sa Thay. The critical area is expanded when added consumptive demand. Thus increase water stress within the area.
As mentioned before water availability stays in surplus during the wet season and mostly in deficit during the dry season. Critical water stress occurs within and around Sa Thay where Yali reservoir located.The 2km buffer area lies in the in the red and orange zone which are over 300mm of water deficit in the dry season. Water availability would be critical for agriculture and domestic use of communities living in this area in the dry season. Small contribution of water from the reservoir could relive this water stress. What would be the impact on power production if water from the reservoir could be used for agriculture and domestic use? Hydrological model was set up to analyse the impact.
Using MODSIM hydrological model,a Decision Support System,which is developed by Colorado State UniversityThe model was constructed using:Daily nature inflow to the reservoir (Hydrological modeling Vmod developed under MK3 project) Daily precipitation and evaporation from Kon Tm monitoring stationWater demand of 2km buffer area around Yali reservoir (mentioned in section 1 by CIEM)Storage capacity and power generation (Hydropower modeling CSUDP developed under MK3 project)Water into reservoir: Inflow & precipitationWater out of reservoir: Evaporation & demandGenerate electricity: outflow
Scenario 1 – Baseline - Reservoir is managed exclusively for hydropower productionThe modeling results show that …The graph shows the live storage capacity and energy production for 5 years from Jan 2001 to the end of 2005 (when we have available data)Most year, reservoir is full, live storage is at1 billion m3, during the wet season (from mid August to end of Oct). Consequently, energy production is at its max generation of 17,000kWh (from June to Nov)
Scenario 2 - Reservoir water is used to meet the total water demand by agriculture, domestic and aquaculture uses within a 2km buffer zoneAs mentioned in section 1, the total annual demand is 81,328,065m3. Based on the demand on each season, monthly water demand was estimated for the model input. Water demand in the four month beginning of the year is higher than in other months
The graph is showing changes in live storage capacity and power production between scenario 2 and baseline (Results from the modeling)In the wet season, The reservoir mostly full thus there isn’t much change in power production.However in the dry season when active storage capacity is almost equal to zero. What is left from inflow minus net evaporation and demand will be input for electricity generation. Therefore daily power production could be reduced by up to 16%.Difference changes of storage capacity in June just shows that inflow and precipitation pick up in June, with water demand, it takes longer to fill up the reservoir than baseline.
Looking at average active storage capacity and total power production annually, in the dry and wet season.The graph shows the difference results of scenario 2 compare with baseline