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Generating carbon credits
 from the Kenyan dairy
 industry: A pilot study


  Pilot project on the feasibility of generating carbon credit
 through dairy productivity gains Second Project Stakeholder
    Consultation Workshop, Nairobi, Kenya, 29 January 2013



                                            Simon Fraval (ILRI)
Project concept



Increased productivity
generates less                                                          Funds support
emissions per unit of
                                      Measuring reductions              farmers’ efforts to
milk                                                                    decrease emissions
                                      in emissions and
•Feeding for milk yield               meeting a buyer’s                 through productivity
•Feed additives for emission          needs                             gains
 reduction
                                      •Site selection                   •Providing credit for input
•Waste management                                                        procurement
•Herd management.                     •Developing methodology
                                                                        •Funding for extension
 Including: milker                    •Baseline studies                  officers
 replacement and                      •Verifying emissions
 retirement, genetics, and            •Advertising to buyers
 animal health




                               After pilot project completion, assess
                                        viability for other sites
Time frame

                                Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun   Jul   Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
  Site selection
  Feasibility study
  Methodology development
  Baseline study
  Buyer Negotiations
  Intervention
  Monitoring and evaluation
  Pilot review

        Completed
                          Site selection commenced
        To be completed        September, 2012
Progress to-date
• Scoping study and country selection
• Forming a partnership between FAO, MLD
  and ILRI.
• Stakeholder workshop with Kenyan ministries
  and development partners
• Site selection shortlisting
• Methodology development
• Discussions with buyers
Site selection
District shortlisting

Resources
•Global Biomass Optimization Model
  (GLOBIOM)
•Milk density extrapolations, based
on 2001 household survey data
(2005). ILRI data
•MoLD census data                     Provincial summaries of livestock population statistics for 2009 ('000 head)




•Disease, milk deficit, herd size
                                             PROVINCE   CATTLE            PROVINCE   CATTLE     PROVINCE     CATTLE
                                      CENTRAL                         N/EASTERN                Rift Valley   7449.8
                                      Nyandarua North      122.0   Garissa             266.9   Nyanza        1748.7
                                      Nyandarua South      110.1   Lagdera             197.8   Western       1063.5
                                      Nyeri North          128.2   Fafi                 86.3   Nairobi         54.5
                                      Nyeri South           94.1   Ijara               352.6   Eastern       2260.1
                                      Kirinyaga            144.1   Wajir South         331.5   Coast            960
                                      Muranga North        102.6   Wajir North         189.7
                                      Muranga South        112.2   Wajir East          159.8
                                      Kiambaa               28.8   Wajir West          113.5
                                      Kikuyu                32.8   Mandera Central     467.7
                                      Kiambu West           22.5   Mandera East        306.8

                                      Lari                  34.9   Mandera West        302.5

                                      Githunguri           57.0 TOTAL                 2775.2

                                      Thika East            21.2
                                      Thika West            17.3
                                      Ruiru                 16.5
                                      Gatanga               28.5

                                      Gatundu              53.4
                                      TOTAL               1125.9
Focus geographical areas




•Bomet, Kericho, western Nakuru, southern Keiyo-marakwet, Uasin-Gishu, Nandi and
western Nyandarua.
Active hubs for assessment
Hub selection
Resources:
Existing data on 17 EADD hubs


Primary data collection from non-EADD hubs
Non-EADD sites: 39
Interviewed: 13
Hub selection - EADD results
Four sets of selection criteria used, becoming
progressively more ‘relaxed’:
•S1: Chepkorio, Kipkelion and Ol Kalou
•S2: Tanykina
•S3: Olenguruone
•S4: Kabiyet and Siongiroi
Hub selection - Non-EADD
- Checklist
- Semi-structured
- Time ranging from ½ hour to two hours
Hub level data collection
          Hub name
          Data collected by
          Interviewee(s)
          Date
          Data reviewed by

Background
          District
          Site name
          Address
          GPS co-ordinates (if possible)
          Year Registered
          Number of members
          Number of suppliers
          Number of milking cows
          Chilling capacity
          Estimated volume received in September 2011 to October 2012 (monthly)
          Number of employees
Genetics
          Estimate of total milking zebu/Local
          Estimate of total milking cross breeds
          Estimate of total milking pure dairy breeds
          Has a breeding plan been developed and implemented                            Yes    No        Partially
          Does the hub provide AI services or contract AI services                      Yes    No
          Adoption of AI (% of registered farmers using A.I service in the last 12 months)
                                                                                        >80%   61 to 80% 41 to 60% 21 to 40   <20%
Nutrition
Interviewed Non-EADD
               Interviewed

               Others
Hub selection - Shortlisted
                  Shortlisted

                  Others
Hub selection – screening
                summary

                                           No farmer interaction

                                           Infancy

                                           Insufficient governance or
                                           administrative structures
                                           Future potential

                                           Shortlisted




                                          N=30


On-going process identifying limitations with working with
shortlisted hubs.
Hub selection – shortlist
1) Kabiyet
2) Tanykina
3) Onesimus (Non-EADD stage gated)
4) Ol Kalou
5) Siongiroi
6) Chepkorio
7) Muki (Unconfirmed)

The opportunity to host the pilot project can be
tendered out by the Ministry of Co-operative
Development
From selection
   to pilot
Next steps

                             Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun   Jul   Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Site selection
Feasibility study
Methodology development
Baseline study
Buyer Negotiations            Stakeholder workshop.
                                    29/1/2013
Intervention
Monitoring and evaluation
Pilot review

      Completed             Site selection
                        commenced September,
      To be completed            2012
Thank you




            s.fraval@cgiar.org

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Generating carbon credits from the Kenyan dairy industry: A pilot study

  • 1. Generating carbon credits from the Kenyan dairy industry: A pilot study Pilot project on the feasibility of generating carbon credit through dairy productivity gains Second Project Stakeholder Consultation Workshop, Nairobi, Kenya, 29 January 2013 Simon Fraval (ILRI)
  • 2. Project concept Increased productivity generates less Funds support emissions per unit of Measuring reductions farmers’ efforts to milk decrease emissions in emissions and •Feeding for milk yield meeting a buyer’s through productivity •Feed additives for emission needs gains reduction •Site selection •Providing credit for input •Waste management procurement •Herd management. •Developing methodology •Funding for extension Including: milker •Baseline studies officers replacement and •Verifying emissions retirement, genetics, and •Advertising to buyers animal health After pilot project completion, assess viability for other sites
  • 3. Time frame Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Site selection Feasibility study Methodology development Baseline study Buyer Negotiations Intervention Monitoring and evaluation Pilot review Completed Site selection commenced To be completed September, 2012
  • 4. Progress to-date • Scoping study and country selection • Forming a partnership between FAO, MLD and ILRI. • Stakeholder workshop with Kenyan ministries and development partners • Site selection shortlisting • Methodology development • Discussions with buyers
  • 6. District shortlisting Resources •Global Biomass Optimization Model (GLOBIOM) •Milk density extrapolations, based on 2001 household survey data (2005). ILRI data •MoLD census data Provincial summaries of livestock population statistics for 2009 ('000 head) •Disease, milk deficit, herd size PROVINCE CATTLE PROVINCE CATTLE PROVINCE CATTLE CENTRAL N/EASTERN Rift Valley 7449.8 Nyandarua North 122.0 Garissa 266.9 Nyanza 1748.7 Nyandarua South 110.1 Lagdera 197.8 Western 1063.5 Nyeri North 128.2 Fafi 86.3 Nairobi 54.5 Nyeri South 94.1 Ijara 352.6 Eastern 2260.1 Kirinyaga 144.1 Wajir South 331.5 Coast 960 Muranga North 102.6 Wajir North 189.7 Muranga South 112.2 Wajir East 159.8 Kiambaa 28.8 Wajir West 113.5 Kikuyu 32.8 Mandera Central 467.7 Kiambu West 22.5 Mandera East 306.8 Lari 34.9 Mandera West 302.5 Githunguri 57.0 TOTAL 2775.2 Thika East 21.2 Thika West 17.3 Ruiru 16.5 Gatanga 28.5 Gatundu 53.4 TOTAL 1125.9
  • 7. Focus geographical areas •Bomet, Kericho, western Nakuru, southern Keiyo-marakwet, Uasin-Gishu, Nandi and western Nyandarua.
  • 8. Active hubs for assessment
  • 9. Hub selection Resources: Existing data on 17 EADD hubs Primary data collection from non-EADD hubs Non-EADD sites: 39 Interviewed: 13
  • 10. Hub selection - EADD results Four sets of selection criteria used, becoming progressively more ‘relaxed’: •S1: Chepkorio, Kipkelion and Ol Kalou •S2: Tanykina •S3: Olenguruone •S4: Kabiyet and Siongiroi
  • 11. Hub selection - Non-EADD - Checklist - Semi-structured - Time ranging from ½ hour to two hours Hub level data collection Hub name Data collected by Interviewee(s) Date Data reviewed by Background District Site name Address GPS co-ordinates (if possible) Year Registered Number of members Number of suppliers Number of milking cows Chilling capacity Estimated volume received in September 2011 to October 2012 (monthly) Number of employees Genetics Estimate of total milking zebu/Local Estimate of total milking cross breeds Estimate of total milking pure dairy breeds Has a breeding plan been developed and implemented Yes No Partially Does the hub provide AI services or contract AI services Yes No Adoption of AI (% of registered farmers using A.I service in the last 12 months) >80% 61 to 80% 41 to 60% 21 to 40 <20% Nutrition
  • 12. Interviewed Non-EADD Interviewed Others
  • 13. Hub selection - Shortlisted Shortlisted Others
  • 14. Hub selection – screening summary No farmer interaction Infancy Insufficient governance or administrative structures Future potential Shortlisted N=30 On-going process identifying limitations with working with shortlisted hubs.
  • 15. Hub selection – shortlist 1) Kabiyet 2) Tanykina 3) Onesimus (Non-EADD stage gated) 4) Ol Kalou 5) Siongiroi 6) Chepkorio 7) Muki (Unconfirmed) The opportunity to host the pilot project can be tendered out by the Ministry of Co-operative Development
  • 16. From selection to pilot
  • 17. Next steps Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Site selection Feasibility study Methodology development Baseline study Buyer Negotiations Stakeholder workshop. 29/1/2013 Intervention Monitoring and evaluation Pilot review Completed Site selection commenced September, To be completed 2012
  • 18. Thank you s.fraval@cgiar.org