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Network Storage: State of the Industry
- 1. Network Storage:
State of the Industry
Anil Vasudeva
President & Chief Analyst
IMEX Research.com
(408) 268-0800
vasudeva@imexresearch.com
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 2. • Markets Drivers / Industry Dynamics
• Market Forecast
• Emerging Technologies Roadmap
• Basis of Competition
• Supplier Strategies
• Futures Opportunities
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 3. WW Storage Systems Market
WW Storage Systems Market
EU Customer Rev $M
$30,000
$25,000
EU Customer Rev $M
$20,000
SAN
$15,000
$10,000 NAS
$5,000
DAS
$-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 4. HA Secure End-to-End Internet
xSP IntrDet
Enterprise
VPN
IntrDet
WebServices App.Servers
DBServers
IntrDet
Supplier/Partner
ISP IntrDet
ISP Internet ISP
Core
Edge Optical
Networking
ISP
Access
ISP
ISP
Remote Office
IntrDet
IntrDet
Cable Modem
56K DSL
MP3 VOD
Cellular
Wireless Home Networks
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
©1997-2002 IMEX Research. All Rights reserved.
IME
- 5. End to End Internet
HA, Secure Data Center
FC SAN IP SAN NAS NAS
IP Storage Network
Web
App
Internet Web DB
Edge Core Web
App
Optical
Web
DB
Web
App
Web
Web
DB
App
Web
Edge Applications Data Center
Directory Security Policy Management
Software OS Platform
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 6. Market Segments by Applications
(RAID - 1, 5, 6) (RAID - 0, 3)
Transaction
10 K Processing Intranet
• System Files
• OLTP
- Banking • Electronic Data
- Retail Commerce
1K
- Securities • Data Bases Warehousing
- Airlines ... Visual DB
IOPs • OLAP
• Data Warehousing
• Object RDBMS
(latency) Internets • Data Mining
• Visual Data Marts
• Email
100
• Hits/day Scientific Computing
• Numeric Intensive
Computing
• Statistical
Imaging
Modeling
• Chemicals/
• Medical Imaging
• PrePress
Video
10 Fluid Dynamic • CAD/CAM
• Scientific Visualization
Simulations • Geo InfoSystems
• Film/Video
• Geophysical mapping
• Video Editing
• Oil/Gas Exploration
• Animation
• Satellite Telemetry...
• VOD
1
1 5 10 50 100 500
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms) MB/sec
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 7. The iSCSI SAN
Client
Workstations
Client requests data from App Server
LAN
Ethernet Header IP TCP DATA CRC
Ethernet
Switches
Application &
DB Servers
(iSCSI Initiator) iSCSI-equipped App Server (“initiator”)
requests data from an iSCSI storage (“target”)
SAN Ethernet CRC
IP TCP iSCSI SCSI DATA
GigE Header
Switches
Storage Arrays
(iSCSI Target)
To Other LANs,
Servers or IP SANs
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 8. Future Intelligent IP Infrastructure
Present Data Center Infrastructue Future Infrastructue
Clients
LAN Ntwk
Mgmt WS
Application & Intelligent
DB Servers Uniform
IP-based
Infrastructure
Mgmt
SAN Storage WS
Mgmt WS
Storage
Sub Systems
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 9. Transporting Application Data
DAS SAN iSCSI NAS
Computer System Computer System Computer System Computer Computer
Application Application Application System
Application System
Application
OS DB OS DB OS DB
FS Syst FS Syst FS Syst OS FS OS FS
Raw Raw Raw I/O Redirector I/O Redirector
LVM Partition LVM Partition LVM Partition
NFS / CIFS NFS / CIFS
iSCSI Layer
SCSI Device iSCSI Layer TCP/IP Stack TCP/IP Stack
FC HBA
Driver
FC HBA NIC NIC NIC
SCSI Bus Adapter
FILE I/O
Block I/O IP Network
SCSI HBA NAS NAS Gateway
SAN IP Network Appliance
NIC NIC
TCP/IP Stack TCP/IP Stack
File System + LVM File System + LVM
Device Driver Device Driver
iSCSI Appliance
Block I/O
NIC
FC HBA
SAN
TCP/IP Stack
iSCSI Layer
I/O Bus Adapter
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 10. iSCSI SAN market to reach 1.7B by 2006
WW SAN Revenues
by Technology
End User Customer Revenues $M
IB
iSCSI
Fibre Channel
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 11. WW FC SAN Components -Market Shares
Market- Fibre Channel SAN
Components 2000
Inter- Others
phase 1%
3% Em ulex
Com paq 35%
7% QL ogi c
7%
Sun
HBA Switch
7% Ga dz oox
$545M $469M 2%
Vi x e l
Br oc a de
3%
88%
Agilent
10%
QLogic
JNI 17%
20%
Director
Hubs Router $186M
$51M $47M
InRange
9%
Ga dz oo x
53%
Vi x e l Ot he r s C r ossr o a d s
34% 28% 72%
McDATA
Em ul e x S t o r a ge Te k 91%
4% 9%
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 14. TCP/IP Offloading
Data Application
Entire stack Upper Layers
needs attention TCP/IP (or Offload I/F)
Challenge is to move data OS
from application to the CPU
network and back with
Memory
minimum latency
Chipset
I/O interconnect
Network Interface
(w or w/o TOE)
Data
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 15. SAN Market Segmentation
Environment
Servers Storage
ASP - $1K to $25K FC SANs Performance
Perf. - 50K+ tpm iSCSI HW SANs Scalability
r- Features
n te e
E is Cost
ASP - $1K to $25K
pr iSCSI HW SANs
Perf. - 15K-50K tpm
t
ASP - $10K to $100K
m en iSCSI SW SAN
Perf. – 5-15K+ tpm
p art Mid NAS
De
ASP - $1K to $25K up iSCSI SW SAN
ro Entry NAS
Perf. – 1-5K+ tpm rkg
Wo /
PATA, SATA
ffi ce
l l O ffice
ma e O
S m
Ho
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 16. iSCSI Server Options
iSCSI HBA
• Enterprise Performance
• Wire Speed IP Security
• Management
e c
&
an
NIC with TOE &
Pe Cost
rm
iSCSI SW Driver
rfo
• Increased Performance
NIC &
iSCSI SW Driver
• Entry Level
• Low Cost
Market Size
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 17. iSCSI Market 2002-06
iSCSI Ports Units Forecast iSCSI Ports ASP Forecast
3,000
2,000
2,500 1,750
iSCSI Other 10 Gbit iSCSI HBA
1,500
Ports
2,000
A S p /P o rt $
1,250
1, 5 0 0 1,000
750
1, 0 0 0 1Gbit iSCSI HBA
500
iSCSI HBA
500
Ports 250
Other iSCSI Initiator
0
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 18. TCP + iSCSI Offload Engines
Typical 1GbE NIC
File System File System
Host
File System
SW
Volume Manager Volume Manager
Volume Manager
SCSI Device Driver SCSI Device Driver
SCSI Device Driver
iSCSI iSCSI iSCSI
Adapter
TCP TCP TCP
IP IP IP
Ethernet Ethernet Ethernet
Host CPU
HBA Firmware
HBA Hardware
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 19. TOE/iSCSI
x4 PCI-E
PCI-Express
Memory
iSCSI
TOE Implementation
Targeted Performance
Host Mgmt Host
Interface Engine Interface
SAN 180– 190 MB
Mgmt Mgmt
FIFO FIFO
RAM RAM LAN >2 GHz
GbE MAC GbE MAC
SerDes PHY PHY SerDes
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 20. IP SAN Management
Host Services Integration Storage
Provisioning
File system monitoring Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris Layer
IP SAN Management
Management Management of MultiPath IO Supp Security
IP SAN
Console iSCSI HBAs and Failover (iSNS, CHAP, SRP) Management
Layer
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target Management Appliance
LVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API Interoperability
Service
Layer
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 21. Industry roadmap LAN/SAN ’02-’05
Offloaded Offloaded
• Initiator only • Initiator & target
Convergence
SAN
• TCP/IP on NIC • TCP/IP in Si
• iSCSI in host • Dual function
• iSCSI on NIC Integration
• Single port and function • Initiator & target
• Shares host memory
• Fault Tolerance • Offloaded TCP/IP
• Supports 1GbE & 10 GbE
• Load Balancing • Offloaded iSCSI
• Offloaded TCP/IP & iSCSI
• Dual port
• Initiator & target
Host • Fault tolerance
Offloaded • Load balancing
• LAN on Blades Solution
• Uses CPU cycles • TCP/IP in Si • SAN on Blades Solution
• Motherboard option
LAN
• Stateless Offloads • Single port and function
• External memory
• Windows & Linux
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 22. 10Gb Embedded TOE Evolution
CPU CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU CPU
CPU CPU CPU CPU
TOE
MC MC
MC
MC MC
MC MC
DMA DMA
PCI Exp PCI Exp PCI Exp PCI Exp
PCI Exp
I/O Uses I/O Uses
I/O 1GbE
Bridge Bridge Syst Bridge Syst 10 GbE
Mmry Mmry 1GbE
TOE GbE TOE 1GbE
GbE 1GbE
PCI-X
Ext
TOE Mmry PCI PCI-X TOE PCI PCI-X
with
10GbE
2GbE
Ext.Mmry
2x1Gb TOE NIC TOE chipset 10 Gb TOE NIC Embedded
2003 2004 2005 2006 onwards
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 23. TOE solutions to be state machines
Host interface PCI 64/66 PCI-Express x4 PCI-Express x8 PCI-Express x4
PCI-X 1.0 PCI-X 2.0
Packet memory External on NIC External on NIC Host memory, Host memory
External on NIC
RDMA No HW support Microengine Microengine + Microengine +
assists state machine State machine
iSCSI No HW support assists St. machine St. machine
DDP/MPA No HW support St. machine St. machine St. machine
MAC/PHY 1 MAC, PHY Dual MACs, PHY Single MAC + Dual MACs, PHY
external integrated Serdes, external integrated
optics
Context memory External on NIC Internal cache Internal cache Internal cache, >
than Cranbrook
Security (IPSEC) Prototype support External ASIC External ASIC External ASIC
for SSL
#of connections 1k 8k 8k 8k+
Management PXE PXE, ASF2.0 PXE, ASF 2.0 PXE, ASF2.0
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 24. Software Architecture – Functions
Applications
Sockets API RDMA API I/O Libraries
User
Kernel Kernel-Mode Applications
OS Socket Driver
Offload Switch
File Systems
OS
Network SCSI Driver
IP Transport RDMA API
Stack
Driver
RDMA iSCSI 1.0 Offload
Raw Packet Driver Driver Driver
Bus Driver
Base Hardware Driver
OS Cmpn
HW Channel Interface
RDMA HW Drivers
DDP
MPA iSCSI 1.0 uCode w
UDP TCP HW Assist
IP
Dual MAC HW
IPSec PHY 1 PHY 2
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 25. Emerging IP Based Infrastructure
Servers Storage
IP
Networks Infrastructure Telecom
Virtualization
Provisioning
Automation
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 26. TOE solution…
• TCP/IP offload reduces overheads assoc. with
– Protocol processing
– Data touching & manipulation
– Operating system related
• TOE based stack still requires
– Large high-speed NIC memory for TCP/IP buffers
– Mechanism to directly place data into app. buffers
– OS support & efficient TOE I/F, …
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 27. TCP/IP Offload & Mgmt
• TCP/IP Offload using TOE:
– 8K TCP connections Supp
– RDMA Supp
– Full Data path offload:
– Soft session setup/teardown
– Memory pool for outstanding SCSI commands
– Connection & Session-level error recovery
• IPv4 & IPv6 support:
– Checksum and segmentation offload
– Large send capability
• Operating Systems:
– Drivers for Windows 2k, Linux
• Management:
– Build on Ophir’s management
– ASF 2.0 support
– WfM support
– IPMI support
– VLAN Tagging
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 28. NIC & iSCSI
• Dual independent 1GbE ports:
– PCI-Ex Copper, Fiber, PCI-X Copper, Fiber
PCI- PCI-
– PCI-Express or PCI-X Interface
PCI- PCI-
• Performance, sustained throughput:
– SAN: 180 – 190 MB/sec
– LAN: 1.9 Gbps Full Duplex
– Simultaneous support of LAN and SAN traffic
• Low CPU Utilization (<10% on 2Ghz P4)
• iSCSI offloaded solution usingTOE
– Support for Windows, Linux
– iSCSI Initiator and target modes Support
– Full data path offload, Flexible TOE control path
– Soft TCP session setup/teardown, Soft error handling and reporting
– Full iSCSI error detection and handling
• Connection and session levels, SCSI errors
– iSCSI CRC support
– Remote iSCSI boot
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 30. FC SAN Market Shares
Crossroads
qLogic
Agilent 2%
Em ulex 12% HP/CPQ
5%
15% 2%
JNI Gadzoox
5% 2%
Inrange
2%
McData Sun
17% 1%
Vixel
1%
Antares
Brocade 1%
Other
34%
1%
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 31. 4-Tiered Computing in Data Center
Internet
Edge Core Edge
Optical
Users Tier-0 Tier-1 Tier-2 Tier-3
Source : Sun Microsystems
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 32. End to End Internet
SAN SAN NAS NAS
Storage Network
Web
App
Internet Web DB
Edge Core Web
App
Optical
Web
DB
Web
App
Web
Web
DB
App
Web
Edge Applications Data Center
Directory Security Policy Management
Software OS Platform
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 33. Major Players in Infrastructure Convergence
Networks Storage
Servers
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 35. TCP/IP Overhead saps CPU
Typical 1GbE NIC
TCP/IP Overhead saps CPU
700
File System
600
MBS vs. CPU Utilization
Volume Manager 500
MB/sec
SCSI Device Driver 400
300
iSCSI
200
TCP 100
IP 0
60% 68% 71% 83%
Ethernet CPU Utilization %
Legend Processing by Host CPU
HBA Hardware
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 36. TCP + iSCSI Offload Engines
Typical 1GbE NIC
File System File System
Host
File System
SW
Volume Manager Volume Manager
Volume Manager
SCSI Device Driver SCSI Device Driver
SCSI Device Driver
iSCSI iSCSI iSCSI
Adapter
TCP TCP TCP
IP IP IP
Ethernet Ethernet Ethernet
Host CPU
HBA Firmware
HBA Hardware
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 38. SAN Market Segmentation
Environment
Servers Storage
ASP - $1K to $25K FC SANs Performance
Perf. - 50K+ tpm iSCSI HW SANs Scalability
r- Features
n te e
E is Cost
ASP - $1K to $25K
pr iSCSI HW SANs
Perf. - 15K-50K tpm
t
ASP - $10K to $100K
m en iSCSI SW SAN
Perf. – 5-15K+ tpm
p art Mid NAS
De
ASP - $1K to $25K up iSCSI SW SAN
ro Entry NAS
Perf. – 1-5K+ tpm rkg
Wo /
PATA, SATA
ffi ce
l l O ffice
ma e O
S m
Ho
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 39. iSCSI Market Development
Enterprise Adoption
• 10Gbps Ethernet
• Multi-headed Storage
Distributed iSCSI
• Gateways
• SAN Consolidation
• Long Distance Backup
SMB Adoption
• Low Cost SANs
• Windows & Linux
Pilots
• Win Server 2003 Drivers
• Exchange Consolidation
• Native iSCSI Disk Arrays
& Tape Libraries
Early Adoption
• Gateways & Routers
• Long Distance Backups
2003 2004
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 40. IP Networks
• Decades-old, tried and tested, ever-evolving, widely deployed
Decades- ever-
• Many upper-layer protocol variations in use
upper-
Small Computer Systems Interface
• Security, QoS, partitioning/subnets
Hyper Text Translation Protocol
• LAN-centric manageability
LAN-
Message Passing Interface
Sockets Direct Protocol
• Supports reliable “streams”-based data
streams”
Secure Sockets Layer
• Work underway to fix required message framing,
iSCSI over RDMA
Internet SCSI
and to add RDMA
Application Application Application
iSCSI
HTTP
SCSI
Presentation Presentation Presentation
SDP
SSL
MPI
... ...
iSER
Session Session Session
verbs
Transport (TCP) Transport (TCP) Transport RDMA P RDMA Protocol
Network (IP) Network (IP) Network (IP) MPA Marker PDU Alignment
DDP Direct Data Placement
Data Link (MAC) Data Link (MAC) Data Link (MAC)
TCP
Physical Physical Physical
Today’s NIC TCP/IP Offload RDMA-Enabled
Engine (TOE) TOE
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
software hardware under development IME
- 41. IP SAN Management
Host Services Integration Storage
Provisioning
File system monitoring Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris
IP SAN Management
Value-add
Management Management of MultiPath IO Supp Security IP SAN
Console iSCSI HBAs and Failover (iSNS, CHAP, SRP)
Features
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
Web based GUI
iSCSI Target Management
Appliance
RAID
LVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API SDK
Service
Layer
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 42. Host Services Integration Storage
Provisioning
File system monitoring Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris
IP SAN Management
Value-add
Management Management of MultiPath IO Supp Security
Console iSCSI HBAs and Failover (iSNS, CHAP, SRP) IP SAN
Features
Web based GUI
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target Management
RAID
LVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API SDK Appliance
Service
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec Layer
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 43. LAN/SAN Integration
Offload Offload
•Initiator • Initiator & Target
LAN/SAN
SAN
• TCP/IP on NIC • TCP/IP in Si
• iSCSI on NIC • iSCSI in host Convergence
• Single port & Fn LOM/SOM
• Fault Tolerance • Dual function Integration
• Load Balancing • Initiator & Target •Initiator & Target
• Offloaded TCP/IP • Offloaded TCP/IP
• Offloaded iSCSI • Offloaded iSCSI
• Dual port • Shares host memory
Host Offloads • Fault tolerance • 1GbE & 10 GbE Supp
• Load balancing • LOM/SOM
•Uses CPU cycles •TCP/IP in Si
LAN
• MoBO option
• Stateless Offloads • Single port & Fn • Ext memory
• Win, Linux …
2002 2003 2004 2005
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 44. 10Gb Embedded TOE Evolution
CPU CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU
CPU CPU CPU
CPU CPU CPU CPU
TOE
MC MC
MC MC
MC MC
MC
MC DMA
DMA
PCI Exp PCI Exp PCI Exp PCI Exp
PCI Exp
I/O Uses I/O Uses
I/O 1GbE
Bridge Bridge Syst Bridge Syst 10 GbE
Mmry Mmry 1GbE
TOE GbE TOE 1GbE
GbE 1GbE
PCI-X
Ext
TOE Mmry PCI PCI-X TOE PCI PCI-X
with
10GbE
2GbE
Ext.Mmry
2x1Gb TOE NIC TOE chipset 10 Gb TOE NIC Embedded
2003 2004 2005 2006 onwards
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 45. NIC & iSCSI
• Dual independent 1GbE ports:
– PCI-Ex Copper, Fiber, PCI-X Copper, Fiber
– PCI-Express or PCI-X Interface
• Performance, sustained throughput:
– SAN: 180 – 190 MB/sec
– LAN: 1.9 Gbps Full Duplex
– Simultaneous support of LAN and SAN traffic
• Low CPU Utilization <10% (on 2Ghz CPU)
• iSCSI Initiator & Target Mode Support
– Support for Windows, Linux
• Power < 8 Watts
• iSCSI offloaded solution using TOE
– Full data path offload, flexible TOE control path
– Soft TCP session setup/teardown
– Soft error handling and reporting
– Full iSCSI error detection and handling
– iSCSI CRC support
– Remote iSCSI boot
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
– Initiator and target modes IME
- 46. TCP/IP Offload & Mgmt
• TCP/IP Offload using TOE:
– 8K TCP connections Supp
– RDMA Supp
– Full Data path offload:
– Soft session setup/teardown
– Memory pool for outstanding SCSI commands
– Connection & Session-level error recovery
Session-
• IPv4 & IPv6 support:
– Checksum and segmentation offload
– Large send capability
• Operating Systems:
– Drivers for Windows 2k, Linux
• Management:
– ASF 2.0 support
– WfM support
– IPMI support
– VLAN Tagging
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 47. Features : NICs to Integration
Features 2002 2003 2004 2005
Host interface PCI 64/66 PCI-Express x4 PCI-Express x8 PCI-Express x4
PCI-X 1.0 PCI-X 2.0
Packet memory External on NIC External on NIC Host memory, Host memory
Ext on NIC
RDMA No HW support uE assists uE + St.m/c uE + St.m/c
iSCSI No HW support uE assists uE + St.m/c uE + St.m/c
machine
DDP/MPA No HW support uE + St.m/c St.m/c St.m/c
MAC/PHY 1 MAC, PHY Dual MACs, PHY Single MAC + Dual MACs, PHY
external integrated Serdes, external integrated
optics
Context memory External on NIC Internal cache Internal cache Internal cache
Security (IPSEC) Prototype support External ASIC External ASIC External ASIC
for SSL
#of connections 1k 8k 8k 8k+?
Management PXE PXE, ASF2.0 PXE, ASF 2.0 PXE, ASF2.0
Integration Standalone Standalone Standalone South bridge with
legacy & PCI-X
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 48. TCP/IP Offloading
It’s not just about TOE – entire stack needs attention
Data Application
Upper Layers
TCP/IP (or Offload I/f)
The challenge
OS is to move data
from application
CPU to the network
and back with
Memory
minimum
Chipset latency
I/O interconnect
Network Interface
(w or w/o TOE)
Data
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 50. iSCSI SAN market to reach 1.7B by 2006
WW SAN Revenues
$4,500
$4,000
$3,500
IB
$3,000
$2,500
iSCSI
$M
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000 Fibre Channel
$500
$-
2001A 2002A 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 51. iSCSI SAN market to reach 1.7B by 2006
WW SAN Revenues
by Technology
End User Customer Revenues $M
IB
iSCSI
Fibre Channel
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 52. WW SAN Switch Port Shipments
WW SAN Switch Ports Shipments
14,000
12,000
10,000
Units in 000s
8,000
iSCSI
6,000
4,000
FC
2,000
-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 54. Core Applications Consuming BW
Average & Peak Size Of Files
100 Ave
Peak
80 MS Word
Mb (8xMB)
MS PPT
60 MS XLS
Intranet/Web Page
40
20
10
Number Of Times The Same Document Is Retransmitted Over LAN
100
MS Word
80 MS PPT
MS XLS
Intranet/Web Page
60
40
20
10
1990 1995 2000 2005
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 55. Client Workload Increasing Dramatically
1998 2001 2002-3
Speech Interface
Foreground CRM, SCM, ERP apps
Collaboration Collaboration
Email Email Email
Passive Browser Dynamic Browser Dynamic Browser
Office* apps net-aware Office* net-integrated Office*
Multitasking OS M’tasking net-aware OS Next Generation OS
Virus Scan Virus Scan Virus Scan
Compression Compression Compression
Back-up Back-up Back-up
System Management System Management System Management
Java* applets Authent/Encrypt Authent/Encrypt
Synchronization Synchronization
Java* applets
Background Portals
Directory Services
Peer-to-Peer Services
Java* applets
Portals
Smart agents
Biz Automation Svcs.
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
Intel Workload Forecast, 2001 IME
- 56. Trends In GbE Adoption
2001
– GbE is standard on all servers
– Price gap between 10/100 and 10/100/1000 switches with
uplinks is nearly closed
2002
– GbE Integrated on motherboards
30% share of new desktops
– Wiring closet continues transition to GbE —transition
complete in 2003
2004
– GbE share similar to 100MbE today
– 100% share of new desktops
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 57. GbE Fiber / Copper Deployment
10/100/1000
Workstations
GbE over Cu (Up to 100m)
Between switches
To aggregate switches 10/100
Desktops
To servers
GbE over fiber between
floors
10/100/1000
10/100/1000 Ethernet over
Desktops
copper to the desktop
Gigabit
Servers
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 58. Intelligence In The Network
IP Routing
Internet
VPN
PSTN
Network Network
Access
Control Quality of
Service
Network
Management
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 60. WW Market - 10GbEPort Shipments
WW Shared Hub, Ethernet & LAN Switch Market (May02)
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 65. Server Architectures: Competitive Technologies
Price/Performance Performance: SMP vs. Clustering
Serial vs.Parallel Computing
Multinode
Clusters
Performance - tpc
SMP
w/8 way
MPP
w/4 way
Serial
Price
16 32
MF 8
N-way SMP
6
4
2
Clustering i
Performance Number of Processors
Scalable Perf. vs. Availability
Scalable Performance
MPP
Clustering
SMP FT
UniP
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
Availability
IME
- 66. Server Product - Segmentation Trends
1995-1996 1997-1998 1999-2000 2001-2002
Ultra-Dense
Blades
Telco Grade Telco Grade
Back-End Back-End
Appliances Appliances
Large SMP Large SMP Large SMP
Rack Rack Rack
(Front End) (Front End) (Front End)
Pedestal Pedestal Pedestal Pedestal
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 67. System Cost vs. High Availability
z/390
$10 M Sysplex
Avg. S/390
S/390
Syst z/390 MVS
MVS
IBM
IBM
Price
Propl
Propl
$1 M Prop.
Sun-Solaris
Sun-Solaris
HP-UX
HP-UX
IBM
IBM IBM-AIX
IBM-AIX
$100 K Clustered NCR-SVR4
NCR-SVR4 Acer
Acer HP
HP
UNIX AS400 Bull
Bull IBM
IBM
Compaq
Compaq NCR
NCR
Dell
Dell NEC
NEC
UNIX Fujitsu Siemens
Win Fujitsu Siemens
$10K Clustered
Linux Clustered
Win
0.1 1 10 100 Downtime
Hrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.99% 99.9% 99.0%
System Availability
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 68. Market Segments by Applications
OLTP
10 K
DSS
1K
Latency
(IOPs)
100
TP NIC
Streaming
10
HPC
1
1 5 10 50 100 500
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms) MB/sec
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 69. Market Segments by Applications
OLTP
Transaction
10 K Processing
Intranet
Data DSS
(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
1K Warehousing
IOPs Visual DB
(Latency)
NIC
NIC
100 Scientific Computing Streaming
Streaming
Imaging
Video
10
(RAID - 0, 3)
1
1 5 10 50 100 500
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms) MB/sec
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 70. Standard High-Volume Servers
Standard High-Volume Servers
WW Market Forecast 2001-2006
9,000
Units in 000s
6,000
3,000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Blades Rack-Wide Pedestals
Source: IMEX Research ©2003
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 71. Blades Servers - Infrastructure
Management Modules Remote Mgmt+KVM over IP
Midplane Networking: Gbit Ethernet Switches
W/Connectors Storage: IP NAS or FC SAN
To Blades & Back
Switch
Cooling N+1Fans/Cooling Modules
Processor Blades Modules
(6-24 typically) Power: N+1Power Supplies
Blade
Control
Panel
USB Ports,
CD/Floppy I/F
~ GbE Switch supports
Trunking/Port Aggregation
Flow Control
Gbit QoS Packet Prioritization
Memory Ethernet SNMP/RMON
Systems I/F
Micro- DDR w IGMP/BOOTP/TFTP
Monitor
Processors ECC ……
Module
© 2003 Source: IMEX Research
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 72. Blade Servers Market - Sweet Spots
8+-way
100%
4-way
2-way
1-way
0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
By 2005 2-way & 4-way processor based blades would
become mainstream for high volume, low cost blade servers
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 75. Blades – Target Markets
WW Blades Market to reach $3.5 billion by 2005
WW Blades Market by Target
Rev $M Market Segments Rev $M
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Blades - Telecom Blades - Enterpr. & SMB
Blades - Hi Perf Com p. Blades - ISPs
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 76. Intel SHV Roadmap
2001 2002 2003 2004
IA-32
PIII Xeon Xeon
High-end 2ML2,900MHz MP
(8-way and above) Profusion Embedded Chipset
Mid Range PIII Xeon Xeon
MP
1M/2M L2,700 MHz
(4-way) 3rd Party Chipset
Entry PIII Xeon Xeon
E7500 &
(2-way) 256K L2 1.0 Ghz
3rd Party Chipsets
IA-64 Itanium Madison Montecito
Processor
McKinley (faster McKinley)
(Higher Performance,
SW=Madison/McKinley)
Deerfield
(Dual Processor)
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 78. Server Market by Application 2002
Servers Market by Application & OS - 2002
WW Revenues $B
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
WW Revenues $B
WW Revenues $M
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
Unix
$- Other O/S
Linux
in g e
ess a tiv tu r e
Windows
P ro c bor tru c u re
ss ol la a s r u ct o rt
i ne C I nf r ast up p ing en t
B us y st I nf r on
S pu t pm
S We
b i si C om e lo
D ec ve De v
n si
I n te pl ic
e r ic /A p
SW
N um
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 79. Blade Server Management Software
Automation
Provisioning Automatically Maintains
Application Service
Level Objectives
Virtualization Provisions the Resources
Required to Deliver a
Business Service
Allocates, Monitors,
and Meters the Usage
of Pooled Resources
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 80. Management – Blade Servers
Ultra-dense HW
• Density
20 %
• Power Consumption
20% • Cable Management
Management
• Platforms integration:
Hardware
Software
80%
Network
Management
• Scalability
80 %
• Security
• Manageability
• Lowest TCO
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 81. Virtualization – Blade Servers
Virtual
Application
Specific
Clusters
Cluster Virtualization
Physical
Clustered
Blades
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 82. Workload Mgmt – Internet Traffic Load
25000
Individualized Loads - 4 Blades
20000
15000
Traffic
10000
5000
0
1:00 PM
3:00 PM
5:00 PM
7:00 PM
9:00 PM
1:00 AM
3:00 AM
5:00 AM
7:00 AM
9:00 AM
11:00 AM
25000
Company/Workload A . Company/Workload B .
Shared Loads - Single Computer
20000 Company/Workload C . Company/Workload D
15000
Traffic
10000
5000
0
1:00 PM
3:00 PM
5:00 PM
7:00 PM
9:00 PM
1:00 AM
3:00 AM
5:00 AM
7:00 AM
9:00 AM
11:00 AM
Company/Workload A . Company/Workload B .
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
Company/Workload C . Company/Workload D
IME
- 83. Automated Data Centers/Web Services
Autonomics
• Self Healing
• Self Optimizing
• Universal Identity
• Single System Image
• ….
Internet Internet
Network Switching Pool
• HP - Utility Data Center
Utility Controller
Virtualization
Load Balancer Pool
• Sun - N1/SunONE/Orion
Firewall Pool
Server
Virtualization
• Microsoft - .Net
Server Pool
NAS Pool
• IBM - OnDemand/Autonomics
Storage Switching Pool
Virtualization
Storage Pool
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME
- 85. State of the Industry
IMEX Research.com
(408) 268-0800
vasudeva@imexresearch.com
©2000-2003 IMEX Research
IME