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Analytics Products &
  Solutions for the
manufacturing industry
               Presentation by:
                       Maruthi
                       Madhu
                         Jagan
                         Vamsi
                           Hari

                                  1
Product Idea

               2
The heart of manufacturing
• Computer Numerical Controlled machines
• Used across various sectors of the manufacturing
  industry
• $120 bn industry
• 4 million units in China alone!


• High impact on productivity
• Downtime is expensive




                                                     3
A massive opportunity
• Complex machines, with ~300 parts
• Prone to failure – average MTBF of ~3000 hours,
  with average repair time of 1 hour
• Holds up assembly line costing ~$5000 an hour
• ~$40 bn of annual loss due to machine downtime

• Current solutions focus on
  monitoring and notification
• High potential for applying
  predictive analytics for rapid
  intervention


                                                    4
A viable analytics product
• Process CNC machine logs
• Aggregate logs from multiple machines and
  industries
• Build failure prediction models
• Notify at pre-determined thresholds of confidence


• SaaS-based, to aggregate data across users
• On-premise version for data-sensitive users




                                                      5
Admin / Config          Web / Dashboard               User Config



     Log File model                                MapReduce Module
                                                   Model
                                                                   Prediction
                                                building and
Mahout Analytics Package                                            Engine
                                                  training


                                 Driver


   DB                                     Hadoop



   CNC Log Data             Machine Interface                  Scheduler
Solution Details
• Data inputs
  o Log files (standard CNC log
  o Failure types and data – reasons and actions taken
  o CNC machine list and details
  o Maintenance schedules

• Model building
  o Using either Naïve-Bayes, Neural Nets or Bayesian Nets to identify failure

• Output
  o Multiple, escalating states for each type of failure, identified by events
  o Each state would denote an increasing likelihood of eventual failure




                                                                                 7
High level output
CNC Machine dashboard

      1264        1264      1264       1264        1264      1264       1264      1264   1264




      1264        1264      1264       1264        1264      1264       1264      1264   1264


   F2 error. 50%
   likelihood of failure
       1264       1264      1264       1264        1264      1264       1264      1264   1264
    in 8 hours

                                                          F3 error. 25%
                                                          likelihood of failure
      1264        1264      1264       1264        1264    in 1264
                                                              24 hours 1264       1264   1264



      1264        1264      1264       1264        1264      1264       1264      1264   1264


                           F1 error. 90%
                           likelihood of failure
                            in 1 hour
Alert Ticker: Machine 10345 requires attention ( Click to View); 103 machines normal; 3
machines prone; Ma..



                                                                                                8
Costing
• Product development cost
   o Building failure prediction models
   o Building the SaaS infrastructure
   o Building the web dashboard and notifications

• Product installation cost:
   o Setting up log feeds and adapters from the customer’s machines
   o Building and configuring list of machines

• Product operational cost
   o Infrastructure costs
   o Product maintenance
   o Customer support




                                                                      9
Marketing and pricing
• Ecosystem:
  o Consumers: Manufacturing industries operating CNC machines
  o Partners: CNC machine manufacturers

• Marketing Approach:
  o Option 1: Sell the product to CNC machine manufacturers
  o Option 2: Partner with manufacturers and sell the product directly to
    consumers

• Pricing models
  o Value based: Capturing 50% of savings: $1250 per machine per year
  o Market based: At 10% of maintenance cost $1000 per machine per year
  o For a customer like Tata Motors that operate around 5000 machines,
    pricing would range from $5 mn to $7.5 mn per year



                                                                            10
Consulting Solutions

                       11
Industry Pain Points
                      • High product dev. cost and time.

    Supply Chain      • Poor collaboration across supply
                        chain partners
     Operations
     Operations
                      • Lack of real time visibility into
   Quality Control      supply chain events
                      • High Inventory
  Inventory Control
                      • Flexibility to accommodate
    Maintenance
    Maintenance         changes in production schedule.
                      • Adhering to delivery schedules
    Commercial
                      • Poor Customer experience
   Production Line
                      • Poor asset efficiency
                      • Numerous quality problems
Costs of delays in production line
•   Boeing has incurred a massive $2.5 billion write-off in the single
    quarter of 2009.
•   The development cost of propulsion system for F35 (Joint Strike
    Fighter), built by Pratt & Whitney, has increased costs from
    $4.8 billion to $8.4 billion




                                                                         13
Consulting Framework
• Client Interviews
                        Assessment
                        Assessment                Iterations
• Define metrics &
  Data analysis (3
  weeks)                    Business    Data
                            Analysis   Analysis
• Pre-processing and
  Model building (2
  weeks)
• Client presentation
• End-to-End solution
                        •   Expected outcomes
  delivery (TBD based
  on requirements)            • Increase in Productivity
                              • Efficient use of resources
                              • Cost reduction

                                                               14
Solution Details
• Data inputs (last 6months to 5 years data)
     o Plant Shift Schedules, Person utilization details
     o Machines Utilization Details, Maintenance Schedules,
     o Resources & Skills Matrix
     o Purchase orders
     o Storage of raw materials in warehouse



     Output
     o A cloud based solution with Web GUI,
       visualization and reporting features



 Footer Text                                                  11/29/12   15
Use Cases

  Manufacturing in shipping
  Company Profile:

  •Revenues for company : 2 billion per year
  •Profit : 180 million
  •Cost of production: 1.2 bill
  •Ship components : 400,000
  •No of ships made per year- 18 ships per year




Footer Text                                       11/29/12   16
Increase Productivity
Goal is to make optimal use of People, Machines and Time resulting in
  high productivity
Models used: Goal Programming, Markov chain Monte carlo
Benefits of optimization is reduction of costs up to 2% resulting in 24
  million profit




                                           Co
                    e




                                             ts
                  Tim




                             constraints




                            Quality
 Footer Text                                                              17
                                                                          11/29/12
Reduce wait time
Goal is to reduce the delays and wait time in
 production line
Methods used : Markov chain Monte carlo, Neural
  Networks
Benefits of optimization is increase of productivity by
  10% equivalent to1.8 ships (200 mil revenue)

Total Benefit: Increase of profits from 180 to 240 million
  10 % of the increased profits.




 Footer Text                                                 18
                                                             11/29/12
International School of Engineering

                         2-56/2/19, Khanamet, Madhapur, Hyderabad - 500 081

                                               For Individuals: +91-9177585755 or 040-65743991
                                               For Corporates: +91-9618483483

                                                    Web: http://www.insofe.edu.in
                                           Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/insofe
                                               Twitter: https://twitter.com/INSOFEedu
                                            YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/InsofeVideos
                                         SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/INSOFE
                                             LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/company/international-school-
                                                       of-engineering

This presentation may contain references to findings of various reports available in the public domain. INSOFE makes no representation as to their accuracy or that the
organization subscribes to those findings.                                                                                                                          19
The best place for students to learn Applied Engineering                                                                                 http://www.insofe.edu.in

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Analytics in the Manufacturing industry

  • 1. Analytics Products & Solutions for the manufacturing industry Presentation by: Maruthi Madhu Jagan Vamsi Hari 1
  • 3. The heart of manufacturing • Computer Numerical Controlled machines • Used across various sectors of the manufacturing industry • $120 bn industry • 4 million units in China alone! • High impact on productivity • Downtime is expensive 3
  • 4. A massive opportunity • Complex machines, with ~300 parts • Prone to failure – average MTBF of ~3000 hours, with average repair time of 1 hour • Holds up assembly line costing ~$5000 an hour • ~$40 bn of annual loss due to machine downtime • Current solutions focus on monitoring and notification • High potential for applying predictive analytics for rapid intervention 4
  • 5. A viable analytics product • Process CNC machine logs • Aggregate logs from multiple machines and industries • Build failure prediction models • Notify at pre-determined thresholds of confidence • SaaS-based, to aggregate data across users • On-premise version for data-sensitive users 5
  • 6. Admin / Config Web / Dashboard User Config Log File model MapReduce Module Model Prediction building and Mahout Analytics Package Engine training Driver DB Hadoop CNC Log Data Machine Interface Scheduler
  • 7. Solution Details • Data inputs o Log files (standard CNC log o Failure types and data – reasons and actions taken o CNC machine list and details o Maintenance schedules • Model building o Using either Naïve-Bayes, Neural Nets or Bayesian Nets to identify failure • Output o Multiple, escalating states for each type of failure, identified by events o Each state would denote an increasing likelihood of eventual failure 7
  • 8. High level output CNC Machine dashboard 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 F2 error. 50% likelihood of failure 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 in 8 hours F3 error. 25% likelihood of failure 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 in 1264 24 hours 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 1264 F1 error. 90% likelihood of failure in 1 hour Alert Ticker: Machine 10345 requires attention ( Click to View); 103 machines normal; 3 machines prone; Ma.. 8
  • 9. Costing • Product development cost o Building failure prediction models o Building the SaaS infrastructure o Building the web dashboard and notifications • Product installation cost: o Setting up log feeds and adapters from the customer’s machines o Building and configuring list of machines • Product operational cost o Infrastructure costs o Product maintenance o Customer support 9
  • 10. Marketing and pricing • Ecosystem: o Consumers: Manufacturing industries operating CNC machines o Partners: CNC machine manufacturers • Marketing Approach: o Option 1: Sell the product to CNC machine manufacturers o Option 2: Partner with manufacturers and sell the product directly to consumers • Pricing models o Value based: Capturing 50% of savings: $1250 per machine per year o Market based: At 10% of maintenance cost $1000 per machine per year o For a customer like Tata Motors that operate around 5000 machines, pricing would range from $5 mn to $7.5 mn per year 10
  • 12. Industry Pain Points • High product dev. cost and time. Supply Chain • Poor collaboration across supply chain partners Operations Operations • Lack of real time visibility into Quality Control supply chain events • High Inventory Inventory Control • Flexibility to accommodate Maintenance Maintenance changes in production schedule. • Adhering to delivery schedules Commercial • Poor Customer experience Production Line • Poor asset efficiency • Numerous quality problems
  • 13. Costs of delays in production line • Boeing has incurred a massive $2.5 billion write-off in the single quarter of 2009. • The development cost of propulsion system for F35 (Joint Strike Fighter), built by Pratt & Whitney, has increased costs from $4.8 billion to $8.4 billion 13
  • 14. Consulting Framework • Client Interviews Assessment Assessment Iterations • Define metrics & Data analysis (3 weeks) Business Data Analysis Analysis • Pre-processing and Model building (2 weeks) • Client presentation • End-to-End solution • Expected outcomes delivery (TBD based on requirements) • Increase in Productivity • Efficient use of resources • Cost reduction 14
  • 15. Solution Details • Data inputs (last 6months to 5 years data) o Plant Shift Schedules, Person utilization details o Machines Utilization Details, Maintenance Schedules, o Resources & Skills Matrix o Purchase orders o Storage of raw materials in warehouse Output o A cloud based solution with Web GUI, visualization and reporting features Footer Text 11/29/12 15
  • 16. Use Cases Manufacturing in shipping Company Profile: •Revenues for company : 2 billion per year •Profit : 180 million •Cost of production: 1.2 bill •Ship components : 400,000 •No of ships made per year- 18 ships per year Footer Text 11/29/12 16
  • 17. Increase Productivity Goal is to make optimal use of People, Machines and Time resulting in high productivity Models used: Goal Programming, Markov chain Monte carlo Benefits of optimization is reduction of costs up to 2% resulting in 24 million profit Co e ts Tim constraints Quality Footer Text 17 11/29/12
  • 18. Reduce wait time Goal is to reduce the delays and wait time in production line Methods used : Markov chain Monte carlo, Neural Networks Benefits of optimization is increase of productivity by 10% equivalent to1.8 ships (200 mil revenue) Total Benefit: Increase of profits from 180 to 240 million 10 % of the increased profits. Footer Text 18 11/29/12
  • 19. International School of Engineering 2-56/2/19, Khanamet, Madhapur, Hyderabad - 500 081 For Individuals: +91-9177585755 or 040-65743991 For Corporates: +91-9618483483 Web: http://www.insofe.edu.in Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/insofe Twitter: https://twitter.com/INSOFEedu YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/InsofeVideos SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/INSOFE LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/company/international-school- of-engineering This presentation may contain references to findings of various reports available in the public domain. INSOFE makes no representation as to their accuracy or that the organization subscribes to those findings. 19 The best place for students to learn Applied Engineering http://www.insofe.edu.in

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Value based: Cost of downtime = $5000 per machine per year. Assume reduction of 50% of cost, and capturing of 50% of added value. Product can be priced on average at $1250 per machine per year Market based: Average annual cost of maintenance of each machine is ~$10000. Adding 10% to the maintenance cost would price the product at $1000 per machine per year For a customer like Tata Motors that operate around 5000 machines, pricing would range from $5 mn to $7.5 mn