1.
14th
July 2015
Smart, Secure and
Sustainable Cities India,
Windsor
Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and
Transformation.
Professor Sir David King
UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate Change
Chair, Future Cities Catapult, UK

2.
Total Population of the World in Billions
Source: IIASA
Middle Class*
*Middle class here
defined as daily per
capita spending of
between $10 and $100
in PPP terms

3.
21st
Century Challenges
Conflict
and
terrorism
Water
resource
Energy security
and supplyHealth and
development
Food production
Climate
change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Population – the
driver
Conflict
and
terrorism
Water
resource
Energy security
and supply
Food production
Climate
change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Demographics – the
driver

4.
2008 >50%
2050 >70%

5.
GLOBAL URBAN
GROWTH

6.
MGI Commodity Price Index (years 1999-
2001=100)
Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011

7.
Crude Oil Price versus Crude Oil Production
from 1998 to present
Source: Murray, J. and King, D. (2012) Oil’s Tipping Point has Passed, Nature, Volume 481, 433-435

8.
Sea Level and Temperature Measurements
Source: Met Office & Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Liverpool

9.
Cumulative total anthropogenic CO2 emissions from
1870 (GtCO2)

10.
Risk of fatal heat stress

11.
Risk of Crop Failure (Rice)

12.
Probability of exceeding 4°C

13.
Change in Return Period
of present 100-year flood event
Data extracted from Hallegatte et al. (2013)

14.
Traffic

15.
“Circular Economy”
Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation

16.
Low Carbon Vehicles
Source: Gordon Murray Designs

17.
Energy & Urban Density
D. Lam & P. Head (Arup) in O.R. Inderwildi & D.A. Kind (Eds.), ‘Energy, Transport & the Environment, Springer 2012

18.
People vs. Cars: Bogota
Source: Courtesy of Enrique Penalosa

19.
VariaLift Airship

20.
THANK YOU
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Contact us directly
info@futurecities.catapult.org.uk

21.
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Gigatonnesp.a.
Forecast
Required path

22.
David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell,
Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner