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Gaining the competitive edge
Vietnam – Post WTO
Gaining the competitive edge - AGENDA
Looking at Asian trends to predict Vietnam’s potential

Personal Care – appealing to consumers hearts

Food & Beverage opportunities – Post WTO

Advertising opportunities – Post WTO

Coffee Break

Vietnam’s Media landscape – Post WTO

Shopper insights – the new battleground

Rural consumers – The next great opportunity
Looking at Asian trends to
predict Vietnam‟s consumer
future – Post WTO Vietnam

                     Ralf Matthaes
                     Managing Director
                     TNS Vietnam
Gaining The Competitive Edge - AGENDA
Asian / Vietnamese Population Trends


Asian / Vietnamese Wealth Trends


Asian / Vietnamese Consumption Trends


Asian / Vietnamese Attitudinal Trends
Population Trends
Asia‟s Population                                       (60% of global pop.)
Population in Million          Asia = 3,137,500,000

        Chindia                               China / India 77% on the Asian population   2400

     Indonesia                         246

            Japan                    127

  Philippines                   90

       Vietnam                  85 Vietnam = 2.7 % of Asia

      Thailand                 65

            Korea             49

      Malaysia               25

         Taiwan              23

   Hong Kong 7

    Singapore 4.5
                       Vietnam is home to Asia‟s 6th largest population
     *Population estimated in 2006
     *Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
Vietnam has Asia‟s 2nd youngest population
   Vietnam                      38                               19                        21                  13             8

 Philippines                    38                               20                          22                    14             6

       India                   35                           20                          22                     17                 6

   Malaysia                    35                           19                          24                     16                 6

  Indonesia                    34                       19                            23                      17              7

      China               27                      18                            26                       20                   9

   Thailand               27                      19                             27                           19              7

    Taiwan               24                  18                            27                           21                11

 Singapore               23                15                         30                                24                10

   S Korea               23                  18                            28                            21                   9

 Hong Kong           19               14                         30                                23                    14

     Japan          16               15                20                             29                            21

               0%               20%                40%                          60%                     80%                       100%

                                          0-14    15-24          25-39          40-59        60+

                    57% of Vietnamese are under 25 years old
   Growth Rate estimated in 2006
   **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
Vietnam‟s population growth rate
                              Population Growth %
      Philippine                                                  1.8

        Malaysia                                                  1.78

      Singapore                                            1.42

       Indonesia                                          1.41

            India                                         1.38

         Vietnam                                   1.20

        Thailand                            0.68

          Taiwan                        0.61

           China                        0.59

     Hong Kong                          0.59

           Korea                 0.42

           Japan    0.02


    Vietnam has a sustainable & healthy population growth rate

  Growth Rate estimated in 2006
  **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
Vietnam has the 2nd largest family size
    Australia                               60                                                   10

 New Zealand                                58                                                   11

       Japan                               56                                                    10

     S Korea                          39                                                         11

  Hong Kong                          38                                                     15

      Taiwan                    31                                                    23

  Singapore                     30                                                    26

        China                   29                                                          17

    Thailand                    29                                                         20

   Indonesia               21                                                    37

    Malaysia              19                                                47

     Vietnam          15                                                     43

  Philippines        13                                                56


                                     1 - 2 persons   3 - 4 persons   5 + persons

     As Vietnam begins to urbanize family sizes shall decrease

 Growth Rate estimated in 2006                                                                        Page 9
 **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
Vietnam has the 3rd largest female working pop.
                                                                                         79.2
       China                                                                                     88.8


                                                                                        77.7
   Thailand                                                                                          89.7
                                                                                                            Female(%)

                                                                                       77.3
   Vietnam                                                                                    83.5
                                                                                                            Male (%)
                                                                           59.7
       Korea                                                                             79.9


                                                                           59.5
  Indonesia                                                                                    84.7


                                                                    52
 Philippines                                                                                  82.6


                                                                    51.9
  Malaysia                                                                                81.4


                                                                   51.2
     Taiwan                                                                            76.2



         Female consumers will become more and more important
 Employment%:
 *Data estimated in 2003
 *Source: Asian Development Bank (ADB)- Key Indicators 2005 (www.adb.org/statistics)
Number of Household - Millions
400 372.10

350

300

250
                    206.30
200

150

100
                              58.60 48.50
    50                                      25.20 17.30 17.20 17.10
                                                                    7.50 7.20 5.60 2.20 1.50 1.00
-

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              Vietnam has the 5th most number of households in Asia,
                   making Vietnam very attractive for Investment
    **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth
Vietnam has Asia‟s smallest urban pop.
        100              99
                                        82               76         69
                                                                              47            40



      Singapore      Hongkong           N.Z.           Australia   Taiwan     Korea         Japan



         66Cities               will swell just like in China
                         55
                                         48
                                                          43
                                                                     29         29            27




       Mal aysi a      Indonesi a    Phi l i ppi nes      Chi na     Indi a    Thai l and      VN
Source: Country Statistics Offices
Population Insights
 Large, Young & Growing population
 Smaller household sizes
 Large female working population
 Huge urban migration



 More focus on…
   Young consumers
   Female consumers
   Smaller size products
   Demand for services
   Building loyalty & consumer commitment




   MUCH MORE COMPETITION & PRICE DISPARITY
Wealth Trends
40,000
         36,260
                  35,390
                               GDP per head In USD
35,000


30,000
                           27,320 27,150
                                           25,390
25,000


20,000
                                                    16,480
                                                             1 1
                                                              5,1 0
15,000


10,000

                                                                      5,150
 5,000
                                                                              2,750
                                                                                      1,700   1,290   1 90
                                                                                                       ,1    740   730

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Vietnam‟s GDP/ per capita has increase seven fold in the past 15 years
Cost of Living in New York = 100 - 2006
 Philippines                       43

       India                        45

    Vietnam                                   62

   M alaysia                                       68

   Thailand                                        69
  Indonesia                                             76

      China                                                  80

     Taiwan                                                       85

New Zealand                                                       86

   Australia                                                                 106

         HK                                                                  107

  Singapore                                                                   108

      Korea                                                                         15
                                                                                     1
      Japan                                                                               124

               0      20      40         60             80             100          120         140


               Vietnam was 38% cheaper than New York in 2006,
                  but inflation is pushing the index up rapidly
The emergence of                                                                        SEC Scale
                                                                                    A = US $1,001 +
                                                                                    B = US $1,000 - 501
an urban middle class                                                               C = US $500 - 351
                                                                                    D = US $350 - 251
                                                                                    E = US $250 - 151
                                                                                    F = US $150 below


 2006              21                                  55                                24


 2003         14                       36                                     50


 2001         12                  32                                         56


 1999     7                  31                                         62

    0%                    20%                   40%               60%              80%            100%

                        SEC AB                    SEC CD                 SEC EF
                                    Monthly declared household income

           The middle class in Urban Vietnam will drive consumersim

        Source: TNS VietCyle – N = 2000 Urban
My standard of living



VC-20060 2                   40                           51                      5




VC-2004 2 5                       37                       49                     6


                  Much lower than today              Somewhat lower than today
                  Equal to today                     Somewhat higher than today
                  Much higher than today


    Vietnamese are still very optimistic about their economic futures

     Source: TNS / Gallup - Voice of People Survey
Wealth Insights
 Developing Middle class
 Larger spend contribution from urban areas
 Electronic banking & E-commerce will help stimulate economy
 More discretionary spend & Smaller household sizes


 More focus on…
   The middle class
   Luxury goods
   Mass high quality products at better price points
   Modern trade – easier distribution
   Technology to save time and money

Wealth segments will create greater marketing polarization
  in terms of wants, needs, aspirations and affordability
Consumption Trends
Asia‟s Media Spend Growth – 2006
    40



                       23
                                 18
                                              15

                                                          4           4           3


  Viet nam            India     China      Indonesia   Malaysia    Thailand   Philippines
    7
                        6
                                 5.2         5.2
                                                          4


                                                                     -2.4         -2.5



 Hongkong            Korea    Aust ralia     N.Z.      Singapore    Japan        Taiwan



    Vietnam is experiencing a Media bonanza, which will slow down


   Source: TNS AP offices
FMCG Growth in Asian Countries (%)

      20




                   11




                                 4            3
                                                           2          1




 Vietnam is experiencing the fastest FMCG growth in Asia

                                                                                  -8
    Urban       National     National      National     National   National    National
   Vietnam       China       Thailand      Taiwan       Malaysia    Korea     Philippines


    Total FMCG – Value Growth Rate (%) - Year 2006 vs. Year 2005
Asia‟s Fast Food Penetration
                              Local & Foreign FF purchase in past week – urban only




    99


                    73
                                     65
                                                       55
                                                                        40            39


                                                                                           10


P hilippines      M alaysia         China          Indo nesia        Thailand         VN   India


               Though changing, Vietnamese still love their Pho! (88%)
Mobile Phone Ownership - Urban 2006
      10 0           98            94         93      88
                                                                 80         75




  Singapo re       Taiwan       Ho ngko ng   Ko rea   Japan   A ustralia    N.Z.
      90
                     79             78
                                               70

                                                        58



                                                                   30

                                                                                 13



   Thailand      P hilippines    M alaysia    China     VN     Indo nesia     India

                            Bye Bye Bamboo telephone, we‟re
                          getting connected, like the rest of Asia
 Own personal mobile phone – urban only
Internet Usage – In-home
   88              85
                                     80           78
                                                              71            70             70




A utralia        Japan               N.Z.        Ko rea   Singapo re     Ho ngko ng       Taiwan
            37
                         35
                                       30

                                                   20
                                                   19         18

                                                                          10
                                                                                      5


        Thailand        China        M alaysia     VN     P hilippines   India   Indo nesia

                              Growth in internet usage will be key
                               to catching up to the rest of Asia
In-home email account - Urban only
Retail environment in Asia - 2006



                                                                                                   Direct Sales

                                                                                                   Traditional Trade

                                                                                              82   Modern Trade

                                                      51        55        54          60
   48
                            33            34
              12


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         Though still small, modern trade will grow substantially in Vietnam
Consumption Insights
 Technology savvy consumers will leap frog technology

 Ad spend shall increase but become less effective

 Consumption will continue to increase, but products &
 services will need to better fit Vietnamese tastes and needs

 Retail outlets will become new battle ground for FMCG

Thus, more focus on…
   Technology
   New Advertising mediums
   Stronger focus on retail
   Better understanding of new consumer segments

     INNOVATION & CONSUMER EXCELLENCE &
     UNDERSTANDING WILL BE KEY TO SUCCESS
Attitudinal Trends
Vietnam happiest nation in Asia
          Viet Nam N=989                              49                           43               7 1

 United States N=1192                            39                            54                    61

    Philippines N=1198                          38                            49                   12 1

     Singapore N=1509                      29                             66                         5

             Japan N=1321                  29                            61                        10 1

               India N=1968                26                       48                    21         5

         Indonesia N=995                  21                             74                          5

               China N=996           12                        67                             19     3

             Korea N=1200            10                            78                              11 2

                               0%               20%          40%         60%            80%         100%
                        Very happy             Quite happy         Not very happy         Not at all happy

                  Vietnam‟s economic turn around has had a profound
                  Positive effect on Vietnam‟s population – Will it Last?
 Source: World value survey
A growing sense of national pride
                                                                                                Question :How proud are you to be [Nationality]?
                                                                                                       1 Very proud
  Philippines N=1200                                   87                               11 2
                                                                                           1            2 Quite proud
                                                                                                        3 Not very proud
                                                                                                        4 Not at all proud
    Viet Nam N=989                                78                               20     2

United States N=1184                             72                               24      4                Very proud

       India N=1896                              71                           22         62
                                                                                                           Quite proud
    Indonesia N=995                         48                          45               61
                                                                                                           Not very proud
  Singapore N=1508                         44                          50                61

        China N=952                  26                         56                 14     4                Not at all proud

      Japan N=1258               23                   36                     38           4

      Korea N=1198             17                          61                      19     3

                         0%               20%     40%            60%         80%         100%

             Economic development, success in sports and
             technology, development of local entertainment,
             realisation of own importance leading to higher pride
        Source: World value survey
Question: For each of the following aspects, indicate
                                                  how important it is in your life. % saying “very important”

Family and Work                                   on a four point scale.
                                                  World Values Survey



                     China

                     Korea

             Philippines                                                                    Family


               Indonesia

                Viet Nam
                                                                                            Work
              Singapore

                       India

                     Japan

         United States         0   20   40   60      80              100




          In comparison to India & China, it appears that work will
          become more important to Vietnamese in the near future

  Source: World value survey
Asian traditional values
                                                                                              Question :Do you think that a woman
                                                                                              has to have children in order to be
        Indonesia N=983                                    93                             7   fulfilled or is this not necessary?

                                                                                                      0 Not necessary
                                                                                                      1 Needs children
           Korea N=1043                                    92                             8
                                                                                                      World Values Survey

    Philippines N=1182                                    87                         13

        Viet Nam N=959                                    86                         14

             India N=1917                                 85                         15          Needs children
                                                                                                 Not necessary
             Japan N=917                            66                          34

     Singapore N=1469                          56                          44

             China N=863                 37                           63

 United States N=1144               15                          85

                               0%        20%             40%    60%        80%        100%


               Looking again at China & India, it appears that
             certain Vietnamese values will decline in the future

  Source: World value survey
Question :With which of these two statements do you tend to agree?
                                                           A.     One must always love and respect parents.
Respect for Parents                                        B.     Parents must earn love and respect
                                                                  1 Always
                                                                  2 Earned
                                                                  3 Neither
                                                                  World Values Survey


        Viet Nam N=993                              99.3                                    0.7


             China N=993                          94.5                                     5.5


   Philippines N=1196                             94.0                                     6.0


    Singapore N=1505                              93.0                                    7.0


           Korea N=1200                           92.2                                    7.8                     Always
                                                                                                                  Earned
       Indonesia N=987                           90.2                                     9.8


             India N=1924                        88.8                                   11.2


 United States N=1191                      77.2                                    22.8


           Japan N=1143                   71.6                                   28.4


                               0%   20%    40%             60%             80%             100%


           Due to Asian Confucian family values, respect for
        parents should continue to be strong for years to come
  Source: World value survey
Importance of Religion
                                       Question: For each of the following aspects, indicate how important it is in your life.
                                       % saying “very important” on a four point scale.
                  China                World Values Survey


                  Korea

          Philippines                                                                                      Religion


            Indonesia

              Viet Nam
                                                                                                           Service to
           Singapore                                                                                       others


                    India

                  Japan

       United States
                              0   20   40             60              80              100


               Religion is not a major influence in Vietnam, however, as
               traditional values erode, religious affiliation may increase
 Source: World value survey
Attitudinal insights
 Happy Nation that will become less happy due to higher expectations

 Family will become less important while chasing the economic dream

 Further emancipation of women

 Parents advise will become less important

 National pride is very strong, this may erode

Religion not seen as important but may see
upswing due to above eroding values

 With such a young population,
 expectations will sky rocket



  Attitudes will become more demanding & self centered
12 Trends 21 Words
Upgrading needs
Convenience
Convenienc
    e
Indulgence
(Health consciousness)
Status
  Men’s wealth)
(displaying care
Female
 Health &
Emancipation
 Beauty
Innovation
Innovation
 5,000 new SKU‟s annually
Differentiation
Urban
Migration
Technology
   savvy
Fading traditions
Media
fragmentation
Brand affiliation
Summation
Asian trends to predict Vietnam’s
           potential Summation
Population shifts will impact both spending power & consumer
needs

Competition will increase steadily, creating pricing disparities

Wealth polarization will create clearer consumer segments

Distribution will become easier, while media fragmentation shall
reduce advertising impact
Attitudes will become more demanding & self centered – The “Me
generation”

Youth culture will need to be embraced, while managing
expectations
Thank you
Personal Care-
Appealing to the hearts of
consumers
Marketing Truism
Those brands that are the most
successful are those that connect to
both the hearts and minds of
consumers




Once a brand connects emotively
and gains space in a consumer's
heart, it starts to develop a truly
sustainable competitive edge,
because connection at an emotive
level is the hardest to attack…
Markets develop in a consistent and
            CONSUMER
predictable way
            DISCRIMINATION
                            CONSUMERISATION


                                                           Stage 6:
                                                        Cause-Related
                                                          Marketing
                                                  Stage 5:
                                                Post-Modern
                                                 Marketing
                                         Stage 4:
                                     Customer-Driven
                                        Marketing
                          Stage 3:
                           Classic
                          Branding
                                                                  AMOUNT OF COMPETIT

               Stage 2:
              Marketing
   Stage 1:
  Commodity
    Selling
Why the personal care category?
            The personal care category, still at a very nascent
            stage in Vietnam, is a good category to reflect
            on…….one where we see love blossoming at the
            same time as we see enormous challenge as the
            sub-categories develop along different growth
            curves and the competition intensifies

            Personal care is also relevant to reflect on as the
            dynamism and growth of the market, in conjunction
            with the continuing emergence of Vietnam on the
            world stage, mean an ever growing number of new
            entrants looking to share in the rewards…
Reflecting on 10 driving forces
Strongly performing economy and growing
   affluence- more to spend on non-
   essentials; upgrading of needs on the
   essentials

Youth population

Growing exposure to international
   influences- friends/family/personal travel,
   television, magazines, increasingly the
   internet
Reflecting on 10 driving forces


                    4. Growing image consciousness

                    5. Mounting aspirations

                    6. A continuing focus on health
Reflecting on 10 driving forces

7. Evolving gender roles

8. Changing lifestyles

9. Environmental challenges

10. Developing retail environment
And how they manifest…
A shift to higher quality products

A shift to more aspirational products

The growth of the premium and super-
premium segment

The ongoing need for value
And how they manifest…
The ongoing need for convenience

More market segmentation, along
age/lifestage and lifestyle lines

Increasing marketing diversification

Vietnamese holistic notion of health- an
essential part of life
And how they manifest…
More importance placed by females and males
on maintaining health and beauty; personal
care rituals increase in importance; a
connection with products that deliver on
confidence fundamentals




 A more polluted environment increases the need for
 personal care

 A tropical climate means specific personal care challenges
 and specific functionality requirements
And how they manifest…

Fragrance is a powerful driver

Sensuousness is a powerful driver



Expansion of supermarkets, speciality and department stores provide
a more upmarket and one-one-one environment, this correlates with
increased trial and experimentation with personal care products
   Direct sellers help to diversify the competitive landscape
   and assist in broadening the offer beyond the major urban
   centres
So where is the love?
      “I love this shower gel,
    because it gives me a fresh
    feeling, a relaxing moment
    before and after a working                     “My spray deodorant:
                day”
                                             „I‟m conscious of people‟s smell,
                                                  and I like to smell good,
                                        and it gives me a plus in sexual attraction
                                                    (at least I think so).
                                        So I never leave home without putting on
       “Hair gel- I got bad hair,                 deodorant and cologne”
     very thin and unmanageable,
      this helps shape up my hair,
 giving it body, making me look good.
  Another thing that I never leave          “It is convenient, it refreshes me,
     the house without putting on”           it belongs to my morning rituals-
                                                I would feel uncomfortable
                                                   without completing it”
Where else?
                                                  “It is a real pleasure to apply it-
           “I use it at night to keep                     scent and texture,
          my skin smooth and bright.          It‟s actually become a mandatory ritual”
          It brings me confidence to
          face the difficulties in life.
            Confidence to face my
             colleagues, clients and
            husband. Confidence to
           realize I am not old and I                  “Actually I don‟t find the
              am beautiful enough”                    effectiveness of whitening,
                                                        but it helps my skin be
                                                         smooth and anti acne”

“I love my mouth wash-I like the feeling
and sense of having a totally clean mouth”         “It is my favourite fragrance
                                                in any shower gel from any brand.
                                           I usually take a shower before going to bed,
                                               and my husband keeps smelling this
                                             aroma and I feel that he loves me more”
Where else?                            “Sometimes I like to home make my product,
                                            because I know that ingredient
       “I loved their shower and
                                                will make my skin soft”
         shampoo gel in the old
          version, because it is
          creamy with a lovely
        fragrance. It gives me a
       fresh and cooling feeling
        which makes me feel so
      light as if I were flying up                “I love it because of its
             in the clouds”                       sweet powder scent and
                                                gentleness on skin. It makes
                                                me feel safe and protected
  “I find it suitable for Asian skin
                                                        and soothed”
       and suitable to my skin.
     It has the desired effect””

                                        “It‟s extracted from natural ingredients,
                                                 which seems safe to me,
                                            it has a mild, herbal fragrance and
                                                   gives cooling feelings”
Love themes
Our hit predictions
 The power of fragrance
 The importance of ritual
 Understanding both universal, male and female, young and old,
    married and single confidence needs
 Category emotional heartlands
 Connecting the emotive needs behind the basic hygiene needs
 Experiential needs
 The convenience factor
 Hierarchies of need
 Product benefits delivery- relevance and reality
 Notions of Asian beauty and realities of Vietnamese beauty needs
 Aspirational natural ingredients
 The health and beauty connection
alison.dexter@tns-global.com


                                           TNS Vietnam
Qualitative Research
                                                      67
Consumer Food
Opportunities in Vietnam
     26 September 2007
The Opportunities for specific food
       categories in Vietnam


Per capita/per   IFFO/baby   Coffee   MILO/Ovaltine   RTD Milk
annum               (kg)     (cups)      (cups)        (liters)
Vietnam             5.3       29           4             5.7

Indonesia          11.7       68           1             5.4

Philippines        19.2       157          27            9.3

Thailand           31.0       148          12            21

Malaysia           35.0       119         130+           13
Vietnamese food habits are
           traditional and regional
                                            Meal structure:

                                               5 dishes .
                                               Finish w rice +
                                               soup./beverage
Breakfast:           UMAMI TASTE               separate
Left-over rice
                                              Seasonal cooking:
             Tea (hot)         In-home        Summer: boiled
                                              Winter fried

                                HOT TASTE
                 Coffee         Out-of -
                 (iced)         home
                                               3 dishes,
                                               beverage
  Breakfast:
                                               with
  Noodles/Bread           SWEET TASTE          meal/decora
                                               tion and
                                               garnishing
The 60/40+ rule

• The 60/40+ concept combines taste
superiority (60/40 consumer preference
  in blind tasting) & relevant nutrition

  The "plus" is not to impose artificially a nutritional benefit,
   but to explore the possibility of improving the nutritional
     value of a product compared to its main competitor.
60/40 preference – hard to achieve,
harder to maintain (2 recent examples)

                             26
        31
                                                   42
                                                                 58
                    69               74




             Dry test         Soup test                 Stir fry test




         41                       33
                        59
                                              67




               Hot test                Cold test
Nutritional Foundation

1. All public health sensitive
   nutritional factors rated at
   least “adequate”
                                          Nutritional Foundation
                                                    (NF)

                                        The NF answers the
2. All other key nutritional            question: "does my product
  factors rated at least
  “adequate”
                                       meet nutritional expectations
                                        for Public Health Sensitive
                                        Nutrients and for its own
         All criteria met         Yes   category?".
Source: NIN
Two forms of malnutrition

%


                                                          Obesity



     12%

                                                         Malnutrition




                2007
                  Source: Study on nutritional status & physical activities of
                  children 6-11y.o – NIN & Nestlé
Comparing sub-urban and urban
                diet
 Sub-urban                                           Urban




 Fat 16,3g/day                                   Fat 20,6g/day
Sugar 54,8g / day
                                              Sugar 56,1g / day

Meat 156,8g/day                                Meat 167,8g/day

 Milk 115,5g/day                               Milk 201,0 g/day


Veget 131,2g/day                              Veget 124,3g/day


 Fruits 56,3g/day                              Fruits 93,5g/day


                       Source: Study on Nutritional status and
                       physical activities among children 6-11, NIN
                       & Nestlé
Nutritional enhancement


     Reducing Sugar     Increasing Calcium



 Reducing Fat                   Increasing Fiber


                Reducing Salt
Break
WTO
            New Opportunities
                for Brand
             Communications
1/24/2010        Saatchi & Saatchi   79
WTO is not
                 a magic wand
             All of us have to make efforts to
            try to take the best advantages of
                      that frame works

1/24/2010               Saatchi & Saatchi        80
The Effects of
             Open Doors




1/24/2010       Saatchi & Saatchi   81
For Advertisers
• More products              • The opportunity is to
  competing for                build or rebuild the
  consumer choice              LOVE of the
• Local products invest        consumers for the
  more in brand                brand
  building
• More demand of
  “non-traditional”,
  effective approach to
  brand building

1/24/2010          Saatchi & Saatchi                   82
Video clip




1/24/2010   Saatchi & Saatchi   83
For advertising industry
• Growth of spend, especially from local brands:
     – Projected 30% growth of ad spend
• 6,000 local and 30 international agencies
  competing for the pie:
     – There will not be more players.
     – The better ones will win
• The need to invest in local insights.. Real good
  ones
• Need to really invest money and manpower into
  areas beyond TVC and prints and POSM, and a
  token slide of “online campaign”

1/24/2010               Saatchi & Saatchi          84
For the media
• The degree of openness will be less and the
  speed slower:
            • No private ownership or foreign investment
            • Only BCC in program production
            • But to expect foreign involvement and private management.
• More and better of traditional media will be
  available: more channels, or publications, better
  products
• New medium: Digital age with mobile, online,
  IPTV
1/24/2010                     Saatchi & Saatchi                       85
We live in The Screen Age:

            The screen has stepped out of the living room
            into our pockets, our hands, our offices, our
            cars, our stores, our streets…We’re never
            more than an arm-length away from a
            screen.

            The Screen is getting larger and smaller

            Screens are converging. TVs are becoming
            more game-like, mobile phones more movie-
            like, and technology more human-like.

1/24/2010                    Saatchi & Saatchi              86
And facing the Digital Tsunami

• Anticipate Digital growth     • Highest growth in
  by 2008 to 34.2 billion         users is:
  dollars or 7.3 % of all
                                    – Internet (18%)
  spending
                                    – Mobile Phone (14%)
• Average growth of spend
                                      with China leading the
  is 20% yoy
                                      pack, reaching 0.5
• Vietnam spends online               billion in 2009
  about 2 millions a year,
                                    – PC (11%)
  about 0.5%.



1/24/2010             Saatchi & Saatchi                    87
How do they use the
                 internet?
               •   Search
               •   Share
               •   Self-broadcast
               •   Sell and buy




1/24/2010            Saatchi & Saatchi   88
User Generated Contents
  Has become a powerful factor
• Wikipedia, MySpace, YouTube are the
  fastest growing sites in # of visitors
• FaceBook, Flickr, Yahoo360..have become
  very popular even among professionals




1/24/2010       Saatchi & Saatchi       89
What does this mean for
         marketers?




1/24/2010   Saatchi & Saatchi   90
Target Audience?
• Not just                  • But also
     – Consumer                 – Participant
     – User                     – Human
     – Audience                 – Communicators




1/24/2010         Saatchi & Saatchi               91
The Influx of New Media
• Bottom up instead of           • Opportunity:
  top-down:                          – To target better
     – People chose when
       they consume the
       media
     – The media is
       becoming fragmented
     – The audience becomes
       smaller, even to “one
       person”

1/24/2010              Saatchi & Saatchi                  92
The Sharing and Networking
• Easy to exchange             • Harder to control the
  information about              information
  products and brands          • But can build a better
• The speed of sharing is        connection with the
  that of a mouse click          consumers where they
• Information cross              become proactive
  geographical and even        • Viral marketing
  cultural boundaries
• User-generated contents



1/24/2010            Saatchi & Saatchi                    93
Is Classic so-called
        ATL Advertising Dead?




1/24/2010       Saatchi & Saatchi   94
The Answer Is No,
             Absolutely Not
            especially in Asia

            TV is still by far # 1

1/24/2010          Saatchi & Saatchi   95
China Sample
• Total ATL Ad Spend is 49.86 billion USD in
  2006
• TV is 81%, newspapers 17% and
  magazine 2% (growing at 27% yoy)
• Online Ad Spend is USD 610 million in
  2006, projected growth between 35% to
  50%, up to 1.8 billion in 2008


1/24/2010        Saatchi & Saatchi         96
So what is the key to success in
          the post WTO era?




            Contents
1/24/2010       Saatchi & Saatchi      97
Why so?
• With the choice of media becoming so
  diversified, and the control shifts to the
  audience, what to say has become so much
  more important than channels
• The more interesting programs, articles and
  adverts in its message and execution, the better
  its chance to attract the consumers
• The control of contents will persist, but by
  default the ability to control will weaken
• Interesting contents will ATTRACT the
  consumers to our brands, to the channels
  themselves
1/24/2010          Saatchi & Saatchi             98
ATTENTION ECONOMY 
                 ATTRACTION ECONOMY
                                   DIRECTION  CONNECTION

                               ONE-TO-MANY  MANY-TO-ONE

                                       REACTIVE  INTERACTIVE

            CUT-THROUGH MESSAGES          ENGAGING CONTENT

                 HEAVY USERS  INSPIRATIONAL CONSUMERS

            PRODUCT PLACEMENT  CONSUMER EXPERIENCES

                   LARGER-THAN-LIFE  CLOSER-TO-MY-LIFE

                             WHAT YOU NEED  WHAT I WANT
1/24/2010          Saatchi & Saatchi                        99
Is everything going to be
      great with WTO?
• Media driven approach (TV spend)
• Rushed, “instant noodle” programs
• Over-commercialization of contents: logos
  everywhere
• A “token” chart on “online” or “360°
  marketing”


1/24/2010        Saatchi & Saatchi        100
A few thoughts to share with
    (potential) advertisers
• Invest in talents, especially local, to get the best
  out of your agency
• Look for an idea company, not an ad agency
• Dare to be different
• Don’t waste your media $$ on poor creative
• Choose strategies, programs, agencies by
  CONTENTS, not just by the numbers



1/24/2010            Saatchi & Saatchi              101
No longer the choice of the
media, but the viewers!

The changing
Media landscape
of Vietnam


   Tran Thi Thanh Mai
   Managing Director
   TNS Media
Content
 Country At A Glance
   Demographic and social development indicators
   Economic development indicators
   Vietnam Media landscape

 Vietnam‟s Changing Media landscape
   Television viewing habit – The post WTO trend
   Other media as alternates to TV
   TNS Media‟s forecast
Country at a glance
Socio-demographic indicators
  59 provinces and 5 municipalities
  Population (2006): 84.1 mill.
  Pop. growth (2006): 1.2%
  Total fertility rate (2004): 2.3
  Life expectancy at birth (2004): 71 years
  Adult literacy rate (2004): 93.9%
  Urban population (2006): 73%
  72% of urban pop. in 6 largest cities
  Non-agro workforce (2004): 40%


                                               Source: GSO/UNDP
Country at a glance
Economic Development
   Real GDP growth (2005): 8.4%
   Inflation rate (2006): 6.6%
   GDP per capita (2006): US$ 637.56
   FDI (1st half 2007): US$ 5.2 billion
   GDP composition (2006):
      • Agriculture: 20.89%
      • Manufacturing: 41.03%
      • Service: 38.08%
   Poverty rate (2002): 29%
   HID ranking (2006): 109/177 countries
                                            Source: UNDP/AAD
Vietnam Media Landscape
Print Media

 713 daily and periodical
publications
 77% urban population read last
week
 All major newspapers have online
versions
 Ownership: State-owned



                                     Source: TNS Media Vietnam
Vietnam Media Landscape
Radio
 288 local FM stations


 11 national radio stations (VOV)


 Hundreds of radio transmitters at sub-
district/village level


 36% of population in 6 largest cities listen to
radio everyday


 Ownership: State-owned
                                                    Source: TNS Media Vietnam
Vietnam Media Landscape
Television
   1 national TV station (VTV)
   1 Terrestrial Digital TV - VTC
   65 local TV stations
   Mode of delivery:
       Free-to-air broadcast
       Cable
       Satellite dish antenna
       MMDS/DTH
   Cable providers: 6
   Ownership: State-owned
                                     Source: TNS Media Vietnam
Vietnam Media Landscape
Internet

 Users (Aug. 2007): 20.6% of pop.
 Increase rate 2003-2007: 73.3% pa
 Broadband subscribers: 953,758
 Increase rate 2003-2007: 367.6% pa
 Internet households: 12% in 6 largest
cities
 7 IXP and 18 ISP
 Ownership: state and private


                                          Source: VNNIC/TNS Media Vietnam
Vietnam Media Landscape
Mobile phone

 Subscribers (2006): 11 mill. (13.2% of pop)

 Annual growth rate 2003-2006: 59.7%
 Service providers:
    • VinaPhone

    • MobiPhone
    • Viettel Mobile
    • S-Fone
    • EVN Telecom
    • Hanoi Telecom

 Media ownership: state owned
                                                Source: VN Post
The changing Media
Landscape

Television Viewing
Habits Post WTO
trend analysis
Growth of cable channels at the expense of Free2Air
Percent of households receiving Free2Air vs. cable/sat TV in Ha Noi
                             100
                               88.9

                                              80.5            79
                              80
     Percent of households




                                                                    58.2
                              60                                           64.2
                                       Free-to-air antenna
                                                                    55.8   46.9
                                       TV cable
                              40

                                                             35.9

                              20              25.5




                               0 3.6
                               2003          2004            2005   2006   2007


                 Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
Growth of cable channels at the expense of Free2Air
Percent of households receiving broadcast vs. cable/sat TV in HCMC

                             120


                                95.9
                             100              92.8
                                                               87.3
     Percent of households




                              80                                             70.5

                                                                      56.8
                              60
                                         Free-to-air antenna


                              40         TV cable                     48.7   32.6


                              20                               12.9

                                               2.6
                                   0.7
                               0
                               2003           2004             2005   2006   2007




              Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
More choices to watch
Hanoi
                       14.0
                                                                                13.0
                               Domestic channel
                       12.0                                              11.5
                               Foreign channel
                                                                  10.7
                                                           10.3
                       10.0
  Number of channels




                        8.0
                                               6.3
                        6.0
                                                     4.5
                              4.0
                        4.0


                        2.0

                                    0.0
                        0.0
                               2001               2005       2006          2007

               Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2001-2007
More choices to watch
HCM City
        25.0

                     Domestic channel
                                                                  20.2
        20.0         Foreign channel
                                                    16.5

        15.0                                                             13.2
 Number of
 channels




                                                           10.1
                                        9.4
        10.0

                    5.0
             5.0
                                              2.6

                          0.0
             0.0
                     2001                2005         2006          2007


       Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
Gains & loss of TV viewership by reach
Most affected time slots – 4 cities

  Percent of persons watching free2air channels during primetime period

                         75

                         7067.1                 66.2
                                                                    64.9              64.3
                         65
  Percent of persons




                                                                                                        58.2
                         60
                           53.2                  53
                         55
                                                                    50.7
                         50                                                            48

                         45
                                                                                                        40.2
                         40              11h-13h             20h-22h

                          35
                       First half 2003     First half 2004     First half 2005   First half 2006   First half 2007



                Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
Gains & loss of TV viewership by consumption
Most affected time slots – 4 cities

                           6057.0               57.0
                                                                   54.0
                                                                                     53.0
  Average minutes viewed




                           55

                           50
                                                                                                       45.0
                           45

                           40                   37.0
                                                                   36.0
                             35.0
                                                                                     34.0
                           35

                           30                                                                          28.0
                                         11h-13h              20h-22h
                          25
                       First half 2003     First half 2004    First half 2005   First half 2006   First half 2007



                           Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
Total TV viewer-ship
                 By consumption

                 250
                                             TTV



                                                                        Cab/sat TV
Minutes viewed




                 200


                                           Free2Air TV


                 150
                   1st half            1st half           1st half       1st half    1st half
                     2003               2004               2005           2006        2007
                       Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
The bigger the share the higher the loss
TV rating of HTV7 in HCM City




                                Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
Fast growing of other
media as rivals to
television


 media
Internet penetration
Percent of households connected to internet

                            20                                                                                  18.8   18.8
                                                                                             17.7
                            18
                                                                                                    16.5                      16.5

                            16
                                                                      13.9
                            14
  Percent of households




                                                                                      11.8
                            12
                                                                             9.5
                            10

                             8
                                           6.2
                             6                   4.9
                                    3.8                         4.1
                             4

                             2

                             0
                                          2003                        2005                   2006                      2007

                                                       Ha Noi            Ho Chi Minh City             Four cities



                          Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
Internet and the youth
Average minutes used for internet per day by age group
                        80

                        70
 Average minutes used




                        60

                        50

                        40

                        30

                        20

                        10

                         0
                                 2003               2005             2006         2007

                             15-24             25-34             35-44      45+          Total

                         Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
Other Upcoming Media
   Increased competition among producers of electronic goods and
    new media (VCD/DVD players, LCD, Plasma display, mobile
    phones and other portable device) and among service providers
    lead to big drops in prices and user fees and hence increased
    penetration of new media. These new media are reshaping
    people‟s TV viewing habits.


   More services offered by TV cable providers: Using TV for
    functions other than watching TV, e.g. gaming and internet surfing.


 Higher income earnings + longer holidays may change the way
    people use their leisure time, e.g., more out-of-home recreational
    activities at weekends and/or more frequent visits to high-end
    cinema, especially among the youngsters.


 OOH LCD reaching out to busy city dwellers at office buildings,
    shopping centers, supermarkets and high end apartments.
TNS Media‟s forecast of TV viewer-ship to 2010
Average minutes spent viewing TTV and cab/sat TV channels
Vietnam‟s four largest cities

    250
          225     224             227
                           214
                                                        TTV

    200                                         198




    150
                                                                              139 min.


                                                                              110 min.

    100
                 Cab/sat
                   TV
                                                                                  79.1%
     50
                                   21              34

           1       3        6
     -
          2003    2004     2005   2006      2007         2008    2009      2010

                                         Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
Internet as a major rival to TV viewer-ship
TNS Media‟s forecast
Average minutes spent using internet by a person per day


                                 70.0


                                 60.0                                                        58 min.


                                 50.0
                                                                                             + 24.3 min.
          Minutes used per day




                                 40.0

                                                                                             33.7 min.
                                 30.0                            33.7
                                                          28.0
                                 20.0


                                 10.0              15.0

                                            8.4
                                  0.0
                                      2.2
                                    2001    2003   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010



      Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
Broadcast TV channels declining
Average time spent viewing free2air channels per person per day
Hanoi showcase

                      250
                            228
                                   216
                                             204
                                                       200
                      200


                                                                 166
    Average minutes




                                                                                            166 min.

                      150                                                                   -35 min.

                                                                                            131 min.



                      100




                       50
                            2003   2004      2005      2006     2007   2008   2009   2010

                      Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
Broadcast TV channels declining
Average time spent viewing free2air channels per person per day
HCM City showcase

     250

        220.0     221.0
                            209.0     208.0
                                                                             -23 min.
     200



                                                157.0
                                                                             157 min.
     150

                                                                             134 min.



     100




      50
           2003   2004      2005      2006      2007    2008   2009   2010


      Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
Other TNS Media‟s forecast
 Government continues to own and strictly control the media.
 Commercial channels will not come to exist in near future.
 Partial policy deregulation that allows private companies to participate in
  producing and distributing TV programs leads to more competition among
  media content producers and more diversified offers to TV stations. Purely
  commercial channels will not come to exist in near future.

 More open policies and better investment environment will bring more big
  investors and thus more competition among advertisers and advertising
  agencies.

 Television advertisement will be facing increasingly more severe
  competition from advertisement on new forms of media, such as out-of-
  home LCD, Internet, mobile phone, cinema, and VCD/DVD contents.
About TNS Media Vietnam
 TNS Media Vietnam offers continuous comprehensive media
 study of 06 major cities, including Ha Noi, Ho Chi Minh City, Da
 Nang, Can Tho, Nha Trang and Hai Phong.

 Services include:
     Television Audience Measurement (TAM);
     Media Habit Surveys (MHS); and
     Advertising Expenditure Monitoring (AdEx).

 For more information, please contact TNS Media Vietnam at:
 3A-5B Nguyen Van Thu, District 1, HCMC, Vietnam.
 Phone: +84 (8) 9111 252, 9111 254 to 257
 Fax:   +84 (8) 9 111 253
Thank you for
 your time!
Shopper Insights
Growth & Profitability for Brand
Owners at the Point of Sale




   Ashish Kanchan
   Research Director
   TNS Vietnam
The shopper – An area growing interest
Why is it important?
 A Changing environment
   Increased competition
      Proprietary Brands and Private Label; Explosion of brands/line
      extensions, cross category competition as people demand more
      choice, new experiences

   Grocery retailer dominance
     Introduction of category management techniques – pressure on
     space and sku performance
     How do the manufacturers gain leverage/space?

   Communication channels are diversifying and fragmenting

   Marketing savvy and blasé consumers who are „resistant‟ to traditional
   advertising
     How do we reach/engage the market?

   “Experiential” shopping – Shopping as recreation and the associated
   expectations

                                   132
                                                              All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
The shopper – An area growing interest
Why is it important?
 Understanding that the consumer can be different from the shopper
     Purchase decision maker v/s shopper
     Consumer v/s shopper
     Purchases made for gifting

 The moment of truth: the shelf unit – An opportunity to „lock in‟ or convert a sale
     But how to communicate in this environment?
       No longer just shelf nodders/talkers
       Price promotions undermine the brand/too frequent sales
       undermine the store brand
       Packaging, display etc




                                                     133
                                                                                       All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
TNS thought leadership
The dual aspects of brand equity

            Brand power in the            Brand power in the
                 market                         mind




                            Brand Purchase
                               Decision

 Importance of Brand Power in the Market on purchase decision is
 recognised
 Decline in Above the Line in favour of Below the Line investment reinforces
 this
 We use this framework to clarify the definition of shopper research
                                   134
                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
TNS thought leadership
The dual aspects of brand equity

  Brand Power in The Market               Brand Power in The Mind


          Price                                     Communications

                                BRAND
                              PURCHASE
Distribution                   DECISION               Brand Experience



 Retail Context                                     Brand image




                                  135
                                                           All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
TNS thought leadership
The dual aspects of brand equity
  Brand Power in The Market               Brand Power in The Mind


          Price                                     Communications

                                BRAND
                              PURCHASE
Distribution                   DECISION               Brand Experience



Retail Context                                      Brand image




                  TNS Shopper Insights
                                  136
                                                           All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Where relevant, we also offer a
Worldpanel/Custom integrated service for
Shopper Research
    Powerful synergies between TNS Custom and WorldPanel in relation to
    shopper research


            Retail
            Impact
                             WorldPanel
            POS
            Impact                                      Purchasing behaviour
                                                         – transaction based


  Integrated servicing enhances our delivery of shopper Insights with validation of custom
  data diagnostics in relation to panel data

  In addition, joint initiative underway to enhance 2 way link and develop data fusion where
  relevant



                                            137
                                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
What is TNS‟ role?
 TNS is ideally placed at the core interactions points with Shoppers…


                       Pre-Shopping
                       Shopper type, Type of occasion, State of mind, Channel choice, Store choice and
                       reasons, Extent of planning, Retailer relationship, Category involvement…




                                                        Retail Impact
                                                        Store layout, Store dynamics, Store atmosphere,
                                                        Shopping style, Shopping route, Shopping basket, Cross
                                                        category dynamics…




                                                                                       Moments of Truth
                                                                                       Shelf position and layout,
                                                                                       Signage, Promotions, Shelf-
                                                                                       talkers, Visual Category
                                                                                       cues



                                                                                                 Post-
                                                                                                 shopping
                                                                                                 analysis
                                                  138
                                                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
The Shopper Journey
                                     Brand Equity
                                    Pre-Disposition

                   PRE-                   Shopper type
                   STORE                    Type of occasion         Consumer
                                                  State of mind       Experts
                                                    Channel choice
                                                  Pre-planning
                                                Retailer choice

                                           Retailer experience
                       STORE             Store layout
                                                                          Consumption
                                       Store dynamics
                                                                        experience feeds
                                    Store atmosphere
                                                                         back into brand
             Shopper               Shopping style                            equity
             Experts            Shopping basket
                               Shopping route
                           In-store advertising
                         Shelf layout
              TNS/Sorensen Signage
              P.O.P.

 “The In-Store Research Company®”
                                 Promotions
                         Pack standout
                                    Pack communication


                                     Transaction
                                    Seals Purchase
                                       decision
                                           139
                                                                             All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
TNS Retail and Shopper Insights
Offer 4 Specialist Strengths
                      Brand
                      Equity


           Retail               Purchasing
                                behaviour
        Strategy


                    In-store
                    marketing
Introducing TNS Retail Forward
Retail Growth Consultants


 Management consulting firm
 Retail vertical focus: Retail strategies,
 processes, technologies, best practices
 Fact based, forward thinking consultancy
 using retail knowledge to create
 strategies and action plans for profitable
 top line growth

 Premier provider of business intelligence
 on retailing via RFIS
     Over 250 clients
     Strategic perspectives on retailing
     Tracks food, drug, CPG, Softgoods,
     Homegoods, Global, Retail Key
     Accounts
 Daily Newsletter read by thousands of
 executives
                                              141
Introducing TNS Sorensen
„the in-store research company®‟

Specialized in in-store research for 35
years
Developed unique level of retail
understanding
                                          Heavy
Unparalleled experience of how shoppers   Traffic

shop and purchasing decision is made
Normative database - thousands of
shoppers/millions of trips
Outstanding client track record

High quality client servicing
                                           Light

PathTracker® unique store                  Traffic

management tool - powerful
understanding of in-store behavior


                                          142
TNS Innovative
Solutions
Understanding the shopper


     PRODUCT EXPERIENCE                                                        SHOPPER NEEDS
 How and why consumers use brand/product?                                  Key needs fulfilled and impacting
                    Consumption Occasions                                         the shopping experience
                  Consumption Need States                                                       Who are they?
                         Brand Perceptions                                                   Emotional needs
                          Brand Experience                                                   Functional needs
                              Brand Drivers                                            Household experience
                   Impact on next purchase                                                        Motivations
                                                                                                       Family




                                   SHOP EXPERIENCE
                             During the shopping trip.
                             Shopper behavior
                             Channel choice
                             In store influencers
                             Functional / emotional drivers
                             In-store experience
                             Displays & merchandising, point of purchase
                             Price/value relationship


                                                    144
                                                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper

    Validated segmentation of your customers
    Emotive level understanding of category and of                    SHOPPER NEEDS
     consumers needs                                               Key needs fulfilled and impacting
    Understanding of what each brand mean to consumers:                  the shopping experience
                                                                                        Who are they?
        Where brands are positioned compared to the                                 Emotional needs
       consumer needs                                                                Functional needs
                                                                               Household experience
        What personality/attributes/emotive cues define the
                                                                                          Motivations
       brand and its position
                                                                                               Family
        How are your brand is delivering against the ideal –
       under or over delivering?
    Tells us how to improve brands, and how to create
     communication which will „tug at the heartstrings‟ of the
     core consumer needs
    Portfolio Planning – how far can each brand stretch?
    Opportunity analysis - „grey space‟



                                                             TNS Solution  NeedScope
                                                     145
                                                                                       All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper


                                                              SHOPPER NEEDS
                                                          Key needs fulfilled and impacting
                                                                 the shopping experience
                                                                               Who are they?
                                                                            Emotional needs
                                                                            Functional needs
                                                                      Household experience
                                                                                 Motivations
                                                                                      Family




                  SHOP EXPERIENCE
            During the shopping trip.
            Shopper behavior
            Channel choice
            In store influencers
            Functional / emotional drivers
            In-store experience
            Displays & merchandising, point of purchase
            Price/value relationship


                                   146
                                                                              All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper
                                                                           In store groups
                                                                             workshops
TNS Solutions  Qualitative Techniques
                                                                           Accompanied
                                                                             shopping
A variety of qualitative techniques can be adopted in store,
depending on the degree of spontaneity, openness or
                                                                            Ethnographic
naturalness required during the shop itself.
                                                                           documentaries

                                                                            Observation
                                                                             staff IDIs



                                   SHOP EXPERIENCE
                             During the shopping trip.
                             Shopper behavior
                             Channel choice
                             In store influencers
                             Functional / emotional drivers
                             In-store experience
                             Displays & merchandising, point of purchase
                             Price/value relationship


                                                    147
                                                                                    All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper
                                   TNS Solutions  Advanced
                                   Tools

                                   Various advanced solutions are available to
                                   provide expert analysis, such as Heat maps,
                                   showcasing path of travel, or Eye tracking and
                                   RFID tagging, allowing an in-depth analysis of
                                   shopping behaviors and patterns.




  In-store Path Tracker®
      and Heat Maps
          From TNS/Sorensen
“The In-Store Research Company®”




                                   148
                                                                     All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
From TNS/Sorensen
“The In-Store Research Company®”
                                   149
                                         All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper


     PRODUCT EXPERIENCE                                                        SHOPPER NEEDS
 How and why consumers use brand/product?                                  Key needs fulfilled and impacting
                    Consumption Occasions                                         the shopping experience
                  Consumption Need States                                                       Who are they?
                         Brand Perceptions                                                   Emotional needs
                          Brand Experience                                                   Functional needs
                              Brand Drivers                                            Household experience
                   Impact on next purchase                                                        Motivations
                                                                                                       Family




                                   SHOP EXPERIENCE
                             During the shopping trip.
                             Shopper behavior
                             Channel choice
                             In store influencers
                             Functional / emotional drivers
                             In-store experience
                             Displays & merchandising, point of purchase
                             Price/value relationship


                                                    150
                                                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper
                                                       90% of current research happens here…..
                                                             Brand health trackers
     PRODUCT EXPERIENCE                                    Advertising   trackers
 How and why consumers use brand/product?
                    Consumption Occasions                    U & A studies
                  Consumption Need States                    Groups, depths
                         Brand Perceptions
                          Brand Experience                In store intercepts – repurchasing,
                              Brand Drivers               why/why not?
                   Impact on next purchase
                                                             Product tests




           TNS Solutions  Consumer TRI*M
                          MarketWhys
                          NeedScope
                          MindZeye
                          AdEval

                                              151
                                                                                       All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Understanding the shopper


     PRODUCT EXPERIENCE                                                        SHOPPER NEEDS
 How and why consumers use brand/product?                                  Key needs fulfilled and impacting
                    Consumption Occasions                                         the shopping experience
                  Consumption Need States                                                       Who are they?
                         Brand Perceptions                                                   Emotional needs
                          Brand Experience                                                   Functional needs
                              Brand Drivers                                            Household experience
                   Impact on next purchase                                                        Motivations
                                                                                                       Family




                                   SHOP EXPERIENCE
                             During the shopping trip.
                             Shopper behavior
                             Channel choice
                             In store influencers
                             Functional / emotional drivers
                             In-store experience
                             Displays & merchandising, point of purchase
                             Price/value relationship


                                                    152
                                                                                               All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
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Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
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Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
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Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
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Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO
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Vietnamese Consumer Post WTO

  • 1. Gaining the competitive edge Vietnam – Post WTO
  • 2. Gaining the competitive edge - AGENDA Looking at Asian trends to predict Vietnam’s potential Personal Care – appealing to consumers hearts Food & Beverage opportunities – Post WTO Advertising opportunities – Post WTO Coffee Break Vietnam’s Media landscape – Post WTO Shopper insights – the new battleground Rural consumers – The next great opportunity
  • 3. Looking at Asian trends to predict Vietnam‟s consumer future – Post WTO Vietnam Ralf Matthaes Managing Director TNS Vietnam
  • 4. Gaining The Competitive Edge - AGENDA Asian / Vietnamese Population Trends Asian / Vietnamese Wealth Trends Asian / Vietnamese Consumption Trends Asian / Vietnamese Attitudinal Trends
  • 6. Asia‟s Population (60% of global pop.) Population in Million Asia = 3,137,500,000 Chindia China / India 77% on the Asian population 2400 Indonesia 246 Japan 127 Philippines 90 Vietnam 85 Vietnam = 2.7 % of Asia Thailand 65 Korea 49 Malaysia 25 Taiwan 23 Hong Kong 7 Singapore 4.5 Vietnam is home to Asia‟s 6th largest population *Population estimated in 2006 *Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
  • 7. Vietnam has Asia‟s 2nd youngest population Vietnam 38 19 21 13 8 Philippines 38 20 22 14 6 India 35 20 22 17 6 Malaysia 35 19 24 16 6 Indonesia 34 19 23 17 7 China 27 18 26 20 9 Thailand 27 19 27 19 7 Taiwan 24 18 27 21 11 Singapore 23 15 30 24 10 S Korea 23 18 28 21 9 Hong Kong 19 14 30 23 14 Japan 16 15 20 29 21 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0-14 15-24 25-39 40-59 60+ 57% of Vietnamese are under 25 years old Growth Rate estimated in 2006 **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
  • 8. Vietnam‟s population growth rate Population Growth % Philippine 1.8 Malaysia 1.78 Singapore 1.42 Indonesia 1.41 India 1.38 Vietnam 1.20 Thailand 0.68 Taiwan 0.61 China 0.59 Hong Kong 0.59 Korea 0.42 Japan 0.02 Vietnam has a sustainable & healthy population growth rate Growth Rate estimated in 2006 **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
  • 9. Vietnam has the 2nd largest family size Australia 60 10 New Zealand 58 11 Japan 56 10 S Korea 39 11 Hong Kong 38 15 Taiwan 31 23 Singapore 30 26 China 29 17 Thailand 29 20 Indonesia 21 37 Malaysia 19 47 Vietnam 15 43 Philippines 13 56 1 - 2 persons 3 - 4 persons 5 + persons As Vietnam begins to urbanize family sizes shall decrease Growth Rate estimated in 2006 Page 9 **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth/)
  • 10. Vietnam has the 3rd largest female working pop. 79.2 China 88.8 77.7 Thailand 89.7 Female(%) 77.3 Vietnam 83.5 Male (%) 59.7 Korea 79.9 59.5 Indonesia 84.7 52 Philippines 82.6 51.9 Malaysia 81.4 51.2 Taiwan 76.2 Female consumers will become more and more important Employment%: *Data estimated in 2003 *Source: Asian Development Bank (ADB)- Key Indicators 2005 (www.adb.org/statistics)
  • 11. Number of Household - Millions 400 372.10 350 300 250 206.30 200 150 100 58.60 48.50 50 25.20 17.30 17.20 17.10 7.50 7.20 5.60 2.20 1.50 1.00 - Au es a si a d a s ia e m n HK a li a d an an di in pa or re an na pin ra ne ay In iw Ch ap Ko Ja ail al et st Ta i li p al do ng Th Ze Vi M In Ph Si w Ne Vietnam has the 5th most number of households in Asia, making Vietnam very attractive for Investment **Source: GeoHive (www.xist.org/earth
  • 12. Vietnam has Asia‟s smallest urban pop. 100 99 82 76 69 47 40 Singapore Hongkong N.Z. Australia Taiwan Korea Japan 66Cities will swell just like in China 55 48 43 29 29 27 Mal aysi a Indonesi a Phi l i ppi nes Chi na Indi a Thai l and VN Source: Country Statistics Offices
  • 13. Population Insights Large, Young & Growing population Smaller household sizes Large female working population Huge urban migration More focus on… Young consumers Female consumers Smaller size products Demand for services Building loyalty & consumer commitment MUCH MORE COMPETITION & PRICE DISPARITY
  • 15. 40,000 36,260 35,390 GDP per head In USD 35,000 30,000 27,320 27,150 25,390 25,000 20,000 16,480 1 1 5,1 0 15,000 10,000 5,150 5,000 2,750 1,700 1,290 1 90 ,1 740 730 - es a Ph si a nd na Th a e m Ze n K a li a d M n si di ew apa or re an H a na in la ra hi ne ay In iw ap Ko pp ai al C et st Ta J al do ng Vi i li Au In Si N Vietnam‟s GDP/ per capita has increase seven fold in the past 15 years
  • 16. Cost of Living in New York = 100 - 2006 Philippines 43 India 45 Vietnam 62 M alaysia 68 Thailand 69 Indonesia 76 China 80 Taiwan 85 New Zealand 86 Australia 106 HK 107 Singapore 108 Korea 15 1 Japan 124 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Vietnam was 38% cheaper than New York in 2006, but inflation is pushing the index up rapidly
  • 17. The emergence of SEC Scale A = US $1,001 + B = US $1,000 - 501 an urban middle class C = US $500 - 351 D = US $350 - 251 E = US $250 - 151 F = US $150 below 2006 21 55 24 2003 14 36 50 2001 12 32 56 1999 7 31 62 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% SEC AB SEC CD SEC EF Monthly declared household income The middle class in Urban Vietnam will drive consumersim Source: TNS VietCyle – N = 2000 Urban
  • 18. My standard of living VC-20060 2 40 51 5 VC-2004 2 5 37 49 6 Much lower than today Somewhat lower than today Equal to today Somewhat higher than today Much higher than today Vietnamese are still very optimistic about their economic futures Source: TNS / Gallup - Voice of People Survey
  • 19. Wealth Insights Developing Middle class Larger spend contribution from urban areas Electronic banking & E-commerce will help stimulate economy More discretionary spend & Smaller household sizes More focus on… The middle class Luxury goods Mass high quality products at better price points Modern trade – easier distribution Technology to save time and money Wealth segments will create greater marketing polarization in terms of wants, needs, aspirations and affordability
  • 21. Asia‟s Media Spend Growth – 2006 40 23 18 15 4 4 3 Viet nam India China Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Philippines 7 6 5.2 5.2 4 -2.4 -2.5 Hongkong Korea Aust ralia N.Z. Singapore Japan Taiwan Vietnam is experiencing a Media bonanza, which will slow down Source: TNS AP offices
  • 22. FMCG Growth in Asian Countries (%) 20 11 4 3 2 1 Vietnam is experiencing the fastest FMCG growth in Asia -8 Urban National National National National National National Vietnam China Thailand Taiwan Malaysia Korea Philippines Total FMCG – Value Growth Rate (%) - Year 2006 vs. Year 2005
  • 23. Asia‟s Fast Food Penetration Local & Foreign FF purchase in past week – urban only 99 73 65 55 40 39 10 P hilippines M alaysia China Indo nesia Thailand VN India Though changing, Vietnamese still love their Pho! (88%)
  • 24. Mobile Phone Ownership - Urban 2006 10 0 98 94 93 88 80 75 Singapo re Taiwan Ho ngko ng Ko rea Japan A ustralia N.Z. 90 79 78 70 58 30 13 Thailand P hilippines M alaysia China VN Indo nesia India Bye Bye Bamboo telephone, we‟re getting connected, like the rest of Asia Own personal mobile phone – urban only
  • 25. Internet Usage – In-home 88 85 80 78 71 70 70 A utralia Japan N.Z. Ko rea Singapo re Ho ngko ng Taiwan 37 35 30 20 19 18 10 5 Thailand China M alaysia VN P hilippines India Indo nesia Growth in internet usage will be key to catching up to the rest of Asia In-home email account - Urban only
  • 26. Retail environment in Asia - 2006 Direct Sales Traditional Trade 82 Modern Trade 51 55 54 60 48 33 34 12 a a na an s m nd a n i i ne re pa ys As na i iw a Ch Ko pi ail Ja ala et Ta ilip Th Vi M Ph Though still small, modern trade will grow substantially in Vietnam
  • 27. Consumption Insights Technology savvy consumers will leap frog technology Ad spend shall increase but become less effective Consumption will continue to increase, but products & services will need to better fit Vietnamese tastes and needs Retail outlets will become new battle ground for FMCG Thus, more focus on… Technology New Advertising mediums Stronger focus on retail Better understanding of new consumer segments INNOVATION & CONSUMER EXCELLENCE & UNDERSTANDING WILL BE KEY TO SUCCESS
  • 29. Vietnam happiest nation in Asia Viet Nam N=989 49 43 7 1 United States N=1192 39 54 61 Philippines N=1198 38 49 12 1 Singapore N=1509 29 66 5 Japan N=1321 29 61 10 1 India N=1968 26 48 21 5 Indonesia N=995 21 74 5 China N=996 12 67 19 3 Korea N=1200 10 78 11 2 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Very happy Quite happy Not very happy Not at all happy Vietnam‟s economic turn around has had a profound Positive effect on Vietnam‟s population – Will it Last? Source: World value survey
  • 30. A growing sense of national pride Question :How proud are you to be [Nationality]? 1 Very proud Philippines N=1200 87 11 2 1 2 Quite proud 3 Not very proud 4 Not at all proud Viet Nam N=989 78 20 2 United States N=1184 72 24 4 Very proud India N=1896 71 22 62 Quite proud Indonesia N=995 48 45 61 Not very proud Singapore N=1508 44 50 61 China N=952 26 56 14 4 Not at all proud Japan N=1258 23 36 38 4 Korea N=1198 17 61 19 3 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Economic development, success in sports and technology, development of local entertainment, realisation of own importance leading to higher pride Source: World value survey
  • 31. Question: For each of the following aspects, indicate how important it is in your life. % saying “very important” Family and Work on a four point scale. World Values Survey China Korea Philippines Family Indonesia Viet Nam Work Singapore India Japan United States 0 20 40 60 80 100 In comparison to India & China, it appears that work will become more important to Vietnamese in the near future Source: World value survey
  • 32. Asian traditional values Question :Do you think that a woman has to have children in order to be Indonesia N=983 93 7 fulfilled or is this not necessary? 0 Not necessary 1 Needs children Korea N=1043 92 8 World Values Survey Philippines N=1182 87 13 Viet Nam N=959 86 14 India N=1917 85 15 Needs children Not necessary Japan N=917 66 34 Singapore N=1469 56 44 China N=863 37 63 United States N=1144 15 85 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Looking again at China & India, it appears that certain Vietnamese values will decline in the future Source: World value survey
  • 33. Question :With which of these two statements do you tend to agree? A. One must always love and respect parents. Respect for Parents B. Parents must earn love and respect 1 Always 2 Earned 3 Neither World Values Survey Viet Nam N=993 99.3 0.7 China N=993 94.5 5.5 Philippines N=1196 94.0 6.0 Singapore N=1505 93.0 7.0 Korea N=1200 92.2 7.8 Always Earned Indonesia N=987 90.2 9.8 India N=1924 88.8 11.2 United States N=1191 77.2 22.8 Japan N=1143 71.6 28.4 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Due to Asian Confucian family values, respect for parents should continue to be strong for years to come Source: World value survey
  • 34. Importance of Religion Question: For each of the following aspects, indicate how important it is in your life. % saying “very important” on a four point scale. China World Values Survey Korea Philippines Religion Indonesia Viet Nam Service to Singapore others India Japan United States 0 20 40 60 80 100 Religion is not a major influence in Vietnam, however, as traditional values erode, religious affiliation may increase Source: World value survey
  • 35. Attitudinal insights Happy Nation that will become less happy due to higher expectations Family will become less important while chasing the economic dream Further emancipation of women Parents advise will become less important National pride is very strong, this may erode Religion not seen as important but may see upswing due to above eroding values With such a young population, expectations will sky rocket Attitudes will become more demanding & self centered
  • 36. 12 Trends 21 Words
  • 40. Status Men’s wealth) (displaying care
  • 45. Technology savvy
  • 50. Asian trends to predict Vietnam’s potential Summation Population shifts will impact both spending power & consumer needs Competition will increase steadily, creating pricing disparities Wealth polarization will create clearer consumer segments Distribution will become easier, while media fragmentation shall reduce advertising impact Attitudes will become more demanding & self centered – The “Me generation” Youth culture will need to be embraced, while managing expectations
  • 52. Personal Care- Appealing to the hearts of consumers
  • 53. Marketing Truism Those brands that are the most successful are those that connect to both the hearts and minds of consumers Once a brand connects emotively and gains space in a consumer's heart, it starts to develop a truly sustainable competitive edge, because connection at an emotive level is the hardest to attack…
  • 54. Markets develop in a consistent and CONSUMER predictable way DISCRIMINATION CONSUMERISATION Stage 6: Cause-Related Marketing Stage 5: Post-Modern Marketing Stage 4: Customer-Driven Marketing Stage 3: Classic Branding AMOUNT OF COMPETIT Stage 2: Marketing Stage 1: Commodity Selling
  • 55. Why the personal care category? The personal care category, still at a very nascent stage in Vietnam, is a good category to reflect on…….one where we see love blossoming at the same time as we see enormous challenge as the sub-categories develop along different growth curves and the competition intensifies Personal care is also relevant to reflect on as the dynamism and growth of the market, in conjunction with the continuing emergence of Vietnam on the world stage, mean an ever growing number of new entrants looking to share in the rewards…
  • 56. Reflecting on 10 driving forces Strongly performing economy and growing affluence- more to spend on non- essentials; upgrading of needs on the essentials Youth population Growing exposure to international influences- friends/family/personal travel, television, magazines, increasingly the internet
  • 57. Reflecting on 10 driving forces 4. Growing image consciousness 5. Mounting aspirations 6. A continuing focus on health
  • 58. Reflecting on 10 driving forces 7. Evolving gender roles 8. Changing lifestyles 9. Environmental challenges 10. Developing retail environment
  • 59. And how they manifest… A shift to higher quality products A shift to more aspirational products The growth of the premium and super- premium segment The ongoing need for value
  • 60. And how they manifest… The ongoing need for convenience More market segmentation, along age/lifestage and lifestyle lines Increasing marketing diversification Vietnamese holistic notion of health- an essential part of life
  • 61. And how they manifest… More importance placed by females and males on maintaining health and beauty; personal care rituals increase in importance; a connection with products that deliver on confidence fundamentals A more polluted environment increases the need for personal care A tropical climate means specific personal care challenges and specific functionality requirements
  • 62. And how they manifest… Fragrance is a powerful driver Sensuousness is a powerful driver Expansion of supermarkets, speciality and department stores provide a more upmarket and one-one-one environment, this correlates with increased trial and experimentation with personal care products Direct sellers help to diversify the competitive landscape and assist in broadening the offer beyond the major urban centres
  • 63. So where is the love? “I love this shower gel, because it gives me a fresh feeling, a relaxing moment before and after a working “My spray deodorant: day” „I‟m conscious of people‟s smell, and I like to smell good, and it gives me a plus in sexual attraction (at least I think so). So I never leave home without putting on “Hair gel- I got bad hair, deodorant and cologne” very thin and unmanageable, this helps shape up my hair, giving it body, making me look good. Another thing that I never leave “It is convenient, it refreshes me, the house without putting on” it belongs to my morning rituals- I would feel uncomfortable without completing it”
  • 64. Where else? “It is a real pleasure to apply it- “I use it at night to keep scent and texture, my skin smooth and bright. It‟s actually become a mandatory ritual” It brings me confidence to face the difficulties in life. Confidence to face my colleagues, clients and husband. Confidence to realize I am not old and I “Actually I don‟t find the am beautiful enough” effectiveness of whitening, but it helps my skin be smooth and anti acne” “I love my mouth wash-I like the feeling and sense of having a totally clean mouth” “It is my favourite fragrance in any shower gel from any brand. I usually take a shower before going to bed, and my husband keeps smelling this aroma and I feel that he loves me more”
  • 65. Where else? “Sometimes I like to home make my product, because I know that ingredient “I loved their shower and will make my skin soft” shampoo gel in the old version, because it is creamy with a lovely fragrance. It gives me a fresh and cooling feeling which makes me feel so light as if I were flying up “I love it because of its in the clouds” sweet powder scent and gentleness on skin. It makes me feel safe and protected “I find it suitable for Asian skin and soothed” and suitable to my skin. It has the desired effect”” “It‟s extracted from natural ingredients, which seems safe to me, it has a mild, herbal fragrance and gives cooling feelings”
  • 66. Love themes Our hit predictions The power of fragrance The importance of ritual Understanding both universal, male and female, young and old, married and single confidence needs Category emotional heartlands Connecting the emotive needs behind the basic hygiene needs Experiential needs The convenience factor Hierarchies of need Product benefits delivery- relevance and reality Notions of Asian beauty and realities of Vietnamese beauty needs Aspirational natural ingredients The health and beauty connection
  • 67. alison.dexter@tns-global.com TNS Vietnam Qualitative Research 67
  • 68. Consumer Food Opportunities in Vietnam 26 September 2007
  • 69. The Opportunities for specific food categories in Vietnam Per capita/per IFFO/baby Coffee MILO/Ovaltine RTD Milk annum (kg) (cups) (cups) (liters) Vietnam 5.3 29 4 5.7 Indonesia 11.7 68 1 5.4 Philippines 19.2 157 27 9.3 Thailand 31.0 148 12 21 Malaysia 35.0 119 130+ 13
  • 70. Vietnamese food habits are traditional and regional Meal structure: 5 dishes . Finish w rice + soup./beverage Breakfast: UMAMI TASTE separate Left-over rice Seasonal cooking: Tea (hot) In-home Summer: boiled Winter fried HOT TASTE Coffee Out-of - (iced) home 3 dishes, beverage Breakfast: with Noodles/Bread SWEET TASTE meal/decora tion and garnishing
  • 71. The 60/40+ rule • The 60/40+ concept combines taste superiority (60/40 consumer preference in blind tasting) & relevant nutrition The "plus" is not to impose artificially a nutritional benefit, but to explore the possibility of improving the nutritional value of a product compared to its main competitor.
  • 72. 60/40 preference – hard to achieve, harder to maintain (2 recent examples) 26 31 42 58 69 74 Dry test Soup test Stir fry test 41 33 59 67 Hot test Cold test
  • 73. Nutritional Foundation 1. All public health sensitive nutritional factors rated at least “adequate”  Nutritional Foundation (NF) The NF answers the 2. All other key nutritional question: "does my product factors rated at least “adequate”  meet nutritional expectations for Public Health Sensitive Nutrients and for its own All criteria met Yes category?".
  • 75. Two forms of malnutrition % Obesity 12% Malnutrition 2007 Source: Study on nutritional status & physical activities of children 6-11y.o – NIN & Nestlé
  • 76. Comparing sub-urban and urban diet Sub-urban Urban Fat 16,3g/day Fat 20,6g/day Sugar 54,8g / day Sugar 56,1g / day Meat 156,8g/day Meat 167,8g/day Milk 115,5g/day Milk 201,0 g/day Veget 131,2g/day Veget 124,3g/day Fruits 56,3g/day Fruits 93,5g/day Source: Study on Nutritional status and physical activities among children 6-11, NIN & Nestlé
  • 77. Nutritional enhancement Reducing Sugar Increasing Calcium Reducing Fat Increasing Fiber Reducing Salt
  • 78. Break
  • 79. WTO New Opportunities for Brand Communications 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 79
  • 80. WTO is not a magic wand All of us have to make efforts to try to take the best advantages of that frame works 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 80
  • 81. The Effects of Open Doors 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 81
  • 82. For Advertisers • More products • The opportunity is to competing for build or rebuild the consumer choice LOVE of the • Local products invest consumers for the more in brand brand building • More demand of “non-traditional”, effective approach to brand building 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 82
  • 83. Video clip 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 83
  • 84. For advertising industry • Growth of spend, especially from local brands: – Projected 30% growth of ad spend • 6,000 local and 30 international agencies competing for the pie: – There will not be more players. – The better ones will win • The need to invest in local insights.. Real good ones • Need to really invest money and manpower into areas beyond TVC and prints and POSM, and a token slide of “online campaign” 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 84
  • 85. For the media • The degree of openness will be less and the speed slower: • No private ownership or foreign investment • Only BCC in program production • But to expect foreign involvement and private management. • More and better of traditional media will be available: more channels, or publications, better products • New medium: Digital age with mobile, online, IPTV 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 85
  • 86. We live in The Screen Age: The screen has stepped out of the living room into our pockets, our hands, our offices, our cars, our stores, our streets…We’re never more than an arm-length away from a screen. The Screen is getting larger and smaller Screens are converging. TVs are becoming more game-like, mobile phones more movie- like, and technology more human-like. 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 86
  • 87. And facing the Digital Tsunami • Anticipate Digital growth • Highest growth in by 2008 to 34.2 billion users is: dollars or 7.3 % of all – Internet (18%) spending – Mobile Phone (14%) • Average growth of spend with China leading the is 20% yoy pack, reaching 0.5 • Vietnam spends online billion in 2009 about 2 millions a year, – PC (11%) about 0.5%. 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 87
  • 88. How do they use the internet? • Search • Share • Self-broadcast • Sell and buy 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 88
  • 89. User Generated Contents Has become a powerful factor • Wikipedia, MySpace, YouTube are the fastest growing sites in # of visitors • FaceBook, Flickr, Yahoo360..have become very popular even among professionals 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 89
  • 90. What does this mean for marketers? 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 90
  • 91. Target Audience? • Not just • But also – Consumer – Participant – User – Human – Audience – Communicators 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 91
  • 92. The Influx of New Media • Bottom up instead of • Opportunity: top-down: – To target better – People chose when they consume the media – The media is becoming fragmented – The audience becomes smaller, even to “one person” 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 92
  • 93. The Sharing and Networking • Easy to exchange • Harder to control the information about information products and brands • But can build a better • The speed of sharing is connection with the that of a mouse click consumers where they • Information cross become proactive geographical and even • Viral marketing cultural boundaries • User-generated contents 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 93
  • 94. Is Classic so-called ATL Advertising Dead? 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 94
  • 95. The Answer Is No, Absolutely Not especially in Asia TV is still by far # 1 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 95
  • 96. China Sample • Total ATL Ad Spend is 49.86 billion USD in 2006 • TV is 81%, newspapers 17% and magazine 2% (growing at 27% yoy) • Online Ad Spend is USD 610 million in 2006, projected growth between 35% to 50%, up to 1.8 billion in 2008 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 96
  • 97. So what is the key to success in the post WTO era? Contents 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 97
  • 98. Why so? • With the choice of media becoming so diversified, and the control shifts to the audience, what to say has become so much more important than channels • The more interesting programs, articles and adverts in its message and execution, the better its chance to attract the consumers • The control of contents will persist, but by default the ability to control will weaken • Interesting contents will ATTRACT the consumers to our brands, to the channels themselves 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 98
  • 99. ATTENTION ECONOMY  ATTRACTION ECONOMY DIRECTION  CONNECTION ONE-TO-MANY  MANY-TO-ONE REACTIVE  INTERACTIVE CUT-THROUGH MESSAGES  ENGAGING CONTENT HEAVY USERS  INSPIRATIONAL CONSUMERS PRODUCT PLACEMENT  CONSUMER EXPERIENCES LARGER-THAN-LIFE  CLOSER-TO-MY-LIFE WHAT YOU NEED  WHAT I WANT 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 99
  • 100. Is everything going to be great with WTO? • Media driven approach (TV spend) • Rushed, “instant noodle” programs • Over-commercialization of contents: logos everywhere • A “token” chart on “online” or “360° marketing” 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 100
  • 101. A few thoughts to share with (potential) advertisers • Invest in talents, especially local, to get the best out of your agency • Look for an idea company, not an ad agency • Dare to be different • Don’t waste your media $$ on poor creative • Choose strategies, programs, agencies by CONTENTS, not just by the numbers 1/24/2010 Saatchi & Saatchi 101
  • 102. No longer the choice of the media, but the viewers! The changing Media landscape of Vietnam Tran Thi Thanh Mai Managing Director TNS Media
  • 103. Content  Country At A Glance  Demographic and social development indicators  Economic development indicators  Vietnam Media landscape  Vietnam‟s Changing Media landscape  Television viewing habit – The post WTO trend  Other media as alternates to TV  TNS Media‟s forecast
  • 104. Country at a glance Socio-demographic indicators  59 provinces and 5 municipalities  Population (2006): 84.1 mill.  Pop. growth (2006): 1.2%  Total fertility rate (2004): 2.3  Life expectancy at birth (2004): 71 years  Adult literacy rate (2004): 93.9%  Urban population (2006): 73%  72% of urban pop. in 6 largest cities  Non-agro workforce (2004): 40% Source: GSO/UNDP
  • 105. Country at a glance Economic Development  Real GDP growth (2005): 8.4%  Inflation rate (2006): 6.6%  GDP per capita (2006): US$ 637.56  FDI (1st half 2007): US$ 5.2 billion  GDP composition (2006): • Agriculture: 20.89% • Manufacturing: 41.03% • Service: 38.08%  Poverty rate (2002): 29%  HID ranking (2006): 109/177 countries Source: UNDP/AAD
  • 106. Vietnam Media Landscape Print Media  713 daily and periodical publications  77% urban population read last week  All major newspapers have online versions  Ownership: State-owned Source: TNS Media Vietnam
  • 107. Vietnam Media Landscape Radio  288 local FM stations  11 national radio stations (VOV)  Hundreds of radio transmitters at sub- district/village level  36% of population in 6 largest cities listen to radio everyday  Ownership: State-owned Source: TNS Media Vietnam
  • 108. Vietnam Media Landscape Television  1 national TV station (VTV)  1 Terrestrial Digital TV - VTC  65 local TV stations  Mode of delivery:  Free-to-air broadcast  Cable  Satellite dish antenna  MMDS/DTH  Cable providers: 6  Ownership: State-owned Source: TNS Media Vietnam
  • 109. Vietnam Media Landscape Internet  Users (Aug. 2007): 20.6% of pop.  Increase rate 2003-2007: 73.3% pa  Broadband subscribers: 953,758  Increase rate 2003-2007: 367.6% pa  Internet households: 12% in 6 largest cities  7 IXP and 18 ISP  Ownership: state and private Source: VNNIC/TNS Media Vietnam
  • 110. Vietnam Media Landscape Mobile phone  Subscribers (2006): 11 mill. (13.2% of pop)  Annual growth rate 2003-2006: 59.7%  Service providers: • VinaPhone • MobiPhone • Viettel Mobile • S-Fone • EVN Telecom • Hanoi Telecom  Media ownership: state owned Source: VN Post
  • 111. The changing Media Landscape Television Viewing Habits Post WTO trend analysis
  • 112. Growth of cable channels at the expense of Free2Air Percent of households receiving Free2Air vs. cable/sat TV in Ha Noi 100 88.9 80.5 79 80 Percent of households 58.2 60 64.2 Free-to-air antenna 55.8 46.9 TV cable 40 35.9 20 25.5 0 3.6 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
  • 113. Growth of cable channels at the expense of Free2Air Percent of households receiving broadcast vs. cable/sat TV in HCMC 120 95.9 100 92.8 87.3 Percent of households 80 70.5 56.8 60 Free-to-air antenna 40 TV cable 48.7 32.6 20 12.9 2.6 0.7 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
  • 114. More choices to watch Hanoi 14.0 13.0 Domestic channel 12.0 11.5 Foreign channel 10.7 10.3 10.0 Number of channels 8.0 6.3 6.0 4.5 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2001 2005 2006 2007 Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2001-2007
  • 115. More choices to watch HCM City 25.0 Domestic channel 20.2 20.0 Foreign channel 16.5 15.0 13.2 Number of channels 10.1 9.4 10.0 5.0 5.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 2001 2005 2006 2007 Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
  • 116. Gains & loss of TV viewership by reach Most affected time slots – 4 cities Percent of persons watching free2air channels during primetime period 75 7067.1 66.2 64.9 64.3 65 Percent of persons 58.2 60 53.2 53 55 50.7 50 48 45 40.2 40 11h-13h 20h-22h 35 First half 2003 First half 2004 First half 2005 First half 2006 First half 2007 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
  • 117. Gains & loss of TV viewership by consumption Most affected time slots – 4 cities 6057.0 57.0 54.0 53.0 Average minutes viewed 55 50 45.0 45 40 37.0 36.0 35.0 34.0 35 30 28.0 11h-13h 20h-22h 25 First half 2003 First half 2004 First half 2005 First half 2006 First half 2007 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
  • 118. Total TV viewer-ship By consumption 250 TTV Cab/sat TV Minutes viewed 200 Free2Air TV 150 1st half 1st half 1st half 1st half 1st half 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
  • 119. The bigger the share the higher the loss TV rating of HTV7 in HCM City Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement,2003-2007
  • 120. Fast growing of other media as rivals to television media
  • 121. Internet penetration Percent of households connected to internet 20 18.8 18.8 17.7 18 16.5 16.5 16 13.9 14 Percent of households 11.8 12 9.5 10 8 6.2 6 4.9 3.8 4.1 4 2 0 2003 2005 2006 2007 Ha Noi Ho Chi Minh City Four cities Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
  • 122. Internet and the youth Average minutes used for internet per day by age group 80 70 Average minutes used 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2005 2006 2007 15-24 25-34 35-44 45+ Total Source: TNS Media Habit Survey, 2003-2007
  • 123. Other Upcoming Media  Increased competition among producers of electronic goods and new media (VCD/DVD players, LCD, Plasma display, mobile phones and other portable device) and among service providers lead to big drops in prices and user fees and hence increased penetration of new media. These new media are reshaping people‟s TV viewing habits.  More services offered by TV cable providers: Using TV for functions other than watching TV, e.g. gaming and internet surfing.  Higher income earnings + longer holidays may change the way people use their leisure time, e.g., more out-of-home recreational activities at weekends and/or more frequent visits to high-end cinema, especially among the youngsters.  OOH LCD reaching out to busy city dwellers at office buildings, shopping centers, supermarkets and high end apartments.
  • 124. TNS Media‟s forecast of TV viewer-ship to 2010 Average minutes spent viewing TTV and cab/sat TV channels Vietnam‟s four largest cities 250 225 224 227 214 TTV 200 198 150 139 min. 110 min. 100 Cab/sat TV 79.1% 50 21 34 1 3 6 - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
  • 125. Internet as a major rival to TV viewer-ship TNS Media‟s forecast Average minutes spent using internet by a person per day 70.0 60.0 58 min. 50.0 + 24.3 min. Minutes used per day 40.0 33.7 min. 30.0 33.7 28.0 20.0 10.0 15.0 8.4 0.0 2.2 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
  • 126. Broadcast TV channels declining Average time spent viewing free2air channels per person per day Hanoi showcase 250 228 216 204 200 200 166 Average minutes 166 min. 150 -35 min. 131 min. 100 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
  • 127. Broadcast TV channels declining Average time spent viewing free2air channels per person per day HCM City showcase 250 220.0 221.0 209.0 208.0 -23 min. 200 157.0 157 min. 150 134 min. 100 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: TNS TV Audience Measurement, 2003-2007
  • 128. Other TNS Media‟s forecast  Government continues to own and strictly control the media.  Commercial channels will not come to exist in near future.  Partial policy deregulation that allows private companies to participate in producing and distributing TV programs leads to more competition among media content producers and more diversified offers to TV stations. Purely commercial channels will not come to exist in near future.  More open policies and better investment environment will bring more big investors and thus more competition among advertisers and advertising agencies.  Television advertisement will be facing increasingly more severe competition from advertisement on new forms of media, such as out-of- home LCD, Internet, mobile phone, cinema, and VCD/DVD contents.
  • 129. About TNS Media Vietnam TNS Media Vietnam offers continuous comprehensive media study of 06 major cities, including Ha Noi, Ho Chi Minh City, Da Nang, Can Tho, Nha Trang and Hai Phong. Services include:  Television Audience Measurement (TAM);  Media Habit Surveys (MHS); and  Advertising Expenditure Monitoring (AdEx). For more information, please contact TNS Media Vietnam at: 3A-5B Nguyen Van Thu, District 1, HCMC, Vietnam. Phone: +84 (8) 9111 252, 9111 254 to 257 Fax: +84 (8) 9 111 253
  • 130. Thank you for your time!
  • 131. Shopper Insights Growth & Profitability for Brand Owners at the Point of Sale Ashish Kanchan Research Director TNS Vietnam
  • 132. The shopper – An area growing interest Why is it important? A Changing environment Increased competition Proprietary Brands and Private Label; Explosion of brands/line extensions, cross category competition as people demand more choice, new experiences Grocery retailer dominance Introduction of category management techniques – pressure on space and sku performance How do the manufacturers gain leverage/space? Communication channels are diversifying and fragmenting Marketing savvy and blasé consumers who are „resistant‟ to traditional advertising How do we reach/engage the market? “Experiential” shopping – Shopping as recreation and the associated expectations 132 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 133. The shopper – An area growing interest Why is it important? Understanding that the consumer can be different from the shopper Purchase decision maker v/s shopper Consumer v/s shopper Purchases made for gifting The moment of truth: the shelf unit – An opportunity to „lock in‟ or convert a sale But how to communicate in this environment? No longer just shelf nodders/talkers Price promotions undermine the brand/too frequent sales undermine the store brand Packaging, display etc 133 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 134. TNS thought leadership The dual aspects of brand equity Brand power in the Brand power in the market mind Brand Purchase Decision Importance of Brand Power in the Market on purchase decision is recognised Decline in Above the Line in favour of Below the Line investment reinforces this We use this framework to clarify the definition of shopper research 134 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 135. TNS thought leadership The dual aspects of brand equity Brand Power in The Market Brand Power in The Mind Price Communications BRAND PURCHASE Distribution DECISION Brand Experience Retail Context Brand image 135 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 136. TNS thought leadership The dual aspects of brand equity Brand Power in The Market Brand Power in The Mind Price Communications BRAND PURCHASE Distribution DECISION Brand Experience Retail Context Brand image TNS Shopper Insights 136 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 137. Where relevant, we also offer a Worldpanel/Custom integrated service for Shopper Research Powerful synergies between TNS Custom and WorldPanel in relation to shopper research Retail Impact WorldPanel POS Impact Purchasing behaviour – transaction based Integrated servicing enhances our delivery of shopper Insights with validation of custom data diagnostics in relation to panel data In addition, joint initiative underway to enhance 2 way link and develop data fusion where relevant 137 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 138. What is TNS‟ role? TNS is ideally placed at the core interactions points with Shoppers… Pre-Shopping Shopper type, Type of occasion, State of mind, Channel choice, Store choice and reasons, Extent of planning, Retailer relationship, Category involvement… Retail Impact Store layout, Store dynamics, Store atmosphere, Shopping style, Shopping route, Shopping basket, Cross category dynamics… Moments of Truth Shelf position and layout, Signage, Promotions, Shelf- talkers, Visual Category cues Post- shopping analysis 138 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 139. The Shopper Journey Brand Equity Pre-Disposition PRE- Shopper type STORE Type of occasion Consumer State of mind Experts Channel choice Pre-planning Retailer choice Retailer experience STORE Store layout Consumption Store dynamics experience feeds Store atmosphere back into brand Shopper Shopping style equity Experts Shopping basket Shopping route In-store advertising Shelf layout TNS/Sorensen Signage P.O.P. “The In-Store Research Company®” Promotions Pack standout Pack communication Transaction Seals Purchase decision 139 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 140. TNS Retail and Shopper Insights Offer 4 Specialist Strengths Brand Equity Retail Purchasing behaviour Strategy In-store marketing
  • 141. Introducing TNS Retail Forward Retail Growth Consultants Management consulting firm Retail vertical focus: Retail strategies, processes, technologies, best practices Fact based, forward thinking consultancy using retail knowledge to create strategies and action plans for profitable top line growth Premier provider of business intelligence on retailing via RFIS Over 250 clients Strategic perspectives on retailing Tracks food, drug, CPG, Softgoods, Homegoods, Global, Retail Key Accounts Daily Newsletter read by thousands of executives 141
  • 142. Introducing TNS Sorensen „the in-store research company®‟ Specialized in in-store research for 35 years Developed unique level of retail understanding Heavy Unparalleled experience of how shoppers Traffic shop and purchasing decision is made Normative database - thousands of shoppers/millions of trips Outstanding client track record High quality client servicing Light PathTracker® unique store Traffic management tool - powerful understanding of in-store behavior 142
  • 144. Understanding the shopper PRODUCT EXPERIENCE SHOPPER NEEDS How and why consumers use brand/product? Key needs fulfilled and impacting Consumption Occasions the shopping experience Consumption Need States Who are they? Brand Perceptions Emotional needs Brand Experience Functional needs Brand Drivers Household experience Impact on next purchase Motivations Family SHOP EXPERIENCE During the shopping trip. Shopper behavior Channel choice In store influencers Functional / emotional drivers In-store experience Displays & merchandising, point of purchase Price/value relationship 144 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 145. Understanding the shopper  Validated segmentation of your customers  Emotive level understanding of category and of SHOPPER NEEDS consumers needs Key needs fulfilled and impacting  Understanding of what each brand mean to consumers: the shopping experience Who are they?  Where brands are positioned compared to the Emotional needs consumer needs Functional needs Household experience  What personality/attributes/emotive cues define the Motivations brand and its position Family  How are your brand is delivering against the ideal – under or over delivering?  Tells us how to improve brands, and how to create communication which will „tug at the heartstrings‟ of the core consumer needs  Portfolio Planning – how far can each brand stretch?  Opportunity analysis - „grey space‟ TNS Solution  NeedScope 145 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 146. Understanding the shopper SHOPPER NEEDS Key needs fulfilled and impacting the shopping experience Who are they? Emotional needs Functional needs Household experience Motivations Family SHOP EXPERIENCE During the shopping trip. Shopper behavior Channel choice In store influencers Functional / emotional drivers In-store experience Displays & merchandising, point of purchase Price/value relationship 146 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 147. Understanding the shopper In store groups workshops TNS Solutions  Qualitative Techniques Accompanied shopping A variety of qualitative techniques can be adopted in store, depending on the degree of spontaneity, openness or Ethnographic naturalness required during the shop itself. documentaries Observation staff IDIs SHOP EXPERIENCE During the shopping trip. Shopper behavior Channel choice In store influencers Functional / emotional drivers In-store experience Displays & merchandising, point of purchase Price/value relationship 147 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 148. Understanding the shopper TNS Solutions  Advanced Tools Various advanced solutions are available to provide expert analysis, such as Heat maps, showcasing path of travel, or Eye tracking and RFID tagging, allowing an in-depth analysis of shopping behaviors and patterns. In-store Path Tracker® and Heat Maps From TNS/Sorensen “The In-Store Research Company®” 148 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 149. From TNS/Sorensen “The In-Store Research Company®” 149 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 150. Understanding the shopper PRODUCT EXPERIENCE SHOPPER NEEDS How and why consumers use brand/product? Key needs fulfilled and impacting Consumption Occasions the shopping experience Consumption Need States Who are they? Brand Perceptions Emotional needs Brand Experience Functional needs Brand Drivers Household experience Impact on next purchase Motivations Family SHOP EXPERIENCE During the shopping trip. Shopper behavior Channel choice In store influencers Functional / emotional drivers In-store experience Displays & merchandising, point of purchase Price/value relationship 150 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 151. Understanding the shopper  90% of current research happens here…..  Brand health trackers PRODUCT EXPERIENCE  Advertising trackers How and why consumers use brand/product? Consumption Occasions  U & A studies Consumption Need States  Groups, depths Brand Perceptions Brand Experience In store intercepts – repurchasing, Brand Drivers why/why not? Impact on next purchase  Product tests TNS Solutions  Consumer TRI*M  MarketWhys  NeedScope  MindZeye  AdEval 151 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007
  • 152. Understanding the shopper PRODUCT EXPERIENCE SHOPPER NEEDS How and why consumers use brand/product? Key needs fulfilled and impacting Consumption Occasions the shopping experience Consumption Need States Who are they? Brand Perceptions Emotional needs Brand Experience Functional needs Brand Drivers Household experience Impact on next purchase Motivations Family SHOP EXPERIENCE During the shopping trip. Shopper behavior Channel choice In store influencers Functional / emotional drivers In-store experience Displays & merchandising, point of purchase Price/value relationship 152 All materials Copyright © TNS, 2007