How Foresight Programmes have emerged from futures studies more generally

1. Foresight: then and now (From Futures to Foresight) Ian Miles PREST/IoIR University of Manchester

3. Imagining a Better World Holbein From UTOPIA (1516) to the NEW ATLANTIS (1627) protoFS protoFS proto IS

24. UK (Technology) Foresight 2 Focus on networking and creating knowledge communities No overall priority-setting Much work on thematic and more “social” issues Problems of ownership in OST, DTI Crisis rapidly set in: review and early termination FS F … . IS

25. UK (Technology) Foresight 3 More modest, project-based work No overall prioritisation Primary aim is now informing policy, trans- departmentally: enhancing the role of science. Little effort to rewire innovation system. Most other countries following (diluted) F1 model, though some are more project-based FS F … . IS

26. UK (Technology) Foresight 1 – “Fully-Fledged Foresight”? Networking PROSPECTIVES Futures reports, scenarios, forecasts and visions Futures methods, forecasting techniques, modelling & visionary approaches, etc. PLANNING Priority lists, Strategic action plans Planning tools and techniques, OR and systems approaches, etc . PARTICIPATION Access to distributed knowledge, establishing and reinforcing networks Networking tools and techniques, groupwork and facilitation, survey approaches, etc Foresight FS F IS Informing and legitimising action, establishing preparedness Sharing visions. Exchanging knowledge, mutual understanding... Identifying indicators & determining goals, evaluation processes & mechanisms

27. Participative Elements enlarging the knowledge base Democracy – engaging Transition Management – Technocracy – stakeholders opening dialogue enlisting agents in visioning, action

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