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Using Cyberinfrastructure for Wildfire Resilience
1. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
İlkay ALTINTAŞ, Ph.D.
PI, WIFIRE
San Diego Supercomputer Center, UCSD
ialtintas@ucsd.edu
Using Cyberinfrastructure
for Wildfire Resilience
- A Scalable Data-Driven Monitoring and Dynamic Prediction Approach -
2. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Fire
is
Part
of
the
Natural
Ecology
…
but
requires
Monitoring,
PredicCon
and
Resilience
• Wildfires
are
criCcal
for
ecology,
but
volaCle
• Fuel
load
is
high
due
to
fire
suppression
over
the
last
century
• Changes
in
rainfall,
wind,
seasons,
and
thus
wildfires,
potenCally
induced
by
climate
change
• BeKer
prevenCon,
predicCon
and
maintenance
of
wildfires
is
needed
Photo
of
Harris
Fire
(2007)
by
former
Fire
Captain
Bill
Clayton
Disaster
management
of
(ongoing)
wildfires
heavily
relies
on
understanding
their
DirecCon
and
Rate
of
Spread
(RoS).
3. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
A
Scalable
Data-‐Driven
Monitoring,
Dynamic
PredicCon
and
Resilience
Cyberinfrastructure
for
Wildfires
(WIFIRE)
Development
of:
“cyberinfrastructure”
for
“analysis
of
large
dimensional
heterogeneous
real-‐Cme
sensed
data”
for
fire
resilience
before,
during
and
a0er
a
wildfire
4. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
What
is
lacking
in
disaster
management
today
is…
a
system
integraCon
of
real-‐Cme
sensor
networks,
satellite
imagery,
near-‐real
Cme
data
management
tools,
wildfire
simulaCon
tools,
and
connecCvity
to
emergency
command
centers
.
….
before,
during
and
aZer
a
firestorm.
5. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Research
QuesCons
• Make
sensor
data
useful
– Large
dimension
to
levels
ingesCble
by
analyCcal
and
visual
pla]orms
• Combine
real-‐Cme
data
with
physical
models
– Data-‐driven
predicCve
and
prevenCve
capabiliCes
• Risk
assessment,
training
and
disseminaCon
using
developed
tools
– Both
municipal
and
firefighCng
6. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Data
Modeling
VisualizaCon
Monitoring
7. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
• How
can
large
dimensional
heterogeneous
sensor
data
be
analyzed
systemaCcally
to
a
(lower
dimensional)
format
useful
for
informa6on
processing,
real-‐
6me
monitoring
and
visualiza6on?
• How
can
such
data
be
combined
with
exis6ng
scien6fic
models
to
allow
for
predic6on
of
propaga6ng
wildfires
and
potenCal
future
events
to
prepare
fire
fighters
and
the
public
for
regions
of
highest
risk?
• What
quality
and
density
of
real-‐
Cme
sensors
is
necessary
to
improve
both
the
predic6ve
and
preventa6ve
capabili6es
of
current
fire
models?
• How
can
such
informaCon
processing
be
easily
configured,
programmed
and
computed
by
end-‐users
with
various
skill
levels
to
formulate
actual
real-‐6me
data-‐driven
environmental
alerts?
8. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Data
to
Monitoring
• Data
Catalog
for
all
data
sources
• Web
interfaces
to
look
at
data
9. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Decision making for wildfire fighting
and disaster management based
on heterogeneous data:
Photograph by Mark Thiessen
Satellite data
Wildfire perimeter
Wind,
Vegetation
Terrain.
Fire
Data
Today
10. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
High
Performance
Wireless
Research
and
EducaCon
Network
Major
success
to
bring
internet
to
incident
command
in
the
field.
Used
in
over
20
fires
over
Cme.
11. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Sensor
Network
and
Monitoring
Interfaces
hKp://hpwren.ucsd.edu/cameras/
>160
Meteorological
Sensors
and
Growing
12. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
May
14,
2014
¤
San
Diego
County
Emergency
Map
displaying
fire
perimeter
informaCon
from
NICS.
EM-‐COP
system
is
powered
by
NICS.
13. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
May
14th,
2014:
9
fires
burning
at
once
in
SD!
• Red
Mountain
Cams
South
(leZ)
"Highway”
Fire
SW
(center
rear)
is
the
"Pointsela”
Fire
West
(right)
is
the
"Tomahawk”
Fire
May
14:
More
than
1.8
million
HTTP
request
from
about
9,000
individual
IP
addresses
14. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Data
needs
to
be
integrated
and
accessible!
• Data
sources
formally
described
– using
XML-‐based
ontologies
and
cataloged
• Data
merged
from
mulCple
sources
into
a
single,
unified
model
– Measurements
from
>
150
weather
staCons
– Color
and
Near-‐IR
images
from
>
100
cameras
– Fire
perimeters,
e.g.,
InciWeb
,
GeoMac,
SANDAG
– Model
output,
e.g.,
FARSITE,
Firefly,
etc.
• A
unified
interface
to
access
data
– Via
a
web
service
(REST-‐based)
– Offers
mulCple
formats
• XML,
GeoJSON,
WindNinja,
etc.
15. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Data
CommunicaCon
Interface
• Data
is
– extracted,
quality-‐controlled,
and
stored
– available
through
REST-‐based
web
service
interfaces
– homogenously
integrated
from
mulCple
sources
• IniCal
goal:
Up-‐to-‐the-‐minute
coverage
availability
– Up-‐to-‐the-‐moment
coverage
is
a
future
goal.
• Proposed
fire-‐modeling
interface
is
uniform
over
modeled
and
real
fires
16. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
What
quesCons
can
you
ask
when
you
have
access
to
such
a
data
interface?
17. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Generalized
QuesCons
Related
to
Data
• A
list
of
all
sensor
types
• Get
metadata
for
specific
sensor
types
• A
list
of
all
data-‐sources
(instances
of
sensor
types)
• Get
all
data-‐sources
within
a
bounding
box,
and
observe
air
temperature,
and
a
specific
form
of
Average
Wind
DirecCon.
18. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Some
QuesCons
Related
to
a
Specific
Event
Q1:
What
is
the
current
temperature
at
all
the
staCons?
Q2:
What
was
the
temperature
on
Lyons
Peak
at
1:30pm
on
May
14,
2014?
Q3:
What
staCon
is
the
closest
to
32.614,
-‐116.234?
Q4:
What
was
the
wind
speed
and
direcCon
for
the
staCon
in
Q3
in
the
WindNinja
format?
19. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
VisualizaCon
• VisualizaCon
for
data
verificaCon
and
interpretaCon
• Using
high-‐end
visualizaCon
systems
• Can
run
anywhere
from
laptop
to
visualizaCon
cluster
20. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Terrain
VisualizaCon
• Post-‐fire
burn
map
– SDG&E
and
HPWREN
weather
data
20
21. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
3D
Terrain
with
Photos
and
Perimeters
21
• Terrain
imagery
from
2009
and
2012
• Fire
perimeters
from
the
San
Diego
May
2014
fires
• Images
were
collected
via
TwiKer
– CapConed
with
tweet
tag
on
top
22. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Crowd-‐Sourced
Fire
Perimeter
CalculaCon
• Photos
of
fire
locaCons
from
TwiKer
and
Instagram
• Custom
app
allows
recording
addiConal
data
such
as
phone’s
locaCon
and
orientaCon,
focal
length,
etc.
• Improve
camera
locaCon
and
orientaCon
calculaCon
through
terrain
map
matching
• Image
processing
for
fire/smoke
localizaCon
within
photos
• Goal:
map
of
fire
perimeter
over
Cme
22
23. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
3D
Terrain
Map
• Consolidates
geo-‐located
measured
data
and
simulaCon
results
– Fire
perimeter
– Wind
speed
and
direcCon
animaCon
with
stream
lines
23
24. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Data
DisseminaCon
• Incident
commander:
support
decision
making
– Large
high
resoluCon
displays
• Firefighters
in
the
field:
help
navigate,
give
warnings
– Smart
phone,
augmented
reality
• General
public:
informaCon,
evacuaCon
support
– Web
site,
smart
phone
app
24
26. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
More
accurate
situaConal
awareness
using
data
-‐-‐
Data
to
Modeling
in
WIFIRE
-‐-‐
Real-‐6me
remote
data
–>
Modeling,
data
assimilaCon
and
dynamic
wildfire
behavior
predicCon
Sensors:
27. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Need
to
improve
programmability
to
build
such
data-‐driven
models!
28. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
System
IntegraCon
of
sensor
data,
data
assimilaCon,
dynamic
models
and
fire
direcCon
and
RoS
predicCons
(computaCons)
is
based
on
ScienCfic
and
Engineering
Workflows
(Kepler)
• Visual
programming
• Scalable
parallel
execuCon
• Standardized
data
interfaces
• Reuse
and
reproducibility
WIFIRE
System
IntegraCon
29. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Kepler
Workflows
for
WIFIRE
Use
Cases
• Kepler
is
an
open
source,
graphical
environment
for
combining
and
automaCng
Cyberinfrastructure
components
– Execute
models
– Read
real-‐Cme
and
archived
weather
staCon
measurements
– GIS
components
to
pre-‐
and
post-‐process
data
– Parallel
execuCon
– Provenance
for
execuCon
history
www.kepler-project.org
30. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Use
Case:
Santa
Ana
CondiCons
• Santa
Ana
winds
lead
to
dangerous
fire
condiCons
in
San
Diego
County
– Oct.
2003:
>700,000
acres
burned
– Oct.
2007:
>500,000
acres
burned
Santa
Ana
defined
by:
Wind
direc6on
>
10°
and
<
110°
Wind
speed
>
25mph
Rela6ve
humidity
<
25%
• Goal:
determine
regions
in
San
Diego
County
experiencing
Santa
Ana
Winds
• Solu6on:
Use
WindNinja
to
compute
wind
condiCons,
post-‐process
to
find
Santa
Ana
regions
31. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
HPWREN
Real-‐Time
Weather
Alerts
• Weather
staCons
measurements
monitored
Santa
Ana
condiCons
• Alerts
sent
via
email
32. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Wind
CondiCons
Around
Weather
StaCons
• Run
WindNinja
to
model
wind
condiCons
• Inputs:
– Topography
&
vegetaCon
– Weather
staCon
measurements
– SpaCal
and
temporal
ranges
– etc.
• Outputs:
– Wind
direcCon
&
speed
over
region
33. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
SpaCal
Coverage
• WindNinja
run
on
domain
size
up
to
50x50km
– Split
SD
County
into
Cles
– Run
WindNinja
for
each
Cle
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
34. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Temporal
Coverage
• WindNinja
calculates
wind
condiCons
for
specific
point
in
Cme
– Run
WindNinja
for
each
Cmestamp
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
1:00pm,
May
14
1:10pm,
May
14
6:00pm,
May
14
35. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Execute
in
Parallel
• Run
WindNinja
for
each
Cle
• Run
WindNinja
for
each
Cmestamp
• Each
execu6on
is
independent,
so
can
be
done
in
parallel
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
WindNinja
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
Compute
36. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Post-‐Processing
WindNinja
Output
• WindNinja
outputs
wind
direcCon
and
speed
• Process
these
outputs
to
find
regions
with
Santa
Ana
winds
Union
Filter
Rasterize
Find
Polygons
37. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
ApplicaCon
Outputs
• Output
shows
Santa
Ana
regions
• OZen
much
larger
area
surrounding
weather
staCon
38. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Use
Case:
Fire
Growth
• Goal:
Simulate
fire
growth
in
SD
County
• Run
FARSITE
and
Firefly
• Inputs:
– Landscape
(topography,
fuel,
etc.)
– Weather
(wind,
temperature,
humidity,
etc.)
– IgniCon
perimeter
• Outputs:
– Fire
perimeters
– Intensity,
flame
length,
spread
rate,
etc.
39. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
Example
Output
of
Fire
Perimeters
• Two
simulaCons
with
different
weather:
– White
is
“normal”
weather
– Red
is
Santa
Ana
weather
41. WIFIRE
is
funded
by
NSF
1331615
To
summarize:
EffecCve
systems
for
real-‐Cme
acquisiCon
and
analysis
of
wildfire
big
data
can
make
a
huge
impact
on
wildfire
resilience.
• Website:
hKp://wifire.ucsd.edu
• TwiKer:
@WIFIREProject
WIFIRE
is
on
the
web!