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WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
İlkay ALTINTAŞ, Ph.D.
PI, WIFIRE
San Diego Supercomputer Center, UCSD
ialtintas@ucsd.edu
Using Cyberinfrastructure
for Wildfire Resilience
- A Scalable Data-Driven Monitoring and Dynamic Prediction Approach -
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Fire	
  is	
  Part	
  of	
  the	
  Natural	
  Ecology	
  	
  
…	
  but	
  requires	
  Monitoring,	
  PredicCon	
  and	
  Resilience	
  
•  Wildfires	
  are	
  criCcal	
  for	
  	
  
ecology,	
  but	
  volaCle	
  
•  Fuel	
  load	
  is	
  high	
  due	
  to	
  fire	
  suppression	
  
over	
  the	
  last	
  century	
  
•  Changes	
  in	
  rainfall,	
  wind,	
  seasons,	
  	
  
and	
  thus	
  wildfires,	
  potenCally	
  induced	
  by	
  
climate	
  change	
  
•  BeKer	
  prevenCon,	
  predicCon	
  and	
  	
  
maintenance	
  of	
  wildfires	
  is	
  needed	
  
Photo	
  of	
  Harris	
  Fire	
  (2007)	
  by	
  former	
  Fire	
  Captain	
  Bill	
  Clayton	
  
Disaster	
  management	
  of	
  (ongoing)	
  wildfires	
  heavily	
  
relies	
  on	
  understanding	
  	
  
their	
  DirecCon	
  and	
  Rate	
  of	
  Spread	
  (RoS).	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
A	
  Scalable	
  Data-­‐Driven	
  Monitoring,	
  Dynamic	
  PredicCon	
  and	
  
Resilience	
  Cyberinfrastructure	
  for	
  Wildfires	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (WIFIRE)	
  
Development	
  of:	
  
	
  
“cyberinfrastructure”	
  for	
  
“analysis	
  of	
  large	
  
dimensional	
  
heterogeneous	
  real-­‐Cme	
  
sensed	
  data”	
  for	
  fire	
  
resilience	
  before,	
  during	
  
and	
  a0er	
  a	
  wildfire	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
What	
  is	
  lacking	
  in	
  disaster	
  management	
  today	
  is…	
  
	
  
	
  a	
  system	
  integraCon	
  of	
  real-­‐Cme	
  sensor	
  networks,	
  satellite	
  
imagery,	
  near-­‐real	
  Cme	
  data	
  management	
  
tools,	
  wildfire	
  simulaCon	
  tools,	
  and	
  connecCvity	
  to	
  
emergency	
  command	
  centers	
  	
  
	
  
.	
  ….	
  before,	
  during	
  and	
  aZer	
  a	
  firestorm.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Research	
  QuesCons	
  
•  Make	
  sensor	
  data	
  useful	
  
– Large	
  dimension	
  to	
  levels	
  ingesCble	
  by	
  analyCcal	
  
and	
  visual	
  pla]orms	
  
•  Combine	
  real-­‐Cme	
  data	
  with	
  physical	
  models	
  
– Data-­‐driven	
  predicCve	
  and	
  prevenCve	
  capabiliCes	
  
•  Risk	
  assessment,	
  training	
  and	
  disseminaCon	
  
using	
  developed	
  tools	
  
– Both	
  municipal	
  and	
  firefighCng	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Data	
  	
  
Modeling	
  
VisualizaCon	
  
Monitoring	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
•  How	
  can	
  large	
  dimensional	
  
heterogeneous	
  sensor	
  data	
  be	
  
analyzed	
  systemaCcally	
  to	
  a	
  (lower	
  
dimensional)	
  format	
  useful	
  for	
  
informa6on	
  processing,	
  real-­‐
6me	
  monitoring	
  and	
  
visualiza6on?	
  
•  How	
  can	
  such	
  data	
  be	
  combined	
  
with	
  exis6ng	
  scien6fic	
  models	
  to	
  
allow	
  for	
  predic6on	
  of	
  
propaga6ng	
  wildfires	
  and	
  
potenCal	
  future	
  events	
  to	
  prepare	
  
fire	
  fighters	
  and	
  the	
  public	
  for	
  
regions	
  of	
  highest	
  risk?	
  
•  What	
  quality	
  and	
  density	
  of	
  real-­‐
Cme	
  sensors	
  is	
  necessary	
  to	
  
improve	
  both	
  the	
  predic6ve	
  
and	
  preventa6ve	
  capabili6es	
  
of	
  current	
  fire	
  models?	
  
•  How	
  can	
  such	
  informaCon	
  
processing	
  be	
  easily	
  configured,	
  
programmed	
  and	
  computed	
  by	
  
end-­‐users	
  with	
  various	
  skill	
  levels	
  to	
  
formulate	
  actual	
  real-­‐6me	
  
data-­‐driven	
  environmental	
  
alerts?	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Data	
  
to	
  
Monitoring	
  
•  Data	
  Catalog	
  for	
  all	
  data	
  sources	
  
•  Web	
  interfaces	
  to	
  look	
  at	
  data	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Decision making for wildfire fighting
and disaster management based
on heterogeneous data:
Photograph by Mark Thiessen
Satellite data
Wildfire perimeter
Wind,
Vegetation
Terrain.
Fire	
  Data	
  Today	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
High	
  Performance	
  Wireless	
  Research	
  
and	
  EducaCon	
  Network	
  
Major	
  success	
  to	
  bring	
  
internet	
  to	
  incident	
  
command	
  in	
  the	
  field.	
  Used	
  
in	
  over	
  20	
  fires	
  over	
  Cme.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Sensor	
  Network	
  and	
  Monitoring	
  
Interfaces	
  
hKp://hpwren.ucsd.edu/cameras/	
   >160	
  Meteorological	
  Sensors	
  and	
  Growing	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
May	
  14,	
  2014	
  
¤	
  
San	
  Diego	
  County	
  Emergency	
  
Map	
  displaying	
  fire	
  perimeter	
  
informaCon	
  from	
  NICS.	
  
EM-­‐COP	
  system	
  is	
  powered	
  by	
  NICS.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
May	
  14th,	
  2014:	
  9	
  fires	
  burning	
  at	
  once	
  in	
  SD!	
  
•  Red	
  Mountain	
  Cams	
  
South	
  (leZ)	
  "Highway”	
  Fire	
  
SW	
  (center	
  rear)	
  is	
  the	
  "Pointsela”	
  Fire	
  
West	
  (right)	
  is	
  the	
  "Tomahawk”	
  Fire	
  
May	
  14:	
  More	
  than	
  1.8	
  million	
  HTTP	
  request	
  from	
  about	
  9,000	
  
individual	
  IP	
  addresses	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Data	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  integrated	
  and	
  accessible!	
  
•  Data	
  sources	
  formally	
  described	
  	
  
–  using	
  XML-­‐based	
  ontologies	
  and	
  cataloged	
  
•  Data	
  merged	
  from	
  mulCple	
  sources	
  into	
  a	
  single,	
  unified	
  model	
  
–  Measurements	
  from	
  >	
  150	
  weather	
  staCons	
  
–  Color	
  and	
  Near-­‐IR	
  images	
  from	
  >	
  100	
  cameras	
  
–  Fire	
  perimeters,	
  e.g.,	
  InciWeb	
  ,	
  GeoMac,	
  SANDAG	
  
–  Model	
  output,	
  e.g.,	
  FARSITE,	
  Firefly,	
  etc.	
  
•  A	
  unified	
  interface	
  to	
  access	
  data	
  
–  Via	
  a	
  web	
  service	
  (REST-­‐based)	
  
–  Offers	
  mulCple	
  formats	
  
•  XML,	
  GeoJSON,	
  WindNinja,	
  etc.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Data	
  CommunicaCon	
  Interface	
  
•  Data	
  is	
  	
  
–  extracted,	
  quality-­‐controlled,	
  and	
  stored	
  
–  available	
  through	
  REST-­‐based	
  web	
  service	
  interfaces	
  
–  homogenously	
  integrated	
  from	
  mulCple	
  sources	
  	
  
•  IniCal	
  goal:	
  Up-­‐to-­‐the-­‐minute	
  coverage	
  availability	
  
–  Up-­‐to-­‐the-­‐moment	
  coverage	
  is	
  a	
  future	
  goal.	
  
•  Proposed	
  fire-­‐modeling	
  interface	
  is	
  uniform	
  over	
  
modeled	
  and	
  real	
  fires	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
What	
  quesCons	
  can	
  you	
  ask	
  
when	
  you	
  have	
  access	
  to	
  	
  
such	
  a	
  data	
  interface?	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Generalized	
  QuesCons	
  Related	
  to	
  Data	
  
•  A	
  list	
  of	
  all	
  sensor	
  types	
  
•  Get	
  metadata	
  for	
  specific	
  sensor	
  types	
  
•  A	
  list	
  of	
  all	
  data-­‐sources	
  (instances	
  of	
  sensor	
  
types)	
  
•  Get	
  all	
  data-­‐sources	
  within	
  a	
  bounding	
  box,	
  
and	
  observe	
  air	
  temperature,	
  and	
  a	
  specific	
  
form	
  of	
  Average	
  Wind	
  DirecCon.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Some	
  QuesCons	
  Related	
  to	
  a	
  Specific	
  Event	
  
Q1:	
  What	
  is	
  the	
  current	
  temperature	
  at	
  all	
  the	
  
staCons?	
  
Q2:	
  What	
  was	
  the	
  temperature	
  on	
  Lyons	
  Peak	
  at	
  
1:30pm	
  on	
  May	
  14,	
  2014?	
  
Q3:	
  What	
  staCon	
  is	
  the	
  closest	
  to	
  32.614,	
  
-­‐116.234?	
  
Q4:	
  What	
  was	
  the	
  wind	
  speed	
  and	
  direcCon	
  for	
  
the	
  staCon	
  in	
  Q3	
  in	
  the	
  WindNinja	
  format?	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
VisualizaCon	
  
•  VisualizaCon	
  for	
  data	
  verificaCon	
  and	
  interpretaCon	
  
•  Using	
  high-­‐end	
  visualizaCon	
  systems	
  
•  Can	
  run	
  anywhere	
  from	
  laptop	
  to	
  visualizaCon	
  cluster	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Terrain	
  VisualizaCon	
  
•  Post-­‐fire	
  burn	
  map	
  
–  SDG&E	
  and	
  HPWREN	
  weather	
  data	
  
20
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
3D	
  Terrain	
  with	
  Photos	
  and	
  Perimeters	
  
21
•  Terrain	
  imagery	
  from	
  2009	
  and	
  2012	
  
•  Fire	
  perimeters	
  from	
  the	
  San	
  Diego	
  May	
  2014	
  fires	
  
•  Images	
  were	
  collected	
  via	
  TwiKer	
  
–  CapConed	
  with	
  tweet	
  tag	
  on	
  top	
  
	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Crowd-­‐Sourced	
  Fire	
  Perimeter	
  CalculaCon	
  
•  Photos	
  of	
  fire	
  locaCons	
  from	
  TwiKer	
  and	
  
Instagram	
  
•  Custom	
  app	
  allows	
  recording	
  addiConal	
  
data	
  such	
  as	
  phone’s	
  locaCon	
  and	
  
orientaCon,	
  focal	
  length,	
  etc.	
  
•  Improve	
  camera	
  locaCon	
  and	
  orientaCon	
  
calculaCon	
  through	
  terrain	
  map	
  matching	
  
•  Image	
  processing	
  for	
  fire/smoke	
  
localizaCon	
  within	
  photos	
  
•  Goal:	
  map	
  of	
  fire	
  perimeter	
  over	
  Cme	
  
22
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
3D	
  Terrain	
  Map	
  
•  Consolidates	
  geo-­‐located	
  measured	
  data	
  and	
  
simulaCon	
  results	
  
–  Fire	
  perimeter	
  
–  Wind	
  speed	
  and	
  direcCon	
  animaCon	
  with	
  stream	
  lines	
  
23
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Data	
  DisseminaCon	
  
•  Incident	
  commander:	
  support	
  
decision	
  making	
  
–  Large	
  high	
  resoluCon	
  displays	
  
•  Firefighters	
  in	
  the	
  field:	
  help	
  
navigate,	
  give	
  warnings	
  
–  Smart	
  phone,	
  augmented	
  reality	
  
•  General	
  public:	
  informaCon,	
  
evacuaCon	
  support	
  
–  Web	
  site,	
  smart	
  phone	
  app	
  
24
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Modeling	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
More	
  accurate	
  situaConal	
  awareness	
  using	
  data	
  	
  
-­‐-­‐	
  Data	
  to	
  Modeling	
  in	
  WIFIRE	
  -­‐-­‐	
  
	
  Real-­‐6me	
  remote	
  data	
  –>	
  Modeling,	
  data	
  assimilaCon	
  and	
  dynamic
	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  wildfire	
  behavior	
  predicCon	
  
Sensors:	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Need	
  to	
  improve	
  
programmability	
  to	
  build	
  
such	
  data-­‐driven	
  models!	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
System	
  IntegraCon	
  of	
  sensor	
  data,	
  data	
  assimilaCon,	
  dynamic	
  models	
  and	
  
fire	
  direcCon	
  and	
  RoS	
  predicCons	
  (computaCons)	
  is	
  based	
  on	
  ScienCfic	
  and	
  
Engineering	
  Workflows	
  (Kepler)	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
•  Visual	
  programming	
  
•  Scalable	
  parallel	
  execuCon	
  
•  Standardized	
  data	
  interfaces	
  
•  Reuse	
  and	
  reproducibility	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
WIFIRE	
  System	
  IntegraCon	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Kepler	
  Workflows	
  for	
  WIFIRE	
  Use	
  
Cases	
  
•  Kepler	
  is	
  an	
  open	
  source,	
  graphical	
  
environment	
  for	
  combining	
  and	
  automaCng	
  
Cyberinfrastructure	
  components	
  
– Execute	
  models	
  
– Read	
  real-­‐Cme	
  and	
  archived	
  weather	
  staCon	
  
measurements	
  	
  
– GIS	
  components	
  to	
  pre-­‐	
  and	
  post-­‐process	
  data	
  
– Parallel	
  execuCon	
  
– Provenance	
  for	
  execuCon	
  history	
  
	
  
www.kepler-project.org
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Use	
  Case:	
  Santa	
  Ana	
  CondiCons	
  
•  Santa	
  Ana	
  winds	
  lead	
  to	
  dangerous	
  fire	
  condiCons	
  
in	
  San	
  Diego	
  County	
  
–  Oct.	
  2003:	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  >700,000	
  acres	
  burned	
  
–  Oct.	
  2007:	
  
	
  	
  	
  >500,000	
  acres	
  burned	
  
Santa	
  Ana	
  defined	
  by:	
  
Wind	
  direc6on	
  >	
  10°	
  and	
  <	
  110°	
  
Wind	
  speed	
  >	
  25mph	
  
Rela6ve	
  humidity	
  <	
  25%	
  
•  Goal:	
  determine	
  regions	
  in	
  San	
  Diego	
  County	
  experiencing	
  
Santa	
  Ana	
  Winds	
  
•  Solu6on:	
  Use	
  WindNinja	
  to	
  compute	
  wind	
  condiCons,	
  
post-­‐process	
  to	
  find	
  Santa	
  Ana	
  regions	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
HPWREN	
  Real-­‐Time	
  Weather	
  Alerts	
  
•  Weather	
  staCons	
  
measurements	
  monitored	
  
Santa	
  Ana	
  condiCons	
  
•  Alerts	
  sent	
  via	
  email	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Wind	
  CondiCons	
  Around	
  Weather	
  StaCons	
  
•  Run	
  WindNinja	
  to	
  model	
  wind	
  condiCons	
  	
  
•  Inputs:	
  
–  Topography	
  &	
  vegetaCon	
  
–  Weather	
  staCon	
  measurements	
  
–  SpaCal	
  and	
  temporal	
  ranges	
  
–  etc.	
  	
  
•  Outputs:	
  
–  Wind	
  direcCon	
  &	
  speed	
  over	
  region	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
SpaCal	
  Coverage	
  
•  WindNinja	
  run	
  on	
  domain	
  size	
  up	
  to	
  50x50km	
  
– Split	
  SD	
  County	
  into	
  Cles	
  
– Run	
  WindNinja	
  for	
  each	
  Cle	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Temporal	
  Coverage	
  
•  WindNinja	
  calculates	
  wind	
  condiCons	
  for	
  
specific	
  point	
  in	
  Cme	
  
– Run	
  WindNinja	
  for	
  each	
  Cmestamp	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
1:00pm,	
  May	
  14	
   1:10pm,	
  May	
  14	
   6:00pm,	
  May	
  14	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Execute	
  in	
  Parallel	
  
•  Run	
  WindNinja	
  for	
  
each	
  Cle	
  
•  Run	
  WindNinja	
  for	
  
each	
  Cmestamp	
  
•  Each	
  execu6on	
  is	
  
independent,	
  so	
  can	
  
be	
  done	
  in	
  parallel	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
WindNinja	
  
Compute	
   Compute	
   Compute	
  
Compute	
   Compute	
   Compute	
  
Compute	
   Compute	
   Compute	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Post-­‐Processing	
  WindNinja	
  Output	
  
•  WindNinja	
  outputs	
  wind	
  direcCon	
  and	
  speed	
  
•  Process	
  these	
  outputs	
  to	
  find	
  regions	
  with	
  
Santa	
  Ana	
  winds	
  
Union	
   Filter	
   Rasterize	
   Find	
  
Polygons	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
ApplicaCon	
  Outputs	
  
•  Output	
  shows	
  Santa	
  Ana	
  regions	
  
•  OZen	
  much	
  larger	
  area	
  surrounding	
  weather	
  staCon	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Use	
  Case:	
  Fire	
  Growth	
  
•  Goal:	
  Simulate	
  fire	
  growth	
  in	
  SD	
  County	
  
•  Run	
  FARSITE	
  and	
  Firefly	
  
•  Inputs:	
  
–  Landscape	
  (topography,	
  fuel,	
  etc.)	
  
–  Weather	
  (wind,	
  temperature,	
  humidity,	
  etc.)	
  
–  IgniCon	
  perimeter	
  
•  Outputs:	
  
–  Fire	
  perimeters	
  
–  Intensity,	
  flame	
  length,	
  spread	
  rate,	
  etc.	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
Example	
  Output	
  of	
  Fire	
  Perimeters	
  
•  Two	
  simulaCons	
  with	
  
different	
  weather:	
  
–  White	
  is	
  “normal”	
  weather	
  
–  Red	
  is	
  Santa	
  Ana	
  weather	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  funded	
  
by	
  NSF	
  1331615	
  
To	
  summarize:	
  
EffecCve	
  systems	
  for	
  real-­‐Cme	
  acquisiCon	
  and	
  
analysis	
  of	
  wildfire	
  big	
  data	
  can	
  make	
  a	
  huge	
  impact	
  	
  
on	
  wildfire	
  resilience.	
  
•  Website:	
  	
  
hKp://wifire.ucsd.edu	
  	
  
•  TwiKer:	
  	
  
@WIFIREProject	
  
WIFIRE	
  is	
  on	
  the	
  web!	
  

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Using Cyberinfrastructure for Wildfire Resilience

  • 1. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   İlkay ALTINTAŞ, Ph.D. PI, WIFIRE San Diego Supercomputer Center, UCSD ialtintas@ucsd.edu Using Cyberinfrastructure for Wildfire Resilience - A Scalable Data-Driven Monitoring and Dynamic Prediction Approach -
  • 2. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Fire  is  Part  of  the  Natural  Ecology     …  but  requires  Monitoring,  PredicCon  and  Resilience   •  Wildfires  are  criCcal  for     ecology,  but  volaCle   •  Fuel  load  is  high  due  to  fire  suppression   over  the  last  century   •  Changes  in  rainfall,  wind,  seasons,     and  thus  wildfires,  potenCally  induced  by   climate  change   •  BeKer  prevenCon,  predicCon  and     maintenance  of  wildfires  is  needed   Photo  of  Harris  Fire  (2007)  by  former  Fire  Captain  Bill  Clayton   Disaster  management  of  (ongoing)  wildfires  heavily   relies  on  understanding     their  DirecCon  and  Rate  of  Spread  (RoS).  
  • 3. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   A  Scalable  Data-­‐Driven  Monitoring,  Dynamic  PredicCon  and   Resilience  Cyberinfrastructure  for  Wildfires                                                                                                                    (WIFIRE)   Development  of:     “cyberinfrastructure”  for   “analysis  of  large   dimensional   heterogeneous  real-­‐Cme   sensed  data”  for  fire   resilience  before,  during   and  a0er  a  wildfire  
  • 4. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   What  is  lacking  in  disaster  management  today  is…      a  system  integraCon  of  real-­‐Cme  sensor  networks,  satellite   imagery,  near-­‐real  Cme  data  management   tools,  wildfire  simulaCon  tools,  and  connecCvity  to   emergency  command  centers       .  ….  before,  during  and  aZer  a  firestorm.  
  • 5. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Research  QuesCons   •  Make  sensor  data  useful   – Large  dimension  to  levels  ingesCble  by  analyCcal   and  visual  pla]orms   •  Combine  real-­‐Cme  data  with  physical  models   – Data-­‐driven  predicCve  and  prevenCve  capabiliCes   •  Risk  assessment,  training  and  disseminaCon   using  developed  tools   – Both  municipal  and  firefighCng  
  • 6. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Data     Modeling   VisualizaCon   Monitoring  
  • 7. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   •  How  can  large  dimensional   heterogeneous  sensor  data  be   analyzed  systemaCcally  to  a  (lower   dimensional)  format  useful  for   informa6on  processing,  real-­‐ 6me  monitoring  and   visualiza6on?   •  How  can  such  data  be  combined   with  exis6ng  scien6fic  models  to   allow  for  predic6on  of   propaga6ng  wildfires  and   potenCal  future  events  to  prepare   fire  fighters  and  the  public  for   regions  of  highest  risk?   •  What  quality  and  density  of  real-­‐ Cme  sensors  is  necessary  to   improve  both  the  predic6ve   and  preventa6ve  capabili6es   of  current  fire  models?   •  How  can  such  informaCon   processing  be  easily  configured,   programmed  and  computed  by   end-­‐users  with  various  skill  levels  to   formulate  actual  real-­‐6me   data-­‐driven  environmental   alerts?  
  • 8. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Data   to   Monitoring   •  Data  Catalog  for  all  data  sources   •  Web  interfaces  to  look  at  data  
  • 9. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Decision making for wildfire fighting and disaster management based on heterogeneous data: Photograph by Mark Thiessen Satellite data Wildfire perimeter Wind, Vegetation Terrain. Fire  Data  Today  
  • 10. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   High  Performance  Wireless  Research   and  EducaCon  Network   Major  success  to  bring   internet  to  incident   command  in  the  field.  Used   in  over  20  fires  over  Cme.  
  • 11. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Sensor  Network  and  Monitoring   Interfaces   hKp://hpwren.ucsd.edu/cameras/   >160  Meteorological  Sensors  and  Growing  
  • 12. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   May  14,  2014   ¤   San  Diego  County  Emergency   Map  displaying  fire  perimeter   informaCon  from  NICS.   EM-­‐COP  system  is  powered  by  NICS.  
  • 13. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   May  14th,  2014:  9  fires  burning  at  once  in  SD!   •  Red  Mountain  Cams   South  (leZ)  "Highway”  Fire   SW  (center  rear)  is  the  "Pointsela”  Fire   West  (right)  is  the  "Tomahawk”  Fire   May  14:  More  than  1.8  million  HTTP  request  from  about  9,000   individual  IP  addresses  
  • 14. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Data  needs  to  be  integrated  and  accessible!   •  Data  sources  formally  described     –  using  XML-­‐based  ontologies  and  cataloged   •  Data  merged  from  mulCple  sources  into  a  single,  unified  model   –  Measurements  from  >  150  weather  staCons   –  Color  and  Near-­‐IR  images  from  >  100  cameras   –  Fire  perimeters,  e.g.,  InciWeb  ,  GeoMac,  SANDAG   –  Model  output,  e.g.,  FARSITE,  Firefly,  etc.   •  A  unified  interface  to  access  data   –  Via  a  web  service  (REST-­‐based)   –  Offers  mulCple  formats   •  XML,  GeoJSON,  WindNinja,  etc.  
  • 15. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Data  CommunicaCon  Interface   •  Data  is     –  extracted,  quality-­‐controlled,  and  stored   –  available  through  REST-­‐based  web  service  interfaces   –  homogenously  integrated  from  mulCple  sources     •  IniCal  goal:  Up-­‐to-­‐the-­‐minute  coverage  availability   –  Up-­‐to-­‐the-­‐moment  coverage  is  a  future  goal.   •  Proposed  fire-­‐modeling  interface  is  uniform  over   modeled  and  real  fires  
  • 16. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   What  quesCons  can  you  ask   when  you  have  access  to     such  a  data  interface?  
  • 17. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Generalized  QuesCons  Related  to  Data   •  A  list  of  all  sensor  types   •  Get  metadata  for  specific  sensor  types   •  A  list  of  all  data-­‐sources  (instances  of  sensor   types)   •  Get  all  data-­‐sources  within  a  bounding  box,   and  observe  air  temperature,  and  a  specific   form  of  Average  Wind  DirecCon.  
  • 18. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Some  QuesCons  Related  to  a  Specific  Event   Q1:  What  is  the  current  temperature  at  all  the   staCons?   Q2:  What  was  the  temperature  on  Lyons  Peak  at   1:30pm  on  May  14,  2014?   Q3:  What  staCon  is  the  closest  to  32.614,   -­‐116.234?   Q4:  What  was  the  wind  speed  and  direcCon  for   the  staCon  in  Q3  in  the  WindNinja  format?  
  • 19. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   VisualizaCon   •  VisualizaCon  for  data  verificaCon  and  interpretaCon   •  Using  high-­‐end  visualizaCon  systems   •  Can  run  anywhere  from  laptop  to  visualizaCon  cluster  
  • 20. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Terrain  VisualizaCon   •  Post-­‐fire  burn  map   –  SDG&E  and  HPWREN  weather  data   20
  • 21. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   3D  Terrain  with  Photos  and  Perimeters   21 •  Terrain  imagery  from  2009  and  2012   •  Fire  perimeters  from  the  San  Diego  May  2014  fires   •  Images  were  collected  via  TwiKer   –  CapConed  with  tweet  tag  on  top    
  • 22. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Crowd-­‐Sourced  Fire  Perimeter  CalculaCon   •  Photos  of  fire  locaCons  from  TwiKer  and   Instagram   •  Custom  app  allows  recording  addiConal   data  such  as  phone’s  locaCon  and   orientaCon,  focal  length,  etc.   •  Improve  camera  locaCon  and  orientaCon   calculaCon  through  terrain  map  matching   •  Image  processing  for  fire/smoke   localizaCon  within  photos   •  Goal:  map  of  fire  perimeter  over  Cme   22
  • 23. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   3D  Terrain  Map   •  Consolidates  geo-­‐located  measured  data  and   simulaCon  results   –  Fire  perimeter   –  Wind  speed  and  direcCon  animaCon  with  stream  lines   23
  • 24. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Data  DisseminaCon   •  Incident  commander:  support   decision  making   –  Large  high  resoluCon  displays   •  Firefighters  in  the  field:  help   navigate,  give  warnings   –  Smart  phone,  augmented  reality   •  General  public:  informaCon,   evacuaCon  support   –  Web  site,  smart  phone  app   24
  • 25. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Modeling  
  • 26. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   More  accurate  situaConal  awareness  using  data     -­‐-­‐  Data  to  Modeling  in  WIFIRE  -­‐-­‐    Real-­‐6me  remote  data  –>  Modeling,  data  assimilaCon  and  dynamic                                wildfire  behavior  predicCon   Sensors:            
  • 27. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Need  to  improve   programmability  to  build   such  data-­‐driven  models!  
  • 28. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   System  IntegraCon  of  sensor  data,  data  assimilaCon,  dynamic  models  and   fire  direcCon  and  RoS  predicCons  (computaCons)  is  based  on  ScienCfic  and   Engineering  Workflows  (Kepler)               •  Visual  programming   •  Scalable  parallel  execuCon   •  Standardized  data  interfaces   •  Reuse  and  reproducibility         WIFIRE  System  IntegraCon  
  • 29. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Kepler  Workflows  for  WIFIRE  Use   Cases   •  Kepler  is  an  open  source,  graphical   environment  for  combining  and  automaCng   Cyberinfrastructure  components   – Execute  models   – Read  real-­‐Cme  and  archived  weather  staCon   measurements     – GIS  components  to  pre-­‐  and  post-­‐process  data   – Parallel  execuCon   – Provenance  for  execuCon  history     www.kepler-project.org
  • 30. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Use  Case:  Santa  Ana  CondiCons   •  Santa  Ana  winds  lead  to  dangerous  fire  condiCons   in  San  Diego  County   –  Oct.  2003:          >700,000  acres  burned   –  Oct.  2007:        >500,000  acres  burned   Santa  Ana  defined  by:   Wind  direc6on  >  10°  and  <  110°   Wind  speed  >  25mph   Rela6ve  humidity  <  25%   •  Goal:  determine  regions  in  San  Diego  County  experiencing   Santa  Ana  Winds   •  Solu6on:  Use  WindNinja  to  compute  wind  condiCons,   post-­‐process  to  find  Santa  Ana  regions  
  • 31. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   HPWREN  Real-­‐Time  Weather  Alerts   •  Weather  staCons   measurements  monitored   Santa  Ana  condiCons   •  Alerts  sent  via  email  
  • 32. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Wind  CondiCons  Around  Weather  StaCons   •  Run  WindNinja  to  model  wind  condiCons     •  Inputs:   –  Topography  &  vegetaCon   –  Weather  staCon  measurements   –  SpaCal  and  temporal  ranges   –  etc.     •  Outputs:   –  Wind  direcCon  &  speed  over  region  
  • 33. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   SpaCal  Coverage   •  WindNinja  run  on  domain  size  up  to  50x50km   – Split  SD  County  into  Cles   – Run  WindNinja  for  each  Cle   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja  
  • 34. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Temporal  Coverage   •  WindNinja  calculates  wind  condiCons  for   specific  point  in  Cme   – Run  WindNinja  for  each  Cmestamp   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   1:00pm,  May  14   1:10pm,  May  14   6:00pm,  May  14  
  • 35. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Execute  in  Parallel   •  Run  WindNinja  for   each  Cle   •  Run  WindNinja  for   each  Cmestamp   •  Each  execu6on  is   independent,  so  can   be  done  in  parallel   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   WindNinja   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute   Compute  
  • 36. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Post-­‐Processing  WindNinja  Output   •  WindNinja  outputs  wind  direcCon  and  speed   •  Process  these  outputs  to  find  regions  with   Santa  Ana  winds   Union   Filter   Rasterize   Find   Polygons  
  • 37. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   ApplicaCon  Outputs   •  Output  shows  Santa  Ana  regions   •  OZen  much  larger  area  surrounding  weather  staCon  
  • 38. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Use  Case:  Fire  Growth   •  Goal:  Simulate  fire  growth  in  SD  County   •  Run  FARSITE  and  Firefly   •  Inputs:   –  Landscape  (topography,  fuel,  etc.)   –  Weather  (wind,  temperature,  humidity,  etc.)   –  IgniCon  perimeter   •  Outputs:   –  Fire  perimeters   –  Intensity,  flame  length,  spread  rate,  etc.  
  • 39. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   Example  Output  of  Fire  Perimeters   •  Two  simulaCons  with   different  weather:   –  White  is  “normal”  weather   –  Red  is  Santa  Ana  weather  
  • 40. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615  
  • 41. WIFIRE  is  funded   by  NSF  1331615   To  summarize:   EffecCve  systems  for  real-­‐Cme  acquisiCon  and   analysis  of  wildfire  big  data  can  make  a  huge  impact     on  wildfire  resilience.   •  Website:     hKp://wifire.ucsd.edu     •  TwiKer:     @WIFIREProject   WIFIRE  is  on  the  web!