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KPIT Technologies 
Autonomous roadmap for growth, Retain “BUY” 
September 18, 2014 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
Sep‐13 
Nov‐13 
Jan‐14 
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. and/or its associates (the 'Firm') does and/or seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that 
the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. 
Please refer to important disclosures and disclaimers at the end of the report 
Company Update 
Shashi Bhusan 
shashibhusan@plindia.com 
+91‐22‐66322300 
Hussain Kagzi 
hussainkagzi@plindia.com 
+91‐22‐66322242 
Rating BUY 
Price Rs158 
Target Price Rs200 
Implied Upside 26.6% 
Sensex 26,631 
Nifty 7,976 
(Prices as on September 17, 2014) 
Trading data 
Market Cap. (Rs bn) 12.4 
Shares o/s (m) 78.5 
3M Avg. Daily value (Rs m) 225.4 
Major shareholders 
Promoters 22.28% 
Foreign 33.01% 
Domestic Inst. 6.86% 
Public & Other 37.85% 
Stock Performance 
(%) 1M 6M 12M 
Absolute 3.7 0.6 14.4 
Relative 1.7 (21.5) (20.0) 
How we differ from Consensus 
EPS (Rs) PL Cons. % Diff. 
2015 14.1 14.0 0.6 
2016 17.9 16.7 7.1 
Price Performance (RIC: KPIT.BO, BB: KPIT IN) 
Source: Bloomberg 
Mar‐14 
May‐14 
Jul‐14 
Sep‐14 
(Rs) 
We evaluated KPIT’s service offerings and strength to dig deeper into our hypothesis. 
KPIT offers exposure to a highly attractive, rapidly expanding market (Automotive 
Electronics, Manufacturing and Energy & Utility), alongside an ability to capitalise as 
a low‐cost disruptor with compelling technology like ‘Revolo’. KPIT has one of the 
strongest industry positioning profiles in the Automotive Segments. Retain “BUY”. 
 Core drivers of growth – Strength in Automotive sector to drive surprises: We 
expect strong end‐market growth of AUTOSAR, Infotainment, Vision Systems 
and Powertrain driven by new car ratings regimes. We believe KPIT’s 
technological superiority will retain its dominant share in the automotive 
vertical. We expect the mix to shift towards higher‐end functionality, leading to 
higher realization driving mid‐20s revenue growth in the segment. 
 Return in discretionary and renewed strategy to drive SAP and IES momentum: 
SAP and IES (Oracle) SBU struggle are likely to grow over the last six quarters 
due to technology reset, weaker maintenance revenue, cost overrun and slow 
decision making. We see the concerns waning in FY15 as the management sees 
improved deal pipeline, deal closures and deal ramp‐ups. 
 Account mining – Increasing focus on top 50 acccounts: Management has 
increased their focus on mining top‐50 clients. KPIT has hired ~35 account 
managers to mine top‐50 accounts and is in the processs of ramping it up. We 
expect this focus on account mining and restructuring of account management 
by verticals to drive stronger revenue growth. 
 Risks to the investment case: Risks to our view include (1) Weakening 
discretionary spend (2) In‐house R&D for Automotive (3) Investment needs (4) 
Worsening DSOs and (5) Risk associated with inorganic ventures. 
 Valuation and Recommendation – BUY with TP of Rs200: We forecast top‐line 
growth of 14% in FY14‐16, while KPIT’s asset‐light model should allow EBITDA 
margin expansion over FY14‐16 from 12.1% to 15.6% and a net income CAGR of 
16%. We maintain “BUY” with 27% upside from the current market price. 
Key financials (Y/e March) 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
Revenues (Rs m) 22,386 26,940 29,606 33,547 
Growth (%) 49.2 20.3 9.9 13.3 
EBITDA (Rs m) 3,655 4,233 4,137 5,220 
PAT (Rs m) 1,991 2,490 2,620 3,312 
EPS (Rs) 10.3 13.4 14.1 17.9 
Growth (%) 26.4 30.0 5.2 26.4 
Net DPS (Rs) 0.8 1.9 2.2 2.5 
Profitability & Valuation 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
EBITDA margin (%) 16.3 15.7 14.0 15.6 
RoE (%) 22.8 21.5 18.9 20.2 
RoCE (%) 20.9 20.2 17.8 18.9 
EV / sales (x) 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 
EV / EBITDA (x) 8.3 6.8 7.0 5.2 
PE (x) 15.3 11.8 11.2 8.9 
P / BV (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.6 
Net dividend yield (%) 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.6 
Source: Company Data; PL Research
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 1: Services and Vertical Metrics of KPIT 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
Exhibit 2: KPIT Competencies – Strength in Auto Vertical 
In Auto Vertical In Manufacturing Vertical In Energy & Utility Vertical 
Opportunities KPIT Competencies Opportunities KPIT Competencies Opportunities KPIT Competencies 
Electrification Powertrain Intelligent Products Enterprise IT Sustainable Energy ERP 
Connected Cars Infotainment M2M Communication Consulting Smart Grids Enterprise Asset Mgmt 
Infotainment Safety, Chassis Concurrent Engineering BI & Analytics Smart Meters Cloud 
Safety In‐vehicle Networking Engineering Analytics Cloud Enterprise Asset Mgmt Mobility Solutions 
Electronics Consolidation Teleatics Big Data eBiz Mobility Solutions On‐Demand Analytics 
Social Media Diagnostics Mobility Solutions Business Process Soln On‐Demand Analytics Customer Billing & Info 
Analytics Body Electronics 3D Printing Product Design Customer Billing & Info Productized Solution 
Shortening Product Cycle ERP Competence Tracking Infrastructure Upgradation In Memory Computing 
Newer Ownership Models Consulting After Market 
Multi‐Modal Mobility After Market Embedded Electronics 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
Exhibit 3: KPIT product portfolio – Strong presence in Automotive Ecosystem 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 2
KPIT Technologies 
A&E – Powering the automotive vertical 
We look at the Automotive SBU of KPIT that distinguishes it from other IT 
companies. Tightening in emission standards, along with drive towards fuel 
efficiency and a shift in consumer preference have brought focus on Powertrain 
engineering to design engines abiding these innovations. 
Considering the fast development of auto electronics and intelligence, automotive 
electronics has become the fastest growing segment of auto parts with an increasing 
demand on safety and security, telecommunications, environmental protection and 
energy‐saving. More and more OEMs have begun to adopt electronic systems and 
have integrated semiconductor circuits in vehicles. Automotive electronics has 
become a major differentiated indicator for vehicles. A major feature of the 
development of automotive safety is active safety, while active safety technology 
development is mainly represented by electronics control with reliability as a top 
priority. Mobile Internet technology has further promoted the development of 
automotive intelligent interconnected applications, which can be combined with 
vehicle safety through a combination of big data to improve reliability. As connected 
vehicles involve different aspects of the industry chain, various parties are seeking 
more benefits. Realising how to make a trade‐off regarding the interests of all 
parties is an important prerequisite to promoting the development of Connected 
Vehicles. No matter in which sub‐segment, improving products and the cost 
performance of the technology from the perspective of consumers is imperative for 
making a quick win in the market. 
Most automotive electronics enterprises do not have the core technology and are 
hampered by a limited R&D scale. Automotive electronics enterprises will continue 
to focus on independent R&D and M&A for future development. 
Exhibit 4: Demand of automotive electronics is going to surge 
Automotive Electronics revenue ($ bn) 
190 205 
314 
330 
310 
290 
270 
250 
230 
210 
190 
170 
150 
2013 2014 2020 
Source: Industry Expert, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 3
KPIT Technologies 
Newly developed and improved automotive electronics applications represent an 
important pillar in the value creation of the next generation of automobiles. Market 
researchers and Industry Experts estimate the total global market volume for 
automotive electronics as being more than US$190bn in 2013, a figure that is set to 
rise to US$205bn in 2014. The market is expected to continue growing, leaping to a 
level of US$314bn by the year 2020; this is equivalent to a CAGR of 7.3% for the 
period 2012 to 2020. 
Exhibit 5: An example of sensors needed in the cars 
Source: Cisco, PL Research 
Exhibit 6: Global Automotive Sensors Market 
16.2 
Automotive Sensor ($ bn) 
17.4 
18.8 
30.3 
32 
29 
26 
23 
20 
17 
14 
2012 2013 2014 2020 
Source: Industry Experts, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 4
KPIT Technologies 
Overall, the major driving forces for increased demand for automotive sensors in 
vehicles include regulatory mandates for improving fuel economy and stringent 
emission standards as well as requirements for advanced safety systems. The growth 
is also attributed by consumer demand for safety & security, comfort & convenience 
features and the growth of hybrid and electric vehicles which is creating enormous 
opportunities for new types of sensors in automobile industry. Automotive Sensors 
market worldwide, standing at US$16.2bn in 2012, estimated to be US$17.4bn in 
2013 and forecast at US$18.8bn in 2014, is further projected to reach US$30.3bn by 
2020, thereby, posting a CAGR Of 8.2% between 2012 and 2020. Estimated to be 
US$2.6bn in 2013, demand for Automotive MEMS Sensors globally is projected to 
reach US$4.7bn by 2020. 
KPIT has established practices in the embedded space like Powertrain, Hybrid 
Solutions, Infotainment, Autosar, Body Electronics, Chassis, Safety, Diagnostics, 
Telematics, specialized Mechanical Design, coupled with initiatives like Diagnostics 
on the cloud, Intelligent Transportation Systems, Big Data Analytics, Infotainment 
Platform (KIVI) , Warranty Management Solutions and patented software products 
position us extremely well for sustained growth in the automotive vertical. 
A&E SBU, which contributes 25% of total company revenue, was the second highest 
growing SBU during the year with 23% YoY growth. Despite increased investments 
on people and technology, EBITDA margin for this SBU was stable at 22‐23%. 
Exhibit 7: A&E SBU ‐ Consistent growth CQGR of 4.2% since Q1FY12 
10.0% 
8.0% 
6.0% 
4.0% 
2.0% 
0.0% 
‐2.0% 
‐4.0% 
‐6.0% 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
Auto & Engineering (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) 
Q1FY12 
Q2FY12 
Q3FY12 
Q4FY12 
Q1FY13 
Q2FY13 
Q3FY13 
Q4FY13 
Q1FY14 
Q2FY14 
Q3FY14 
Q4FY14 
Q1FY15 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
We expect A&E SBU to grow in high‐teens in FY15‐17E, with EBITDA margin seeing 
improvement from currently ~23% to ~25% over FY15‐16E. 
September 18, 2014 5
KPIT Technologies 
IES SBU and SAP SBU – Driven by return in discretionary spend 
SAP SBU – Success from SuccessFactor 
According to the management, KPIT, in H2FY13, struggled to keep‐up the pace with 
changed strategy of SAP, as SAP acquired SuccessFactors (SFSF) (a cloud based HRM 
product company). After the acquisition, the demand for on‐premise HRM licenses 
declined and SFSF sales ballooned. Hence, KPIT had to train its onsite resources and 
get them certified on SFSF which had a dent on growth and utilization, thus, 
affecting profitability negatively. 
Moreover, with the rapid growth over the years, the SAP deal sizes kept on 
increasing and the company was not fully prepared on execution of these large deals 
which resulted in some cost overruns in a couple of large projects. The company also 
experienced delayed closure of some very large SAP deals by a couple of quarters 
which further impacted growth and profitability. 
Impact: Revenues declined by 1% on a YoY basis, with the SBU contributing 25% to 
total company revenues. Delay in closure of a few of these deals, especially in North 
America, was the major factor for the slowdown in the SBU’s performance, thus, 
hindering company’s overall growth. They closed more than 17 deals exceeding 
US$78.5m in value. Profitability for SAP SBU went down as the full year EBITDA 
margin was negative at 5‐6%. 
Measures Taken: The management has taken various initiatives for SAP turnaround 
 Created SFSF practices in the US and are seeing traction and deal flows 
 Rationalized fixed cost (acquired through Sparta) 
 Let go low profitability businesses to improve margin 
Positive impacts in FY15: According to the management, profitability improvement 
in FY15 would be the top priority. SAP SBU has already witnessed turnaround during 
Q1FY15 with a low single digit margin. Management is confident of turning around 
SAP SBU to high‐single‐digit EBITDA margin by Q4FY15. 
September 18, 2014 6
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 8: SAP SBU ‐ Patchy growth CQGR of 2% since Q1FY12 
30% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
‐5% 
‐10% 
33 
30 
27 
24 
21 
18 
SAP SBU (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) 
Q1FY12 
Q2FY12 
Q3FY12 
Q4FY12 
Q1FY13 
Q2FY13 
Q3FY13 
Q4FY13 
Q1FY14 
Q2FY14 
Q3FY14 
Q4FY14 
Q1FY15 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
Integrated Enterprise Solution SBU – Deal pipeline healthy 
KPIT continues to see good traction for JDE offerings, Oracle E‐Business suite, Oracle 
Fusion Middleware and (IMS) as they won new deals in these respective areas. 
Management sees strong deal pipeline in IES as clients look for discretionary spend 
with green‐field implementations and instance consolidation. The company has 
improved EBITDA margin to the range of 18‐19% and likely to sustain it. 
Exhibit 9: IES SBU – Better than SAP but weaker than A&E CQGR of 3.9% since Q1FY12 
14% 
8% 
2% 
‐4% 
‐10% 
‐16% 
‐22% 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
IES SBU (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) 
Q1FY12 
Q2FY12 
Q3FY12 
Q4FY12 
Q1FY13 
Q2FY13 
Q3FY13 
Q4FY13 
Q1FY14 
Q2FY14 
Q3FY14 
Q4FY14 
Q1FY15 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 7
KPIT Technologies 
Eyeing US$1bn revenue and 20% EBITDA margin by 2017 
FY14 – Year of Restructuring and Consolidation 
FY14 was the year of consolidation as KPIT’s management spent time reorganizing 
themselves for the next phase of high growth at an increased base. The company 
missed the guidance due to reduction in SAP revenues (which contributes 25% of the 
top‐line, declined by 11%) due to delayed closure of deals and cross‐currency 
fluctuations during the year. The miss was also courtesy flat growth realized by 
largest customer. For FY14, excluding SAP, revenue grew by 17% YoY. 
KPIT has taken various initiatives to capture next phase of high growth. 
 Greater focus on R&D space for IP creation, solution development and filing of 
patents. 
 Created a separate unit called “Products & Platforms” with increased focus on 
non‐linear growth and IP‐based revenues, which will work towards 
development of a strong product portfolio 
 Witnessing higher traction in (IMS) and would be creating a separate SBU to 
capture these significant opportunities. 
 KPIT has made few key Executive Appointments 
 Mr. Frederic Ramioulle has joined as President – Automotive & Transportation 
Industry Business Unit (IBU) 
 Mr. Dietmar Imminger has joined as Head of Automotive and Transportation 
business in Germany 
 Mr. Baljeet Chhazal has joined as Senior VP and Global head of Oracle Business 
Unit and he will be based out of US 
 Mr. Abhishek Sinha has joined as Senior VP‐ Operational Excellence and his 
key responsibility will be to identify and improve areas of operational 
excellence across the organization 
 Mr. Deepak Purohit has joined as Senior VP‐ Large deals and his immediate 
focus market will be US, besides supporting large deal activities in other 
geographies 
 Mr. Lee Liviu Cocis has joined as VP & Head of IMS practice 
 Improving account mining capabilities: KPIT has hired account managers (~30) 
to mine their existing clients. Management is targeting their top‐50 accounts, 
with one account manager assigned to each account, who has strong industry 
understanding, to cross‐sell services like ERP, SCM etc. 
Management is confident of achieving FY15 12‐14% revenue growth guidance. 
September 18, 2014 8
KPIT Technologies 
Initiatives for improving cash generation 
KPIT has struggled due to poor cash generation over FY11‐14. However, 
management effort to improve cash flow has met with some success in Q1FY15. We 
expect cash generation to improve in FY15‐16. 
According to the management, the reasons for lower cash conversion in FY14 
compared to historic performance are: 
 CFO considerably lower compared to PAT due to increase in working capital 
 Slipped on DSO by 11 days due to increase in credit period by 15 days to largest 
customer and higher revenues in the last month of the quarter 
 Lower CFO/EBITDA attributed to cost of growth since a fast growth eats up 
working capital resulting in lower cash flow conversions 
Exhibit 10: Weaker cash generation 
190% 
130% 
70% 
10% 
‐50% 
55% 
5% 
‐45% 
‐95% 
‐145% 
FCF/EBITDA OCF/PAT (RHS) 
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
Exhibit 11: One year forward PER ‐ Trading below long term average 
1‐Yr Forward PER Average PER 
11.5 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
Apr‐04 
Sep‐04 
Mar‐05 
Sep‐05 
Feb‐06 
Aug‐06 
Feb‐07 
Jul‐07 
Jan‐08 
Jul‐08 
Dec‐08 
Jun‐09 
Dec‐09 
May‐10 
Nov‐10 
May‐11 
Oct‐11 
Apr‐12 
Oct‐12 
Apr‐13 
Sep‐13 
Mar‐14 
Sep‐14 
Source: Company Data, Bloomberg, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 9
KPIT Technologies 
Rated as “Top 10 Breakthrough Sourcing Standouts” by ISG 
KPIT, (BSE: 532400; NSE: KPIT), an IT consulting and product engineering partner to 
automotive & transportation, manufacturing and energy & utilities corporations, 
today announced that it has been listed amongst the Top 10 Outsourcing Service 
Providers by Information Services Group (ISG), a leading technology insights, market 
intelligence and advisory services company. 
KPIT was listed among America's “Top 10 Breakthrough Sourcing Standouts” based 
on annual contract value (ACV) won over the last 12 months, according to the ISG 
Global Outsourcing Index. 
“For more than a decade, the ISG Outsourcing Index has been the authoritative 
source for marketplace intelligence related to outsourcing transaction structures and 
terms, industry adoption, geographic prevalence and service provider performance,” 
said Paul Reynolds, Chief Research Officer of ISG. “KPIT continues to establish itself 
as a leading and growing player in the global market, based on its volume of business 
in relation to other industry providers.” 
Now in its 47th consecutive quarter, the ISG Outsourcing Index provides an 
independent review of the latest sourcing industry data and trends for enterprises, 
service providers, analysts and the media. 
September 18, 2014 10
KPIT Technologies 
Appendix – A quick look at KPIT’s role in automotive 
Since 2010, the global auto market has featured quite a polarized development. The 
US has begun to emerge from the economic crisis, while European countries are 
facing a debt crisis and excess production capacity. Major emerging markets have 
entered a stable stage after one or two years of explosive growth. Hence, the auto 
industry is experiencing a global capacity redesign to capture the new growth 
markets. At the same time, OEMs are looking for new growth opportunities through 
improving car performance, a trend that results from increasingly strict regulatory 
requirements as well as technological developments, more specifically a leap in 
automotive electronics technology. 
Auto development trends such as lightweight materials, miniaturization, intelligence 
and electrification, the auto electronics market is experiencing rapid growth. The 
improved specialization of parts manufacturers enables them to play a more 
important role than OEMs in leading technological innovation in some segments. 
Meanwhile, penetration of cross‐industry technology into the automotive industry 
has further intensified cross‐sector competition. With the dual impact of industry‐internal 
changes and the external economic environment, market concentration has 
been further accelerated. 
Exhibit 12: Emissions goals include the most stringent regulations in developed markets 
Source: ICCT, PL Research 
Automotive companies are driving to the fuel efficiency through Hybrids and Electric 
Vehicles (EVs) as the solution, but large degree adoption would be High Efficiency 
Powertrain (HEP) – Downsized turocharged engines com combined with lighter, 
more efficient transmissions and start‐stop batteries. 
September 18, 2014 11
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 13: Mandated endeavour to drive fuel efficiency 
Source: ICCT, PL Research 
The automotive‐related microelectronics market is expected to grow at a far faster 
rate than its parent automotive sector. The motor vehicle‐to‐electronics‐to 
semiconductor ratio reached a 10:13:15 level in 2013. This dynamic trend is 
expected to continue through to the mid‐2020s, a development with significant 
impact on the global automotive market. 
Exhibit 14: Auto Electronics (CAGR): America (8%), Europe (7%), Japan (3%), APac (10%) 
5.3 
9.5 
2012 2017 
13.4 
7.8 7.1 
6.2 
7.2 
11.4 
16 
14 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
America Europe Japan APac 
(US$ bn) 
Source: ZVEI 2013, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 12
KPIT Technologies 
KPIT role in Powertrain 
What is Powertrain? In a motor vehicle, the term powertrain describes the main 
components that generate power and deliver it to the road surface, water or air. This 
includes the engine, transmission, drive shafts, differentials and the final drive (drive 
wheels, continuous track as in military tanks or caterpillar tractors, propeller, etc.). 
Sometimes "powertrain" is used to refer to simply the engine and transmission, 
including the other components only if they are integral to the transmission. In a 
carriage or wagon, running gear designates the wheels and axles in distinction from 
the body. 
Exhibit 15: Powertrain components 
Source: Honda, PL Research 
Exhibit 16: ... and its layout 
Source: Honda, PL Research 
What is the HEP? The HEP (High Efficiency Powertrain) includes a downsized direct 
injected turbocharged gasoline (or diesel) engine mated to a highly efficient 
transmission with a start‐stop battery system, plus supporting valve, piston, sealing 
and exhaust technologies. We believe that HEP adoption will stem from both the 
inefficiency of traditional powertrain and greater cost effectiveness than hybrids and 
EVs. At its core, the HEP includes a downsized direct injected turbocharged gasoline 
engine (or in some cases, especially in Europe, diesel) mated to a highly efficient 
transmission with a start‐stop battery system as well as several supporting 
electronics, valve, piston, sealing and exhaust technologies. 
Powertrain Electronics: Powertrain electronics create a highly developed central 
nervous system stretching across a network of three different types of hardware: 
sensors (which feed data to the engine control unit), actuators (small electro‐mechanical 
motors that control liquid flows) and control units (the “brain” of the 
engine). When properly integrated with software, powertrain electronics can, in our 
view, capture meaningful efficiency gains across a wide range of operating 
conditions that may not be captured in the traditional improvement estimates for 
individual mechanical components. 
September 18, 2014 13
KPIT Technologies 
KPIT’s Powertrain team of Automotive SBU has filed a patent application for 
Hybrid system architecture for large vehicles. KPIT help OEMs rapidly adopt the 
technology for full systems, including sensors and engine control electronics. 
KPIT role in Autosar 
What is Autosar? AUTOSAR (Automotive Open System Architecture) is an open and 
standardized automotive software architecture, jointly developed by automobile 
manufacturers, suppliers and tool developers. It is a partnership of automotive 
OEMs, suppliers and tool vendors whose objective is to create and establish open 
standards for automotive E/E (Electrics/Electronics) architectures that will provide a 
basic infrastructure to assist with developing vehicular software, user interfaces and 
management for all application domains. This includes the standardization of basic 
systems functions, scalability to different vehicle and platform variants, 
transferability throughout the network, and integration from multiple suppliers, 
maintainability throughout the entire product life‐cycle and software updates and 
upgrades over the vehicle's lifetime as some of the key goals. 
KPIT AUTOSAR OS is based on OSEK OS with backward compatibility. It is highly 
portable and scalable in terms of features for automotive domain. The OS can be 
scaled (configured) to run only with the desired features based on the applications 
and other constraints. 
 Based on AUTOSAR standard 
 AUTOSAR OS available for R3.x and R4.x 
Exhibit 17: World’s First AUTOSAR R4.0.3 ASIL‐D Software Stack & ECU Configuration Tool 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
September 18, 2014 14
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 18: KPIT’s competitors in AUTOSAR Implementation 
ArcCore Continental Engineering services dSPACE 
ETAS Dassault Systemes Freescale 
Mecel Renesas Electronics OpenSynergy 
see4sys Vector Informatik GmbH Mentor Graphics 
Source: PL Research 
Exhibit 19: KPIT’s comprehensive AUTOSAR services 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
KPIT in Infotainment 
In‐car entertainment (ICE), or in‐vehicle infotainment (IVI), is a collection of 
hardware devices installed into automobiles, or other forms of transportation, to 
provide audio and/or audio/visual entertainment, as well as automotive navigation 
systems (SatNav). This includes playing media such as CDs, DVDs, Freeview/TV, USB 
and/or other optional surround sound, or DSP systems. Also, increasingly common in 
ICE installs are the incorporation of video game consoles into the vehicle. Systems 
can be standalone add‐ons, part of the OEM controls, or a combination of the two. 
Exhibit 20: Infotainment diagram 
Source: PL Research 
September 18, 2014 15
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 21: Expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% 
8.75 
8.50 
8.25 
8.00 
7.75 
7.50 
7.25 
7.00 
6.75 
6.50 
6.25 
6.00 
Worldwide Automotive Infotainement Semiconductor Revenue ($ bn) 
2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 
Source: IHS Automotive Research, PL Research 
KPIT’s offers off‐the‐shelf tools for authoring, communicating and debugging. The 
tools manage the entire diagnostics lifecycle. Their diagnostic tool come with in‐built 
advance features like guided fault findings and remote diagnostics. In addition, they 
significantly reduce the time needed for typical diagnostic use‐cases like creation of 
diagnostic data, commissioning and validation of ECU while providing flexibility 
across every kind of ECU project and highly user friendliness. 
Exhibit 22: An overview on each of our “In2Soft Diagnostic Tools” 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
The Smart and Connected Vehicle and the Internet of Things 
Technology is evolving so rapidly it has become an integral component of everyday 
life. Having uninterrupted connectivity is a must, even while driving. In fact, analysts 
predict that by 2016 in‐vehicle connectivity and basic online content will become 
critical buying factors in consumers’ car‐buying decisions in mature markets. This 
dramatic convergence of technology in the car is quickly making it a key device in the 
Internet of Things (IoT) with the ability to both receive data and feed it to the cloud, 
to the traffic infrastructure, to other vehicles and more. As a result, automakers are 
increasingly turning to leading technology companies to explore new ways to inform, 
entertain and assist drivers to create a safer and more enjoyable driving experience. 
September 18, 2014 16
KPIT Technologies 
Exhibit 23: An example of intelligent transportation 
Source: Cisco, PL Research 
Exhibit 24: Schema of connected vehicle and transportation 
Source: Cisco, PL Research 
Exhibit 25: The smart and connected vehicle 
Source: Cisco, PL Research 
KPIT’s offering 
KPIT’s M2M (machine‐to‐machine) solution enables mission critical machines of 
customers to become more responsive, safer and smarter. We have harnessed our 
capabilities, learning and experience in the traditional IT space and taken it to highly 
sophisticated industrial machines, which are critical to our clients. Our M2M solution 
aids monitoring of IT enabled devices for clients in the focus industries. 
September 18, 2014 17
KPIT Technologies 
KPIT’s M2M solution 
 Transforms machines into intelligent devices that exchange real time data, 
making such devices predictable and improving their performance 
 Provides remote monitoring, operation and maintenance of industrial 
equipment 
 Provides reduction in data duplication and a concurrent increase in data 
consistency, increasing the reliability, speed and efficiency of data usage 
 Provides real‐time control over critical infrastructure and remote assets 
 Optimizes productivity, asset management, energy management and enhances 
safety and regulatory compliance 
 Gives better visibility into operations and costs, thus, enabling improved 
customer service and reduction in potential losses 
 Optimizes energy use, enables better work force management, provides better 
maintenance processes and enhances security, leading to operational 
excellence. 
September 18, 2014 18
KPIT Technologies 
Income Statement (Rs m) 
Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
Net Revenue 22,386 26,940 29,606 33,547 
Raw Material Expenses 14,640 18,180 20,443 23,144 
Gross Profit 7,746 8,760 9,163 10,404 
Employee Cost — — — — 
Other Expenses 4,091 4,528 5,026 5,184 
EBITDA 3,655 4,233 4,137 5,220 
Depr. & Amortization 472 540 667 707 
Net Interest 146 287 182 104 
Other Income (177) 24 301 129 
Profit before Tax 2,860 3,430 3,589 4,537 
Total Tax 765 941 969 1,225 
Profit after Tax 2,095 2,490 2,620 3,312 
Ex‐Od items / Min. Int. 79 — — — 
Adj. PAT 1,991 2,490 2,620 3,312 
Avg. Shares O/S (m) 192.8 185.5 185.5 185.5 
EPS (Rs.) 10.3 13.4 14.1 17.9 
Cash Flow Abstract (Rs m) 
Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
C/F from Operations 1,203 1,030 1,307 3,588 
C/F from Investing (3,503) (1,665) (888) (1,006) 
C/F from Financing 2,726 787 (416) (462) 
Inc. / Dec. in Cash 426 152 3 2,119 
Opening Cash 1,467 1,893 1,813 1,816 
Closing Cash 1,893 1,813 1,816 3,935 
FCFF 1,894 1,407 419 2,581 
FCFE 2,307 1,339 419 2,581 
Key Financial Metrics 
Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
Growth 
Revenue (%) 49.2 20.3 9.9 13.3 
EBITDA (%) 67.6 15.8 (2.3) 26.2 
PAT (%) 36.9 25.1 5.2 26.4 
EPS (%) 26.4 30.0 5.2 26.4 
Profitability 
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.3 15.7 14.0 15.6 
PAT Margin (%) 8.9 9.2 8.8 9.9 
RoCE (%) 20.9 20.2 17.8 18.9 
RoE (%) 22.8 21.5 18.9 20.2 
Balance Sheet 
Net Debt : Equity — — — (0.1) 
Net Wrkng Cap. (days) — — — — 
Valuation 
PER (x) 15.3 11.8 11.2 8.9 
P / B (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.6 
EV / EBITDA (x) 8.3 6.8 7.0 5.2 
EV / Sales (x) 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 
Earnings Quality 
Eff. Tax Rate 26.7 27.4 27.0 27.0 
Other Inc / PBT (6.2) 0.7 8.4 2.8 
Eff. Depr. Rate (%) 10.9 10.4 11.0 10.0 
FCFE / PAT 115.9 53.8 16.0 77.9 
Source: Company Data, PL Research. 
Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m) 
Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
Shareholder's Funds 10,362 12,751 14,955 17,805 
Total Debt 1,602 1,534 1,534 1,534 
Other Liabilities 270 — — — 
Total Liabilities 12,235 14,285 16,488 19,338 
Net Fixed Assets 2,005 2,161 2,382 2,681 
Goodwill 4,423 5,994 5,994 5,994 
Investments 2,154 1,859 1,859 1,859 
Net Current Assets 2,408 3,173 5,060 7,611 
Cash & Equivalents 1,921 1,908 1,816 3,935 
Other Current Assets 6,084 8,214 11,518 13,051 
Current Liabilities 5,597 6,949 8,273 9,375 
Other Assets 1,244 1,064 1,064 1,064 
Total Assets 12,235 14,251 16,359 19,209 
Quarterly Financials (Rs m) 
Y/e March Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 
Net Revenue 7,028 6,779 7,001 6,897 
EBITDA 1,088 1,042 1,130 832 
% of revenue 15.5 15.4 16.1 12.1 
Depr. & Amortization 148 135 135 162 
Net Interest 74 79 71 40 
Other Income 23 18 (76) 101 
Profit before Tax 889 846 848 730 
Total Tax 222 238 235 222 
Profit after Tax 667 608 613 508 
Adj. PAT 667 608 613 508 
Key Operating Metrics 
Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 
Total Volume (in hours) 12,018 13,461 15,009 16,885 
Offshore Utilization 74.0 72.1 74.5 75.0 
Re/US$ 54.5 60.7 59.8 59.0 
SW Devp. Cost (% of sales) 65.4 67.5 69.1 69.0 
S&M Cost (% of Sales) 6.9 7.4 7.4 6.8 
— — — — 
Revenue (US$ m) 410 444 496 569 
EBITDA Margin Expansion/(Erosion) (bps) 179 (62) (174) 159 
Tax Rate (%) 26.7 27.4 27.0 27.0 
Source: Company Data, PL Research. 
September 18, 2014 19
KPIT Technologies 
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. 
3rd Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Worli, Mumbai‐400 018, India 
Tel: (91 22) 6632 2222 Fax: (91 22) 6632 2209 
Rating Distribution of Research Coverage 
34.5% 
49.1% 
16.4% 
0.0% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
BUY Accumulate Reduce Sell 
% of Total Coverage 
PL’s Recommendation Nomenclature 
BUY : Over 15% Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Accumulate : Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months 
Reduce : Underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Sell : Over 15% underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months 
Trading Buy : Over 10% absolute upside in 1‐month Trading Sell : Over 10% absolute decline in 1‐month 
Not Rated (NR) : No specific call on the stock Under Review (UR) : Rating likely to change shortly 
This document has been prepared by the Research Division of Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. Mumbai, India (PL) and is meant for use by the recipient only as 
information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of PL. It should not be 
considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. 
The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, PL has not independently verified the accuracy 
or completeness of the same. Neither PL nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accept any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, 
statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. 
Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The 
suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient's particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an 
independent expert/advisor. 
Either PL or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or 
engage in transactions of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication. 
We may from time to time solicit or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document. 
September 18, 2014 20

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KPIT Technologies: Autonomous roadmap for growth; Retain buy - Prabhudas Lilladher

  • 1. KPIT Technologies Autonomous roadmap for growth, Retain “BUY” September 18, 2014 200 150 100 50 0 Sep‐13 Nov‐13 Jan‐14 Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. and/or its associates (the 'Firm') does and/or seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Please refer to important disclosures and disclaimers at the end of the report Company Update Shashi Bhusan shashibhusan@plindia.com +91‐22‐66322300 Hussain Kagzi hussainkagzi@plindia.com +91‐22‐66322242 Rating BUY Price Rs158 Target Price Rs200 Implied Upside 26.6% Sensex 26,631 Nifty 7,976 (Prices as on September 17, 2014) Trading data Market Cap. (Rs bn) 12.4 Shares o/s (m) 78.5 3M Avg. Daily value (Rs m) 225.4 Major shareholders Promoters 22.28% Foreign 33.01% Domestic Inst. 6.86% Public & Other 37.85% Stock Performance (%) 1M 6M 12M Absolute 3.7 0.6 14.4 Relative 1.7 (21.5) (20.0) How we differ from Consensus EPS (Rs) PL Cons. % Diff. 2015 14.1 14.0 0.6 2016 17.9 16.7 7.1 Price Performance (RIC: KPIT.BO, BB: KPIT IN) Source: Bloomberg Mar‐14 May‐14 Jul‐14 Sep‐14 (Rs) We evaluated KPIT’s service offerings and strength to dig deeper into our hypothesis. KPIT offers exposure to a highly attractive, rapidly expanding market (Automotive Electronics, Manufacturing and Energy & Utility), alongside an ability to capitalise as a low‐cost disruptor with compelling technology like ‘Revolo’. KPIT has one of the strongest industry positioning profiles in the Automotive Segments. Retain “BUY”.  Core drivers of growth – Strength in Automotive sector to drive surprises: We expect strong end‐market growth of AUTOSAR, Infotainment, Vision Systems and Powertrain driven by new car ratings regimes. We believe KPIT’s technological superiority will retain its dominant share in the automotive vertical. We expect the mix to shift towards higher‐end functionality, leading to higher realization driving mid‐20s revenue growth in the segment.  Return in discretionary and renewed strategy to drive SAP and IES momentum: SAP and IES (Oracle) SBU struggle are likely to grow over the last six quarters due to technology reset, weaker maintenance revenue, cost overrun and slow decision making. We see the concerns waning in FY15 as the management sees improved deal pipeline, deal closures and deal ramp‐ups.  Account mining – Increasing focus on top 50 acccounts: Management has increased their focus on mining top‐50 clients. KPIT has hired ~35 account managers to mine top‐50 accounts and is in the processs of ramping it up. We expect this focus on account mining and restructuring of account management by verticals to drive stronger revenue growth.  Risks to the investment case: Risks to our view include (1) Weakening discretionary spend (2) In‐house R&D for Automotive (3) Investment needs (4) Worsening DSOs and (5) Risk associated with inorganic ventures.  Valuation and Recommendation – BUY with TP of Rs200: We forecast top‐line growth of 14% in FY14‐16, while KPIT’s asset‐light model should allow EBITDA margin expansion over FY14‐16 from 12.1% to 15.6% and a net income CAGR of 16%. We maintain “BUY” with 27% upside from the current market price. Key financials (Y/e March) 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Revenues (Rs m) 22,386 26,940 29,606 33,547 Growth (%) 49.2 20.3 9.9 13.3 EBITDA (Rs m) 3,655 4,233 4,137 5,220 PAT (Rs m) 1,991 2,490 2,620 3,312 EPS (Rs) 10.3 13.4 14.1 17.9 Growth (%) 26.4 30.0 5.2 26.4 Net DPS (Rs) 0.8 1.9 2.2 2.5 Profitability & Valuation 2013 2014 2015E 2016E EBITDA margin (%) 16.3 15.7 14.0 15.6 RoE (%) 22.8 21.5 18.9 20.2 RoCE (%) 20.9 20.2 17.8 18.9 EV / sales (x) 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 EV / EBITDA (x) 8.3 6.8 7.0 5.2 PE (x) 15.3 11.8 11.2 8.9 P / BV (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.6 Net dividend yield (%) 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.6 Source: Company Data; PL Research
  • 2. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 1: Services and Vertical Metrics of KPIT Source: Company Data, PL Research Exhibit 2: KPIT Competencies – Strength in Auto Vertical In Auto Vertical In Manufacturing Vertical In Energy & Utility Vertical Opportunities KPIT Competencies Opportunities KPIT Competencies Opportunities KPIT Competencies Electrification Powertrain Intelligent Products Enterprise IT Sustainable Energy ERP Connected Cars Infotainment M2M Communication Consulting Smart Grids Enterprise Asset Mgmt Infotainment Safety, Chassis Concurrent Engineering BI & Analytics Smart Meters Cloud Safety In‐vehicle Networking Engineering Analytics Cloud Enterprise Asset Mgmt Mobility Solutions Electronics Consolidation Teleatics Big Data eBiz Mobility Solutions On‐Demand Analytics Social Media Diagnostics Mobility Solutions Business Process Soln On‐Demand Analytics Customer Billing & Info Analytics Body Electronics 3D Printing Product Design Customer Billing & Info Productized Solution Shortening Product Cycle ERP Competence Tracking Infrastructure Upgradation In Memory Computing Newer Ownership Models Consulting After Market Multi‐Modal Mobility After Market Embedded Electronics Source: Company Data, PL Research Exhibit 3: KPIT product portfolio – Strong presence in Automotive Ecosystem Source: Company Data, PL Research September 18, 2014 2
  • 3. KPIT Technologies A&E – Powering the automotive vertical We look at the Automotive SBU of KPIT that distinguishes it from other IT companies. Tightening in emission standards, along with drive towards fuel efficiency and a shift in consumer preference have brought focus on Powertrain engineering to design engines abiding these innovations. Considering the fast development of auto electronics and intelligence, automotive electronics has become the fastest growing segment of auto parts with an increasing demand on safety and security, telecommunications, environmental protection and energy‐saving. More and more OEMs have begun to adopt electronic systems and have integrated semiconductor circuits in vehicles. Automotive electronics has become a major differentiated indicator for vehicles. A major feature of the development of automotive safety is active safety, while active safety technology development is mainly represented by electronics control with reliability as a top priority. Mobile Internet technology has further promoted the development of automotive intelligent interconnected applications, which can be combined with vehicle safety through a combination of big data to improve reliability. As connected vehicles involve different aspects of the industry chain, various parties are seeking more benefits. Realising how to make a trade‐off regarding the interests of all parties is an important prerequisite to promoting the development of Connected Vehicles. No matter in which sub‐segment, improving products and the cost performance of the technology from the perspective of consumers is imperative for making a quick win in the market. Most automotive electronics enterprises do not have the core technology and are hampered by a limited R&D scale. Automotive electronics enterprises will continue to focus on independent R&D and M&A for future development. Exhibit 4: Demand of automotive electronics is going to surge Automotive Electronics revenue ($ bn) 190 205 314 330 310 290 270 250 230 210 190 170 150 2013 2014 2020 Source: Industry Expert, PL Research September 18, 2014 3
  • 4. KPIT Technologies Newly developed and improved automotive electronics applications represent an important pillar in the value creation of the next generation of automobiles. Market researchers and Industry Experts estimate the total global market volume for automotive electronics as being more than US$190bn in 2013, a figure that is set to rise to US$205bn in 2014. The market is expected to continue growing, leaping to a level of US$314bn by the year 2020; this is equivalent to a CAGR of 7.3% for the period 2012 to 2020. Exhibit 5: An example of sensors needed in the cars Source: Cisco, PL Research Exhibit 6: Global Automotive Sensors Market 16.2 Automotive Sensor ($ bn) 17.4 18.8 30.3 32 29 26 23 20 17 14 2012 2013 2014 2020 Source: Industry Experts, PL Research September 18, 2014 4
  • 5. KPIT Technologies Overall, the major driving forces for increased demand for automotive sensors in vehicles include regulatory mandates for improving fuel economy and stringent emission standards as well as requirements for advanced safety systems. The growth is also attributed by consumer demand for safety & security, comfort & convenience features and the growth of hybrid and electric vehicles which is creating enormous opportunities for new types of sensors in automobile industry. Automotive Sensors market worldwide, standing at US$16.2bn in 2012, estimated to be US$17.4bn in 2013 and forecast at US$18.8bn in 2014, is further projected to reach US$30.3bn by 2020, thereby, posting a CAGR Of 8.2% between 2012 and 2020. Estimated to be US$2.6bn in 2013, demand for Automotive MEMS Sensors globally is projected to reach US$4.7bn by 2020. KPIT has established practices in the embedded space like Powertrain, Hybrid Solutions, Infotainment, Autosar, Body Electronics, Chassis, Safety, Diagnostics, Telematics, specialized Mechanical Design, coupled with initiatives like Diagnostics on the cloud, Intelligent Transportation Systems, Big Data Analytics, Infotainment Platform (KIVI) , Warranty Management Solutions and patented software products position us extremely well for sustained growth in the automotive vertical. A&E SBU, which contributes 25% of total company revenue, was the second highest growing SBU during the year with 23% YoY growth. Despite increased investments on people and technology, EBITDA margin for this SBU was stable at 22‐23%. Exhibit 7: A&E SBU ‐ Consistent growth CQGR of 4.2% since Q1FY12 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% ‐2.0% ‐4.0% ‐6.0% 35 30 25 20 15 10 Auto & Engineering (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 Q1FY14 Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Source: Company Data, PL Research We expect A&E SBU to grow in high‐teens in FY15‐17E, with EBITDA margin seeing improvement from currently ~23% to ~25% over FY15‐16E. September 18, 2014 5
  • 6. KPIT Technologies IES SBU and SAP SBU – Driven by return in discretionary spend SAP SBU – Success from SuccessFactor According to the management, KPIT, in H2FY13, struggled to keep‐up the pace with changed strategy of SAP, as SAP acquired SuccessFactors (SFSF) (a cloud based HRM product company). After the acquisition, the demand for on‐premise HRM licenses declined and SFSF sales ballooned. Hence, KPIT had to train its onsite resources and get them certified on SFSF which had a dent on growth and utilization, thus, affecting profitability negatively. Moreover, with the rapid growth over the years, the SAP deal sizes kept on increasing and the company was not fully prepared on execution of these large deals which resulted in some cost overruns in a couple of large projects. The company also experienced delayed closure of some very large SAP deals by a couple of quarters which further impacted growth and profitability. Impact: Revenues declined by 1% on a YoY basis, with the SBU contributing 25% to total company revenues. Delay in closure of a few of these deals, especially in North America, was the major factor for the slowdown in the SBU’s performance, thus, hindering company’s overall growth. They closed more than 17 deals exceeding US$78.5m in value. Profitability for SAP SBU went down as the full year EBITDA margin was negative at 5‐6%. Measures Taken: The management has taken various initiatives for SAP turnaround  Created SFSF practices in the US and are seeing traction and deal flows  Rationalized fixed cost (acquired through Sparta)  Let go low profitability businesses to improve margin Positive impacts in FY15: According to the management, profitability improvement in FY15 would be the top priority. SAP SBU has already witnessed turnaround during Q1FY15 with a low single digit margin. Management is confident of turning around SAP SBU to high‐single‐digit EBITDA margin by Q4FY15. September 18, 2014 6
  • 7. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 8: SAP SBU ‐ Patchy growth CQGR of 2% since Q1FY12 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% ‐5% ‐10% 33 30 27 24 21 18 SAP SBU (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 Q1FY14 Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Source: Company Data, PL Research Integrated Enterprise Solution SBU – Deal pipeline healthy KPIT continues to see good traction for JDE offerings, Oracle E‐Business suite, Oracle Fusion Middleware and (IMS) as they won new deals in these respective areas. Management sees strong deal pipeline in IES as clients look for discretionary spend with green‐field implementations and instance consolidation. The company has improved EBITDA margin to the range of 18‐19% and likely to sustain it. Exhibit 9: IES SBU – Better than SAP but weaker than A&E CQGR of 3.9% since Q1FY12 14% 8% 2% ‐4% ‐10% ‐16% ‐22% 50 45 40 35 30 25 IES SBU (US$ m) QoQ Gr. (RHS) Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 Q1FY14 Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Source: Company Data, PL Research September 18, 2014 7
  • 8. KPIT Technologies Eyeing US$1bn revenue and 20% EBITDA margin by 2017 FY14 – Year of Restructuring and Consolidation FY14 was the year of consolidation as KPIT’s management spent time reorganizing themselves for the next phase of high growth at an increased base. The company missed the guidance due to reduction in SAP revenues (which contributes 25% of the top‐line, declined by 11%) due to delayed closure of deals and cross‐currency fluctuations during the year. The miss was also courtesy flat growth realized by largest customer. For FY14, excluding SAP, revenue grew by 17% YoY. KPIT has taken various initiatives to capture next phase of high growth.  Greater focus on R&D space for IP creation, solution development and filing of patents.  Created a separate unit called “Products & Platforms” with increased focus on non‐linear growth and IP‐based revenues, which will work towards development of a strong product portfolio  Witnessing higher traction in (IMS) and would be creating a separate SBU to capture these significant opportunities.  KPIT has made few key Executive Appointments  Mr. Frederic Ramioulle has joined as President – Automotive & Transportation Industry Business Unit (IBU)  Mr. Dietmar Imminger has joined as Head of Automotive and Transportation business in Germany  Mr. Baljeet Chhazal has joined as Senior VP and Global head of Oracle Business Unit and he will be based out of US  Mr. Abhishek Sinha has joined as Senior VP‐ Operational Excellence and his key responsibility will be to identify and improve areas of operational excellence across the organization  Mr. Deepak Purohit has joined as Senior VP‐ Large deals and his immediate focus market will be US, besides supporting large deal activities in other geographies  Mr. Lee Liviu Cocis has joined as VP & Head of IMS practice  Improving account mining capabilities: KPIT has hired account managers (~30) to mine their existing clients. Management is targeting their top‐50 accounts, with one account manager assigned to each account, who has strong industry understanding, to cross‐sell services like ERP, SCM etc. Management is confident of achieving FY15 12‐14% revenue growth guidance. September 18, 2014 8
  • 9. KPIT Technologies Initiatives for improving cash generation KPIT has struggled due to poor cash generation over FY11‐14. However, management effort to improve cash flow has met with some success in Q1FY15. We expect cash generation to improve in FY15‐16. According to the management, the reasons for lower cash conversion in FY14 compared to historic performance are:  CFO considerably lower compared to PAT due to increase in working capital  Slipped on DSO by 11 days due to increase in credit period by 15 days to largest customer and higher revenues in the last month of the quarter  Lower CFO/EBITDA attributed to cost of growth since a fast growth eats up working capital resulting in lower cash flow conversions Exhibit 10: Weaker cash generation 190% 130% 70% 10% ‐50% 55% 5% ‐45% ‐95% ‐145% FCF/EBITDA OCF/PAT (RHS) FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 Source: Company Data, PL Research Exhibit 11: One year forward PER ‐ Trading below long term average 1‐Yr Forward PER Average PER 11.5 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Apr‐04 Sep‐04 Mar‐05 Sep‐05 Feb‐06 Aug‐06 Feb‐07 Jul‐07 Jan‐08 Jul‐08 Dec‐08 Jun‐09 Dec‐09 May‐10 Nov‐10 May‐11 Oct‐11 Apr‐12 Oct‐12 Apr‐13 Sep‐13 Mar‐14 Sep‐14 Source: Company Data, Bloomberg, PL Research September 18, 2014 9
  • 10. KPIT Technologies Rated as “Top 10 Breakthrough Sourcing Standouts” by ISG KPIT, (BSE: 532400; NSE: KPIT), an IT consulting and product engineering partner to automotive & transportation, manufacturing and energy & utilities corporations, today announced that it has been listed amongst the Top 10 Outsourcing Service Providers by Information Services Group (ISG), a leading technology insights, market intelligence and advisory services company. KPIT was listed among America's “Top 10 Breakthrough Sourcing Standouts” based on annual contract value (ACV) won over the last 12 months, according to the ISG Global Outsourcing Index. “For more than a decade, the ISG Outsourcing Index has been the authoritative source for marketplace intelligence related to outsourcing transaction structures and terms, industry adoption, geographic prevalence and service provider performance,” said Paul Reynolds, Chief Research Officer of ISG. “KPIT continues to establish itself as a leading and growing player in the global market, based on its volume of business in relation to other industry providers.” Now in its 47th consecutive quarter, the ISG Outsourcing Index provides an independent review of the latest sourcing industry data and trends for enterprises, service providers, analysts and the media. September 18, 2014 10
  • 11. KPIT Technologies Appendix – A quick look at KPIT’s role in automotive Since 2010, the global auto market has featured quite a polarized development. The US has begun to emerge from the economic crisis, while European countries are facing a debt crisis and excess production capacity. Major emerging markets have entered a stable stage after one or two years of explosive growth. Hence, the auto industry is experiencing a global capacity redesign to capture the new growth markets. At the same time, OEMs are looking for new growth opportunities through improving car performance, a trend that results from increasingly strict regulatory requirements as well as technological developments, more specifically a leap in automotive electronics technology. Auto development trends such as lightweight materials, miniaturization, intelligence and electrification, the auto electronics market is experiencing rapid growth. The improved specialization of parts manufacturers enables them to play a more important role than OEMs in leading technological innovation in some segments. Meanwhile, penetration of cross‐industry technology into the automotive industry has further intensified cross‐sector competition. With the dual impact of industry‐internal changes and the external economic environment, market concentration has been further accelerated. Exhibit 12: Emissions goals include the most stringent regulations in developed markets Source: ICCT, PL Research Automotive companies are driving to the fuel efficiency through Hybrids and Electric Vehicles (EVs) as the solution, but large degree adoption would be High Efficiency Powertrain (HEP) – Downsized turocharged engines com combined with lighter, more efficient transmissions and start‐stop batteries. September 18, 2014 11
  • 12. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 13: Mandated endeavour to drive fuel efficiency Source: ICCT, PL Research The automotive‐related microelectronics market is expected to grow at a far faster rate than its parent automotive sector. The motor vehicle‐to‐electronics‐to semiconductor ratio reached a 10:13:15 level in 2013. This dynamic trend is expected to continue through to the mid‐2020s, a development with significant impact on the global automotive market. Exhibit 14: Auto Electronics (CAGR): America (8%), Europe (7%), Japan (3%), APac (10%) 5.3 9.5 2012 2017 13.4 7.8 7.1 6.2 7.2 11.4 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 America Europe Japan APac (US$ bn) Source: ZVEI 2013, PL Research September 18, 2014 12
  • 13. KPIT Technologies KPIT role in Powertrain What is Powertrain? In a motor vehicle, the term powertrain describes the main components that generate power and deliver it to the road surface, water or air. This includes the engine, transmission, drive shafts, differentials and the final drive (drive wheels, continuous track as in military tanks or caterpillar tractors, propeller, etc.). Sometimes "powertrain" is used to refer to simply the engine and transmission, including the other components only if they are integral to the transmission. In a carriage or wagon, running gear designates the wheels and axles in distinction from the body. Exhibit 15: Powertrain components Source: Honda, PL Research Exhibit 16: ... and its layout Source: Honda, PL Research What is the HEP? The HEP (High Efficiency Powertrain) includes a downsized direct injected turbocharged gasoline (or diesel) engine mated to a highly efficient transmission with a start‐stop battery system, plus supporting valve, piston, sealing and exhaust technologies. We believe that HEP adoption will stem from both the inefficiency of traditional powertrain and greater cost effectiveness than hybrids and EVs. At its core, the HEP includes a downsized direct injected turbocharged gasoline engine (or in some cases, especially in Europe, diesel) mated to a highly efficient transmission with a start‐stop battery system as well as several supporting electronics, valve, piston, sealing and exhaust technologies. Powertrain Electronics: Powertrain electronics create a highly developed central nervous system stretching across a network of three different types of hardware: sensors (which feed data to the engine control unit), actuators (small electro‐mechanical motors that control liquid flows) and control units (the “brain” of the engine). When properly integrated with software, powertrain electronics can, in our view, capture meaningful efficiency gains across a wide range of operating conditions that may not be captured in the traditional improvement estimates for individual mechanical components. September 18, 2014 13
  • 14. KPIT Technologies KPIT’s Powertrain team of Automotive SBU has filed a patent application for Hybrid system architecture for large vehicles. KPIT help OEMs rapidly adopt the technology for full systems, including sensors and engine control electronics. KPIT role in Autosar What is Autosar? AUTOSAR (Automotive Open System Architecture) is an open and standardized automotive software architecture, jointly developed by automobile manufacturers, suppliers and tool developers. It is a partnership of automotive OEMs, suppliers and tool vendors whose objective is to create and establish open standards for automotive E/E (Electrics/Electronics) architectures that will provide a basic infrastructure to assist with developing vehicular software, user interfaces and management for all application domains. This includes the standardization of basic systems functions, scalability to different vehicle and platform variants, transferability throughout the network, and integration from multiple suppliers, maintainability throughout the entire product life‐cycle and software updates and upgrades over the vehicle's lifetime as some of the key goals. KPIT AUTOSAR OS is based on OSEK OS with backward compatibility. It is highly portable and scalable in terms of features for automotive domain. The OS can be scaled (configured) to run only with the desired features based on the applications and other constraints.  Based on AUTOSAR standard  AUTOSAR OS available for R3.x and R4.x Exhibit 17: World’s First AUTOSAR R4.0.3 ASIL‐D Software Stack & ECU Configuration Tool Source: Company Data, PL Research September 18, 2014 14
  • 15. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 18: KPIT’s competitors in AUTOSAR Implementation ArcCore Continental Engineering services dSPACE ETAS Dassault Systemes Freescale Mecel Renesas Electronics OpenSynergy see4sys Vector Informatik GmbH Mentor Graphics Source: PL Research Exhibit 19: KPIT’s comprehensive AUTOSAR services Source: Company Data, PL Research KPIT in Infotainment In‐car entertainment (ICE), or in‐vehicle infotainment (IVI), is a collection of hardware devices installed into automobiles, or other forms of transportation, to provide audio and/or audio/visual entertainment, as well as automotive navigation systems (SatNav). This includes playing media such as CDs, DVDs, Freeview/TV, USB and/or other optional surround sound, or DSP systems. Also, increasingly common in ICE installs are the incorporation of video game consoles into the vehicle. Systems can be standalone add‐ons, part of the OEM controls, or a combination of the two. Exhibit 20: Infotainment diagram Source: PL Research September 18, 2014 15
  • 16. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 21: Expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% 8.75 8.50 8.25 8.00 7.75 7.50 7.25 7.00 6.75 6.50 6.25 6.00 Worldwide Automotive Infotainement Semiconductor Revenue ($ bn) 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Source: IHS Automotive Research, PL Research KPIT’s offers off‐the‐shelf tools for authoring, communicating and debugging. The tools manage the entire diagnostics lifecycle. Their diagnostic tool come with in‐built advance features like guided fault findings and remote diagnostics. In addition, they significantly reduce the time needed for typical diagnostic use‐cases like creation of diagnostic data, commissioning and validation of ECU while providing flexibility across every kind of ECU project and highly user friendliness. Exhibit 22: An overview on each of our “In2Soft Diagnostic Tools” Source: Company Data, PL Research The Smart and Connected Vehicle and the Internet of Things Technology is evolving so rapidly it has become an integral component of everyday life. Having uninterrupted connectivity is a must, even while driving. In fact, analysts predict that by 2016 in‐vehicle connectivity and basic online content will become critical buying factors in consumers’ car‐buying decisions in mature markets. This dramatic convergence of technology in the car is quickly making it a key device in the Internet of Things (IoT) with the ability to both receive data and feed it to the cloud, to the traffic infrastructure, to other vehicles and more. As a result, automakers are increasingly turning to leading technology companies to explore new ways to inform, entertain and assist drivers to create a safer and more enjoyable driving experience. September 18, 2014 16
  • 17. KPIT Technologies Exhibit 23: An example of intelligent transportation Source: Cisco, PL Research Exhibit 24: Schema of connected vehicle and transportation Source: Cisco, PL Research Exhibit 25: The smart and connected vehicle Source: Cisco, PL Research KPIT’s offering KPIT’s M2M (machine‐to‐machine) solution enables mission critical machines of customers to become more responsive, safer and smarter. We have harnessed our capabilities, learning and experience in the traditional IT space and taken it to highly sophisticated industrial machines, which are critical to our clients. Our M2M solution aids monitoring of IT enabled devices for clients in the focus industries. September 18, 2014 17
  • 18. KPIT Technologies KPIT’s M2M solution  Transforms machines into intelligent devices that exchange real time data, making such devices predictable and improving their performance  Provides remote monitoring, operation and maintenance of industrial equipment  Provides reduction in data duplication and a concurrent increase in data consistency, increasing the reliability, speed and efficiency of data usage  Provides real‐time control over critical infrastructure and remote assets  Optimizes productivity, asset management, energy management and enhances safety and regulatory compliance  Gives better visibility into operations and costs, thus, enabling improved customer service and reduction in potential losses  Optimizes energy use, enables better work force management, provides better maintenance processes and enhances security, leading to operational excellence. September 18, 2014 18
  • 19. KPIT Technologies Income Statement (Rs m) Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Net Revenue 22,386 26,940 29,606 33,547 Raw Material Expenses 14,640 18,180 20,443 23,144 Gross Profit 7,746 8,760 9,163 10,404 Employee Cost — — — — Other Expenses 4,091 4,528 5,026 5,184 EBITDA 3,655 4,233 4,137 5,220 Depr. & Amortization 472 540 667 707 Net Interest 146 287 182 104 Other Income (177) 24 301 129 Profit before Tax 2,860 3,430 3,589 4,537 Total Tax 765 941 969 1,225 Profit after Tax 2,095 2,490 2,620 3,312 Ex‐Od items / Min. Int. 79 — — — Adj. PAT 1,991 2,490 2,620 3,312 Avg. Shares O/S (m) 192.8 185.5 185.5 185.5 EPS (Rs.) 10.3 13.4 14.1 17.9 Cash Flow Abstract (Rs m) Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E C/F from Operations 1,203 1,030 1,307 3,588 C/F from Investing (3,503) (1,665) (888) (1,006) C/F from Financing 2,726 787 (416) (462) Inc. / Dec. in Cash 426 152 3 2,119 Opening Cash 1,467 1,893 1,813 1,816 Closing Cash 1,893 1,813 1,816 3,935 FCFF 1,894 1,407 419 2,581 FCFE 2,307 1,339 419 2,581 Key Financial Metrics Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Growth Revenue (%) 49.2 20.3 9.9 13.3 EBITDA (%) 67.6 15.8 (2.3) 26.2 PAT (%) 36.9 25.1 5.2 26.4 EPS (%) 26.4 30.0 5.2 26.4 Profitability EBITDA Margin (%) 16.3 15.7 14.0 15.6 PAT Margin (%) 8.9 9.2 8.8 9.9 RoCE (%) 20.9 20.2 17.8 18.9 RoE (%) 22.8 21.5 18.9 20.2 Balance Sheet Net Debt : Equity — — — (0.1) Net Wrkng Cap. (days) — — — — Valuation PER (x) 15.3 11.8 11.2 8.9 P / B (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.6 EV / EBITDA (x) 8.3 6.8 7.0 5.2 EV / Sales (x) 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 Earnings Quality Eff. Tax Rate 26.7 27.4 27.0 27.0 Other Inc / PBT (6.2) 0.7 8.4 2.8 Eff. Depr. Rate (%) 10.9 10.4 11.0 10.0 FCFE / PAT 115.9 53.8 16.0 77.9 Source: Company Data, PL Research. Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m) Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Shareholder's Funds 10,362 12,751 14,955 17,805 Total Debt 1,602 1,534 1,534 1,534 Other Liabilities 270 — — — Total Liabilities 12,235 14,285 16,488 19,338 Net Fixed Assets 2,005 2,161 2,382 2,681 Goodwill 4,423 5,994 5,994 5,994 Investments 2,154 1,859 1,859 1,859 Net Current Assets 2,408 3,173 5,060 7,611 Cash & Equivalents 1,921 1,908 1,816 3,935 Other Current Assets 6,084 8,214 11,518 13,051 Current Liabilities 5,597 6,949 8,273 9,375 Other Assets 1,244 1,064 1,064 1,064 Total Assets 12,235 14,251 16,359 19,209 Quarterly Financials (Rs m) Y/e March Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Net Revenue 7,028 6,779 7,001 6,897 EBITDA 1,088 1,042 1,130 832 % of revenue 15.5 15.4 16.1 12.1 Depr. & Amortization 148 135 135 162 Net Interest 74 79 71 40 Other Income 23 18 (76) 101 Profit before Tax 889 846 848 730 Total Tax 222 238 235 222 Profit after Tax 667 608 613 508 Adj. PAT 667 608 613 508 Key Operating Metrics Y/e March 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Total Volume (in hours) 12,018 13,461 15,009 16,885 Offshore Utilization 74.0 72.1 74.5 75.0 Re/US$ 54.5 60.7 59.8 59.0 SW Devp. Cost (% of sales) 65.4 67.5 69.1 69.0 S&M Cost (% of Sales) 6.9 7.4 7.4 6.8 — — — — Revenue (US$ m) 410 444 496 569 EBITDA Margin Expansion/(Erosion) (bps) 179 (62) (174) 159 Tax Rate (%) 26.7 27.4 27.0 27.0 Source: Company Data, PL Research. September 18, 2014 19
  • 20. KPIT Technologies Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. 3rd Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Worli, Mumbai‐400 018, India Tel: (91 22) 6632 2222 Fax: (91 22) 6632 2209 Rating Distribution of Research Coverage 34.5% 49.1% 16.4% 0.0% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% BUY Accumulate Reduce Sell % of Total Coverage PL’s Recommendation Nomenclature BUY : Over 15% Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Accumulate : Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Reduce : Underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Sell : Over 15% underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months Trading Buy : Over 10% absolute upside in 1‐month Trading Sell : Over 10% absolute decline in 1‐month Not Rated (NR) : No specific call on the stock Under Review (UR) : Rating likely to change shortly This document has been prepared by the Research Division of Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. Mumbai, India (PL) and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of PL. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, PL has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither PL nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accept any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient's particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. Either PL or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or engage in transactions of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication. We may from time to time solicit or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document. September 18, 2014 20