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CPG  INNOVATION  FROM  IDEATION  TO  AISLE:
New Techniques for Staying Ahead of Consumer Trends
Justin  Wheeler
VP  of  Product  Innovation
Today’s  Speakers
Phil  Lempert
The  Supermarket  Guru
INNOVATION  TODAY:
Why Don’t We Innovate More?
• 85%  of  new  products  fail1
• 85%  of  American  household  
needs  are  filled  with  same  150  
items2
• Less  than  3%  of  new  CPG  
products  exceed  $50M  first-­year  
sales3
• Nielsen  2015  Breakthrough  
Winners  came  from  companies  
$25M  to  $90B4
Challenges  of  Launching  New  Products
1 Joan  Schneider  and  Julie  Hall,  “Why  Most  Product  Launches  Fail,”  
Harvard  Business  Review,  April  2011.  
2  Ibid.
3  Ibid.
4 Taddy Hall  and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation  
Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015.
Recent  Breakthroughs
Source:  Taddy Hall  and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation  Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015.
Susan  Viamari,  “New  Product  Pacesetters:  Key  Cobblestones  Along  the  Path  to  Growth,”  IRI,  April  21,  2015.
Defining  Innovation
What  Makes  a  Product  Innovative?
• Sales  performance?
• New  category  creation?
• Consumer  interest?
• Cultural  impact?
Is  It  Time  for  a  New  Definition?
GETTING  YOUR  BEARINGS:
The State of the CPG Industry
• Consumer  needs  change  
and  evolve
• The  retail  landscape  is  
changing:  smaller  stores,  
more  food  service,  fewer  
front  ends
• Technology  and  social  
media  are  creating  a  new  
world  for  producing,  buying  
and  preparing  foods,  
beverages  and  snacks
What  We’re  Looking  at  Now
The  World  Is  Getting  Smaller
• Size  of  stores  will  decrease  dramatically  in  coming  years
• Market  consolidation  as  mergers  and  acquisitions  continue
The  Online  World  Is  Getting  Bigger
• Amazon  Prime  will  continue  to  gain  traction  with  consumers  and  other  
e-­commerce  companies  will  follow  suit
⁃ 20%  of  Amazon  Prime  members  who  have  purchased  grocery  products  online  expect  to  
buy  more  in  the  future;; 12%  who  currently  do  not  expect  to  do  so  in  the  future5
⁃ 25%  of  people  globally  already  order  products  online  for  home  delivery  and  more  than  
half  (55%)  are  willing  to  do  so  in  the  future6
Issues  Impacting  Innovation  Today
5 Patrick  Hadlockm Shankar  Raja,  et  al.,  “The  Digital  Future:  A  Game  Plan  for  Consumer  Packaged  Goods,”  The  Boston  Consulting  Group,  April  
22,  2014.
6  “More  Than  Half  of  Global  Consumers  Are  Willing  to  Buy  Groceries  Online,”  Nielsen,  April  29,  2015.
The  Shopper  Experience  Is  Fragmented
• Traditional  media  consumption  (television,  radio,  OOH)  is  lower  with  
younger  generations,  while  overall  media  consumption  is  up
• Engaging  with  customers  online  and  product  evangelists  on  social  is  
critically  important
Younger  Generations  Are  Changing  Consumer  Taste
• Millennials,  and  soon  Gen  Z,  will  be  primary  consumers
⁃ Dollar  share  of  CPG  for  Millennials  to  increase  from  17%  today  to  29%  in  2020;;  40%  of  
Millennials  are  multicultural7
7 Robert  I.  Tomei,  “The  2020  Shopper  and  What  It  Means  for  CPG  Marketers,”  IRI,  27  June  2015  IRI.
Issues  Impacting  Innovation  Today
Market  Share  Projections:  2013-­2018
Source:  Willard  Bishop
Traditional  grocery:
36.2%  (▼2.9%)
Non-­traditional  grocery:
40.1%  (▲1.1%)
C-­store:
16%  (▲1.1%)
Fresh  format:
2.1%  (▲0.9%)
Dollar  stores:
3.0%  (▲0.5%)
Other:
2.6%
• All  mobile?
• More  fresh?
• More  artisan?
• More  expensive?
• More  delivered?
What  Will  It  Be  Like  in  2025?
A  new  type  of  food  store  that  combines  freshness,  
authenticity,  prepared  foods  and  on-­site  services  
(beer  gardens,  catering,  nutritional  guidance),  
becoming  a  hub  for  the  community
The  Supermarket  Opportunity
Smaller  Stores
• From  50,000  sq.  ft.  to  20,000  sq.  ft.
Less  Assortment
• From  40,000  SKUs  to  20,000  SKUs
More  Service
• Chefs,  RDs,  butchers,  fishmongers  
and  sommeliers
• Grazing  Golden  Agers
• Smoked  everything
• Fermented  foods
• “Craft”  foods  
• Gen  Z:  the  new  chefs
• New  nutrition  labels
• Grocerants
• Instant  delivery
Trends  to  Watch
Connection,  Conversation  
and  Community
• Food  raves
• Food  trucks
• High  college  debt
• Low-­paying  jobs
• Living  at  home
• Generation  “child-­free”
Millennials  Are  Passionate
The  Future
Cater
to health and wellness Create
a WOW experience
Celebrate
food, preparation
and taste
CONFIRMING  TRENDS:
Supporting Observations with Data
• CPG  companies  launch  25,000  
new  products  each  year
• How  do  you  keep  track  of  
competitive  launches  and  get  
ahead  of  trends?
• We  have  to  go  straight  to  the  
source  and  go  in-­context  with  
consumers  at  the  shelf
Staying  Ahead  of  Innovation
• Our  preferences  aren’t  stable
• We  aren’t  guided  by  consistent  
beliefs  and  rational  thought
Why  Context  Matters
Better  
Hindsight
Better  
Insight
Better  
Foresight
The  Value  of  In-­Context
Crowdsourcing  Insights  via  Mobile
• Collects  evaluations  of  new  
products  from  Instantly  Mobile  
Army™  (~37,000+  shoppers  daily)
• Incentivized  participation  (cash  
and  contests)
• Alerts  companies  when  and  where  
products  are  launched  and  
provides  ongoing  shopper  
sentiment
• Fully  syndicated  data  set  delivered  
via  a  SaaS  interface  with  data  API
Real-­Time  Retail  Insights
Instantly  Product  Watch™
How  It  Works
• Grocery,  mass  merchandiser,  drug  and  
C-­stores  are  geofenced (US,  UK)
• Consumers  invited  via  mobile  to  go  on  
a  scavenger  hunt
• Consumers  find  new  products  on  shelf,  
take  photos  and  answer  a  short  survey
• Photos  are  coded  and  tagged  for  brand,  
product,  price,  category  and  attributes
• Clients  access  insights  via  live  
dashboard  and  email  notifications  
Instantly  Product  Watch™
Anatomy  of  a  Product  Watch™ Submission
Brand
Name
Product
Name
Shelf/
Row
Context
Key
Attributes Unit
Size
Promotion
Price
Retail
Price
Flavor/
Variety
Information  Gathered  From  Shopper  Photos
Anatomy  of  a  Product  Watch™ Submission
Additional  Mobile  App  Data
• Store  (brand)
• Store  (location)
• Consumer  demo
• UPC
• Date/time
• Full  shelf  photo  (new)
Additional  Consumer  Survey  Data
• Purchase  intent
• Value/price
• Salience  (stand  out)
• Augment/replace  existing
• Brand  fit/permission
• Shopping  impact
• Leadership
• Success  prediction
DATA-­DRIVEN  IDEATION:
How to Prioritize New Ideas
• Early-­stage  data  on  new  ideas  
is  critical  to  success
• With  real  consumer  feedback,  
you  can:
⁃ Refine  your  number  of  
concepts  before  next  stage
⁃ Eliminate  gut  decisions
⁃ Better  understand  your  
target  consumer
Early-­Stage  Concept  Testing
Instantly  Concept  Test™
• Online  tool  for  early-­stage  
assessment  of  new  product  and  
promotion  ideas  
• Load  new  concepts  and  launch
tests  in  under five  minutes
• Collect  insights  from  a  nationally
representative  online  or  mobile  
audience  of  300
• Rank  and  compare  concepts
by  key  performance  indicators,  
attributes  and  open-­end  
responses
Concept  Testing  Reimagined
Justin  Wheeler  
VP  of  Product  Innovation,  Instantly
justin.wheeler@instant.ly |    (866)  872-­4006    |    www.instant.ly
Questions?
Phil  Lempert
The  Supermarket  Guru
phil@supermarketguru.com    |    (310)  392-­0448 |    www.supermarketguru.com
References
Hadlock,  Patrick,  Shankar  Raja,  et  al.,  “The  Digital  Future:  A  Game  Plan  for  Consumer  Packaged  
Goods,”  The  Boston  Consulting  Group,  April  22,  2014,  
https://www.bcgperspectives.com/content/articles/digital_economy_consumer_products_digital_futur
e_game_plan_consumer_packaged_goods/?chapter=2
Hall,  Taddy and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation  Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015,  
http://www.nielsen.com/us/en/solutions/capabilities/breakthrough-­innovation1.html.
Schneider,  Joan  and  Julie  Hall,  “Why  Most  Product  Launches  Fail,”  Harvard  Business  Review,  April  
2011,  https://hbr.org/2011/04/why-­most-­product-­launches-­fail.
Tomei,  Robert  I.,  “The  2020  Shopper  and  What  It  Means  for  CPG  Marketers,”  IRI,  27  June  2015  IRI,  
http://www.iriworldwide.com/insights/blog/May-­2015/The-­2020-­Shopper-­and-­What-­It-­Means-­for-­
CPG-­Markete.
Viamari,  Susan,  “New  Product  Pacesetters:  Key  Cobblestones  Along  the  Path  to  Growth,”  IRI,  April  21,  
2015,  http://www.iriworldwide.com/IRI/media/IRI-­Clients/NPP-­April-­2015-­vFINAL2.pdf
“More  Than  Half  of  Global  Consumers  Are  Willing  to  Buy  Groceries  Online,”  Nielsen,  April  29,  2015,  
http://www.nielsen.com/us/en/press-­room/2015/more-­than-­half-­of-­global-­consumers-­are-­willing-­to-­
buy-­groceries-­online.html.

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CPG Innovation From Ideation to Aisle: New Techniques for Staying Ahead of Consumer Trends

  • 1. CPG  INNOVATION  FROM  IDEATION  TO  AISLE: New Techniques for Staying Ahead of Consumer Trends
  • 2. Justin  Wheeler VP  of  Product  Innovation Today’s  Speakers Phil  Lempert The  Supermarket  Guru
  • 4. • 85%  of  new  products  fail1 • 85%  of  American  household   needs  are  filled  with  same  150   items2 • Less  than  3%  of  new  CPG   products  exceed  $50M  first-­year   sales3 • Nielsen  2015  Breakthrough   Winners  came  from  companies   $25M  to  $90B4 Challenges  of  Launching  New  Products 1 Joan  Schneider  and  Julie  Hall,  “Why  Most  Product  Launches  Fail,”   Harvard  Business  Review,  April  2011.   2  Ibid. 3  Ibid. 4 Taddy Hall  and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation   Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015.
  • 5. Recent  Breakthroughs Source:  Taddy Hall  and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation  Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015. Susan  Viamari,  “New  Product  Pacesetters:  Key  Cobblestones  Along  the  Path  to  Growth,”  IRI,  April  21,  2015.
  • 6. Defining  Innovation What  Makes  a  Product  Innovative? • Sales  performance? • New  category  creation? • Consumer  interest? • Cultural  impact? Is  It  Time  for  a  New  Definition?
  • 7. GETTING  YOUR  BEARINGS: The State of the CPG Industry
  • 8. • Consumer  needs  change   and  evolve • The  retail  landscape  is   changing:  smaller  stores,   more  food  service,  fewer   front  ends • Technology  and  social   media  are  creating  a  new   world  for  producing,  buying   and  preparing  foods,   beverages  and  snacks What  We’re  Looking  at  Now
  • 9. The  World  Is  Getting  Smaller • Size  of  stores  will  decrease  dramatically  in  coming  years • Market  consolidation  as  mergers  and  acquisitions  continue The  Online  World  Is  Getting  Bigger • Amazon  Prime  will  continue  to  gain  traction  with  consumers  and  other   e-­commerce  companies  will  follow  suit ⁃ 20%  of  Amazon  Prime  members  who  have  purchased  grocery  products  online  expect  to   buy  more  in  the  future;; 12%  who  currently  do  not  expect  to  do  so  in  the  future5 ⁃ 25%  of  people  globally  already  order  products  online  for  home  delivery  and  more  than   half  (55%)  are  willing  to  do  so  in  the  future6 Issues  Impacting  Innovation  Today 5 Patrick  Hadlockm Shankar  Raja,  et  al.,  “The  Digital  Future:  A  Game  Plan  for  Consumer  Packaged  Goods,”  The  Boston  Consulting  Group,  April   22,  2014. 6  “More  Than  Half  of  Global  Consumers  Are  Willing  to  Buy  Groceries  Online,”  Nielsen,  April  29,  2015.
  • 10. The  Shopper  Experience  Is  Fragmented • Traditional  media  consumption  (television,  radio,  OOH)  is  lower  with   younger  generations,  while  overall  media  consumption  is  up • Engaging  with  customers  online  and  product  evangelists  on  social  is   critically  important Younger  Generations  Are  Changing  Consumer  Taste • Millennials,  and  soon  Gen  Z,  will  be  primary  consumers ⁃ Dollar  share  of  CPG  for  Millennials  to  increase  from  17%  today  to  29%  in  2020;;  40%  of   Millennials  are  multicultural7 7 Robert  I.  Tomei,  “The  2020  Shopper  and  What  It  Means  for  CPG  Marketers,”  IRI,  27  June  2015  IRI. Issues  Impacting  Innovation  Today
  • 11. Market  Share  Projections:  2013-­2018 Source:  Willard  Bishop Traditional  grocery: 36.2%  (▼2.9%) Non-­traditional  grocery: 40.1%  (▲1.1%) C-­store: 16%  (▲1.1%) Fresh  format: 2.1%  (▲0.9%) Dollar  stores: 3.0%  (▲0.5%) Other: 2.6%
  • 12. • All  mobile? • More  fresh? • More  artisan? • More  expensive? • More  delivered? What  Will  It  Be  Like  in  2025?
  • 13. A  new  type  of  food  store  that  combines  freshness,   authenticity,  prepared  foods  and  on-­site  services   (beer  gardens,  catering,  nutritional  guidance),   becoming  a  hub  for  the  community The  Supermarket  Opportunity Smaller  Stores • From  50,000  sq.  ft.  to  20,000  sq.  ft. Less  Assortment • From  40,000  SKUs  to  20,000  SKUs More  Service • Chefs,  RDs,  butchers,  fishmongers   and  sommeliers
  • 14. • Grazing  Golden  Agers • Smoked  everything • Fermented  foods • “Craft”  foods   • Gen  Z:  the  new  chefs • New  nutrition  labels • Grocerants • Instant  delivery Trends  to  Watch
  • 15. Connection,  Conversation   and  Community • Food  raves • Food  trucks • High  college  debt • Low-­paying  jobs • Living  at  home • Generation  “child-­free” Millennials  Are  Passionate
  • 16. The  Future Cater to health and wellness Create a WOW experience Celebrate food, preparation and taste
  • 18. • CPG  companies  launch  25,000   new  products  each  year • How  do  you  keep  track  of   competitive  launches  and  get   ahead  of  trends? • We  have  to  go  straight  to  the   source  and  go  in-­context  with   consumers  at  the  shelf Staying  Ahead  of  Innovation
  • 19. • Our  preferences  aren’t  stable • We  aren’t  guided  by  consistent   beliefs  and  rational  thought Why  Context  Matters
  • 20. Better   Hindsight Better   Insight Better   Foresight The  Value  of  In-­Context
  • 22. • Collects  evaluations  of  new   products  from  Instantly  Mobile   Army™  (~37,000+  shoppers  daily) • Incentivized  participation  (cash   and  contests) • Alerts  companies  when  and  where   products  are  launched  and   provides  ongoing  shopper   sentiment • Fully  syndicated  data  set  delivered   via  a  SaaS  interface  with  data  API Real-­Time  Retail  Insights Instantly  Product  Watch™
  • 23. How  It  Works • Grocery,  mass  merchandiser,  drug  and   C-­stores  are  geofenced (US,  UK) • Consumers  invited  via  mobile  to  go  on   a  scavenger  hunt • Consumers  find  new  products  on  shelf,   take  photos  and  answer  a  short  survey • Photos  are  coded  and  tagged  for  brand,   product,  price,  category  and  attributes • Clients  access  insights  via  live   dashboard  and  email  notifications   Instantly  Product  Watch™
  • 24. Anatomy  of  a  Product  Watch™ Submission Brand Name Product Name Shelf/ Row Context Key Attributes Unit Size Promotion Price Retail Price Flavor/ Variety Information  Gathered  From  Shopper  Photos
  • 25. Anatomy  of  a  Product  Watch™ Submission Additional  Mobile  App  Data • Store  (brand) • Store  (location) • Consumer  demo • UPC • Date/time • Full  shelf  photo  (new) Additional  Consumer  Survey  Data • Purchase  intent • Value/price • Salience  (stand  out) • Augment/replace  existing • Brand  fit/permission • Shopping  impact • Leadership • Success  prediction
  • 26. DATA-­DRIVEN  IDEATION: How to Prioritize New Ideas
  • 27. • Early-­stage  data  on  new  ideas   is  critical  to  success • With  real  consumer  feedback,   you  can: ⁃ Refine  your  number  of   concepts  before  next  stage ⁃ Eliminate  gut  decisions ⁃ Better  understand  your   target  consumer Early-­Stage  Concept  Testing
  • 28. Instantly  Concept  Test™ • Online  tool  for  early-­stage   assessment  of  new  product  and   promotion  ideas   • Load  new  concepts  and  launch tests  in  under five  minutes • Collect  insights  from  a  nationally representative  online  or  mobile   audience  of  300 • Rank  and  compare  concepts by  key  performance  indicators,   attributes  and  open-­end   responses Concept  Testing  Reimagined
  • 29. Justin  Wheeler   VP  of  Product  Innovation,  Instantly justin.wheeler@instant.ly |    (866)  872-­4006    |    www.instant.ly Questions? Phil  Lempert The  Supermarket  Guru phil@supermarketguru.com    |    (310)  392-­0448 |    www.supermarketguru.com
  • 30. References Hadlock,  Patrick,  Shankar  Raja,  et  al.,  “The  Digital  Future:  A  Game  Plan  for  Consumer  Packaged   Goods,”  The  Boston  Consulting  Group,  April  22,  2014,   https://www.bcgperspectives.com/content/articles/digital_economy_consumer_products_digital_futur e_game_plan_consumer_packaged_goods/?chapter=2 Hall,  Taddy and  Rob  Wengel,  “Nielsen  Breakthrough  Innovation  Report,”  Nielsen,  June  2015,   http://www.nielsen.com/us/en/solutions/capabilities/breakthrough-­innovation1.html. Schneider,  Joan  and  Julie  Hall,  “Why  Most  Product  Launches  Fail,”  Harvard  Business  Review,  April   2011,  https://hbr.org/2011/04/why-­most-­product-­launches-­fail. Tomei,  Robert  I.,  “The  2020  Shopper  and  What  It  Means  for  CPG  Marketers,”  IRI,  27  June  2015  IRI,   http://www.iriworldwide.com/insights/blog/May-­2015/The-­2020-­Shopper-­and-­What-­It-­Means-­for-­ CPG-­Markete. Viamari,  Susan,  “New  Product  Pacesetters:  Key  Cobblestones  Along  the  Path  to  Growth,”  IRI,  April  21,   2015,  http://www.iriworldwide.com/IRI/media/IRI-­Clients/NPP-­April-­2015-­vFINAL2.pdf “More  Than  Half  of  Global  Consumers  Are  Willing  to  Buy  Groceries  Online,”  Nielsen,  April  29,  2015,   http://www.nielsen.com/us/en/press-­room/2015/more-­than-­half-­of-­global-­consumers-­are-­willing-­to-­ buy-­groceries-­online.html.