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Inteliace Research
MortgageLendinginPoland,2015-2017
COMPARED TO OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, MORTGAGE LENDING PENETRATION
BENCHMARKS ARE STILL VERY LOW IN POLAND
Residential mortgage debt per capita, Q3 2014
In thousand EUR
Residential mortgage debt to GDP ratio, Q3 2014
In percent
* Figure as of Q2 2014
Source: EMF- HYPOSTAT, National central banks, Inteliace Research
Despite quick growth
recorded in past years,
mortgage lending
penetration benchmarks
are still very low in Poland
104.7
95.6
87.7
81.4
71.3
62.6
58.7
50.4
44.8
40.2
23.0
21.4
17.8
15.3
6.9
Netherlands*
Denmark
UK
Sweden
Ireland
Portugal
Spain*
Belgium
Germany
France
Italy
Poland
Hungary
Czech Rep.
Romania
42.5
37.6
35.8
26.1
25.5
17.3
15.0
12.9
12.6
9.9
6.0
2.2
2.2
1.8
0.5
Denmark
Netherlands*
Sweden
UK
Ireland
Belgium
Germany
Spain*
France
Portugal
Italy
Poland
Czech Rep.
Hungary
Romania
1
DATA BY
EMF-HYPOSTAT
Inteliace Research
MortgageLendinginPoland,2015-2017
Source: GUS, Inteliace Research
Cumulated
years 2006-2014
(in million)
WHILE COMPLETIONS HAVE REMAINED IN A FALLING TREND, NEW BUILDING PERMITS
AND STARTS HAVE REBOUNDED DURING 2014
• Number of new
building permits and
starts rebounded in 2014
after few years of
declines.
• Falling cost of credit,
strong economy,
unemployment trending
down and stabilizing
property prices were key
factors encouraging new
construction starts.
• The number of
completions remained in
a falling trend due to
time-shift effects
following lower starts
and permits figures
recorded in 2012-2013.
New building
permits
Dwellings
started
Dwellings
completed
1.28
1.38
1.62161
237 220
179 175 184 165
139 157
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2
138
185 175
143 158 162
142 127
148
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
115 134
165 160
136 131
153 145 143
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Poland: Mortgage lending back on growth path

  • 1. Inteliace Research MortgageLendinginPoland,2015-2017 COMPARED TO OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, MORTGAGE LENDING PENETRATION BENCHMARKS ARE STILL VERY LOW IN POLAND Residential mortgage debt per capita, Q3 2014 In thousand EUR Residential mortgage debt to GDP ratio, Q3 2014 In percent * Figure as of Q2 2014 Source: EMF- HYPOSTAT, National central banks, Inteliace Research Despite quick growth recorded in past years, mortgage lending penetration benchmarks are still very low in Poland 104.7 95.6 87.7 81.4 71.3 62.6 58.7 50.4 44.8 40.2 23.0 21.4 17.8 15.3 6.9 Netherlands* Denmark UK Sweden Ireland Portugal Spain* Belgium Germany France Italy Poland Hungary Czech Rep. Romania 42.5 37.6 35.8 26.1 25.5 17.3 15.0 12.9 12.6 9.9 6.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 0.5 Denmark Netherlands* Sweden UK Ireland Belgium Germany Spain* France Portugal Italy Poland Czech Rep. Hungary Romania 1 DATA BY EMF-HYPOSTAT
  • 2. Inteliace Research MortgageLendinginPoland,2015-2017 Source: GUS, Inteliace Research Cumulated years 2006-2014 (in million) WHILE COMPLETIONS HAVE REMAINED IN A FALLING TREND, NEW BUILDING PERMITS AND STARTS HAVE REBOUNDED DURING 2014 • Number of new building permits and starts rebounded in 2014 after few years of declines. • Falling cost of credit, strong economy, unemployment trending down and stabilizing property prices were key factors encouraging new construction starts. • The number of completions remained in a falling trend due to time-shift effects following lower starts and permits figures recorded in 2012-2013. New building permits Dwellings started Dwellings completed 1.28 1.38 1.62161 237 220 179 175 184 165 139 157 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 138 185 175 143 158 162 142 127 148 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 115 134 165 160 136 131 153 145 143 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014