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Outdoor testing, analysis and
  performance predictions of PV
          technologies

      Steve Ransome (Owner SRCL)
and associate consultant (Intertechpira UK)
             www.steveransome.com
How kWh/kWp values are used
by industry sector

Section of PV industry             kWh/kWp relevance
Manufacturers                      Claim high performance
Indoor testers                     Measure relevant parameters
Sizing programs                    Claim accurate predictions from
(simulation models)                complex models
Customers                          Expect high values
Financial backers                  Demand guaranteed values
                                   over lifetime
Independent outdoor                Different rankings for each
comparisons                        technology (often within
                                   experimental error for correctly
                                   rated and measured modules)

14-May-09                www.steveransome.com                  Page 2
Typical daily AC performance of a
large array, USA
                                 1. Energy Yield YF
                                    (kWh/kWp/d) should be
                                    approximately proportional
                                    to the daily insolation YR
                                    (kWh/m²/d)
                                 2. Points below the line
                                    indicate underperforming
                                    periods
                                 3. The total uncorrected
                                    energy yield will include
                                    these bad points and
                                    worsen apparent yield

14-May-09            www.steveransome.com                  Page 3
Energy yield losses from AC arrays

How much of these energy losses are due to
– component number and choice
– down time
– inverter loss (efficiency or low light turn on)
– inherent differences between module technologies ?
– other reasons ?

DC module performance must be studied to quantify
the losses
14-May-09            www.steveransome.com         Page 4
View of typical DC setup
   ISET, Kassel Germany
                              “Spectrally
30°                           sensitive”
Tilt                          Irradiance
                              sensors

South                         PV modules

                              Not shown :
                              temperature
                              sensors
                              Direct:Diffuse,
                              precipitation ,
                              wind speed etc.
 Pyranometer
Typical DC outdoor measuring setup
(single devices are better for characterisation)
                                                       Windspeed (ms-1)
               Plane of array Irradiance
               (kW/m²)

                                   Impp, Vmpp
                   Device          or IV scan
                   under
                    test
                                                Data Logger
        Device Temperature (C)                   Measure
                                                every 1-10
        Ambient Temperature (C)                  minutes
        Other sensors ? e.g.
        horizontal irradiance,
        precipitation, air pressure,                           Data
        spectrum …                                            Analysis
Independent energy yield test :
7 technologies Kassel, Germany

                                 1. Most technologies give
                                    similar energy yields
                                    (<±4% kWh/kWp)
                                 2. Two are much lower (are
                                    they faulty or have they
                                    degraded?)
                                 3. Cannot identify reasons
                                    from kWh/kWp sums alone

                                      (see my paper PVSEC
                                      Valencia 2008 for details)

14-May-09            www.steveransome.com                     Page 7
How do we find the reason
for differences in kWh/kWp ?

Possible reasons
• Monitoring errors e.g. Vmax mistracking
• Pmax declaration (measured/nameplate)
• Shading on some panels only
• Degradation/annealing
• Different technology performances at
   – low light
   – high temperature
   – diffuse light
   – different spectra …
Detailed studies should reveal reasons for differences
14-May-09                www.steveransome.com            Page 8
Data validation for
outdoor measurements
Normalise measurements to “measured/expected values”
• Vdm = Vdc / Vmax.stc
• Idn = Idc / Imax.stc / Irradiance

Define simple limits to remove “bad” data points
(e.g. 80-110% of expected value )

Perform a sanity check on meteorological data
Irradiance (e.g. 0 to 1.4kW/m²),
Clearness Index (e.g. 0.2 to 0.8)
Diffuse Fraction (e.g. 0.1 to 0.9)
Temperatures (e.g. -20 < Ambient < 40)
etc.

14-May-09                  www.steveransome.com        Page 9
Normalised electrical parameters
showing limits used for Imax and Vmax

                                Weather data (top)
                                Electrical data (bottom)

                                • Correct, interpolate or delete
                                  data outside sensible limits
                                  (shown in coloured bands)
                                • “Redundant data” : calculate
                                  “NOCT” (Tmodule
                                  @800W/m², Tambient=20C,
                                  1ms-1 wind) – should be ~47C


14-May-09           www.steveransome.com                   Page 10
Diffuse sky (left) vs Clear sky (right)
affects PV performance
Large attenuation of Beam                  Little attenuation of Beam
High reflection off clouds                  Little reflection off clouds
Variable spectrum                                 Spectrum ~ Air Mass




14-May-09               www.steveransome.com                      Page 11
Understanding Efficiency vs Irradiance
Imax and Vmax vs. Diffuse:Beam - cSi
                           Diffuse Clear
Vmax vs Irradiance                         Imax vs Irradiance
                                                      (2) Diffuse



                                                                     (1) Error
                                                       (2) AOI
                     Efficiency =
                     Vmax * Imax




1.   Most points should be within narrow limits, outlier data due to poor
     tracking, shade or snow on module or sensor. Can temperature correct.
2.   Imax differs whether diffuse or clear sky, Vmax doesn’t
14-May-09                      www.steveransome.com                    Page 12
Comparing different module technologies
   how important are any differences ?                             Diffuse Clear

        Crystalline Silicon #1 and #3                  Thin Film #4 and #6
Imax


                                                                                  (1)

               (1) Imax quite similar, TF slightly worse current variability
                                           – spectral mismatch/annealing
Vmax


                                                                         (2)

   (2) Vmax very similar, TF slightly better voltage thermal coefficients
   14-May-09                    www.steveransome.com                         Page 13
Comparing module technologies
   Efficiency vs Clearness (top) & Beam Fraction (bottom)
                 Efficiency   Crystalline Silicon #3              Thin Film #4




                                           (1)                              (2)
Efficiency =
Vmax * Imax                                      Clearness 
               Efficiency




                                           (3)                              (4)

                                                 Beam Fraction 
         Diffuse Clear
   14-May-09                               www.steveransome.com                   Page 14
Insolation (kWh/m²/y)
vs Irradiance, Clearness index and Beam fraction

                                                More Insolation at :

                                                1. Higher irradiance
                                                   than lower –
                                                   most sites
                                                2. Higher clearness
                                                   index (clear skies)
                                                3. Higher beam
                                                   fraction (low
                                                   diffuse)

            Irradiance (kW/m²)                 than at lower values
14-May-09                www.steveransome.com                     Page 15
Insolation (kWh/m²/y)
vs. Tmodule and Irradiance




                                                   Irradiance (kW/m²) 
                             More Irradiance at high light levels
                             than low light even in Germany
         Tmodule (C) 
                             More frequent measurements show
                             even more high light level
How all weather parameters are correlated
making understanding data more complicated
                     Indoor (STC)                      Outdoor
                                         <Worse weather Better weather>
Irradiance           1 kW/m²                        Lower Higher

Module temperature 25 C                             Colder Warmer


Spectrum             AM 1.5 G                       Redder Bluer

Angle of incidence   0° normal         Away from normal Nearer normal

Direct : Diffuse     All Direct             Mostly diffuse Mostly direct


14-May-09                    www.steveransome.com                      Page 17
Extracting temperature coefficients
from outdoor data Imax and Vmax

                                 Values may differ from internal
                                 measurements as weather
                                 parameters are correlated (e.g.
                                 spectrum and temperature)
                                 which will affect multi junction
                                 thin film more than c-Si.
                                 1. Vmax more accurate than
                                 2. Imax
                                 Need to filter out low
                                 irradiance/temperature data
                                 as too variable

14-May-09            www.steveransome.com                   Page 18
Empirical modelling
predicting Tmodule, Vmax and dc Power

• Simple empirical models
  can predict Tmodule, Vmax
  and Pmax

Tmod = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …)
Vmax = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …)
Pmax = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …)

• Can characterise measured
  and predict future PV
  performance
                               fits (black dots)
                               measured (coloured dots)
Empirical modelling
    Flow chart
                          learning mode to
                          derive coefficients

                          Empirical formulae and
Inputs                    coefficients
Irradiance (kW/m²)
Ambient Temperature (C)
                          Cell Temperature C
Windspeed (ms-1)
                          MPP Voltage V

                                                       MPP Current A

                          MPP Power W

Report discrepancies      Validate measurements


                          Sum (Power) = Energy Yield
Empirical modelling –
validating Tmodule, Vmax and dc Power

                      (1) Tmod




                 (2) Vmax


                      (3) Pmax
Simulating outdoor performance,
  extracting indoor parameters
               indoors                             outdoors
Meas.         DC module      DC module                   String          AC array
Stage          (IV scan)      (IV scan)                (Vmp track)      (Inverter)

                Efficiency     Pactual/                Module             Inverter
                     vs      nameplate,                Mismatch         efficiency,
               Irradiance        Dirt,                               Partial shading,
              Temperature      Thermal                                 Wiring loss,
                Spectrum      Annealing,                             String mismatch
                 AOI etc.    Degradation

                              Weather
                             Correlation

          Parameter extraction                   Performance modelling 
  14-May-09                     www.steveransome.com                         Page 22
Finding shading - Max. irradiance
per hour of the day and month of the year

                                 • Good unshaded sites will
                                   give smooth, symmetrical
                                   oval shapes as shown

                                 • Shading will show as lower
                                   maximum irradiance than
                                   expected for certain times
                                   and months (e.g. after
                                   14:00 November to January
                                   for low horizon in the west)



14-May-09            www.steveransome.com                  Page 23
AC Performance : Maximum ac yield
per hour of the day and month of the year

                                 • Well performing arrays will
                                   give smooth, symmetrical
                                   oval shapes as shown
                                 • Thermal problems would be
                                   seen by summer afternoon
                                   dips (although this array
                                   seems good)
                                 • Turn on problems would be
                                   seen by low values in the
                                   morning



14-May-09            www.steveransome.com                 Page 24
Finding shading : Solar Irradiance and
array sum energy vs Solar position

                                  Total insolation vs Solar
                                  height and azimuth in 10° bins

                                  Good unshaded sites should
                                  have a symmetrical shape like
                                  this in Germany

                                  Horizon shading appears as
                                  wide low irradiance areas
                                  Tree or pole shading is seen in
                                  tall low irradiance areas

14-May-09             www.steveransome.com                   Page 25
Finding “Turn on” problems and Shading
Performance/predicted Vs. Date and Time
               (1)
                          1. Shading would show as
                             poor performance in
                             horizontal shapes

                          2. “Turn on” problems appear
                             as missing data at
                             beginning of day

  (3)    (2)
                          3. Missing data all day
Conclusions

• Sophisticated outdoor testing has been used to compare dc
  modules with ac arrays
• Sum kWh/kWp figures alone are not enough to qualify
  measurements
• A detailed knowledge of dc performance helps understand AC
  data
• Normalise data for easier error checking V, I etc.
• Max. Irradiance or Power vs. time of day and month can
  identify shading or thermal problems
• Checking raw data enables faults, limits and weather effects
  to be analysed.

14-May-09               www.steveransome.com              Page 27
Thank you for your attention

        Thanks to ISET for the DC data

 This paper and previous ones are available at
          steve@steveransome.com
           www.steveransome.com

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PV Technology Performance Analysis

  • 1. Outdoor testing, analysis and performance predictions of PV technologies Steve Ransome (Owner SRCL) and associate consultant (Intertechpira UK) www.steveransome.com
  • 2. How kWh/kWp values are used by industry sector Section of PV industry kWh/kWp relevance Manufacturers Claim high performance Indoor testers Measure relevant parameters Sizing programs Claim accurate predictions from (simulation models) complex models Customers Expect high values Financial backers Demand guaranteed values over lifetime Independent outdoor Different rankings for each comparisons technology (often within experimental error for correctly rated and measured modules) 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 2
  • 3. Typical daily AC performance of a large array, USA 1. Energy Yield YF (kWh/kWp/d) should be approximately proportional to the daily insolation YR (kWh/m²/d) 2. Points below the line indicate underperforming periods 3. The total uncorrected energy yield will include these bad points and worsen apparent yield 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 3
  • 4. Energy yield losses from AC arrays How much of these energy losses are due to – component number and choice – down time – inverter loss (efficiency or low light turn on) – inherent differences between module technologies ? – other reasons ? DC module performance must be studied to quantify the losses 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 4
  • 5. View of typical DC setup ISET, Kassel Germany “Spectrally 30° sensitive” Tilt Irradiance sensors South PV modules Not shown : temperature sensors Direct:Diffuse, precipitation , wind speed etc. Pyranometer
  • 6. Typical DC outdoor measuring setup (single devices are better for characterisation) Windspeed (ms-1) Plane of array Irradiance (kW/m²) Impp, Vmpp Device or IV scan under test Data Logger Device Temperature (C) Measure every 1-10 Ambient Temperature (C) minutes Other sensors ? e.g. horizontal irradiance, precipitation, air pressure, Data spectrum … Analysis
  • 7. Independent energy yield test : 7 technologies Kassel, Germany 1. Most technologies give similar energy yields (<±4% kWh/kWp) 2. Two are much lower (are they faulty or have they degraded?) 3. Cannot identify reasons from kWh/kWp sums alone (see my paper PVSEC Valencia 2008 for details) 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 7
  • 8. How do we find the reason for differences in kWh/kWp ? Possible reasons • Monitoring errors e.g. Vmax mistracking • Pmax declaration (measured/nameplate) • Shading on some panels only • Degradation/annealing • Different technology performances at – low light – high temperature – diffuse light – different spectra … Detailed studies should reveal reasons for differences 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 8
  • 9. Data validation for outdoor measurements Normalise measurements to “measured/expected values” • Vdm = Vdc / Vmax.stc • Idn = Idc / Imax.stc / Irradiance Define simple limits to remove “bad” data points (e.g. 80-110% of expected value ) Perform a sanity check on meteorological data Irradiance (e.g. 0 to 1.4kW/m²), Clearness Index (e.g. 0.2 to 0.8) Diffuse Fraction (e.g. 0.1 to 0.9) Temperatures (e.g. -20 < Ambient < 40) etc. 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 9
  • 10. Normalised electrical parameters showing limits used for Imax and Vmax Weather data (top) Electrical data (bottom) • Correct, interpolate or delete data outside sensible limits (shown in coloured bands) • “Redundant data” : calculate “NOCT” (Tmodule @800W/m², Tambient=20C, 1ms-1 wind) – should be ~47C 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 10
  • 11. Diffuse sky (left) vs Clear sky (right) affects PV performance Large attenuation of Beam Little attenuation of Beam High reflection off clouds Little reflection off clouds Variable spectrum Spectrum ~ Air Mass 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 11
  • 12. Understanding Efficiency vs Irradiance Imax and Vmax vs. Diffuse:Beam - cSi Diffuse Clear Vmax vs Irradiance Imax vs Irradiance (2) Diffuse (1) Error (2) AOI Efficiency = Vmax * Imax 1. Most points should be within narrow limits, outlier data due to poor tracking, shade or snow on module or sensor. Can temperature correct. 2. Imax differs whether diffuse or clear sky, Vmax doesn’t 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 12
  • 13. Comparing different module technologies how important are any differences ? Diffuse Clear Crystalline Silicon #1 and #3 Thin Film #4 and #6 Imax (1) (1) Imax quite similar, TF slightly worse current variability – spectral mismatch/annealing Vmax (2) (2) Vmax very similar, TF slightly better voltage thermal coefficients 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 13
  • 14. Comparing module technologies Efficiency vs Clearness (top) & Beam Fraction (bottom) Efficiency Crystalline Silicon #3 Thin Film #4 (1) (2) Efficiency = Vmax * Imax Clearness  Efficiency (3) (4) Beam Fraction  Diffuse Clear 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 14
  • 15. Insolation (kWh/m²/y) vs Irradiance, Clearness index and Beam fraction More Insolation at : 1. Higher irradiance than lower – most sites 2. Higher clearness index (clear skies) 3. Higher beam fraction (low diffuse) Irradiance (kW/m²) than at lower values 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 15
  • 16. Insolation (kWh/m²/y) vs. Tmodule and Irradiance Irradiance (kW/m²)  More Irradiance at high light levels than low light even in Germany Tmodule (C)  More frequent measurements show even more high light level
  • 17. How all weather parameters are correlated making understanding data more complicated Indoor (STC) Outdoor <Worse weather Better weather> Irradiance 1 kW/m² Lower Higher Module temperature 25 C Colder Warmer Spectrum AM 1.5 G Redder Bluer Angle of incidence 0° normal Away from normal Nearer normal Direct : Diffuse All Direct Mostly diffuse Mostly direct 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 17
  • 18. Extracting temperature coefficients from outdoor data Imax and Vmax Values may differ from internal measurements as weather parameters are correlated (e.g. spectrum and temperature) which will affect multi junction thin film more than c-Si. 1. Vmax more accurate than 2. Imax Need to filter out low irradiance/temperature data as too variable 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 18
  • 19. Empirical modelling predicting Tmodule, Vmax and dc Power • Simple empirical models can predict Tmodule, Vmax and Pmax Tmod = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …) Vmax = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …) Pmax = f(Irrad, Tamb, WS, …) • Can characterise measured and predict future PV performance fits (black dots) measured (coloured dots)
  • 20. Empirical modelling Flow chart learning mode to derive coefficients Empirical formulae and Inputs coefficients Irradiance (kW/m²) Ambient Temperature (C) Cell Temperature C Windspeed (ms-1) MPP Voltage V MPP Current A MPP Power W Report discrepancies Validate measurements Sum (Power) = Energy Yield
  • 21. Empirical modelling – validating Tmodule, Vmax and dc Power (1) Tmod (2) Vmax (3) Pmax
  • 22. Simulating outdoor performance, extracting indoor parameters indoors outdoors Meas. DC module DC module String AC array Stage (IV scan) (IV scan) (Vmp track) (Inverter) Efficiency Pactual/ Module Inverter vs nameplate, Mismatch efficiency, Irradiance Dirt, Partial shading, Temperature Thermal Wiring loss, Spectrum Annealing, String mismatch AOI etc. Degradation Weather Correlation  Parameter extraction Performance modelling  14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 22
  • 23. Finding shading - Max. irradiance per hour of the day and month of the year • Good unshaded sites will give smooth, symmetrical oval shapes as shown • Shading will show as lower maximum irradiance than expected for certain times and months (e.g. after 14:00 November to January for low horizon in the west) 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 23
  • 24. AC Performance : Maximum ac yield per hour of the day and month of the year • Well performing arrays will give smooth, symmetrical oval shapes as shown • Thermal problems would be seen by summer afternoon dips (although this array seems good) • Turn on problems would be seen by low values in the morning 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 24
  • 25. Finding shading : Solar Irradiance and array sum energy vs Solar position Total insolation vs Solar height and azimuth in 10° bins Good unshaded sites should have a symmetrical shape like this in Germany Horizon shading appears as wide low irradiance areas Tree or pole shading is seen in tall low irradiance areas 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 25
  • 26. Finding “Turn on” problems and Shading Performance/predicted Vs. Date and Time (1) 1. Shading would show as poor performance in horizontal shapes 2. “Turn on” problems appear as missing data at beginning of day (3) (2) 3. Missing data all day
  • 27. Conclusions • Sophisticated outdoor testing has been used to compare dc modules with ac arrays • Sum kWh/kWp figures alone are not enough to qualify measurements • A detailed knowledge of dc performance helps understand AC data • Normalise data for easier error checking V, I etc. • Max. Irradiance or Power vs. time of day and month can identify shading or thermal problems • Checking raw data enables faults, limits and weather effects to be analysed. 14-May-09 www.steveransome.com Page 27
  • 28. Thank you for your attention Thanks to ISET for the DC data This paper and previous ones are available at steve@steveransome.com www.steveransome.com